"it's jobs, stupid": democracy corps/campaign for america's future poll

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May 28, 2022 May 28, 2022 | Page 1 It’s jobs, stupid January 18, 2011 Campaign for America’s Future Democracy Corps

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A Democracy Corps/Campaign for America's Future survey examines the top economic priorities of American voters, the extent to which they are rejecting the economic priorities of conservatives and offers insight into what Democrats will have to do in order to regain the support of the public. More details on the poll and links to related material on ourfuture.org/economypoll2011

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Page 1: "It's Jobs, Stupid": Democracy Corps/Campaign for America's Future Poll

April 13, 2023April 13, 2023 | Page 1

It’s jobs, stupid

January 18, 2011

Campaign for America’s Future

Democracy Corps

Page 2: "It's Jobs, Stupid": Democracy Corps/Campaign for America's Future Poll

April 13, 2023April 13, 2023 | Page 2

Methodology and Overview

This presentation is based on a national survey conducted by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research for Democracy Corps and Campaign for America’s Future. The survey was of 1,480 2008 voters (1001 weighted) conducted January 9-12, 2011. Margin of error: +/-2.5 percentage points unless otherwise noted.

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April 13, 2023April 13, 2023 | Page 3

17 15 16 1410

16

27

39 40 39 39 36 33

6875 78 78 80

8578

65

50 51 52

3328 26 26

3135

23

43

34

5358

57

79

63

62

5056

7368

72 70

8085

72

61 5562

66 6564

58 58

4846

81

6259

7076

Jan-08 Aug-08 Mar-09 Oct-09 May-10 Dec-10

Right direction Wrong track

Direction of the country: slight improvement in outlook for 2011Generally speaking, do you think things in the country are going in the right direction, or do you feel things have gotten pretty seriously off on the wrong track?

201020102008 2008 ElectionElection

*Note: From full sample of 2008 voters, based on research for Citizen Opinion.

Health Care Health Care Reform PassesReform Passes

2010 Election2010 Election

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April 13, 2023April 13, 2023 | Page 4

13 13

2320 21

16 16 181813

18

63 63

70 71

64666963

181921171616151513

2098912

61

7073

6464616566666567

71

7879797977

Nov-08 Jan-09 Mar-09 May-09 Jul-09 Sep-09 Nov-09 Jan-10 Mar-10 May-10 Jul-10 Sep-10 Nov-10 Jan-11

Warm Cool

*Note: Data from Democracy Corps research from 2010 onwards.

Thermometer: ‘state of the economy’ remains very cold

Now, I'd like to rate your feelings toward some people and organizations, with one hundred meaning a VERY WARM, FAVORABLE feeling; zero meaning a VERY COLD, UNFAVORABLE feeling; and fifty meaning not particularly warm or cold. The state of the economy…

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April 13, 2023April 13, 2023 | Page 5

Greenberg Quinlan RosnerPage 5 |

Political Climate

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April 13, 2023April 13, 2023 | Page 6

2825

41 4044

4039

57

464748

5153

5857 575855

58

53

46 46 45

48

47

43

55

45

46

5055

19

52

47464342

3335 35323427

19

48 49 5148 49

48

36

5254

45

2025

33

3738383941

37

42423939

32 33

37

28 27 2827 26

3230

27

3434

282727262728

21

151314

36

34

37 36

3739 40

45

Nov-08 Jan-09 Mar-09 May-09 Jul-09 Sep-09 Nov-09 Jan-10 Mar-10 May-10 Jul-10 Sep-10 Nov-10 Jan-11

Total Approve Total Disapprove Strongly Approve Strongly Disapprove

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president?

Obama approval: sharp drop in disapproval

InaugurationInauguration

*Note: From Democracy Corps surveys since the 2008 election. Before inauguration, question read: “Do you approve or disapprove of the job being done by Barack Obama as president-elect?”

