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On behavioral complementarity and its implications Chris Chambers, Federico Echenique, and Eran Shmaya California Institute of Technology UPenn – March 18, 2008

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Page 1: On behavioral complementarity and its implicationsfede/slides/demandcomp.pdf · On behavioral complementarity and its implications Chris Chambers, Federico Echenique, and Eran Shmaya

On behavioral complementarity and itsimplications

Chris Chambers, Federico Echenique, and Eran Shmaya

California Institute of Technology

UPenn – March 18, 2008

Page 2: On behavioral complementarity and its implicationsfede/slides/demandcomp.pdf · On behavioral complementarity and its implications Chris Chambers, Federico Echenique, and Eran Shmaya

Complementary goods

Page 3: On behavioral complementarity and its implicationsfede/slides/demandcomp.pdf · On behavioral complementarity and its implications Chris Chambers, Federico Echenique, and Eran Shmaya

Complementary goods

Coffee and SugarTea and Lemon

Peanut butter and JellyCheese and WineBeer and Pretzels

Gin and Tonic

Matters for IO models and practical problems.(e.g. firms’ pricing policy).

Page 4: On behavioral complementarity and its implicationsfede/slides/demandcomp.pdf · On behavioral complementarity and its implications Chris Chambers, Federico Echenique, and Eran Shmaya

Consumer Theory

Explain consumer behavior: choices of consumption bundlesx ∈ X ⊆ Rn

Page 5: On behavioral complementarity and its implicationsfede/slides/demandcomp.pdf · On behavioral complementarity and its implications Chris Chambers, Federico Echenique, and Eran Shmaya

Consumer Theory

Postulate a utility function

u : X → R

Consumer behaves as if

max u(x)

x ∈ {y ∈ X : p · y ≤ m}

Page 6: On behavioral complementarity and its implicationsfede/slides/demandcomp.pdf · On behavioral complementarity and its implications Chris Chambers, Federico Echenique, and Eran Shmaya

Consumer Theory

{y : p · y ≤ p · x}

x

Page 7: On behavioral complementarity and its implicationsfede/slides/demandcomp.pdf · On behavioral complementarity and its implications Chris Chambers, Federico Echenique, and Eran Shmaya

Consumer Theory

Problem: we don’t observe u; it’s a theoretical construct.

Consider data (xk , pk), k = 1, . . . ,K on prices and consumption.Say that u rationalizes the data if, for all k,

y 6= xk and pk · y ≤ pk · xk ⇒ u(y) < u(xk)

Can we rationalize anything choosing the appropriate u ?

Page 8: On behavioral complementarity and its implicationsfede/slides/demandcomp.pdf · On behavioral complementarity and its implications Chris Chambers, Federico Echenique, and Eran Shmaya

Consumer Theory

Problem: we don’t observe u; it’s a theoretical construct.

Consider data (xk , pk), k = 1, . . . ,K on prices and consumption.Say that u rationalizes the data if, for all k,

y 6= xk and pk · y ≤ pk · xk ⇒ u(y) < u(xk)

Can we rationalize anything choosing the appropriate u ?

Page 9: On behavioral complementarity and its implicationsfede/slides/demandcomp.pdf · On behavioral complementarity and its implications Chris Chambers, Federico Echenique, and Eran Shmaya

Consumer Theory

Problem: we don’t observe u; it’s a theoretical construct.

Consider data (xk , pk), k = 1, . . . ,K on prices and consumption.Say that u rationalizes the data if, for all k,

y 6= xk and pk · y ≤ pk · xk ⇒ u(y) < u(xk)

Can we rationalize anything choosing the appropriate u ?

Page 10: On behavioral complementarity and its implicationsfede/slides/demandcomp.pdf · On behavioral complementarity and its implications Chris Chambers, Federico Echenique, and Eran Shmaya

x1

x2

Two observations: (x1, p

1), (x2, p

2)

Page 11: On behavioral complementarity and its implicationsfede/slides/demandcomp.pdf · On behavioral complementarity and its implications Chris Chambers, Federico Echenique, and Eran Shmaya

Afriat (1967)

Consider data (xk , pk), k = 1, . . . ,K .

