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Michigan TACT Program and Evaluation Nicole Zanier, UMTRI Traffic Safety Conference, San Antonio May 14, 2014

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Page 1: Michigan TACT Program and Evaluation · Program Outcome Evaluation- 3 Changes in Truck/Car Crashes Data Michigan crash data Program and Comparison corridors Monthly crash data through

Michigan TACT Program and Evaluation

Nicole Zanier, UMTRI Traffic Safety Conference, San Antonio

May 14, 2014

Page 2: Michigan TACT Program and Evaluation · Program Outcome Evaluation- 3 Changes in Truck/Car Crashes Data Michigan crash data Program and Comparison corridors Monthly crash data through

UMTRI Research Team

Lidia Kostyniuk, PhD PE Daniel Blower, PhD David Eby, PhD

Lisa Molnar, PhD Nicole Zanier, BA Renee St. Louis, MPH

Page 3: Michigan TACT Program and Evaluation · Program Outcome Evaluation- 3 Changes in Truck/Car Crashes Data Michigan crash data Program and Comparison corridors Monthly crash data through

Background

TACT Program –

High visibility enforcement and PI&E program Funded (in part) through grants from Federal Motor Carrier Safety

Administration (FMCSA) OBJECTIVE - decrease traffic deaths and injuries from large

truck/car crashes Make general driving public more aware of the safe ways to interact with

large vehicles Give large trucks more room and maneuverability.

Pilot program – Washington State -2004 – Successful FMCSA encouraged more States to implement TACT programs

Alabama, Georgia, N. Carolina, Nevada, Indiana, Rhode island, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, Texas, Washington, Kentucky, Oregon, S. Dakota, N. Jersey, Maine

Page 4: Michigan TACT Program and Evaluation · Program Outcome Evaluation- 3 Changes in Truck/Car Crashes Data Michigan crash data Program and Comparison corridors Monthly crash data through

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011PDO 14,939 14,092 13,897 14,058 13,170 10,946 11,639 11,453 8,591 8,807 8,909Injury 3,217 3,264 3,184 3,216 2,959 2,493 2,509 2,405 1,777 1,829 1,903Fatal 134 137 117 132 122 127 126 104 74 93 73

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

16,000

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ry &

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PDO Injury Fatal

Large Truck Involvements in Michigan by Crash Severity, 2001-2011*

* Source: Blower and Kostyniuk, Strategies to Reduce CMV-Involved Crashes, Fatalities, and Injuries in Michigan: 2013 Update

Large Truck Crash Involvements in Michigan decreasing

But, there is room for improvement TACT Program

Page 5: Michigan TACT Program and Evaluation · Program Outcome Evaluation- 3 Changes in Truck/Car Crashes Data Michigan crash data Program and Comparison corridors Monthly crash data through

MI OHSP receives grant for TACT implementation program

from FMCSA in FY2013 – UMTRI to conduct the

evaluation portion Process evaluation-

- How was the program conducted?

OHSP Grant to UMTRI to assist in developing TACT

implementation grant application to FMCSA -

Involves crash analysis to identify TACT program

locations, evaluation design

Michigan OHSP TACT Planning Grant from

FMCSA - FY 2012

Michigan TACT Program Enforcement on TACT corridors

Media and public outreach campaigns Three 2-week waves in Oct, Nov, Dec

2013.

Program outcome evaluation - What did the program

accomplish?

Evaluation

Page 6: Michigan TACT Program and Evaluation · Program Outcome Evaluation- 3 Changes in Truck/Car Crashes Data Michigan crash data Program and Comparison corridors Monthly crash data through

Selecting TACT Program and Comparison Sites

UMTRI reviewed previous

TACT programs (reports, interviews)

UMTRI selected a study design - before/after comparisons at TACT program sites and similar sites with no TACT program

Examined locations of two-vehicle crashes in Michigan 2006-2010 of trucks and cars that involved aggressive action of either driver

Page 7: Michigan TACT Program and Evaluation · Program Outcome Evaluation- 3 Changes in Truck/Car Crashes Data Michigan crash data Program and Comparison corridors Monthly crash data through

Selecting TACT Program and Comparison Sites

Selected 2 pairs of corridors based on comparisons of:

• Road type • Crash rate • Traffic volumes • % Large truck traffic • Large truck volume • Location in state

Page 8: Michigan TACT Program and Evaluation · Program Outcome Evaluation- 3 Changes in Truck/Car Crashes Data Michigan crash data Program and Comparison corridors Monthly crash data through

MI TACT Program

3 Waves - Oct 7-18, Nov 4-15, Dec 2-13 High Visibility Enforcement on TACT Corridors

• M-F, 7 am – 7 pm • 6 law enforcement agencies (Michigan State

Police, Kent County Sheriff, Ottawa County Sheriff, Grand Rapids, Walker, and Wyoming Police Departments)

• Targeting – passenger vehicles and trucks – Improper lane use, careless and reckless driving, – Following too closely, failure to yield right of way.

