investor presentation july 2003

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Investor presentation July 2003 AWB Limited

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AWB Limited. Investor presentation July 2003. Overview. 2003 Half year results Corporate strategy Key issues Global supply & demand Outlook Presentation supplement - Financials - Background / introduction to AWB. 2003 Half-year results impacted by drought. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Investor presentation July 2003

Investor presentation

July 2003

AWB Limited

Page 2: Investor presentation July 2003

• 2003 Half year results

• Corporate strategy

• Key issues

• Global supply & demand

• Outlook

• Presentation supplement

- Financials

- Background / introduction to AWB

Overview

Page 3: Investor presentation July 2003

2003 Half-year results impacted by drought

• Net profit after tax of $29.9m, down 61%

• Total operating revenue of $1.03b, down 34%

• Earnings per share of 10.9 cents, down 61%

• Interim dividend of 14 cents per share

• Drought impacted wheat crop of 9.7 million tonnes

• Loan book peaked at $1.6b in December 2002

• Gross Pool Value at $1.3b

Page 4: Investor presentation July 2003

Business operations

$million

For the 6 months ended

31-Mar-03

For the 6 months ended

31-Mar-02Change

Pool Management Services 8.3 1.8 361%

Grain Acquisition & Trading 15.0 52.5 (71%)

Grain Technology (2.5) (0.9) 178%

Supply Chain & Other Investments 2.8 22.5 (88%)

Interest expense (18.6) (10.4) 79%

Finance & Risk Management 35.5 50.7 (30%)

Corporate 2.3 (7.0) 133%

Operating profit before tax 42.8 109.2 (61%)

Net profit after tax 29.9 77.1 (61%)

Page 5: Investor presentation July 2003

The global grain asset manager model defines long term growth as being both vertical and horizontal

Australian other grains

Australian other commodities

Australian wheat

International wheat

International other grains & commodities

Solid domestic

base enables domestic

value chain integration

and international

growth

Grower Relation-

ships

Customer Relation-

ships

Va

lue

ad

din

g p

rod

uc

ts a

nd

se

rvic

es

Rural Services Inputs

Seed & Grain Tech.

Shipping

Finance & Risk Mgmt.

Grain Acq. & Trading

Supply Chain

Milling & Processing

Pool Mgmt.

Page 6: Investor presentation July 2003

Key issues

• Iraq

• Strategic investment in Futuris

• Single Desk

Page 7: Investor presentation July 2003

AWB will continue supplying Iraq

• Wheat supply is continuing via the UN Oil-For-Food program under direction from the World Food Program

• The UN Oil-For-Food program has been extended to November 2003

• The UN and the US administration will continue to honour contracts previously awarded

• Australian wheat is widely used and recognised throughout the Middle East region as a clean quality white wheat

• Australia has been supplying Iraq with this wheat for more than 54 years. AWB expects to retain a strong market share in Iraq in the future

Page 8: Investor presentation July 2003

Strategic investment in Futuris

• AWB currently owns 14.2% in Futuris – we are the largest single shareholder

• The primary objective is to maximise the value of our investment and to pursue opportunities with Elders (namely, their distribution network)

• In order to increase stake above 15%, we have lodged an application to the Treasurer

• This is all about keeping our options open

Page 9: Investor presentation July 2003

Single Desk

• The 2004 WEA Review is limited to a review on AWBI’s performance as manager of the Single Desk. This will be overseen by an independent panel.

• It will not incorporate National Competition Policy (NCP) principles or the broader industry issues

• The Single Desk system legislation will be reviewed in 2010 under the NCP principles

Page 10: Investor presentation July 2003

Global export market share 2003-04 • Australian, Canadian and US wheat crops expected to rebound significantly

• 2003-04 total exports by major exporting countries forecast to increase to 81.5mt, an increase of 18.2mt from 2002-03

• Major wheat exporting countries continue to face competition from non-traditional exporters in 2003-04

All figures are forecasts. Source: USDA June 2003

USA26%

Australia17%

Canada15%

EU14%

Other18%

Argentina10%

Page 11: Investor presentation July 2003

Non-traditional exporters• Non-traditional exporters have increased their export program over the last two

years due to good production, large carryover stocks and increased investment in transport and infrastructure

• However, some of these exporters will produce significantly lower tonnage in 2003-04, reducing total exports by non-traditional exporters to only 11.7mt compared with 34.3mt in 2002-03

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

(mt)

Russia Ukraine Kazakhstan EasternEurope

India Pakistan

2001-02

2002-03(e)

2003-04(f)

(f) = forecast. (e) = estimate Source: USDA June 2003

Page 12: Investor presentation July 2003

Global supply and demand

• 2003-04 world wheat production is

forecast to fall for the 2nd

consecutive year by around 1%

due to limited production in non-

traditional exporters, particularly

Russia, Eastern Europe and the

Ukraine.

• Carryover stocks are at relatively

low levels, representing

approximately three months

supply.