2010 Election2010 Election

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April 13, 2023April 13, 2023 | Page 7

33

48

29

38

25

43

14

22

19

36

12

20

18

38

29

44

13

39

25

40

15

35

29

46

1035

25

38

75

50

25

0

25

50

Barack Obama DemocraticHouse

Incumbent

RepublicanHouse

Incumbent

DemocraticParty

RepublicanParty

Democrats inCongress

Republicans inCongress

% very warm (75-100 degrees) % very cool (0-25 degrees)

Mean: 46.3

Net: -3Net: -1Net: -6Net: +16Net: +11Net: +10

Mean: 46.3

Mean: 46.3

Mean: 46.3

Mean: 46.3

Mean: 46.3

Net: -9

Mean: 46.3

Barack Obama

Incumbent House

Democrat

Incumbent House

Republican

Democratic Party

Republican Party

Democrats in

Congress

Republicans in

Congress

Now, I'd like to rate your feelings toward some people and organizations, with one hundred meaning a VERY WARM, FAVORABLE feeling; zero meaning a VERY COLD, UNFAVORABLE feeling; and fifty meaning not particularly warm or cold. You can use any number from zero to one hundred, the higher the number the more favorable your feelings are toward that person or organization. If you have no opinion or never heard of that person or organization, please say so.

Political thermometers: Obama more popular than parties, congress

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April 13, 2023April 13, 2023 | Page 8

484848

51

50

515151

53

4949

53

47

4443

4344

44

44

44

45

43

4445

45

4242

414140

414241

4041

41

44

4645

4645

46

42

44

42

44

474846

44

43

44

43

41

4343

44

41

44

Jan-10 Feb-10 Mar-10 Apr-10 May-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10 Nov-10 Dec-10 Jan-11

Barack ObamaDemocratic PartyDemocratic CongressRepublican PartyRepublicans in Congress

Now, I'd like to rate your feelings toward some people and organizations, with 100 meaning a VERY WARM, FAVORABLE feeling; zero meaning a VERY COLD, UNFAVORABLE feeling; and 50 meaning not particularly warm or cold.

Thermometers: Obama markedly up and party parity

*Note: From Democracy Corps surveys conducted in the past year. Data represents MEAN ratings, likely voters

2010 Election2010 Election

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April 13, 2023April 13, 2023 | Page 9

4847

49

46 46

5049

46

43

44

37

3634

38

39

35

41 4138

34

37

40

3739

34

32

36

Apr-10 May-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10 Nov-10 Dec-10

Mean Cool Warm

Now, I'd like to rate your feelings toward some people and organizations, with 100 meaning a VERY WARM, FAVORABLE feeling; zero meaning a VERY COLD, UNFAVORABLE feeling; and 50 meaning not particularly warm or cold.

Thermometers: Tea Party at lowest popularity in tracking

*Note: From Democracy Corps surveys conducted in the past year. Data represents MEAN ratings, likely voters

2010 Election2010 Election

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April 13, 2023April 13, 2023 | Page 10

25

20

21

17

19

20

17

18

18

46

45

43

43

40

40

31

26

17

18

19

13

19

26

18

18

22

32

36

40

41

42

42

43

37

45

78 53 28 3 22 47 72

The federal budget deficit

Taxes

The economy

Health care

J obs and employment

Social Security and Medicare

Having clear ideas aboutreviving America's middle class

Working with the opposing partyto get things done

Challenging entrenchedcorporate interests

Republicans much better Democrats much better

Better job on issues: Democrats no better than parity on major issuesNow I am going to ask you something different. I am going to read a list of issues and I want you to tell me whether, overall, you think the Democrats or the Republicans would do a better job with this issue. If you do not know, just tell me and we will move on to the next item.

Challenging entrenched corporate interests that dominate Washington

Working with the opposing party to get things done

Dem-Rep

+19+19

+6+6

+3+3

+2+2

-1-1

-2-2

-4-4

-10-10

-14-14

46

Having clear ideas about reviving America’s middle class

Social Security and Medicare

Jobs and employment

Health care

The economy

Taxes

The federal budget deficit

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April 13, 2023April 13, 2023 | Page 11

Now I’m going to read you some pairs of statements. After each pair, please tell me whether the FIRST statement or the SEOCND statement comes closer to your own view, even if neither is exactly right.

