ipsos mori / bbc newsnight post referendum poll · home 16-049302-01 - bbc newsnight - post...

01-Jul-16

Table Names Table Filters

0001 Q1. How did you vote on the question `Should the United Kingdom

remain a member of the European Union or leave the European

Union`?

All Adults aged 18-75 in Great Britain

0002 Q1. How did you vote on the question `Should the United Kingdom

remain a member of the European Union or leave the European

Union`?


0003 Q2. And as you may know the United Kingdom voted to leave the

European Union. Do you think that was the right decision or the

wrong decision for the United Kingdom?


0004 Q2. And as you may know the United Kingdom voted to leave the

European Union. Do you think that was the right decision or the

wrong decision for the United Kingdom?


0005 Q3. If a second referendum was to be held on the United

Kingdom’s membership of the European Union, would you vote the

same way or would you change your vote?

All Adults aged 18-75 in Great Britain who report they voted in the

EU Referendum

0006 Q3. If a second referendum was to be held on the United

Kingdom’s membership of the European Union, would you vote the

same way or would you change your vote?

All Adults aged 18-75 in Great Britain who report they voted in the

EU Referendum

0007 Q4. How does the United Kingdom’s decision to leave the

European Union make you feel, if at all?


0008 Q4. How does the United Kingdom’s decision to leave the

European Union make you feel, if at all?


0009 Q6. To what extent, if at all, do you agree or disagree with the

following statements? - Summary



following statements? - I don’t want to see another General

Election this year



following statements? - I don’t want to see another General

Election this year



following statements? - The currently elected Government and

MPs do not reflect the views of the British public towards the

European Union



following statements? - The currently elected Government and

MPs do not reflect the views of the British public towards the

European Union



following statements? - There should be another General Election

before negotiations start so that people can vote on political

parties’ plans for Britain’s future relationship with the European

Union



following statements? - There should be another General Election

before negotiations start so that people can vote on political

parties’ plans for Britain’s future relationship with the European

Union


0016 Q7. Now that the referendum is over, some have suggested that

Britain will stay in the European Union despite the public voting to

leave it. How about you, do you think Britain will remain a member

of the European Union or will it leave the European Union?


0017 Q7. Now that the referendum is over, some have suggested that

Britain will stay in the European Union despite the public voting to

leave it. How about you, do you think Britain will remain a member

of the European Union or will it leave the European Union?


0018 Q8. How confident, if at all, are you in Britain’s political leaders to

get the best possible terms of exit for Britain from the European

Union?


0019 Q8. How confident, if at all, are you in Britain’s political leaders to

get the best possible terms of exit for Britain from the European

Union?


0020 Q9. And now that Britain has decided to leave the European Union

which of the following statements comes closest to your view?


0021 Q9. And now that Britain has decided to leave the European Union

which of the following statements comes closest to your view?


Home

16-049302-01 - BBC Newsnight - Post Referendum Research

29th - 30th June 2016

All adults aged 18-75 in Great Britain

Ipsos MORI

FINAL

Q1. How did you vote on the question `Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union or leave the European Union`?


Total Gender Age Social grade Region Working status Education

Total Male Female 18-34 35-54 55-75 ABC1 C2DE North Midlands South London

England /

Wales Scotland Working

Not

working

Degree/M

asters/Ph

D

Other

qualificati

ons

No formal

qualificati

ons

Unweighte

d total

(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T)

Unweighted base 1077 547 530 356 405 316 612 465 260 288 236 149 984 93 704 373 448 550 79 1077

Weighted base 1077 533 544 342 415 320 591 486 262 278 242 147 982 95 743 334 323 549 205 1077

Remain a member of the European Union 463 220 243 174 171 118 297 166 114 117 90 72 411 52 324 139 198 210 55 548

43% 41% 45% 51% 41% 37% 50% 34% 43% 42% 37% 49% 42% 55% 44% 42% 61% 38% 27% 51%

EF H K K* RS *

Leave the European Union 472 252 220 98 196 178 225 246 119 119 115 58 436 36 327 145 82 271 119 426

44% 47% 40% 29% 47% 56% 38% 51% 46% 43% 47% 40% 44% 38% 44% 43% 25% 49% 58% 40%

D D G * Q Q*

Did not vote 127 50 77 62 43 21 58 68 28 36 33 15 120 7 82 45 39 59 28 90

12% 9% 14% 18% 10% 7% 10% 14% 11% 13% 14% 10% 12% 7% 11% 13% 12% 11% 14% 8%

B EF * *

Too young - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

* *

Can’t remember 16 11 5 8 5 2 10 6 1 6 5 2 16 - 10 5 4 9 2 13

1% 2% 1% 2% 1% 1% 2% 1% * 2% 2% 1% 2% - 1% 2% 1% 2% 1% 1%

* *

Overlap formulae used

ColumnProportions (5%): A,B/C,D/E/F,G/H,I/J/K/L/M/N,O/P,Q/R/S,T Minimum Base: 30(**) Small Base: 100(*)

ColumnMeans (5%): A,B/C,D/E/F,G/H,I/J/K/L/M/N,O/P,Q/R/S,T Minimum Base: 30(**) Small Base: 100(*)

2

Home


29th - 30th June 2016


Ipsos MORI

FINAL

Q1. How did you vote on the question `Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union or leave the European Union`?


