lessons learned from past notable disasters turkey part 2: storms walter hays, global alliance for...
TRANSCRIPT
LESSONS LEARNED FROM PAST NOTABLE DISASTERS
TURKEYPART 2: STORMS
Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction, Vienna,
Virginia, USA
TURKEY
NATURAL HAZARDS THAT HAVE CAUSED NATURAL HAZARDS THAT HAVE CAUSED DISASTERS IN TURKEYDISASTERS IN TURKEY
NATURAL HAZARDS THAT HAVE CAUSED NATURAL HAZARDS THAT HAVE CAUSED DISASTERS IN TURKEYDISASTERS IN TURKEY
FLOODS
STORMS
EARTHQUAKES
WILDFIRES
ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE
GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE
HIGH BENEFIT/COST FROM BECOMING DISASTER NRESILIENT
HIGH BENEFIT/COST FROM BECOMING DISASTER NRESILIENT
GOAL: PROTECT PEOPLE GOAL: PROTECT PEOPLE AND COMMUNITIESAND COMMUNITIES
GOAL: PROTECT PEOPLE GOAL: PROTECT PEOPLE AND COMMUNITIESAND COMMUNITIES
Natural Phenomena that Cause Disasters
Planet Earth’s atmospheric and hydrospheric interactions create Storms
ELEMENTS OF RISK AND DISASTER
TURKEY IS AT RISK FROM INFREQUENT STORMS
THAT CAN STRIKE SUDDENLY WITH LITTLE
OR NO WARNING, . . .
NOT THE SEVERE SEASONAL
WINDSTORMS, WHICH REQUIRE WARMER WATER
HAZARDSHAZARDSHAZARDSHAZARDS
ELEMENTS OF RISK FOR ELEMENTS OF RISK FOR STORMS STORMS
ELEMENTS OF RISK FOR ELEMENTS OF RISK FOR STORMS STORMS
EXPOSUREEXPOSUREEXPOSUREEXPOSURE
VULNERABILITYVULNERABILITYVULNERABILITYVULNERABILITY LOCATIONLOCATIONLOCATIONLOCATION
RISKRISKRISKRISK
A STORM’S HAZARDS
ARE THE POTENTIAL DISASTER AGENTS
HIGH VELOCITY WIND
STORMSSTORMS
TURBULENT OCEAN WAVES
RECORD RAINFALL
RECORD SNOW FALL
WATER, GAS, AND POWER OUTABES
ISOLATION
FLOODING AND LANDSLIDES
CAUSES OF DAMAGE
CAUSES OF DAMAGE
“DISASTER LABORATORIES”
“DISASTER LABORATORIES”
A DISASTER CAN HAPPENWHEN THE
POTENTIAL DISASTER AGENTS OF A STORM INTERACT WITH
TURKEY’S COMMUNITIES
A DISASTER CAN HAPPENWHEN THE
POTENTIAL DISASTER AGENTS OF A STORM INTERACT WITH
TURKEY’S COMMUNITIES
SPRING STORM HITS TURKEY
APRIL 18, 2012
LOCATION MAP
ISTANBUL
IMPACTS
• Severe weather conditions took a grip over much of western Turkey and stopped daily life in Istanbul.
• In Istanbul, bridges were closed and buildings collapsed as the wind reached speeds of 100 kph (60 mph).
.
IMPACTS
• All sea transportation was canceled in Istanbul due to the high seas.
• Turkish Airlines cancelled 43 international and domestic flights due to the high winds.
HIGH WINDS CREATE WAVES
IMPACTS
• Lanes on the Bosphorus Bridge were closed down after a truck tipped over and drivers were unable to hold on to their steering wheels.
BRIDGE AND HIGHWAY CLOSED AFTER TRUCK OVERTURNED
WINTER STORM HITS TURKEY
JANUARY 25, 2010
IMPACTS
• A fierce, overnight snowstorm caused power, gas and water outages in Istanbul.
• In Turkey's western region near the Greek and Bulgarian borders, villages were isolated when major roads were blocked by heavy snow.
WINTER STORM HITS TURKEY
DECEMBER 10, 2001
IMPACTS
• The diverse physical phenomena generated by the storm: flooding, high winds, and blizzard conditions sank two ships in the Black Sea, isolated villages, and killed four people..
RESCUE
• Rescue workers on Monday gave up the search for a missing crew member from a Cambodian-flagged ship which sank in the Black Sea 65 km (33 mi) north of Istanbul.
• All the other members of the 18-man crew were rescued by a passing Russian ship.
RESCUE
• All eight crew members on board another ship which sank, the Turkish freighter, “Kalkavan, were rescued on Sunday.
