may 2015 real estate securities funds monitor

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Real Estate Securities Funds Monthly Period End: May 2015 CONTENTS Page Summary 2 May 2015 Performance 3 YTD Performance 4 Focus: Fundamental Indices 5 Global Real Estate Funds 7 Global REIT Funds 8 US Real Estate Funds 9 European Real Estate Funds 10 Asian Real Estate Funds 11 Japanese Real Estate Funds 12 Global Infrastructure & Real Assets Funds 13 May 2015 Author: Alex Moss [email protected]

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Real Estate Securities Funds Monthly

Period End: May 2015

CONTENTS Page Summary 2

May 2015 Performance 3

YTD Performance 4

Focus: Fundamental Indices 5

Global Real Estate Funds 7

Global REIT Funds 8

US Real Estate Funds 9

European Real Estate Funds 10

Asian Real Estate Funds 11

Japanese Real Estate Funds 12

Global Infrastructure & Real Assets Funds 13

May 2015

Author: Alex Moss [email protected]

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Real Estate Securities Funds Monthly

Summary This month we have divided the report into the following sections:

1) A summary of May performance by fund mandate and size (p3 )

2) A summary of YTD performance (p4)

3) Focus: Fundamental Indices (ps 5-6)

Last month we looked at two papers which showed how utilizing different Smart Beta strategies affect returns. Our paper, with Kieran Farrelly, took an initial look at the Global market, 2004-2014, and examined how a number of strategies (LTV, Price to Book Value, Total assets) provided superior returns. The other paper by C. Stace Sirmans and Professor G. Stacy Sirmans provided a model for determining the unexpected value in Market-to-Book ratios. Their long/short value strategy built on the unexpected component of the market-to-book ratio produced returns of 1.21% per month over 1985-2013, nearly three times as high and much more statistically robust than simply trading on the raw market-to-book ratio. This month we look at a specific aspect of Alternative Indexation, namely Fundamental Indices. In particular we examine two different styles of Indices which are currently on the market: They are: 1) The Kempen Global Property Fundamental Index ®Strategy, and 2) The Dow Jones Townsend Core US REIT Index. Next month we will be featuring papers from the forthcoming European Real Estate Society Conference in Istanbul

4) Detailed performance statistics by region (ps 7-13 ) for May 2015

For each mandate we show: the dispersion of returns by Fund AUM, popular benchmark returns and volatility, average, maximum and minimum fund returns, the best performing funds by size, for each mandate. For consistency, all returns are rebased in US$. Finally, it is important to note that there are no recommendations or investment advice contained in this publication, and that it is not intended for retail investors. This report represents only a very small summary of the outputs of our database, and the bespoke research and advisory service work we undertake for clients. For further details of our work please contact us.

Mandate May return US$%

US Real estate -0.67

Global Real Estate -1.93

Real Assets Fund -2.28

Global Infrastructure Fund -2.60

Global REIT -2.66

European real estate -2.91

Asian Real estate -2.96Japan Real Estate -3.38

Mandate YTD return US$%

European real estate 4.19

Asian Real estate 4.13Global Real Estate 0.68

Global Infrastructure Fund -0.21

Real Assets Fund -0.85

US Real estate -1.69

Global REIT -1.76Japan Real Estate -2.99

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Real Estate Securities Funds Monthly

May 2015 performance summary Firstly we show how each region and asset class has performed during the month, with the range of maximum

and minimum outcomes. (Figure 1). Secondly, we look at the differences in performance of each mandate

classified by size of Fund (Figure 2).

Figure 1 Fund performance May 2015

A disappointing month for Japanese and Asian funds, reversing last months flow-driven surge.