Total Referendum Vote 2015 General Election Vote

Total Remain Leave

Did not

vote

Conservati

ve Labour Lib Dem UKIP Other

Did not

vote

Unweighte

d total

(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K)

Unweighted base 1077 548 426 90 288 298 64 108 102 125 1077

Weighted base 1077 463 472 127 288 247 50 107 73 200 1077

Remain a member of the European Union 463 463 - - 137 144 30 4 49 57 548

43% 100% - - 48% 58% 60% 4% 67% 28% 51%

CD * HJ EHJ HJ* * EHJ* H*

Leave the European Union 472 - 472 - 142 94 19 98 18 53 426

44% - 100% - 49% 38% 37% 92% 25% 27% 40%

BD * FIJ IJ * EFGIJ* * *

Did not vote 127 - - 127 7 9 1 5 5 90 90

12% - - 100% 3% 3% 3% 4% 7% 45% 8%

BC* * * * EFGHI*

Too young - - - - - - - - - - -

- - - - - - - - - - -

* * * * *

Can’t remember 16 - - - 1 - - - 1 - 13

1% - - - * - - - 1% - 1%

* * * * *

ColumnProportions (5%): A,B/C/D,E/F/G/H/I/J,K Minimum Base: 30(**) Small Base: 100(*)

ColumnMeans (5%): A,B/C/D,E/F/G/H/I/J,K Minimum Base: 30(**) Small Base: 100(*)

3

Home


29th - 30th June 2016


Ipsos MORI

FINAL

Q2. And as you may know the United Kingdom voted to leave the European Union. Do you think that was the right decision or the wrong decision for the United Kingdom?




England /


Not

working

Degree/M

asters/Ph

D

Other

qualificati

ons

No formal

qualificati

ons

Unweighte

d total


Unweighted base 1077 547 530 356 405 316 612 465 260 288 236 149 984 93 704 373 448 550 79 1077

Weighted base 1077 533 544 342 415 320 591 486 262 278 242 147 982 95 743 334 323 549 205 1077

Right decision 461 251 210 96 194 170 213 248 121 110 114 60 428 33 317 144 80 261 120 416

43% 47% 39% 28% 47% 53% 36% 51% 46% 39% 47% 41% 44% 35% 43% 43% 25% 48% 59% 39%

C D D G * Q Q*

Wrong decision 469 218 251 180 177 112 302 167 109 123 88 71 414 55 333 137 207 207 56 534

44% 41% 46% 53% 43% 35% 51% 34% 42% 44% 36% 49% 42% 58% 45% 41% 64% 38% 27% 50%

EF H K IKM* RS *

Don’t know 147 64 83 66 44 37 75 71 31 45 40 16 140 7 93 54 37 81 29 127

14% 12% 15% 19% 11% 12% 13% 15% 12% 16% 16% 11% 14% 7% 13% 16% 11% 15% 14% 12%

EF * *




4

Home


29th - 30th June 2016


Ipsos MORI

FINAL

Q2. And as you may know the United Kingdom voted to leave the European Union. Do you think that was the right decision or the wrong decision for the United Kingdom?



Total Remain Leave

Did not

vote

Conservati


Did not

vote

Unweighte

d total

(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K)

Unweighted base 1077 548 426 90 288 298 64 108 102 125 1077

Weighted base 1077 463 472 127 288 247 50 107 73 200 1077

Right decision 461 17 419 25 129 93 17 97 18 67 416

43% 4% 89% 19% 45% 38% 35% 91% 25% 34% 39%

BD B* I I * EFGIJ* * *

Wrong decision 469 411 14 44 129 133 26 5 51 83 534

44% 89% 3% 35% 45% 54% 53% 5% 70% 41% 50%

CD C* H HJ H* * EFHJ* H*

Don’t know 147 35 38 58 29 20 6 4 4 50 127

14% 8% 8% 46% 10% 8% 12% 4% 5% 25% 12%

BC* * * * EFHI*



5

Home


29th - 30th June 2016


Ipsos MORI

FINAL

Q3. If a second referendum was to be held on the United Kingdom’s membership of the European Union, would you vote the same way or would you change your vote?

All Adults aged 18-75 in Great Britain who report they voted in the EU Referendum



England /


Not

working

Degree/M

asters/Ph

D

Other

qualificati

ons

No formal

qualificati

ons

Unweight

ed total


Unweighted base 974 503 471 304 366 304 562 412 239 259 207 135 886 88 638 336 410 495 69 974

Weighted base 935 472 463 272 367 296 522 412 233 236 205 130 847 88 651 284 280 481 174 974

Would definitely vote the same way 769 398 371 213 312 244 429 340 200 193 168 99 695 74 523 246 232 387 150 810

82% 84% 80% 78% 85% 82% 82% 82% 86% 82% 82% 76% 82% 83% 80% 87% 83% 81% 86% 83%

D L * O *

Would probably vote the same way 95 45 51 29 30 37 56 39 16 25 23 21 90 6 73 23 31 51 14 98

10% 9% 11% 10% 8% 13% 11% 10% 7% 11% 11% 16% 11% 6% 11% 8% 11% 11% 8% 10%

I * *

Would probably change my vote 28 13 14 11 9 8 14 14 6 10 4 3 24 4 24 4 7 17 4 26

3% 3% 3% 4% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 4% 2% 3% 3% 4% 4% 1% 2% 3% 2% 3%

* *

Would definitely change my vote 7 3 4 3 2 2 4 3 1 1 1 1 5 2 3 4 2 3 1 8

1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% * 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%

* *

Would not vote at all 12 6 6 5 3 4 7 5 4 - 2 4 11 * 9 3 4 6 3 11

1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% - 1% 3% 1% * 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%

