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  • 7/26/2019 Metro Public Poll Results

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    220-4476

    Survey Conducted:

    May 20-May 26 & May 31-June 1, 2016

    !"# $%&'('# )"*%+,

    !"#$%&'"(#()'$ *%%+,% -+".,/ 0123

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    2

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    3

    -./0 1'+2"3"("&,

    Conducted a telephone survey (landlines and cell phones)

    between May 20-26, May 31-June 1, 2016 Interviews with 2,125 Los Angeles County voters likely to

    vote in November 2016, including new registrants

    Survey was available in English and Spanish

    Margin of error for the full sample is 2.5% and half thesample is 3.5%

    Margin of error for each Metro Polling Area is 5.7% andhalf for each Metro Polling Area is 8.0%

    Some percentages may not sum to 100% due to rounding

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    -./4 1'+2"3"("&,

    Some questions were tracked from the 2015 Metro Long

    Range Transportation Random Digit Dial TelephoneSurvey conducted between March 17-29, 2015

    Results from the 2015 survey include only 863respondents who self-reported they are registered to votein LA County and were definitely going to vote in the

    November 2016 General Election Survey was available in English and Spanish

    Margin of error for the reported sample is 3.4% and half

    sample is 4.8%

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    15678 9"((:%& $;'

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    =', >:%3:%

    There are no statistically meaningful differences between a

    50-year sunset measure and a no-sunset measure.

    Initial support, after hearing just the ballot title and summary,is within the margin of error for passage.

    After educational outreach messages, support increasesabove the two-thirds threshold.

    Two-thirds of voters are more likely to vote for the measure

    if its title is Los Angeles County Traffic Improvement Plan.

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    =', >:%3:% )"%+:%*'3

    Keeping senior, disabled and student fares affordable;

    creating jobs; repairing potholes; earthquake retrofittingbridges and improving freeway traffic flow are among themeasures most important features.

    Sub-regional benefits and the need to provide transportation

    options for an aging County population are among the topreasons to be more inclined to vote yes on the measure.

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    =', >:%3:% )"%+:%*'3

    Support for Metros Ballot Measure does not appear to be

    adversely affected by its placement among other LA Countymeasures on the ballot, whether asked about first or third.However, since the initial level of support for the measurewas within the margin of error for passage, it would beadvisable to have the measure as high as possible on theballot.

    Support for the Homeless Measure does not appear to besignificantly hindered by the order in which it appears on theballot.

    The Parks Measure is clearly more vulnerable as itsplacement moves farther down the ballot.

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    ?% -./0@ < A(*;

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    11

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    12Q3 & Q4. If the election were held today on this measure, do you think you would you vote yes in favor or no to oppose it?

    M

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    38%

    19%

    8%

    3%

    6%

    21%

    6%

    0% 15% 30% 45% 60%

    Definitely yes

    Probably yes

    Undecided, lean yes

    Undecided, lean no

    Probably no

    Definitely no

    Undecided

    TotalNo

    30%

    TotalYes64%

    62';' :# %" #+

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    14

    36%

    33%

    30%

    27%

    19%

    31%

    30%

    32%

    34%

    24%

    11%

    11%

    14%

    11%

    21%

    12%

    13%

    12%

    14%

    22%

    11%

    12%

    12%

    13%

    14%

    0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

    Los Angeles County TrafficImprovement Plan

    Los Angeles County Traffic

    Improvement and Safety Plan

    Improve Transportation. Relieve Traffic

    Improve Transportation, Reduce Traffic

    ^More Transportation, Ease Traffic

    Much More Lkly. Smwt. More Lkly. Smwt. Less Lkly. Much Less Lkly. DK/NA

    TotalMoreLkly.

    TotalLessLkly.