Figure 2 May 2015 performance by mandate and fund size

Funds Average (%) Max (%) Min (%)

US Real estate -0.67 3.87 -5.32

Global Real Estate -1.93 1.49 -15.67

Real Assets Fund -2.28 -0.55 -4.68

Global Infrastructure Fund -2.60 2.34 -9.80

Global REIT -2.66 -0.40 -8.31

European real estate -2.91 4.77 -10.24

Asian Real estate -2.96 2.96 -36.43

Japan Real Estate -3.38 1.01 -6.33

-5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5

Japanese medium

Japanese large

Asian small

Global REIT small

Japanese small

Europe small

Europe medium

Infrastructure large

Infrastructure medium/small

Real Assets

Global REIT medium

Asian medium

Global small

Global medium

Global REIT large

Global large

US small

US medium

US large

TR % US %

Source: Consilia Capital, Bloomberg

Source: Consilia Capital, Bloomberg

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Real Estate Securities Funds Monthly

YTD 2015 performance summary Firstly we show how each region and asset class has performed YTD, with the range of maximum and minimum

outcomes (Figure 3). Secondly, we look at the differences in performance of each mandate classified by size of

Fund (Figure 4).

.

Figure 3 Fund performances YTD 2015

European funds are still ahead comfortably this year (even in US$ terms), as are Asian funds.

Figure 4 YTD performance by mandate and fund size

Funds Average (%) Max (%) Min (%)

European real estate 4.19 12.86 -7.17

Asian Real estate 4.13 26.90 -20.21

Global Real Estate 0.68 12.02 -22.60

Global Infrastructure Fund -0.21 11.73 -14.48

Real Assets Fund -0.85 2.83 -6.09

US Real estate -1.69 7.58 -11.23

Global REIT -1.76 7.24 -13.15

Japan Real Estate -2.99 10.56 -10.98

-2 0 2 4 6 8 10

Japanese medium

Japanese large

US small

Global REIT small

Japanese small

Global REIT medium

Global REIT large

US large

Infrastructure large

US medium

Real Assets

Global small

Infrastructure medium/small

Global large

Global medium

Asian medium

Europe small

Asian small

Europe medium

TR % US$

Source: Consilia Capital, Bloomberg

Source: Consilia Capital, Bloomberg

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Real Estate Securities Funds Monthly

Fundamental Indices

Background There has been a lot of discussion around the use of Alternative Index Weighting strategies, and this month we look at one particular strategy, which is particularly well suited to real estate companies, namely Fundamental Indices. In particular we take a look at the philosophy and methodology behind two Indices that are currently available.

1) Kempen Global Property Fundamental Index® Strategy

The Index has been developed in conjunction with Research Affiliates who developed the Fundamental Index® strategy that is patented in the US and Canada. Fundamental Index ® strategies are increasingly popular, in passive investing, and total AuM has grown to $168m at 31st December 2014. Kempen Capital Management and Research Affiliates have entered into a partnership within Europe to develop and distribute listed real estate funds based upon the Fundamental Index concept. Global Property Research (“GPR”) constructs the Fundamental Index® for listed real estate.

Methodology There are three fundamental factors which are used for weighting, which are real estate specific. These are:

1) Rental income

2) Dividends paid

3) EBITDA

5 year historical data is used, the factors are equal weighted, and a single currency (Euro) is used. The three fundamental factors are calculated for the GPR 250, and the Fundamental Index is constructed from the 150 most liquid names. There is an annual rebalance.

Weighting Comparison The key question, is therefore how do the resultant weightings compare to the most commonly used free-float market weighted benchmark? Obviously weights in the latter can change more frequently, but as of May 2014 the key differences between the Kempen Global Property Fundamental (“KGPFI”) Index and the ever-popular FTSE/EPRA/NAREIT Developed (“EPRA”) Index were: KGPFI Index is capped at 150 constituents, EPRA at that time comprised 309 constituents. Lower exposure to developers because of income criteria from the GPR Index. US exposure 39% in KGPFI, 49% in EPRA. Hong Kong 15% in KGPFI vs 8% in EPRA. UK 3% in KGPFI, 6% in EPRA. France 7% KGPFI, 4% in EPRA Canada 7% KGPFI, 4% in EPRA. Otherwise, country weightings were +/- 1%. In terms of the largest stocks, three companies, (Simon Property, Mitsui Fudosan, and Unibail-Rodamco) were in the top 5 holdings of both indices.

