michael enescu keynote chicago2014_from_cloud_to_fog_and_iot
DESCRIPTION
Just as we became familiar with Cloud computing and the dominant role of Open Source, a new compute model has emerged, an extension of the Cloud to the Edge of the network, some call it Fog computing, others the Internet of Things or IoT. Open Source will also play a dominant role in this, as it does in the Cloud, but what exactly is it, and what does it mean in IoT. How is the model changing as the new generation of devices has stretched what we previously knew as Cloud compute. And most importantly, why, what, and how the new IoT-specific Service Provider (IsSP?) model emerges and disrupts its aging predecessor. This is the tidal wave of opportunity we see, a generation after the last one that took place in the mid 90's. Get ready!TRANSCRIPT
1 Michael Enescu keynote – “From Cloud to Fog & The Internet of Things” – Chicago, LinuxCon 2014 1
Michael Enescu CTO Open Source Initiatives
LinuxCon 2014 – August 21
2 Michael Enescu keynote – “From Cloud to Fog & The Internet of Things” – Chicago, LinuxCon 2014 2
• What is IoT and Fog Computing
• How did we get here
• Where are we going – the “Open” future of IoT
3 Michael Enescu keynote – “From Cloud to Fog & The Internet of Things” – Chicago, LinuxCon 2014
4 Michael Enescu keynote – “From Cloud to Fog & The Internet of Things” – Chicago, LinuxCon 2014
Industries Safety
and Security
Connected Home Energy
B2C Smart Cities
Industry Innovation: Business
Processes and Operations
Networks and Protocols
Data Analytics
Control Systems
Sensors and Devices
5 Michael Enescu keynote – “From Cloud to Fog & The Internet of Things” – Chicago, LinuxCon 2014
7.2 6.8 7.6
50
2010 2015 2020
0
40
30
20
10
Bill
ions
of d
evic
es
25
12.5
Inflection point
Timeline
Source: Cisco IBSG, 2011
50 Billion smart devices Adoption 5x faster than electricity, telephony
6 Michael Enescu keynote – “From Cloud to Fog & The Internet of Things” – Chicago, LinuxCon 2014
Information Technology (IT) Operational Technology (OT)
IoT
Campus Branch Plant Field Data Center
6
7 Michael Enescu keynote – “From Cloud to Fog & The Internet of Things” – Chicago, LinuxCon 2014
• Storage and Compute declining faster • Network scales very differently than compute
Sensors will evolve faster than bandwidth Distributed computing more compelling over time
• Data gravity?
Compute
Storage
Network
Moore’s and Nielsen’s predictions hold
8 Michael Enescu keynote – “From Cloud to Fog & The Internet of Things” – Chicago, LinuxCon 2014
Centralized -> Decentralized
Decentralized -> Centralized
Fixed, role based model
Easier ops model, new apps
New devices, P2P, M2M
Dedicated compute loads
On-Demand, XaaS, AAA
New PIN’s, improved protocols
Mainframe -> Client-Server
Client-Server-> Cloud
Cloud -> Fog / IoT
1st 2nd 3rd Moore Nielsen Prediction
Pow
er +
com
pute
reac
h A
AA
Centralized -> Decentralized
9 Michael Enescu keynote – “From Cloud to Fog & The Internet of Things” – Chicago, LinuxCon 2014
90% of the world’s data created in last 2 years
46 million smart meters in the U.S alone 1.1 billion data points (.5TB) / day A single consumer packaged good manufacturing machine generates 13B data samples/day A large offshore field produces 0.75TB data/week A jet engine produces 20TB flight data/hour
10 Michael Enescu keynote – “From Cloud to Fog & The Internet of Things” – Chicago, LinuxCon 2014
ACTION
SENSORS
DATA
IoT Traffic will grow at 82% CAGR through 2017*
11 Michael Enescu keynote – “From Cloud to Fog & The Internet of Things” – Chicago, LinuxCon 2014
• Networking is changing 50B+ Devices coming – Immense amount of data No longer about “data transport” Moving to “intelligence about data”: Understanding and taking actions