TheoremThe following are equivalent

1. The data can be rationalized.

2. The data satisfy GARP.

3. The data can be rationalized by a weakly monotonic,continuous, and concave utility.

Page 12: On behavioral complementarity and its implicationsfede/slides/demandcomp.pdf · On behavioral complementarity and its implications Chris Chambers, Federico Echenique, and Eran Shmaya

Back to complementary goods

Page 13: On behavioral complementarity and its implicationsfede/slides/demandcomp.pdf · On behavioral complementarity and its implications Chris Chambers, Federico Echenique, and Eran Shmaya

How do choices betweenCoffee and Sugar

and betweenCoffee and Tea

differ ?(choices → testing)

How do preferences differ ?(preferences → modeling)

Page 14: On behavioral complementarity and its implicationsfede/slides/demandcomp.pdf · On behavioral complementarity and its implications Chris Chambers, Federico Echenique, and Eran Shmaya

Complementarity in utility (Edgeworth-Pareto)

q a

a q

6

-

x x ∨ y

x ∧ y y

u(x) − u(x ∧ y) ≤ u(x ∨ y) − u(y)

Sugar

Coffee

Page 15: On behavioral complementarity and its implicationsfede/slides/demandcomp.pdf · On behavioral complementarity and its implications Chris Chambers, Federico Echenique, and Eran Shmaya

Complementarity in utility (Edgeworth-Pareto)

q a

a q

6

6

-

x x ∨ y

x ∧ y y

u(x) − u(x ∧ y) ≤ u(x ∨ y) − u(y)

Sugar

Coffee

Page 16: On behavioral complementarity and its implicationsfede/slides/demandcomp.pdf · On behavioral complementarity and its implications Chris Chambers, Federico Echenique, and Eran Shmaya

Complementarity in utility (Edgeworth-Pareto)

q a

a q

66

6

-

x x ∨ y

x ∧ y y

u(x) − u(x ∧ y) ≤ u(x ∨ y) − u(y)

Sugar

Coffee

Page 17: On behavioral complementarity and its implicationsfede/slides/demandcomp.pdf · On behavioral complementarity and its implications Chris Chambers, Federico Echenique, and Eran Shmaya

Theorem (Chambers & Echenique (2006))

Data, (xk , pk), k = 1, . . . ,K , can be rationalized if and only ifit can be rationalized by a supermodular utility

Page 18: On behavioral complementarity and its implicationsfede/slides/demandcomp.pdf · On behavioral complementarity and its implications Chris Chambers, Federico Echenique, and Eran Shmaya

Behavioral complementarity

The standard notion of complementarities based on utility has noimplication for (observable) choices.

So we study a behavioral notion.

Page 19: On behavioral complementarity and its implicationsfede/slides/demandcomp.pdf · On behavioral complementarity and its implications Chris Chambers, Federico Echenique, and Eran Shmaya

Behavioral complementarity

↓ price of coffee ⇒ ↑ demand for sugar.

“Behavioral” 6= condition on preferences.

Page 20: On behavioral complementarity and its implicationsfede/slides/demandcomp.pdf · On behavioral complementarity and its implications Chris Chambers, Federico Echenique, and Eran Shmaya

Behavioral complementarity

Page 21: On behavioral complementarity and its implicationsfede/slides/demandcomp.pdf · On behavioral complementarity and its implications Chris Chambers, Federico Echenique, and Eran Shmaya

Behavioral complementarity

Essentially a property of pairs of goods.

Ex: Coffee, Tea and Sugar.Use more sugar for tea than for coffee.

Page 22: On behavioral complementarity and its implicationsfede/slides/demandcomp.pdf · On behavioral complementarity and its implications Chris Chambers, Federico Echenique, and Eran Shmaya

What if have n goods ?

Standard practice: estimate cross elasticity assuming demandfunctional form.

We need separability in preferences (and possibly aggregation).

e.g. heating and housing.

