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NIDIS Implementation Team Roger S Pulwarty NOAA The National Integrated Drought Information System Communication and Outreach Engaging Preparedness & Adaptation Drought and Flood Impacts Assessments and Scenarios Monitoring & Forecasting

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NIDIS Implementation Team Roger S Pulwarty NOAA. Monitoring & Forecasting. Drought and Flood Impacts Assessments and Scenarios. The National Integrated Drought Information System. Engaging Preparedness & Adaptation. Communication and Outreach. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: NIDIS Implementation Team Roger S Pulwarty NOAA

NIDIS Implementation Team

Roger S Pulwarty NOAA

The National Integrated Drought Information System

Communication and OutreachEngaging Preparedness &

Adaptation

Drought and Flood ImpactsAssessments and ScenariosMonitoring & Forecasting

Page 2: NIDIS Implementation Team Roger S Pulwarty NOAA

Climate Services: “The timely production and delivery of useful climate data, information and knowledge to decisionmakers” (NRC, 2001)

VISION

“An informed society anticipating and responding to climate and its impacts”

Mission:

“to develop and deliver research, information, and services to enhance society's ability to understand, anticipate, mitigate, and adapt to climate variability and change”

Page 3: NIDIS Implementation Team Roger S Pulwarty NOAA

NIDIS Goals & Objectives

Public Law (109-430, 2006) “better informed and more timely drought-related decisions leading to reduced impacts and costs”

3

Page 4: NIDIS Implementation Team Roger S Pulwarty NOAA

NIDIS PL109-430-Three tasks

(1) provide an effective drought early warning system that—

(1 A) is a comprehensive system that collects and integrates information on the key indicators of drought in order to make usable, reliable, and timely drought forecasts and assessments of drought, including assessments of the severity of drought conditions and impacts;

(1 B) communicates drought forecasts, drought conditions, and drought impacts on an ongoing basis to— (i) decision-makers at the Federal, regional, State, tribal, and local levels of government; (ii) the private sector; and (iii) the public

Page 5: NIDIS Implementation Team Roger S Pulwarty NOAA

NIDIS Act PL109-430 continued……

(1C) includes timely (where possible real-time) data,information, and products that reflect local, regional, and State differences in drought conditions;

(2) coordinate, and integrate as practicable, Federal research in support of a drought early warning system; and

(3) build upon existing forecasting and assessment programs and partnerships

Page 6: NIDIS Implementation Team Roger S Pulwarty NOAA

NIDIS Components

1. NIDIS Program Office2. U.S. Drought Portal

3. Climate Test Beds/Drought– Integrating data and

forecasts4. Coping with Drought

– Integrated Applications Research

5. NIDIS Early Warning Information Systems – Design,Prototype,

Implementation, Process sustainability

Page 7: NIDIS Implementation Team Roger S Pulwarty NOAA

NIDIS Governance: Executive Council

NIDIS Program Office NIDIS Implementation Team: Over 50 Federal, state, tribal and private sector

representatives

NIDIS Technical Working Groups

Integrated Drought Information Systems Drought Early Warning System Design-Information clearinghouse, Pilots, and Implementation

WATERSHED/URBAN/LOCAL

REGIONAL

NATIONAL

Public AwarenessAnd Education

Engaging PreparednessCommunities

IntegratedMonitoring and

Forecasting

InterdisciplinaryResearch andApplications

U.S.Drought Portal

Page 8: NIDIS Implementation Team Roger S Pulwarty NOAA

NIDIS Early Warning Systems Pilots – Blue-first round;yellow-second round of prototypes/transferabilty

SoutheastSoutheast

Columbia Columbia

River River

BasinBasin

Lower CO Lower CO Basin Basin

Great Lakes Great Lakes

RegionRegion

+Texas+Texas

CaliforniaCalifornia

Upper Upper Missouri Missouri BasinBasin

Page 9: NIDIS Implementation Team Roger S Pulwarty NOAA

Kremmling

Lake Powell

Lake Mead

Upper Basin down to Lake MeadUpper Basin down to Lake Mead•Coordinated reservoir operations: Coordinated reservoir operations: Low flow shortage triggering criteria Low flow shortage triggering criteria (Powell/Mead)(Powell/Mead)

•Inter- and Intra-basin transfers; Inter- and Intra-basin transfers; Front range urban-agricultureFront range urban-agriculture

•Ecosystem health/services Ecosystem health/services

Page 10: NIDIS Implementation Team Roger S Pulwarty NOAA

• Upper Colorado River Basin (UCRB) EWS Design Workshop– UCRB Monitoring Gaps Assessment – US Drought Portal Upgrades sub-portal – Assimilate and characterize indicators and triggers in the UCRB– ESP improvements and Assessment of water demand in UCRB

(ongoing)– Webinar launched as part of RFC Annual Operating Plan

Outlook

• Drought Index Planning support-Surface Water Supply Index

Page 11: NIDIS Implementation Team Roger S Pulwarty NOAA

• NIDIS Newsletter released-circulated across disaster management community, agencies and states

• Drought, Climate change and Early Warning on Western Native Lands June 09

• Centers for Disease Control-Drought and Public Health Report

• Climate Change and Water Resources: Federal Perspectives (USGS 1331)

Page 12: NIDIS Implementation Team Roger S Pulwarty NOAA

Coping with Drought: TRACS

• Ensemble Hydrologic Forecasts over the Southeast in Support of the NIDIS Pilot

• Drought Index Evaluation and Implementation in a Geospatial Framework Linked to Hydrologic Data Web Services

• Evaluating Adaptation Policies For Urban Water Resource Management Between Short-Term Drought Responses And Long-Term Planning

• Integrating Socioeconomic Assessments to Build Community Resilience in Mitigating Drought

• A Climate Information System to Enhance Drought Preparedness by Underserved Farmers in the SE U.S.

