la banque postale group · investor presentation . may 2017 . la banque postale . la banque postale...
TRANSCRIPT
La Banque Postale Group
May 2017 INVESTOR PRESENTATION
LA BANQUE POSTALE
Disclaimer
2 May 2017 INVESTOR PRESENTATION
This document has been prepared by La Banque Postale and La Banque Postale Home Loan SFH solely for use in investor meetings. This document is confidential and is not to be reproduced by any person, nor be
distributed to any person other than its original recipient. La Banque Postale and La Banque Postale Home Loan SFH take no responsibility for the use of these materials by any person.
This presentation does not constitute a prospectus or other offering document in whole or in part. Recipients should not subscribe for any securities issued pursuant to the Offering except on the basis of information in the
prospectus in final form (including the documents incorporated by reference therein) to be issued by the Company in connection with the Offering.
Information contained in this presentation is a summary only, and is qualified in its entirety by reference to the prospectus. The prospectus will include a description of risk factors relevant to an investment in the securities to
be issued by the Company and any recipients should review in particular the risk factors before making a decision to invest.
This presentation does not constitute or form part of any offer or invitation to sell or issue or any solicitation of any offer to buy or subscribe for any security nor shall it (or any part of it) form the basis of (or be relied on in
connection with) any contract or investment decision in relation thereto. Recipients should conduct their own investigation, evaluation and analysis of the information set out in this document and should rely solely on their own
judgment, investigation, evaluation and analysis in evaluating the Company, its business and affairs.
No representation or warranty, express or implied, is given by or on behalf of the Company, the Joint Lead Managers, or any of their respective directors, officers, employees, advisers, agents, affiliates or any other person as
to (a) the accuracy, fairness or completeness of the information or (b) the opinions contained in this document, and, save in the case of fraud, no liability whatsoever is accepted for any such information or opinions.
The information and opinions contained in this presentation are provided as at the date of this document and are subject to change without notice although neither the Company nor any other person assumes any
responsibility or obligation to provide the recipients with access to any additional information or update or revise any such statements, regardless of whether those statements are affected by the results of new information,
future events or otherwise. All liability (including, without limitation, liability for indirect, economic or consequential loss) is hereby excluded to the fullest extent permissible by law.
Certain statements included in this presentation are “forward-looking”. Such forward-looking statements speak only at the date of this document, involve substantial uncertainties and actual results and developments may
differ materially from future results expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Neither the Company nor any other person undertakes any obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements.
All written, oral and electronic forward-looking statements attributable to the Company, or the Joint Lead Managers, or persons acting on their behalf are expressly qualified in their entirety by this cautionary statement.
This document and the investment activity to which it relates may only be communicated to, and are only directed at (i) persons in the United Kingdom having professional experience in matters relating to investments, being
investment professionals within the meaning of Article 19(5) of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotion) Order 2005, as amended (the FPO); (ii) qualified investors (investisseurs qualifiés) as defined
in Articles L411-2 of the French Monetary and Financial Code and (iii) persons to whom the communication may otherwise lawfully be made (together Relevant Persons). Any investment or investment activity to which this
document relates is available only to Relevant Persons and will be engaged in only with Relevant Persons. This document must not be acted or relied on by any persons who are not Relevant Persons.
NOT FOR PUBLICATION OR DISTRIBUTION IN THE UNITED STATES - Nothing in this presentation shall constitute an offer of securities for sale in the United States. The securities referred to in this presentation (if any)
have not been registered under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the Securities Act) or under the securities laws of any state of the United States , and may not be offered or sold in the United States absent
registration or an exemption from registration under the Securities Act and applicable state securities laws.
This document may contain a number of forecasts and comments relating to the targets and strategies of the La Banque Postale Group. These forecasts are based on a series of assumptions, both general and specific,
notably – unless specified otherwise - the application of accounting principles and methods in accordance with IFRS (International Financial Reporting Standards) as adopted in the European Union, as well as the application of
existing prudential regulations. This information was developed from scenarios based on a number of economic assumptions for a given competitive and regulatory environment.
The Group may be unable:
- to anticipate all the risks, uncertainties or other factors likely to affect its business and to appraise their potential consequences;
- to evaluate precisely the extent to which the occurrence of a risk or a combination of risks could cause actual results to differ materially from those provided in this presentation.
There is a risk that these projections will not be met. Investors are advised to take into account factors of uncertainty and risk likely to impact the operations of the Group when basing their investment decisions on information
provided in this document. Unless otherwise specified, the sources for the rankings are internal.
LA BANQUE POSTALE
Table of contents
3
Overview
Business model and results
Funding and Liquidity
Capital
LBP Home Loan SFH
Wrap-up
May 2017 INVESTOR PRESENTATION
LA BANQUE POSTALE
A solid and stable shareholding structure and a core subsidiary for Le Groupe La Poste
4
LBP is wholly-owned by La Poste, the French Postal Service
La Poste is itself 73.7% held by the French government and 26.3% by La Caisse des Dépôts (100% held by the French State) and is structured around 5 business units :
Services-Mail-Parcels (mail and parcels, logistics solutions and local services),
GeoPost (domestic and international express services),
La Banque Postale (financial services),
La Poste Network (servicing its business units) and
Digital Services (solutions and services in the area of digital transformation, digital marketing and digital trust).