Page 23: On behavioral complementarity and its implicationsfede/slides/demandcomp.pdf · On behavioral complementarity and its implications Chris Chambers, Federico Echenique, and Eran Shmaya

Demand

A demand is a function D : R2++ × R+ → R2

2 s.t.

I p · D(p, I ) = I (Walras Law).

I ∀t > 0, D(tp, tI ) = D(p, I ) (Homogeneity of degree zero)

A demand function is rational if it can be rationalized by a weaklymonotonic utility.

i.e. ∃ w. mon. u with

D(p, I ) = argmax{x :p·x≤I}u(x)

Page 24: On behavioral complementarity and its implicationsfede/slides/demandcomp.pdf · On behavioral complementarity and its implications Chris Chambers, Federico Echenique, and Eran Shmaya

Demand

A demand is a function D : R2++ × R+ → R2

2 s.t.

I p · D(p, I ) = I (Walras Law).

I ∀t > 0, D(tp, tI ) = D(p, I ) (Homogeneity of degree zero)

A demand function is rational if it can be rationalized by a weaklymonotonic utility.

i.e. ∃ w. mon. u with

D(p, I ) = argmax{x :p·x≤I}u(x)

Page 25: On behavioral complementarity and its implicationsfede/slides/demandcomp.pdf · On behavioral complementarity and its implications Chris Chambers, Federico Echenique, and Eran Shmaya

Behavioral complementarity – Two Models

I Demand: D(p, I ) (Nominal Income).D satisfies complementarity ifp ≤ p′ ⇒ D(p′, I ) ≤ D(p, I ).

I Demand: D(p, p · ω) (Endowment Income)D satisfies (weak) complementarity if, for every p, ω there is ap′ such that[D1(p

′, p′ · w)− D1(p, p · w)] [

D2(p′, p′ · w)− D2(p, p · w)

]≥ 0

Page 26: On behavioral complementarity and its implicationsfede/slides/demandcomp.pdf · On behavioral complementarity and its implications Chris Chambers, Federico Echenique, and Eran Shmaya

Results (vaguely)

I Necessary and sufficient condition for observed demand to beconsistent with complementarity (testable implications).

I Necessary and sufficient condition (within domains) forpreferences to generate complements in demand.

I Differences in Nom. Income vs. Endowment Income.

Page 27: On behavioral complementarity and its implicationsfede/slides/demandcomp.pdf · On behavioral complementarity and its implications Chris Chambers, Federico Echenique, and Eran Shmaya

Nominal Income – Testable Implications

Expenditure data: (x , p) (x ′, p′)(Samuelson (1947), Afriat (1967), etc.)

Page 28: On behavioral complementarity and its implicationsfede/slides/demandcomp.pdf · On behavioral complementarity and its implications Chris Chambers, Federico Echenique, and Eran Shmaya

Nominal Income – Testable Implications

p

x

1

Page 29: On behavioral complementarity and its implicationsfede/slides/demandcomp.pdf · On behavioral complementarity and its implications Chris Chambers, Federico Echenique, and Eran Shmaya

Nominal Income – Testable Implications

x

x′

p′p

Page 30: On behavioral complementarity and its implicationsfede/slides/demandcomp.pdf · On behavioral complementarity and its implications Chris Chambers, Federico Echenique, and Eran Shmaya

Nominal Income – Testable Implications

x

x′

p′p

Page 31: On behavioral complementarity and its implicationsfede/slides/demandcomp.pdf · On behavioral complementarity and its implications Chris Chambers, Federico Echenique, and Eran Shmaya

Nominal Income – Testable Implications

So x ∨ x ′ /∈ B ∨ B ′

Page 32: On behavioral complementarity and its implicationsfede/slides/demandcomp.pdf · On behavioral complementarity and its implications Chris Chambers, Federico Echenique, and Eran Shmaya

Nominal Income – Testable Implications

p′p

x

x′

x ∨ x′

Page 33: On behavioral complementarity and its implicationsfede/slides/demandcomp.pdf · On behavioral complementarity and its implications Chris Chambers, Federico Echenique, and Eran Shmaya