    !"# $$#

    !%# $%#

    !$# $!#

    !$# $

    %'# %'#

    N:F:(

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    MeanScore

    6.0

    6.0

    6.0

    5.9

    5.9

    5.86.1

    73%

    74%

    73%

    70%

    69%

    67%

    79%

    13%

    12%

    10%

    14%

    13%

    15%

    7%

    5%

    5%

    6%

    7%

    7%

    7%

    9%

    10%

    7%

    8%

    10%

    9%

    0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

    2016

    2015

    Creating jobs

    Repairing potholes

    Earthquake retrofitting bridges

    2016

    2015

    (6-7) Very Impt. (5) Smwt. Impt. (4) Neut. (1-3) Not Too/Not At All Impt. DK

    =''A:%& #'%:";@ 3:#

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    67%

    73%

    64%

    62%

    63%

    63%

    70%

    62%

    64%

    15%

    12%

    15%

    12%

    16%

    15%

    14%

    17%

    16%

    7%

    5%

    6%

    9%

    7%

    8%

    8%

    5%

    9%

    9%

    13%

    15%

    11%

    12%

    12%

    10%

    10%5%

    0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

    2016

    2015

    2016

    2015

    ^Improving bridge safety

    2016

    2015

    2016

    2015

    (6-7) Very Impt. (5) Smwt. Impt. (4) Neut. (1-3) Not Too/Not At All Impt. DK MeanScore

    5.86.0

    5.7

    5.6

    5.7

    5.6

    5.8

    5.7

    5.8

    )"%+:%*'3

    Q8. I am now going to mention some features and provisions of the proposed measure entitled Improve Transportation. Relieve Traffic that Iasked you about earlier. Regardless of your opinion of the measure, please tell me how important it is to you that the feature or provision beincluded as part of the measure. We will use a scale of one to seven, where one means NOT AT ALL IMPORTANT to you that the feature orprovision is included in the measure and seven means it would be VERY IMPORTANT. ^Not Part of Split Sample; Note in 2015 Earthquakeretrofitting bridges and overpasses was shown as Earthquake retrofitting bridges, tunnels and overpasses and Reducing polluted road runoffflowing into waterways and onto beaches was shown as Preventing polluted toxic roadway runoff from entering storm drains and flowing intocreeks, rivers and coastal waters and onto County beaches.

    (Ranked by Very Important 6 and 7)

    Earthquake retrofitting bridges andoverpasses

    Improving freeway safety

    Reducing polluted road runoff flowinginto waterways and onto beaches

    Improving job, school, and airportconnections

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    17

    Mean

    Score

    5.6

    5.5

    5.5

    5.5

    5.5

    5.4

    59%

    59%

    58%

    58%

    58%

    56%

    16%

    15%

    18%

    15%

    15%

    17%

    8%

    7%

    8%

    10%

    9%

    11%

    12%

    14%

    14%

    13%

    14%

    14%

    5%

    5%

    0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

    Requiring oversight

    Requiring independent audits

    Improving job, school, stadium and airport

    connections

    Expanding rail and bus systems

    Requiring annual independent audits

    Reducing polluted road runoff

    (6-7) Very Impt. (5) Smwt. Impt. (4) Neut. (1-3) Not Too/Not At All Impt. DK

    )"%+:%*'3

    Q8. I am now going to mention some features and provisions of the proposed measure entitled Improve Transportation. Relieve Traffic that Iasked you about earlier. Regardless of your opinion of the measure, please tell me how important it is to you that the feature or provision beincluded as part of the measure. We will use a scale of one to seven, where one means NOT AT ALL IMPORTANT to you that the feature orprovision is included in the measure and seven means it would be VERY IMPORTANT. ^Not Part of Split Sample

    (Ranked by Very Important 6 and 7)

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    18

    ?FA";+

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    19

    57%

    45%

    46%

    21%

    26%

    23%

    0% 20% 40% 60% 80%

    Much More Incl. Smwt. More Incl.

    NA'B:O:B@ #*DP;'&:"%++(" 2'% 5!I

    G) (0'#0'1 ,>$ J$,-+ 4-$'">2F 501>, K20( 50'$ F$", ,+ 5!IE 2'% $L,$'%0'1 ,>$4-$'">2F @-+H$C, '+-,> ,+ ,>$ J$,-+ /6-@($ 50'$ +' M0(">0-$ 2'% ,>-+61> M$",

    N+(()F++% ,+ ,>$ J$,-+ K$% 50'$ 0' N+(()F++%D .' 2%%0,0+'E 0, @-+A0%$" 2'2@@-+L0?2,$() OP ?0($ ,-2'"0, C+''$C,0+' +' *$-?+', !A$'6$ B-+? OP:,> Q,-$$,E