LBP is considered as a core strategic subsidiary of La Poste:
La Poste is legally bound to keep a majority stake in LBP (Law of regulation of postal activities, 2005)
LBP is an essential contributor to La Poste income LBP is, by law, enabled to use La Poste’s staff for its
activities
73.7%
100%
100%
26.3%
May 2017 INVESTOR PRESENTATION
The backbone of La Banque Postale
LA BANQUE POSTALE
La Banque Postale (LBP) : from La Poste’s Financial Services… into a fully fledged bank
5
1817 2000
Creation of Efiposte
(manages sight deposits
collected by La Poste)
Creation of the first postal service
mandate named ‘Reconnaissance’
31/12/2005
Efiposte becomes
La Banque Postale
2007
Consumer Finance
2009 2011
Corporate lending
La Banque Postale Crédit
Entreprises
La Banque Postale
Assurances IARD
A long history of La Poste’s financial services But still a short history as a fully-fledged bank
2012
Lending to French local authorities
La Banque Postale
Collectivités Locales
La Banque Postale
Financement
P&C Insurance
SFH BPE
La Banque Postale
Home Loan SFH
2013 2014
Sofiap
2015
Partnership with Aegon
AM Merger BPE /
LBPGP
Wealth Management
Unit
Since 2006, LBP has gradually acquired tools and built up a network of partnerships to accelerate its development and achieve its full potential
Before 2006, La Poste’s financial services business was mainly focused on savings
Since 2006, LBP developed its product range and became a fully-fledged retail bank
• Diversification of LBP lending activities has enhanced LBP role in financing the French real economy
May 2017 INVESTOR PRESENTATION
LA BANQUE POSTALE
La Banque Postale (LBP): A business model based on core business development and successful partnerships
6
A very active partnership policy with major players in order to accelerate new businesses launches, relying on safe and efficient operational process
Retail banking Private banking / discretionary portfolio
management Consumer finance Public sector lending Non-profit organizations & Corporate
banking
Life assurance P&C Health Insurance Contingency insurance
Insurance
Asset management for individuals Asset management for companies Real estate
Asset Management
Partnership in Consumer finance
FINANCEMENT
65% owned by LBP
COLLECTIVITES LOCALES
65% owned by LBP
Partnership in Public sector lending
Partnership in Life assurance
20.15% consolidated by LBP
Partnership in P&C
ASSURANCES IARD
65% owned by LBP
Partnership in Health Insurance
ASSURANCES SANTE
51% owned by LBP
ASSET MANAGEMENT
25% of
Partnerships in Asset Management
5% of
Retail Banking
70% owned by LBP
35% of
14% of
May 2017 INVESTOR PRESENTATION
40% consolidated by LBP
60% of
LA BANQUE POSTALE
La Banque Postale (LBP): a core focus on Retail banking and a leading position on the French banking system
7
Retail Banking
Retail banking Private banking /
discretionary management
Consumer finance Public Sector lending Non-profit
organizations & Corporate banking
One of the rare pure player in French retail
banking
Insurance
Life assurance Contingency P&C Health Insurance
Partnership with CNP Assurances
(20.15% consolidated)
Asset management for individuals
Asset management for companies
Real estate
LBPAM is the 4th largest asset management
company in France* (€179.2bn AUM)
Asset Management
Contribution to net income before tax YE 2016
Insurance
27%
Asset Management 7%
Retail Banking 66%
* Source: AFG: the French Asset Management Association (2015)
10.7 million active retail customers
13.5% market share on ordinary savings (all savings accounts except CEL) and 23,1% market share on the Livret A
5.6% market share on home loans outstandings**
Key figures of retail banking activity at YE 2016
Retail banking in France NBI 2016 ***(€bn)
** Including BPE and Sofiap *** Press releases reports, excluding home savings provisions, YE 2016 **** Sofia Study, March 2016 ***** Retail banking France, Registration Document or press releases, YE 2016
LBP in the French banking environment
LCL 3.1
Crédit Agricole 13.8
Caisses d’Epargne 7.2
Banques Populaires 6.3
Société Générale 8.3
BNP Paribas 6.4
LBP 5.1
22.1
Caisses d’Epargne 13.2
Banques Populaires 7.3
LCL 6.2
Crédit Agricole
Société Générale 6.7
BNP Paribas 6.4
LBP 17.6
Penetration rates on main current account March 2016 (%)****
Number of branches YE 2016 (m)*****
LCL 1.9
Caisses d’Epargne
Crédit Agricole 7.0
Banques Populaires
3.0
4.2
BNP Paribas
3.3
Société Générale
2.0
LBP 8.8
May 2017 INVESTOR PRESENTATION
LA BANQUE POSTALE
A solid and stable shareholding structure, reflected in strong credit ratings
8
Latest rating update 2016 2016