J J * *

Don't know 24 7 17 12 11 1 12 12 5 6 6 3 21 3 19 5 5 17 3 21

3% 2% 4% 4% 3% * 2% 3% 2% 3% 3% 2% 2% 4% 3% 2% 2% 4% 1% 2%

F F * *

Vote the same way 864 442 422 242 341 281 485 379 216 218 191 120 785 79 596 269 263 438 163 908

92% 94% 91% 89% 93% 95% 93% 92% 93% 92% 93% 92% 93% 90% 92% 95% 94% 91% 94% 93%

D * *

Change my vote 34 16 18 14 11 10 18 16 8 12 6 4 29 5 27 7 9 20 6 34

4% 3% 4% 5% 3% 3% 3% 4% 3% 5% 3% 3% 3% 6% 4% 3% 3% 4% 3% 3%

* *

Net Difference 830 426 404 228 331 272 467 363 209 207 185 116 756 74 569 261 255 418 158 874

89% 90% 87% 84% 90% 92% 89% 88% 90% 88% 90% 89% 89% 84% 87% 92% 91% 87% 91% 90%




6

Home


29th - 30th June 2016


Ipsos MORI

FINAL

Q3. If a second referendum was to be held on the United Kingdom’s membership of the European Union, would you vote the same way or would you change your vote?

All Adults aged 18-75 in Great Britain who report they voted in the EU Referendum


Total Remain Leave

Did not

vote

Conservati


Did not

vote

Unweighte

d total

(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K)

Unweighted base 974 548 426 - 279 289 63 102 98 71 974

Weighted base 935 463 472 - 279 238 49 102 67 110 974

Would definitely vote the same way 769 396 373 - 228 200 37 92 56 85 810

82% 85% 79% - 82% 84% 77% 90% 84% 78% 83%

C * G* * *

Would probably vote the same way 95 42 54 - 34 20 7 5 5 13 98

10% 9% 11% - 12% 8% 15% 5% 7% 11% 10%

H* * * *

Would probably change my vote 28 7 21 - 8 5 3 2 3 4 26

3% 1% 4% - 3% 2% 6% 2% 5% 3% 3%

B * * * *

Would definitely change my vote 7 2 5 - - 3 1 1 1 - 8

1% * 1% - - 1% 1% 1% 2% - 1%

* * E* *

Would not vote at all 12 6 6 - 4 3 - 2 2 2 11

1% 1% 1% - 1% 1% - 2% 2% 2% 1%

* * * *

Don't know 24 11 13 - 6 8 - 1 - 6 21

3% 2% 3% - 2% 3% - 1% - 6% 2%

* * * *

Vote the same way 864 438 427 - 261 220 45 97 61 98 908

92% 94% 90% - 94% 92% 92% 95% 91% 89% 93%

C * * * *

Change my vote 34 9 25 - 8 8 4 2 4 4 34

4% 2% 5% - 3% 3% 8% 2% 7% 3% 3%

B * * * *

Net Difference 830 429 401 - 253 212 41 95 56 94 874

89% 93% 85% - 91% 89% 84% 92% 84% 86% 90%



7

Home


29th - 30th June 2016


Ipsos MORI

FINAL

Q4. How does the United Kingdom’s decision to leave the European Union make you feel, if at all?




England /


Not

working

Degree/M

asters/Ph

D

Other

qualificati

ons

No formal

qualificati

ons

Unweighte

d total


Unweighted base 1077 547 530 356 405 316 612 465 260 288 236 149 984 93 704 373 448 550 79 1077

Weighted base 1077 533 544 342 415 320 591 486 262 278 242 147 982 95 743 334 323 549 205 1077

More hopeful for the future 412 225 187 86 164 162 190 222 107 100 99 51 383 29 281 131 72 226 114 369

38% 42% 34% 25% 40% 51% 32% 46% 41% 36% 41% 35% 39% 31% 38% 39% 22% 41% 56% 34%

C D DE G * Q QR*

Less hopeful for the future 438 197 241 170 162 106 289 149 108 107 89 71 393 45 305 133 199 194 45 509

41% 37% 44% 50% 39% 33% 49% 31% 41% 39% 37% 49% 40% 48% 41% 40% 62% 35% 22% 47%

B EF H KM * RS S *

Neither 127 72 54 44 52 31 74 53 22 46 25 17 118 9 88 39 29 71 27 114

12% 14% 10% 13% 12% 10% 13% 11% 8% 17% 10% 12% 12% 9% 12% 12% 9% 13% 13% 11%

IM * *

Don’t know 100 38 62 43 37 20 38 62 24 25 30 8 88 12 69 31 23 59 18 85

9% 7% 11% 12% 9% 6% 6% 13% 9% 9% 12% 5% 9% 12% 9% 9% 7% 11% 9% 8%

B F G L * *




8

Home


29th - 30th June 2016


Ipsos MORI

FINAL

Q4. How does the United Kingdom’s decision to leave the European Union make you feel, if at all?



