life cycle assessment of active and passive groundwater remediation technologies

29
Life cycle assessment of active and passive groundwater remediation technologies Peter Bayer * , Michael Finkel Center for Applied Geoscience, University of Tuebingen, Sigwartstrasse 10, 72076 Tuebingen, Germany Received 17 June 2005; received in revised form 28 October 2005; accepted 10 November 2005 Available online 27 December 2005 Abstract Groundwater remediation technologies, such as pump-and-treat (PTS) and funnel-and-gate systems (FGS), aim at reducing locally appearing contaminations. Therefore, these methodologies are basically evaluated with respect to their capability to yield local improvements of an environmental situation, commonly neglecting that their application is also associated with secondary impacts. Life cycle assessment (LCA) represents a widely accepted method of assessing the environmental aspects and potential impacts related to a product, process or service. This study presents the set-up of a LCA framework in order to compare the secondary impacts caused by two conceptually different technologies at the site of a former manufactured gas plant in the city of Karlsruhe, Germany. As a FGS is already operating at this site, a hypothetical PTS of the same functionality is adopted. During the LCA, the remediation systems are evaluated by focusing on the main technical elements and their significance with respect to resource depletion and potential adverse effects on ecological quality, as well as on human health. Seven impact categories are distinguished to address a broad spectrum of possible environmental loads. A main point of discussion is the reliability of technical assumptions and performance predictions for the future. It is obvious that a high uncertainty exists when estimating impact specific indicator values over operation times of decades. An uncertainty analysis is conducted to include the imprecision of the underlying emission and consumption data and a scenario analysis is utilised to contrast various possible technological variants. Though the results of the study are highly site-specific, a generalised relative evaluation of potential impacts and their main sources is the principle objective rather than a discussion of the calculated absolute impacts. A crucial finding that can be applied to any other site is the central role of steel, which particularly derogates the valuation of FGS due to the associated emissions that are harmful to human health. In view of that, environmental credits can be achieved by selecting a mineral-based wall instead of sheet piles for the funnel construction and by minimising the steel consumption for the gate construction. Granular activated carbon (GAC) is exclusively considered as the treatment material, both in-situ and on-site. Here it is 0169-7722/$ - see front matter D 2005 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. doi:10.1016/j.jconhyd.2005.11.005 * Corresponding author. Tel.: +49 7071 2973178; fax: +49 7071 5059. E-mail address: [email protected] (P. Bayer). Journal of Contaminant Hydrology 83 (2006) 171 – 199 www.elsevier.com/locate/jconhyd

Upload: peter-bayer

Post on 05-Sep-2016

220 views

Category:

Documents


3 download

TRANSCRIPT

  • evaluated by focusing on the main technical elements and their significance with respect to resource

    funnel construction and by minimising the steel consumption for the gate construction. Granular activated

    carbon (GAC) is exclusively considered as the treatment material, both in-situ and on-site. Here it is

    Journal of Contaminant Hydrology 83 (2006) 171199

    www.elsevier.com/locate/jconhyddepletion and potential adverse effects on ecological quality, as well as on human health. Seven impact

    categories are distinguished to address a broad spectrum of possible environmental loads. A main point of

    discussion is the reliability of technical assumptions and performance predictions for the future. It is

    obvious that a high uncertainty exists when estimating impact specific indicator values over operation times

    of decades. An uncertainty analysis is conducted to include the imprecision of the underlying emission and

    consumption data and a scenario analysis is utilised to contrast various possible technological variants.

    Though the results of the study are highly site-specific, a generalised relative evaluation of potential

    impacts and their main sources is the principle objective rather than a discussion of the calculated absolute

    impacts. A crucial finding that can be applied to any other site is the central role of steel, which particularly

    derogates the valuation of FGS due to the associated emissions that are harmful to human health. In view of

    that, environmental credits can be achieved by selecting a mineral-based wall instead of sheet piles for theLife cycle assessment of active and passive groundwater

    remediation technologies

    Peter Bayer *, Michael Finkel

    Center for Applied Geoscience, University of Tuebingen, Sigwartstrasse 10, 72076 Tuebingen, Germany

    Received 17 June 2005; received in revised form 28 October 2005; accepted 10 November 2005

    Available online 27 December 2005

    Abstract

    Groundwater remediation technologies, such as pump-and-treat (PTS) and funnel-and-gate systems

    (FGS), aim at reducing locally appearing contaminations. Therefore, these methodologies are basically

    evaluated with respect to their capability to yield local improvements of an environmental situation,

    commonly neglecting that their application is also associated with secondary impacts. Life cycle assessment

    (LCA) represents a widely accepted method of assessing the environmental aspects and potential impacts

    related to a product, process or service. This study presents the set-up of a LCA framework in order to

    compare the secondary impacts caused by two conceptually different technologies at the site of a former

    manufactured gas plant in the city of Karlsruhe, Germany. As a FGS is already operating at this site, a

    hypothetical PTS of the same functionality is adopted. During the LCA, the remediation systems are0169-7722/$ - see front matter D 2005 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

    doi:10.1016/j.jconhyd.2005.11.005

    * Correspond

    E-mail address: [email protected] (P. Bayer).ing author. Tel.: +49 7071 2973178; fax: +49 7071 5059.

  • identified as an additional main determinant of the relative assessment of the technologies since it is

    continuously consumed.

    D 2005 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

    Keywords: Life cycle assessment; Funnel-and-gate; Pump-and-treat; Remediation; Groundwater; Uncertainty; Monte

    Carlo; Weighting triangle

    1. Introduction

    Groundwater is one of the most valuable natural resources. Beside its central position for

    terrestrial and aquatic ecosystems, groundwater is essential for drinking and industrial water

    abstraction. It represents by far the largest reservoir of fresh water, with stored volumes over fifty

    times greater than the amount of surface water. Growing populations, continual urbanisation and

    industrialisation are increasing the risk of groundwater contamination, while simultaneously, the

    living standards and demands on our natural environment are rising. Hazardous waste disposal

    facilities, oil refineries and chemical plants are typical sources of waste streams, which can reach

    the aquifer and produce long-term contaminations in the subsurface. Most contaminant sites in

    industrialised countries are characterised by the occurrence of hazardous organic chemicals in

    the underground. They can form separate, nonaqueous phases in the subsurface, which

    continuously feed the passing groundwater with contaminants. Downgradient of these source

    zones, plumes develop with significant concentrations of the contaminants dissolved in the

    groundwater. Contaminants can also slowly diffuse into the low permeable aquifer matrix and,

    because of the small mass transfer rates into groundwater, stay there as long-term secondary

    sources (Grathwohl, 1998; Fetter, 1999). These aspects substantiate the importance of the

    protection of groundwater from pollution and the control of already contaminated aquifer zones.

    However, the considerably low mobility together with a typically high persistency of organic

    contaminants is the crux for the development of suitable groundwater remediation technologies.

    A still common and conventional bcleanupQ practice is pump-and-treat, meaning the pumpingof contaminated groundwater followed by on-site treatment. Pumping wells are installed in or in

    the vicinity of the source or plume area in order to hydraulically capture the critical aquifer

    zones. Experience shows that due to the limited mass transfer rates, aquifer restoration by

    conventional pump-and-treat systems is, for the most part, not achievable within reasonable

    timeframes (Eberhardt and Grathwohl, 2002; Stroo et al., 2003). Though the use of pump-and-

    treat systems (PTS) is not the only technological option, it still seems to be the most favourable

    because of the experience in appropriate hydraulic design, as well as its flexibility and simplicity

    (US EPA, 1996; Bayer, 2004).

    Meanwhile, permeable walls (PRBs) are a widely accepted alternative for long-term plume

    management. Continuously or locally reactive vertical walls are installed in-situ for down-

    gradient capture and treatment of the contaminated plume (US EPA, 2002). Funnel-and-gate

    systems (FGS Starr and Cherry, 1994) are a variant based on the combination of impermeable

    walls (funnels) and reactive zones (gates). Adjusted to the regional groundwater flow regime, the

    funnels direct the contaminated water through the in-situ treatment facilities within the gates.

    Compared to PTS, FGS and continuous permeable walls are denoted as bpassiveQ systems since,after proper installation of the technological devices, no active work, such as pumping, is

    needed.

    P. Bayer, M. Finkel / Journal of Contaminant Hydrology 83 (2006) 171199172In the presented study, the focus is set on the comparison of PTS and FGS, as typical active

    and passive groundwater remediation options, in terms of their environmental impacts. Similar

  • to wastewater treatment or recycling techniques, the achievement of a local environmental

    benefit, i.e. the control and removal of contaminants, is compromised by certain environmental

    burdens caused during the construction, installation and maintenance of the technologies. These

    so-called secondary impacts (Volkwein et al., 1999) can reach significant levels depending on

    the type of materials and energy used, the size of the treatment system and its time of operation.

    A life cycle assessment (LCA) framework is used to contrast the potential impacts in different

    categories reflecting the inherent adverse effects on ecology, human health as well as the

    depletion of energy resources. LCA considers the potential impacts associated with the supply

    chains throughout a products (i.e. here, technologys) life cycle from raw material acquisition

    through production, use and disposal (ISO, 14040, 1997).

    2. Previous work

    The most comprehensive approaches for using LCA to environmentally rate impacts from

    remediation of contaminated sites have been presented by Beinat et al. (1997), Volkwein et al.