France AA / Stable (October 2016) AA / Stable (December 2016)
Caisse des Dépôts et Consignations AA / Stable (October 2016) AA / Stable (December 2016)
Le Groupe La Poste A / Stable (December 2016) A+ / Stable (Dec 2016)
Latest rating update November 2016 April 2017
Long term debt A / Stable A- / Stable
Short-term debt A-1 F1
Tier 2 BBB-
La Banque Postale Home Loan SFH AAA / Stable (May 2017)
La Banque Postale’s credit ratings
LT debt ratings of La Banque Postale’s stakeholders
May 2017 INVESTOR PRESENTATION
LA BANQUE POSTALE
Table of contents
9 May 2017 INVESTOR PRESENTATION
Overview
Business model and results
Funding and Liquidity
Capital
LBP Home Loan SFH
Wrap-up
LA BANQUE POSTALE
A growing loan portfolio with the development of new businesses
10
New home loans production : €11.2bn versus €12.8bn in 2015 and €9bn in 2014* (+24.2%)
New consumer loans production : €2.4bn versus €2.3bn in 2015 and €2.1bn in 2014 (+13%)
Loans granted to corporates and local public sector : €15.3bn versus €12.1bn in 2015 and €9bn in 2014 (+69.5%)
A dynamic loan production …
Outstanding loans to corporates and local public sector** (in €bn)
Home Loans
Consumer Loans
Loans to corporates and local
public sector
Home loans outstandings (in €bn)
Consumer loans outstandings (in €bn)
5654535045
3,2%
2016 2015 2014 2013 2012
+8.4%
2016
4.9
2015
4.5
2014
4.0
2013
3.4
2012
2.6
+48.2%
2016
6.5
2013
4.0
2012
0.7
14.4
2015
9.7
2014
May 2017 INVESTOR PRESENTATION
… and a growing loan portfolio
*Including BPE and Sofiap ** Businesses and local authorities
LA BANQUE POSTALE 11
Dynamism of Insurance and Asset Management businesses
2016
180.6
2015
178.3
2014
157.6
+1.3%
Asset management : AUM (in billions of euros)*
LBPAM: €179.2 billion in assets under management, up by 1.2% on a like-for-like basis
Tocqueville Finance: €1.4 billion** in assets under management, up by 12.8%
assets under management
*Assets at end of period, including LBPGP assets in 2014 and Fédéris assets in 2015 **Excluding LBPAM delegation
An overall portfolio of policies at almost 4,452,000, up by 5.5%
P&C insurance (IARD): 520,000 new policies (portfolio +14%)
Health insurance: over 110,000 new policies (portfolio up by 50%): success of ACDS (Assurance Coups Durs Santé, or hard times health insurance) and "Oui Santé" ("Yes to Health" - Aide à la Complémentaire Santé, or supplementary health insurance assistance)
Contingency insurance: over 280,000 new individual policies (portfolio
stable)
Insurance: trend in policy portfolios (in thousands)
4,220
2,758
1,353
109
2014
3,964
2,750
1,134
80
+5.5%
Contingency
P&C
Health
2016
4,452
2,751
1,539
163
2015*
* Proforma 2015 in Health Stock
May 2017 INVESTOR PRESENTATION
LA BANQUE POSTALE
2016: resilient results
12 May 2017 INVESTOR PRESENTATION
Net Banking Income affected by the low interest rate environment: -2.5%
Operating expenses under control: -2.3%
Cost-income ratio increase contained: +0.3 points
Cost of risk stable at €181 million, down 22 bps compared to outstandings***
Consolidated income statement (€ millions)
Main items in the income statement 2016 2015 %
Net Banking Income
Excluding the effect of the home savings provision on a like-for-like basis
5,602
5,745
-2.5%
- 6.3 %*
Operating expenses
On a like-for-like basis
(4,587)
(4,693)
-2.3 %
-2.5%**
Gross operating income 1,015 1,052 -3.5%
Cost of risk (181) (181) +0.2 %
Operating income 834 871 -4.3%
Share of income from equity associates 191 207 -7.6 %
Pre-tax income 1,023 1,094 -6.5%
Net income, Group share 694 707 -1.8%
Cost-income ratio 82.4% 82.1% +0.3 points
* Reversal of provision of €142 million in 2016 against a provision allowance of €63 million in 2015; Consolidation effect (Ciloger, Fédéris) * Consolidation effect (Ciloger, Fédéris) * Cost of commercial banking credit risk
LA BANQUE POSTALE
Group net banking income impacted by the persistently low interest rate environment
13
-2.5% +1.3%
2016 published
2,578
3,024
2015 published
2,559
3,187
2014 published
2,295
3,378 Commissions and other
NIM
• Including effects of home loan savings, scope and Visa
Net Banking Income down -2.5% and -6.3% excluding effects of home loan savings provision and on a like-for-like basis in 2016
Revenue diversification improving* retail banking revenue -3.2%; insurance subsidiary revenue +6.3%; revenue from asset management subsidiaries +12.7%, supported by
the scope effect linked to Ciloger and Fédéris (-0.9% on a like-for-like basis).
Commissions accounting for a growing portion of revenue
revenue from commissions and other +0.7% in 2016; commissions and other accounting for 46% of revenue.
