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UNCORR
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OF
2011) and the Predictive Value Score (PVS) nine criteria (Suidan,
Gyn Onc 2014) to predict the risk of suboptimal debulking. Accuracy
was dened as the percentage of total patients correctly identied
for their surgical outcome.
Results:The optimal debulking rate in our cohort was 71% and the
successful surgery rate (optimal debulking and no major complica-
tion) was 68%. A SRS score of N=2 predicted unsuccessful surgery
with 78% accuracy (sensitivity 53%, specicity 90%, PPV 71%, NPV
80%) in our cohort. Using the SRS model, 24% of patients would havetriaged to neoadjuvant chemotherapy, and only 15 of 76 patients
selected for debulking surgery would have either had suboptimal
debulking or a major peri-operative complication. A NN score of
N=88 (associated with N50% chance of suboptimal debulking),
predicted suboptimal debulking with 57% accuracy (sensitivity 90%,
specicity 44%, PPV 39%, NPV 91%). However, using the NN model, 66%
of the patients in the current cohort would have been triaged to
neoadjuvant chemotherapy and 40 of these 66 patients would have
actually had optimal debulking. A PVS score of N=7 (associated
with N50% chance of suboptimal debulking), gave accuracy of 73%
(sensitivity 24%, specicity 93%, PPV 58%, NPV 75%). Twenty-ve
percent (22/88) of patients would have been incorrectly identied to
have optimal debulking using the PVS in our cohort. When separated
into categories based on predictive score,the SRSwas most predictive of
unsuccessful surgery in the highest score groups.
Conclusions:Prediction models for suboptimal debulking or a major
surgical complication could be used to triage patients with advanced
ovarian, fallopian tube and primary peritoneal cancer to primary
cytoreductive surgery or neoadjuvant chemotherapy. In our cohort of
patients, the SRS maintained the highest accuracy rate compared to
the NN and PVS models. Additional assessment of the Surgical Risk
Score (SRS) model is warranted.
doi:10.1016/j.ygyno.2015.03.036
Session II: Molecular Pathology
Moderator: Chris Crum, MD,Brigham and Womens Hospital, Boston, MA
Making the case for salpingectomy as the elective sterilization
procedure: A decision analysis
S. Dilleya, A. Allena, C. Lessard-Andersonb, J. Bakkum-Gamezc,
Koenraad De Geesta, A.B. Caugheya, M.I. Rodrigueza. aOregon Health &
Science University, Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Portland, OR,
United States, bAltru Health System, Department of Obstetrics and
Gynecology, Grand Forks, ND, United States, cMayo Clinic, Department
of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Rochester, MN, United States
Objectives:Female sterilization is one of the most commonly used
contraceptive methods in the United States, and laparoscopic tubal
occlusion with a clip or ring has been the primary method forinterval sterilization. With recent data showing the Fallopian tube as
a source of epithelial ovarian cancer (EOC), many providers have
begun routinely recommending salpingectomy in low risk women
requesting tubal sterilization. However, little is known about
the actual increased risks, and potential benets, of a policy of
routine salpingectomy compared to the standard practice of tubal
occlusion. Furthermore, the EOC risk-reducing benets of excisional
salpingectomy are currently theoretical, with limited data suggesting
that excision of the tubes confers a decreased risk of EOC compared
with other methods. Our objective was to compare the risks and
benets of routine salpingectomy with occlusive methods at the time
of interval laparoscopic sterilization in order to provide gynecologic
surgeons with guidance when counseling their patients desiring
permanent contraception.
Methods: We built a decision-analytic model to compare the
difference in cases of ovarian cancer prevented, cancer deaths
prevented, unintended pregnancies averted and total quality-
adjusted life years (QALYs) gained with a policy of routine
salpingectomy compared with tubal occlusion. The study population
is women aged 35 who request laparoscopic sterilization. A Markov
model accounts for the annual risk of developing EOC over a 30-year
time horizon. SEER cancer registry data was used for age-specicrisks of EOC. The risk reductions associated with different types
of tubal sterilization were obtained from the literature. We obtained
probabilities for rates of surgical complications, contraceptive
failure, and utilities for ovarian cancer and unintended pregnancy
from the literature.
Results: For every 300,000 women who receive laparoscopic
salpingectomy instead of sterilization with an occlusive method, 216
unintended pregnancies, 1230 cases of EOC and 1200 deaths from EOC
would be averted over 30 years. This practice would result in an
increase of 25,359 QALYs over the same time period. Sensitivity
analyses were run in order to conrm the validity of our assumptions.
Even if we assume a threefold greater risk of surgical complications,
routine salpingectomy yields increased QALYs compared with TO,
as long as salpingectomy reduces the risk of EOC by at least 5%.Conclusions: Among low risk women requesting tubal sterilization,
routine salpingectomy prevents EOC cases and deaths, averts unintended
pregnancies and improves QALYs compared with tubal occlusive
methods. Future research is needed to ascertain the precise impact on
ovarian cancer provided by salpingectomy.
doi:10.1016/j.ygyno.2015.03.037
Session III: Rare Tumors
Moderator: Jubilee Brown, MD,
The University of Texas, MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, TX
Effect of preoperative chemotherapy on postoperative morbidity
and mortality in patients undergoing surgery for ovarian cancer
D. Dooa, M. Guyb, K. Behbakhtb, S. Davidsonb, J. Sheedera, S. Guntupallib.aUniversity of Colorado, Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Aurora,
CO, United States, bUniversity of Colorado, Department of Obstetrics and
Gynecology, Division of Gynecologic Oncology, Aurora, CO, United States
Objectives: Neoadjuvant chemotherapy in the treatment of ovarian
cancer is increasing. We sought to determine if there is an
association between pre-operative chemotherapy and post-operative
morbidity and mortality in ovarian cancer patients undergoing
surgical debulking.
Methods: The American College of Surgeons National Surgical
Quality Improvement Program database was used to identify womenundergoing surgical debulking for ovarian cancer between 2005 and
2012. Women who had received chemotherapy 30 days prior to
surgery were compared to those who did not. Baseline characteris-
tics, total operative time, length of stay, post-operative morbidity,
and mortality were compared between groups. Standard statistical
analyses were used.
Results: One thousand eight hundred seven cases were identied
and 195 (10.8%) received chemotherapy 30 days prior to surgery.
The preoperative chemotherapy group was more likely to have used
steroids within 30 days prior to surgery (4.6 vs 2.0%, p = 0.02), was
more likely to have lost N10% of their body weight in the 6 months
prior to surgery (10.3 vs 5.2%, p b 0.01), and was more likely to have
a bleeding disorder (9.7 vs 3.3%, p b 0.01). Patients who received
chemotherapy also entered surgery with lower platelets (250 106
Abstracts / Gynecologic Oncology 137 (2015) 591599598
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