mr roelof horne - emerging capital markets in africa
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Africa Portfolio Manager at Investec Assets Management, Mr. Roelof HorneTRANSCRIPT
Emerging Capital Markets in AfricaRoelof Horne, Portfolio Manager Africa
Investec Asset Management
Oslo, September 2011
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Investec Asset Management: A global specialist asset manager
As at 31 March 2011*Permanent employees
Investec Asset Management● Founded in 1991 in Cape Town by current
leadership● Origins are African – presence and
perspective is global ● Investment hubs in London & Cape Town● US$94.3 billion in assets under
management● $38bn investments in Africa, 400 African
employees
Investec Asset Management Offices
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Which enables our dedicated teams to optimise opportunity
● A substantial, experienced and diverse team of high quality:
− Substantial: 66 Investment Professionals focused on Africa
− Experienced: Collective investment experience of 700+ years (over half of which at IAM 390)
− Diverse: 14 nationalities, 11 languages, 6 locations
● Lasting relationships and high quality networks can only be built over time, and in person
− We travel often to engage with owners & managers of businesses, as well as other stakeholders (i.e. government officials)
● We evaluate investment opportunities by triangulating between
− Proprietary and Fundamental Research
− Internal or External Sector Specialists
− Internal or External Political or Macro Specialists
− Other relationships
Specialist Co Investment
Pan Africa Public Equity
Special Situations
Pan Africa Private Equity
South Africa & Global Fixed
Income
Pan Africa Credit
Resource & Commodities
Africa & EM
Sovereign Debt
South Africa & Global Public
Equity
MENA
AME Equity
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There are Stock Exchanges from Cape to Cairo
Swaziland
Namibia BotswanaZimbabwe
Zambia
MauritiusTanzania
KenyaUganda
Nigeria
Ghana Cameroon
Cape Verde
Morocco TunisiaEgypt
Sudan
BVMAC planned for Gabon
Angola stock exchange proposedAlgeria re-vamping its bourse
Benin
Burkina Faso
Guinea Bissau
Cote D’Ivoire
Mali
Niger
Senegal
Togo
BRVM
Malawi
Rwanda
Moçambique
Libya
Source: Bloomberg and African Alliance Securities Research, 30 June 2011. Market Cap has been rounded to the nearest $1bn
Number of companies
Market Capitalisation (US$ Billion)
Date established
Botswana 21 4 1989
BRVM 38 6 1998
Cameroon 2 – 2003
Cape Verde 4 – 2005
Egypt 278 70 1888
Ghana 30 3 1991
Kenya 55 12 1954
Malawi 14 2 1996
Mauritius 87 9 1989
Morocco 73 67 1929
Namibia 7 1 1992
Nigeria 208 51 1960
South Africa 389 515 1887
Swaziland 5 0.2 1999
Tanzania 12 1 1998
Tunisia 57 9 1969
Uganda 7 1 1998
Zambia 29 2 1994
Zimbabwe 86 4 1974
Total 1,402 766
South Africa
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Opportunities often arise from the structural characteristics of frontier markets
● We believe African markets are:− underpenetrated with less competition− under leveraged (on country, company and consumer level)− have a fast growing demand for goods and services
● There are high barriers to entry for operators (for the time being)− limited competition among many leading corporate suppliers− yielding both pricing power and volume growth− thus potential for faster than average profit growth and high return on equity
● And also high barriers to entry for investors (for the time being)− Information− Travel− Accommodation− Visas
Macro Economic Growth
Microeconomic Environment
Stock Market Characteristics
Our Investment Approach Returns+ + + =
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