Low interest rates weighing on the net interest margin: -5.1 %
-2.5% +1.3%
2016
5,602
2015
5,745
2014
5,673
(+0.7 %)
(-5.1 %)
(+11.5 %)
(-5.7 %)
-2.5%
2016 published
5,602
asset management
18
insurance
12
retail banking
-173
2015 published
5,745
May 2017 INVESTOR PRESENTATION
LA BANQUE POSTALE
An ongoing effort to improve efficiency
14
Operating expenses’ breakdown (%)
Focus on external services and other expenses (%)
May 2017 INVESTOR PRESENTATION
€4,587m (-2.3% yoy) reflect efforts to contain expenses despite a continued development and the gradual implementation of major transformation programs :
Decrease in Retail banking operating expenses (-2.9% at €4,389m), including: - -3% for LBP SA - +6% for Retail banking subsidiaries, in support to their development
A dedicated plan focused on quality of service and based on an investment programme and a comprehensive overhaul of major processes €1bn in investments over the period 2014-2020 A programme to boost operational and commercial efficiency (reorganising salesforces ; comprehensive review of main front-to-back processes)
488469
-2.3%
Amortisation and provision
External services and other expenses
Taxes and duties
Employee benefit expenses
2016
4,587
176
3,913
11
2015
4,693
226
3,926
72
Other operating costs
22%
Back office and IT 22%
Customer advisors / salesforce
30%
Counter and ATM transactions
26%
*
*
*
* Service sharing agreements signed with La Poste represent around 80% of « external services and other expenses » and two thirds of total expenses.
LA BANQUE POSTALE
A cost of risk under control
15
LBP Group cost of risk (€m)
Group cost of risk / group gross operating income
Credit activities cost of risk (bps)*
Crédit Mutuel-
CM11 Group
Crédit Agricole Group
35%
BPCE Group
19%
Société Générale
25%
BNPParibas
23%
LBP
18% 16%
Source: 2016 Registration Documents, consolidated financial statements
-1
2016
22
2015
23
2014
23
2013
25
* Cost of risk on loans in bp, based on average outstanding at the start of the period
Low risk appetite and stringent controls in place
Total cost of risk nearly stable (+0.2%), and commercial credit activities cost of risk low at 22 bps, despite growth in outstanding loans and reinforcement in risk coverage
181181163154
2014 2013
+0,2%
2016 2015
* Loans: customers and corporates
May 2017 INVESTOR PRESENTATION
LA BANQUE POSTALE
Table of contents
16 May 2017 INVESTOR PRESENTATION
Overview
Business model and results
Funding and Liquidity
Capital
LBP Home Loan SFH
Wrap-up
LA BANQUE POSTALE
Balance sheet breakdown
17
Balance sheet at YE 2016: €229,6 bn, +€10bn vs YE15
Large customers’ deposits base : €173bn
LBP “centralises” all funds deposited on Livret A and LDD
regulated savings accounts and since H1 2016, only half of
LEP regulated savings accounts, with no interest rate or
liquidity risk (it is a pure pass-through): €71bn
Remaining part of the deposit base (not centralised to
CDC*) amounting to €102bn:
is used to fund customer lending and mainly home
loan activity
is invested in a “SSA bond” portfolio mostly
classified in HTM** (dating back to before LBP was
created and mainly consisting in HQLA bonds) and
a credit spread portfolio
*CDC: Caisse des Dépôts et Consignations **Held to Maturity
LBP balance sheet at YE 2016 (€bn)
Customer deposits/
savings €173bn
13
27
19
22
76
71
Others
Reverse Repo
Short term assets and Central Bank
AFS Portfolio
HTM Portfolio
Loans to customers
Regulated savings centralised at CDC
Assets
230
2 14
7
18
15
98
75
3 Own funds and hybrids
Provisions
Other Liabilities
Repo
Debt securities
Customer deposits/savings excluding regulated savings
Regulated savings
Liabilities
230
Assets out of regulated
savings centralised
at CDC €159bn
May 2017 INVESTOR PRESENTATION
LA BANQUE POSTALE
Strong assets’ quality
18
High quality of retail lending portfolios
81% of the total portfolio is individual customers’ based
A progressive and controlled diversification of lending businesses
A conservative financing approach, focusing on stringent management Impaired loans : 1,6%
Desensitisation to peripheral SSA** (in €bn, YE 2016) HTM and AFS portfolio breakdown and ratings (YE 2016)
0.9
0.3
0.6
2014
2.0
0.0
0.8
1.2
2013
2.5
-62%
Ireland
Spain
Italy
2016
0.9
0.0
0.9
2015
0.0
1.2
1.3
High quality of investment portfolios
** Sovereigns, Supras and Agencies, direct exposures, net carrying amount ‘including impairment) of exposure on the Bank’s own account
May 2017 INVESTOR PRESENTATION
Corporate
5% Bank
25%
Sovereign 69% Other
28%
AAA and AA
72%
LA BANQUE POSTALE
Diversifying funding sources to support lending diversification
19
Diversified long term wholesale funding sources (at YE 2016)
Outstanding LBP Tier 2 Benchmark bonds
In June 2016, LBP priced a €500mn, 3.00% 12-year Bullet Tier 2 transaction
In Nov 2015, LBP priced a €750mm 2.750% 12NC7 Tier 2 transaction
In April 2014, LBP priced a €750mm 2.750% 12NC7 Tier 2 transaction