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Real Estate Securities Funds Monthly

2) Dow Jones Townsend Core US REIT Index

Objective The Dow Jones Townsend Core U.S. REIT Index aims to measure the performance of a basket of securities that could collectively serve as a public-market analog for privately-held institutional “core” real estate investments. The index is offered collaboratively by S&P Dow Jones Indices and The Townsend Group.

Key features To be eligible for the index, a company must have a REIT corporate structure and must be both an equity owner and operator of commercial and/or residential real estate. Companies also must meet minimum requirements for size and liquidity, and must be U.S.-domiciled. Included in the index are companies invested in “core” property types-Office, Industrial, Residential and Retail-and in “alternative” property types-Health Care, Self-Storage and Specialty. Specifically excluded are companies invested in the following property types: Factory Outlets, Hotels, Manufactured Homes, Mixed Industrial/Office and Suburban Office. The index is weighted by float-adjusted market capitalization, subject to restrictions that place upper limits on weightings.

The Dow Jones Townsend Core U.S. REIT Index was first calculated on November 19, 2012.

Descriptive statistics

The Index is reweighted annually, in December, and there are currently 26 constituents. There are weighting constraints imposed as follows: The weightings are float-adjusted market capitalisation, subject to a 20% cap on the weight of individual components and a 45% cap on the aggregate weight of components weighted 4.5% or more.

Conclusion Free float market capitalisation weightings are the obvious methodology to be used for benchmarking purposes, but we believe that alternative weighted indices have a valuable role to play in allowing investors to optimise different investment strategies. This is particularly true in a sector such as real estate which has its own clearly defined fundamental characteristics, and underlying capital market pricing to be considered alongside traditional valuation metrics from the equity and bond markets.

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Real Estate Securities Funds Monthly

Global Funds Performance May 2015

By Fund size

Best Performing Funds Global Large Funds

Global Medium Funds

Global Small

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

-20 -15 -10 -5 0 5

AuM US$m

TR % US$

Fund Average Maximum Minimum

Global large -1.39 -0.19 -2.65

Global medium -1.77 -0.03 -15.67

Global small -2.17 1.49 -7.81

All Funds -1.93 1.49 -15.67

Fund May 2015 TR % Sharpe ratio Volatility % AUM US$m TypeSchroder Global Property Securities Fund -0.19 0.97 12.98 920 Unit Trust

SW Multi-Manager - Global Real Estate Securities Fund-0.36 1.16 12.43 704 OEIC

Principal Global Real Estate Securities Fund -0.91 0.74 11.84 2,714 Open-End

Morgan Stanley Investment Funds - Global Property Fund-0.91 0.51 10.56 1,143 SICAV

Northern Multi-Manager - Global Real Estate Fund -0.92 0.41 11.17 702 Open-End

Fund May 2015 TR % Sharpe ratio Volatility % AUM US$m Type

Standard Life Investments Global Real Estate Fund -0.03 0.13 7.25 608 Unit Trust

HSBC Open Global Property Fund -0.19 1.59 8.34 264 Open-End

Janus Global Real Estate Fund -0.51 0.95 8.38 303 Open-End

UBS CH Institutional Fund 2 - Global Real Estate Securities-0.67 1.21 11.22 119 Open-End

Alpine Global Premier Properties Fund -0.73 0.24 14.35 667 Closed-End

Fund May 2015 TR % Sharpe ratio Volatility % AUM US$m Type

Fima Proprius Inc 1.49 n/a n/a 29 Closed-End

Lion Global Income Real Estate Fund QDII 0.60 0.46 14.18 22 Open-End

Manulife Global Real Estate Class 0.06 1.66 9.31 7 Open-End

SPDR Dow Jones Global Real Estate UCITS ETF -0.24 1.73 15.70 31 ETF

Aston/Harrison Street Real Estate Fund -0.32 0.36 13.66 12 Open-End

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Real Estate Securities Funds Monthly