First statement: I hope the new Republicans in Congress will work together with the President to find compromise solutions to the country's problems.

Second statement: I hope the new Republicans in Congress will work to stop the Obama agenda because that agenda is hurting the country.

10

7

7

15

73

89

71

58

4

2

5

525

9

27

41

Work together Stop Obama Work together Stop Obama Work together Stop Obama Work together Stop Obama

First statement strongly Second statement strongly

Total Independents Republicans

+48 +44 +17

Democrats

+80

Voters seek a new tone in Washington: cooperation

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April 13, 2023April 13, 2023 | Page 12

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Republicans in Congress are handling their job in charge of the House of Representatives?

21

13

19

3234

15

27

58

19

24

20

12

48

74

49

20

Approve Disapprove Approve Disapprove Approve Disapprove Approve Disapprove

Strongly approve Strongly disapprove

Total Independents Republicans

+14 +22 -48

Democrats

+59

Republicans in Congress job approval: Independents disapprove

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April 13, 2023April 13, 2023 | Page 13

2012

Greenberg Quinlan RosnerPage 13 |

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April 13, 2023April 13, 2023 | Page 14

Obama has slight lead over Romney; Independents even

Democrats Independents RepublicansTotal

I know it's a long way off, but thinking about the presidential election in 2012, if the election for president were held today and the candidates were -- Democrat Barack Obama and Republican Mitt Romney, for whom would you vote?

78

44

88

48

89

4446

Obama Romney Obama Romney Obama Romney Obama Romney

Democrat Barack Obama Republican Mitt Romney

+2 +81 Tied +81

48 46

89

8

44 44

7

88

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April 13, 2023April 13, 2023 | Page 15

48

37

48 4753

46

Obama Romney Obama Romney Obama Romney

Democrat Barack Obama Republican Mitt Romney

Presidential year voters against Romney – compared to 2010 voters

2010 voters only 2008 voters onlyTotal

+2 +1 +16

I know it's a long way off, but thinking about the presidential election in 2012, if the election for president were held today and the candidates were -- Democrat Barack Obama and Republican Mitt Romney, for whom would you vote?

* Sample represents 2010 voters and 2008 voters

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April 13, 2023April 13, 2023 | Page 16

50

36

23

45

5356

72

42

Obama Romney Obama Romney Obama Romney Obama Romney

Democrat Barack Obama Republican Mitt Romney

Obama v. Romney: among Democratic base voters

* In the landline sample, the incumbent names were inserted preceded by party identification. Generic “the Democratic candidate” or “the Republican candidate” were inserted for the opposition. For the cell phone sample and open seat districts, both candidates were given as generic.

Unmarried women Minority Union HouseholdYouth (under 30)

+11 +20 +49 +5

I know it's a long way off, but thinking about the presidential election in 2012, if the election for president were held today and the candidates were -- Democrat Barack Obama and Republican Mitt Romney, for whom would you vote?

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April 13, 2023April 13, 2023 | Page 17

30

60

37

57

3633

5657

Obama Romney Obama Romney Obama Romney Obama Romney

Democrat Barack Obama Republican Mitt Romney

Obama v. Romney: among swing voters

* In the landline sample, the incumbent names were inserted preceded by party identification. Generic “the Democratic candidate” or “the Republican candidate” were inserted for the opposition. For the cell phone sample and open seat districts, both candidates were given as generic.

Suburban White rural non-South

White non-college men

White non-college

+21 +27 +19 +27

I know it's a long way off, but thinking about the presidential election in 2012, if the election for president were held today and the candidates were -- Democrat Barack Obama and Republican Mitt Romney, for whom would you vote?

