local government electricity contracts …€¦ · behind the meter demand management –epc study...
TRANSCRIPT
LOCAL GOVERNMENT ELECTRICITY CONTRACTS
INFORMATION FORUM
September 2017
Large Scale Solar Feasibility Study Final
Report and Excel Tool
Key references
Discussion Paper: Electricity Procurement in the
Victorian Local Government Sector – Aligning
Council Money With Council Values
Session overview
Item Lead Timing/end
Registration, tea and coffee, networking 9:30-9:45
1. Welcome Stephanie Ziersch 9:45-9:50
2. Introduction Fran Macdonald 9:50-10:00
3. Current procurement options and alternate pathways for councilsScott McKenry and
Adam Zaborszczyk10:00-10:40
MORNING TEA and discussions at tables 10:40-10:55
4. QuestionsDominique La Fontaine
and David Meiklejohn10:55-11:15
5. Focus on investment: Options to build, own and operate offsite FG Advisory 11:15-11.55
6. Workshop on procurement options for renewable energyScott McKenry and
Adam Zaborszcsyk11:55-12:55
Close David Meiklejohn 12:55-1pm
Contract timing
2015 2016 2017 2018
Large
market
Public
lighting
Small
market
Who is with who? See handout on tables or download the excel file
18
25
21
60
54
51
1
1
Contract timing…. and historical wholesale prices
2015 2016 2017 2018
100
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
$/MWh
Source: AER (Victorian annual volume weighted average wholesale prices)
? X2Demand
Charges
Potential price impact on bills
Component of Council Electricity Bill
Network
Demand
Environmental
Other
Contestable $-
$200,000
$400,000
$600,000
$800,000
$1,000,000
$1,200,000
$1,400,000
$1,600,000
Now Post tender
Typical cost impact to average Vic council ($/yr)
Minimising price risks
Demand side
Behind the meter
Supply side
In front of the meter
X2Payback
Period
Behind the meter demand management – solar PV
Site 2016/17 FYEstimated Supply
and Install Cost
Estimated kWh
Saving (Annual)
Estimated t-CO2e
Saving (Annual)
Estimated $
Savings (Annual)
Estimated Simple
Payback
Child Care Centre $143,406 130,086 155 $27,318 7.8
Community Centre $28,220 23,521 28 $4,939 5.0
Library $31,042 23,626 28 $4,961 5.4
Depot $43,500 39,420 47 $8,278 6.7
Library $98,756 85,357 102 $17,925 5.5
Library $64,662 52,429 62 $11,010 8.0
Library & Community Room $18,500 13,140 16 $2,759 6.7
Memorial Hall & RSL $15,475 15,768 19 $3,311 4.7
Aquatic Centre $36,456 39,420 47 $8,278 4.4
Aquatic Centre $29,079 32,850 39 $6,899 4.2
Community Centre $14,490 13,140 16 $2,759 5.3
Council Offices $49,046 36,792 44 $7,726 6.4
OVERALL $572,632 505,549 602 $106,163 5.4
↓7%
Behind the meter demand management – EPC study
AQUATIC CENTRES (x3) Av cost per elec saved 10 yrs ($/kWh) Av Payback (Yrs)
Pool Pump Control $0.04 5.15
Voltage Regulation $0.07 6.70
Solar PV $0.08 6.87
BMS Optimisation $0.11 7.64
Efficient lighting $0.11 7.29
Analytics $0.20 6.82
AC Replacement $0.43 37.90
ARTS CENTRES (x4) Av cost per elec saved 10 yrs ($/kWr) Av Payback (Yrs)
AC Optimisation $0.06 3.08
BMS Upgrade $0.09 5.13
Voltage Regulation $0.14 6.81
Solar PV $0.16 6.91
Venue Scheduling Integration $0.17 6.51
Efficient lighting $0.20 7.87
AC Replacement $0.71 28.24
CIVIC CENTRE (x1) Av cost per elec saved 10 yrs ($/kWr) Av Payback (Yrs)
Solar PV $0.08 7.41
Analytics $0.13 9.11
Variable Speed Control $0.23 14.77
Efficient lighting $0.24 9.29
Behind the meter demand management – EPC study
AQUATIC CENTRES (x3) Av cost per elec saved 10 yrs ($/kWh) Av Payback (Yrs)