• Analytics are changing Massive data => can not move data fast enough to analytics => move analytics to the data Real-time actions => processing compute closer to the source
Next: Two important analytics related technology trends
12 Michael Enescu keynote – “From Cloud to Fog & The Internet of Things” – Chicago, LinuxCon 2014
Unified Platform
Network Compute Storage
CLOUD
STORE ANALYZE ACT NOTIFY
13 Michael Enescu keynote – “From Cloud to Fog & The Internet of Things” – Chicago, LinuxCon 2014
Unified Platform
Network Compute Storage
CLOUD EDGE
STORE ANALYZE ACT NOTIFY
14 Michael Enescu keynote – “From Cloud to Fog & The Internet of Things” – Chicago, LinuxCon 2014
Cloud
Device/Smart Object
North/South Flows East/West Flows Fog
Fog Nodes can be multi-tenant Shared, public or private (like cloud)
Highly virtualized environment Secured & isolated tenants, QoS, workload distribution
Mixed ownership & operation Single entity, federation of agencies
Service Mobility Ability to migrate a running instance from cloud to edge
Fog is the distributed, hierarchically organized platform where the Internet meets the physical world at M2M scale
15 Michael Enescu keynote – “From Cloud to Fog & The Internet of Things” – Chicago, LinuxCon 2014
Future data predicted
• Data from a sensor exhibits a consistent pattern over
time intervals Analytics, Prediction, Real Time Action
• Data at the edge (data in motion), moves to the core (data at rest) over time
Adaptive Systems, Machine Learning, Optimization Real Time Data – Sensors/Edge
Achieved data – Gateway/Server
Achieved data – DC/Cloud
T1
T2
T3
Tf Present
……
Time
Compare
Model
Correction
Prediction
Input
Output
16 Michael Enescu keynote – “From Cloud to Fog & The Internet of Things” – Chicago, LinuxCon 2014
Industry Segment Type of Savings Estimated Value Over
15 Years (Billion nominal USD)
Aviation Commercial 1% fuel savings $30B
Power Gas-fired Generation 1% fuel savings $66B
Healthcare System-wide 1% Reduction in System Inefficiency $63B
Rail Freight 1% Reduction in System Inefficiency $27B
Oil & Gas Exploration & Development
1% Reduction in Capital Expenditures $90B
Total $276B
Source: “Industrial Internet: Pushing the Boundaries of Minds and Machines” GE, Nov 26, 2012
17 Michael Enescu keynote – “From Cloud to Fog & The Internet of Things” – Chicago, LinuxCon 2014
• Like its Cloud predecessor, IoT will be mostly open source
• Devices: Core, Access, Gateway – mostly Open Source Edge – vectoring fast on Open Source
• Network: Core, Access, Gateway – Internet, all Open Source Edge – consolidation of protocols, renewed emphasis on robustness, security, privacy
• New Applications and Services Data Gravity – applications come to data (not the old/other way) – either open or closed … guess who will win?
… and just like in the early days of the dot com The emergence of the new breed of SPs – existential dilemma of the aging utility model
18 Michael Enescu keynote – “From Cloud to Fog & The Internet of Things” – Chicago, LinuxCon 2014
19 Michael Enescu keynote – “From Cloud to Fog & The Internet of Things” – Chicago, LinuxCon 2014
• New, IoT specific SP’s will emerge
• All IoT Software will be Open Source
• Why? Open Source = Credibility Open Source dominates Development Open Source dominates Virtualization and Cloud – Fog (as an extension of it) is no exception
• And where is Open Source already in the Internet of Things?
20 Michael Enescu keynote – “From Cloud to Fog & The Internet of Things” – Chicago, LinuxCon 2014
[email protected] @michaelenescu
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