investment theme for investing in india 2013

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    MsearchConverting data into knowledge

    23rdJanuary 2013

    19thFoundation Day

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    Details Page No

    Overview on Indian Capital Markets 3

    Investment Theme for Investing in India 5

    Market Outlook 2013E-15E 6

    Why India stands favorite for global investors? 9-17

    Msearch Equity Portfolio Performance October 2012 & January 2012 18-19

    Stocks Idea 20

    SpiceJet Ltd 21

    Prozone CSC Ltd 22

    Omkar Speciality Chemicals Ltd 23

    OnMobile Global Ltd 24

    Innoventive Industries Ltd 25

    Heritage Foods (India) Ltd 26

    MCX India Ltd 27

    Tech Mahindra Ltd 28

    Axis Bank Ltd , Bata India Ltd , Sterlite Industries India ltd, Maruti Suzuki India Ltd, IGL Ltd, AdityaBirla Nuvo Ltd.

    29-34

    Index

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    Overview on Indian Capital Market

    The Indian equity market has become the third biggest after China and Hong Kong in the Asian region.

    Market estimates states India is expected to be more than US$ 5 trillion economy by 2020.

    World Bank expects that by 2015, the growth rate of China would be 7.9% and that of India 7%. 2013-15, it is the emergingmarkets like India, China and Brazil that would show significant signs of recovery.

    Foreign investors continued to be bullish on Indian equities, invested around Rs 128360 Cr (2012) on account of the reforminitiatives taken by the government that have strengthened chances of better economic growth and improved market sentiment.This was the second highest net inflow by FIIs in a single calendar year since their entry into Indian capital markets in 1992. In2010, FIIs had made net investment of Rs 1,33,266 crore the biggest in a calendar year so far. FIIs continued with the positive

    bias towards Indian equities as the lack of other investment options make the country an attractive destination. India is stillconsidered as a better market compared to other markets in Asia or emerging markets.

    FII Inflow

    Rs in Cr

    -60,000

    -10,000

    40,000

    90,000

    140,000

    2000

    2001

    2002

    2003

    2004

    2005

    2006

    2007

    2008

    2009

    2010

    2011

    2012

    2013E

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    2012 Stock Market return in Major Emerging Markets

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    Theme for Investing in India

    Our strategy is to focus on domestic themes.

    Government Economic Reform and Consumption are the themes where wehave been bullish on. Recent Economic reforms show the government isdetermined to mend the economy and regain the confidence of foreigninvestors.

    Indian Government is serious about fiscal consolidation and encouraginginvestment through reforms like opening up the retail and airlines sector toforeign investment, controlling fiscal deficit through disinvestment of Govtstakes, etc. The measure is aimed to rein in a ballooning fiscal deficit andavoid a credit rating downgrade to junk.

    After an almost 21% rise so far this year, driven by a rush of foreigninstitutional inflows after the governments policy push, we are seeking moresuch pro-business measures, including an increase in the foreign direct

    investment limit in the insurance sector, which will keep Indian marketattractive.

    We expect Indian Equity Markets to be on Upbeat on Optimism as Govt.continues Reforms Agenda. We want to focus on sectors and stocks thatexhibit strong growth and provide visibility to earnings.

    Reforming Indian Growth Story

    Action Plan for 2012-2014E

    FDI in Retail Sector.

    FDI in Aviation.

    FDI in Insurance.Decontrolling Diesel pricing

    Disinvestment Govt Stakes

    New Banking licences & GST

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    Equity Market Outlook 2013E-15E

    Indian macros economics are expected to improve going forward on the back of reforming actions done bygovernment and continuous focusing on improving confidence of foreign investors. Thanks to attractive valuations ofIndian markets when compared emerging economies such as China, Russia and Brazil. We still believe India isattractive market with the Index is currently trading at a discount to its peak valuations of J anuary 2008. The indextrades at 16.8 times its 12-month trailing P/E far below the 26 times P/E of J anuary 2008.

    We remain in a structural bull market so any dip would only enhance returns & provide an opportunity to Investors to

    participate in raising equity markets. We have seen FIIs are raising their holdings in three out of the four BSE100companies in last 2-3 quarters period. Hence we see a strong domestic demand of Equities at 18K to 19K levels. Thestrong growth in corporate earnings supported by government reforming steps will lead the markets to reach newhighs. On the flip side adverse movements in currency and global trade can be dampen the sentiments. On Overallbasis, we expect the markets to be in the range of 19000 to 22500 levels for the year 2012-2013E.

