ma-sen ppp for lcv (oct. 2012)

7/31/2019 MA-Sen PPP for LCV (Oct. 2012)

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Public Policy Polling3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

Phone: 888 621-6988Web: www.publicpolicypolling.comEmail: [email protected]

F rom: Tom Jensen, Director of Public Policy Polling

To: Interested Parties

Subject : Warren takes largest lead yet in Massachusetts Senate race

Date: October 17 th, 2012

A new Public Policy Polling survey in Massachusetts finds Elizabeth Warren with her

biggest lead in the race to date, 53-RYHU5HSXEOLFDQLQFXPEHQW6FRWW%URZQ:DUUHQV

gained three points since last week we found her ahead 50-44.

Key findings from the survey include:

-%URZQVDSSURYDOUDWLQJKDVGLSSHGWRMXVWZLWKRIYRWHUVXQKDppy with his

MRESHUIRUPDQFH0HDQZKLOH:DUUHQVIDYRUDELOLW\QXPEHUVFRQWLQXHLPSURYLQJDVWKH

campaign progresses. 52% of voters now have a positive opinion of her to just 43% with

a negative one.

-Warren is now leading Brown with both women (55-40) and men (50-48). She also has

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almost in half over the last two months, from 26 points in August to now just 15 points.

And she has the Democratic base pretty unified around her with 81% planning to vote

for her compared to only 14% who are siding with Brown.

-Barack Obama leads the Presidential race in the state 57-39, a small improvement from

last week when he led only 55-+HVZLQQLQJRYHURIWKH5HSXEOLFDQYRWHLQthe

VWDWHPRUHWKDQ0LWW5RPQH\VVKDUHZLWK'HPRFUDWV

PPP interviewed 709 likely Massachusetts voters on October 15th

and 16th on behalf of

the League of Conservation Voters. The margin of error is +/-3.7%


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October 15-16, 2012Survey of 709 likely voters

October 15-16, 2012Survey of 709 likely voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988



Massachusetts Survey Results

Q1 The candidates for President are DemocratBarack Obama and Republican Mitt Romney. Ifthe election was today, who would you votefor?

57%Barack Obama................................................

39%Mitt Romney....................................................

3%Undecided.......................................................

Q2 Do you approve or disapprove of Senator ScottBrowns job performance?

46%Approve ..........................................................45%Disapprove......................................................

8%Not sure ..........................................................

Q3 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Ellizabeth Warren?

52%Favorable........................................................

43%Unfavorable ....................................................

5%Not sure ..........................................................

Q4 The candidates for Senate this fall areDemocrat Elizabeth Warren and RepublicanScott Brown. If the election was today, whowould you vote for?

53%Elizabeth Warren ............................................

44%Scott Brown ....................................................

3%Undecided.......................................................

Q5 Who did you vote for President in 2008?

31%John McCain...................................................

61%Barack Obama ................................................

8%Someone else/Don't remember......................

Q6 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.

54%Woman ...........................................................

46%Man.................................................................

Q7 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican,

press 2. If you are an independent or identifywith another party, press 3.

42%Democrat........................................................

16%Republican......................................................

42%Independent/Other..........................................

Q8 If you are white, press 1. If other, press 2.

82%White ..............................................................

18%Other...............................................................

Q9 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you areolder than 65, press 4.

12%18 to 29...........................................................

25%30 to 45...........................................................

39%46 to 65...........................................................

23%Older than 65..................................................


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October 15-16, 2012survey of 709 likely votersMOE +/-3.7%






Crosstabs

Base

2008 Vote

John

McCain

Barack

Obama

Someone else/Don't

remember

Obama/Romney

Barack Obama

Mitt Romney

Undecided

57% 9% 85% 32%

39% 90% 12% 53%

3% 1% 3% 15%

Base

2008 Vote

John

McCain

Barack

Obama

Someone else/Don't

remember

Brown Approval

Approve

Disapprove

Not sure

46% 88% 23% 62%

45% 9% 67% 25%

8% 3% 11% 13%

Base

2008 Vote

John

McCain

Barack

Obama

Someone else/Don't

rememberWarren Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

52% 11% 75% 32%

43% 85% 20% 59%

5% 4% 4% 8%

Base

2008 Vote

John

McCain

Barack

Obama

Someone else/Don't

rememberWarren/Brown

Elizabeth Warre n

Scott Brown

Undecided

53% 10% 77% 32%

44% 89% 19% 58%

3% 2% 4% 10%


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5/7







Crosstabs

Base

Party

Democrat Republican Independent/Other

Obama/Romney

Barack Obama

Mitt Romney

Undecided

57% 88% 16% 43%

39% 11% 82% 51%

3% 1% 2% 6%

Base

Party


Brown Approval

Approve

Disapprove

Not sure

46% 21% 89% 54%

45% 67% 9% 38%

8% 12% 2% 8%

Base

Party


Warren FavorabilityFavorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

52% 78% 12% 42%

43% 16% 83% 55%

5% 6% 5% 3%

Base

Party


Warren/BrownElizabeth Warre n

Scott Brow n

Undecided

53% 81% 11% 41%

44% 14% 88% 56%

3% 4% 0% 4%


6/7







Crosstabs

Base

Race

White Other

Obama/Romney

Barack Obama

Mitt Romney

Undecided

57% 55% 67%

39% 42% 29%

3% 3% 4%

Base

Race

White Other

Brow n Approval

Approve

Disapprove

Not sur e

46% 48% 39%

45% 45% 47%

8% 7% 14%

Base

Race

White Other

Warren Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

52% 50% 62%

43% 45% 34%

5% 5% 4%

Base

Race

White Other

Warren/Brown

Elizabeth Warre n

Scott Brow n

Undecided

53% 51% 63%

44% 47% 29%

3% 3% 8%


7/7







Crosstabs

Base

Age

18 to

29

30 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

Obama/Romney

Barack Obama

Mitt Romne y

Undecided

57% 64% 57% 58% 53%

39% 32% 38% 40% 44%

3% 4% 5% 2% 3%

Base

Age

18 to

29

30 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

Brow n Approval

Approve

Disapprove

Not sure

46% 52% 43% 46% 47%

45% 40% 49% 45% 45%

8% 8% 8% 9% 8%

Base

Age

18 to

29

30 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

Warren Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

52% 40% 55% 55% 48%

43% 56% 38% 41% 46%

5% 4% 7% 4% 5%

Base

Age

18 to

29

30 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

Warren/Brown

Elizabeth Warren

Scott Brow n

Undecided

53% 52% 56% 53% 49%

44% 48% 38% 44% 47%

3% - 5% 3% 4%

ma-sen ppp for lcv (oct. 2012)

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