    (1999) and Diamond et al. (1999). Sue`r et al. (2004) give a brief literature review of the few

    available studies in this area. The REC method presented by Beinat et al. (1997) is a streamlined

    decision support system for estimating the relevance of environmental impacts of technological

    alternatives within a risk assessment framework. Volkwein et al. (1999) emphasize a difference

    in their UVA approach to REC: While the REC tool can be applied to derive suitable clean-up

    levels, the levels have to be assigned a priori when using the UVA method. Aside from this,

    UVA is a more detailed and elementary approach, which operates on generic datasets processed

    in over 50 modules (LfU, 1998). Volkwein et al. (1999) show the application of their method in

    accessing the impacts caused by partial soil excavation, on-site ensuring and surface sealing.

    Bender et al. (1998) also discuss the suitability of the UVA tool for analysing the impacts caused

    by a number of different groundwater remediation technologies, such as long-term extraction of

    groundwater, in-situ bioremediation and soil vapor extraction. Though their case study does not

    exhibit a detailed site and inventory data description and no information is given on how the site

    data is processed within the LCA framework, general conclusions are derived when comparing

    the different remediation technologies. For example, they identified energy consumption as the

    major cause of environmental impact when long-term groundwater extraction is considered. This

    is supported by the findings of Vignes (2001).

    The life cycle management approach of Diamond et al. (1999) is intended as a systematic

    concept for deriving qualitative comparisons of selected soil and groundwater remediation

    options within a decision making process. It is complemented by a LCA step for a detailed

    investigation of the environmental burdens associated with the technologies. The generic

    remediation options highlighted were excavation and off-site disposal, in-situ bioremediation,

    soil washing, vapor extraction and no action. The utilisation of the conceptual outline presented

    by Diamond et al. (1999), for a quantitative inspection of associated environmental burdens, is

    shown in a case study on soil remediation of a PAH contaminated site in Ontario, Canada (Page

    et al., 1999). During the examined time horizon of 75 weeks, contaminated soil and sludge was

    discarded at nearby disposal facilities. Since no long term measurements such as post-site

    processing and maintenance of waste landfill were investigated, the main emissions were

    controlled by material transport. The creation of solid waste and land use was accounted for in

    separate life cycle impact categories. Soil remediation is also subject to the LCA presented by

    P. Bayer, M. Finkel / Journal of Contaminant Hydrology 83 (2006) 171199 173Blanc et al. (2004), where four technologies are compared in terms of their environmental

    impacts and the related energy consumption to clean-up a sulfur contaminated site in France.

  • The four remedial actions work with soil excavation, followed by on-site treatment, backfill and/

    or disposal.

    3. LCA framework

    3.1. Overview

    The structural and procedural components of LCA are determined by the international

    standard series ISO 1404043 (1997, 1998, 2000a,b). Mandatory initial steps include the

    definition of goal and scope, functional unit as well as system boundaries. The overall goal for

    this study is the comparison of the environmental performance of two different long term

    groundwater remediation technologies. A premise for a valid comparison is to presume an equal

    functionality of both approaches, i.e. to define the functional unit so that it provides a reference

    to which the inputs and outputs can be related (Rebitzer et al., 2004). This is addressed by

    analysing an existing case, the former manufactured gas plant site of the city of Karlsruhe in

    southern Germany (site description given in Table 1). In 2000, a FGS (Fig. 1) was installed

    (Schad et al., 2000), which will subsequently be judged against a hypothetical PTS. The latter is

    Table 1

    Technical specifications of Karlsruhe site and key elements of FGS and PTS subject to LCA

    Site parameterformer gas plant Karlsruhe

    Width of contamination 210 m

    Hydraulic conductivity log mean 3.9E03 m/sHydraulic conductivity log variance 1.31

    Regional gradient 0.070.135% gradient direction

    (25% seasonal variation) NW/WNW

    Contaminant concentrations Acenaphthene 400600 ug/l

    Averaged total flow rate through FGS 10 l/s

    P. Bayer, M. Finkel / Journal of Contaminant Hydrology 83 (2006) 171199174FGS

    Funnel depth 17 m

    Funnel length 240 m

    Gates depth 17 m

    Gate borings diameter 2.50 m

    Gate casings diameter 1.80 m

    Steel/gate 812 tGravel/gate (50 m3/gate; 1.6 t/m3) 880 tClay/gate (8 m3/gate; here 2 t/m3) 816 tGAC/gate (25 m3/gate; 0.6 t/m3) 815 tLifetime (regeneration interval) 5 years

    PTS

    Number of wells 10

    Installation depth 17 m

    Pumping rate 18 l/s

    PVC conduits 100 m

    HDPE container (5 cm wall) max. 20 m3 each

    GAC refill interval 1 year

    GAC volume per fill 2443.2 t/fillLifetime of conduits, pumps, vessels 10 years

  • P. Bayer, M. Finkel / Journal of Contaminant Hydrology 83 (2006) 171199 175configured assuming equivalent remediation goals, i.e. the long term hydraulic containment of

    the contaminated plume emanating from the upgradient source zone. Based on the site-specific

    results of the LCA, the goal is to identify crucial and environmentally sensitive technical design

    elements, as well as to derive suggestions for technological enhancements for the particular site

    and in general. The exact definition of functional unit used for this study is explained in detail in

    the following section.

    The system boundaries for the LCA are set based on the characteristics of the site, focusing

    on the environmental burden related to major technological elements, which will be delineated in

    Fig. 1. Scheme of funnel-and-gate system as installed at the former gas plant Karlsruhe-Ost. Vertical sheet piles act as

    funnels that direct the contaminated groundwater into (in total 8) gates. In these gates, perforated steel cylinders are filled

    with GAC that is regenerated every 5 years.detail after the subsequent description of the site. The presented study is not limited to the

    analysis of the installed FGS and a hypothetical PTS. Several modifications of the reference

    scenario are formulated during the evaluation of the results in order to investigate the role of

    assumptions made for the technological elements and to develop system alternatives with

    decreased environmental impact. An overview is in Table 2. The scope of these scenarios is

    illustrated in Fig. 2.

    After the initial phase of the LCA, which is crucial to establish the context in which the

    evaluation is to be made, the ensuing steps are inventory analysis, impact assessment and

    interpretation. The inventory analysis (LCI) examines and compiles all relevant energy and

    material inputs and outputs of processes during the life cycle of a product or a service. The impac

    Table 2

    Variations between scenarios developed during the LCA

    Scenario Time (years) FGS PTS

    Reference scenario sheet piles GAC 72t/y

    Scenarios with different wall technologies 30 diaphragm wall, slurry wall

    Scenarios with different wall technologies

    and variable operation time

    1050 sheet piles, diaphragm wall,

    slurry wall

    Scenarios with diff. wall technologies,

    variable operation time and variable

    GAC consumption for PTS

    1070 sheet piles, diaphragm wall,

    slurry wall

    GAC var.t

    r

  • assessment (LCIA ) is carried out to translate the collected emissions and consumptions into

    environmental and/or health effects and is commonly expressed by a number of representative

    indicators. Finally, within the interpretation phase, the results of inventory analysis and impact

    assessment are discussed to extract the main sources of environmental burden and to derive

    recommendations for the preferable product. In the next sections, it is described in detail how each

    crucial LCA element has been adopted for the comparison of both remediation technologies.

    4. Functional unit

    The functional unit demarcates the basis upon which services are compared within the

    predefined system boundaries. In the context of groundwater and soil remediation projects the

    desired service(s) may largely differ from case to case depending on the specific objectives of

    the planned remedial action. At the Karlsruhe site, since a complete aquifer restoration was not

    possible, neither technically nor economically, the major goal was to prevent any further

    increase of risk caused by an ongoing expansion of the existing contaminant plume in the

    groundwater. Both technological approaches that are in the focus of this study do achieve this

    goal by hydraulic containment and a reduction of contaminant concentrations to given

    standard levels by on-site or in-situ water treatment. This means that the particular

    technologies, even if, in the narrower sense, they are causing different effects, do provide

    Fig. 2. Key elements of FGS (left) and PTS (right) for the scenarios considered for the LCA.

    P. Bayer, M. Finkel / Journal of Contaminant Hydrology 83 (2006) 171199176the same service with respect to the specific remedial goal of managing, i.e. controlling the

    contaminant plume.

    Consequently, the functional unit is defined here as the control of a certain contaminated

    aquifer zone, which corresponds to the definition proposed by Volkwein et al. (1999). The

    following arguments shall explain the reasons for the selected formulation of the functional unit,

    in particular with respect to the practice in other LCA applications:

    (1) The choice of this type of functional unit follows the suggestions by Shakweer and

    Nathanail (2003), i.e. referring to the contaminated volume of the aquifer to be restored or

    to be controlled. The performance criterion, i.e. hydraulic containment, is attained when

    concentration targets are ensured downgradient of the treatment system. Models can be

    applied to configure equivalent technologies, rated with respect to the remediation goals

    while reflecting the present knowledge (e.g., Godin et al., 2004). In the present study we

    employ an analytical model to describe the pump-and-treat system, whereas the results of

    numerical modelling are utilised for the funnel-and-gate system.

  • (2) If remediation is defined in a broader sense, such as bimprovementQ of site situation, a moreexact functional comparison of competing actions could be to compute the trade-offs

    between inputs and outputs within a risk assessment framework such as accomplished by

    REC (Beinat et al., 1997). In this case, all associated environmental benefits and burdens are

    balanced with each other to derive the ideal technological alternative. We do not go so far in

    our study, but keep the classic definition of a service-related functional unit, which has a

    priori to be set and is not a decision variable. Our objections are to the impracticably high

    spatial and temporal resolution that would be needed for calculating risk-benefit trade-offs.