Nominal Income – Testable Implications

Necessary condition 1 : x ∨ x ′ ∈ B ∨ B ′

Page 34: On behavioral complementarity and its implicationsfede/slides/demandcomp.pdf · On behavioral complementarity and its implications Chris Chambers, Federico Echenique, and Eran Shmaya

Nominal Income – Testable Implications

pp′

xx′

Page 35: On behavioral complementarity and its implicationsfede/slides/demandcomp.pdf · On behavioral complementarity and its implications Chris Chambers, Federico Echenique, and Eran Shmaya

Nominal Income – Testable Implications

pp′

xx′

Page 36: On behavioral complementarity and its implicationsfede/slides/demandcomp.pdf · On behavioral complementarity and its implications Chris Chambers, Federico Echenique, and Eran Shmaya

Nominal Income – Testable Implications

Necessary condition 2 : a strengthening of WARP.

Page 37: On behavioral complementarity and its implicationsfede/slides/demandcomp.pdf · On behavioral complementarity and its implications Chris Chambers, Federico Echenique, and Eran Shmaya

Nominal Income

By homogeneity, D(p/I , 1) = D(p, I ).So fix income I = 1 and write D(p).Note: B ∨ B ′ is budget with p ∧ p′ and I = 1.

Page 38: On behavioral complementarity and its implicationsfede/slides/demandcomp.pdf · On behavioral complementarity and its implications Chris Chambers, Federico Echenique, and Eran Shmaya

Nominal Income

An observed demand function is a function D : P → R2+

I P ⊆ R2++ is finite

I p · D(p) = 1

Page 39: On behavioral complementarity and its implicationsfede/slides/demandcomp.pdf · On behavioral complementarity and its implications Chris Chambers, Federico Echenique, and Eran Shmaya

Nominal Income

Let D : P → R2+ be an observed demand.

Theorem (Observable Demand)

D is the restriction to P of a rational demand that satisfiescomplementarity iff ∀p, p′ ∈ P

1. (p ∧ p′) · (D(p) ∨ D(p′)) ≤ 1.

2. If p′ · D(p) ≤ 1 and p′i > pi then D(p′)j ≥ D(p)j for j 6= i .

Page 40: On behavioral complementarity and its implicationsfede/slides/demandcomp.pdf · On behavioral complementarity and its implications Chris Chambers, Federico Echenique, and Eran Shmaya

Nominal Income

Theorem (Continuity)

Let D : R2++ → R2

+ be a rationalizable demand function whichsatisfies complementarity. Then D is continuous. Furthermore, Dis rationalized by an upper semicontinuous, quasiconcave andweakly monotonic utility function.

RemarkWe extend the data to a demand, and then find it’s rational.Difference from Afriat’s approach of constructing a utility.

Page 41: On behavioral complementarity and its implicationsfede/slides/demandcomp.pdf · On behavioral complementarity and its implications Chris Chambers, Federico Echenique, and Eran Shmaya

Nominal Income

Theorem (Continuity)

Let D : R2++ → R2

+ be a rationalizable demand function whichsatisfies complementarity. Then D is continuous. Furthermore, Dis rationalized by an upper semicontinuous, quasiconcave andweakly monotonic utility function.

RemarkWe extend the data to a demand, and then find it’s rational.Difference from Afriat’s approach of constructing a utility.

Page 42: On behavioral complementarity and its implicationsfede/slides/demandcomp.pdf · On behavioral complementarity and its implications Chris Chambers, Federico Echenique, and Eran Shmaya

Theorem 1

Suppose we observe (p, x) and (p′′, x ′′).Find demand at prices p′ (extend demand).