In November 2010, LBP priced a €750mm 4.375% 10-year Bullet Tier 2 transaction
May 2017 INVESTOR PRESENTATION
In addition to a large customer deposit base, LBP has
diversified wholesale funding sources:
- Interbank funding: €20bn French CD programme
- Large portfolio of high quality securities,
consisting mainly of rapidly accessible
Government bonds, eligible to Repos
- Access to EIB (European Investment bank) long
term funding
- Agreement with SFIL/CAFFIL to refinance French
local authorities loan production
- Senior unsecured EMTN programme
- Covered bond programme through LBP Home
Loan SFH
In order to develop its lending activity, LBP is gradually
rebalancing its funding sources by increasing its long term
wholesale funding
Tier 2 and Senior 38%
18%
44%
Covered bonds
LT Repo €8.1bn
LA BANQUE POSTALE
A strong and stable liquidity position
20
Loan to deposit ratio (€bn)
102
Centralised regulated deposits
Customers’deposits
71
76
Customers’loans
Ratio L/D : 74%
Low reliance on wholesale funding
Sound financing structure with a loan to deposit ratio
of 74%* at YE 2016
* Loan to deposit ratio, excluding Livret A and LEP and LDD deposits centralised at the Caisse des Dépôts et Consignations
Group’s LCR and liquidity buffer (€bn)
LCR: 260% at YE 2016 (estimated)
- A strong liquidity buffer with 95% of level 1 assets
2016
260%
2015
218%
Level 1
Level 2
2016
13.9
13.2
0.7
May 2017 INVESTOR PRESENTATION
LA BANQUE POSTALE
Table of contents
21 May 2017 INVESTOR PRESENTATION
Overview
Business model and results
Funding and Liquidity
Capital
LBP Home Loan SFH
Wrap-up
LA BANQUE POSTALE
LBP strong capital position (1/2)
22
2016 prudential ratios – building capital buffers CET1 phased-in (€m)
Leverage ratio
*Change in 2016 methodology by a decsision of the ECB of 24 August 2016, La Banque Postale is authorised to integrate gradually and linearly ip to 2022 its CDC exposure.: **Estimated, taking into account the delegated act published by the EC on Oct 2014.
2016
5.2% 4.6%
2015
5.2%
3.5% Including delegated act**
Without delegated act*
634
694
+14%
CET1 30.12.2016
8 171
Others Dividend project
-312
Profit
CET1 31.12.2015
7 155
+0.7
+0.4 +0.5
Total
19.4% 18.7% 17.0%
Tier1
15.1% 14.7% 14.2%
CET1
13.7% 13.2% 12.7% 2016
2015
2014
CET1
AT1
T2
2016
19.4%
13.7%
1.4%
4.3%
CRDIV :
Fully loaded CET1 of 14,3% at YE 2016 : LBP displays a higher fully loaded ratio than its phased-in CET1 ratio because of significant stock of unrealised gains
EBA’s 2016 stress tests results prove LBP’s solid resilience and ability to face an adverse context : The adverse imposed scenario would lead La
Banque Postale to reach a phased-in CET 1 ratio of 9.7% at YE 2018.
May 2017 INVESTOR PRESENTATION
LA BANQUE POSTALE
LBP strong capital position (2/2)
23
Ability to generate capital to support future growth
Capital management philosophy
LBP and Group LP are committed to manage adequate solvency levels to support LBP’s strategy as evidenced by several capital actions
Maintaining a prudent approach on capital…
Consistently above 10% CET1 since LBP creation
Basel 2 / 2.5 Basel 3 / CRR
11.4%* 10.1%** 13,7%
12,7% 12,1% 13,2% 11,5%
14,2% 14,7% 15,1%
2011 2012 2013 2013 2014 2015 2016
AT1Core Tier 1
12.7%
First capital increase of €860m
Capital increase of €228m and AT1 issue of €800m
Capital increase of €633m
… under conservative risk regulatory measure
Assessing Pillar 1 risk under standard approach Managing with conservative regulatory hypothesis
LBP Tier 1 ratios historical data
LBP RWAs historical data (€m)
13.2%
Basel 2 / 2.5 Basel 3 / CRR
May 2017 INVESTOR PRESENTATION
30,086
8,268 Operational RWA 8,160
35,505
25,654
1,691
2013 2012
Market RWA
2014 2011
Credit RWA
39,141 787
45,238
8,500
35,913
825
2015 2016
8,875
42,516 43,815
2,068
48,186
1,271 52,662 54,209
1,215
9,179
59,534
9,280
LA BANQUE POSTALE
MREL and TLAC considerations
24
Total Loss Absorbing Capacity considerations
As an “O-SIB” and as of today, La Banque Postale is not subject to TLAC such as defined by the FSB
La Banque Postale is subject to the MREL defined in the BRRD (Minimum Requirement for own funds and Eligible Liabilities)
On November 23rd 2016 the European Commission proposed amendments on BRRD. This proposed reform package introduces TLAC in European law and amends MREL
Single Resolution Board has not formally communicated yet any MREL target to La Banque Postale
In this still uncertain context, La Banque Postale monitors regulatory developments pertaining to resolution
La Banque Postale also continues to build up loss absorbing instruments and considers starting issuing Senior Non Preferred debt in 2017
11,0% 12,7% 12,1% 11,4% 12,7% 13,2% 13,70%
1,8% 1,5% 1,5% 1,40% 2,8%
4,0% 4,30%
13,2%
17,0%
19,4%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 S1 2016
18,7%
MREL As of 23/11/16 reform package
TLAC As of FSB 2015 termsheet
Covered Entities All EU credit institutions
