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In Store, Online, Anywhere - The Time is Now for Connected Commerce! A journey through the changes and implications to traditional retail in terms of price, promotion, basket sizes, frequency etc. Jessica Armstrong VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc.

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Page 1: Jessica Armstrong VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. · VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. Connected Commerce. Accepting change Recognizing what’s changed and what’s changing

In Store, Online, Anywhere - The Time is Now for Connected Commerce!A journey through the changes and implications to traditional retail in terms ofprice, promotion, basket sizes, frequency etc.

Jessica ArmstrongVPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc.

Page 2: Jessica Armstrong VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. · VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. Connected Commerce. Accepting change Recognizing what’s changed and what’s changing

Connected

Commerce

Page 3: Jessica Armstrong VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. · VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. Connected Commerce. Accepting change Recognizing what’s changed and what’s changing

Accepting

change

Recognizing

what’s changed

and what’s

changing

Amazon’s role

in this change

Page 4: Jessica Armstrong VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. · VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. Connected Commerce. Accepting change Recognizing what’s changed and what’s changing
Page 5: Jessica Armstrong VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. · VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. Connected Commerce. Accepting change Recognizing what’s changed and what’s changing
Page 6: Jessica Armstrong VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. · VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. Connected Commerce. Accepting change Recognizing what’s changed and what’s changing
Page 7: Jessica Armstrong VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. · VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. Connected Commerce. Accepting change Recognizing what’s changed and what’s changing

Facing reality & embracing change

Page 8: Jessica Armstrong VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. · VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. Connected Commerce. Accepting change Recognizing what’s changed and what’s changing

Linear is unlikely

Page 9: Jessica Armstrong VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. · VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. Connected Commerce. Accepting change Recognizing what’s changed and what’s changing
Page 10: Jessica Armstrong VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. · VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. Connected Commerce. Accepting change Recognizing what’s changed and what’s changing
Page 11: Jessica Armstrong VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. · VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. Connected Commerce. Accepting change Recognizing what’s changed and what’s changing
Page 12: Jessica Armstrong VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. · VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. Connected Commerce. Accepting change Recognizing what’s changed and what’s changing

… or is it?

Page 13: Jessica Armstrong VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. · VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. Connected Commerce. Accepting change Recognizing what’s changed and what’s changing

Acknowledging but no action

Acting with pace

Page 14: Jessica Armstrong VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. · VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. Connected Commerce. Accepting change Recognizing what’s changed and what’s changing

The stats

Page 15: Jessica Armstrong VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. · VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. Connected Commerce. Accepting change Recognizing what’s changed and what’s changing

Our consumer is changing

Page 16: Jessica Armstrong VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. · VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. Connected Commerce. Accepting change Recognizing what’s changed and what’s changing

Can’t leave home without…

Page 17: Jessica Armstrong VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. · VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. Connected Commerce. Accepting change Recognizing what’s changed and what’s changing

… is already looking different.

Page 18: Jessica Armstrong VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. · VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. Connected Commerce. Accepting change Recognizing what’s changed and what’s changing
Page 19: Jessica Armstrong VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. · VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. Connected Commerce. Accepting change Recognizing what’s changed and what’s changing
Page 20: Jessica Armstrong VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. · VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. Connected Commerce. Accepting change Recognizing what’s changed and what’s changing

Before

Page 21: Jessica Armstrong VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. · VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. Connected Commerce. Accepting change Recognizing what’s changed and what’s changing

Before Now

Page 22: Jessica Armstrong VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. · VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. Connected Commerce. Accepting change Recognizing what’s changed and what’s changing

Before Now

Who's in control now?

Page 23: Jessica Armstrong VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. · VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. Connected Commerce. Accepting change Recognizing what’s changed and what’s changing

Who's in control now?

Page 24: Jessica Armstrong VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. · VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. Connected Commerce. Accepting change Recognizing what’s changed and what’s changing

The store is always open.

Page 25: Jessica Armstrong VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. · VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. Connected Commerce. Accepting change Recognizing what’s changed and what’s changing

The planogram resets almost every second.

Page 26: Jessica Armstrong VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. · VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. Connected Commerce. Accepting change Recognizing what’s changed and what’s changing

The store is now experiential (in store) & a media channel (online).