Global REIT Funds Performance May 2015

By Fund size

Best Performing Funds Global REIT Large Funds

Global REIT Medium Funds

Global REIT Small Funds

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

-15 -13 -11 -9 -7 -5 -3 -1 1

AuM US$m

TR % US$

Fund Average Maximum Minimum

Global REIT large -1.69 -0.75 -3.20Global REIT medium -2.23 -0.40 -5.53

Global REIT small -3.08 -0.87 -8.31

All Funds -2.66 -0.40 -8.31

Fund May 2015 TR % Sharpe ratio Volatility % AUM US$m Type

Okasan World REIT Selection US -0.75 1.71 13.91 768 Fund of Funds

Nikko LaSalle Global REIT Fund - Monthly Dividend-1.15 2.02 12.33 10,203 Fund of Funds

Nikko AMP Global REIT Fund - Monthly Dividend A - Non Hedged-1.17 2.09 12.26 1,042 Fund of Funds

Daiwa Global REIT Open Fund - Monthly Dividend -1.25 2.38 12.66 1,252 Fund of Funds

DIAM World REIT Index Fund - Monthly Dividend -1.39 2.12 12.04 2,376 Fund of Funds

Fund May 2015 TR % Sharpe ratio Volatility % AUM US$m Type

SC Global REAL ESTATE EQUITIES FUND -0.40 0.83 9.57 108 SICAV

Yuanta Global REITs Fund -0.93 0.50 11.53 157 Unit Trust

Daiwa Fund Wrap International REIT Select -0.97 2.32 12.80 371 Open-End

SMTAM SMT Global REIT Index Open -1.14 2.08 12.83 108 Fund of Funds

Nomura World REIT Fund -1.26 1.98 10.98 338 Fund of Funds

Fund May 2015 TR % Sharpe ratio Volatility % AUM US$m Type

MHAM AMP Global REIT Fund - Mizuho Investors SMA-0.87 2.12 12.78 0 Fund of Funds

Daiwa SB SMBC Fund Wrap G-REIT -1.00 1.93 13.30 22 Fund of FundsNomura Index Fund Foreign REIT -1.09 2.10 12.87 29 Open-End

Mitsubishi UFJ Fund Manager -- International REIT-1.11 2.08 12.80 3 Fund of Funds

Capital Global REIT Balanced Fund -1.12 0.53 8.60 26 Unit Trust

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Real Estate Securities Funds Monthly

US Funds Performance May 2015

By Fund size

Best Performing Funds

US Large Funds

US Medium Funds

US Small Funds

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

30000

-6 -4 -2 0 2 4 6

AuM US$m

TR % US $

Fund Average Maximum Minimum

US large -0.23 3.87 -4.79

US medium -0.79 0.37 -5.32

US small -0.85 2.66 -4.76

All Funds -0.67 3.87 -5.32

Fund May 2015 TR % Sharpe Ratio Volatility% AUM US$ Type

SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF 3.87 0.78 16.00 1,647 ETF

CGM Realty Fund 2.23 1.13 13.38 1,600 Open-End

Baron Real Estate Fund 1.02 1.16 11.34 1,935 Open-End

Virtus Real Estate Securities 0.43 0.70 14.43 1,506 Open-End

Third Avenue Real Estate Value Fund/US 0.37 1.11 7.34 3,554 Open-End

Fund May 2015 TR % Sharpe ratio Volatility % AUM US$m Type

Market Vectors Mortgage REIT Income ETF 0.37 0.40 8.45 116 ETF

HC Capital Trust - The Real Estate Securities Portfolio0.30 0.97 12.56 140 Open-End

