microeconomics for business quiz 4 solutions

Upload: stephen-downing

Post on 02-Jun-2018

214 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

  • 8/11/2019 Microeconomics for Business Quiz 4 Solutions

    1/5

    Quiz #41. (10 pts) Answer if the following comment is T (true) or F (false).

    (correct answer +2 pt, written but wrong -1 pt, and empty 0 pt)

    (a) In a randomized equilibrium strategy, the expected return from each of the

    possible moves should be equal.T

    (b)To solve the equilibrium in a game in extensive form, we should analyze the

    best move at the initial node, and then, analyze reason forward to

    subsequent nodes.F

    (c) Under indirect segment discrimination, changes in the price of a product

    targeted at one segment will affect the demand for products targeted at

    other segments. T

    (d) If the marginal cost of the separate products is high, a seller should consider

    pure bundling instead of mixed bundling. F

    (e)

    A dominated strategy is a strategy that yields a poorer outcome depending on

    what the other player(s) choose. F

    2. (30 pts) Some 85% of on-line book sales are made by either Amazon or Barnes

    and Noble. In 2003, Amazons total on-line sales were $1.8 billion while Barnes

    and Noble (.com) had $300 million of sales. It is estimated that the own price

    elasticity for Amazon is -0.45 and for Barnes and Noble is -3.5. The cross price

    elasticity for Amazon with respect to the Barnes and Noble price is 0.2, while for

    Barnes and Noble it is 3.5 with respect to the Amazon price (Source: Judith

    Chevalier and Austan Goolsbee. 2003. Measuring prices and price competition

    online: Amazon vs. Barnes and Nobles.Quantitative Marketing and Economics.

    Vol. 2).

    (a) Construct the following game in strategic form. Each on-line retailer is

  • 8/11/2019 Microeconomics for Business Quiz 4 Solutions

    2/5

    considering a 1% increase in price. Estimate the revenue impacts for each

    retailer and speculate on the profit impacts.

    Unit: billionBarnes and Noble

    (B&N)

    Amazon

    (A)

    No change 1% Increase

    No change

    A1.8

    B&N

    0.3

    A1.8 * 1.002= 1.8036

    B&N

    0.3 *(1.01)*(0.965) =

    0.2924

    1% Increase

    A

    1.8*1.01*0.9955 =

    1.8098

    B&N

    0.3*1.035 = 0.3105

    A

    1.8*1.01*0.9955*1.002 =

    1.8134

    B&N

    0.3*1.01*0.965*1.035

    = 0.3026

    As Profit = Revenue Cost

    If the change of cost is much lower than revenue change, the profit impact

    should be positively correlated to the revenue impacts shown in the table. If,

    however, the change in costs of selling on-line increases more than revenue

    increases, then profits would actually decline despite revenues increasing.

    (b)Are there any Nash equilibria in this game?

    Yes, there is one Nash equilibria at which Amazon raises price by 1% and

    B&N remains the same price.

    (c) Are there any reasons why Amazon would not raise prices, although its

    demand is estimated to be inelastic? Would you say that Amazon is the

    dominant firm in on-line book sales?

    Please refer to the answer sheet handout for in-book discussion questions.

    3. (30 pts) The demand for most new films peaks in the first few days after opening,

  • 8/11/2019 Microeconomics for Business Quiz 4 Solutions

    3/5

    then tapers off. Two key factors that affect potential demand are the season

    (Summer and Christmas are the best times) and the timing of other releases.

    Suppose that both Studio Luna and Moonlight Movies are producing major action

    movies. The two studios must choose between release on December 11 or 18. If

    both films open on December 11, each will sell 200,000 tickets. If one opens on

    December 11 and the other on December 18, then the early release will sell

    350,000 tickets, while the later release will sell 150,000. If both open on

    December 18, each will sell 100,000 tickets.

    (a)

    Suppose that the studios choose their launch dates simultaneously. Construct

    a game in strategic form to illustrate the situation and identify the equilibrium

    or equilibria.

    Please refer to the answer sheet handout for in-book discussion questions.

    (b) Is this a zero-sum game?

    Please refer to the answer sheet handout for in-book discussion questions.

    (c) Is this a situation of first-mover advantage? Explain your answer with a

    suitable game in extensive form.

    Please refer to the answer sheet handout for in-book discussion questions.

    4. (30 pts) Regarding the story of the prisonersdilemma,write down a game in

    strategic form showing the prisonerschoice and explain what outcome is likely.

    What does the prisonersdilemma teach us about oligopolies?

  • 8/11/2019 Microeconomics for Business Quiz 4 Solutions

    4/5

    Henry

    Stephen

    Not confess Confess

    Not confessStephen

    1 year

    Henry1 year

    Stephen

    10 years

    HenryFree

    Confess

    StephenFree

    Henry

    10 years

    Stephen5 years

    Henry

    5 years NE

    If both of them confess, they have to stay in prison for 5 years. However, if both

    of them don

    t confess, they just have to stay for 1 year, which is a better

    cumulative payoff for both of them. But each is afraid of the worst case scenario

    in which the other suspect confesses and they do not confess. In this case, the

    one who doesnt confess has to stay in prison for 10 years, a penalty so serious

    that it keeps each from being able to trust the other suspect and cooperate for

    the best cumulative outcome. As the result, the Nash equilibrium will be both of

    them confessing and thus going to prison for 5 years.

    Oligopoly Profit A

    B

    Less More

    Less

    A

    5

    B

    5

    A

    6

    B

    3

    More

    A3

    B

    6

    A4

    B4 NE

    [According to investopedia.com]

    http://www.investopedia.com/study-guide/cfa-exam/level-1/microeconomics/cfa19.asp

  • 8/11/2019 Microeconomics for Business Quiz 4 Solutions

    5/5

    Oligopoly refers to a market with "few sellers". Oligopolies interact among

    themselves. When an oligopolist changes a price, it must take into account how

    other firms in the industry will respond.

    The prisoners' dilemma illustrates a situation in which individuals arrive at anon-optimal solution, due to a lack of cooperation and trust.A similar situation

    occurs with oligopolies.If firms within an oligopolistic industry have cooperation

    and trust with each other, then they can theoretically maximize industry profits

    by setting a monopolistic price. Firms would then have to figure out how to fairly

    divide up the profits.

    If oligopolies collude successfully, they will set price and output such that MR =

    MC for the industry overall. In figure 3.17 on the following page, this is depicted

    as Paand Qa. Without collusion, firms will lower prices to attract more customers.

    Gradually, the price and output will move to Pband Qb, which is identical to what

    would be achieved with a competitive market.

    Oligopolist Profit Maximization

    Oligopolies have strong incentives to collude becausewhile acting together,

    they can restrict output and set prices so that economic profits are earned. The

    individual oligopolist has an incentive to cheat because the firm's demand curve

    is more elastic than the overall market demand curve. By secretly lowering prices,

    the firm can sell to customers who would not buy at the higher price, as well as

    to customers who normally buy from the other firms.

    Oligopolistic agreements tend to be unstableoften with many or all of the

    parties breaking the collusion agreementdue to these conflicting tendencies.