Page 43: On behavioral complementarity and its implicationsfede/slides/demandcomp.pdf · On behavioral complementarity and its implications Chris Chambers, Federico Echenique, and Eran Shmaya

x

pp’

Page 44: On behavioral complementarity and its implicationsfede/slides/demandcomp.pdf · On behavioral complementarity and its implications Chris Chambers, Federico Echenique, and Eran Shmaya

p’ p

p’’

Page 45: On behavioral complementarity and its implicationsfede/slides/demandcomp.pdf · On behavioral complementarity and its implications Chris Chambers, Federico Echenique, and Eran Shmaya

Theorem (Observed Demand)

pp′

p ∧ p′

B

B

A A

x

Page 46: On behavioral complementarity and its implicationsfede/slides/demandcomp.pdf · On behavioral complementarity and its implications Chris Chambers, Federico Echenique, and Eran Shmaya

Theorem (Observed Demand)

p′′

x

C C

p ∧ p′′

Page 47: On behavioral complementarity and its implicationsfede/slides/demandcomp.pdf · On behavioral complementarity and its implications Chris Chambers, Federico Echenique, and Eran Shmaya

Theorem (Observed Demand)

x

C CD

p′ ∧ p′′ p ∧ p′

AAD

Page 48: On behavioral complementarity and its implicationsfede/slides/demandcomp.pdf · On behavioral complementarity and its implications Chris Chambers, Federico Echenique, and Eran Shmaya

Nominal Income

Let u be a C 2 utility.

m(x) =∂u(x)/∂x1

∂u(x)/∂x2

is the marginal rate of substitution of u at an interior point x .

Page 49: On behavioral complementarity and its implicationsfede/slides/demandcomp.pdf · On behavioral complementarity and its implications Chris Chambers, Federico Echenique, and Eran Shmaya

Nominal Income

Let D a demand w/ interior range and monotone increasing, C 2,and strictly quasiconvex rationalization.

Theorem (Smooth Utility)

D satisfies complementarity iff

∂m(x)/∂x1

m(x)≤ −1

x1and

∂m(x)/∂x2

m(x)≥ 1

x2

Page 50: On behavioral complementarity and its implicationsfede/slides/demandcomp.pdf · On behavioral complementarity and its implications Chris Chambers, Federico Echenique, and Eran Shmaya

Theorem (Smooth Utility)

x1

x2

x̂1 x̂1 + ε

x̂2

Page 51: On behavioral complementarity and its implicationsfede/slides/demandcomp.pdf · On behavioral complementarity and its implications Chris Chambers, Federico Echenique, and Eran Shmaya

Nominal Income

Separability: u (x , y) = f (x) + g (y) .Then complementarity iff f and g more concave than log.

Expect. util.: π1U (x) + π2U (y).Then complementarity iff RRA ≥ 1.

Analogous result for subst. due to Wald (1951) and Varian (1985).

Page 52: On behavioral complementarity and its implicationsfede/slides/demandcomp.pdf · On behavioral complementarity and its implications Chris Chambers, Federico Echenique, and Eran Shmaya

Endowment Income

D satisfies complementarity if, for all (p, ω) and all p′,[D1(p

′, p′ · ω)− D1(p, p · ω)] [

D2(p′, p′ · ω′)− D2(p, p · ω)

]≥ 0.

(1)D satisfies weak complementarity if, for every (p, ω), there is oneprice p′ 6= p satsfying (1).

Page 53: On behavioral complementarity and its implicationsfede/slides/demandcomp.pdf · On behavioral complementarity and its implications Chris Chambers, Federico Echenique, and Eran Shmaya

Endowment Income

Let D be a rational demand.

Theorem (Endowment Model)

The following are equivalent:

1. D satisfies complementarity.

2. D satisfies weak complementarity.

3. ∃ cont. strictly monotone, fi : R+ → R∪{∞}, i = 1, 2, atleast one of which is everywhere real valued (fi (R+) ⊆ R), s.t.

u(x) = min {f1(x1), f2(x2)}

is a rationalization of D.

Page 54: On behavioral complementarity and its implicationsfede/slides/demandcomp.pdf · On behavioral complementarity and its implications Chris Chambers, Federico Echenique, and Eran Shmaya

Endowment Income

ω

p

x = ω′

Page 55: On behavioral complementarity and its implicationsfede/slides/demandcomp.pdf · On behavioral complementarity and its implications Chris Chambers, Federico Echenique, and Eran Shmaya

Endowment Income

p

Page 56: On behavioral complementarity and its implicationsfede/slides/demandcomp.pdf · On behavioral complementarity and its implications Chris Chambers, Federico Echenique, and Eran Shmaya

Conclusions: