monetary economics 2008 - ceuweb.ceu.hu/crc/syllabi/07-08/economics/monetary economics.pdf ·...
TRANSCRIPT
Monetary Economics 2008
1. Course: Monetary Economics
2. Lecturer: Max Gillman
3. 2 Credits (4 ECTS)
4. Winter Semester
5. Requirements: sufficient level of knowledge in Macroeconomics
6. Course Level: MA/PhD
7. Introduction:
The course develops the field of Monetary Economics in terms of elemental theory. It
is an introduction to graduate monetary economics and goes to the frontier on a few
selected topics relating to inflation theory. Its main emphasis is the analytic
development of the main general equilibrium models that are used for monetary
economics. It used a consistent dynamic methodology throughout. This approach is
extended to cover Monetary Policy as well, although this is just an introduction to the
broad topic of central bank policy models. This course compliments the
Macroeconomic stream and is essential for the field of Monetary Economics.
8. Goals:
The object is to teach the students how to include money in the general equilibrium
analysis, show why this might be important, and to acquaint the student with many of
the central issues in the field. A focus on money within endogenous growth and
business cycles is also made, to build foundations for frontier neoclassical growth and
business cycle analysis issues with money.
9. Learning Outcome:
The object of the learning experience is that students will know how to construct and
analyze general equilibrium models with money. Emphasis is on learning the intuition
of how the inflation tax distorts the margins and affects the economy.
10. Contents:
Week 1: Elements of Monetary Economics, Policy, and Partial Equilibrium Models
of Monetary Economics. Readings: see course outline.
Week 2: General Equilibrium Models: Overlapping Generations, Money in the Utility
Function, Cash-in-Advance, Shopping Time, and Search. Readings: see course
outline.
Week 3: Banking Time Models; Money, Credit and Banking Models; Money
Demand and Velocity. Readings: see course outline.
Week 4: Endogenous Growth with Inflation Tax, Monetary Business Cycles, and
Central Bank Policy Models: endogenous Taylor Conditions. Readings: see course
outline.
11. Assessment:
Grades are given according to completed homework assignments (40%) and a final
exam (60%).
Course attendance is mandatory, and good attendance will be taken into account for
course grades on the margin. Homework will be weekly and will count for 40% of the
grade with the exam counting for 60%. Homework will be graded as satisfactory
(check), unsatisfactory (check minus), and excellent (check plus).
Detailed Syllabus
1 Elements of Monetary Economics
Fisher Equation
Quantity Theory of Money
Optimum Quantity of Money
Euler Equation of growth
2 Policy
Rules versus Discretion
Taylor Interest Rate Rule
Friedman versus Keynes_McCallum Money Supply Rules
3 Partial versus General EquilibriumMonetaryModels: a Review
3.1 Partial Equilibrium
Money Demand
Constant Interest Elasticity
Constant Semi-Interest Elasticity
Baumol-Tobin Model of Transactions Demand
Welfare Cost of Inflation
Cagan (1956), Marcet and Nicolini (2003), Mark and Sul (2003).Friedman (1956),
Cagan (1956), Baumol (1952), Tobin (1956), Friedman (1959), Marty (1967), Marty
(1999), Friedman (1969).
3.2 Overlapping Generations
Samuelson (1958), Lucas (1972), Wallace (1980), Lucas (1996).
3.3 Money in the Utility Function
Samuelson (1947), Sidrauski (1967), Eckstein and Leiderman (1992), Lucas (2000),
Walsh (2003) Chapter 2.
3.4 Cash-in-Advance
Hicks (1935), Lucas (1980), Lucas (1988), Walsh (2003) Chapter 3.
Cash-Credit
Lucas and Stokey (1983), Lucas and Stokey (1987), Englund and Svensson (1988).
3.5 Shopping Time
Dotsey and Ireland (1996), Lucas (2000),Walsh (2003), Chapter 3, Ljungqvist and
Sargent (2000) 17:493-500, Gavin and Kydland (2004).