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    Reforms AnnouncedAnnounced Reforms Key Features

    Fuel Price HikeDiesel price raised by Rs 5/ltr, Subsidised LPG cylinders capped at 6/household

    FDI Multi-Brand Retail 51% FDI permitted subject to State approval

    FDI Single- Brand Retail FDI beyond 51% requires 30% sourcing locally from MSMEs, cottageindustries etc.

    Broadcasting Services 74% FDI allowed in teleports, mobile tv and sky broadcasting services

    FDI Insurance49% FDI allowed, public sector insurance cos can get listed with govt stake atleast 51%.

    Pension 49% FDI, has one term 'return scheme' action, gives statutory power to regulatory authority

    Power Exchanges 49% FDI allowed

    Civil Aviation 49% FDI in scheduled and non scheduled air transport services

    Divestment in PSUs Divestment proceeds of approximately Rs 150 bn

    Competition Bill All sectors under the purview of competition law

    SEB loan restructuring US$38bn of loans restructured/converted to state debt

    Lowering With-holding Tax With-holding tax lowered from 20% to 5%; Would reduce all in cost by ~75bps

    Companies Bill (Amendment) Ensures more transparent corporate governance

    Forward Contract Regulation Act Facilitate entry of institutional investors, introduce commodityoptions & derivatives trading

    Urea Price Hike Price raised by Rs. 50pmt

    Land Acquisition Bill For commercial land acquisition, and Rehabilitation

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    Pending ReformsPending Reforms Key Features

    GST Landmark Change - for efficiency, GDP and tax collections

    Direct Taxes Code (DTC) A simplified Tax platform

    2G Spectrum Auction To be completed by J anuary 2013, need to move ahead of scam

    Coal Block Controversy Ongoing, but with high political risks

    Environmental approvals Big bottleneck, Govt seems aggressively working on it

    Shome Committee Report

    Looks into foreign and domestic investor concerns with GAAR and non-resident taxpayers

    issues

    Food Subsidy Bill recent recommendations made to cut the subsidy bill

    Govt. Surplus Land Sale to ease fiscal crunch by repaying loans and creating capital assets

    Govt. UTI sale in select Stocks Govt. has started talks to sell shares in Axis Bank, ITC and L&T (total holding ~Rs 440bn)

    Govt Steps on the Pedal Re-igniting interest with the first phase of reforms last month (fuel prices, FDI anddivestments), the government has fuelled hopes that this is not a false dawn. Despite the political cost, the

    government has stepped up the momentum and announced several measures (FDI in insurance, pension, SEBrestructuring, raising urea prices, and reducing with-holding tax rates).

    More Steps: With the announced reforming measures Indian market has reacted positive and led to a revival ininvestor sentiment, while the pedal is still rolling, As market expects more reforming actions as mentioned above.

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    Why India stands favorite for global investors?

    India TheNext Frontier !!!

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    Why India stands favorite for global investors?

    Macroeconomic Environment

    Sources: 1 Reserve Bank of India data (as on M arch 2012) 2 IMF WEO Database April 2012 ** For FY 2010-11 + forcalendar year 2006 ++ for calendar year 2011 # As on 31 March 2006 ## As on 30 March 2012

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    Why India stands favorite for global investors?

    YOUNG NATION: There are 570 million people in India under the age of 25 years.

    WORLDS LARGEST DEMOCRACY: Over 700 million registered voters more than the combined population ofthe European Union and the US.

    LARGE WORKFORCE: India will be the largest contributor to the global labour force in the coming decades,and will add about 110 million workers by 2020.

    INDUSTRIAL HUB OF THE FUTURE: It is estimated that India will have 25 per cent of the worlds work force bythe year 2025

    DYNAMIC GROWTH ENGINE: Indias GDP is expected to continue growing at a healthy rate in the future and isestimated To contribute apporx 12% of the worlds economic growth by 2020.

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    Why India stands favorite for global investors?

    Increasing share in world GDP

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    Why India stands favorite for global investors?

    Rising proportion of working-age population

    We believe substantial rise in the working age population or a reduction in dependency ratio augurs well forgrowth momentum of the Indian economy going forward, as it will result in ample supply of labour for

    productive purposes and in turn lead to rising income levels.

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    Why India stands favorite for global investors?