Media and PI&E Campaigns

Page 9: Michigan TACT Program and Evaluation · Program Outcome Evaluation- 3 Changes in Truck/Car Crashes Data Michigan crash data Program and Comparison corridors Monthly crash data through

Enforcement Results

Enforcement hours: 2,061 Stopped nearly 3,000 vehicles Issued over 2,500 citations –

mostly speeding and following too closely Approximately 14% of cited were commercial

motor vehicle drivers.

Page 10: Michigan TACT Program and Evaluation · Program Outcome Evaluation- 3 Changes in Truck/Car Crashes Data Michigan crash data Program and Comparison corridors Monthly crash data through

Media and PI&E Events Press conference kick-off, interviews reporter ride-alongs

Page 11: Michigan TACT Program and Evaluation · Program Outcome Evaluation- 3 Changes in Truck/Car Crashes Data Michigan crash data Program and Comparison corridors Monthly crash data through

Billboards, Public Event at Walmart, TV news stories, reporter ride-alongs, interviews, radio spots, newspapers

Page 12: Michigan TACT Program and Evaluation · Program Outcome Evaluation- 3 Changes in Truck/Car Crashes Data Michigan crash data Program and Comparison corridors Monthly crash data through

Evaluation

Process Evaluation

Program Evaluation Design - Before/After with Comparisons

What changed in TACT sites after program in comparison to similar sites where TACT was not implemented?

• Changes in Knowledge & Awareness • Changes in Unsafe Driving Behaviors • Changes in Truck/Car Crashes

Page 13: Michigan TACT Program and Evaluation · Program Outcome Evaluation- 3 Changes in Truck/Car Crashes Data Michigan crash data Program and Comparison corridors Monthly crash data through

Process Evaluation How was the program conducted?

Enforcement - A record of all activities related to TACT enforcement effort, including dates, location, agencies involved, levels of effort, etc.

Structured in-person interviews with police agencies

Communications – A record of all activities/outcomes of TACT-related communications effort, including dates, venues, media mode, level of effort, etc.

UMTRI received OHSP records of the TACT enforcement, communications and outreach activities

STATUS - tallying the counts, finishing interviews, developing report

Page 14: Michigan TACT Program and Evaluation · Program Outcome Evaluation- 3 Changes in Truck/Car Crashes Data Michigan crash data Program and Comparison corridors Monthly crash data through

Program Outcome Evaluation-1

Changes in Knowledge and Awareness

Method: Before and After Surveys

Driver population: Telephone survey – random sample of drivers in program and comparison areas

Truck drivers: Paper/pencil questionnaires at trucking firms

Analysis: statistical survey analysis methods Status: all survey data collection completed. analyses- not completed.

Page 15: Michigan TACT Program and Evaluation · Program Outcome Evaluation- 3 Changes in Truck/Car Crashes Data Michigan crash data Program and Comparison corridors Monthly crash data through

Status – all survey data collection completed. analyses- not completed.

Truck driver survey responses 184 before, 132 after

General public survey responses 404 before, 402 after

Page 16: Michigan TACT Program and Evaluation · Program Outcome Evaluation- 3 Changes in Truck/Car Crashes Data Michigan crash data Program and Comparison corridors Monthly crash data through

Program Outcome Evaluation-2 Changes in Unsafe Driving Behaviors

Method - Observational study of selected driving behavior -- passing and merging maneuvers near large trucks On TACT and Comparison corridors Before TACT – September 2013 After TACT – January 2014 (Feb, March) Protocols

• UMTRI observer rides in large truck • Identify, classify maneuver (safe, unsafe, maybe

unsafe) Analysis – statistical comparative analysis Status – data collection completed, initial tabulations of data completed

Page 17: Michigan TACT Program and Evaluation · Program Outcome Evaluation- 3 Changes in Truck/Car Crashes Data Michigan crash data Program and Comparison corridors Monthly crash data through