3.6 Banking Time
Hicks (1935), Baltensperger (1980), Clarke (1984).
3.7 Search Model
Waller, Christopher (2003) "Comment on "Search, Money, and Capital: A
Neoclassical Dichotomy" "Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking, Volume 35,
Number 6 (Part 2), December, pp. 1111-1117.
Aruoba, Waller and Wright (2005) Money and Capital, working paper.
4 General Equilibrium Cash-in-Advance Economies
4.1 What Exactly Does Cash-in-Advance Mean?
Lucas (1980).
4.2 Money Demand and Credit Substitutes: Continuum Model
Gillman (1993), Einarsson and Marquis (1994), Ireland (1994), King and Wolman
(2002),
Erosa, Andres & Ventura, Gustavo, 2002. "On inflation as a regressive consumption
tax," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(4), pages 761-795.
4.2.1 Welface Cost of Inflation
Gillman (1993), Gillman (1995).
4.2.2 Interest Elasticity
Gillman (1993)
4.2.3 Optimal Money Supply
?
4.2.4 Optimal Credit Policy
Gillman (2000)
5 Money and Credit in the standard Growth and Business Model
5.1 Money Demand and Velocity
Fisher (1911), Gillman, Siklos, and Silver (1997),
Jovanovic (1982), Eckstein and Leiderman (1992), Ireland (1995), Chari, Christiano,
and Eichenbaum (1995), , Bental and Eckstein (1997).
5.1.1 Developed Countries
Gillman and Otto (2002), Gillman and Kejak (2004)
5.1.2 Transition Countries
Gillman and Nakov (2004)
5.2 Tobin Effect
Sidrauski (1967), Tobin (1956), Tobin (1965), Stockman (1981), Ireland (1994),
Ahmed and Rogers (2000), Gillman and Kejak (2005b), Gillman and Nakov (2003b).
5.3 Endogenous Growth
Temple (2000), Gomme (1993), Ireland (1994), Chari, Jones, and Manuelli (1996),
Haslag (1998), Gillman and Kejak (2005a), Gillman and Kejak (2005b),
5.4 Business Cycles
Rose (1969), Cooley (1995), Cooley and Hansen (1998), Gavin and Kydland (1999),
Berger, Kyle, and Scalise (2003), Tallman and Bharucha (2000), Benk, Gillman, and
Kejak (2005b), Benk, Gillman, and Kejak (2005a).
5.5 Decentralized Intermediation
5.5.1 Money and Interest Bearing Demand Deposits
5.5.2 Financial Development
Parente, Rogerson, and Wright (1999), Parente, Rogerson, and Wright (2000), King
and Levine (1993), Levine (1997), Levine, Loayza, and Beck (2000), Boyd, Levine,
and Smith (2001), ?.
Developed vs Less Developed Countries Gillman, Harris, and Matyas (2004)
Interaction with In.ation Gillman and Harris (2004a)
Transition Countries Dawson (2003), Gillman and Harris (2004b).
5.6 Liquidity E¤ect
Alvarez, Lucas, Webber (2001), Li (2000), Einarsson and Marquis (2000).
5.7 Nominal Asset Pricing
5.7.1 Theory of the Aggregate Price Level
Gillman (2002), McCallum (2001a), Kocherlakota and Phelen (1999), Walsh
(2003)4:164-171 and 10: 474-480, Canzoneri, Cumby, and Diba (2001), Canzoneri
and Diba (2005),
Ljungqvist and Sargent (2000): 506-507, Schabert (2003b), ?, Cochrane (2003).
5.7.2 Oil, Gold and Reserves
Gillman and Nakov (2004).
6 Central Bank Policy Models
Bullard, James & Waller, Christopher J, 2004. " Central Bank Design in General
Equilibrium," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Ohio State University Press,
vol. 36(1), pages 95-113.