    (3) Another limitation of the REC-approach is that its applicability and expressiveness is

    restrained by the high degree of parameter and process uncertainty, since the long-term

    effect and efficiency in reaching overall aquifer clean-up can hardly be estimated precisely.

    There are several reasons for this: First of all, a fundamental problem is that the physical

    and chemical description of the subsurface is basically inexact. Accordingly, there is

    substantial uncertainty in estimating or modelling present and future status of the

    remediation process. Furthermore, and even worse, at numerous sites the initial exact mass

    distribution of contaminants in the subsurface is not known. Principally, descriptive and

    predictive uncertainty is crucial, independent of the type of functional unit chosen.

    However, the selection of a concentration threshold related functional unit is less prone to

    the exact contaminant mass distribution.

    (4) System design by referring to regulatory standards represents the common practice and is

    compatible to economically based design considerations (e.g., Russell and Rabideau,

    2000; Bayer et al., 2005a).

    For a comparative evaluation of remedial options, the quality of technical design and

    performance parameters fundamentally depends on the experience in technology and knowledge

    of the site. If a technology is implemented at a site, its performance characteristics are known

    more precisely than for another, hypothetical alternative. Also, for a realised measure, the

    associated consumption in material and energy is apparent, whereas potential alternatives can be

    described only theoretically. In the subsequent case study, the FGS is already installed and the

    task is to set up an imaginary PTS on the same functional unit basis. As pointed out by NRC

    (1997) in the example of an economic comparison of existing and hypothetical remedial options,

    ones bias must be taken into careful consideration during an evaluation. Since there is extensive

    experience in the application of PTS and since this technology is based on a rather simple

    concept, configuring it appropriately does not represent a major difficulty. The remaining

    uncertainty in design and long term performance is addressed by considering possible PTS

    design alternatives in a scenario analysis.

    Especially the long term trend in approaching site clean-up can hardly be predicted. This plays

    a crucial role when comparing such conceptually different technologies. During the use of PTS,

    (secondary) emissions are released and energy is consumed continuously, whereas for FGS, the

    major impact arises during construction and installation of the system. Life cycle assessment

    commonly attempts to measure the total environmental effects of a product or technology bfromcradle to graveQ (Bauman and Tillman, 2004). Obviously this can hardly be achieved when thebgraveQ, i.e. the time of termination, is not known. To overcome this, as is also common foreconomic analyses (NRC, 1997), a fixed operation period can be predefined, so that the temporal

    boundary of the functional unit is explicitly set. For example, Bender et al. (1998) suggest an

    P. Bayer, M. Finkel / Journal of Contaminant Hydrology 83 (2006) 171199 177operation period of 50 years for comparing long-term in-situ groundwater remediation

    technologies, whereas the timeframe Page et al. (1999) assume for long term monitoring is

  • only half of that. It is obvious that, due to the lack of long-term experience with most remediation

    technologies and the general uniqueness of site applications, these time limits are chosen quite

    arbitrarily. However, timeframes shall reflect planning periods and thus also seem to be a valid

    input for the LCA. In the subsequent analysis, we use time as a fixed, as well as variable,

    parameter in order to reveal its influence on the comparative rating of the selected technologies.

    5. Inventory set-up and impact assessment

    After defining the key elements of the remediation technologies (cp. Fig. 2), an inventory was

    set up in order to collect associated material and energy transfers that cross the boundary

    between service system or product and environment. The configuration of key elements will be

    described below when the case study is introduced. Grouping and assigning material and energy

    transfers that exhibit environmental burdens and/or interventions to pre-specified categories, i.e.

    characterisation and classification, is the task of life cycle impact assessment (LCIA; ISO 14042,

    2000a). These categories represent threatened environmental compartments, states or relations,

    such as the consumption of energy resources, global warming or human toxicity (Udo de Haes et

    al., 1999; Pennington et al., 2004). For example, burning crude oil means an exploitation of

    available energy resources. If this process is considered within LCA, the amount of consumed

    P. Bayer, M. Finkel / Journal of Contaminant Hydrology 83 (2006) 171199178oil is assigned to the respective impact category such as bdepletion of energy resourcesQ. Burningcrude oil reduces available resources, but also releases emissions such as CO2 or SO2, which are

    assigned to other categories such as bglobal warming potentialQ and bacidification potentialQ.A quantitative evaluation is only possible if the different contributions to one category,

    originally expressed in different units, can be merged. This implies the necessity of a

    characterisation step, which unifies all contributions and indicators. Calculation methods to

    determine characterisation factors are manifold. They depend on the underlying specific models

    and on the purpose they are used for. Thus there are no universally valid characterisation factors.

    Especially for the human toxicity potential there is no consensus about the ideal characterisation

    Table 3

    Characterisation factors for selected inventory data

    Impact categoryy,yy Unit of indicator Unit char.factor

    Characterisation factors Ci for

    inventory data

    Depletion of energy resources (DER) crude oil eq.

    (COE)

    kg COE/kg brown coal 0.0409, hard coal 0.1836,

    natural gas 0.5212

    Global warming potential (GWP) CO2 eq. kg CO2/kg CH4 23, N2O 296, CF4 5700

    Acidification potential (AP) SO2 eq. kg SO2/kg NOx 0.70, HCl 0.88, HF 1.60,

    H2S 1.88, NH3 1.88

    Terrestrial eutrophication potential (TEP) PO43 eq. kg PO4

    3/kg NH3 0.35, NOx as NO2 0.13Aquatic eutrophication potential (AEP) PO4

    3 eq. kg PO43/kg Nh4+ 0.327, NO3

    0.095, N-comp 0.42,P-comp. 3.06, COD 0.022

    Photochemical ozone creation

    potential (POCP) yyC2H4 eq. kg C2H4/kg C2H6 0.189, formaldehyde 0.421,

    CH4 0.007, NMVOC 0.416, VOC 0.377

    Human toxicity potential (HTP) As eq. kg As/kg benzopyrene 20.9, C2H6 0.0019,

    dioxine 10500, PCB 0.28, Cd 0.42,

    Cr(VI) 0.28, Ni 0.06

    yIndicators are calculated as Indicator Pi MiCi, where Mi (kg) is the inventory data and Ci is the characterisationfactor.yy PpIndicator of POCP is expressed nitrogen corrected as Indicator MNOx i MiCi, where MNOX compounds (UBA2000).

  • model, which can be based on a broad range of different health risk assessment and human

    toxicology calculation methodologies. In the presented approach, the characterisation method is

    adopted from UBA (2000), with the main characterisation factors listed in Table 3. A recognised

    set of environmental impacts is selected (Bauman and Tillman, 2004). These are depletion of

    energy resources (DER, in crude oil equivalents), global warming potential (GWP, in CO2equivalents), acidification potential (AP, in SO2 equivalents), terrestrial as well as aquatic

    eutrophication potential (TEP, AEP, in PO43 equivalents), photochemical ozone creation

    potential (POCP, in C2H4 equivalents) and human toxicity potential (HTP, in As equivalents).

    The allocation of potential environmental impacts is not discussed with respect to spatial or

    temporal variance. In this regard, we follow the underlying streamlining concept of Volkwein et

    al. (1999), though, especially for conglomerate, long-term operations such as those inspected

    here, a more detailed analysis seems desirable. Distinguishing between the spatially different

    effects of emissions for example is discussed by Potting (2000) and Ross and Evans (2002), who

    recognised the inaccuracy of geographically averaging LCIA indicators by neglecting the

    regionally diverse effects of emissions. A common problem is that appropriate data sources are

    fragmentary or cannot be directly transferred from the context they are gathered for.

    Accordingly, no spatial discretisation of the impacts is attained here, and therefore, no answer

    will be given to the question if the environmental benefit gained from local groundwater clean-

    up can be balanced with the inherent global (secondary) impacts. A detailed temporal resolution

    of the environmental impact was not addressed since estimations about technological evolution,

    the prediction of modifications in the production of material and energy, as well as the

    proceeding changes in the evaluation and allocation of environmental impacts is beyond the

    scope of this paper.

    In view of the variety of approaches that are competing for an apposite realisation of the

    obligations according to the ISO standards, there is no unique way of conducting a LCA for

    remediation technologies. Moreover, available secondary data sources and process specific

    libraries, which have been preferred for the presented study, can exhibit significant

    discrepancies depending on sub-system boundaries, desired temporal and spatial resolution,

    specific calculation models used and actuality. This inherently means that the expressiveness

    of the results can only be judged by reflecting the validity of the input data. The LCA

    framework developed in this study is oriented at and applied to an example case in Germany,

    so also the focus was set on exploiting (secondary) data bases with close relation (partly only

    available in German), and adopting the standards recommended for LCA in other disciplines

    by the German environmental agency (e.g., UBA, 1998, 2000). Due to the fact that not solely

    case-specific but partly also pre-existing approaches are used for the description of

    interconnected sub-processes involved (e.g., production of electrical energy, oil, steel), the

    accuracy of the calculations for the specific case study is limited. However, this presented

    streamlined concept is not aiming at an exact quantification of the potential environmental

    burden of the technologies considered. Instead it shall constitute similar boundary conditions

    for the description of the technologies and this way shall enable a valid comparative

    assessment. In order to incorporate the expected impreciseness of inventory data into the

    presented LCA, ranges instead of deterministic values are considered, and these are processed

    within a subsequent uncertainty analysis.