Fidelity Series Real Estate Income Fund 0.27 1.61 2.99 847 Open-End

Columbia Funds Series Trust I - Columbia Real Estate Equity Fund0.26 0.63 14.18 549 Open-End

iShares Residential Real Estate Capped ETF 0.17 0.82 15.12 264 ETF

Fund May 2015 TR % Sharpe ratio Volatility % AUM US$m Type

Rakuten US REIT Triple Engine TL Monthly Dividend 2.66 1.29 20.73 15 Open-End

US Housing Recovery Fund 0.71 0.67 n/a 18 Invt Trust

Wilshire US REIT ETF 0.55 0.75 14.20 20 ETF

iShares North America Real Estate ETF 0.47 0.59 14.02 22 ETF

Guggenheim Risk Managed Real Estate Fund 0.46 1.26 11.89 111 Open-End

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Real Estate Securities Funds Monthly

European Funds Performance May 2015

By Fund size

Best Performing Funds European Medium Funds

European Small Funds

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

-10 -5 0 5 10

AuM US$m

TR % US$

Fund Average Maximum MinimumEurope medium -2.86 4.77 -10.24

Europe small -2.96 -0.61 -7.21

All Funds -2.91 4.77 -10.24

Fund May 2015 TR % Sharpe ratio Volatility % AUM US$m Type

Aberdeen Investment Funds ICVC - Property Share Fund4.77 2.07 13.13 576 OEIC

TR Property Investment Trust PLC - Ordinary Shares 3.20 1.34 18.88 1,320 InvTrust

iShares UK Property UCITS ETF 2.96 1.76 14.85 1,270 ETF

Premier Funds - Premier Pan European Property Share0.26 2.06 12.70 457 Open-End Henderson Horizon - Pan European Property Equities Fund-1.00 2.46 15.90 612 SICAV

Fund May 2015 TR % Sharpe ratio Volatility % AUM US$m Type

Index Fund Europe REIT Monthly/Nikko -0.61 1.60 17.76 1 Open-End

Mitsubishi UFJ AMP Europe REIT Real Estate Related Equity Annually-0.64 1.79 18.26 4 Open-End

Europe Real Estate Strategy Fund Annually/MHAM -0.77 n/a n/a 104 Open-End

Henderson - European Property Securities -0.97 1.22 14.88 19 Unit Trust

E&G FONDS - Immobilienaktien Europa -1.47 1.68 8.88 4 SICAV

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Real Estate Securities Funds Monthly

Asian Funds Performance May 2015

By Fund size

Best Performing Funds Asian Medium funds

Asian Small funds

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

-40 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20

AuM US$m

TR % US$

Fund Average Maximum Minimum

Asian medium -2.21 -1.28 -7.00

Asian small -3.24 2.96 -36.43All Funds -2.96 2.96 -36.43

Fund May 2015 TR % Sharpe ratio Volatility % AUM US$m Type

Parvest Real Estate Securities Pacific -1.28 2.12 17.59 37 SICAV

Morgan Stanley Investment Funds - Asian Property Fund-1.44 0.28 13.10 243 SICAV

iShares Asia Property Yield UCITS ETF -1.49 1.18 12.71 239 ETF

Henderson Horizon - Asia-Pacific Property Equities Fund-1.51 0.25 12.27 315 Open-End

B&I Pan-Asian Total Return Real Estate Securities Fund-1.54 2.85 6.01 152 Open-End

Fund May 2015 TR % Sharpe ratio Volatility % AUM US$m Type

Kotak India Equity Fund 2.96 1.26 17.23 20 Open-End

Sumitomo Mitsui Asia High Yield REIT Fund TRY 0.52 0.96 15.25 60 Open-End

Kokusai Asia Real Estate Related Stock Open -0.12 2.76 15.19 7 Open-End

AmAsia-Pacific Property Equitites Fund -0.93 1.72 11.98 6 Fund of Funds

B&I Pacific Real Estate Securities Fund -1.07 3.26 3.80 73 Open-End

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Real Estate Securities Funds Monthly