Total Remain Leave

Did not

vote

Conservati


Did not

vote

Unweighte

d total

(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K)

Unweighted base 1077 548 426 90 288 298 64 108 102 125 1077

Weighted base 1077 463 472 127 288 247 50 107 73 200 1077

More hopeful for the future 412 9 380 22 116 76 12 94 18 58 369

38% 2% 80% 17% 40% 31% 23% 88% 25% 29% 34%

BD B* FGIJ * EFGIJ* * *

Less hopeful for the future 438 384 12 41 116 134 28 5 45 77 509

41% 83% 3% 33% 40% 54% 57% 4% 62% 39% 47%

CD C* H EHJ EHJ* * EHJ* H*

Neither 127 41 50 27 32 23 9 6 6 30 114

12% 9% 11% 21% 11% 9% 17% 6% 8% 15% 11%

BC* H* * * *

Don’t know 100 28 30 36 24 14 1 2 3 35 85

9% 6% 6% 29% 8% 6% 3% 2% 4% 17% 8%

BC* H * * * EFGHI*



9

Home


29th - 30th June 2016


Ipsos MORI

FINAL

Q6. To what extent, if at all, do you agree or disagree with the following statements? - Summary


Q6. To what extent, if at all, do

you agree or disagree with the

following statements?

I don’t

want to

see

another

General

Election

this year

The

currently

elected

Governme

nt and

MPs do

not reflect

the views

of the

British

public

towards

the

European

Union

There

should be

another

General

Election

before

negotiatio

ns start so

that

people

can vote

on

political

parties’

plans for

Britain’s

future

relationshi

p with the

European

Union

(A) (B) (C)

Unweighted base 1077 1077 1077

Weighted base 1077 1077 1077

Strongly agree 206 282 289

19% 26% 27%

A A

Tend to agree 147 301 228

14% 28% 21%

AC A

Neither agree nor disagree 295 301 240

27% 28% 22%

C C

Tend to disagree 150 79 113

14% 7% 10%

BC B

Strongly disagree 205 41 135

19% 4% 13%

BC B

Don’t know 75 74 72

7% 7% 7%

Agree 353 582 517

33% 54% 48%

AC A

Disagree 355 120 248

33% 11% 23%

BC B

Net Difference -1 462 269

* 43% 25%


ColumnProportions (5%): A/B/C Minimum Base: 30(**) Small Base: 100(*)

ColumnMeans (5%): A/B/C Minimum Base: 30(**) Small Base: 100(*)

10

Home


29th - 30th June 2016


Ipsos MORI

FINAL

Q6. To what extent, if at all, do you agree or disagree with the following statements? - I don’t want to see another General Election this year




England /


Not

working

Degree/M

asters/Ph

D

Other

qualificati

ons

No formal

qualificati

ons

Unweight

ed total


Unweighted base 1077 547 530 356 405 316 612 465 260 288 236 149 984 93 704 373 448 550 79 1077

Weighted base 1077 533 544 342 415 320 591 486 262 278 242 147 982 95 743 334 323 549 205 1077

Strongly agree 206 129 76 48 71 86 119 86 44 49 52 24 180 26 151 54 62 98 46 207

19% 24% 14% 14% 17% 27% 20% 18% 17% 18% 21% 16% 18% 27% 20% 16% 19% 18% 23% 19%

C DE * *

Tend to agree 147 68 79 49 53 45 84 63 31 43 34 19 135 13 95 53 44 80 24 145

14% 13% 15% 14% 13% 14% 14% 13% 12% 16% 14% 13% 14% 13% 13% 16% 13% 15% 12% 13%

* *

Neither agree nor disagree 295 142 153 94 116 84 164 131 64 73 65 53 274 20 201 93 70 167 58 266

27% 27% 28% 28% 28% 26% 28% 27% 25% 26% 27% 36% 28% 22% 27% 28% 22% 30% 28% 25%

IM * Q *

Tend to disagree 150 60 90 52 61 37 86 64 47 43 34 19 145 4 105 45 54 76 20 171

14% 11% 17% 15% 15% 12% 15% 13% 18% 15% 14% 13% 15% 5% 14% 14% 17% 14% 10% 16%

B N N N * *

Strongly disagree 205 107 98 66 86 53 112 93 52 48 46 23 182 22 144 60 80 89 35 230

19% 20% 18% 19% 21% 16% 19% 19% 20% 17% 19% 16% 19% 23% 19% 18% 25% 16% 17% 21%

* R *

Don’t know 75 27 48 33 28 14 25 50 22 22 12 9 66 9 47 28 14 39 22 58

7% 5% 9% 10% 7% 4% 4% 10% 8% 8% 5% 6% 7% 10% 6% 8% 4% 7% 11% 5%

B F G * *

Agree 353 198 156 97 124 132 204 149 75 92 86 43 314 39 246 107 105 178 70 352

33% 37% 29% 28% 30% 41% 34% 31% 29% 33% 35% 30% 32% 41% 33% 32% 33% 32% 34% 33%

C DE * *

Disagree 355 166 188 118 147 90 198 156 100 91 80 41 328 27 249 106 134 165 55 401

33% 31% 35% 34% 35% 28% 34% 32% 38% 33% 33% 28% 33% 28% 33% 32% 41% 30% 27% 37%

* RS *

Net Difference -1 32 -33 -21 -23 42 5 -7 -25 1 6 2 -13 12 -2 1 -29 13 15 -49

* 6% -6% -6% -5% 13% 1% -1% -9% * 3% 1% -1% 13% * * -9% 2% 7% -5%




11

Home


29th - 30th June 2016


Ipsos MORI

FINAL

Q6. To what extent, if at all, do you agree or disagree with the following statements? - I don’t want to see another General Election this year



Total Remain Leave

Did not

vote

Conservati


Did not

vote

Unweighte

d total

(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K)