Svensson (2003), Tsiang (1969), ?, McCallum (2001b), Bernanke and Mishkin (1997),
Alvarez, Lucas, and Weber (2001), Schabert and Bruckner (2002), Schabert (2003a),
Schabert (2003b), Chowdhury and Schabert (2003), Linnemann and Schabert (2003),
Siklos and Abel (2001).
6.1 Second-Best Ramsey Theory of Optimal In.ation
Braun (1994), Lucas (2000), Ljungqvist and Sargent (2000): 510-514, Walsh (2003)4:
172-191, Burnell and Kim (2003), Alvarez, Kehoe, and Neumeyer (2002), Gillman
and Yerokhin (2003).
A Homework and Exam
A.1 Weekly Sets: 40%
A.2 Final Exam: 60%
The exam will be based on the lectures.
B Outstanding Facts and Evidence
B.1 Historical
B.1.1 Correlation/Causality: Money To Prices, To Income?
Fisher (1911, 1913), Cagan (1956), Schwartz, Secular Price Changes in Historical
Perspective (1973, JMCB),
Schwartz, Anna J. Money in Historical Perspective.Fischer, Sahay, and Végh (2002),
Fisher (1933), "Money and Business Cycles" with AJ Schwartz, 1963, REStat.
B.1.2 Commodity Bases for Fiat Money
McCallum (1987), Chapter 15 .Episodes in US Monetary History., Rolnick and
Weber (1997).
B.2 Modern Methods
B.2.1 VARS
Walsh (2003) Chapter 1, Cochrane (1998), Cochrane and Piszzesi (2002), Kraft
(2003),
Ross (1998), Bernanke, Boivin, and Eliasz (2004)
B.2.2 Unit Roots and Granger Causality
Crowder (1998), Crowder, Hoffman, and Rasche (1999), Crowder and Wohar (????),
B.2.3 Structural Breaks
Perron (1989), Culver and Papell (1997), Benati and Kapetanios (2002), Caporale and
Gil-Ilana (2003)
B.3 Banking Shocks, and Depressions
Fisher (1933), Friedman and Schwartz (1963), Ghosh and Ghosh (1999), Calomiris
and Mason (2003b), Calomiris and Mason (2003a), Kehoe and Prescott (2002),
Hopenhayn and Neumeyer (2002), Uhlig (2003), Chari, Kehoe, and McGrattan
(2003).
B.4 In.ation, Tobin and Growth E¤ects
Ahmed and Rogers (2000), Gillman and Nakov (2003b), Rapach (2003), Rapach and
Wohar (2004), Judson and Orphanides (1996), Ghosh and Phillips (1998), Temple
(2000),
Gylfason and Herbertsson (2001), Barro (2001), Khan and Senhadji (2001) and
Gillman,
Harris, and Matyas (2004), Gillman and Nakov (2004), Gillman and Wallace (2003).
B.5 Money and Business Cycles, In.ation and Unemployment
Haldane and Quah (1999), Ireland (1999), Romer (2000), Ball and Mankiw (2002),
Shadman-Mehta (2001), Ljungqvist and Sargent (2002), Cooley and Hansen (1989,
1995, 1998).
B.6 Money and Nominal Commodity Prices
Hamilton (1983), Perron (1989), Hooker (1999), Hooker (2002), Jones, Leiby, and
Paik (2002), Gillman and Nakov (2003a)
References
Ahmed, S., and J. H. Rogers (2000): .In.ation and the Great Ratios: Long Term
Evidence from the US,.Journal of Monetary Economics, 45(1), 3.36.
Alvarez, A., R. E. Lucas, and W. E. Weber (2001): .Interest Rates and In.ation,.
American Economic Review, 91(2), 219.225.
Alvarez, F., P. Kehoe, and P. Neumeyer (2002): .The Time Consistency of Mon-
etary and Fiscal Policies,.Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Research Department
Working Paper 616, (616).
Ball, L., and G. Mankiw (2002): .The NAIRU in Theory and Practice,.Journal of
Economic Perspectives, 16(4), 115.136.
Barro, R. (2001): .Human Capital and Growth,.American Economic Review, pp. 1.7.