    An optional step in LCA is a cumulative investigation of all categories together. It can be

    used for a more condensed presentation of the results. In general, aggregation of impacts

    P. Bayer, M. Finkel / Journal of Contaminant Hydrology 83 (2006) 171199 179should be done carefully in order to avoid a loss in transparency concerning the role of

    individual impacts. A critical effect is that it can lead to severe compensation between impact

  • results (a good impact results can compensate a very bad one), and so it is recommended to

    discuss the results for individual impacts before the aggregation. Subsequently, the two

    remediation technologies are contrasted by means of a scenario analysis and it seemed

    desirable to partly aggregate categories for the presentation of the results. We group the

    categories into three types: those denoting adverse effects on energy resources (DER),

    ecosystem quality EQ (GWP, AP, TEP, AEP) and human health HH (POCP, HTP). This step

    enables a basic examination of the role of crucial parameters and visualisation by mixing

    triangles presented by Hofstetter et al. (2000), which also suggested the distinction of these

    three safeguard subjects according to the Eco Indicator 99 methodology. The aggregation into

    EQ and HH classes is carried out by averaging the category-specific indicator values. First, in

    order to achieve a comparability between the different kinds of impacts, the indicator values

    have been normalised with respect to (annual) inhabitant equivalents (Table 4). By

    normalisation, the indicators represent the category specific multiple of the prevailing amount

    Table 4

    Impact assessment for key elements of FGS and PTS

    Inhabitant value/year Units DER

    (kg COE)

    GWP

    (kg CO2)

    POCP

    (kg C2H4)

    AP

    (kg SO2)

    TEP

    (kg PO43)

    AEP

    (kg PO43)

    HTP

    (kg As)

    2447 13167 56 5.7 7.8 14 0.006

    GAC ton 904.8 10975.1 1.21 5.83 0.52 1.1E03 4.2E05GAC rec. ton 328.3 1166.6 0.54 1.76 0.30 0 3.1E05GAC transport ton 34.8 110.8 0.24 0.65 0.13 0 1.4E05Facilities 97.9 305.5 2.52 0.25 0.55 1.4E07 4.2E05

    FGS WALL

    Sheet pile m2 44.5 363.3 1.02 0.20 0.24 2.8E03 5.7E03Sheet pile + rec. m2 19.5 164.9 0.59 0.10 0.14 7.4E04 1.4E03Facilities 562.8 1799.5 14.4 1.43 3.07 0 4E05Diaphragm wall m2 7.25 28.3 0.25 2.7E02 6.0E02 1.1E10 1.7E06Facilities 765.3 2336.7 26.5 2.13 4.80 0 2.9E04Slurry wall m2 18.6 139.9 0.51 6.8E02 0.12 1.4E10 7.4E06Facilities 1757.7 5320.4 68.7 5.70 13.0 0 5.0E04

    P. Bayer, M. Finkel / Journal of Contaminant Hydrology 83 (2006) 171199180FGS GATE

    Excavation m3 23.0 156.8 0.42 0.33 0.05 0 0

    Facilities 470.3 1400.6 20.6 0.84 1.92 0 0

    Rebuild m3 4.14 12.7 0.14 1.4E02 3.2E02 5.9E09 1.2E06Facilities 89.5 281.6 2.18 0.22 0.49 1.3E07 3.7E05Steel ton 284.8 2596.5 5.13 1.22 1.23 2.1E02 4.2E02Steel + rec. ton 124.6 1178.3 2.99 0.62 0.70 5.6E03 1.1E02Gravel ton 6.56 20.3 0.17 1.4E02 3.0E02 0 3.1E06Clay ton 27.9 77.9 0.39 0.06 9.4E02 0 1.1E05

    PTS

    Installation well (17 m) 146.3 351.1 3.71 0.37 0.58 1.3E03 2.2E05Facility 12.56 42.46 0.23 3.2E02 3.8E02 0 4.6E06Pumping 10E+6 L 6.68 96.7 7.3E02 1.7E02 2.4E02 1.5E04 2.4E06Pump 2.35 23.1 4.9E02 1.2E02 1.1E02 2.1E04 1.2E04Conduits 100 m 2.52 7.95 4.0E02 6.4E03 6.9E03 2.2E04 1.6E08GAC container vessel (20 m3) 1340.0 2243.2 20.6 2.52 2.19 2.2E02 4.8E06

    Average inhabitant emissions and consumptions for Germany are taken from IFU (2001).

  • of emissions or consumption rates. Hence, based on the same units, they reflect the relative

    additional burden caused by the technologies under consideration. However, they do not

    reflect the level of seriousness adherent in the individual categories.

    The LCA framework, including material flow and interrelations of individual process steps

    describing the life cycle of the remediation technologies, has been developed within the

    modelling environment UMBERTO, a commercial LCA software (IFU, 2001). It represents a

    widely used modelling framework, which enables material flow analyses based on comprehen-

    sive state-of-the-art libraries (material groups, process data) that can be expanded depending on

    the specific problem requirements. After introducing the site in the following section,

    assumptions on processes involved and on descriptive parameters for the case study are

    exposed. A detailed list of the inventory data is given in ZAG (2003).

    6. Interpretation

    An elementary and not an exclusively final step of LCA is the interpretation phase. As

    demonstrated here, it shall accompany the course of LCA. Its purpose is to analyse results, reach

    conclusions, explain limitations and provide recommendations based on the results of the

    preceding steps (ISO 2000). In particular, interpretation shall identify and discuss environmen-

    tally most relevant elements of the remediation technologies, while reflecting uncertainty in

    inventory data and technical assumptions. Ideally, it is possible to derive suggestions for

    technological improvement with respect to the different LCA impact categories.

    7. Case studyformer gas plant site, KarlsruheOst

    In the year 2000, a FGS was installed downgradient of a PAH dominated circa 200 m thick

    plume emanating from the former manufactured gas plant site of the city of Karlsruhe in the

    Rhine valley (Fig. 1). The site covers an area of about 100,000 m2 (Schad et al., 2000) with

    several supposed source zones of tar oil. The slightly confined aquifer is 12-m thick, underlain

    by a clay layer at a depth of 16 m below the surface. Due to the high conductivities of the

    alluvial gravel dominated deposits of the Rhine, the contaminated groundwater flowrate

    emanating from the site is estimated to reach 12 l/s under natural conditions. The highest

    concentrations of the contaminants in the plume are measured for Acenaphthene (600 Ag/l), withbenzene and vinyl chloride as secondary pollutants. The latter is suspected to occur in the aquifer

    upgradient of the former gas plant and thus originates from another source.

    The FGS consists of 240 m funnel and eight gates, which entirely capture the plume. The

    funnels were constructed of sheet piles, which are installed at a depth of 17 m. For the gates, the

    excavation of borehole casings with diameters of 2.5 m were needed throughout the entire

    aquifer depth. Then cylindrical gate segments, each being 3 m in length and 1.80 m in diameter,

    were installed. These are pre-fabricated out of steel that is perforated at the in- and outlet and is

    connected to the aquifer by gravel fillings. At each gate, clay sealings connect the sheet pile and

    steel cylinder segments (Schad et al., 2000; ZAG, 2003). After the construction of the permanent

    facilities, a total mass of 120 t (200 m3) granular activated carbon (GAC) has been filled into the

    steel cylinders. With a reduced flowrate of 10 l/s, the GAC lifetime is estimated at 5 years. This

    period is also set as a reference value for the FGSs GAC exchange and regeneration cycles for

    the LCA (cp. Tables 1 and 2).

    P. Bayer, M. Finkel / Journal of Contaminant Hydrology 83 (2006) 171199 181The dimensioning of an equivalent hypothetic PTS depends on the groundwater flowrate, the

    area to be captured, the type and concentration of contaminants, as well as regulatory restrictions.

  • Here we assume that the required (total) pumping rate can be determined by referring to the

    flowrate of contaminated water. We use a rough estimation according to Javandel and Tsang

    (1986), which present type curves for steady-state well capture zones in confined, homogeneous

    aquifers. Following their approach, the pumping rate to capture a certain area is calculated as a

    multiple of the uniform flowrate, which is 12 l/s at the Karlsruhe site and serves as a lower limit. In

    our study, we set 18 l/s as a reference. This value is selected with the assumption that downgradient

    pumping has to be moderately higher, but not more than double, the uniform rate to assure

    complete hydraulic capture (Bayer et al., 2003). The ideal number of pumping wells to be installed

    is uncertain, but due to the high extraction rate, it is assumed that in total, ten fully penetrating wells

    have to be installed. According to the in-situ treatment in the gates of the FGS, GAC is also chosen

    as a reactive media for PTS on-site. The cleaned-up water is disposed of in local sewers or directed

    to the Rhine river. Though there is a chance that local regulations impose further processing of even

    decontaminated water in local wastewater facilities, this is beyond the scope of this paper and is not

    considered within the boundaries of the LCA.

    8. Classification of technological elements considered within LCA

    8.1. LCA technical boundaries

    The focus of this comparative study is set on the facilities installed and maintained for each

    particular remediation technology. The FGS and PTS facility components chosen for the LCA

    are expected to represent the core elements, in terms of their environmental relevance. It is

    assumed that additional services not mentioned in Table 2, such as long term monitoring and

    sampling, represent only a lower ontribution to the LCA results (cp. Page et al., 1999) and

    therefore can be neglected for both technologies. It is obvious that several further processes and

    elements could be considered, which together may have a noticeable influence on the final LCA

    based comparison. However, most of these are highly site-specific (personal activities, local

    power control facilities, etc.), very variable and/or can only be assessed through a

    disproportional effort to gather reliable data. Therefore, and in order to draw general conclusions

    from the presented assessment, no further work has been done in this direction. More significant

    impacts can be expected from required technical modifications because of unsatisfactory system

    performance. For example, the FGS in Karlsruhe was slightly revised during the first years since

    its implementation and capping elements were installed at the top of the gates to improve its

    hydraulic performance. However, considering these modifications seemed unreasonable, and it

    is not possible to develop a similar scenario for the PTS alternative. Despite this, it should be

    emphasised that the assumption of no modifications and no technical failure can be principally

    realistic, but realistically is a very optimistic assumption.