Unweighted base 1077 548 426 90 288 298 64 108 102 125 1077

Weighted base 1077 463 472 127 288 247 50 107 73 200 1077

Strongly agree 206 72 124 10 91 24 10 34 15 17 207

19% 16% 26% 8% 32% 10% 20% 32% 20% 8% 19%

BD * FJ FJ* FJ* FJ* *

Tend to agree 147 59 67 20 43 22 6 15 6 35 145

14% 13% 14% 16% 15% 9% 13% 14% 8% 17% 13%

* * * * F*

Neither agree nor disagree 295 110 129 51 71 65 7 28 12 73 266

27% 24% 27% 40% 25% 27% 15% 27% 17% 36% 25%

BC* * * * EGI*

Tend to disagree 150 90 53 7 42 48 8 11 16 17 171

14% 19% 11% 6% 14% 19% 16% 10% 22% 8% 16%

CD * J * * J* *

Strongly disagree 205 108 82 13 33 75 16 16 22 31 230

19% 23% 17% 11% 11% 30% 33% 15% 30% 15% 21%

D * EHJ EHJ* * EHJ* *

Don’t know 75 25 17 26 9 11 2 2 2 29 58

7% 5% 4% 20% 3% 5% 3% 2% 3% 15% 5%

BC* * * * EFHI*

Agree 353 130 191 29 134 47 16 50 21 51 352

33% 28% 41% 23% 46% 19% 33% 47% 28% 26% 33%

BD * FIJ F* FIJ* * *

Disagree 355 198 135 21 75 123 24 27 38 47 401

33% 43% 29% 16% 26% 50% 49% 25% 52% 24% 37%

CD D * EHJ EHJ* * EHJ* *

Net Difference -1 -68 57 9 59 -76 -8 23 -17 4 -49

* -15% 12% 7% 21% -31% -16% 22% -23% 2% -5%



12

Home


29th - 30th June 2016


Ipsos MORI

FINAL

Q6. To what extent, if at all, do you agree or disagree with the following statements? - The currently elected Government and MPs do not reflect the views of the British public towards the European Union




England /


Not

working

Degree/M

asters/Ph

D

Other

qualificati

ons

No formal

qualificati

ons

Unweight

ed total


Unweighted base 1077 547 530 356 405 316 612 465 260 288 236 149 984 93 704 373 448 550 79 1077

Weighted base 1077 533 544 342 415 320 591 486 262 278 242 147 982 95 743 334 323 549 205 1077

Strongly agree 282 131 150 78 108 95 139 143 79 69 53 36 251 31 207 75 75 150 56 286

26% 25% 28% 23% 26% 30% 24% 29% 30% 25% 22% 24% 26% 32% 28% 22% 23% 27% 28% 27%

* *

Tend to agree 301 145 156 102 109 91 170 130 84 71 80 34 276 25 203 98 102 151 48 315

28% 27% 29% 30% 26% 28% 29% 27% 32% 25% 33% 23% 28% 26% 27% 29% 31% 27% 24% 29%

* *


28% 28% 27% 27% 32% 24% 30% 25% 20% 29% 30% 35% 28% 23% 28% 28% 28% 29% 26% 27%

F I I I I * *

Tend to disagree 79 45 34 23 30 27 51 28 19 17 21 13 74 6 54 26 34 30 15 89

7% 8% 6% 7% 7% 8% 9% 6% 7% 6% 9% 9% 7% 6% 7% 8% 10% 6% 7% 8%

* R *


4% 6% 1% 4% 2% 6% 4% 3% 4% 5% 2% 4% 4% 3% 4% 4% 3% 4% 4% 4%

C E K * *

Don’t know 74 26 48 34 27 13 28 46 18 27 12 8 64 9 47 27 14 37 22 54

7% 5% 9% 10% 6% 4% 5% 9% 7% 10% 5% 5% 7% 10% 6% 8% 4% 7% 11% 5%

B F G M * *

Agree 582 276 306 180 216 186 309 273 163 139 133 70 527 55 409 173 176 301 105 601

54% 52% 56% 53% 52% 58% 52% 56% 62% 50% 55% 48% 54% 58% 55% 52% 55% 55% 51% 56%

JLM * *

Disagree 120 80 41 35 39 46 76 45 29 30 25 18 111 9 81 39 43 53 24 130

11% 15% 7% 10% 9% 14% 13% 9% 11% 11% 10% 12% 11% 9% 11% 12% 13% 10% 12% 12%

C * *

Net Difference 462 197 265 145 177 140 233 228 134 109 109 52 416 46 328 133 134 248 81 471

43% 37% 49% 42% 43% 44% 40% 47% 51% 39% 45% 35% 42% 49% 44% 40% 41% 45% 39% 44%




13

Home


29th - 30th June 2016


Ipsos MORI

FINAL

Q6. To what extent, if at all, do you agree or disagree with the following statements? - The currently elected Government and MPs do not reflect the views of the British public towards the European Union



Total Remain Leave

Did not

vote

Conservati


Did not

vote

Unweighte

d total

(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K)