Baumol, W. (1952): .The Transactions Demand for Cash: An Inventory -Theoretic
Approach,.Quarterly Journal of Economics, 66, 545.566.
Benati, L., and G. Kapetanios (2002): .Structural Breaks in In.ation Dynamics,.
Bank of England manuscript.
Benk, S., M. Gillman, and M. Kejak (2005a): .A Comparison of Exchange
Economies Within a Monetary Business Cycle,.The Manchester School, 73(4), 542.
562.
(2005b): .Credit Shocks in the Financial Deregulatory Era: Not the Usual
Suspects,.Review of Economic Dynamics, 8(3), 668.687.
Bental, B., and Z. Eckstein (1997): .On The Fit of a Neoclassical Monetary Model
in High In.ation: Israel 1972-1990,.Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 29(4, Part
2), 725.752.
Berger, A., M. Kyle, and J. Scalise (2003): Prudential Supervision: What Works
and What Doesntchap. Did US Bank Supervisors Get Tougher During the Credit
Crunch, Easier During the Banking Boom, and Did It Matter to Bank Lending. Uni-
versity of Chicago Press.
Bernanke, B., J. Boivin, and P. Eliasz (2004): .Measuring the E¤ects of Mone-
tary Policy: A Factor-Augmented Vector Autoregressive (FAVAR)
Approach,.Federal Reserve Board Finance and Economics Discussion Series, (3).
Bernanke, B., and F. Mishkin (1997): .In.ation Targeting: A New Framework for
Monetary Policy,.Journal of Economic Perspectives, 11(2), 97.116.
Boyd, J. H., R. Levine, and B. D. Smith (2001): .The Impact of In.ation on Finan-
cial Sector Performance,.Journal of Monetary Economics, 47(2), 221.249.
Braun, R. A. (1994): .How Large is the Optimal In.ation Tax?,.Journal of Monetary
Economics, 34(2), 201.214.
Burnell, S., and Y. Kim (2003): .Money, Tax Evasion and the Optimal In.ation Rate,.
Paper presented at the 2003 North American Summer Meetings of the Econometic
Society.
Cagan, P. (1956): .The Monetary Dynamics of Hyperin.ation,.in Studies in the Quan-
tity Theory of Money, ed. byM. Friedman, pp. 25.120. The University of Chicago
Press, Chicago.
Calomiris, C., and J. Mason (2003a): .Consequences of Bank Distress During the
Great Depression,.Americal Economic Review, 93(3), 937.947.
(2003b): .Fundamentals, Panics, and Bank Distress During the Depression,.
Americal Economic Review, 93(5), 1615.1677.
Canzoneri, M., R. Cumby, and B. Diba (2001): .Is the Price Level Determined by
the Needs of Fiscal Solvency?,.American Economic Review.
Canzoneri, M., and B. Diba (2005): .Interest Rate Rules and Price Determinacy:
The Role of Transactions Services of Bonds,.Journal of Monetary Economics, 52(2),
329.344.
Caporale, G., and L. Gil-Ilana (2003): .Long Memory and Structural Breaks in
Hyperin.ation Countries,.Journal of Economics and Finance, 27(2), 136.52.
Chari, V., L. Christiano, and M. Eichenbaum (1995): .Inside Money, Outside
Money, and Short Term Interest Rates,.Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking, 27(4,
Part 2), 1354.1386.
Chari, V., L. E. Jones, and R. E. Manuelli (1996): .Inflation, Growth, and Finan-
cial Intermediation,.Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, 78(3).
Chari, V., P. Kehoe, and E. McGrattan (2003): .Business Cycle Accounting,.
Working Paper 625, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, Minneapolis.
Chowdhury, I., and A. Schabert (2003): .Assessing Money Supply Rules,.Working
Paper 2003/9, Department of Economics, University of Glasgow.
Cochrane, J. (1998): .What Do the VARs Mean?: Measuring the Output Effects of
Monetary Policy,.Journal of Monetary Economics, 41(2), 277.300.