Japanese Funds Performance May 2015

By Fund size

Best Performing Funds Japanese Large funds

Japanese Medium funds

Japanese Small funds

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

-8 -6 -4 -2 0 2

AuM US$m

TR % US$

Fund Average Maximum Minimum

Japanese large -3.68 -2.87 -4.04

Japanese medium -4.19 -3.70 -6.33

Japanese small -2.99 1.01 -4.18

All Funds -3.38 1.01 -6.33

Fund May 2015 TR % Sharpe ratio Volatility % AUM US$m Type

SMTAM J-REIT Research Open - Every Month -2.87 2.33 13.45 3,530 Fund of Funds

NEXT FUNDS REIT Index ETF -2.98 2.58 12.55 1,065 ETF

Shinko Resona JREIT Active Open -3.52 2.39 12.71 1,441 Open-End

Listed Index Fund J-REIT Tokyo Stock Exchange REIT Index - Bi Monthly Dividend-3.76 2.62 12.60 745 ETF

MHAM Mizuho J-REIT Fund -3.82 2.82 13.29 729 Fund of Funds

Fund May 2015 TR % Sharpe ratio Volatility % AUM US$m Type

MHAM J-REIT Active Open Monthly Settlement Course-3.70 2.79 13.89 480 Fund of Funds

SMTAM SMT J-REIT Index Open -3.90 2.65 13.80 100 Fund of Funds

DIAM DIAM J-REIT Active Fund - Monthly Dividend -3.90 3.08 13.20 120 Open-End

Nomura J-REIT Open -3.90 2.93 13.52 159 Fund of Funds

DLIBJ DIAM J-REIT Open - 2 Month Course - Owners Income 2M-3.91 3.07 13.61 126 Fund of Funds

Fund May 2015 TR % Sharpe ratio Volatility % AUM US$m Type

Tokio Marine J-REIT Fund MXN Course Monthly Dividend1.01 n/a n/a 35 Open-End

Mizuho JREIT Fund USD Course Monthly Dividend 1.00 2.44 14.37 45 Open-End

Nomura Construction & Materials ETF 0.74 2.87 15.26 59 ETF

NomuraReal Estate ETF -0.79 1.05 24.28 31 ETF

Daiwa ETF TOPIX-17 Real Estate -1.06 0.92 27.13 3 ETF

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Real Estate Securities Funds Monthly

Infrastructure/Real Asset Funds May 2015

By Fund size

Best Performing Funds Global Infrastructure Large

Global Infrastructure Medium/ Small

Real Assets Funds

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

-12 -10 -8 -6 -4 -2 0

AuM US$m

TR % US $

Fund Average Maximum Minimum

Infrastructure large -2.76 -1.03 -7.30

Infrastructure medium/small -2.54 2.34 -9.80

Real Assets -2.28 -0.55 -4.68

All Funds -2.53 2.34 -9.80

Fund May 2015 TR % Sharpe ratio Volatility % AUM US$m Type

First State Investments ICVC - Global Listed Infrastructure Fund-1.03 1.63 11.34 1,943 OEIC

iShares Global Infrastructure ETF -1.35 0.28 13.09 1,227 ETF

Nomura Deutsche High Dividend Infrastructure Related Stock Fund USD Semi Annual-1.39 2.06 16.29 611 Open-End