Unweighted base 1077 548 426 90 288 298 64 108 102 125 1077

Weighted base 1077 463 472 127 288 247 50 107 73 200 1077

Strongly agree 282 94 165 22 49 78 11 47 23 45 286

26% 20% 35% 18% 17% 32% 22% 44% 32% 22% 27%

BD * E * EFGJ* E* *

Tend to agree 301 116 151 33 78 74 13 29 28 54 315

28% 25% 32% 26% 27% 30% 27% 27% 38% 27% 29%

B * * * * *


28% 32% 22% 36% 34% 25% 23% 22% 17% 32% 27%

C C* FI * * * I*

Tend to disagree 79 53 23 2 27 18 11 7 6 6 89

7% 12% 5% 2% 10% 7% 21% 6% 8% 3% 8%

CD * J EFHIJ* * * *

Strongly disagree 41 20 20 - 23 10 2 * 2 2 41

4% 4% 4% - 8% 4% 5% * 2% 1% 4%

* HJ * * * *

Don’t know 74 31 11 24 13 5 1 1 1 29 54

7% 7% 2% 19% 5% 2% 2% 1% 2% 15% 5%

C BC* * * * EFGHI*

Agree 582 210 316 55 127 151 24 75 51 99 601

54% 45% 67% 43% 44% 61% 49% 71% 70% 50% 56%

BD * E * EGJ* EGJ* *

Disagree 120 73 43 2 50 28 13 7 8 8 130

11% 16% 9% 2% 17% 11% 26% 6% 11% 4% 12%

CD D * HJ J FHIJ* * * *

Net Difference 462 137 273 53 77 123 11 68 43 91 471

43% 30% 58% 42% 27% 50% 23% 64% 60% 46% 44%



14

Home


29th - 30th June 2016


Ipsos MORI

FINAL

Q6. To what extent, if at all, do you agree or disagree with the following statements? - There should be another General Election before negotiations start so that people can vote on political parties’ plans for Britain’s future relationship with the European Union




England /


Not

working

Degree/M

asters/Ph

D

Other

qualificati

ons

No formal

qualificati

ons

Unweight

ed total


Unweighted base 1077 547 530 356 405 316 612 465 260 288 236 149 984 93 704 373 448 550 79 1077

Weighted base 1077 533 544 342 415 320 591 486 262 278 242 147 982 95 743 334 323 549 205 1077

Strongly agree 289 134 154 111 108 69 158 131 74 68 62 45 263 25 210 79 108 132 48 315

27% 25% 28% 32% 26% 22% 27% 27% 28% 24% 26% 31% 27% 27% 28% 24% 33% 24% 23% 29%

F * R *

Tend to agree 228 99 129 78 95 55 131 98 60 70 53 25 215 14 155 74 78 125 26 247

21% 19% 24% 23% 23% 17% 22% 20% 23% 25% 22% 17% 22% 15% 21% 22% 24% 23% 13% 23%

* S S *


22% 24% 21% 20% 25% 21% 22% 23% 23% 17% 21% 27% 22% 23% 22% 23% 16% 25% 26% 19%

J J * Q Q*

Tend to disagree 113 61 52 25 35 52 66 46 22 32 26 19 103 9 76 37 32 54 27 116

10% 11% 10% 7% 9% 16% 11% 10% 8% 12% 11% 13% 11% 10% 10% 11% 10% 10% 13% 11%

DE * *


13% 16% 9% 8% 10% 20% 14% 11% 11% 12% 14% 10% 12% 18% 13% 13% 13% 12% 14% 13%

C DE * *

Don’t know 72 27 45 30 30 11 24 48 17 27 15 3 65 7 45 27 13 37 22 53

7% 5% 8% 9% 7% 4% 4% 10% 7% 10% 6% 2% 7% 7% 6% 8% 4% 7% 11% 5%

F G LM L * Q*

Agree 517 234 283 189 204 124 289 228 134 137 115 70 478 39 365 152 186 258 74 562

48% 44% 52% 55% 49% 39% 49% 47% 51% 49% 47% 48% 49% 41% 49% 46% 58% 47% 36% 52%

B F F * RS *

Disagree 248 146 102 53 79 116 150 98 50 66 60 33 221 27 169 78 74 118 56 253

23% 27% 19% 15% 19% 36% 25% 20% 19% 24% 25% 23% 22% 28% 23% 24% 23% 21% 27% 23%

C DE * *

Net Difference 269 88 182 136 125 9 139 130 84 71 55 37 257 13 196 74 112 139 18 309

25% 17% 33% 40% 30% 3% 24% 27% 32% 26% 23% 25% 26% 13% 26% 22% 35% 25% 9% 29%




15

Home


29th - 30th June 2016


Ipsos MORI

FINAL

Q6. To what extent, if at all, do you agree or disagree with the following statements? - There should be another General Election before negotiations start so that people can vote on political parties’ plans for Britain’s future relationship with the European Union



Total Remain Leave

Did not

vote

Conservati


Did not

vote

Unweighte

d total

(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K)