    9. Upstream processes

    The process flow diagrams of the main technological elements are depicted in Fig. 3. There

    are a number of basic separable processes that deliver inputs at several positions and are

    distinguished as upstream processes within the modelling framework. These are in particular the

    supply with diesel and electrical energy. For these, the available UMBERTO libraries are used,

    which are based on the inventory data provided by Frischknecht et al. (1996). Electrical current

    P. Bayer, M. Finkel / Journal of Contaminant Hydrology 83 (2006) 171199182is consumed by processes such as steel construction and slurry mixing. The percentage

    contribution among different generation sources is set according to IFU (2001), with 32.5%

  • nuclear power, 27.0% hard coal, 27.3% brown coal, 7.6% natural, 3.9% water power gas, 0.5%

    fuel oil, 0.3% wind and 0.9% waste. The quality of the inventory data on diesel (fossil fue

    refinement, production) and electrical current can be judged as sufficient for the purpose of this

    study since, despite its age, the database is widely used and 27 comprehensive.

    One further common process is the usage of machinery, such as for site preparation, drilling

    and (de-)installation of technical devices and transport activities. Please note that the fabrication

    of this machinery was not considered, only the energy consumptions and emissions during

    operation. The diesel consumption and combustion emissions are calculated the same for al

    devices according to BUWAL et al. (1994) and Borken et al. (1999). Utilising the empirica

    approximations provided by BUWAL for machines of capacities above 150 kW, we estimated a

    Fig. 3. Flow sheet of the scope of the LCA for the key elements of the remediation technologies. Circular arrows indicate

    temporal replacement of elements during operation.l

    lP. Bayer, M. Finkel / Journal of Contaminant Hydrology 83 (2006) 171199 183l

  • demand for diesel of 242 g/kW h, and emissions of 14.3 g/kW h NOx, 0.96 g/kW h VOC, 2.4 g/

    kW h CO and 1.0 g/kW h dust. These values are utilised for machines used for the installation of

    walls (silent piler, clamshell) and reactor excavation. The emissions from the usage of diesel

    driven devices with capacities between 25 kW and 150 kW are also approximated by the

    empirical functions recommended by BUWAL et al. (1994).

    Another ubiquitous process is the transport of machines to the site and back, the transport of

    mineral substances (e.g., gravel, sand, clay excavated soil), as well as of technology-specific

    equipment and material (e.g., sheet piles). For the allocation of the diesel consumption and

    emissions caused from transport activities, the internal UMBERTO module was used, which is

    based on the TREMOD (traffic emission estimation model) by Borken et al. (1999).

    The underlying data quality on logistic processes is not very good and, especially due to its

    deficient up-to-dateness, the quantitative description has to be used with caution. A preceding

    sensitivity analysis (ZAG, 2003), however, indicated only a minor relevance of transport activities

    on the entire environmental burden for the selected remediation technologies. In particular, a

    scenario analysis with reasonable min/max assumptions for transport distances and inventory data

    revealed that variations lead to changes of the impact category specific indicators below 10%.

    10. Vertical barriers

    The key elements of the LCA for FGS are listed in Table 1: funnel, gate and GAC. For the

    funnel, sheet piles are implemented over a total area of 240 m17 m=4080 m2. The inventorywas set up utilising secondary databases and according to the information of the manufacturers

    (ZAG, 2003). For the funnel construction, a number of different wall types are available, such as

    slurry walls, thin diaphragm walls or sheet piles. The choice usually depends on several factors,

    including depth, length, stability, longevity and economic considerations. A first inspection of

    the category related to emissions and consumptions, as listed in Table 2, reveals that significant

    benefits per m2 wall can be achieved by installing an alternative barrier such as a (thin)

    diaphragm wall or a cement bentonite slurry wall. This observation motivated a comparison of

    the existing sheet pile type to these alternatives, which are potentially associated with a lower

    environmental burden. Please note that a number of other types of walls exist, such as sheet piles

    of different material (aluminium, precast concrete), soil-bentonit slurry walls, bore pile or

    composite cutoff walls (Meggyes and Simon, 2000; Carey et al., 2002).

    The funnel at the Karlsruhe site was constructed out of pre-fabricated steel strips, which were

    successively pressed into the soil, keyed in the underlying aquitard and joined to form a

    continuous subsurface barrier. Diesel consuming press-in machines (here: silent piler, provided

    by GIKEN) were used to push the wall segments into the ground. The silent piler specific

    nominal capacity is set to 650 kW at 25 m2/h net progress when installing the piles. As a

    preparatory measure, a hydraulic driller (200 kW at 30 m2/h) was utilised to loosen the ground

    and enhance the subsequent pile countersink. The transport distances of the sheet piles were

    assumed to be 300 km at 140 kg/m2.

    For manufacturing the steel strips, the process chain of steel production, inclusive raw

    material mining, iron casting and forming is included. The individual processes were described

    using the UMBERTO libraries. According to common practice in Germany, the steel is assumed

    to be produced in parts in a blast furnace (75%) and as electric steel (25%), the latter being

    environmentally preferable due to the use of discarded metal. When steel recycling is suggested

    P. Bayer, M. Finkel / Journal of Contaminant Hydrology 83 (2006) 171199184after completion of the remediation, the steel is assumed to be processed in an electric arc

    furnace at a volume loss of 10%. The emissions and raw material consumption for providing the

  • steel strips are calculated based on the data sets provided by Corradini and Kohler (1999). The

    data quality is estimated as satisfactory for the purpose of this study.

    The production of the two other wall types is significantly different, since they are

    constructed entirely in-situ. For example, thin diaphragm walls are emplaced by using high-

    pressure jetting of the slurry into the ground, as a drill stem is raised up through the ground. A

    continuous barrier is produced by constructing a row of overlapping panels (US EPA, 1998;

    Pearlman, 1999). As a result, slurry and energy (diesel, electric power) is consumed, and

    respective site facilities (drilling devices, slurry mixing plant) have to be maintained. Transport

    distances for the technological devices and machinery are assumed to be 150 km. Mineral

    compounds are estimated to be transported over a distance of 20 km.

    Similar to a thin diaphragm wall, a cement bentonite slurry wall is fabricated in the subsurface

    by injecting bentonite-based solidifying fluids. However, for this wall type, a trench has to be

    excavated in the target zone before the backfill is injected. Accordingly, a trench-cutting machine

    (clamshell) has to be supplied. The excavated native soil is not assumed to be contaminated in

    this study and is disposed of within the vicinity at a distance of 15 km. The transport distance for

    the milling cutter machinery is held fixed at 150 km. Again, transport activities, energy and wall

    material demand are considered for the allocation of the category specific inputs.

    Bentonite is a clay mineral which is commonly obtained from natural deposits. Here 65% of the

    bentonite is estimated to be imported from other European countries (ZAG, 2002). For the slurry

    wall, the wall thickness is set to 80 cm, with a mean content of 14% (by weight) bentonite, 16%

    blast furnace cement and 70% water (LfU, 1995). According to LfU (1995), 45% loss of the wall

    cubature has to be expected due to solid displacement in the subsurface controlled by in-situ

    sedimentation, penetration and filtration processes. The diaphragm wall is constructed out of 8%

    bentonite, 9% blast furnace cement, 44% water and additional native fine sand fillers, with a

    demand of 0.14 t per m2 wall. The cement is expected to be a mixture of 70:30 of metallurgical/

    Portland cement, whereas this high portion of metallurgical cement shall guarantee the desired

    sulfate resistance of the wall. Further information on the inventory set-up for the material used is

    given in Frischknecht et al. (1996), Kohler (1999) and ZAG (2003), which evaluate the data quality

    as satisfactory.

    Within this study, the selected wall technologies are expected to be equal in their

    performance, i.e. all exhibit the desired low permeability without failure or leakage over the

    whole planning horizon. It is obvious that this is a very idealised assumption because each wall

    type involves individual strengths and weaknesses. Sheet piles, for example, are especially

    favourable in view of their long-term stability, chemical resistance and the related quasi-

    impermeability, though leakage can occur when the separate steel strips are not appropriately

    connected (US EPA, 1998; Carey et al., 2002). The experience of the Karlsruhe site indicates

    that such constructional deficiencies are not present and thus will not be considered.

    Accordingly, potential defects of the alternative hypothetical wall types are neglected. However,

    a matter of discussion might be the longevity of the bentonite-based barriers. Though not

    discussed further within the LCA framework, shrinkage cracks might occur locally, increasing

    the barriers permeability. Furthermore, contaminants dissolved in the groundwater can cause a

    gradual degradation of the wall (Pearlman, 1999). In contrast to sheet piles, bentonite-based

    walls cannot be recycled and it is assumed that no rebuilding or restoration activities are planned

    after the remediation is finished.

