-4 -2 0 2 4

-2-1

01

2Lag plot of studentized residuals

lag 1

studentized_residuals

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

13

1415

16

17

18

19

2021

22

23

24

25

26

2728

70

80

90

65 70 75 80 8516.571 + 429.75 wOBA - 19.184 xFIP + 0.01007 UZR

Team

Win

s P

er S

easo

nLinear regression model for wins - MLB 2000-2012

-2

-1

0

1

2

-2 -1 0 1 2theoretical

sample

Normal QQ plot of studentized residuals

0

1

2

3

4

-2 -1 0 1 2 3studentized residuals

count

Histogram of studentized residuals

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.0e+00 5.0e+06 1.0e+07 1.5e+07 2.0e+07Salary (Dollars)

On-

Bas

e P

erce

ntag

e

oakland

FALSE

TRUE

2002 MLB Season

0e+00

5e+07

1e+08

Angels

Astros

Athletics

Blu

e Ja

ys

Braves

Brewers

Cardinals

Cubs

Dev

il R

ays

Diamondbacks

Dodgers

Expos

Giants

Indians

Mariners

Marlins

Mets

Orioles

Padres

Phillies

Pirates

Rangers

Red

Sox

Reds

Rockies

Royals

Tigers

Twins

Whi

te S

ox

Yankees

Team

Payroll oakland

FALSE

TRUE

Payroll 2002 MLB Season

0

1

2

3

4

UZR wOBA xFIP

win

s pe

r sta

ndar

d de

viat

ion

The relative importance of fielding, hitting, and pitching

-2

-1

0

1

2

0 10 20 30index

Stu

dent

ized

Res

idua

lsRun-Sequence Plot of Studentized Residuals

-2

-1

0

1

2

0 10 20 30index

Stu

dent

ized

Res

idua

lsRun-Sequence Plot of Studentized Residuals

0.2

0.3

0.4

-25 0 25UZR.150

wOBA

1e+07

2e+07

3e+07salary

Player Fielding and Hitting Effectiveness MLB 2010 Season

60

70

80

90

100

5.00e+07 7.50e+07 1.00e+08 1.25e+08Payroll

Wins

oakland

FALSE

TRUE

2002: Oakland's Moneyball Season

0

2

4

6

8

1e+06 1e+07Salary

Win

s A

bove

Rep

lace

men

tMLB 2010 Season (Most MLB Players are Fungible)