(2003): .Fiscal Foundations of Monetary Regimes, Manuscript, University of
Chicago.
Cochrane, J., and M. Piszzesi (2002): .The Fed and Interest Rates. A High-Frequency
Identifcation,. American Economic Review, 92(2), 90.95, Conference Proceedings.
Cooley, T., and G. Hansen (1998): .The Role of Monetary Shocks in Equilibrium
Business Cycle Theory: Three Examples,.European Economic Review, 42, 605.617.
Cooley, T. F. (ed.) (1995): Frontiers in The Business Cycle Research. Princeton
University Press, Princeton, New Jersey, 1 edt.
Crowder, W., D. Hoffman, and R. Rasche (1999): .Identification, Long-Run Re-
lations, and Fundamental Innovations in a Simple Cointegrated System,. Review of
Economics and Statistics, 81(1).
Crowder, W., and M. Wohar (????): .A Cointegrated Structural VAR Model of the
Canadian Economy,.Applied Economics ., Forthcoming.
Crowder, W. J. (1998): .The Long-Run Link Between Money Growth and Inflation,.
Economic Inquiry, 36(2), 229.43.
Culver, S., and D. Papell (1997): .Is There a Unit Root in Inflation Rate? Evidence
from Sequential Break and Panel Data Analysis,. Journal of Applied Econometrics,
12(4), 435.444.
Dawson, P. J. (2003): .Financial Development and Growth in Economies in
Transition,. Applied Economic Letters, 10, 833.836.
Dotsey, M., and P. N. Ireland (1996): .In.ation in General Equilibrium,.Journal
of Monetary Economics, 37(1), 29.47.
Eckstein, Z., and L. Leiderman (1992): .Seigniorage and the welfare cost of in.a-
tion: Evidence from an intertemporal model of money and consumption,.Journal of
Monetary Economics, 29(3), 389.410.
Einarsson, T., and M. H. Marquis (2000): .Liquidity Effects and Financial Inter-
mediation in a Model with a Frictionless Bond Market,.Federal Reserve Bank of San
Francisco Working Paper 00-08.
Fischer, S., R. Sahay, and C. Végh (2002): .Modern Hyper- and High Inflations,.
Journal of Economic Literature, 40(3), 837 .880.
Friedman, M. (1956): Studies in the Quantity Theory of Moneychap. The Quantity
Theory - A Restatement. University of Chicago Press, Chicago.
(1959): .The Demand for Money: Some Theoretical and Empirical Results,.
Journal of Political Economy, 67, 327.351.
Friedman, M. (1969): The Optimum Quantity of Money and Other Essays pp. 1.50.
Chicago: Aldine.
Friedman, M., and A. J. Schwartz (1963): A Monetary History of the United States,
1867-1960. Princeton University Press, Princeton, NJ.
Gavin, W., and F. Kydland (1999): .Endogenous Money Supply and the Business
Cycle,.Review of Economic Dynamics, 2, 347.369.
Ghosh, A., and S. Phillips (1998): .In.ation, Disin.ation and Growth,.IMFWorking
Paper WP/98/68.
Ghosh, S., and A. Ghosh (1999): .East Asia in the Aftermath: Was There a Credit
Crunch?,.International Monetary Fund Working Paper WP/99/38.
Gillman, M. (1993): .Welfare Cost of In.ation in a Cash-in-Advance Economy with
Costly Credit,.Journal of Monetary Economics, 31, 22.42.
Gillman, M. (1995): .A Comparison of Partial and General Equilibrium Estimates of
the Welfare Cost of Inflation,.Contemporary Economic Policy, 13(4), 60.71.
Gillman, M. (2000): .On the Optimality of Restricting Credit: Inflation-Avoidance
and Productivity,.Japanese Economic Review, 51(3), 375.390.
(2002): .Keynes.s Treatise: Aggregate Price Theory for Modern Analysis,.
European Journal of the History of Economic Thought, 9(3), 430.451.
