mobility first: a competitive transportation strategy for northern virginia
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Mobility First: A Competitive Transportation Strategy for Northern Virginia. Samuel R. Staley, Ph.D. Director, Urban and Land Use Policy, Reason Foundation (e) [email protected] - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
Mobility First: Mobility First: A Competitive A Competitive Transportation Transportation Strategy for Strategy for Northern VirginiaNorthern Virginia
Samuel R. Staley, Ph.D.Samuel R. Staley, Ph.D.Director, Urban and Land Use Policy, Director, Urban and Land Use Policy, Reason FoundationReason Foundation(e) (e) [email protected] at “Partnerships in Transit” Presentation at “Partnerships in Transit” workshop, sponsored by the FTA and workshop, sponsored by the FTA and NCPPP, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, 18 NCPPP, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, 18 September 2008.September 2008.
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Congestion in Congestion in the the
Washington, Washington, DC region will DC region will exceed levels exceed levels in today’s LA in today’s LA
by 2030by 2030
(Note: $4 gas prices (Note: $4 gas prices won’t change the long-won’t change the long-
term trend)term trend)
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Why congestion is a problemWhy congestion is a problem
American Businesses
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How Do We Expand the How Do We Expand the Opportunity Circle?Opportunity Circle?
1. Manage the system more efficiently
• Traffic signal optimization• Road pricing
2. Build more capacity3. Redesign the transportation
network
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Today’s Travel Is ComplexToday’s Travel Is Complex
Trip typeTrip type Share (2000)Share (2000)
Family & personal Family & personal businessbusiness
22.5%22.5%
ShoppingShopping 19.8%19.8%
To & from workTo & from work 14.9%14.9%
All otherAll other 42.8%42.8%
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Most regional urban transportation Most regional urban transportation networks are not designed for networks are not designed for
current travel behaviorcurrent travel behavior Capacity has not Capacity has not
kept pace with kept pace with VMTVMT
Arterial network Arterial network is among the least is among the least well developedwell developed
““Hub and spoke” Hub and spoke” system doesn’t system doesn’t recognize recognize complexity of complexity of modern travel modern travel patternspatterns
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We need to consider a new kind of We need to consider a new kind of transportation network transportation network
A “spiderweb” A “spiderweb” approach to approach to designdesign
More More connections connections through local through local roads and roads and arterialsarterials
Fewer major Fewer major “trunk” roads“trunk” roads
More balanced More balanced road networkroad network
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Does building capacity work?Does building capacity work?
Building Roads Cuts CongestionNew Freeway Capacity and Congestion Delays in Houston
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
Free
way
lane
mile
s ad
ded
(3 y
ear
aver
age)
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Del
ay P
er P
eak
Trav
eler
(a
nnua
l hou
rs)
New Freeway Lanes Added Delay Per Peak Traveler
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Can we build the new capacity?Can we build the new capacity?
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It’s not just expresswaysIt’s not just expressways
Can We Afford to Build Can We Afford to Build New Capacity?New Capacity?
Hint:Hint:
Not if we rely primarily on Not if we rely primarily on taxestaxes
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LocationLocation ProjectProject CostCost
(est.)(est.)Self Self FinanceFinance
South Pasadena South Pasadena TunnelTunnel
4.5 miles, 4 lanes 4.5 miles, 4 lanes each directioneach direction
$1.5 B$1.5 B 100%100%
Palmdale-Glendale Palmdale-Glendale TunnelTunnel
21 miles (5 miles @ 21 miles (5 miles @ grade); double-grade); double-deckdeck
$3.7 B$3.7 B 100%100%
Riverside-Orange Riverside-Orange Co. TunnelCo. Tunnel
14 miles14 miles $7.4 B$7.4 B 59%59%
LA HOT Lane LA HOT Lane NetworkNetwork
1,009 lane miles 1,009 lane miles (385 new)(385 new)
$13.5 B$13.5 B 92%92%
San Bernardino-San Bernardino-Riverside HOT Lane Riverside HOT Lane NetworkNetwork
410 lane miles (320 410 lane miles (320 new)new)
$5.8 B$5.8 B 72%72%
Atlanta Congestion Atlanta Congestion Mitigation StrategyMitigation Strategy
Four major Four major projects; regional projects; regional HOT Lane network; HOT Lane network; tunneltunnel
$25 B$25 B 78%78%
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What We NeedWhat We Need
1.1. Sufficient physical capacity to Sufficient physical capacity to handle travel demandhandle travel demand
• New capacity where demand warrants New capacity where demand warrants the investmentthe investment
• ITS to ensure network efficiencies are ITS to ensure network efficiencies are maximizedmaximized
2.2. Web-like connections to different Web-like connections to different components of the road networkcomponents of the road network
3.3. Market-priced to manage regional Market-priced to manage regional flows along major corridors based on flows along major corridors based on consumer demand and choiceconsumer demand and choice
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What about transit?What about transit?
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We don’t hear about the ne’er do We don’t hear about the ne’er do wells and failures…wells and failures…
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Ballston vs. ClarendonBallston vs. Clarendon
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Context is Important to TOD SuccessContext is Important to TOD Success
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Transit Ridership and Investment Transit Ridership and Investment Around DART Stations: 1999-2005Around DART Stations: 1999-2005
StationStation InvestmentInvestment(thousands $)(thousands $)
Transit RidershipTransit Ridership(annualized, unlinked)(annualized, unlinked)
Park LanePark Lane $610,000$610,000 26,21926,219
MockingbirdMockingbird $270,000$270,000 38,85938,859
Plano (downtown)Plano (downtown) $260,000$260,000 8,8908,890
Galatyn ParkGalatyn Park $141,300$141,300 3,9833,983
CedarsCedars $134,200$134,200 13,00213,002
Convention CenterConvention Center $130,000$130,000 9,8819,881
City PlaceCity Place $115,000$115,000 25,83125,831
PearlPearl $100,000$100,000 27,44427,444
ArapahoArapaho $70,000$70,000 16,69616,696
WestmorelandWestmoreland $50,000$50,000 30,31630,316
VA Medical CenterVA Medical Center $39,000$39,000 26,86826,868
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A Few Rules of the RoadA Few Rules of the Road Success depends on economic conditionsSuccess depends on economic conditions
• Good planning enables markets to capitalize Good planning enables markets to capitalize market values, but does not create the valuemarket values, but does not create the value
Property values increase when travel Property values increase when travel efficiencies (benefits) are tangible and efficiencies (benefits) are tangible and measurablemeasurable• ““generalized travel costs” fallgeneralized travel costs” fall
Transit, highways are mechanisms for Transit, highways are mechanisms for providing transportation benefits, not ends providing transportation benefits, not ends in themselvesin themselves
Market conditions that lead to the success Market conditions that lead to the success of value capture differ depending on the of value capture differ depending on the technology technology
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Getting From Here to ThereGetting From Here to There
1.1. Public Private PartnershipsPublic Private Partnerships
2.2. Road PricingRoad Pricing
3.3. Decentralizing transportation Decentralizing transportation investment decisionsinvestment decisions