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New trends of immigration into Hungary and the integration of immigrants Irén GÖDRI Driving forces behind demographic trends in Visegrad countries: The role of migration and family formation 1011 September 2015, Prague

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New trends of immigration into Hungary

and the integration of immigrants

Irén GÖDRI

Driving forces behind demographic trends in Visegrad

countries: The role of migration and family formation

10–11 September 2015, Prague

Immigration after 1989 – conditions and trends

• political control over migration came to an end

• free border crossings

• migration balance turned positive

• Hungary turned into an immigration country (and

partly a transit country)

• new forms of mobility: short term – income oriented –

movements & different forms of ‘quasi-migration’

(Okolski 1998)

• the new movements were often periodic and repetitive

• current immigration to Hungary has been shaped by the

country’s accession to the EU (2004) and the new

Citizenship Act (2011)

2

Foreign citizens immigrating to Hungary and the

share of arrivals from four neighbouring countries

3

Source: Demographic Yearbooks, HCSO.

0

5 000

10 000

15 000

20 000

25 000

30 000

35 000

40 000

19

87

19

88

19

89

19

90

19

91

19

92

19

93

19

94

19

95

19

96

19

97

19

98

19

99

20

00

20

01

20

02

20

03

20

04

20

05

20

06

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

10

20

11

20

12

20

13

Year of entry

Total immigrants

From four neighbouring countries

People

Hungarian citizens born abroad and

immigrating to Hungary, 1995–2013

4

Source: Demographic Yearbooks, HCSO.

0

1 000

2 000

3 000

4 000

5 000

6 000

7 000

8 000

9 000

19

95

19

96

19

97

19

98

19

99

20

00

20

01

20

02

20

03

20

04

20

05

20

06

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

10

20

11

20

12

20

13

People

96–97% came from four

neighbouring countries

(due to new Citizenship Act)

Immigration to Hungary and the share of arrivals from

four neighbouring countries – with ’adjustment’

5

Source: Demographic Yearbooks, HCSO.

0

5 000

10 000

15 000

20 000

25 000

30 000

35 000

40 0001

98

7

19

88

19

89

19

90

19

91

19

92

19

93

19

94

19

95

19

96

19

97

19

98

19

99

20

00

20

01

20

02

20

03

20

04

20

05

20

06

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

10

20

11

20

12

20

13

Year of entry

Total immigrants – with 'adjustment'

Total immigrants

From four neighbouring countries – with 'adjustment'

From four neighbouring countries

Distribution of foreign citizens immigrating to

Hungary by country of citizenship

6

Source: Demographic Yearbooks, HCSO.

* For 2012–2013 the number of immigrants with ‘correction’.

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2011* 2012* 2013*

Other countries

Other As ian

China

Other European

EU15 (without

Germany)

Germany

Slovakia

Serbia

Ukra ine

Romania

Distribution of foreign citizens immigrating to

Hungary by age-group, 2013

7

Source: Demographic Yearbooks, HCSO.

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

from Romania

from Germany

from China

Total immigrants

Total population

0–14 15–19 20–29 30–39 40–49 50–59 60–

Number of foreign citizens immigrating and

crude immigration rate in European countries

8

Source: Eurostat database, author’s calculation.

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

LU CH NO BE AT SE EI UK DK DE SI ES IT NL FI FR CZ PL HU PT

2002 2012

Crude immigration rate

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

DE UK IT ES FR BE CH AT NL SE PL NO EI DK CZ FI HU LU SI PT

2002 2012

Thousand immigrants

Number of foreign citizens immigrating and crude

immigration rate in new EU member countries, 2013

9

Source: Eurostat database.

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

Poland Czech

Republic

Hungary Romania Bulgaria Slovenia Latvia Lithuania Slovakia Estonia

Thousand people

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

‰Foreign-national immigrants, 2013

Crude immigration rate, 2013

Asylum seekers by mode of entry and those granted

international protection in Hungary, 1990–2014

10 Source: 1990–1999 Office of Immigration and Nationality; from 2000 STADAT tables, HCSO.

+

158 thousand

registrations

in 2015 till

8 September

1990–2014: 235 thousand asylum applications

0

5 000

10 000

15 000

20 000

25 000

30 000

35 000

40 000

45 000

50 000

55 000

19

90

19

91

19

92

19

93

19

94

19

95

19

96

19

97

19

98

19

99

20

00

20

01

20

02

20

03

20

04

20

05

20

06

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

10

20

11

20

12

20

13

20

14

People

0

150

300

450

600

750

900

1 050

1 200

1 350

1 500

1 650

People

Asylum seekers – legal entry Asylum seekers – i l legal entry People with international protection (right axis)

Number and rate of asylum seekers in

top 10 European countries in first half of 2015

11

Source: Eurostat database, author’s calculation.

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

Germany Hungary Sweden France Italy Austria Switzerland Belgium Netherlands United

Kingdom

Thousand people

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9‰

Number of asylum seekers

Rate of asylum seekers

Proportion of tertiary graduates in total and foreign

population aged 25+ years by sex in Hungary, 2011

12

Source: Population Census, 2011; author’s calculation.

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

25–29 30–39 40–49 50–59 60+

Foreign citizens Total population

% Men

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

25–29 30–39 40–49 50–59 60+

Foreign citizens Total population

% Women

Employment in total and foreign population

aged 15–64 years in Hungary, 2001 and 2011

13

Source: Population Census, 2001 and 2011; author’s calculation.

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Foreign citizens Total population Foreign citizens Total population

2001 2011

%

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

%Employment rate

Unemployment rate (right axis)

Employment rates in total and foreign population

aged 20–64 years in EU-25 countries, 2013

14

Source: Eurostat (Labour Force Survey data, 2013).

35 45 55 65 75 85

Greece

Spain

Ita ly

Hungary

Poland

Malta

Slovakia

Ireland

Portugal

Cyprus

Slovenia

Belgium

Luxembourg

EU-28

Lithuania

France

Latvia

Czech Republ ic

Finland

Estonia

United Kingdom

Denmark

Austria

Netherlands

Germany

Sweden

Total population

Foreign citizens

Employment rate in total and foreign population

aged 20–64 by gender in Hungary, 2013

15

Source: Labour Force Survey, 2013.

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

Foreign citizens Total population Foreign citizens Total population

Men Women

%

Natural decrease counterbalanced by positive

migration balance between 2001 and 2011 (Census data)

16

– 387 000

Natural decrease

Net migration

(positive)

126 000 – 261 000

Total decrease

But: since the last years of the 2000s migration balance is

presumably negative which further accelerate population shrinkage.

17

Thank you for your attention!

Contact information:

[email protected]