Page 13: NIDIS Implementation Team Roger S Pulwarty NOAA

FY10 Priority

13

Apalachicola-Chattahoochee-Flint Early Warning System Yr1– ACF Monitoring Gaps Assessment

• Carolinas Catawba-Wateree Early Warning System

Page 14: NIDIS Implementation Team Roger S Pulwarty NOAA

Planning and information workshops-

Peachtree Georgia May 08

Chapel Hill NC June 09

Columbus Georgia Sept 09

Design workshop

Lake Blackshear Dec 1-2

Page 15: NIDIS Implementation Team Roger S Pulwarty NOAA

15

Apalachicola-Coosa-Tallapoosa (ACT) and

Apalachicola-Chattahoochee-Flint (ACF)

Basins

Page 16: NIDIS Implementation Team Roger S Pulwarty NOAA
Page 17: NIDIS Implementation Team Roger S Pulwarty NOAA

ApplicationsResearch

PredictionMonitoring

ImpactMitigation

ProactivePlanning

ImprovedAdaptation

Integrating Tools:e.g. Drought Portal

Coordinating federal, state, and local drought-related activities (e.g., within watersheds and states)

Identifying and transferring innovative strategies for drought risk assessment, communication and preparedness

NIDIS INFORMATION MANAGEMENT

Page 18: NIDIS Implementation Team Roger S Pulwarty NOAA

Year 1: Scoping the Drought Early Warning Information System Gap analyses: What information exists and how is it being coordinated and used?Characterize and communicate risks across timescales-with existing information for 2-3 critical issues

Year 2. Implementation of the Drought Early Warning System (seasonal, multi-year, longer term trends): Develop drought sub-portalsEmbed information into preparedness and adaptation plansEstablish network for ongoing briefings on impacts and projections across climate timescales 

Develop subteams to assess (1) Monitoring and forecasting; (2) Impact indicators and triggers (3) Preparedness and education: Assemble drought-sensitive planning indicators and management triggers database; Assess present drought information coordination partnerships and processes Identify Federal and state-level partnerships, decision support tools and actions needed (to improve information development, coordination and flow for preparedness and risk reduction) Develop an operational plan for designing and implementing an EWS process

Initiate development region or basin specific Drought Information Monitor and Portal (as a subset of the U.S. Drought Portal)  Develop decision support tools for demand projections and revise triggering criteria Prototyping: Given better data and information coordination would responses have been improved for past events? Assess (1) value of improved information using past conditions, (2) responses for projections/ scenarios (decadal, climate change), (3) feedback on priorities (e.g. data gaps) to Executive Council.Feedback into regional Drought Monitor and Portal. Early Warning System maintenance (Fed-state-tribal) and transfer to other sub-basins

Page 19: NIDIS Implementation Team Roger S Pulwarty NOAA

Drought stages including preparedness

Indicators,triggers, response and impact avoidance

Declaring drought accurately

Declaring drought early enough

Minimizing the duration of a declaration

Informing an equitable and reasonable response

Where to go for help

Page 20: NIDIS Implementation Team Roger S Pulwarty NOAA

Drought and Water Resources Federal Partnerships

Monitoring & ForecastingDrought and Flood Impacts

Assessments and Scenarios

Communication and Outreach Engaging Preparedness & Adaptation

Information Services in support of Adaptation

Page 21: NIDIS Implementation Team Roger S Pulwarty NOAA

Drought and Water Resources ServicesMission: Implement a dynamic, accessible, authoritative drought information system

NOAA Produces: With Our Partners: Used By:

Monitoring and Forecasting

U.S. Drought Monitor USDA, National Drought Mitigation Center

USDA, state and local governments

U.S. Soil Moisture Monitoring DOE, USDA (NRCS) USDA, agricultural producers

Normalized Difference Vegetation Index

USGS, NASA USAID (FEWS NET)

Crop Moisture Index USDA USDA, agricultural producers

Ensemble Water Supply Forecasts USDA USBR, USACE, state water management agencies, local district water managers

Soil Moisture Anomaly Forecast USDA (NRCS) USDA, agricultural producers

Page 22: NIDIS Implementation Team Roger S Pulwarty NOAA

NOAA Produces With Our Partners: Used By:

Products Informing Risk Assessment and Management

Reconciling projections of future Colorado River stream flow in a changing climate

USBR, USGS, University of Washington, University of Colorado, University of Arizona, University of California-San Diego

USBR, state and local water providers, reservoir managers, Water Conservancy Districts

USGS Circular 1331: Climate Change and Water Resources Management: A Federal Perspective

USGS, USBR, USACE USBR, USACE, Water Utilities

Climate Change in Colorado: A Synthesis to Support Water Resources Management and Adaptation

Colorado Water Conservation Board, University of Colorado, Western Water Assessment RISA

Colorado water planners, State Climatologists

Managing Threatened and Endangered Salmon in Low Water Conditions

USBR, CA Department of Fish and Game, CA Department of Water Resources, University of California Davis, Humboldt State University

NMFS, CA Department of Fish and Game, CA Department of Water Resources, Pacific Fisheries Management Council

Assessing Drought Indicators and Triggers

USGS, USDA (NRCS), Colorado Water Conservation Board, Colorado State University, Utah State University, University of Wyoming

USGS, USDA, USBR, water planners/providers, reservoir managers, State Climatologists