    H6", "+6,> +B ,>$ J$,-+ R-$$' 50'$E ,+ N+(()F++% S+6($A2-%D

    (1*+23- /242,.,23+10.' ,>$ '$L, OT )$2-"E ,>$ '6?G$- +B @$+@($ ;T 2'% +A$- 0'5+" !'1$($" 4+6',) 0" $L@$C,$% ,+ 0'C-$2"$ G) U:V ,+ +A$- P ?0((0+' "$'0+-"D M$

    '$$% ,+ 0'A$", 0' A2' "$-A0C$" 2'% @6G(0C ,-2'"0, ,>2, "$'0+-"E 0'C(6%0'1 A$,$-2'"2'% @$+@($ F0,> %0"2G0(0,0$"E C2' ,2#$ ,+ >$(@ ,>$? ?20',20' ,>$0- 0'%$@$'%$'C$

    2'% -$%6C$ ,>$ G6-%$' +' ,>$0- C2-$10A$-"D

    !"#$% &'() *+,$-" .' /+((0'1 !-$2 3 Q2' W$-'2'%+ *2(($) 7'89:P< (1.+ 5*-+.+63 7.//*80=>0" ?$2"6-$@-+A0%$" ,-2BB0C -$(0$B B+- 2(( 2-$2" +B ,>$ 4+6',)D .' ,>$ Q2' W$-'2'%+ *2(($)

    "@$C0B0C2(()E 0, >$(@" 0?@-+A$ ,-2BB0C B(+F 2'% "2B$,) G) -$@2A0'1 ",-$$,"E -$@20-0'1@+,>+($"E ")'C>-+'0X0'1 "01'2(" 2'% $2-,>Y62#$ -$,-+B0,,0'1 G-0%1$"D ., 2("+ B6'%",-2'"0, @-+H$C," ,>2, C+''$C, ,>$ Q2' W$-'2'%+ *2(($) ,+ 5!I 6'%$- ,>$ Q$@6(A$%2

    /2""E 2" F$(( 2" C+'A$-, ,>$ J$,-+ &-2'1$ 50'$ S6"F2) ,+ 2 (01>, -20( (0'$C+''$C,0'1 M++%(2'% N0(("E Z+-,> N+(()F++%E ,>$ S6-G2'# !0-@+-,E /2"2%$'2 2'%

    ,>$ R-$2,$- Q2' R2G-0$( *2(($)D

    (Ranked by Total More Inclined to Vote Yes)

    70%

  • 7/26/2019 Metro Public Poll Results

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    20

    41%

    42%

    42%

    30%

    26%

    26%

    0% 20% 40% 60% 80%

    Much More Incl. Smwt. More Incl.

    )"%+:%*'3

    Q9. I am going to mention to you some statements made by supporters of the Improve Transportation. Relieve Traffic measure. Please tellme if it makes you more inclined to vote for this ballot measure. Split Sample

    70%

    68%

    !"#$% &'() *+,$-" .' /+((0'1 !-$2 3 =>$ Q+6,> S2) 7'89:9< (139,: ;.80=>0" ?$2"6-$ @-+A0%$" ,-2BB0C-$(0$B B+- 2(( 2-$2" +B ,>$ 4+6',)D .' ,>$ Q+6,> S2) "@$C0B0C2(()E 0, >$(@" 0?@-+A$

    ,-2BB0C B(+F 2'% "2B$,) G) -$@20-0'1 @+,>+($"E -$?+A0'1 #$) G+,,($'$C#" +' /2C0B0C4+2", N01>F2)E N2F,>+-'$ 2'% 4-$'">2F S+6($A2-%" 2'% M$",$-' !A$'6$E 2'%

    $2-,>Y62#$ -$,-+B0,,0'1 G-0%1$"D ., 2("+ B6'%" 0?@-+A$?$'," ,+ ,>$ [:T B-$$F2)"G$,F$$' W(+-$'C$ !A$ 2'% ,>$ OO: B-$$F2)" 2'% $L,$'%" ,>$ J$,-+ R-$$' 501>,