Two UMTRI observers rode along with MI State police from Niles Post to get familiar with police procedures (what do police see, when do they stop/ticket vehicle?) Observers tested protocols in UMTRI trucks (from Connected Vehicle project) along comparison corridor in August 2013 Achieved high inter-observer reliability

Observer Training

Page 18: Michigan TACT Program and Evaluation · Program Outcome Evaluation- 3 Changes in Truck/Car Crashes Data Michigan crash data Program and Comparison corridors Monthly crash data through

TACT Program Corridors

TACT Comparison Corridors

Page 19: Michigan TACT Program and Evaluation · Program Outcome Evaluation- 3 Changes in Truck/Car Crashes Data Michigan crash data Program and Comparison corridors Monthly crash data through

Observations Each site (TACT 1&2, Comparison 3&4)

Two 8-hr days of observations in each study period. Observers alternated – so each observer was at each of the 4 sites once in each study period September observation schedule

SEPTEMBER 2013

Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat

1 2 3 4 5 6 7

8 9 10 11 12 13 14

15

16 Site 1,3 10 am -

7 pm

17 Site 2,4 7 am- 4 pm

18 Site 3 7 am- 4 pm

19 Site 2,4 10 am -

7 pm

20 Site 1 7 am- 4 pm

21

22 23 24 25 26 27 28

29 30

Page 20: Michigan TACT Program and Evaluation · Program Outcome Evaluation- 3 Changes in Truck/Car Crashes Data Michigan crash data Program and Comparison corridors Monthly crash data through

Second set of observations (after completion of TACT program) scheduled for week of January 6.

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Observation dates January, February, March

FEBRUARY 2014 Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15

16

17 Site 3 10am-7 pm

18 19 20 21 22

23

24 Site 1

10 am- 7 pm

25 Site 2 7am- 4 pm

26

27 Site 2

10 am-7 pm

28 Site 1 7 am- 4 pm

MARCH 2014 Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15

16 17 18

19 Site 4 10 am – 7 pm

20 Site 4

7 am – 4 pm

21 Site 3 7 am- 4 pm

22

23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31

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Comparison of Lane Change Maneuver

Corridor Time Period

Number and classification of lane change maneuvers

All Safe Unsafe/Maybe Using Signal

TACT Before

1199 (100%)

1164 (97%)

35 (3%)

684 (57%)

After 1004

(100%) 956

(95%) 48

(5%) 599

(60%)

Comparison Before 945

(100%) 857

(91%) 88

(9%) 584

(62%)

After 665

(100%) 627

(94%) 38

(6%) 465

(70%)

Safe lane change TACT sites 97% 95% Comparison sites 91 % 94%

Used signal in lane change TACT sites 57% 60% Comparison sites 62% 70%

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Comparison of Merge Maneuver

Corridor Time Period

Number and classification of merge maneuvers

All Safe Unsafe/Maybe Using Signal

TACT Before

203 (100%)

184 (91%)

19 (9%)

146 (72%)

After 132

(100%) 116

(88%) 16

(12%) 95

(72%)

Comparison Before

97 (100%)

85 (88%)

12 (12%)

48 (49%)

After 69

(100%) 66

(95%) 3

(4%) 35

(51%)

Safe Merge TACT sites 91% 88% Comparison sites 88% 95%

Used signal in merge TACT sites 72% 72% Comparison sites 49% 51%

Page 24: Michigan TACT Program and Evaluation · Program Outcome Evaluation- 3 Changes in Truck/Car Crashes Data Michigan crash data Program and Comparison corridors Monthly crash data through

Program Outcome Evaluation- 3 Changes in Truck/Car Crashes

Data Michigan crash data Program and Comparison corridors Monthly crash data through 6 months

after TACT program Analysis – Statistical comparison using time series models Present Status - adding current monthly crash records to analyze data files of all crashes and CMV-involved crashes - for state and on TACT and comparison corridors.

Page 25: Michigan TACT Program and Evaluation · Program Outcome Evaluation- 3 Changes in Truck/Car Crashes Data Michigan crash data Program and Comparison corridors Monthly crash data through

Our “Still to Do” List (mostly - complete analyses and write report)

Complete analysis of telephone survey data Complete analysis of pencil/paper truck driver survey Finish interviews with law enforcement Complete analysis of observational data of passing and merging

behavior Conduct crash data analysis Document the study Final Report due date – Sept 30, 2014

Page 26: Michigan TACT Program and Evaluation · Program Outcome Evaluation- 3 Changes in Truck/Car Crashes Data Michigan crash data Program and Comparison corridors Monthly crash data through

Thank you!

Questions?