Nuveen Global Infrastructure Fund -1.60 0.66 11.52 722 Open-End

Deutsche Global Infrastructure Fund -1.60 0.60 11.73 6,336 Open-End

Fund May 2015 TR % Sharpe ratio Volatility % AUM US$m Type

Cathay Global Infrastructure Fund 2.34 1.19 13.19 50 Unit Trust

BZ Fine Funds BZ Fine Infra 1.03 2.75 13.41 26 Open-End

Meeder Utilities and Infrastructure Fund -0.09 0.25 13.90 57 Open-End

iShares Global Infrastructure UCITS ETF -0.41 0.92 12.73 424 ETF

Investors Global Infrastructure Class -0.46 1.22 12.26 59 Open-End

Fund May 2015 TR % Sharpe ratio Volatility % AUM US$m Type

Argos Investment Fund - Real Assets -0.55 1.76 8.67 6 SICAV

Prudential Real Assets Fund -1.35 -0.43 6.99 112 Open-End

FP Real Assets Fund -1.49 0.15 5.83 181 Open-End

Cohen & Steers Real Assets Funds Inc -1.66 -0.82 8.89 207 Open-End

Planetarium Fund - Riverfield Real Assets -1.92 2.38 9.18 53 Open-End

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Real Estate Securities Funds Monthly

Disclaimer The information contained in this report was obtained from various sources. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made, given or intended by or on behalf of Consilia Capital Limited or any of its directors, officers or employees and no responsibility or liability is accepted by Consilia Capital Limited or any of its directors, officers or employees as to the accuracy, completeness or fairness of any information, opinions (if any) or analysis (if any) contained in this report. Consilia Capital Limited undertakes no obligation to update or correct any information contained in this report or revise any opinions (if any) or analysis (if any) in the light of any new information. Notwithstanding the foregoing, nothing in this paragraph shall exclude liability for any representation or warranty made fraudulently. This report (including its contents) is confidential and is for distribution in the United Kingdom only to persons who are authorised persons or exempt persons within the meaning of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000, or any Order made thereunder, or to persons of a kind described in Article 19(5) (Investment Professionals) of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotion) Order 2005 (as amended) and, if permitted by applicable law, for distribution outside the United Kingdom to professionals or institutions whose ordinary business involves them in engaging in investment activities. It is not intended to be distributed or passed on, directly, indirectly, to any other class of persons. This report may not be copied, reproduced, further distributed to any other person or published, in whole or in part, for any purpose other than with the prior consent of Consilia Capital Limited. Whilst Consilia Capital Limited may at its sole and absolute discretion consent to the copying or reproduction of this report (whether in whole or in part) for your usual business purposes no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made, given or intended by or on behalf of Consilia Capital Limited or any of its directors, officers or employees as to the suitability or fitness of the report for the purpose to which you intend to put the report. The information, opinions (if any) and analysis (if any) contained in this report do not constitute, or form part of, any offer to sell or issue, or any solicitation of an offer to purchase or subscribe for, any securities or options, futures or other derivatives ("securities") nor shall this report, or any part of it, or the fact of its distribution, form the basis of, or be relied on, in connection with any contract. This report is intended to provide general information only. This document may not cover the issues which recipients may regard as important to their consideration, evaluation or assessment of the any of the securities mentioned herein, and where such issues have been covered herein no assurance can be given that they have been considered in sufficient detail for recipients’ purposes. This report does not have regard to any specific investment objectives, the financial situation or the particular requirements of any recipient. To the extent that this report contains any forward-looking statements, estimates, forecasts, projections and analyses with respect to future events and the anticipated future performance of the securities referred to herein, such forward-looking statements, estimates, forecasts, projections and analyses were prepared based upon certain assumptions and an analysis of the information available at the time this report was prepared and may or may not prove to be correct. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made, given or intended by or on behalf of Consilia Capital Limited or any of its directors, officers or employees that any estimates, forecasts, projections or analyses that are used in this report will be realised. These statements, estimates, forecasts, projections and analyses are subject to changes in economic and other circumstances and such changes may be material. Potential investors should seek financial advice from a person authorised under the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 who specialises in advising on the acquisition of securities. Investors should be aware that the value of and income in respect of any securities may be volatile and may go down as well as up and investors may therefore be unable to recover their original investment.