International G-SIBs All EU credit institutions
Denominator Total liabilities and own funds
RWAs / Leverage ratio exposure
RWAs / Leverage ratio exposure
Minimum Ratio Bank specific level, no legal floor
16% initially then 18% RWAs+ Capital Buffers / 6% then 6.75% Leverage ratio
Bank specific level, capped at Max [2x(P1+P2R) ; 2 x Leverage requirement], with guidance on top
Floor for G-SIBs (TLAC level)
Eligible Liabilities
Wider definition than TLAC (senior preferred debt is eligible without limitation)
Subordinated instruments
Possibility for pari passu instruments to excluded liabilities limited to 3.5%
Closer to TLAC 3.5% limitation applies to the
G-SIBs floor Resolution authority may
require partial or full subordination for bank specific requirement
Date Starting Jan’16; phase-in period
Jan’19 No specification on phase-in period
May 2017 INVESTOR PRESENTATION
Building capital buffers
MREL As of BRRD1
TLAC vs. MREL 2016
T2
AT1
CET1
LA BANQUE POSTALE
Table of contents
25 May 2017 INVESTOR PRESENTATION
Overview
Business model and results
Funding and Liquidity
Capital
LBP Home Loan SFH
Wrap-up
LA BANQUE POSTALE 26 May 2017 INVESTOR PRESENTATION
The French housing market
Low home ownership rate (65%)
Prudent maturity at inception: 18 years (compared to 18.6 years in 2014)
Conservative credit market underwriting practices with a cautious loan approval policy based on borrowers’ solvability analysis rather than on the value of assets financed. Stability of revenues and debt ratio are key issues :
In 2015 in France, the average debt ratio is 29.4%.
A resilient French housing market and with favorable structural factors
Source : ACPR, enquête annuelle sur le financement de l’habitat July 2015
96.7% of home loans production have a fixed rate to maturity at YE 2015
This proportion has been increasing over the year (92.3% in 2014)
Proportion of flexible loans which increased in 2014 (3.4%) decreased in 2015 (1.4%).
Home loans secured by a guarantee provided either by a licensed credit institution or a licensed insurance company represent the majority of the French home loan market and increased over the year from 53% to 56%.
Germany* 53%
France* 65%
UK* 65%
Netherlands 68%
Euro zone* 67%
Italy* 73%
Spain 78%
Source : EMF, Hypostat 2016 : 2015 figures, except * : 2014
Source : Eurostat
Mortgage Interest Rate %
European home ownership % (2014/2015)
House-price index (base 100=2010) Source : European Mortgage Federation, Q4 2016 quarterly review
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
140
Euro zone
Germany
Spain
France
Italy
Netherlands
United Kingdom
1
1,5
2
2,5
3
3,5
4
2013-3 2013-4 2014-1 2014-2 2014-3 2014-4 2015-1 2015-2 2015-3 2015-4 2016-1 2016-2 2016-3 2016-4
Germany
Spain
France
Italy
Netherlands
United Kingdom
LA BANQUE POSTALE 27 May 2017 INVESTOR PRESENTATION
The French housing market : encouraging trends and long-term favorable potential
The new home market : building permits and housing starts up +14% and +13% at the end of February 2017 on 12 month cumulative basis
Home loans 2016 production (excluding internal renegotiations) : continued dynamism within a very low-rate context
Share of renegotiations in production decreased to 22% after the peak reached in 2015 (35%)
France : home loans production (in €bn excluding internal renegociations)
(source Coe-Rexecode, april 2016)
(source ACPR, LBP)
(source Ministère du Logement, LBP)
124 109
141
122
193 180
112 106 114
104
125 140
Total production Production out of renegotiations
fev. - 17 : 387 000
fev. - 17 : 463 400
300
350
400
450
500
550
600
650
déc.
-00
déc.
-01
déc.
-02
déc.
-03
déc.
-04
déc.
-05
déc.
-06
déc.
-07
déc.
-08
déc.
-09
déc.
-10
déc.
-11
déc.
-12
déc.
-13
déc.
-14
déc.
-15
déc.
-16
'000
s
Housing starts Building permits
France : Building permits and housing starts
LA BANQUE POSTALE 28 May 2017 INVESTOR PRESENTATION
La Banque Postale Home Loan strategy
La Banque Postale home loan business
Low risk profile customers * : - Owner occupied home (86%) - Maturity at inception (18.6 years) - Fixed rate loans (99.9%) - 53.8% of loans are guaranteed by Credit Logement at December 2016
Loan purpose (2016 production*)
Home loans (2016 production*)
Others
2%
Collateral security (mortgage, LPRF*)
33% Crédit Logement 53%
12%
Guaranteed by other institutions
Other
2% Repurchase
17%
New home 15%
Existing home 66%
Doubtful home loans (%)
Source :Banque de France, ACPR, LBP, Crédit Logement * LBP out of BPE and Sofiap
*lender’s priority right to funds
0,0
0,2
0,4
0,6
0,8
1,0
1,2
1,4
1,6
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Crédit Logement
LBP *
French market
* Source Dataware, LBP
LA BANQUE POSTALE 29 May 2017 INVESTOR PRESENTATION
LBP Home Loan SFH : legal framework
La Banque Postale Home Loan SFH is a French credit institution, 100% owned by LBP, licensed by the French financial supervisor (Autorité de Contrôle Prudentiel et de Résolution – ACPR).