    The impacts aggregated during the LCIA are expressed as a linear function of the wall area2

    P. Bayer, M. Finkel / Journal of Contaminant Hydrology 83 (2006) 171199 185(indicator units per m ), whereas machinery transport is approximated by a fixed value for each

    category. Indicator values are listed in Table 4. The most notable difference between sheet piles

  • and the other two variants is the huge demand for steel, resulting in relatively high-energy

    consumption and a distinctively stronger rating of its HTP (Table 4). It is questionable if sheet

    pile walls can be pulled out of the ground after the long planning periods of groundwater

    remediation, especially if corrosion processes merge the steel with the surrounding soil matrix. If

    excavating the wall is a practicable option, then the raw material gained by recycling yields

    savings of 50% for the different categories (Table 4). The impact on aquatic eutrophication and

    human toxicity potential even decreases by 75%. It is apparent that the unit impacts for the walls

    are decided by the material they are constructed of, though they are also affected by the work

    involved in (de-)installation.

    11. FGS Gate

    The main process steps involving gate construction, maintenance and rebuilding are:

    Soil and sediment excavation: eight gates are installed, each at a depth of 17 m. Per gate, a

    volume of 84 m3 soil, sand and gravel was excavated. Transport of the excavated material for

    disposal is assumed to be 15 km, as described in the previous section. The nominal capacity

    of the dredger is set to 70 kW at 5 m3/h net progress.

    Cylindrical steel casings (Schad et al., 2000) are pre-fabricated, perforated by two thirds in the

    inflow and outflow face at the tube sides. As an approximation of steel production and

    processing, the same datasets are used and equivalent assumptions aremade as in the case of the

    steel strips used for the sheet pile installation mentioned earlier. Transport distances from

    manufacturing to installation sites are set to 200 km. After the tubes are carried to the site, a

    crane lifts the steel casing segments into the gates. Approximately 12 t steel was spent for each

    gate yielding a total of 96 t steel for the entire FGS. For the crane, a transport distance of 100 km

    is considered.

    In each gate, 8 m3 clay was used to seal the opening between funnel and gate casing.

    Furthermore, 50 t gravel per gate was needed to fill the remaining voids and focus the

    groundwater flow to the steel tubes, which were subsequently filled with granular activated

    carbon (GAC). The treatment material will be the subject of an extra chapter.

    During the FGS in operation, no further activities (except of GAC exchange) are considered for

    the gate. This is a very conservative assumption, since monitoringmay cause low but long-term

    emissions (well installation, periodical pumping, sampling, transportation, lab tests, etc.).

    However, especially due to the relatively small expected overall contribution and the very site-

    specific character of monitoring activities, they are set beyond the LCA boundaries.

    It is anticipated that the gate construction will be excavated by cranes after a pre-specified

    planning period. The steel will be recycled and the remaining hole backfilled at double net

    progress compared to excavation. Steel recycling shall follow the same procedure as

    described above for recycling the steel of sheet piles. Backfill is supplied from nearby gravel

    pits at a distance of 20 km.

    12. Pump-and-treat system

    The core elements of the hypothetical PTS are wells with pumping devices, conduits and an

    on-site treatment facility. The ten wells assumed for this case study fully penetrate the aquifer to

    P. Bayer, M. Finkel / Journal of Contaminant Hydrology 83 (2006) 171199186a depth of 17 m. All wells (F 300 mm) are drilled in advance of the remedial operation. Diesel isconsumed for transport (50 km) and application of the drilling apparatus. For the latter, a

  • respective nominal capacity of 80 kW at 2.5 m/h net progress is assumed and the associated

    emissions are approximated according to BUWAL et al. (1994). Plunged well casings (F 100mm) stabilise the borehole while allowing groundwater to enter the well. PVC is chosen as the

    material for the pipes (50 kg each) used for the casings. The emissions are calculated according

    to the comprehensive process chains and data supplied by Boustead (1999). The casings (density

    1.5 g/cm3) are surrounded by a filter, for which gravel is used that is transported over a distance

    of 20 km from nearby gravel pits.

    The emissions caused by manufacturing the pumps have not been analysed in detail due to a

    presumably low contribution to the LCA categories. Instead, the emissions are approximated by

    the mass of steel spent on their fabrication, which is very conservatively set to 50 kg per pump.

    After usage, the steel is expected to be recycled. The electricity needed for operating the pumps

    is approximated using the method of Bayer et al. (2005a), assuming a degree of efficiency of

    60% for the pumps (inclusive motor), and an average head loss of 20 m. We calculated a demand

    of 0.15 kW h/m3 groundwater processed.

    The total length of the conduits connecting the wells with the on-site treatment facility is chosen

    as 100 m. For the fabrication of the conduits (F 100 mm), a total mass of 300 kg PVC is estimated.The conduits direct the extracted groundwater into on-site vessels for which only the material

    (HDPE) consumed is analysed. For the containers filled with GAC, a maximum volume of 20 m3

    each and a wall thickness of 5 cm is assumed, due to road transport restrictions. A fixed value of

    100 km is selected as the transport distance between the site and manufacturing location of

    conduits and vessels.

    The longevity of conduits, vessels and pumps is assumed to be limited to 10 years, so that

    they have to be replaced every decade. Also, the productivity of pumping wells has to be

    maintained, which commonly affords regenerative actions and material replacement. As a rough

    approximation, to include this aspect in the LCA framework, 10% of the energy and materials

    computed for the initial well construction are added in at 5-year intervals.

    13. Granular activated carbon

    The use of granular activated carbon (GAC) is very common for groundwater clean-up,

    though only a few recent applications employ it in-situ (US EPA, 1998; Kraft and Grathwohl,

    2003; Susaeta et al., 2005). It is based on a straightforward principle: the commonly

    hydrophobic organic contaminants in groundwater sorb on the surface of this carbon-rich,

    highly porous material when water flows through the respective GAC filters. After a certain

    operation time, when the sorption capacity is exploited, the GAC filling has to be exchanged.

    For long-term remediation, where treatment filters are continuously fed with contaminated

    groundwater, this means a periodical exchange of used with non-used material. Ideally, used

    GAC can be recycled by thermal treatment and then re-filled. There are several sources that

    serve as raw material for the production of GAC, such as coal, wood or any organic waste.

    Accordingly, the fabrication steps differ, for example how the raw material is produced, then

    destructed and agglomerated, also affecting the final sorption capacity during water treatment.

    The assumptions made for the GAC in this work are adopted from a previous study (Bayer et al.,

    2005b) discussing the production of GAC out of hard coal. After pulverisation of the raw

    material, a binder is added, followed by agglomeration into briquettes, drying and thermal

    activation. Thereafter, the product is sieved, packaged and transported. In total, producing 1 ton

    P. Bayer, M. Finkel / Journal of Contaminant Hydrology 83 (2006) 171199 187GAC affords 3 tons of hard coal, consumes 1600 kW h power and 12 tons of water vapour that is

    heated by burning 330 m3 natural gas. Regenerating instead of fabricating virgin GAC is

  • commonly associated with less environmental impacts. Here, used GAC is heated and then

    treated at high temperatures with vapour to gasify and degrade the contaminants. This

    reactivation procedure usually causes a loss in material weight of about 10%.

    The data quality and deepness in assessing GAC life cycle processes adopted from Bayer et

    al. (2005b) is judged as fair, especially due to the hypothetical assumptions made in regard to

    type and processes involved in the supply of the raw material. Since there is no unique raw

    material for the production of GAC, it can be expected that, for example, in the case of using

    regenerative educts instead of hard coal, particularly the influence of GAC consumption on the

    depletion of energy recourses (DER) will be lower. However, the number of regeneration

    intervals, which rise in the course of the long-term remediation, reduce the relative amount of

    virgin GAC. Increasingly, regenerated GAC is applied, which is assumed to be produced

    through the same process, independently from the original raw material.

    14. Comparison of scenarios

    14.1. Scenarios set-up

    The set-up of different scenarios is necessary to compare the technologies depending on

    variable and uncertain parameters that control system design and performance. Uncertainties

    arise both with respect to the accuracy of the basic inventory data as well as to the description of

    performance and duration of the remediation technologies. Additionally, for the hypothetical

    PTS, the required technical adaptation to the site can not exactly be specified. To address this,

    several scenarios are designed for delineating the space of possible technological variants. The

    focus is set on discussing the most environmentally relevant elements and factors in order to

    elaborate improvement strategies for the technical design. A main factor for the LCA outcome is

    obviously the planning period, which is therefore varied among the scenarios in order to

    examine its influence. Further scenarios are defined after a preceding examination of the relative

    impact of key technical elements, the most significant of which turned out to be GAC

    consumption and the amount of steel used. Particularly their role will be quantitatively inspected.

    Aside from this bscenario uncertaintyQ (Huijbregts, 1998), there is a considerable parameteruncertainty in the underlying inventory data, i.e. the estimated emissions and consumptions,

    reflecting quality and subjective interpretation of the data sources chosen. Simultaneously, the

    description of the technical elements, their adoption, performance and related energy consumption

    is subject to a certain degree of uncertainty, especially because a static representation of the

    prevailing conditions at the Karlsruhe site is used here. This assumption is contrary to the fact that

    crucial natural processes are commonly highly dynamic (e.g., groundwater flow and long term

    contaminant movement in the aquifer). A more dynamic modelling and assessment method,

    however, is beyond of the scope of this paper. The presented evaluation is solely based on

    temporally averaging functions and therefore uses no time-dependent estimations of environ-

    mental impacts. This is for the purpose of simplification and to avoid the high level of effort that

    would be required to appropriately delineate the imperfect knowledge of future processes, such as

    through the use of numerical groundwater flow and transport models.