Gillman, M., M. Harris, and L. Matyas (2004): .Inflation and Growth: Explaining
a Negative E¤ect,.Empirical Economics, 29(1), 149.167, Reprinted in Baltagi, Badi H
(Ed), 2004, Studies in Empirical Economics, "Panel Data: Theory and Applications",
Physica-Verlag.
Gillman, M., and M. N. Harris (2004a): .Inflation, Financial Development and
Endogenous Growth,.Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers
24/04, Monash University, Melbourne.
Gillman, M., and M. N. Harris (2004b): .Inflation, Financial Development and
Growth in Transition Countries,.Working Paper 23/04, Monash University Depart-
ment of Econometrics and Business Statistics, Melbourne.
Gillman, M., and M. Kejak (2004): .The Demand for Bank Reserves and Other
Monetary Aggregates,.Economic Inquiry, 42(3), 518.533.
(2005a): .Contrasting Models of the Effect of Inflation on Growth, Journal of
Economic Surveys, 19(1), 113.136.
(2005b): .In.ation and Balanced-Path Growth with Alternative Payment Mech-
anisms,.Economic Journal, 115(500), 247.270.
Gillman, M., and A. Nakov (2003a): .Granger Causality of Nominal Oil and Gold
Prices,.Working Paper, Central European University.
Gillman, M., and A. Nakov (2003b): .A Revised Tobin Effect from Inflation: Relative
Input Price and Capital Ratio Realignments, US and UK, 1959-1999,. Economica,
70(279), 439.450.
(2004): .Causality of the In.ation-Growth Mirror in Accession Countries,.Eco-
nomics of Transition, 12(4), Forthcoming.
Gillman, M., and G. Otto (2002): .Money Demand: Cash-in-Advance Meets Shop-
ping Time,. Department of Economics Working Paper WP03/02, Central European
University, Budapest.
Gillman, M., P. Siklos, and J. L. Silver (1997): .Money Velocity with Costly
Credit,.Journal of Economic Research, 2, 179.207.
Gillman, M., and M. Wallace (2003): .Growth and In.ation in a Baltic Sea Transi-
tion Economy: The Case of Latvia,.Manuscript.
Gillman, M., and O. Yerokhin (2003): .Ramsey-Friedman Optimality Within a
Banking Time Economy,.Manuscript, Central European University.
Gomme, P. (1993): .Money and Growth: Revisited,.Journal of Monetary Economics,
32, 51.77.
Gylfason, T., and T. Herbertsson (2001): .Does Inflation Matter for Growth?,.
Japan and the World Economy, 13(4), 405.428.
Haldane, A., and D. Quah (1999): .UK Phillips Curves and Monetary Policy,.Journal
of Monetary Economics, 44(1), 259.278.
Hamilton, J. D. (1983): .Oil and the Macroeconomy Since World War II,. Journal of
Political Economy, 91(2), 228.248.
Haslag, J. H. (1998): .Monetary Policy, Banking, and Growth,.Economic Inquiry, 36,
489.500.
Hicks, J. (1935): .A Suggestion for Simplifying the Theory of Money,.Economica,
2(5),1.19.
Hooker, M. (1999): .Oil and the Macroeconomy Revisited,.The Federal Reserve
Board Finance and Economics Discussion Series 1999-43.
Hooker, M. A. (2002): .Are Oil Shocks Inflationary? Asymmetric and Nonlinear
Specifications versus Changes in Regimes,.Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking,
34(2), 540.561.
Hopenhayn, H., and P. Neumeyer (2002): .The Argentine Great Depression 1975-
1990,.Department of Economics Working Paper 26, Universidad Torcuato Di Tella,
University of Rochester.
Ireland, P. (1994): .Money and Growth: An Alternative Approach,.American Eco-
nomic Review, 55, 1.14.
(1995): .Endogenous Financial Innovation and the Demand for Money,.Journal
of Money, Credit and Banking, 27(1), 107.123.