Minimum contractual over-collateralization (referred to as “Asset cover test”) of 8.1% required by rating agency / Minimum legal over-collateralization of 5%
Under CRDIV / CRR (article 129) and LCR delegated act, AA- or better
rated covered bonds with minimum size of €500m are eligible to level 1B for LCR and benefit from a 10% RW treatment
Segregation of cover pool assets and legal preferential claim for covered bonds investors
Absolute seniority of payments over all creditors, no early redemption or acceleration
Regulated covered bonds are exempted from bail-in (BRRD)
A strong legal framework and advantageous treatment for Investors Investor informations : a dedicated website
https://www.labanquepostale.com/corporate_eng/investors/Debt/LBP_Home-Loan-SFH/LBP_Home-Loan-SFH.html
ECBC Label to ensure full transparency on the cover pool
LA BANQUE POSTALE 30 May 2017 INVESTOR PRESENTATION
LBP Home Loan SFH : legal framework
Namens-schuldverschreibungen Documentation
In June 2014, La Banque Postale has established a Programme for the issuance of German registered covered bonds (Namensschuldverschreibungen or “N-bonds”).
Investors in the N-bonds benefit from a strong protection with absolute seniority over the SFH's assets (including the coverpool), by law. They are ranked pari passu with the other SFH's bondholders.
The N-bonds are registered covered bonds governed by German law.
Structure overview
La Banque Postale (Borrower)
Cover Pool (French Home Loans)
Investors
La Banque Postale Home Loan SFH (Covered Bonds Issuer)
Collateralized loans Public Issuances Private Issuances
Covered Bonds Proceeds
Covered Bonds (OH)
Collateral Security
Collateralized Loans
Principal and Interest
LA BANQUE POSTALE 31 May 2017 INVESTOR PRESENTATION
LBP Home loan SFH : a resilient and granular cover pool
Programme Terms
Cover Pool (ECBC template : reporting date 03/27/2017 – cut-off date 02/28/2017)
Programme size € 10bn
Rating AAA by S&P
Currency €
Listing Euronext Paris
Governing law French Law, Ability to issue German law governed Namens-schuldverschreibungen
Amount issued €4,135bn (Feb. 2017)
Maturity type Hard/Soft bullet
Registrar and paying agent for NSV LBBW
Total outstandings € 7,000bn
Number of loans 120,520
Average loan balance € 58,082
Seasoning 53.58 months
WA LTV 67.13%
Indexed WA LTV 65.54%
Owner occupancy 84.37%
Interest rates 100% fixed rates
LA BANQUE POSTALE 32 May 2017 INVESTOR PRESENTATION
LBP Home loan SFH : a resilient and granular cover pool
Other non working
2%
Retired
3%
Self employed
5%
Civil Servants
25%
Employees
66%
Loan purpose
Buy to let
13% Second home
2%
Owner occupied 84%
Employment type
1st lien mortgages
25%
Guarantees (CreLog)
75%
Mortgages and guarantees of the cover pool
Others regions
49%
Rhones Alpes
11% Provence-Alpes-Côte d’Azur
9%
Aquitaine 6%
Ile-de-France (Paris included) 25%
Geographical distribution
Source : LBP HL SFH, ECBC Template, reporting date 03/27/2017
LA BANQUE POSTALE
Covered bonds : funding issues
Public issuances
Funding plans
2017: €585mn have already been issued, including €500mn of public issuance
Funding plan for the rest of 2017 in covered bonds aims at maintaining activity in long term private placement. Depending on home loans production, a small benchmark transaction could be considered in the second half of the year.
33
13 september 2013 (inaugural)
9 january 2014 14 april 2015 7 january 2016 16 january 2017
Amount issued
1bn€ 750 mn€ 500mn€ 500mn€ 500mn€
Period 7 years 10 years 7 years 7 Years 8 Years
Yield 1.962%, ms+16 bp 2.436%, ms+28 bp 0.249%, ms-12 bp 0.616%, ms+5 0.4625%, ms-2
Rating AAA AAA AAA AAA AAA
Investors
120 investors (asset managers, insurance
companies, banks and central banks, and
pension funds) Germany and Austria (32%), France (24%), Benelux (12%), the
Nordic countries (10%), and the United Kingdom and Ireland
(9%).
91 investors, with a good balance
between banks, AM and insurance 34%
France, 30% German/Austria, 11% Benelux,11% Asia and others
14%
German and Austrian accounts took the majority
with 49%, followed by France with 25%, Asia with 10% and
BeNeLux with 9%.
France 40%, Germany 39%, Asia 10%, Nordics 5%, Swiss 2%, Others
4%.
Germany 45%, France 32%, Middle
East 9%, Nordics 5%, Benelux 3%,
Asia 2%.
1/11/15 1/9/15
-12
-18
-16
-14
-10
-8
-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
10
1/5/17 1/7/16 1/9/16 1/11/16 1/1/17 1/3/17 1/5/16 1/3/16 1/1/16
LBPSFH 2024
LBP SFH 2020
LBPSFH 2022
LBPSFH 2023
LBPSFH 2025
Mid z-spreads of public issuances LBPHL SFH
LA BANQUE POSTALE 34 May 2017 INVESTOR PRESENTATION
Crédit Logement / Mutual Guarantee Fund (MGF)
Crédit Logement share capital, YE 2015
“[…] Crédit Logement enjoyed an exceptionally good year with more than €114 billion in guarantees issued, of which 44% relating to loan refinancing.”