Pool Pump Control $0.04 5.15
Voltage Regulation $0.07 6.70
Solar PV $0.08 6.87
BMS Optimisation $0.11 7.64
Efficient lighting $0.11 7.29
Analytics $0.20 6.82
AC Replacement $0.43 37.90
ARTS CENTRES (x4) Av cost per elec saved 10 yrs ($/kWr) Av Payback (Yrs)
AC Optimisation $0.06 3.08
BMS Upgrade $0.09 5.13
Voltage Regulation $0.14 6.81
Solar PV $0.16 6.91
Venue Scheduling Integration $0.17 6.51
Efficient lighting $0.20 7.87
AC Replacement $0.71 28.24
CIVIC CENTRE (x1) Av cost per elec saved 10 yrs ($/kWr) Av Payback (Yrs)
Solar PV $0.08 7.41
Analytics $0.13 9.11
Variable Speed Control $0.23 14.77
Efficient lighting $0.24 9.29
30%Reduction
In front of the meter – ‘buy’ or ‘invest, own, operate’
Power purchasing agreements
Stockyard Hill (~55/MWh, until 2030)
Silverton ($65/MWh, capped for first 5 years)
Hornsdale wind farm ($73/MWh for 20 years)
Crookwell wind ($86.60/MWh for 20 years)
Sunshine Coast Solar Farm
Cost $50M
Forecast savings of $22M over 25 years
Seven years lead in time, including three
attempts at establishing PPA
Opportunities – deliver multiple policy objectives
1. Cost minimisation
Renewables are now cheaper than standard ‘black’ power, if you can
commit to a long term contract (~10 years)… but there are risks
2. Emissions reduction
23 councils with carbon neutral goals, 45 with targets to 2025
3. Procurement obligations under the LG Act
Best value means services such as data access, network tariff reviews,
billing faults, metering innovations
4. Regional economic development
Clean Energy Council estimates that 15 FTE are required for the
installation of 1MW of renewable energy capacity
Comparing options (see discussion paper)
OptionCost
minimisation
Emissions
reduction
Procurement
policies
Economic
development
Business as usual No No Partly No
Progressive purchasing Potentially No Partly No
GreenPower No Yes Yes Yes
GreenPower Connect Potentially Yes Yes Yes
Buy & Surrender LGCs Potentially Yes Yes Yes
Retailer aligned PPA Potentially Yes Yes Yes
Direct offsite PPA Potentially Potentially Yes Potentially
Reverse Auction/CFD PPA Potentially Yes Yes Yes
Synthetic PPA TBC TBC TBC TBC
Onsite solar Yes Yes Yes Yes
Invest, build, own, operate Yes Yes Yes Yes
Who is offering what?
Option
Business as usual Yes Yes
Progressive purchasing Yes Yes
GreenPower Yes
GreenPower Connect
Buy & Surrender LGCs Yes
Retailer aligned PPA Yes
Direct offsite PPA Maybe
Reverse Auction/CFD PPA Maybe
Synthetic PPA
Onsite solar
Invest, build, own, operate
Pros and cons
Pros Cons
• A council only procurement group
• Tendering processes appear to be more
competitive
• Only one contract option available - forward
contract model (fixed price, fixed term)
• Short time lines
• Three contracting options
• A decision to not accept the outcome of the
tender isn’t likely to impact other parties (for BAU
option)
• ‘Balancing’ needs of other users in the
portfolio
• Little information available on new PPA option
• Tenders appear less competitive (frustration!)
• Precedence in place
• Councils may be able to access contracts struck
under the State’s reverse auction (TBC)
• No option for public lighting
• Progressive purchasing only
Pathways – PA councils
• Splitting contracts across different models may be attractive to councils looking
to hedge their risks
• Public lighting has a flat, predictable load profile and may therefore secure a
better price for a PPA
PPA
Onsite solar (go hard!)
