krishi jagran assocham agricultural summit

ASSOCHAM's 7th Agricultural Summit "AGRI@8%- Challenges and Way Out“

Inputs, Farm Technologies & Productivity

Dr. K C Ravi 15th February 2013

Classification: PUBLIC

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Future Agriculture Outlook


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Did you know that…?

By 2050, global population will rise by about

a third to 9 billion people

Out of which 1.7 billion will be in India alone

Calorie demand will increase by 50%52% of India’s population is involved in

Agriculture

yet it contributes just 13.7% to India’s GDP

Source: FAO, World Bank statistics, Syngenta


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World Population and Environmental stresses are increasing

World Stress Map

Source: UNEP, Cline, Syngenta

Climate change impact

HighMedium

Low


Reduction in Water

and Arable Land

19502.5 billion

20117 billion

20509 billionEmerging

Developed

Source: FAO, Syngenta analysis

More than 80% of

population growth happens

in emerging markets

The Demand for Food and

Feed will increase by 50% from 2010 to 2050

1950 1 hectarefed 2 people

2030 1 hectare needsto feed 5 people

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The grower’s world is getting increasingly complex

Future Farmer

Global FinancialInstability

Value Chain

Governmentsand Regulators

SocietalPressures

Environmental pressures

Input costs


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Challenges facing the Indian Grower


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Growing population and food demand


By 2050 total calorie requirement will go up from 2495 to 3000. Food grain production would need to

increase by 5.5 MT annually.

Continuing migration of people into cities, an increase in wealth and a shift towards diets rich in meat and

dairy, will raise demand for high-value food commodities by > 100%

High value foods require better infrastructure for

handling, value-addition, processing, marketing.

Key challenges for Input providers: Develop technologies and management options in a deteriorating production environment.

Create infrastructure and evolve institutional arrangements for production, post-harvest and marketing of high-value commodities

and their value-added products.

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Source: UN and FAO, 2005

Arable Land (ha) per person

Most populous countries have least room to expand

Produce more with less…Land | Water | Labor

Growing resource constraints

Much of India’s total arable area already in use (46%)Most remaining land has serious soil and terrain constraints


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Agriculture is India’s largest user of water

>40% lost to inefficient practices

Syngenta Solution: ‘More crop per drop’

● Drip irrigation ensures effective water and fertilizer supply.

● Drought-tolerant seeds help produce - reliable yields even when water is scarce.

● Weed control with herbicides lowers tillage, improves water absorption.

● Better Agronomy: Hi-Pop, Mulching, Protected Cultivation help increase yield.

● New irrigation technologies can

reduce water use 30% to 60%.

Source: UN-Water and FAO




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● Farm demographics- aging population and migration to cities influence agricultural labor availability

● High-tech machines, complex production processes and strict production regulations require skilled labor. This affects capital requirements

Source: UN-Water and FAO




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Indian agriculture dominated by small farmers

Landholdings declined from 2.30ha in 70s to 1.32 ha in 2000-01

If this continues, average size would be

a mere 0.68 ha in 2020 and 0.32 ha in

2030

Decline causing fall in farm income.

Smallholders moving to postharvest and non-farm activities

Input provider challenges: Evolve technologies and management options for

smallholders and involve them in agri-supply chain through institutional innovations


12 Classification: PUBLIC Source: Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), World Bank

Climate change

By the end of this century, global temperature will increase by 1.8 to 4.0°C. This will Impact water availability, cause floods, droughts, recession of glaciers. Dynamics of pests and diseases would be significantly altered. Which will result in greater instability in food productionInput provider challenges: Increased adaptation and mitigation research, capacity-building, changes in policies, and regional as well as global co-operation.Syngenta developing framework to understand environmental impacts of agriculture to increase productivity per hectare while reducing the environmental impacts. •

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Degradation of production environment

● Soil erosion has degraded 120.72 million ha of land in India

● 8.4 million ha has soil salinity and water-logging

● Water-table & water quality deteriorating.

● Green-revolution belt exhibiting problems owing to over-exploitation and mismanagement of soil-and-water resources

● Input provider challenge: Stop further degradation and rehabilitate degraded land and water resources cost-effectively


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Future orientation of input providers


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Research, Extension and Technology

● R&D: Need to shift from research focused on irrigated areas towards research on crops and cropping systems in the dry lands, hills, tribal and other marginal areas

● Private sector participation in extension need to be intensified● Agriculture needs new technologies and integration of the full

technology toolbox from genetics all through the various parts of chemistry


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Harnessing Science

Synergies of frontier sciences

Agricultural research needs to leverage —nano-technology, ICT, remote sensing; Geographic Information System and GPS for improving research efficiency, better targeting of technologies and identifying production and marketing environments

Power of biotechnology

Time tested 1st and 2nd generation biotechnologies should be used to speed-up breeding processes, reduce investment on research for increasing yields, minimizing production risks, sustaining environment and meeting consumer preferences

Science part of transgenic research should be continued and further strengthened


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Syngenta Solution: Innovating across technologies to transform the way crops are grown

Breeding

Native traits

GM traits

Seed care

Crop Protection

Nutrients, water

Machinery

Grower’s needs

TechnologyWeedcontrol

Insectcontrol

Diseasecontrol

Nematodecontrol

Yieldpotential

Nitrogenefficiency

Drought Qualitytraits

Laborshortage

Postharvest

Chemical solutions

Biological solutions


Services

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Resource conservation

Full Potential of conservation agriculture, zero tillage,

precision agriculture and micro-irrigation for different

agro eco-regions needs to be exploited

Efficient farming systems, composite farming, INTEGRATED crop management, nutrient

management, pest management and water management should be perfected further for wider adaptability, integrated with public and

private sector programmes for holistic development

Enhanced participation of stakeholders and

increased agro ecological literacy to be given priority

in managing resources


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Agricultural diversification and the value chain

Meet demand for high-value

commodities by using research to

augment their production more

efficiently, competitively

Develop improved genotypes

(varieties and hybrids) and agronomy for

raising productivity in

different agro-eco-regions

Give priority to Consumer-

preferred quality traits and food

safety

Since these are perishables, R&D focus needs be on entire value-chain from production and postharvest to value-addition, processing and

marketing


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Post-harvest and value-addition:18 to 25% losses occur in supply-chain from production to consumption.

Three-pronged strategy

needed to reduce post-

harvest losses

Compress supply chain

by linking producers

and markets;

Promote processing of

food commodities in

production catchments to

add value before being

marketed

Small-scale processing chambers,

storages with conventional

and non-conventional

energy sources


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Institutions and policies

● PPPs are essential● Growing uncertainties call for policies and institutional mechanisms,

evolving decision-making processes, mobilizing political support and improving governance of service providers

● Added challenge- intellectual property rights regime ● Effective, need-based institutions to accelerate innovations and link

farmers with different stakeholders● Innovative institutional models, pro-agricultural policies and regulatory

mechanisms needed.


22 Classification: PUBLIC

Thank You!