    The uncertainty analysis has been carried out using the Crystal Ball software (Decisioneering,

    Inc.). Following the approach of Canter et al. (2002), a uniform Beta-distribution (shape

    parameters a=b =2) was assumed to characterise the (potential) variability of parameters (Fig.

    P. Bayer, M. Finkel / Journal of Contaminant Hydrology 83 (2006) 1711991884). The mean of the Beta-distribution is set to the expected value of each parameter; the range is

    scaled by the degree of uncertainty of the respective parameter (F25% or F50%). The

  • uncertainty associated with the underlying inventory data is assumed to be F50%, reflecting amoderate impreciseness. This average value is anticipated, since exact uncertainty estimates or

    Fig. 4. Scheme of beta distribution function with shape factors a =2 and b =2, scaled within uncertainty interval aroundexpected value E(X).

    P. Bayer, M. Finkel / Journal of Contaminant Hydrology 83 (2006) 171199 189discussions of expected data variability are scarce. It is set slightly higher than denoted by

    Volkwein et al. (1999) in order to include estimation errors when transferring consumption and

    emission values to the Karlsruhe site. Inaccuracy from the imprecise determination of material

    and energy consumption is assumed to be F25% for funnel and gate construction. All furtherkey elements categorised above are subject to a higher uncertainty (F50%), because they evolve(partly) in the future (e.g. ongoing supply of GAC) or are hypothetical estimates (PTS elements).

    The results of the LCA carried out for the various scenarios are discussed in comparison to a

    reference scenario, which shall serve as a basis for our analysis (Table 2) . Starting from this

    scenario, further scenarios are developed to scrutinise the influence of these tentative

    assumptions and to highlight the relevance of particular technical elements (e.g., type of

    vertical wall) as well as services (e.g., sheet pile recycling).

    15. Reference scenario

    The reference scenario compares a FGS with sheet piles, as installed at the site, to a

    hypothetical PTS, configured as discussed above with ten wells pumping at a total rate of 18 l/s.Fig. 5. Reference scenario with category-specific indicators: depletion of energy resources (DER), global warming

    potential (GWP), acidification potential (AP), terrestrial as well as aquatic eutrophication potential (TEP, AEP),

    photochemical ozone creation potential (POCP) and human toxicity potential (HTP). Indicators have been normalized

    against inhabitant emissions or consumptions and are expressed as inhabitant equivalents (Ieq.).

  • The GAC consumption is assumed to increase linearly with the volume of water treated and

    therefore amounts to 40 tons per year for the FGS and 72 tons for the PTS. The operation time,

    i.e. planning period, is set at 30 years. To account for the parameter uncertainty, a Monte Carlo

    analysis was carried out based on 10,000 samples. Fig. 5 depicts the results computed for the

    individual impact categories. All potential impacts are expressed as inhabitant equivalents (Ieq.),

    i.e. impacts are normalised to the category-specific expected annual emissions per inhabitant in

    Germany, which are extrapolated over the operation period of 30 years (Table 4, UBA, 2000).

    The Monte Carlo analysis delivers not only mean values of these indicators, but also their

    probability distributions according to the variability assigned to inventory and technical

    parameters. From the probability distributions, the 5% and 95% percentiles were selected to

    delineate the expected ranges. These are shown as cumulative error bars for the individual

    categories (Figs. 5 and 6).

    For this scenario and the FGS, the impacts caused by fabricating and installing the funnel

    (sheet piles) dominate in nearly all categories. The potential consumption of energy resources

    and the emissions causing global warming are especially influenced by GAC due to the usage of

    Fig. 6. Impacts calculated for the reference scenario assuming two alternative wall types for the FGS, a thin diaphragm

    wall and a cementbentonite slurry wall.

    P. Bayer, M. Finkel / Journal of Contaminant Hydrology 83 (2006) 171199190coal and its high temperature activation. The most significant impact of the funnel installation

    can be observed for the human toxicity potential (HTP). The inhabitant equivalents indicate

    relative emissions which are orders of magnitude higher than those calculated for the other

    categories. This is particularly effected by the high emission rate of heavy metals and further

    carcinogen by-products during the production of steel. Consequently, compared to the PTS, the

    usage of steel turns out to be a major disadvantage for the FGS. The DER and GWP indicators

    determined for PTS and FGS are nearly equal for both technologies, since the impacts from

    higher consumption of GAC assumed for PTS outweigh those calculated for funnel installation.

    16. Alternative wall technologies

    Within this study, for the Karlsruhe site, two alternative vertical wall technologies are

    suggested. This is either a slurry or a (thin) diaphragm wall. The question is whether the impacts

    associated with funnel construction can be lowered if a different wall type is used. The results

    are shown in Fig. 6. Compared with the huge environmental burden from usage of steel for a

    sheet pile (Fig. 5), the predominantly mineral materials required for the construction of the two

    other wall types yield lower impacts in all categories. The indicators calculated for the

  • Fig. 7. Weighting triangles balancing potential depletion of resources (DER), the expected encroachment of ecological

    P. Bayer, M. Finkel / Journal of Contaminant Hydrology 83 (2006) 171199 191diaphragm and slurry wall are in the same range with slight benefits for the former, which can be

    primarily attributed to lower raw material consumption. The most important effect, when

    selecting a mineral-based wall type, is the reduction of HTP to less than one tenth of that

    calculated for the sheet pile. The steel required for cylindrical casings installed in the eight gates

    becomes a dominating factor leading to an indicator value of about 6 inhabitant equivalents.

    Please note that it is assumed that the steel is recycled after the operation is ceased.

    Weighting triangles (Figs. 7 and 8), oriented on the work of Hofstetter et al. (2000), represent

    a condensed view of the results from LCIA. Here, only the potential depletion of resources

    (DER), the expected encroachment of ecological quality (EQ) and the hazardous effects on

    human health (HH) are distinguished by averaging the corresponding individual categories. Each

    point within the triangle denotes a particular relative weighting of these three aspects. The

    maximum weight of 100% is signified by one of the corners and it gradually decreases to 0% for

    the specific aspect towards the opposite side of the triangle. Depending on the relative weighting

    of the three aspects, one technology is preferable due to a lower (normalised and aggregated)

    quality (EQ) and the hazardous effects on human health (HH). Figs. 6ac depict the decreasing impacts by changing the

    wall type for the FGS from sheet piles (with recycling after 30 years) to slurry walls and thin diaphragm walls. Between

    the preference areas for PTS and FGS, a white area of indifference delineates where no clear benefits for either

    technology can be ascertained.overall impact, yielding areas of pros for PTS or FGS in the weighting triangles. These

    preference areas were derived from the Monte Carlo analyses in order to incorporate the

    prevailing data uncertainty. Based on these analyses, only relative weightings, which favour one

    remediation technology by more than 75% of the samples, are assigned to this alternative. As a

    Fig. 8. Weighting triangles for comparison between PTS and FGS at different operation times with technology-specific

    preference areas. The wall type for the funnel of the FGS considered is the thin diaphragm wall.

  • result, an area of indifference with no clear advantage for one technology exists. This presented

    concept of incorporating uncertainty by Monte Carlo Analyses into weighting triangles is, to our

    knowledge, new and could be developed further by 3D diagrams or by using fuzzy membership

    functions to represent the results.

    When using weighting triangles, it is possible that one alternative is preferable with respect to

    all categories, a trivial case which renders the overall triangle as a preference area. Such a trivial

    case, for example, is the reference scenario where a sheet pile is installed and no recycling of the

    steel is assumed. If the sheet pile is de-installed and recycled after the operation period of 30

    years, the FGS is preferable only if the depletion of energy resources is set as the criterion. The

    corresponding weighting triangle is depicted in Fig. 7a. Both PTS and FGS are indifferent with

    respect to the associated ecological impacts, but the significant discrepancy in adverse effects on

    human health favors PTS even if only a small weight is assigned to this aspect. As is shown in

    Fig. 7b and c, the preference areas for FGS extend if a slurry wall is installed instead of a sheet

    pile. The diaphragm wall reveals an even broader preference area for the FGS than for the PTS,

    with benefits due especially to a minor ecological burden.

    17. Influence of operation time and prediction of long-term performance

    One of the most important factors for the outcome of the LCA is the planning period over

    which emissions occur and over which resources are consumed. There is a crucial difference in

    the effect of time on the evaluation of active and passive remediation technologies. Active

    technologies such as PTS cause relatively small initial impacts (for construction and

    installation), but entail continuous impacts over the entire planning period, while passive

    methods, such as FGS, are characterised by a relatively high ratio of initial impacts. This is the

    reason why FGS are commonly ecologically as well as economically inferior to PTS when only

    considering the initial operation phase. This imbalance is expected to disappear in the long-term

    with benefits evolving for the FGS. The role of time for the LCA of the remediation technologies

    in question is further scrutinised by the weighting triangles shown in Fig. 8ac. The wall type

    with the best LCA results, the thin diaphragm wall, is selected for the FGS. Further technical

    assumptions are for the same as those used in the reference scenario. Fig. 8a demonstrates that

    for a short time period of 10 years, expected long-term advantages for the FGS are not yet

    accentuated. Extending the planning phase beyond 10 years, however, increasingly favors the

    FGS with respect to the depletion of energy resources. This is especially caused by the higher

    GAC consumption for PTS and the permanent drain for pumping groundwater. Aside from this,

    the calculation of inhabitant equivalents (Ieq.) here means an averaging of all impacts over the

    entire planning period. The longer the time frame assumed, the less the annually averaged impact

    of the dominating initially caused environmental burdens. After 20 years, the overall potential of

    the FGS to defer ecological damages is lower than that of the respective PTS (Fig. 8b). The total

    human health impacts for the PTS accumulate over time, and, as can be seen in the results for 50

    years (Fig. 8c), approach the impacts of the FGS which are predominantly associated with the

    construction of the steel casings.