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April 13, 2023April 13, 2023 | Page 18

Democrats Independents RepublicansTotal

Obama well ahead of PalinI know it's a long way off, but thinking about the presidential election in 2012, if the election for president were held today and the candidates were -- Democrat Barack Obama and Republican Sarah Palin, for whom would you vote?

98

35

74

49

90

48

39

Obama Palin Obama Palin Obama Palin Obama Palin

Democrat Barack Obama Republican Sarah Palin

+10 +82 +13 +65

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April 13, 2023April 13, 2023 | Page 19

41

32

49 47

61

46

Obama Palin Obama Palin Obama Palin

Democrat Barack Obama Republican Sarah Palin

Presidential year voters against Palin – compared to 2010 voters

* Sample represents 2010 voters and 2008 voters

2010 voters 2008 votersTotal

+3 +6 +31

I know it's a long way off, but thinking about the presidential election in 2012, if the election for president were held today and the candidates were -- Democrat Barack Obama and Republican Sarah Palin, for whom would you vote?

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April 13, 2023April 13, 2023 | Page 20

59

30

15

30

64 66

78

29

Obama Palin Obama Palin Obama Palin Obama Palin

Democrat Barack Obama Republican Sarah Palin

Obama v. Palin: among Democratic base voters

* In the landline sample, the incumbent names were inserted preceded by party identification. Generic “the Democratic candidate” or “the Republican candidate” were inserted for the opposition. For the cell phone sample and open seat districts, both candidates were given as generic.

Unmarried women Minority Union HouseholdYouth (under 30)

+35 +36 +63 +29

I know it's a long way off, but thinking about the presidential election in 2012, if the election for president were held today and the candidates were -- Democrat Barack Obama and Republican Sarah Palin, for whom would you vote?

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April 13, 2023April 13, 2023 | Page 21

42

57

36

48

3429

5155

Obama Palin Obama Palin Obama Palin Obama Palin

Democrat Barack Obama Republican Sarah Palin

Obama v. Palin: among swing voters

* In the landline sample, the incumbent names were inserted preceded by party identification. Generic “the Democratic candidate” or “the Republican candidate” were inserted for the opposition. For the cell phone sample and open seat districts, both candidates were given as generic.

Suburban White rural non-South

White non-college men

White non-college

+20 +28 +15 +6

I know it's a long way off, but thinking about the presidential election in 2012, if the election for president were held today and the candidates were -- Democrat Barack Obama and Republican Sarah Palin, for whom would you vote?

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April 13, 2023April 13, 2023 | Page 22

912

44

86

44

84

4047

Democrat Republican Democrat Republican Democrat Republican Democrat Republican

Democratic House Candidate Republican House Candidate

Congressional vote: after election, Republican lead narrows for 2012

I know it is a long way off, but thinking about the elections for Congress in 2012, if the election for U.S. Congress were held today, would you be voting for (DEMOCRATIC HOUSE CANDIDATE) or (REPUBLICAN HOUSE CANDIDATE)?*

* In the landline sample, the incumbent names were inserted preceded by party identification. Generic “the Democratic candidate” or “the Republican candidate” were inserted for the opposition. For the cell phone sample and open seat districts, both candidates were given as generic.

Democrats Independents RepublicansTotal

+3 +72 +4 +77

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April 13, 2023April 13, 2023 | Page 23

4953

44 44 4547

Democrat Republican Democrat Republican Democrat Republican

Democratic House Candidate Republican House Candidate

Congressional vote: Democrats behind but much closer than 2010

I know it is a long way off, but thinking about the elections for Congress in 2012, if the election for U.S. Congress were held today, would you be voting for (DEMOCRATIC HOUSE CANDIDATE) or (REPUBLICAN HOUSE CANDIDATE)?*

* In the landline sample, the incumbent names were inserted preceded by party identification. Generic “the Democratic candidate” or “the Republican candidate” were inserted for the opposition. For the cell phone sample and open seat districts, both candidates were given as generic.