IMPACTS
• Three hundred villages in the north-west were cut off by snows and vehicles were stuck on roads.
• 500 people were evacuated in Icel province amid fears of flooding.
IMPACTS
• The region had four times the average monthly rainfall, which inundated farm land
FARM LAND INUNDATED
A DISASTER is ---
--- the set of failures that overwhelm the capability of a community to respond without external help when three continuums: 1) people, 2) community (i.e., a set of habitats, livelihoods, and social constructs), and 3) complex events (e.g., storms, earthquakes,…) intersect at a point in space and time.
Disasters are caused by single- or multiple-event natural hazards that, (for various reasons), cause
extreme levels of mortality, morbidity, homelessness,
joblessness, economic losses, or environmental impacts.
THE REASONS ARE . . .
• When it does happen, the functions of the community’s buildings and infrastructure will be LOST because they are UNPROTECTED with the appropriate codes and standards.
THE REASONS ARE . . .
• The community is UN-PREPARED for what will likely happen, not to mention the low-probability of occurrence—high-probability of adverse consequences event.
THE REASONS ARE . . .
• The community has NO DISASTER PLANNING SCENARIO or WARNING SYSTEM in place as a strategic framework for early threat identification and coordinated local, national, regional, and international countermeasures.
THE REASONS ARE . . .
• The community LACKS THE CAPACITY TO RESPOND in a timely and effective manner to the full spectrum of expected and unexpected emergency situations.
THE REASONS ARE . . .
• The community is INEFFICIENT during recovery and reconstruction because it HAS NOT LEARNED from either the current experience or the cumulative prior experiences.
THE ALTERNATIVE TO A DISASTER IS
DISASTER RESILIENCE
THE ALTERNATIVE TO A DISASTER IS
DISASTER RESILIENCE
TURKEY’S TURKEY’S COMMUNITIESCOMMUNITIES
TURKEY’S TURKEY’S COMMUNITIESCOMMUNITIES
DATA BASES DATA BASES AND INFORMATIONAND INFORMATIONDATA BASES DATA BASES AND INFORMATIONAND INFORMATION
HAZARDS: GROUND SHAKING GROUND FAILURE SURFACE FAULTING TECTONIC DEFORMATION TSUNAMI RUN UP AFTERSHOCKS
• STORM HAZARDS•INVENTORY•VULNERABILITY•LOCATION
Storm RISK Storm RISK
RISK
ACCEPTABLE RISK
UNACCEPTABLE RISK
STORM DISASTER STORM DISASTER RESILIENCERESILIENCE
•PREPAREDNESS•PROTECTION•FORECASTS/SCENARIOS•EMERGENCY RESPONSE•RECOVERY and RECONSTRUCTION
POLICY OPTIONSPOLICY OPTIONS
IDENTIFY THE COMMUNITY’S HIGH RISK AREAS IN VIEW OF THE
REGIONAL STORM HISTORY
IDENTIFY THE COMMUNITY’S HIGH RISK AREAS IN VIEW OF THE
REGIONAL STORM HISTORY
REMEMBER: STORMS IN TURKEY ARE INEVITABLE
REMEMBER: STORMS IN TURKEY ARE INEVITABLE
• ---SO, DON’T WAIT FOR ANOTHER REMINDER OF THE IMPORTANCE OF BECOMING STORM DISASTER RESILIENT.
STRATEGIC COLLABORATION (I.E., WORKING TOGETHER ON A
COMMON GOAL)
IS THE KEY TO BECOMING STORM DISASTER RESILIENT
STRATEGIC COLLABORATION (I.E., WORKING TOGETHER ON A
COMMON GOAL)
IS THE KEY TO BECOMING STORM DISASTER RESILIENT
LESSONS LEARNED ABOUT DISASTER RESILIENCE
ALL STORMS
PREPAREDNESS FOR ALL OF THE LIKELY HAZARDS AND RISKS IS ESSENTIAL FOR DISASTER RESILIENCE
LESSONS LEARNED ABOUT DISASTER RESILIENCE
ALL STORMS
PROTECTION AGAINST LOSS OF FUNCTION IS ESSENTIAL FOR DISASTER RESILIENCE
LESSONS LEARNED ABOUT DISASTER RESILIENCE
ALL STORMS TECHNOLOGIES THAT FACILITATE THREAT IDENTI-FICATION AND EARLY WARNING ARE ESSENTIAL FOR DISASTER RESILIENCE
LESSONS LEARNED ABOUT DISASTER RESILIENCE
ALL STORMS
TIMELY EMERGENCY RESPONSE IS ESSENTIAL FOR DISASTER RESILIENCE