    K20( 50'$ "+6,> ,+F2-%" Q2' /$%-+ B-+? K$%+'%+ S$2C> 2'% ,+ ,>$ =+--2'C$ =-2'"0,4$',$-D W0'2(()E 0, @-$A$'," @+((6,$% -+2%F2) -6'+BB B-+? $',$-0'1 ",+-? %-20'" 2'%

    B(+F0'1 +6, 0',+ 5+" !'1$($" 4+6',) F2,$-F2)" 2'% G$2C>$"D!"#$% &'() *+,$-" .' /+((0'1 !-$2 \ M$", 5+" !'1$($" 4+6',) 7'89:]< (0" ?$2"6-$ @-+A0%$"

    ,-2BB0C -$(0$B B+- 2(( 2-$2" +B ,>$ 4+6',)D &' ,>$ M$","0%$ +B 5+" !'1$($" "@$C0B0C2(()E0, >$(@" 0?@-+A$ ,-2BB0C B(+F 2'% "2B$,) +' (+C2( ",-$$," G) -$@20-0'1 @+,>+($"E

    ")'C>-+'0X0'1 "01'2(" 2'% $2-,>Y62#$ "2B$,) 6@1-2%$" ,+ G-0%1$" 2'% -+2%"D ., 2("+B6'%" "6C> ,-2'"0, @-+H$C," ,>2, C+''$C, 5!I ,+ ,>$ Q2' W$-'2'%+ *2(($) 6'%$- ,>$

    Q$@6(A$%2 /2""E 2'% $L,$'%" ,>$ J$,-+ 4-$'">2F 5!I 501>, K20( 50'$E F>0C> 0"C6--$',() 6'%$- C+'",-6C,0+'E ,+ ,>$ J$,-+ /6-@($ 50'$ +' M0(">0-$ 2'% ,>-+61>

    M$", N+(()F++% ,+ ,>$ J$,-+ K$% 50'$ 0' N+(()F++%D

    (*=,*+6 ,-.+12,0=>0" ?$2"6-$ F0(( $L,$'% ?+-$ (01>,\-20( ,+ P: -20( (0'$"E +A$- U:

    ",2,0+'" 2'% C+A$- P:: ?0($"E 2" F$(( 2" 2%% ?+-$ G6" -+6,$" ,+ G60(% +6, ,>$4+6',) ,-2'"@+-,2,0+' ")",$? "+ -$"0%$'," C2' 1+ ?+-$ C+'A$'0$',() 2'% ?+-$2BB+-%2G() ,+ ?+-$ @(2C$"D

    (Ranked by Total More Inclined to Vote Yes)

    68%

  • 7/26/2019 Metro Public Poll Results

    21/46

    21

    41%

    41%

    41%

    27%

    27%

    27%

    0% 20% 40% 60% 80%

    Much More Incl. Smwt. More Incl.

    )"%+:%*'3

    Q9. I am going to mention to you some statements made by supporters of the Improve Transportation. Relieve Traffic measure. Please tellme if it makes you more inclined to vote for this ballot measure. Split Sample

    68%

    68%

    (>3;1?:*/@ ;912+*11*105+C2( $C+'+?0"," $",0?2,$ ,>2, ,>$ B-$$F2)E (+C2( ",-$$,2'% @6G(0C ,-2'"0, @-+H$C," 2(+'$ F0(( C-$2,$ ,$'" +B ,>+6"2'%" +B F$((\@2)0'1 H+G"

    ,>-+61>+6, ,>$ 4+6',)D =>+"$ F+-#$-" F0(( ,>$' "@$'% ?+'$) (+C2(()E F>0C> F0((

    1$'$-2,$ >6'%-$%" +B ?0((0+'" +B %+((2-" 0' -$A$'6$" B+- 5+" !'1$($" 4+6',)^" "?2((E

    ?$%06? 2'% (2-1$ G6"0'$""$" 2'% 2' 2%%0,0+'2( '$$% B+- F+-#$-"D

    (-*;92/62+A 39- 5-**2'%($D =>0" ?$2"6-$ F0(( >$(@ 6@1-2%$ 2'% ?+%$-'0X$ +6-

    210'1 B-$$F2)"E >01>F2)"E ,6''$("E +A$-@2""$" 2'% G-0%1$" ,+ ?2,C> 2 PO", 4$',6-)