2010 voters 2010 Actual ResultTotal

+3 +5 +8

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April 13, 2023April 13, 2023 | Page 24

53

36

26

39

5057

66

39

Democrat Republican Democrat Republican Democrat Republican Democrat Republican

Democratic House Candidate Republican House Candidate

Congressional vote: among Democratic base voters

I know it is a long way off, but thinking about the elections for Congress in 2012, if the election for U.S. Congress were held today, would you be voting for (DEMOCRATIC HOUSE CANDIDATE) or (REPUBLICAN HOUSE CANDIDATE)?*

* In the landline sample, the incumbent names were inserted preceded by party identification. Generic “the Democratic candidate” or “the Republican candidate” were inserted for the opposition. For the cell phone sample and open seat districts, both candidates were given as generic.

Unmarried women Minority Union HouseholdYouth (under 30)

+11 +21 +40 +14

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April 13, 2023April 13, 2023 | Page 25

30

60

39

61

3629

47

56

Democrat Republican Democrat Republican Democrat Republican Democrat Republican

Democratic House Candidate Republican House Candidate

Congressional vote: among swing voters

I know it is a long way off, but thinking about the elections for Congress in 2012, if the election for U.S. Congress were held today, would you be voting for (DEMOCRATIC HOUSE CANDIDATE) or (REPUBLICAN HOUSE CANDIDATE)?*

* In the landline sample, the incumbent names were inserted preceded by party identification. Generic “the Democratic candidate” or “the Republican candidate” were inserted for the opposition. For the cell phone sample and open seat districts, both candidates were given as generic.

Suburban White rural non-South

White non-college men

White non-college

+20 +31 +8 +31

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April 13, 2023April 13, 2023 | Page 26

Priorities for the New Congress

Greenberg Quinlan RosnerPage 26 |

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April 13, 2023April 13, 2023 | Page 27

Now I’m going to read you some pairs of statements. After each pair, please tell me whether the FIRST statement or the SEOCND statement comes closer to your own view, even if neither is exactly right.

First statement: I hope that the country moves in the direction that President Obama and Democrats are trying to go.

Second statement: I hope that the country moves in the direction the Republicans in Congress are trying to go.

10

13

15

3

47

85

46

10

9

4

10

10

47

9

43

89

Obama/Demdirection

GOP direction Obama/Demdirection

GOP direction Obama/Demdirection

GOP direction Obama/Demdirection

GOP direction

First statement somewhat Second statement somewhat

Total Independents RepublicansDemocrats

Tied +3 +79+76

Voters and independents divided on which agenda should prevail

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April 13, 2023April 13, 2023 | Page 28

41

33

23

18

17

15

14

12

11Stimulus is not w orking

America is not keeping up w ith China

The government focused on bank bailouts, not middleclass

Taxes are too high

The economy is not grow ing

Wages have not kept up w ith the cost of living

Budget deficit is big and grow ing

Outsourcing of jobs

High unemployment

Congress’s priorities do not align with voters’ concerns Which TWO of the following do you think are the most important economic problems facing the country right now?

High unemployment

Outsourcing of jobs

Budget deficit is big and growing

Wages have not kept up with cost of living

The economy is not growing

Taxes are too high

Government focused on bailouts, not middle class

America is not keeping up with China

Stimulus is not working

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April 13, 2023April 13, 2023 | Page 29

14

14

15

17

25

27

34

46

Keeping taxes low

Investing in infrastructure and newindustries

Reducing the budget deficit

Repealing the new health care law

Cutting spending and government

Making sure our children receive aneducation for these times

Protecting Social Security and Medicare

Economic recovery and jobs

Economy, not health care or deficit, should be top priority for CongressWhich TWO of the following do you think are the most important economic problems facing the country right now?