Page 27: Jessica Armstrong VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. · VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. Connected Commerce. Accepting change Recognizing what’s changed and what’s changing
Page 28: Jessica Armstrong VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. · VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. Connected Commerce. Accepting change Recognizing what’s changed and what’s changing

Price transparency

Page 29: Jessica Armstrong VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. · VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. Connected Commerce. Accepting change Recognizing what’s changed and what’s changing

The EDLP war

Page 30: Jessica Armstrong VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. · VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. Connected Commerce. Accepting change Recognizing what’s changed and what’s changing

There’s only 1 winner

Page 31: Jessica Armstrong VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. · VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. Connected Commerce. Accepting change Recognizing what’s changed and what’s changing

The endless aisle

Page 32: Jessica Armstrong VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. · VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. Connected Commerce. Accepting change Recognizing what’s changed and what’s changing

Longtail brands

Page 33: Jessica Armstrong VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. · VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. Connected Commerce. Accepting change Recognizing what’s changed and what’s changing

Grocery Basket Size & Frequency

$90.61

$55.18$71.76

Source: SKUlocal, How Online Grocery Has Impacted Basket Size and Frequency Among Shoppers (Feb 2019)

+64%+30%

+1%

In Store Click & Collect Home Delivery

Online Trips

Page 34: Jessica Armstrong VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. · VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. Connected Commerce. Accepting change Recognizing what’s changed and what’s changing

Packaging Implications

Page 35: Jessica Armstrong VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. · VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. Connected Commerce. Accepting change Recognizing what’s changed and what’s changing

Fulfillment & Last Mile

Page 36: Jessica Armstrong VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. · VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. Connected Commerce. Accepting change Recognizing what’s changed and what’s changing

The Shelf (outside the store)

Page 37: Jessica Armstrong VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. · VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. Connected Commerce. Accepting change Recognizing what’s changed and what’s changing

A brand that doesn’t appear at the top of search results is on the bottom shelf.

Understanding the impact of search at retail will raise brand placement.

The Shelf

Page 38: Jessica Armstrong VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. · VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. Connected Commerce. Accepting change Recognizing what’s changed and what’s changing

The Shelf

Page 39: Jessica Armstrong VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. · VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. Connected Commerce. Accepting change Recognizing what’s changed and what’s changing
Page 40: Jessica Armstrong VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. · VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. Connected Commerce. Accepting change Recognizing what’s changed and what’s changing
Page 41: Jessica Armstrong VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. · VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. Connected Commerce. Accepting change Recognizing what’s changed and what’s changing

As a consumer …… and prime member

Page 42: Jessica Armstrong VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. · VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. Connected Commerce. Accepting change Recognizing what’s changed and what’s changing

As a vendor …

Page 43: Jessica Armstrong VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. · VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. Connected Commerce. Accepting change Recognizing what’s changed and what’s changing

Amazon is not (just) a customer.

• It’s a digital ecosystem.• A connection point with 850M people around the world.• A capability to deliver products in 50 cities in an hour.

Media partner. Supply chain powerhouse. Retail disruptor. Data leader. AI developer. Web service provider.

… and more.

Page 44: Jessica Armstrong VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. · VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. Connected Commerce. Accepting change Recognizing what’s changed and what’s changing
Page 45: Jessica Armstrong VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. · VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. Connected Commerce. Accepting change Recognizing what’s changed and what’s changing

THE PROFIT MODEL

Web services and advertising enable aggressive investment

on retail and logistics.

THE ALGORITHMS

Amazon is hands-off-the wheel, to win you need to learn how to

feed the algorithms.

THE FLYWHEEL

A self-reinforcing relationship between selection, customer experience, traffic, and price.

THE ECOSYSTEM

Not just a retailer, it is a commerce, media, and logistics

platform.

Amazon Business Model

Page 46: Jessica Armstrong VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. · VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. Connected Commerce. Accepting change Recognizing what’s changed and what’s changing

The Flywheel

Page 47: Jessica Armstrong VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. · VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. Connected Commerce. Accepting change Recognizing what’s changed and what’s changing

How does Amazon manage this HUGE ecosystem?