Crédit Logement 2015 Annual report :
Crédit Logement is the market leader on the French residential property market, guaranteeing approximately one out of three property loans in 2015 (out of renegotiations).
It guarantees residential property loans for individuals, in the form of a joint and several guarantee which aims at covering the bank against default borrowers.
More than 7 million borrowers have already benefited from a Crédit Logement guarantee, thus allowing them to finance their property purchases without mortgages
Crédit Logement YE 2015:
Outstanding guarantee €280.34 billion and 3,169, 005 loans
Long Term rating (Aa3/stable by Moody’s and AA/low by DBRS)
Ultimate support by the French banking system
Mutual Guarantee Fund (MGF) :
The Crédit Logement financial guarantee is based on the principle of pooling risk, with each borrower contributing to a Mutual Guarantee Fund (MGF) :
The MGF allows repaying the bank in case the borrower fails
MGF : €4.57 billion at YE 2015
3%
HSBC France
0%
Others Individuals
0%
17%
BNP Paribas
16% Crédit Agricole
16%
BPCE
LCL
CM-CIC
7%
SF2 - Groupe La Banque Postale
Crédit Foncier
9%
17%
9%
Société Générale / Crédit du Nord
6%
LA BANQUE POSTALE
Table of contents
35 May 2017 INVESTOR PRESENTATION
Overview
Business model and results
Funding and Liquidity
Capital
LBP Home Loan SFH
Wrap-up
LA BANQUE POSTALE
La Banque Postale at a glance
36
2016 Key financial figures
Strong capital and high liquidity at YE 2016
Consolidated results (in €m) YE 2016 YE 2015
Net banking income* Excluding home savings provision
5,602 5,461
5,745 5,809
Operating income 834 871
Net Income, Group Share 694 707
Cost to income ratio 82.4% 82.1%
CET1 phased-in ratio: 13.7% **
Tier 1 ratio: 15.1%
Total Capital ratio: 19.4%
Estimated leverage ratio: 4.6% ***
Estimated LCR liquidity ratio: 260%
Company profile
Created in 2006 but a long track record in financial services
Wholly-owned by La Poste, the French Postal Service A resilient business model
Retail Banking: 94% of NBI (YE 2016) Recurrent revenues Conservative risk policy
Sound ratings: A (stable outlook) by S&P A- (stable outlook) by Fitch
Key facts 2016
94%
3% 3%
Retail BankingAsset ManagementInsurance
Customer deposits €173bn
Retail active Customers
Post offices (YE 2016)
NBI Split by Business
˜10.7m
˜8,900
*scope effect €20m (Ciloger and Federis) **Fully loaded ratio of 14.3% ***Change in 2016 methodology : by a decsision of the ECB of 24 August 2016, La Banque Postale is authorised to integrate gradually and linearly up to 2022 its CDC exposure. Estimated ratio of 5% taking into account the delegated act published by the European Commission on Oct 2014.
May 2017 INVESTOR PRESENTATION
LA BANQUE POSTALE
La Poste Network : a multi-business network with a banking activity
37 May 2017 INVESTOR PRESENTATION
17,159 retail outlets in France o.w. 51.6% post offices (8,835) and 48.4% partnerships (versus 46% in 2015)
436 millions of visits 96.7% of the French population lives less than 5 km away from a
retail outlet 83% of the French population stated they had visited their post
office at least once to carry out postal or banking transactions in 2016
53,700 employees, with more than 80% working in post offices
An exceptional granularity*
17% of Mail revenue
80% of La Poste Mobile sales
25% of Parcels revenue
100% of net collection for individuals
80% of property loans1
67% of consumer loans
of Chronopost revenue 7%
Commercial activity of La Poste Network*
• Le Groupe La Poste 2016 Registration Document 1) Excluding social housing loans
1,175 million transactions completed at its counters and automated postal machines, i.e :
622 million bank transactions and 7 million banking advice appointments completed by banking advisers located in the Network, i.e :
LA BANQUE POSTALE
Alternative Performance Measures
38 May 2017 INVESTOR PRESENTATION
Alternative Performance Measures Definition and method of calculation NBI excluding the effect of the home savings provision NBI restated for provisions or reversal of provisions on liabilities related to home savings
accounts (PEL and CEL)
Operating expenses Sum of operating expenses and net depreciation and amortisation and impairment of property, plant and equipment and intangible assets
Cost-income ratio Operating expenses divided by NBI corrected for doubtful interest
Cost of risk in basis points Average commercial banking credit risk costs for the quarter divided by outstandings at the beginning of each quarter
Article 223-1 of the AMF regulations
LA BANQUE POSTALE
Contact details
39
Stéphane Magnan [email protected]
Head of Financial Markets
Frédérique Delavaud [email protected]
Head of Financial communication
Dominique Heckel [email protected]
Head of Long Term Funding
May 2017 INVESTOR PRESENTATION
LA BANQUE POSTALE
La Banque Postale
La Banque Postale
115 rue de Sèvres
75275 Paris Cedex 06
www.labanquepostale.com