    $C+'+?) 2'% @-$@2-$ B+- ,>$ >6'%-$%" +B ,>+6"2'%" +B 2%%0,0+'2( C2-" $L@$C,$% +'

    +6- -+2%" +A$- ,>$ '$L, "$A$-2( %$C2%$"D

    (;92/62+A $BCD )*+,9-8 181,*405+" !'1$($" 4+6',)^" ,-2'"@+-,2,0+' ")",$? 0"

    +A$- ;: )$2-" +(% 2'% %+$" '+, 2%%-$"" ,>$ '$$%" +B 0," -$"0%$',"D =>0" ?$2"6-$ F0((

    B0'2(() G-0'1 +6- ,-2'"@+-,2,0+' ")",$? 0',+ ,>$ PO", 4$',6-) G) G60(%0'1 2 ?+%$-',-2'"@+-,2,0+' '$,F+-# F>0C> $L@2'%" (01>, -20(E K2@0% S6"E J$,-+(0'#E B-$$F2)" 2'%

    >01>F2)" ,+ $A$-) C+-'$- +B ,>$ 4+6',)D

    (Ranked by Total More Inclined to Vote Yes)

    68%

  • 7/26/2019 Metro Public Poll Results

    22/46

    22

    41%

    40%

    42%

    41%

    26%

    28%

    25%

    25%

    0% 20 % 4 0% 6 0% 8 0%

    Much More Incl. Smwt. More Incl.

    )"%+:%*'3

    Q9. I am going to mention to you some statements made by supporters of the Improve Transportation. Relieve Traffic measure. Please tellme if it makes you more inclined to vote for this ballot measure. ^Not Part of Split Sample

    68%

    67%

    !"#$% &'() *+,$-" .' /+((0'1 !-$2 3 Q+6,>$2", 5+" !'1$($" 4+6',) 7Z89:P< (139,:*.1,0=>0" ?$2"6-$ @-+A0%$" ,-2BB0C-$(0$B B+- 2(( 2-$2" +B ,>$ 4+6',)D .' ,>$ "+6,>$2", @2-, +B ,>$ C+6',) "@$C0B0C2(()E 0, >$(@"

    0?@-+A$ ,-2BB0C B(+F 2'% "2B$,) G) -$@20-0'1 @+,>+($"E $2-,>Y62#$ -$,-+B0,,0'1 G-0%1$"E0?@-+A0'1 "2B$,) 2, -20( C-+""0'1"E 2" F$(( 2" 2%%0'1 C-+""F2(#" 2'% "0%$F2(#"D ., 2("+ 0?@-+A$"

    C+''$C,0+'" ,+ H+G"E "C>++(" 2'% (+C2( 20-@+-," G) B6'%0'1 @-+H$C," ,+ -$%6C$E F0%$' 2'%6@1-2%$ ,>$ .T B-$$F2) G$,F$$' ,>$ ;:T 2'% ,>$ UO: G+,,($'$C#"E 2" F$(( 2" 2(+'1 ,>$ UO:

    B-$$F2) G$,F$$' %+F',+F' 5! 2'% ,>$ /+-," +B 5+" !'1$($" 2'% 5+'1 S$2C> 2'% 2 '$F (01>,-20( C+''$C,0+' B-+? ,>$ 40,) +B !-,$"02 2'% _'0+' Q,2,0+' 0' `+F',+F' 5+" !'1$($"D

    (/*7*-.A*?.))*/*-.,*0 /2""0'1 ,>0" ,-2'"@+-,2,0+' "2($" ,2L ?$2"6-$ $'"6-$" ,>2,5+" !'1$($" 4+6',) >2" 2 162-2',$$% "+6-C$ +B B6'%0'1 ,+ G$ $(010G($ B+- >6'%-$%" +B ?0((0+'"+B %+((2-" 0' $L0",0'1 ",2,$ 2'% B$%$-2( ,-2'"@+-,2,0+' ?2,C>0'1 B6'%"E F>0C> F+6(% +,>$-F0"$