Ireland, P. (1999): .Does the Time-Consistency Problem Explain the Behavior of
In.ation in the United States?,.Journal of Monetary Economics, 44(2), 279.291.
Jones, D., P. Leiby, and I. Paik (2002): .Oil Price Shocks and the Macroeconomy:
What Has Been Learned Since 1996,.Manuscript, Oak Ridge National Laboritory.
Jovanovic, B. (1982): .In.ation and Welfare in the Steady State,.Journal of Political
Economy, 90(3), 561.577.
Judson, R., and A. Orphanides (1996): .In.ation, Volatility and Growth,.Board of
Governors of the Federal Reserve System Finance and Economics Discussion Series,
96(19).
Kehoe, T. J., and E. C. Prescott (2002): .Great Depressions of the Twentieth
Century,.Review of Economic Dynamics, 5(1), 1.18.
Khan, S., and A. Senhadji (2001): .Threshold Effects in the Relationship Between
Inflation and Growth,.IMF Staff Papers 48(1).
King, R., and R. Levine (1993): .Finance and Growth: Schumpter Might Be Right,.
Quarterly Journal of Economics, pp. 717.737.
Kocherlakota, N., and C. Phelen (1999): .Explaining the Fiscal Theory of the
Price Level,.Quarterly Review, 23(4), 2.10, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
Kraft, E. (2003): .What Can Monetary Policy Do? The Role of Monetary Policy in
Economic Development in Croatia,. Fifth International Conference on Enterprise in
Transition, Croatian National Bank.
Levine, R. (1997): .Financial Development and Economic Growth: Views and Agen-
das,.Journal of Economic Literature, 35(2), 688.726.
Levine, R., N. Loayza, and T. Beck (2000): .Financial Intermediation and Growth,.
Journal of Monetary Economics, 46, 31.77.
Li, V. (2000): .Household Credit and the Monetary Transmission Mechanism,.Journal
of Money, Credit and Banking, 32(3), 335.356.
Linnemann, L., and A. Schabert (2003): .On the Validity of the Taylor Principle in
Open Economies with Ludger Linnemann,.Manuscript, University of Cologne.
Ljungqvist, L., and T. Sargent (2000): Recursive Macroeconomic Theory. The MIT
Press, Cambridge, Mass.
Ljungqvist, L., and T. Sargent (2002): .The European Employment Experience,.
CEPR Discussion Paper, (3543), Stockholm School of Economics.
Lucas, Jr., R. E. (1972): .Expectations and the Neutrality of Money,. Journal of
Economic Theory, 4, 103.124.
(1980): .Equilibrium in a Pure Currency Economy,. Economic Inquiry, 43,
203.220.
(1988): .Money Demand in the United States: A Quantitative Review,.
Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series, 29, 169.172.
(1996): .Nobel Lecture: Monetary Neutrality,.Journal of Political Economy,
104(4), 661.82.
(2000): .Inflation and Welfare,.Econometrica, 68(2), 247.275.
14
Lucas, Jr., R. E., and N. L. Stokey (1983): .Optimal Fiscal and Monetary Policy
in an Economy Without Capital,.Journal of Monetary Economics, 12, 55.93.
Lucas, Jr., R. E., and N. L. Stokey (1987): .Money and Interest in a Cash-in-
Advance Economy,.Econometrica, 55, 491.513.
Marcet, A., and J. Nicolini (2003): .Recurrent Hyperinflation and Learning,.Amer-
ican Economic Review, 93(5), 1476.1498.
Mark, N. C., and D. Sul (2003): .Cointegration Vector Estimation by Panel DOLS
and Long Run Money Demand,.Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 65(5),
655.680.
Marty, A. (1967): .Growth and the Welfare Cost of Inflationary Finance,.Journal of
Political Economy, 75(1), 71.76.
Marty, A. L. (1999): .The Welfare Cost of Inflation: A Critique of Bailey and Lucas,.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, 81(1), 41.46.
McCallum, B. (1987): Monetary Economics: Theory and Policy. London:Collier
Macmillan.