    A possible point of discussion is the assumption of equal clean-up (or operation) time for the

    two completely different remediation technologies. In fact, the time required to finally achieve

    the remedial objectives, such as sufficient decontamination, may vary among the different

    technologies. For example, it could be anticipated that the higher groundwater flowrate

    P. Bayer, M. Finkel / Journal of Contaminant Hydrology 83 (2006) 171199192associated with the application of a PTS, will speed up the remediation, through a higher

    contaminant extraction rate. However, since todays knowledge is simply insufficient to guess

  • the exact remediation progress of such applications in the future, forecasting long-term changes

    is highly speculative. Therefore, a detailed quantitative examination of the influence of

    contaminant concentration variations will not be addressed here. The concept of LCA based on

    bplanning periodsQ instead of potential remediation times particularly makes sense, because, afterdecades of operation, there is a high probability that innovative approaches will supersede

    todays standard technologies. Consequently, not remediation time but technical evolution will

    be the determining factor for the bgraveQ of the products and services considered within theLCA, particularly bearing in mind the long time frame involved.

    18. Influence of GAC consumption

    There is a high uncertainty in the prediction of GAC consumption over time. If it is suspected

    that the remediation of the aquifer can be achieved within the planning period, e.g. within 30

    years for the reference scenario, then assuming a constant contaminant concentration in the

    treated groundwater over time does not seem realistic. This would mean that the transfer of

    contaminants into the groundwater stops abruptly after 30 years. However, a common

    observation is that the concentration in the treated groundwater gradually decreases. If

    concentrations become lower as a consequence, the demand on GAC will simultaneously

    decline. In view of this, the assumption of a constant GAC consumption rate during the

    remediation appears rather conservative.

    Since the estimated demand on GAC is assumed to be higher for the PTS than for the FGS, a

    decline of the GAC mass per m3 groundwater treated would especially favour PTS. The essential

    role of GAC, especially for the categories DER, GWP and POCP, is depicted in Fig. 5a and b

    and the influence of any GAC cutback can be appraised. Another issue is that, as GAC lifetime

    is not often determined exclusively by its sorption capacity and the prevailing contaminant

    concentrations, this matter could be a disadvantage for the FGS. Long-term applications of GAC

    bear the risk of bio-fouling or mineral clogging, causing a reduced performance of the reactors

    and thus necessitating an early exchange of treatment material (Kraft and Grathwohl 2002).

    Since, due to the higher volume of GAC per fill, the lifetime of in-situ-reactors significantly

    exceeds the regeneration interval timeframe of an on-site reactor (here 5 years for the FGS, 1

    year for the PTS), performance loss appears to be more likely for the FGS. Furthermore the PTS

    is a less static implementation. Contrary to the FGS with fixed gate configurations, GAC vessels

    can be dynamically replaced by others of a different size in order to control the length of the

    regeneration period.

    There is a significant influence of the technology-specific GAC on the impact indicator values,

    which cannot be precisely estimated and could be further addressed by more candidate scenarios.

    However, the number of possible alternatives is endless. Instead, we ask what the hypothetical

    PTSs GAC demand is necessary to balance the overall impacts of both technologies? The FGS is

    configured according to the Karlsruhe site and, as described for the reference scenario, with GAC

    exchanges every 5 years at a constant consumption rate. Additionally, the alternative FGS using

    different wall types are inspected. The configuration of the PTS agrees with the reference case

    although the GAC volume is set as a variable to be adapted for different planning periods. Please

    note that no uncertainty in input parameters is considered here.

    Fig. 9ac show the lines of indifference, indicating the relative GAC volume per year

    required for the PTS and resulting in the same potential impacts with respect to depletion of

    P. Bayer, M. Finkel / Journal of Contaminant Hydrology 83 (2006) 171199 193energy resources (DER), ecological quality (EQ) and human health (HH). Above these bbreakeven trade-offsQ, the higher GAC demands of PTS delay a better rating of FGS and vice versa.

  • Due to the temporally increasing GAC demand and the attenuated relative importance of FGS

    installation impacts, these lines have hyperbolic trends. Regardless of the wall type installed for

    the funnel, if extremely large GAC demands are presumed for the PTS, long planning periods

    will be necessary to obtain the same impacts on HH as for the FGS. Even the FGS with a thin

    diaphragm wall, which interferes the least with human health aspects, can only compete with the

    PTS at an operation time of 70 years and only if the annual relative GAC demand is assumed to

    be about 250% of the FGSs demand.

    With respect to other classes, the GAC threshold ratios are computed significantly lower than

    those denoting potential adverse effects on human health. This is because of the higher relevance

    of GAC compared to other technological elements when focusing on DER and EQ, which is

    especially influenced by the high resource and energy demand for production, supply and

    regeneration of GAC. Therefore, with respect to DER, a lower consumption of GAC for the FGS

    is computed that leads to the same overall emissions as for PTS. We observe a steeper decline of

    Fig. 9. Comparison of PTS and FGS with respect to potential depletion of resources (DER), the expected encroachment

    of ecological quality (EQ) and the hazardous effects on human health (HH), assuming that the GAC demand for PTS

    (GACPTS) is not known. Trade-off curves depict the relative consumption rate GACPTS/GACFGS where the total class-

    specific impacts are equal, given a fixed estimated consumption of GACFGS=40 t/year for the FGS. Above the curves,

    FGS are beneficial, below, PTS.

    P. Bayer, M. Finkel / Journal of Contaminant Hydrology 83 (2006) 171199194the trade-offs with respect to EQ versus DER so that intersections occur after 40 years or more.

    Fig. 9ac depict the GACPTS/GACFGS ratios assumed for the reference case (180%) and the

    equality line, at GACPTS/GACFGS=100%, as dashed lines. Anticipating that the extraction rate

    for the PTS (18 l/s, FGS: 10 l/s) is not underestimated, an 80% higher annual GAC demand for

    the PTS may serve as an upper limit. This is because the contaminant concentrations can be

    expected to be equal to or, due to dilution, lower than those given for the FGS. Further

    arguments for this postulation are the above-mentioned adaptability and the better control of the

    on-site treatment unit. Moreover, it is doubtful if, in all gates, the maximum sorption capacity of

    the GAC can be reachedanother potential disadvantage for FGS.

    As can be seen for all three wall types, human health related emissions of the FGS always

    surmount those for PTS under realistic assumptions for the planning period and PTSs GAC

    demand. This relationship is especially controlled by the usage of steel. Please note that for the

    scenarios discussed here, credits from steel recycling are already considered. With respect to

    DER, the 180% threshold can already be reached after 15 years of operation for all wall types. In

    contrast, the break- even point for the impacts computed for the ecological quality is 1020 years

    later. As already discussed above, funnels made out of thin diaphragm walls are preferable over

    those constructed out of soilcementbentonite slurry walls and steel sheet piles, thus offering an

    earlier break-even point. For example, assuming an 80% higher annual GAC demand for the PTS,

  • the depletion of energy resources is already undercut by the FGS after one decade. If the relative

    annual GAC demand is lower than 180%, then the indifference trade-offs increase exponentially.

    If the same annual GAC amount is consumed for both technologies (GACPTS/GACFGS=100%),

    then periods of over 40 years are required to achieve lower impacts using the FGS.

    19. Conclusions

    There are two main contributions of this study: the set-up and the application of a LCA

    framework for common long-term groundwater remediation technologies. Each step of the

    LCAthe definition of functional units, system boundaries and objectives, the realisation of the

    impact assessment and the comparison of technology-specific resultsnecessitated a purpose-

    built approach to fit the technological key elements into the LCA framework and to obtain valid

    results. The application site, the former gas manufacturing plant of the city of Karlsruhe, enabled

    quantification of realistic estimates of the environmental burden caused by secondary impacts of

    applying remediation technologies.

    The ideal functional unit to be adopted for a LCA framework is shown to be the control and/

    or remediation of a site. This is defined by complying with concentration levels, since this

    reflects the perception of equal functionality according to risk assessment objectives without

    examining the exact system performance. For the definition of system boundaries as well as the

    spatial and temporal resolution of the environmentally relevant processes, a compromise had to

    be found that most accurately outlines the adverse effects on environment and human health, but

    focuses on the most crucial processes and effects of the manifold types involved. To achieve this,

    key technical elements are distinguished, such as funnel installation, gate construction, pumping

    devices and granular activated carbon (GAC) as the treatment material. The impact assessment

    carried out then delivers the specific impacts with respect to depletion of energy resources and

    burdens on ecological quality or human health. Due to the dissimilitude of the various processes

    involved, the underlying inventory data for estimating product-related material demand, energy

    consumption and occurring emissions is based on various literature sources, databases and

    manufacturers information. As a consequence, it is hardly possible to guarantee a similar quality

    for all data utilised and functional relationships assumed. Additionally, available databases are

    commonly not sufficient for obtaining an exact quantitative description of all products and

    services within the system boundaries from cradle-to-grave as recommended for an apposite

    LCA. In view of the limited data availability and comparability, a certain degree of

    bstreamliningQ was necessary, which here meant to forego a distinction of spatial and temporalcharacteristics of the processes involved.

    Deficiencies in data quality and technical description were tackled by an uncertainty analysis

    which yielded confidence intervals of th