    Rising Share of services sector in Indias GDP

    We expect substantial growth in the services component of GDP during the current decade. Growth inservices sector is expected to growth from 53 % in FY05 to 62% in FY20, largely driven by robust growth inhotels, transport, communication and financial services.

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    Why India stands favorite for global investors?

    Rising proportion of Middle Class Population

    We believe substantial rise in the middle class population augurs well for growth momentum of the Indianeconomy going forward, as it will result in ample consumptions levels and in turn lead to rising GDP growth.

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    Why India stands favorite for global investors?

    Rise in consumption pattern leads growth

    We expect consumption will continue to be the major contributor to GDP during the current decade, The shareof spending in basic goods (food, beverages & tobacco and clothing & foot wear) in private final consumptionexpenditure is expected to decline substantially to 28.0% in FY20, versus 40.3% in FY10. On the other hand,share of discretionary spending (rent, fuel & power, furniture, medical care, transport & communication,recreation & education) is projected to increase considerably.

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    Hence FII increased there holding in last on year

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    Msearch Equity Portfolio PerformanceJanuary 2012 to January 2013

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    Msearch Equity Portfolio Performance

    January 2012 to January 2013

    Source: www.mehtagroup.in/Equity Model Portfolio,

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    Stock Ideas 2012-13

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    SpiceJet Ltd

    Recommendation: Buy Market Cap Rs: 2290 Cr

    About the Company

    SpiceJet is a leading low-cost airline headquartered in Chennai, India owned by KalanithiMaran. By 2012, it is the third largest Indian Airline in terms of market share ahead of AirIndia, Kingfisher Airlines and GoAir. The Company has international operations in countriessuch, as Kathmandu, Colombo and Dubai. During the fiscal year ended March 2012, theCompany carried 10.89 mn passengers, in operations included 47 aircraft covering 39destinations and operating 281 flights per day.

    Investment Rationale

    Preferred Airline for FDI reforms as and when it happens, because of its operationalefficiency, Low cost business model works out to yield more on domestic route and healthyexpansion plans to explore international route.

    A strong recovery in yield in the domestic sector and rationalization of its international routeshould enable SpiceJ et post substantially lower losses in FY13 and strong profits in FY14.

    Financial Overview (Rs Cr) FY2011 FY2012 Dec 2012

    Net Sales 2938 3998 1602

    EBIDTA 146 -518 1153

    PAT 101 -606 102

    EPS 3 - 2.11

    Stock Details Rs in Cr

    Dividend Yield -

    Networth -157

    Equity Capital 484

    FV 10

    Book Value -

    52 Week H/L 50.9/20

    Cmp Rs: 47

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    Prozone CSC Ltd

    Recommendation: Buy Market Cap Rs: 532 CrAbout the Company

    Prozone CSC (PZ) is a real estate developer jointly promoted by the Chaturvedi Family(Provogue fame) and UK's most valuable retail space owner - Capital Shopping Centres(CSC). This partnership was formed in 2007 under the listed company, Provogue Ltd, whichwas spinoff to a new listed entity in Sep'12. The India promoters hold 35.1stake in thecompany while CSC holds 32.4% stake.

    Investment RationaleA unique proposition in real estate: Blend of strong B/s, annuity income generatingasset, tier-2 cities land bank and a experienced international partner makes Prozone a nicheplayer with virtually a debt free balance sheet.

    Fully paid land bank of 17.8msf (10.1msf (PZ share) across six tier-2 cities in India, PZplans to develop 10msf (6msf PZ share) over next 5 years including 1.3msf of retail mall

    Well planed project pipeline for next 3 years which would generate healthy cash flow.

    CSCs partnership adds a lot of credibility to the companys bandwidth and governedbusiness approach Capital Store Centers (CSC) is one of the UKs most valuable retailasset owners. The company operates 10 of the 25 large retail assets in UK and is valued at ~3bn pounds.

    Stock Details Rs in Cr

    Dividend Yield -

    Networth 614

    Equity Capital 31

    FV 2

    PE (x) -

    Book Value 26

    52 Week H/L 44.6/21

    Cmp Rs: 35

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    Omkar Speciality Chemicals Ltd

    Recommendation: Buy Market Cap Rs: 283 Cr

    About the Company

    Omkar Speciality Chemicals Ltd, is one of the leading manufacturers of specialitychemicals, such as selenium derivatives, iodine derivatives, molybdenum derivatives, cobaltbismuth derivatives and pharma intermediates. OSCL has diversified business interests witha major presence in pharma, chemical, glass & ceramics, cosmetics and pigment industries.

