john m. nestler usae engineering research & development center vicksburg, mississippi

12
John M. Nestler John M. Nestler USAE Engineering Research & Development Center USAE Engineering Research & Development Center Vicksburg, Mississippi Vicksburg, Mississippi Piotr Parasiewicz Piotr Parasiewicz Cornell University Cornell University Ithaca, New York Ithaca, New York N. LeRoy Poff N. LeRoy Poff Colorado State University, Ft. Collins, Colorado Colorado State University, Ft. Collins, Colorado Zack Bowen Zack Bowen US Geological Survey, Biological Resources Division US Geological Survey, Biological Resources Division Fort Collins, Colorado Fort Collins, Colorado Analyzing Sustainability: Analyzing Sustainability: A Conceptual Approach A Conceptual Approach First Principles Based Attributes First Principles Based Attributes for Describing a Template to Develop for Describing a Template to Develop the Reference River the Reference River How To Decide What to Do How To Decide What to Do

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First Principles Based Attributes for Describing a Template to Develop the Reference River. Analyzing Sustainability: A Conceptual Approach. How To Decide What to Do. John M. Nestler USAE Engineering Research & Development Center Vicksburg, Mississippi Piotr Parasiewicz Cornell University - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: John M. Nestler USAE Engineering Research & Development Center Vicksburg, Mississippi

John M. NestlerJohn M. NestlerUSAE Engineering Research & Development CenterUSAE Engineering Research & Development Center

Vicksburg, MississippiVicksburg, Mississippi

Piotr ParasiewiczPiotr ParasiewiczCornell UniversityCornell UniversityIthaca, New YorkIthaca, New York

N. LeRoy PoffN. LeRoy PoffColorado State University, Ft. Collins, ColoradoColorado State University, Ft. Collins, Colorado

Zack BowenZack BowenUS Geological Survey, Biological Resources DivisionUS Geological Survey, Biological Resources Division

Fort Collins, ColoradoFort Collins, Colorado

John M. NestlerJohn M. NestlerUSAE Engineering Research & Development CenterUSAE Engineering Research & Development Center

Vicksburg, MississippiVicksburg, Mississippi

Piotr ParasiewiczPiotr ParasiewiczCornell UniversityCornell UniversityIthaca, New YorkIthaca, New York

N. LeRoy PoffN. LeRoy PoffColorado State University, Ft. Collins, ColoradoColorado State University, Ft. Collins, Colorado

Zack BowenZack BowenUS Geological Survey, Biological Resources DivisionUS Geological Survey, Biological Resources Division

Fort Collins, ColoradoFort Collins, Colorado

Analyzing Sustainability:Analyzing Sustainability:A Conceptual ApproachA Conceptual Approach

Analyzing Sustainability:Analyzing Sustainability:A Conceptual ApproachA Conceptual Approach

First Principles Based Attributes for First Principles Based Attributes for Describing a Template to Develop the Describing a Template to Develop the

Reference RiverReference River

First Principles Based Attributes for First Principles Based Attributes for Describing a Template to Develop the Describing a Template to Develop the

Reference RiverReference RiverHow To Decide What to DoHow To Decide What to DoHow To Decide What to DoHow To Decide What to Do

Page 2: John M. Nestler USAE Engineering Research & Development Center Vicksburg, Mississippi

The Challenge - At Basin ScalesThe Challenge - At Basin Scales• Optimize Uses / Predict & Assess ImpactsOptimize Uses / Predict & Assess Impacts• Manage & Restore Natural ResourcesManage & Restore Natural Resources

Alt A

Alt B

Flood Hydro- Water NaturalControl Power Supply Resources

Be

nef

its

/ p

erc

ent

ch

an

ge

USES

Sustainable

Alt A

Alt B

Cost Fish Nutrients Habitat

Be

nef

its

/ p

erc

ent

ch

an

ge

USES

Page 3: John M. Nestler USAE Engineering Research & Development Center Vicksburg, Mississippi

Information Acquisition Through Scientific Specialties: Engineering, Biology, Hydrology, Fisheries, etc

Inter-disciplinary Evaluation and Summarization

Stake Holder Consultation

EQ Trade-off Analysis

Decision

How Is Science Information Used? How Is Science Information Used?

?

How Do They Relate to Each Other?

Where Do The Tools/Concepts Come From?

IF WE CANNOT ANSWERTHESE QUESTIONS THEN

WE CANNOT ACHIEVESUSTAINABLE WATER

RESOURCES DEVELOPMENT

Page 4: John M. Nestler USAE Engineering Research & Development Center Vicksburg, Mississippi

YEAR:YEAR:

19801980

19851985

19901990

19951995

ReferenceRiverReferenceRiver------------------------------TemplateTemplate

CONCEPTS:CONCEPTS:

River Continuum ConceptRiver Continuum Concept

Serial Discontinuity ConceptSerial Discontinuity Concept

Flood Pulse &Flood Pulse &Patch DynamicsPatch Dynamics

Natural River &Natural River &Normative RiverNormative River

Importance of HydrologicalImportance of HydrologicalPatternsPatterns

Sy

nth

eti

c S

yn

the

tic

CONCEPTS:CONCEPTS:

Water Resources EngineeringWater Resources Engineering

IFIMIFIM(Hydraulic &(Hydraulic &Hydrologic)Hydrologic)

Temperature &Temperature &Water QualityWater Quality

Multi-DimensionalMulti-DimensionalHydraulic & Water QualityHydraulic & Water Quality

ModelingModeling

Biological ModelingBiological Modeling

Incre

men

tal

Incre

men

tal

Time (months)

Q

TemplateTemplate

Variable aVariable a(Hydrologic)(Hydrologic)

Variable bVariable b(Physical)(Physical)

Variable cVariable c(Chemical)(Chemical)

Variable dVariable d(Biotic)(Biotic)

0.1 1 10 30 50 70 90 99.9

% Time Equaled or Exceeded

Hab

itat

Are

a

15

12

9

6

Page 5: John M. Nestler USAE Engineering Research & Development Center Vicksburg, Mississippi

Acquiring, Preserving, Integrating, Acquiring, Preserving, Integrating, & Using Knowledge& Using Knowledge

• Incremental: Relax connection to Incremental: Relax connection to legal / institutional history & Embrace FPslegal / institutional history & Embrace FPs• Synthetic: QuantitativeSynthetic: Quantitative• Use idea of “Reference” & “Template” to Use idea of “Reference” & “Template” to integrate the two approaches with FPsintegrate the two approaches with FPs

Page 6: John M. Nestler USAE Engineering Research & Development Center Vicksburg, Mississippi

Why Are FPs Important? Why Are FPs Important?

“…“….in seeking regularity and focusing on the most .in seeking regularity and focusing on the most salient features in their environment, in order to endure salient features in their environment, in order to endure and thrive, animals have empirically discovered the laws and thrive, animals have empirically discovered the laws of nature.”of nature.”Kalmijn, A. J. (2000). Detection and processing of electromagnetic and near-field acoustic Kalmijn, A. J. (2000). Detection and processing of electromagnetic and near-field acoustic signals in elasmobranch fishes. Philosophical Transactions of The Royal Society of London signals in elasmobranch fishes. Philosophical Transactions of The Royal Society of London series B, 355(1401), 1135-1141.series B, 355(1401), 1135-1141.

Page 7: John M. Nestler USAE Engineering Research & Development Center Vicksburg, Mississippi

CSi=SV x SD x SCTOTAL H= (TWi x CSi)

Qi=V x (D x W)TOTAL Q = Qi

V

1

0 D

1

0 C

1

0

Calculating Q vs Calculating HabitatCalculating Q vs Calculating Habitat

WImpacted Stream ~= W suit. stream

V VD DW ?W

Page 8: John M. Nestler USAE Engineering Research & Development Center Vicksburg, Mississippi

B

DE

PT

H

140-

120-

100-

80-

60-

40-

20-

0-

0 50 100 150 200 250 LATERAL DISTANCE

C

A

How Is Habitat Structured in Rivers?How Is Habitat Structured in Rivers?

Page 9: John M. Nestler USAE Engineering Research & Development Center Vicksburg, Mississippi

0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200

Lateral Distance (meters)

340.5

341.5

342.5

343.5

344.5

345.5

Ele

vati

on

(m

ete

rs)

EXISTING

Area=1265.2 m2

0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200Lateral Distance (meters)

340.5

341.5

342.5

343.5

344.5

345.5

Ele

va

tio

n (

me

ters

)

HISTORICAL

Area=1623.1 m2

Historical vs Existing ConditionsHistorical vs Existing Conditions

0 100 200 300 400 500 600Scale (meters)

0.0

1.0

2.0

Mea

n A

ng

le (

deg

rees

)

HISTORICAL

EXISTING

Nestler and S

utton 2000

Page 10: John M. Nestler USAE Engineering Research & Development Center Vicksburg, Mississippi

0 100 200 300 400AREA (Square Meters)

0.0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

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0.8

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GY

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0000000000000000 0 00000000000000 00

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00000000 0 0 0 0 0 0 0000 0 0000000000 0000 00

00000000

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283 CMS

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HISTORICAL

EXISTING

0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200

AREA (Square Meters)

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HISTORICAL

EXISTING906 CMS

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+++++++

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Outs ide main channel

Habitat

Scale Analysis Shows Changes in MO RiverScale Analysis Shows Changes in MO River

Page 11: John M. Nestler USAE Engineering Research & Development Center Vicksburg, Mississippi

CE

-QU

AL

-W2 H

ydrod

ynam

ic & W

ater Qu

ality Mod

el by T

om C

ole et al.C

E-Q

UA

L-W

2 Hyd

rodyn

amic &

Water Q

uality M

odel b

y Tom

Cole et al.

Nestler, Goodwin, Cole, Dennerline, Degan (2002)Nestler, Goodwin, Cole, Dennerline, Degan (2002)

Moving Virtual Hydroacoustics Beam

What are fish responding to ?

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642

Page 12: John M. Nestler USAE Engineering Research & Development Center Vicksburg, Mississippi

ConstructiveCriticism?