meeting of the implementation coordination team on impacts of climate change/variability and natural...
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MEETING OF THE IMPLEMENTATION COORDINATION TEAM ON IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE/VARIABILITY
AND NATURAL DISASTERS ON AGRICULTURE
Agriculture Meteorology Division World Climate Programme Dept.
World Meteorological Organization (WMO)Auckland, New Zealand, 21-23 Febrary, 2005
GUATEMALAINSIVUMEH
Departamento de Investigación y Servicios HídricosFulgencio Garavito
CLIMATIC VARIABILITY PRINCIPLES IN CENTRAL AMERICA
MAIN SOURCES:
ENSO Fenomena. Change of the global wind circulation and subsidence wind
from the high Troposphere to soil surface. Tropical Convergence Zone annual oscillation. Cyclone Activity in the Caribbean Sea, Atlantic and
Pacific Ocean. Change direction wind regional patron. Change direction, temperature and components of the
ocean currents. Change atmospheric pressure regional and local values.
CLIMATIC VARIABILITY PRINCIPLES IN CENTRAL AMERICA
SECUNDARY SOURCES:
Start and conclution irregular data of rainfall time. Many days without rainfall during the wet time (Drought). Many days with permanent rainfall during the wet time
(Floods). Change event numbers of frost and chilling. Oscillation of air, water and soil temperature and humidity. Change the average value of the sun radiation and sunshine
hours. Increase the warm waves number. Decrease percent of cloud coat and layers.
Global Air Temperature Change 1856-2001
LLUVIA ANUAL 1856-2003 Ciudad Guatemala
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
Años
mili
met
ros
(litr
os/m
t²)
DESVIACION AL PROMEDIO.
-800
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
8001856
1860
1864
1880
1892
1896
1912
1916
1924
1928
1932
1936
1940
1944
1948
1952
1956
1960
1964
1968
1972
1976
1980
1984
1988
1982
1986
1980
1984
1988
1992
1996
2000
AÑOS
MIL
IMET
RO
S
DESV.
Rendimiento de maìz en Kg/HaValles de Quetzaltenango, Totonicapan y San Marcos
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
-20% -10% 10% 20%
Variaciòn de lluvia
Kilo
gram
os/H
a
2G
1G
Normal
Rendimiento de maìz en Kg/HaCosta del Pacìfico de Escuintla y Santa Rosa
230024002500260027002800290030003100
-20% -10% 10% 20%
Variaciòn de lluvia
Kilo
gram
os/H
a
2G
1G
Normal
INTENSIDAD DE LLUVIA 60 min- retorno 2 años