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Mechanisms of Decadal Variability in the Atlantic Thermohaline Circulation By Bill Scheftic

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Mechanisms of Decadal Variability in the Atlantic Thermohaline 

CirculationBy

Bill Scheftic

Outline

• Physical Oceanography Review– Ocean Currents and General Properties

– Ekman Pumping

• Dong and Sutton (2005)– Methodology

– Ocean Mechanisms

– Atmospheric Forcing

Ocean Properties: Currents

(Stewart 2005)

Ocean Properties: Salinity

(Stewart 2005)

Ocean Properties: Height

(Stewart 2005)

Ocean Properties: Heat Transport

(Stewart 2005)

Ekman Pumping

(Stewart 2005)

Ekman Pumping

(Stewart 2005)

Ekman Pumping

(Stewart 2005)

Ekman Pumping

Methodology

• HadCM3– Coupled ocean-atmosphere sea-ice GCM

– 1000 yr control run

• THC index– Strength of MOC: 996m, 27.5-32.5N

– 8-65yr bandpass filter (for decadal variability)

• Look at dominant modes of variability of OHT and MOC through EOFs and PCs

Climatology

(Dong and Sutton 2005)

Thermohaline circulation spectrum

(Dong and Sutton 2005)

Mechanisms

Atmosphere

Ocean

(Dong and Sutton 2005)

Ocean Mechanisms

(Dong and Sutton 2005)

Ocean Mechanisms

(Dong and Sutton 2005)

Ocean Mechanisms

(Dong and Sutton 2005)

Ocean Mechanisms

(Dong and Sutton 2005)

Ocean Mechanisms

(Dong and Sutton 2005)

Ocean Mechanisms

(Dong and Sutton 2005)

Ocean Mechanisms

(Dong and Sutton 2005)

Atmospheric Forcing

(Dong and Sutton 2005)

Atmospheric Forcing

(Dong and Sutton 2005)

Global Implications?

(Dong and Sutton 2005)

Summary• ~25 year variability is found in the THC with HadCM3

ocean-atmo GCM• Cold-water accumulates in subpolar gyre, which

strengthens the NAC and advects salty water into the deep convection region which strengthens the THC and subsequent OHT. Finally the subpolar gyre fills in with warmer water leading to a reduction in the THC

• NAO projects onto pattern needed to strengthen subpolar gyre and initiate northeastward saltwater advection.

• Later similar wind stress curl and heat flux anomalies trigger convection in the GIN sea

• DS05 showed that near lag 0 there is a correlation between the THC and tropical precipitation, possibly related to changes in Rossby and Kelvin wave production near the equatorial Atlantic due to ITCZ shifts

References• Dong, B. and R. T. Sutton, 2005: Mechanism of Interdecadal

Thermohaline Circulation Variability in a Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere GCM. J. of Clim., 18, 1117-1135

• Stewart, R. H., 2005: Introduction to Physical Oceanography. Dpt. Of Oceanography, Texas A&M. Available Online at [http://oceanworld.tamu.edu/resources/ocng_textbook/contents.html]