Unweighted base 1077 548 426 90 288 298 64 108 102 125 1077

Weighted base 1077 463 472 127 288 247 50 107 73 200 1077

Strongly agree 289 164 103 20 36 113 18 20 31 45 315

27% 35% 22% 16% 12% 46% 35% 19% 42% 23% 29%

CD * EHJ EH* * EHJ* E*

Tend to agree 228 111 92 24 65 62 12 17 16 39 247

21% 24% 20% 19% 22% 25% 25% 16% 22% 19% 23%

* * * * *


22% 16% 24% 39% 19% 16% 14% 27% 13% 36% 19%

B BC* * FI* * EFGI*

Tend to disagree 113 45 60 7 45 11 9 18 10 9 116

10% 10% 13% 5% 16% 5% 19% 17% 13% 5% 11%

* FJ FJ* FJ* FJ* *

Strongly disagree 135 43 87 4 74 17 4 19 5 6 137

13% 9% 18% 3% 26% 7% 7% 18% 7% 3% 13%

BD * FGIJ * FJ* * *

Don’t know 72 27 15 24 12 4 - 3 2 29 53

7% 6% 3% 19% 4% 2% - 3% 3% 14% 5%

BC* * * * EFGHI*

Agree 517 275 195 43 100 175 30 37 46 84 562

48% 59% 41% 34% 35% 71% 60% 35% 64% 42% 52%

CD * EHJ EHJ* * EHJ* *

Disagree 248 88 148 10 120 28 13 37 15 16 253

23% 19% 31% 8% 42% 11% 26% 35% 21% 8% 23%

D BD * FGIJ FJ* FJ* FJ* *

Net Difference 269 188 48 33 -19 147 17 1 31 68 309

25% 41% 10% 26% -7% 60% 34% * 43% 34% 29%



16

Home


29th - 30th June 2016


Ipsos MORI

FINAL

Q7. Now that the referendum is over, some have suggested that Britain will stay in the European Union despite the public voting to leave it. How about you, do you think Britain will remain a member of the European Union or will it leave the European Union?




England /


Not

working

Degree/M

asters/PhD

Other

qualificatio

ns

No formal

qualificatio

ns

Unweighte

d total


Unweighted base 1077 547 530 356 405 316 612 465 260 288 236 149 984 93 704 373 448 550 79 1077

Weighted base 1077 533 544 342 415 320 591 486 262 278 242 147 982 95 743 334 323 549 205 1077

Britain will leave the European Union 658 344 314 174 258 227 348 311 166 153 165 78 596 62 457 201 176 347 135 653

61% 65% 58% 51% 62% 71% 59% 64% 64% 55% 68% 53% 61% 66% 62% 60% 55% 63% 66% 61%

C D DE JLM J * Q *

Britain will remain a member of the European Union 176 86 91 69 79 29 112 65 40 50 28 33 158 18 127 49 73 74 29 187

16% 16% 17% 20% 19% 9% 19% 13% 15% 18% 12% 22% 16% 19% 17% 15% 23% 13% 14% 17%

F F H KM K * R *

Don’t know 242 103 139 100 78 64 131 111 55 75 49 36 228 15 158 84 74 128 40 237

22% 19% 26% 29% 19% 20% 22% 23% 21% 27% 20% 24% 23% 15% 21% 25% 23% 23% 20% 22%

B EF * *




17

Home


29th - 30th June 2016


Ipsos MORI

FINAL

Q7. Now that the referendum is over, some have suggested that Britain will stay in the European Union despite the public voting to leave it. How about you, do you think Britain will remain a member of the European Union or will it leave the European Union?



Total Remain Leave

Did not

vote

Conservati


Did not

vote

Unweighte

d total

(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K)

Unweighted base 1077 548 426 90 288 298 64 108 102 125 1077

Weighted base 1077 463 472 127 288 247 50 107 73 200 1077

Britain will leave the European Union 658 226 378 53 208 132 31 85 42 105 653

61% 49% 80% 42% 72% 53% 62% 79% 58% 53% 61%

BD * FIJ * FGIJ* * *

Britain will remain a member of the European Union 176 124 33 17 47 58 9 7 13 27 187

16% 27% 7% 14% 16% 23% 17% 7% 17% 14% 17%

CD * H HJ * * H* *

Don’t know 242 113 61 57 32 57 11 15 18 68 237

22% 24% 13% 45% 11% 23% 21% 14% 24% 34% 22%

C BC* E * * E* EH*



18

Home


29th - 30th June 2016


Ipsos MORI

FINAL

Q8. How confident, if at all, are you in Britain’s political leaders to get the best possible terms of exit for Britain from the European Union?




England /


Not

working

Degree/M

asters/PhD

Other

qualificatio

ns

No formal

qualificatio

ns

Unweighte

d total


Unweighted base 1077 547 530 356 405 316 612 465 260 288 236 149 984 93 704 373 448 550 79 1077

Weighted base 1077 533 544 342 415 320 591 486 262 278 242 147 982 95 743 334 323 549 205 1077

Very confident 61 30 31 20 25 16 28 33 13 17 13 9 58 3 42 19 14 36 12 58

6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 7% 5% 6% 5% 6% 6% 3% 6% 6% 4% 6% 6% 5%

* *

Fairly confident 261 144 116 72 98 91 154 106 44 62 75 46 240 20 179 81 63 135 62 243

24% 27% 21% 21% 24% 28% 26% 22% 17% 22% 31% 31% 24% 21% 24% 24% 20% 25% 30% 23%

IM I I * *

Not very confident 381 172 209 106 170 105 214 167 106 107 83 38 354 27 265 115 117 199 64 393

35% 32% 38% 31% 41% 33% 36% 34% 41% 38% 34% 26% 36% 28% 36% 35% 36% 36% 31% 36%

D L L L * *

Not at all confident 260 137 123 98 78 84 147 113 70 55 51 37 227 33 180 79 103 120 36 292

24% 26% 23% 29% 19% 26% 25% 23% 27% 20% 21% 25% 23% 35% 24% 24% 32% 22% 18% 27%

E JKM* RS *

Don’t know 115 50 65 47 44 25 47 68 28 36 19 16 104 12 76 39 26 59 30 91

11% 9% 12% 14% 10% 8% 8% 14% 11% 13% 8% 11% 11% 12% 10% 12% 8% 11% 15% 8%

F G * *

Confident 321 174 147 92 123 107 183 139 58 79 88 55 298 23 221 100 77 171 74 301

