mapping interest group populations

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Mapping interest group populations ECPR Summer School on Interest Group Politics Joost Berkhout, post doctoral researcher, department of political science

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Joost Berkhout, post doctoral researcher, department of political science. Mapping interest group populations. ECPR Summer School on Interest Group Politics. Contents. Group populations: so what? Knoke, and more State of the field; top-down vs bottom up Descriptive efforts: data challenges - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Mapping interest group populations

Mapping interest group populationsECPR Summer School on Interest Group Politics

Joost Berkhout,

post doctoral researcher, department of political science

Page 2: Mapping interest group populations

Joost Berkhout 2

Contents

Group populations: so what?

Knoke, and more State of the field; top-down vs bottom up Descriptive efforts: data challenges

Brulle et al, Halpin et al, Wonka et al Examining and explaining the EU population

Berkhout, Lowery, Messer (2/3 articles)

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Interest populations: So what?

Typical raw data Knoke (and others): who are in positions of

power? Links to stages in influence production process:

on strategies, policy success,

and organizational survival/maintenance. Lowery: theoretically interesting in itself

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Population data in your PhD project:

In your research:

As independent or dependent variable?

Of a specific (policy) sector or issue? Of a

specific type of organization? Comparing

countries? Snapshot or time-series? Research strategies?

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Top-down or bottom-up nature of registers (1):

Top-down: Priority to policy-related activities E.g. consultation lists, entry-registers (or other lobby

disclose rules), lobby offices Suitable for questions about strategies and

influence

Other activity-related sources: police registers on protest, newspaper coverage, negotiating actors in corporatist bargaining

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Top-down or bottom-up nature of registers (2):

Bottom-up: Priority to collective action E.g. directories of associations, formal

registers related to legal status (tax, commerce)

Suitable for questions about mobilisation and populations

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State of the field; top-down, policy perspective

US origin, recent EU, Scottish and comparative work

Common findings: Institutions numerically dominate Volatile / fluid: ‘political hibernation’, EU

tourists, policy amateurs Increase of ‘social interests’ Arena matters

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State of the field: bottom-up, collective action perspective

Studies of social movement organizations Common findings:

Cross-sector, cross-issue, cross guild

variation

Density dependence

Variation in political interest

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US environmental movement, Brulle et al.

About 100 years Required a large number of directories, ‘bottom

up’ Defined by aim: ‘organization that seeks to

bring about improvement of natural environment’ (257). And: exc.: representatives of ‘for profit’ or ‘government’ organizations

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Mapping Organised Interests, Halpin and Baxter

Consultation registers in Scotland. Support for:

Salisbury (1984): institutions dominate the system

Scholzman (2009): Fluid system, ‘non-political’ organizations briefly take ‘political’ roles

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EU data set by Wonka et al.

Snapshot of organizations seemingly active in the EU policy process in 2008

Combination of: Public Affairs Directory (Dod´s / Landmarks) EP register (from EP website) CONECCS (EC stopped in summer 2007,

started new register in 2008)

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The changing demography of the EU interest system since 1990 (1)

EUP, 11(3), 2010 Patched-up design

of multiple directories, 1996

Use of samples to estimate overlap

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The changing demography of the EU interest system since 1990 (2)

Findings: Growth in early nineties, then stability From end of nineties: Larger proportion of ‘public’

interests and change in organizational forms; think tanks, regional representations.

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Short-Term Volatility in the EU Interest Community

JEPP, 18(1), 2011 EP entry register (and a

bit of CONECCS), sample ‘Surprisingly volatile’ Typical age-distribution:

‘old bulls’ vs ‘tourists’

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The Density of the EU Interest System: A Test of the ESA Model

BJPS, forthcoming Variation in numbers of organizations per interest

guild explained by: Area (supply): Value added // potential

membership Energy (demand): legislation, consultation

Difficult empirical integration of social and economic interests; contrasting underlying mechanisms

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Figure 2: Predicted numbers of interest organizations by economic guild area size (indexed), based on Model 3

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-2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5

Economic guild area size (indexed)

Pre

dic

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org

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Predicted values of Y, Model 3 Linear (Predicted values of Y, Model 3)Poly. (Predicted values of Y, Model 3)

Outlier: Banking, finance and insurance

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Figure 1: Predicted numbers of interest organizations by social guild area size (indexed), based on fully specified model

-2

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-1 -0,5 0 0,5 1 1,5

Social guild area size (indexed)

Pre

dic

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inte

rest

org

aniz

atio

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Predicted values of Y, full model Poly. (Predicted values of Y, full model)

Human rights, development

Health issues

Environment, animal rights Labor unions

Social welfare

Education, art, culture

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Recap: Population data in your PhD project:

In your research:

As independent or dependent variable?

Of a specific (policy) sector or issue? Of a

specific type of organization? Comparing

countries? Snapshot or time-series? Research strategies?