McCallum, B. T. (2001a): .Indeterminacy, Bubbles, and the Fiscal Theory of Price
Level Determination,.Journal of Monetary Economics, 47(1), 19.30.
(2001b): .Should Monetary Policy Respond Strongly to Output Gaps?,.Man-
uscript, Carnegie Mellon University.
Parente, S., R. Rogerson, and R. Wright (1999): .Homework in Development
Economics,.Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland Economic Review, 35(3), 21.35.
(2000): .Homework in Development Economics: Household Production and the
Wealth of Nations,.Journal of Political Economy, 108(4), 680.687.
Perron, P. (1989): .The Great Crash, the Oil Price Shock, and the Unit Root Hypoth-
esis,.Econometrica, 57, 1361.1401.
Rapach, D. (2003): .International Evidence on the Long-Run Impact of In.ation,.
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 35(1), 23.48.
Rapach, D., and M. Wohar (2004): .Regime Changes in International Real Interest
Rates: Are They a Monetary Phenomenon?,.Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking,
Forthcoming.
Rolnick, A., and W. Weber (1997): .Money, In.ation, and Output under Fiat and
Commodity Standards,.Journal of Political Economy, 105(6), 1308.21.
Romer, D. (2000): .Keynesian Macroeconomics Without the LM Curve,. Journal of
Economic Perspectives, 14(2), 149.170.
Rose, H. (1969): .Real and Monetary Factors in the Business Cycle,.Journal of
Money,
Credit and Banking, 1(2), 138.152, Conference on Money and Economic Growth.
Ross, K. (1998): .Post Stabilization In.ation Dynamics in Slovenia,. IMF Working
Paper WP/98/27, International Monetary Fund.
Samuelson, P. A. (1947): Foundations of Economic Analysis. Harvard University
Press, Cambridge.
Schabert, A. (2003a): .On the Equivalence of Money Growth and Interest Rate
Policy,. Working Paper 2003/6, Department of Economics, University of Glasgow.
(2003b): .On the Relevance of Open Market Operations,.HWWA Discussion
Paper 257.
Schabert, A., and M. Bruckner (2002): .Can Money Matter for Interest Rate Pol-
icy?,.ZEI Working Paper B15, Center for European Integration Studies.
Shadman-Mehta, F. (2001): .A Re-Evaluation Between Wages and Unemployment in
the United Kingdom,.Economica, 68(272), 567.606.
Sidrauski, M. (1967): .Inflation and Economic Growth,.Journal of Political Economy,
75, 796.810.
Siklos, P., and I. Abel (2001): .Is Hungary Ready for Inflation Rate Targeting?,.
Manuscript, Wilfred Laurier University.
Stockman, A. (1981): .Anticipated In.ation and the Capital Stock in a Cash-in-
Advance Economy,.Journal of Monetary Economics, 8(3), 387.393.
Svensson, L. (2003): .Escaping from a Liquidity Trap and Deflation: The Foolproof
Way and Others,.Journal of Economic Perspective, 17(4), 145.166.
Tallman, E., and N. Bharucha (2000): .Credit Crunch or What? Australian Banks
During the 1986-1993 Credit Cycle,.Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta Economic
Review.
Temple, J. (2000): .In.ation and Growth: Stories Short and Tall,.Journal of Economic
Surveys, 14(4), 395.426.
Tobin, J. (1956): .The Interest Elasticity of Transactions Demand for Cash,.Review of
Economics and Statistics, 38, 241.47.
Tobin, J. (1965): .Money and Economic Growth,.Econometrica, 33(4, part 2),
671.684.
Tsiang, S. (1969): .A Critical Note on the Optimum Supply of Money,. Journal
of Money, Credit and Banking, 1(2), 266.280, Conference on Money and Economic
Growth.
Uhlig, H. (2003): .What Moves Real GDP?,.Manuscript, Humboldt.
Walsh, C. (2003): Monetary Theory and Policy. MIT Press, Cambridge, Mass.,
second edn.