    1+ ,+ +,>$- C+6',0$"D =>0" 2%%0,0+'2( B6'%0'1 F0(( "@$$% 6@ ,>$ C+?@($,0+' +B (01>, -20(E"6GF2)E J$,-+(0'#E B-$$F2)E >01>F2) 2'% (+C2( ",-$$, 0?@-+A$?$'," 2C-+"" ,>$ 4+6',)D

    a(5-** 9@ ,24*0=>$ 5+" !'1$($" 2-$2 >2" ,>$ F+-", ,-2BB0C 0' ,>$ 4+6',-)D ! ,)@0C2( ?+,+-0",0' 5+" !'1$($" 4+6',) $L@$-0$'C$% ]O >+6-" +B %$(2) +' 2-$2 B-$$F2)" 0' P:OTE F>0C> 0" ?+-$

    ,>2' 2G+6, ,F+ F$$#" +B F+-#D M$ '$$% ,+ C+',0'6$ ,+ 0'A$", 0' +6- B-$$F2)"E (+C2( -+2%" 2'%@6G(0C ,-2'"@+-,2,0+' ,+ >$(@ $2"$ ,-2BB0C 2'% 2((+F 6" ,+ C(20? G2C# "+?$ >+6-" +B +6- (0B$D

    ()31, E$%?8*.-05+C2( $C+'+?0"," "2) ,>0" ?$2"6-$ F0(( +'() C+", ,>$ 2A$-21$ 5+" !'1$($"4+6',) -$"0%$', 2G+6, bP[ 2 )$2-D =>2,^" 2G+6, ,F+ %+((2-" 2 ?+',>E F>0C> 0" 2 "?2(( @-0C$ ,+

    @2) ,+ $2"$ ,-2BB0C 2'% >$(@ -$(0$A$ 2 C+?@($,$() +A$-F>$(?$% ,-2'"@+-,2,0+' ")",$?D

    (Ranked by Total More Inclined to Vote Yes)

    66%

    68%

  • 7/26/2019 Metro Public Poll Results

    23/46

    23

    40%

    42%

    37%

    42%

    26%

    23%

    27%

    21%

    0% 20% 40% 60% 80%

    Much More Incl. Smwt. More Incl.

    )"%+:%*'3

    Q9. I am going to mention to you some statements made by supporters of the Improve Transportation. Relieve Traffic measure. Please tellme if it makes you more inclined to vote for this ballot measure. ^Not Part of Split Sample

    66%

    65%

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    (Ranked by Total More Inclined to Vote Yes)

    63%

    65%

  • 7/26/2019 Metro Public Poll Results

    24/46

    24

    6"+

  • 7/26/2019 Metro Public Poll Results

    25/46

    25

    38%

    19%

    8%

    3%

    6%

    21%

    6%

    0% 2 5% 5 0% 75 % 10 0%

    TotalNo

    30%

    TotalYes

    64%

    Q3 & Q10. (50-Year Sunset) If the election were held today on this measure, do you think you would vote yes in favor or no to oppose it?Q4 & Q11. (No Sunset) If the election were held today on this measure, do you think you would vote yes in favor or no to oppose it?

    46%

    19%

    6%

    3%

    4%

    19%

    3%

    0% 25 % 5 0% 75 % 10 0%

    TotalNo

    26%

    TotalYes

    70%

    Vote AfterEducationInitial Vote

    57% 65%

    Definitely yes

    Probably yes

    Undecided,lean yes

    Undecided,lean no

    Probably no

    Definitely no

    Undecided

    42%

    16%

    6%

    3%

    6%

    21%

    6%

    0% 25 % 50% 75% 100%

    TotalNo

    30%

    TotalYes

    64%

    58%

    47%

    17%

    8%

    3%

    4%

    19%

    2%

    0% 25% 50% 75 % 100%

    TotalNo

    26%

    TotalYes

    72%

    64%

    62' :%:+:

  • 7/26/2019 Metro Public Poll Results

    26/46

    26

  • 7/26/2019 Metro Public Poll Results

    27/46

    27

    ]"+' 9;"&;'##:"% O"; +2' )'%+;

  • 7/26/2019 Metro Public Poll Results

    28/46

    28

    ]"+' 9;"&;'##:"% O"; +2' S";+2 )"*%+, 9"((:%& $;'