Page 48: Jessica Armstrong VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. · VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. Connected Commerce. Accepting change Recognizing what’s changed and what’s changing

Amazon Buyer - Robot vs relationship

• Amazon has been transitioning to a more cost effective self-service vendor model.

• Expects brands to take direct ownership.

• Amazon views any direct human contact their employees have with merchants, vendors, and customers as ERROS that need to be resolved.

Page 49: Jessica Armstrong VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. · VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. Connected Commerce. Accepting change Recognizing what’s changed and what’s changing

Overview of models relevant to CPG:

Page 50: Jessica Armstrong VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. · VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. Connected Commerce. Accepting change Recognizing what’s changed and what’s changing

SELL IN

PRIMARY INPUTS:

1. Glance views (traffic)2. Past sales velocity & volume3. Promotional activity

These variables determine the “probability band” that an item gets, which indicates the likelihood of how close to forecast they will order.

WATCH-OUTS:

• Newly listed items / innovations• Seasonal items• Non-price promoted items

OTHER VARIABLES:

• Availability from suppliers at a better price• Vendor-Lead-Time-To-Deliver• Profitability of the item

Page 51: Jessica Armstrong VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. · VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. Connected Commerce. Accepting change Recognizing what’s changed and what’s changing

PRIMARY INPUTS:

1. Name, Description, Bullets & Hidden Keywords2. CTR & purchase conversion3. Sales rank for a given keyword4. Review rating, volume, & recency5. eCom packaging, return rate

WHAT TO DO:

• Identify priority keywords (category & branded)• Experiment with keywords & placement• Leverage Vine Reviews• Drive traffic with paid search ads & conversion with

coupons/deals

SELL OUT

RelevanceRelevance

Traffic & Conversion

Shopper Satisfaction

Page 52: Jessica Armstrong VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. · VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. Connected Commerce. Accepting change Recognizing what’s changed and what’s changing

Amazon Search

Historical & recent sales determine

sales rank

Algorithm uses sales rank to support

search placement

Shoppers find products through search

Product Sales

Search Visibility

Amazon Algorithm

Page 53: Jessica Armstrong VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. · VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. Connected Commerce. Accepting change Recognizing what’s changed and what’s changing

Amazon Search

BulletsDescriptionsHidden KeywordsAttributes

TitleIncluding where ‘product type’ appears.

A+ Content(Less impact)

HighestImpact

Page 54: Jessica Armstrong VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. · VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. Connected Commerce. Accepting change Recognizing what’s changed and what’s changing

Amazon Profitability

• Amazon will match high-low retailers, creating a low-low environment

• Amazon does not care about slope, and wants to be competitive with Club

• 3P can get product from clearance, remnant, high-low, and dirty channels to erode price

• Competing retailers know this dynamic and will start price-wars that put pressure on vendors

Page 55: Jessica Armstrong VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. · VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. Connected Commerce. Accepting change Recognizing what’s changed and what’s changing

Can’t Realize A Profit

Page 56: Jessica Armstrong VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. · VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. Connected Commerce. Accepting change Recognizing what’s changed and what’s changing

Amazon Profitability

Page 57: Jessica Armstrong VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. · VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. Connected Commerce. Accepting change Recognizing what’s changed and what’s changing

Value Density

Average selling price / item weight

Page 58: Jessica Armstrong VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. · VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. Connected Commerce. Accepting change Recognizing what’s changed and what’s changing

Site Merch/Media

Page 59: Jessica Armstrong VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. · VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. Connected Commerce. Accepting change Recognizing what’s changed and what’s changing

Managing the funnel

Page 60: Jessica Armstrong VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. · VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. Connected Commerce. Accepting change Recognizing what’s changed and what’s changing

Subscribe & SavePromotionsVine Reviews Merchandising

Paid Search (AMS) Display/Programmatic (AMG)

Who pays?

Page 61: Jessica Armstrong VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. · VPGM eCommerce, Maple Leaf Foods Inc. Connected Commerce. Accepting change Recognizing what’s changed and what’s changing

Acknowledge what’s

changing and action

against it … NOW.

Invest ahead

of ROI.

Focus on

SEARCH.

Understand the new

role of the store.

Build an

ecom ready

portfolio.