key mexico statistics november - january 2016

12
Key Mexico Statistics November – January 2016 Nuricumbo + Partners Audit • Finance • Risk • Strategy • Business Development

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Page 1: Key Mexico Statistics November - January 2016

Key Mexico Statistics

November – January 2016

Nuricumbo + Partners

Audit • Finance • Risk • Strategy • Business Development

Page 2: Key Mexico Statistics November - January 2016

Country Risk

Mexican Stock Exchange

Securities Market

1

2

3

4

Exchange Rates

Inflation Rate5

Investment Unit (UDI)6

Economic Confidence Indicator (IMCE)7

Outline

International Reserves8

Page 3: Key Mexico Statistics November - January 2016

Note: Mexican Pesos per CurrencySource: Mexican Central Bank, www.banxico.org.mx, 2016

€16.60

€17.60

€18.60

€19.60

€20.60

29/01/16€ 19.8582

November December January

30/11/15€ 17.5376

31/12/15€ 18.7873

$11.00$11.50$12.00$12.50$13.00$13.50$14.00

29/01/16$12.9383

November December January

30/11/15$12.4517

31/12/15$12.4254

$15.15$16.15$17.15$18.15$19.15$20.15

29/01/16$18.1935

November December January

30/11/15$16.5856

31/12/15$17.2487

£22.60£23.40£24.20£25.00£25.80£26.60£27.40

29/01/16£26.0240

November December January

30/11/15£24.8884

31/12/15£25.5608

Exchange Rates

Page 4: Key Mexico Statistics November - January 2016

The Country Risk indicates the possibilities of an emerging country failing to fulfill its obligations over external debt payments, whether for capital or interest. The higher the Country Risk, the larger the possibility of default.

It is composed of three main sources:

• Sovereign Risk

• Transfer Risk

• Generic Risk

It is measured through the use of the Emerging Markets Bond Index (EMBI) created by J.P. Morgan Chase.

Source: www.economia.com.mx, 2016

November December January0

50

100

150

200

250

300

216 227

266

Country Risk

Note: Basis points

Country Risk

Page 5: Key Mexico Statistics November - January 2016

Source: Mexican Stock Exchange (BMV), http://www.bmv.com.mx/, 2016

The Mexican Stock Exchange (BMV) is a public institution that operates under a concession granted by the Ministry of Finance (SHCP), observing the Mexican Securities Law. Its shareholders are authorized brokerage firms, which each own one share. Its broad market indicator is known as “Indice de Precios y Cotizaciones” (IPC).

Marketable Securities•Capitals Market (Stocks, Fibras)•Capital Development Market (CKDes)

• Debt Market (Government, Short, Medium and Long Term Debt).

November 30th

December 31st

January 29th

42,600

42,800

43,000

43,200

43,400

43,600

43,800

43,418.55

42,977.50

43,630.77

Price and Market Rates Index (IPC)

Mexican Stock Exchange

Page 6: Key Mexico Statistics November - January 2016

Source: Mexican Central Bank, www.banxico.org.mx, 2016

Mexico’s Central Bank (Banxico) carries out operations in the securities market in order to regulate the liquidity of Mexico’s financial system.

It also undertakes primary auctions of securities for the government and other public sector entities, and issues regulations on several financial operations of financial intermediaries.

Cetes 28Zero coupon bonds denominated in Mexican Pesos issued by the Mexican Government. The instrument due in 28 days is a common reference.

November 30th

December 31st

January 29th

2.96%2.98%3.00%3.02%3.04%3.06%3.08%3.10%3.12%3.14%3.16%

3.03%3.05%

3.14%

Government Securities Auc-tion’s Monthly Results (Cetes

28-days)

Securities Market

Page 7: Key Mexico Statistics November - January 2016

Source: Mexican Central Bank, www.banxico.org.mx, 2016

Inflation can be defined as a continuous and

widespread increase in goods and services

prices.

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is the

statistical instrument that calculates inflation

by continuously measuring the price

changes of households’ representative

basket of goods and services. November December January1.90%

2.00%

2.10%

2.20%

2.30%

2.40%

2.50%

2.60%2.48%

2.21%2.13%

Annualized Inflation Rates measured monthly

Inflation Rate

Page 8: Key Mexico Statistics November - January 2016

Source: Mexican Central Bank, www.banxico.org.mx and Ministry of Finance, www.sat.gob.mx, 2016

The Investment Unit (Unidad de Inversion,

UDI) is a value unit linked to the overall

movement of prices. It is commonly used in

financial operations or investment

instruments that are required to guarantee a

return above inflation. The Mexican Central

Bank is the responsible authority to publish

its value in Mexican Pesos for each day of the

month. November

30thDecember

31stJanuary

29th

5.3300005.3400005.3500005.3600005.3700005.3800005.3900005.4000005.4100005.420000

5.360528

5.383771

5.409376

Investment Unit (UDI)

Investment Unit (UDI)

Page 9: Key Mexico Statistics November - January 2016

Source: Public Accountants Mexican Association, IMCP, http://imcp.org.mx/, 2016

The Mexican Economic Confidence Index, IMCE, is an indicator which aims to quantify the expectation of the perceived business climate through the perception of more than 20,000 registered public accountants of nearly 60 colleges affiliated to Public Accountants Mexican Institute, IMCP.

The indicator is divided into two main components, which presents the current perception in the business climate as well as the perspective in six months. Its score is measured through a range of 0 to 140 points. Higher values represent higher optimism.

Economic Confidence Indicator (IMCE)

November December January$72

$74

$76

$78

74.22

76.93

75.13

Economic Confidence Indi-cator

Page 10: Key Mexico Statistics November - January 2016

Source: Mexican Central Bank, www.banxico.org.mx, 2016

Known as financial assets invested abroad by the Mexican Central Bank that can easily be converted into means of payment.

According to the Mexican Central Bank, the following are considered as International Reserves:

• Foreign bank notes and coins;

• Deposits, securities and stocks payable outside of Mexico;

• Loans by Central Banks payable at no longer than six months;

• The Special Drawing Rights at the International Monetary Fund.

November 30th

December 31st

January 29th

$170,000

$171,000

$172,000

$173,000

$174,000

$175,000

$176,000

$177,000

$172,236

$176,353

$174,703

International Reserves (Mil-lion USD)

International Reserves

Page 11: Key Mexico Statistics November - January 2016

Our Service Portfolio

Interim Finance Positions

Independent Assessment of your Financial Function

Special Audits (Compliance, Fraud, Performance)

Project Financing

Business Representation in Mexico

Trusted Advisors to CEOs and CFOs

Specialists in Mexico and Latin America

Page 12: Key Mexico Statistics November - January 2016

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