Progressive purchasing?
Business as usual?
Public lighting
Large Market
Small Market
Pathways – MAV councils
• TTEG (technical advisor to MAV) have cautioned against pursuing a long term
PPA in the current volatile market, but are happy to work with councils through the
next fixed term contract to develop a robust PPA option
Opportunities to influence the process
• Retail arrangement that supports ‘direct offsite PPAs’
• Tender should seek long and short term prices for
GreenPower
• Evaluation criteria should reflect the four policy
objectives of councils
Pathways – State Government
• State looking to extent their
current contract with Red Energy
for additional 12 months (mid/end
of 2019)
• Next auction rounds will address
the State Government own
electricity needs (target 40% by
2025), but no additional projects
until 2020
Case Study – Sunshine Coast Solar Farm
15MW solar farm – Owned by Sunshine
Coast Council
New Project
Retailer as intermediary
Sell LGCs that are not required for
compliance
Cost Minimisation – Yes
Emissions Reduction – No
Procurement Policies - ?
Economic Development – Yes
Case Study – Melbourne Renewable Energy Project
100 GWh/year
New Project
Bundled contract
Retail electricity purchase and
LGC purchase
Cost Minimisation – Yes
Emissions Reduction – Yes
Procurement Policies - Yes
Economic Development – Yes
Case Study – UTS / Singleton Solar Farm
250kW solar farm – Leased by UTS
Existing Project, 2 year contract
Retailer as intermediary
Contractually a ‘behind the meter’
arrangement
No LGC purchase (developer retains LGCs)
Cost Minimisation – presumably yes (?)
Emissions Reduction – No
Procurement Policies - Yes
Economic Development – No
Case Study – ACT Gov Wind Auction
3x wind farms (200MW total)
New Projects
‘Contract for Difference’
‘share’ spot market revenue/loss with
generator
LGCs surrendered
Cost Minimisation – Yes
Emissions Reduction – Yes
Procurement Policies - Yes
Economic Development – Yes
Case Study – ACT Gov Wind Auction
Activity - introduction
Melbourne Renewable Energy
Project
BUY VS INVEST, OWN, OPERATE
Sunshine Coast Solar Farm
Activity - introduction
Melbourne Renewable Energy
Project
SUPPORTS NEW RENEWABLES
EMISSIONS REDUCTIONVS
SUPPORTS NEW RENEWABLES
LOWEST COST
Sunshine Coast Solar Farm
Activity - introduction
Ararat, Wind Farm
WIND VS SOLAR
Queensland, Telstra
Activity - introduction
UTS SINGLTON
SHORT TERM (~2 yrs) VS LONG TERM (10-20ys)
State Gov Reverse Auction,
contract for difference
UTS Singleton, “Direct Offsite PPA”
Activity – Step 1
At your tables, spend 10 mins documenting the pros and cons of “buy” versus “invest
own operate” options
BUY INVEST, OWN OPERATE
PROS
CONS
Activity – Step 2
In groups, agree on the responses to the following questions (10 min)
Does the project need to reduce
emissions?
How does this align with your council’s
emissions reduction objectives?
Activity – Step 3
Staying in the same groups, note responses to the following questions (10 min)
Does the project have to deliver local
economic development outcomes?
What compromise on savings (%) would be
acceptable to ensure a local outcome?
What are the implications for the likely type
of generation technology?
Activity – Step 4
Staying in the same groups, note responses to the following questions (10 min)
What other requirements are most important
to ensure that councils are getting best
value?
i.e. data monitoring, netting off, fault
resolution, tariff reviews etc
Next steps - survey
• Webinar (1hr) for those who could not attend, 11am Thursday 5th Oct
• A survey of all Victorian councils to:
o collect information on the preferences of councils for developing new retail
procurement and contracting models
o quantify electricity consumption by contract type to assist in project scoping
o determine the extent to which Victorian councils have installed solar PV on
their own facilities to inform future bulk buy initiatives
• Establishment of a cross Alliance working group (self nominate via survey) to
progress one or more opportunities