Economic recovery and jobs

Protecting Social Security and Medicare

Making sure our children receive an education for these times

Cutting spending and the size of government

Repealing the new health care law

Reducing the size of the budget deficit

Investing in new infrastructure and new industries

Keeping taxes low

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April 13, 2023April 13, 2023 | Page 30

Republican Congress plans: disapprove actions that raise deficit

Now, let me read you a few statements about things the Republican leadership has pledged to pursue in the new Congress. I want you to tell me whether, overall, you approve or disapprove of the Republicans' plans for this issue.

The first actions of the new Republican House massively added to the deficit. According to the Congressional budget office, the Republicans’ repeal of health care reform would increase the deficit by two hundred thirty billion dollars in the next decade. Their deal to keep taxes low for those making over two hundred fifty thousand dollars will add seven hundred billion dollars more to the deficit.

16

42

Total Total

Strongly disapprove

Strongly approve

61

29

Total

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April 13, 2023April 13, 2023 | Page 31

36

2421

36

Approve Disapprove Approve Disapprove

Strongly approve Strongly disapprove

Republican Congress plans: disapprove of described cuts

BUDGET 2008 LEVEL (WITHOUT CUTS)

The Republicans will cut the federal government spending back to before Obama was president, which will cut one-hundred billion dollars in spending from the current year’s budget alone

Now, let me read you a few statements about things the Republican leadership has pledged to pursue in the new Congress. I want you to tell me whether, overall, you approve or disapprove of the Republicans' plans for this issue.

BUDGET 2008 LEVEL (WITH CUTS)

The Republicans will cut the federal government spending back to before Obama was president, which will cut one-hundred billion dollars, 20% from spending on domestic programs. That would include everything from education to student loans to energy and the environment.

60

43

33

52

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April 13, 2023April 13, 2023 | Page 32

22 22

3329

Approve Disapprove Approve Disapprove

Strongly approve Strongly disapprove

Republican Congress plans: disapprove of described cutsNow, let me read you a few statements about things the Republican leadership has pledged to pursue in the new Congress. I want you to tell me whether, overall, you approve or disapprove of the Republicans' plans for this issue.

42 4550 46

DEREGULATION (WITHOUT CONTEXT) Republicans will move to eliminate new government regulations put in place under the Obama Administration, including those affecting the environment, the big banks and consumer protections.

DEREGULATION (WITH CONTEXT) Republicans will move to eliminate new government regulations put in place under the Obama Administration, including those affecting the environment, the big banks and consumer protections.

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April 13, 2023April 13, 2023 | Page 33

Greenberg Quinlan RosnerPage 33 |

Debate over the budget deficit and growth

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April 13, 2023April 13, 2023 | Page 34

34

57

10

16

36

52

14

20

75

50

25

0

25

50

75

A plan to invest in new industries andrebuild the country over the next five

years

A plan to dramatically reduce thedeficit over the next five years

% w arm (51-74 degrees) % very w arm (75-100 degrees) % cool (26-49 degrees) % very cool (0-25 degrees)

Now, I'd like to rate your feelings toward some people and organizations, with one hundred meaning a VERY WARM, FAVORABLE feeling; zero meaning a VERY COLD, UNFAVORABLE feeling; and fifty meaning not particularly warm or cold. You can use any number from zero to one hundred, the higher the number the more favorable your feelings are toward that person or organization. If you have no opinion or never heard of that person or organization, please say so.

Long-term priorities: Investment more than deficit reduction

Net: +41

Mean: 65.3

Net: +32

Mean: 63.5

A plan to dramatically reduce the deficit over

the next five years

A plan to invest in new industries and rebuild

the country over the next five years

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April 13, 2023April 13, 2023 | Page 35

29

139

33

0

20

40

60

Strongly agree Strongly disagree

Deficit Commission: context dramatically changes debate

56

19

Do you favor or oppose this deficit reduction plan?

34

54

Last month, the co-chairs of the bipartisan Deficit Commission appointed by the President and the leaders of Congress presented an extensive plan to reduce the federal budget deficit by nearly 4 trillion dollars by 2020. From what you know, do you favor or oppose the deficit reduction plan?