30% 33% 27% 27% 30% 33% 31% 29% 22% 29% 37% 38% 30% 25% 30% 30% 24% 31% 36% 28%

IM I I * Q Q*

Not confident 640 309 332 203 249 188 361 280 176 162 134 76 580 60 446 195 220 319 101 685

59% 58% 61% 59% 60% 59% 61% 57% 67% 58% 55% 52% 59% 63% 60% 58% 68% 58% 49% 64%

KLM * RS *

Net Difference -319 -134 -184 -112 -126 -81 -178 -141 -118 -83 -46 -20 -282 -37 -225 -94 -143 -149 -27 -384

-30% -25% -34% -33% -30% -25% -30% -29% -45% -30% -19% -14% -29% -39% -30% -28% -44% -27% -13% -36%




19

Home


29th - 30th June 2016


Ipsos MORI

FINAL

Q8. How confident, if at all, are you in Britain’s political leaders to get the best possible terms of exit for Britain from the European Union?



Total Remain Leave

Did not

vote

Conservati


Did not

vote

Unweighte

d total

(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K)

Unweighted base 1077 548 426 90 288 298 64 108 102 125 1077

Weighted base 1077 463 472 127 288 247 50 107 73 200 1077

Very confident 61 12 44 4 31 10 1 7 1 4 58

6% 3% 9% 3% 11% 4% 3% 7% 1% 2% 5%

B * FIJ * * * *

Fairly confident 261 69 171 19 104 38 15 45 10 32 243

24% 15% 36% 15% 36% 15% 30% 42% 13% 16% 23%

BD * FIJ FIJ* FIJ* * *

Not very confident 381 189 151 37 90 101 20 34 29 62 393

35% 41% 32% 29% 31% 41% 39% 32% 40% 31% 36%

C * E * * * *

Not at all confident 260 164 65 28 48 79 13 16 28 59 292

24% 35% 14% 22% 17% 32% 26% 15% 39% 29% 27%

CD * EH * * EH* EH*

Don’t know 115 29 41 39 14 18 1 4 5 44 91

11% 6% 9% 31% 5% 7% 1% 4% 6% 22% 8%

BC* * * * EFGHI*

Confident 321 81 215 23 135 47 16 53 11 36 301

30% 18% 46% 18% 47% 19% 33% 49% 15% 18% 28%

BD * FIJ FIJ* FIJ* * *

Not confident 640 352 216 65 138 181 33 50 57 121 685

59% 76% 46% 52% 48% 73% 66% 47% 79% 60% 64%

CD * EHJ EH* * EHJ* E*

Net Difference -319 -271 -1 -43 -3 -134 -17 2 -47 -84 -384

-30% -59% * -34% -1% -54% -33% 2% -64% -42% -36%



20

Home


29th - 30th June 2016


Ipsos MORI

FINAL

Q9. And now that Britain has decided to leave the European Union which of the following statements comes closest to your view?




England /


Not

working

Degree/M

asters/Ph

D

Other

qualificati

ons

No formal

qualificati

ons

Unweighte

d total


Unweighted base 1077 547 530 356 405 316 612 465 260 288 236 149 984 93 704 373 448 550 79 1077

Weighted base 1077 533 544 342 415 320 591 486 262 278 242 147 982 95 743 334 323 549 205 1077

Britain should continue to allow European Union

citizens to come and live and work in Britain in

return for access to the EU single market 452 208 245 171 179 103 293 159 104 113 102 69 413 40 311 141 205 197 50 513

42% 39% 45% 50% 43% 32% 50% 33% 40% 41% 42% 47% 42% 42% 42% 42% 63% 36% 25% 48%

F F H * RS *

Britain should stop European Union citizens coming

to live and work in Britain with new immigration

rules even if that restricted Britain’s access to the EU

single market 410 238 172 93 154 163 200 209 108 94 99 54 373 37 286 124 69 230 111 371

38% 45% 32% 27% 37% 51% 34% 43% 41% 34% 41% 36% 38% 39% 38% 37% 21% 42% 54% 34%

C D DE G * Q QR*

Don’t know 215 87 128 79 83 54 97 118 50 71 42 24 197 18 146 69 49 123 43 193

20% 16% 24% 23% 20% 17% 16% 24% 19% 25% 17% 16% 20% 19% 20% 21% 15% 22% 21% 18%

B G KM * Q *




21

Home


29th - 30th June 2016


Ipsos MORI

FINAL

Q9. And now that Britain has decided to leave the European Union which of the following statements comes closest to your view?



Total Remain Leave

Did not

vote

Conservati


Did not

vote

Unweighte

d total

(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K)

Unweighted base 1077 548 426 90 288 298 64 108 102 125 1077

Weighted base 1077 463 472 127 288 247 50 107 73 200 1077

Britain should continue to allow European Union

citizens to come and live and work in Britain in return

for access to the EU single market 452 310 87 52 113 137 31 12 45 77 513

42% 67% 18% 41% 39% 56% 63% 12% 62% 38% 48%

CD C* H EHJ EHJ* * EHJ* H*

Britain should stop European Union citizens coming

to live and work in Britain with new immigration rules

even if that restricted Britain’s access to the EU single

market 410 74 310 23 126 74 11 89 20 67 371

38% 16% 66% 18% 44% 30% 22% 83% 27% 33% 34%

BD * FGI * EFGIJ* * *

Don’t know 215 79 74 51 49 36 8 5 8 57 193

20% 17% 16% 41% 17% 15% 15% 5% 11% 28% 18%

BC* H H H* * * EFHI*



22

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