    Today, with its multiplicity of product range, OSCL has a strong export footing across variousdeveloping countries, comprising Europe, Asia, North America, South America and Australia.

    Investment RationaleExpansion inline with expectation: Increasing capacity from 1700 mtpa in FY12 and plansto further increase to 6250 mtpa by FY14 through Brownfield expansion. In addition, thecompany plans to ramp up the capacity at the sites of Urdhwa Chemicals Private Ltd andLasa Labs.Exports revenue to boost in FY13 earnings from new products: Omkar Speciality hasstarted focusing more on export oriented segment and planed to launch about 5-6 newmolecules during FY12-13.

    Financial Overview (Rs Cr) FY2012 HF2012 2QFY2012 FY2013E

    Net Sales 167 102 51 227

    EBIDTA 36 19 10 41

    PAT 16 11 6 26

    EPS 8 5 3 13

    Stock Details Rs in Cr

    Dividend Yield 1%

    Networth 105

    Equity Capital 20

    FV 10

    PE (x) 10

    Book Value 59

    52 Week H/L 150/50

    Recommendation since January 2012 at the price of Rs 55

    Cmp Rs: 144

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    OnMobile Global Ltd

    Recommendation: Buy Market Cap Rs: 492 Cr

    About the Company

    OnMobile Global Ltdis a Bangalore based data aggregator and a technology enabler in themobile VAS supply chain. With a decade of successful operations, OMGL had become themarket leader in the domestic telecom VAS market. OMGL has one of the largest breadths ofproduct lines in India and has 45 products and services covering both 2G and 3Gtechnologies. It has presence in 53 countries and has got over 90 customers from mobileoperators, media houses, m-commerce (IRCTC, Make my trip, PVR cinemas), and hand setmanufacturers such as Nokia, HTC, Motorola and Sony.

    Investment Rationale

    VAS value chain business model: OMGL it is the number one RBT service provider in theworld. We believe interactive voice response system and speech recognition technology thatOMGL is providing has good scope in utility VAS services. OMGL has already got all the fourlarge operators in India to sign up for its video technology and expects video services to startshowing positive results in the next 1-2years period.

    Financial Overview (Rs Cr) FY2012 HF2012 2QFY2012

    Net Sales 638 365 180

    EBIDTA 208 71 35

    PAT 83 16 6

    EPS 7 1 1

    Stock Details Rs in Cr

    Dividend Yield 3%

    Networth 885

    Equity Capital 114

    FV 10

    PE (x) 18

    Book Value 78

    52 Week H/L 84/28

    Cmp Rs: 43

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    Innoventive Industries Ltd

    Recommendation: Buy Market Cap Rs: 823 Cr

    About the Company

    Innovative Industries Ltd, is a leading multiproduct engineering company engaged in themanufacturing and sale of precision steel tubes, tubular components, auto components,machined components and other steel products, which find application in diverse industrialsectors, such as transportation, oil and gas, power, farm equipments and generalengineering.

    Investment Rationale

    Innovative has turn out to be one of the emerging leaders in the precision tube industry. Itsplan to shift focus to higher margin segments such as Tubes and OCTG would give it anedge over its peers and the recent acquisition helped to reach new heights in global markets.

    IIL has received a patent for its Cold Pilgering technology for a period of 20 years w.e.f April24, 2009, also IIL has filed for two more new patents. Pilgering process saves cost of powerby 80% whereas wastage cost by 7% which would make IIL competitive in pricing & improveits overall profitability.

    Financial Overview (Rs Cr) FY2012 HF2012 2QFY2012 FY2013E

    Net Sales 770 315 180 920

    EBIDTA 219 83 46 235

    PAT 89 31 19 95

    EPS 13 5 3 15

    Stock Details Rs in Cr

    Dividend Yield 2%

    Networth 450

    Equity Capital 60

    FV 10

    PE (x) 10

    Book Value 75

    52 Week H/L 147/84

    Cmp Rs:138

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    Heritage Foods (India) Ltd

    Recommendation: Buy Market Cap Rs: 606 Cr

    About the Company:

    Heritage Foods (India) Ltd (commonly known as Heritage) is one of the largest privatesector dairy enterprises in Southern India. It is engaged in segments: Dairy, Retail, Agri,Bakery, HFRL, SPV and Heritage Conpro Limited. Presently Heritages milk products havemarket presence in Andhra Pradesh, Karnataka, Kerala, Tamil Nadu and Maharastra and itsretail stores across Bangalore, Chennai and Hyderabad.

