multiple states in coastal lagoons and estuaries next steps toward understanding the lagoons of the...

18
Multiple States in Coastal Lagoons and Estuaries Next Steps Toward Understanding the Lagoons of the Yaqui Valley Next Steps Toward Understanding the Lagoons of the Yaqui Valley ldo Valle-Levinson do Valle-Levinson S. Monismith S. Monismith Juan Delgado Juan Delgado Esther Cruz Esther Cruz Bob C Bob C for Coastal Physical Oceanogr. Stanford University ITMAR Guaymas CECARENA Rutgers , Earth and Atmos. Sci. Dept. Guaymas University ominion University New Brunswick lk, Virginia N.J.

Post on 20-Dec-2015

218 views

Category:

Documents


1 download

TRANSCRIPT

Multiple States in Coastal Lagoons and Estuaries

Next Steps Toward Understanding the Lagoons of the Yaqui ValleyNext Steps Toward Understanding the Lagoons of the Yaqui Valley

Arnoldo Valle-LevinsonArnoldo Valle-Levinson S. MonismithS. Monismith Juan DelgadoJuan Delgado Esther CruzEsther Cruz Bob ChantBob ChantCtr. for Coastal Physical Oceanogr. Stanford University ITMAR Guaymas CECARENA RutgersOcean, Earth and Atmos. Sci. Dept. Guaymas UniversityOld Dominion University New BrunswickNorfolk, Virginia N.J.

(From Hearn and Sidhu, 2003)

When and how does the system switch?

Depends on density contrast

Inverse Estuary

Classical EstuaryLooking into the lagoon

Red = outflow

Blue = inflow

Guaymas Bay

OUT

OUTOUT

IN

IN

Mean Flow at Transect 4

red is inflow; blue is outflow (looking seaward)

NeapTides

Interface slope, spring tides ~ 2.5e-03 (25 m in 10 km)

Interface slope, neap tides ~ 2.0e-03 (18 m in 9 km)

Distance from Transect Origin (km)

WetSeason:Classical

DrySeason:Inverse

Importance:

Water and Soil(?) Quality

Climate Variability

OUT

OUT

IN

IN

The Global Heat and Salt Conveyor Belt

(From Broecker,1990; in Pinet, 1998)

Conservation of Salt and Heat

Relative influence of salinity and temperature on density gradients

Q

Freshwater

Precipitation

Outflow

Inflow

Se, Te

So, To

Heating

CLASSICAL

Q

Freshwater

Evaporation

Outflow

Inflow

Se, Te

So, To

Cooling

INVERSE

Relative influence of salinity and temperature on density gradients

Salinity influence

Temperature influence

Net influence

Q

In reality: kQ

Salinity influence

Temperature influence

Net influence

Q

T mode

S mode

Multiple states --- Stommel Transitions

Response dominated by salinity Response dominated by temperature

Salinity influence

Temperature influence

Net influence

Q

Critical response for multiple states

qQ 10

WDgQ 23

41

LWDg

Q

12

4

Guess for Tobari and Lobos

(Indicates Evaporation)(From Hearn and Sidhu, 2003)

(Indicates Evaporation)(From Hearn and Sidhu, 2003)

(From Hearn and Sidhu, 2003)

(From Hearn and Sidhu, 2003)

(Indicates Evaporation)

L = 15 km

L = 0.85*15 km

(From Hearn and Sidhu, 2003)

Shortening basin may prevent it from becoming INVERSE

(From Hearn and Sidhu, 2003)

Tobari’s causeway

Do Yaqui Valley lagoons/estuaries show ‘Stommel Transitions’?

Implications for water and soil quality…

Does causeway prevent INVERSE conditions?

What is the time scale of the Transitions?

Natural laboratory to examine climate variations

Are the systems in the Yaqui Valley more VULNERABLE to drought?