• Production in major exporting

countries are forecast to increase

540

550

560

570

580

590

600

2000-01 2001-02 2002-03(e) 2003-04(f)

(mt)

0

50

100

150

200

250(mt)

World Production

World Consumption

World stocks (ending)

(e) = estimate (f) = forecast. Source: USDA June 2003

Page 13: Investor presentation July 2003

Outlook• AWB is forecasting full-year NPAT result in the range of $40-$45m

• AWB has forecast 2003-04 wheat production between 20-22mt

• Stable dividend payment for 2002-03 despite reduction in earnings. The Board intends to maintain a stable dividend policy

• Strategic investment in Futuris Limited

• Capital management and ring fencing

• Expand Finance and Risk Management products

• Further growth and diversification – aim to be less than 80% reliant on the wheat crop by end of 2004

Page 14: Investor presentation July 2003

• Financials

• Background / introductory information on AWB

Presentation Supplement

Page 15: Investor presentation July 2003

Statement of financial performance

$million

For the 6 months ended

31-Mar-03

For the 6 months ended

31-Mar-02 Change

Revenue from ordinary activities 1,030.3 1,559.7 (34%)

Cost of sales (883.0) (1,354.1) (35%)

Borrowing costs (42.7) (42.3) 1%

Depreciation & amortisation (12.2) (5.6) 118%

Other (52.4) (50.4) 4%

Share of net profit of associates 2.8 1.9 47%

Operating profit before tax 42.8 109.2 (61%)

Net profit 29.9 77.1 (61%)

Page 16: Investor presentation July 2003

Cash flow$million

For the 6 months ended

31-Mar-03

Operating profit before tax 42.8

Tax paid (39.2)

Depreciation & amortisation 12.2

Working capital changes 19.3

Increase in net cash & short term deposits (195.1)

Purchase of non-current assets (49.1)

Purchase of investments (121.7)

Dividends paid (30.2)

Net new equity 1.9

Decrease in loan book 250.1

Increase in debt (109.0)

Page 17: Investor presentation July 2003

Capital expenditure

$million

For the 6 months ended

31-Mar-03

For the 6 months ended

31-Mar-02 Change

Grain centres construction 40.7 8.6 373%

System Development &

Other Plant & Equipment

8.4 18.3 (54%)

Total 49.1 26.9 83%

Depreciation 12.2 5.6 118%

Page 18: Investor presentation July 2003

Statement of financial position$million As at 31-Mar-03 As at 31-Mar-02

Assets

Cash 61.9 11.7

Receivables 1,721.3 2,987.1

Investments 381.8 109.9

Inventories 310.8 169.3

Property, plant & equipment 206.9 126.2

Other 52.8 18.4

2,735.5 3,422.6

Liabilities

Payables 121.1 188.6

Interest bearing liabilities 1,746.6 2,355.8

Provisions 8.8 47.3

Other 43.1 41.5

1,919.6 2,633.2

Net Assets 815.9 789.4

Page 19: Investor presentation July 2003

AWB … an introduction Australia's major grain marketer & one of the world's largest wheat managers and marketers – over 60 years experience in marketing Australian wheat.

AWB markets wheat and other grains to more than 40 countries and is the world’s second largest wheat exporter with 16% global market share (based on 2001-02). The AWB National Pool is a significant contributor to the Australian economy, accounting for around 3% of the total value of Australia’s exports. AWB employs more than 570 people, with a network of 43 offices in Australia and around the world.

AWB is chosen by most Australian wheat and grain growers to market and finance their grain.

AWB operates and manages the AWB National Pool on behalf of AWB (International) Ltd via the Single Desk system.

Market Cap: $1,058.0 million ($3.86 15/7/03)

Shares on issue:

274.1 million

Shareholder’s equity:

$815.9 million(as at 31 Mar 2003)

ASX listing: 22 August 2001

Index inclusion:

S&P / ASX 100

Average daily volume:

344,000 shares

Credit ratings: A+ S&P long termA1 S&P short termP1 Moody’s short term

Page 20: Investor presentation July 2003

Evolution

2001 Listed on the ASX

1999 Privatised. (shareholders equity = $607m)

1998 Corporatised

1989 Domestic market deregulated and

Wheat Industry Fund established

1939 Australian Wheat Board established as a statutory authority

— Wheat Industry Fund converted to B class shares

— A class shares issued to wheat growers

— Government guarantee of AWB borrowings removed

2003 Shareholders equity = $815.9m (as at 31-Mar-2003). Of the $215.5m in dividends paid since Dec-2000, $196.3m has been paid to grower shareholders

Page 21: Investor presentation July 2003

AWB has a dual class ownership structure

A Class Shares (35,000) B Class Shares (274.1m)

• Can only be owned by current wheat growers

• One share per wheat grower with weighted voting dependant on tonnes delivered (currently 35,000 A class shareholders)

• Non-transferable

• Not entitled to receive any dividends

• Ability to control AWB through electing 7 of 12 Directors (a majority of the board)

• Shares listed on the ASX

• Can be owned by any investor, subject to 10% ownership limit (currently 60,448 B Class shareholders)

• Entitled to receive dividends

• Entitled to elect up to 4 of 12 Directors over time

• 15% of issued capital owned by Institutions

Page 22: Investor presentation July 2003

Corporate structure

AWB - Pool management services

- Grain acquisition and trading

- Supply chain and other investments

- Finance and risk management products

- Grain technology

Growers

Business services

Pool payments

Wheat deliveries

AWBI Export markets

Wheat

marketing

Monitors

performance

of AWBI

Wheat Export Authority

Page 23: Investor presentation July 2003

Risk allocation

National Pool Financing Principal trading / other

• Final net pool return

– final sale price

– foreign exchange

– Supply chain logistics

• Credit risk management

outcomes

• Chartering and Quality

Assurance costs

Grower risk AWB risk

• Underwriting risk if Pool return falls below guaranteed return (currently at 81.8)%

• Size of pool impacts revenue derived from products and services

• Margin on loans

• Underwriting fees

• Fees from basis pool contracts

• Principal positions in wheat and other grains

• Multi-varietal and fixed grade contracts

• Credit risk management

• Trade execution management

• Grain centres management

• Riskassist advisory services

• Incentive in pool management fee

Page 24: Investor presentation July 2003

For more information contact:

Delphine Cassidy

Head of Investor Relations

Ph: +61 3 9209 2404

Email: [email protected]

www.awb.com.au