    Investment Rationale

    One stop shop for daily needs through its various verticals. This integrated business modelwhich includes farming, processing ,retailing ,baking and diary - Heritage is a company withno comparable listed players.

    Market leader in Andhra Pradesh, with nearly 14% market share, Heritage Foods is wellplaced to reap benefits of the secular growth in the under-penetrated milk business, which isgrowing at a CAGR of 17.3% and commanding a strong brand name in south Indian market.

    Financial Overview (Rs Cr) FY2012 HF2012 3QFY2012 FY2013E

    Net Sales 1393 816 387 1650

    EBIDTA 57 47 26.8 98

    PAT 9 23 12.16 52

    EPS 8 20 12.5 43

    Stock Details Rs in Cr

    Dividend Yield 0.45%

    Networth 90

    Equity Capital 12

    FV 10

    PE (x) 9

    Book Value 100

    52 Week H/L 569/133

    Cmp Rs: 526

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    MCX India Ltd

    Recommendation: Buy Market Cap Rs: 7154Cr

    About the Company

    Multi Commodity Exchange of India Ltd, is a market leader in Indias burgeoningcommodity derivatives market. Its journey of becoming a dominant commodity exchange with86% market share has been fascinating. Interestingly, the next largest player has only 10%market share. It is the third largest globally, second-largest in Gold, largest in Silver, second-largest in Natural Gas, and third-largest in crude oil.Investment Rationale

    Ready to flag off new equity segment: Newly recognized equity trading platform, MCX-Stock Exchange (MCX-SX), is set to kick start trading in around 1,000 companies shares onNovember / December 2012 with around 700 members registered as of now.

    Leadership position: MCX has held on to its market leadership position, with a share of 82-87% over FY09-12. Supply of technology platform by its parent, Financial Technologies, oneof the leading developers of exchange related software and technology, gives MCX acompetitive edge that is difficult to replicate.

    Financial Overview (Rs Cr) FY2012 HF2012 2QFY2012 FY2013E

    Net Sales 526 259 136 580

    EBIDTA 438 163 87 400

    PAT 287 146 81 300

    EPS 56 29 16 59

    Stock Details Rs in Cr

    Dividend Yield 2%

    Networth 1001

    Equity Capital 51

    FV 10

    PE (x) 24

    Book Value 196

    52 Week H/L 1617/838

    Cmp Rs: 1402

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    Tech Mahindra Ltd

    Recommendation: Buy Market Cap Rs: 12357 Cr

    About the Company

    Tech Mahindra is part of the USD 15.4 billion Mahindra Group and is one of the leadingsystem integrator and business transformation consulting providers with focus on telecomindustry. Its capabilities spread across a broad spectrum, including Business SupportSystems (BSS), Operations Support Systems (OSS), Network Design & Engineering, NextGeneration Networks, Mobility Solutions, and Security consulting& testing

    Investment Rationale:

    Largest IT solution provider to telecom industry: With its global footprint and presence inmore than 31 countries, Tech Mahindra is the largest IT solution provider to globaltelecommunication companies. As per the latest Voice & Data magazines Annual Survey, itleads Indian telecom software services market in FY 12 with 20.9 % market share.

    Acquisition like Satyam & Comviva will provide business synergies, diversification &scalability. With this Tech Mahindra stands to become leading telecom support serviceprovider in India.

    Financial Overview (Rs Cr) FY2012 HF2012 2QFY2012

    Net Sales 5490 3175 1631

    EBIDTA 1018 566 265

    PAT 542 366 178

    EPS 86 29 23

    Stock Details Rs in Cr

    Dividend Yield 0.43%

    Networth 4003

    Equity Capital 128

    FV 10

    PE (x) 10

    Book Value 371

    52 Week H/L 1043/579

    Cmp Rs: 967

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    Axis Bank Ltd

    Recommendation: Buy Market Cap Rs: 59353 Cr

    About the Company

    Axis Bank Ltd is an India-based leading private bank is operating in all the segments likeRetail, Treasury, Foreign exchange, corporate advisory services, placements andsyndication, project appraisals, capital market related services and other banking business. In

    J une 2012, HSBC Holdings PLCs indirect wholly owned subsidiary, HSBC Iris Investments(Mauritius) Ltd, sold its 4.73% interest in the Company.