Last month, the co-chairs of the bipartisan Deficit Commission appointed by the President and the leaders of Congress presented an extensive plan to reduce the federal budget deficit by nearly 4 trillion dollars by 2020. It lowers corporate and income tax rates, but raises tax revenues by eliminating many deductions, including limiting the home mortgage interest deduction and taxing health insurance benefits. It cuts spending by reducing the federal workforce by ten percent and cutting defense spending. And for future retirees, it cuts Social Security benefits and raises retirement age to 69 over time. Do you favor or oppose this deficit reduction plan?

+35

-22

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April 13, 2023April 13, 2023 | Page 36

Social Security proposals by commission: strongly opposed

31

1320

38

0

20

40

60

Strongly favor Somewhat favor Strongly oppose Somewhat oppose

42

55

Raise the retirement age to 69 by 2075

Now I am going to read you some of the specific proposals recommended by the bi-partisan commission to reduce the budget deficit. After I read each item, please tell me whether you favor or oppose this proposal to reduce the deficit.

Reduce Social Security benefits for those now entering the labor force - by 17 percent for those whose salaries average $43,000 and by one-third for those who average over $100,000

35

56

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April 13, 2023April 13, 2023 | Page 37

20 1622 24

42

3441

48

3845

3833

5662

5255

Raise retirementage

Do not raise Raise retirementage

Do not raise Raise retirementage

Do not raise Raise retirementage

Do not raise

Approve strongly Approve somewhat Disapprove strongly Disapprove somewhat

Now I’m going to read you some pairs of statements. After each pair, please tell me whether the FIRST statement or the SEOCND statement comes closer to your own view, even if neither is exactly right.

Total Independents Republicans

+14 +11 +7

Democrats

+28

Raise retirement age to 69 by 2075

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April 13, 2023April 13, 2023 | Page 38

18 16 20 19

37 3942 42

38 4031

41

59 58 56 56

Raise retirementage

Do not raise Raise retirementage

Do not raise Raise retirementage

Do not raise Raise retirementage

Do not raise

Approve strongly Approve somewhat Disapprove strongly Disapprove somewhat

Now I’m going to read you some pairs of statements. After each pair, please tell me whether the FIRST statement or the SEOCND statement comes closer to your own view, even if neither is exactly right.

Under age 50 Suburban 2010 GOP pick-up seat

+22 +14 +14

Women

+19

Raise retirement age to 69 by 2075

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April 13, 2023April 13, 2023 | Page 39

13 12 15 12

3532

3936

31 33 30 30

5662

5255

Reduce Do not reduce Reduce Do not reduce Reduce Do not reduce Reduce Do not reduce

Approve strongly Approve somewhat Disapprove strongly Disapprove somewhat

Now I’m going to read you some pairs of statements. After each pair, please tell me whether the FIRST statement or the SEOCND statement comes closer to your own view, even if neither is exactly right.

Total Independents Republicans

+21 +13 +19

Democrats

+30

Reduce Social Security Benefits

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April 13, 2023April 13, 2023 | Page 40

12 12 11 15

34 32 34 34

30 31 33 34

59 59 6057

Reduce Do not reduce Reduce Do not reduce Reduce Do not reduce Reduce Do not reduce

Approve strongly Approve somewhat Disapprove strongly Disapprove somewhat

Now I’m going to read you some pairs of statements. After each pair, please tell me whether the FIRST statement or the SEOCND statement comes closer to your own view, even if neither is exactly right.

Under age 50 Suburban 2010 GOP pick-up seat

+25 +26 +23

Women

+27

Reduce Social Security Benefits

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April 13, 2023April 13, 2023 | Page 41

35

21

Total

Deficit much

While reducing the deficit is important, creating jobs and growing the economy should be our first priority. The best way to get our deficits under control is to put our economy back on track. That requires investment in areas vital to our economy like education, modern infrastructure, research and technology, and a clear plan to make things in America once more. Critical investments in our future cannot be sacrificed to austerity and budget cuts.