    Investment Rationale:

    Axis Bank, with its large deposit base and fee income, may be among the private banks bestplaced to thrive in a rising interest rate scenario.

    Axis Bank has increased its CASA market share multi-fold over the past nine years (4.6% asof FY2012) on the back of robust branch and ATM expansion. It has opened 400 branches in2011 & 230 in 2012. Expect an annual addition of 250+branches would lead to a 30-50bpincrement in CASA market share every year.

    Financial Overview (Rs Cr) FY2012 HY2012 Q3FY2012

    Interest Earned 21995 13170 6964

    EBIDTA 7413 4142 2361

    PAT 4219 2277 1347

    EPS 102 55 31.56

    Stock Details Rs in Cr

    Dividend Yield 1%

    Networth 22682

    Equity Capital 427

    FV 10

    PE (x) 11

    Book Value 532

    52 Week H/L 1429/922

    19

    12 36

    33

    Promoter FII DII Others

    Cmp Rs: 1390

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    Bata India Ltd

    Recommendation: Buy Market Cap Rs: 5176 Cr

    About the Company

    Bata India is the largest retailer and leading manufacturer of footwear in India and is a part ofthe Bata Shoe Organization. Today, Bata India has established itself as Indias largestfootwear retailer. Its retail network of over 1200 stores gives it a reach / coverage that noother footwear company can match. The stores are present in good locations and can befound in all the metros, mini-metros and towns.The Company also operates a large non retaildistribution network through its urban wholesale division and caters to millions of customersthrough over 30,000 dealers.

    Investment Rationale:

    Strong Brand recall: Bata being among the oldest shoe company in the country has astrong brand recall and is the most trusted name in the branded footwear segment.

    Real estate Value: Developing 260 acre land in Batanagar in J V with Calcutta Metropolitanwhich is expected to be completed by 2013 and would further unlock value of Bata India.

    Financial Overview (Rs Cr) FY2012 HF2012 2QFY2012 FY2013E

    Net Sales 1549 915 429 1830

    EBIDTA 404 148 56 296

    PAT 259 89 32 180

    EPS 40 14 5 28

    Stock Details Rs in Cr

    Dividend Yield 1%

    Networth 543

    Equity Capital 64

    FV 10

    PE (x) 43

    Book Value 84

    52 Week H/L 989/594

    Cmp Rs: 805

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    Sterlite Industries India ltd

    Recommendation: Buy Market Cap Rs: 38194 Cr Cmp Rs: 113About the Company

    Sterlite Industries India Ltd. is a subsidiary of Vedanta Resources plc, a diversified andintegrated metals and mining group. It India's largest non-ferrous metals and mining companyand are one of the fastest growing private sector companies. Main business is into Aluminum,Copper, Zinc & Lead and Commercial Energy.

    Investment Rationale:

    Parent restructuring exercise to trigger:The UK-based Vedanta Resources Plc will mergeits Indian firms Sesa Goa and Sterlite Industries into a single entity Sesa Sterlite Underthe merger, three Sesa Goa shares will be issued for five Sterlite shares. Post merger, thecombined entity Sesa Sterlite would offer investors best in class resource diversification withtop quality assets in zinc and oil.

    Additional Value to be added through Cairn India: Cairn India would become subsidiary ofSesa Sterlite with effective stake of 58.9%.

    Financial Overview (Rs Cr) FY2012 HF2012 2QFY2012

    Net Sales 41179 21751 11103EBIDTA 13027 4835 2461

    PAT 7761 4328 2383

    EPS 14 9 5

    Stock Details Rs in Cr

    Dividend Yield 2%

    Networth 45902

    Equity Capital 336

    FV 1

    PE (x) 5

    Book Value 145

    52 Week H/L 138/88

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    Maruti Suzuki India Ltd

    Recommendation: Buy Market Cap Rs: 45705 Cr Cmp Rs: 1582

    About the Company

    Maruti Suzuki India Ltdis the largest car manufacturing company of India, which has beenruling the Indian auto market for more than two decades. A subsidiary of J apanese autogiant, Suzuki Motor Corp, the company has two manufacturing facilities in India with acapacity to produce over a 1.2 million vehicles annually. MSIL is also coming up with a newmanufacturing facility in Gujarat by 2015. Offering 15 brands in over 150 variants, thecompany intends to expand its manufacturing capacity to 1.75 million by 2013.