We need to take serious steps now to cut spending and reduce the nation's crushing debt, or our country will not be able to compete and we will be unable to grow our economy and create jobs. The Deficit Commission's proposal takes reasonable steps to cut red tape, eliminate excess spending, and simplify our tax system. The commission would focus benefits on those who need them and ensure that the benefits will be available in the future.

58

42

Total

Jobs much

Deficit Reduction overriding priorityInvest for jobs and deficit reduction

Focus on economy to get jobs and deficit declineNow I'm going to read you some pairs of statements. After I read each pair, please tell me whether the FIRST statement or the SECOND statement comes closer to your own view, even if neither is exactly right.

* Question asked of half the sample, who were informed about the specific proposals to reduce the deficit

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April 13, 2023April 13, 2023 | Page 42

42

55

37 35

58

72

5349

2114

25 25

35

24

3943

Jobs/growth Deficit Jobs/growth Deficit Jobs/growth Deficit Jobs/growth Deficit

Jobs much Jobs somewhat Deficit much Deficit somewhat

Now I’m going to read you some pairs of statements. After each pair, please tell me whether the FIRST statement or the SEOCND statement comes closer to your own view, even if neither is exactly right.

Jobs and employment: “While reducing the deficit is important, creating jobs and growing the economy should be our first priority.”

Deficit: “We need to take serious steps now to cut spending and reduce the nation's crushing debt…”

Total Independents Republicans

+23 +14 +6

Democrats

+48

Jobs and economic growth higher priority than cutting spending

Page 43: "It's Jobs, Stupid": Democracy Corps/Campaign for America's Future Poll

April 13, 2023April 13, 2023 | Page 43

We have to reduce our deficit, but we cannot do it with a plan that will kill the middle class. The commission recommended cutting taxes for corporations and the wealthiest, but places big costs on the middle class. It taxes employer-provided health insurance benefits, increases the Social Security retirement age to 69, and imposes a new 15 percent gas tax. Turning our backs on the middle class, in order to cut taxes for the very wealthy, is exactly the wrong way to grow our economy and reduce our deficit. Our country will only be weaker if we weaken our middle class.

46

28

Total

Deficit somewhat

We need to take serious steps now to cut spending and reduce the nation's crushing debt, or our country will not be able to compete and we will be unable to grow our economy and create jobs. The Deficit Commission's proposal takes reasonable steps to cut red tape, eliminate excess spending, and simplify our tax system. The commission would focus benefits on those who need them and ensure that the benefits will be available in the future.

45

31

Total

Middle classsomewhat

Deficit Reduction overriding priorityDeficit plan at expense of middle class

Middle class priorities on par with deficit reduction

Now I'm going to read you some pairs of statements. After I read each pair, please tell me whether the FIRST statement or the SECOND statement comes closer to your own view, even if neither is exactly right.

* Question asked of half the sample and reflects responses among those who were not informed about the Deficit Commission’s proposals to reduce the deficit

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April 13, 2023April 13, 2023 | Page 44

Now I’m going to read you some pairs of statements. After each pair, please tell me whether the FIRST statement or the SEOCND statement comes closer to your own view, even if neither is exactly right.

Middle Class: “We have to reduce our deficit, but we cannot do it with a plan that will kill the middle class…”

Deficit: “We need to take serious steps now to cut spending and reduce the nation's crushing debt…”

45 46 4550

4643 42 42

37

3035

3127

2421

28

Middle class Deficit Middle class Deficit Middle class Deficit Middle class Deficit

Middle class strongly Middle class somewhat Deficit strongly Deficit somewhat

Total Independents Moderate-Conservative

Democrats

+1 +3 +8

2010 Republican pick-up

+3

Middle class priorities versus cutting spending among key groups

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April 13, 2023April 13, 2023 | Page 45

Greenberg Quinlan RosnerPage 45 |

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