    Investment Rationale:

    Increased focus on diesel version to lead future growth: India is a price sensitive marketand the sudden upturn in the prices of petrol has soared up the sales volume of dieselvariants small cars in the country. In the first half of the current fiscal, the auto makers of thecountry has seen the diesel to petrol ratio go up from 60:40 to 85:15.

    New launches to rise market share: New Maruti Alto800, Entiga.

    Financial Overview (Rs Cr) FY2012 HF2012 2QFY2012 FY2013E

    Net Sales 36090 19084 8305 40150EBIDTA 3369 1339 509 3150

    PAT 1634 651 227 1560

    EPS 58 23 8 53

    Stock Details Rs in Cr

    Dividend Yield 1%

    Networth 15675

    Equity Capital 145

    FV 5

    PE (x) 46

    Book Value 543

    52 Week H/L 1599/1052

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    IGL Ltd

    Recommendation: Buy Market Cap Rs: 3732 Cr Cmp Rs: 266

    About the Company

    Indraprastha Gas Ltd is one of India's leading natural gas distribution companies.Established in 1998, the company operates primarily in the National Capital Region (NCR) ofNew Delhi. IGL supplied piped natural gas to over 250,000 homes and hundreds ofcommercial and industrial establishments in the NCR. It also operated 278 CNG fillingstations for natural gas vehicles. IGL sources gas via the Hazira-Vijaipur-J agdishpur (HVJ )pipeline of GAIL.

    Investment Rationale:

    Robust business model, dominant position in the market and a rapid pace ofexpansion gives IGL an edge in the market.

    CNG run vehicles growing at CAGR of 32 % in last 5 years - Buses, Autos, RTV, andCars/Taxi are main users of CNG. Their number has grown at CAGR of 32 % in the last 5years. IGL being the sole CNG supplier in Delhi and NCR is benefiting from this demand.

    Financial Overview (Rs Cr) FY2012 HF2012 2QFY2012 FY2013E

    Net Sales 2519 1616 855 3200EBIDTA 646 386 207 772

    PAT 306 184 99 368

    EPS 22 13 7 26

    Stock Details Rs in Cr

    Dividend Yield 2%

    Networth 1229

    Equity Capital 140

    FV 10

    PE (x) 9

    Book Value 101

    52 Week H/L 391/170

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    Aditya Birla Nuvo Ltd

    Recommendation: Buy Market Cap Rs: 13454 Cr Cmp Rs: 1185About the Company

    Aditya Birla Nuvo Ltd, a part of Aditya Birla Group is a diversified business conglomeratewith business interest in insurance, mutual funds, other financial services, telecom, BPO, ITservices, garments, carbon black, fertilisers, textiles and insulators.

    Investment Rationale:

    1)Holds 25.31% stake in Idea Cellular, whichranks among the top 10 cellular operators in

    the world and 3rd largest cellular operator inIndia.

    2)Owns 50% of Birla Sun Life AssetManagement Company (BSAMC). BSAMC isthe 4th largest asset-management company inIndia.

    Financial Overview (Rs Cr) FY2012 HF2012 2QFY2012

    Net Sales 21840 11314 5992

    EBIDTA 3290 1758 913

    PAT 1010 649 342

    EPS 78 57 27

    Stock Details Rs in Cr

    Dividend Yield 1%

    Networth 7496

    Equity Capital 114

    FV 10

    PE (x) 9

    Book Value 715

    52 Week H/L 1190/726

    3) Madura Garments, a fashion & lifestyledivision, is the largest premium brandedapparel player in India with 1,129exclusive brand outlets spanning across

    1.6 million sq ft. Its power brands areLouis Philippe, Van Heusen, Allen Solly &Peter England.

    4) Manufacturing vertical includes severalbusinesses such as Carbon Black (2ndlargest manufacturer in India.

    18

    18

    13 51

    Promoter FII DII Others

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    Teambehind theperformance

    CA Rakeshh Mehta (Chairman) CA Prasant Bhansaali (Director) Mr. Prashanth Tapse (AVP Research) Mr. Pankaj Sharma (Sr.Research Analyst)

    Mr. Vinay Tiwari (Research Analyst) Mr. Ritesh Lohiya (Manager IB)

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    Thank You !

    Corporate Office: Mehta Group612, Arun Chambers, Tardeo Road, Mumbai 400034

    Tel: +91 22 40070100, Fax: +91 22 40070102

    Email: [email protected]: www.mehtagroup.in

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