intelligent sensors: 2010 - 2020

Intelligent Sensors 2010 - 2020!

I <3 sensors

Jonas Lamis - SciVestor

1,000,000,000,000

1,000,000

18,446,744,073,709,551,615

The Law of Accelerating Returns

Courtesy Ray Kurzweil and Kurzweil Technologies

B4 + C

http://www.flickr.com/photos/maxkiesler/2240153169/

Why Create a Driverless Car?

SENSING THO

UG

HT

Brain sensors

Ray and Terry

http://www.flickr.com/photos/doctorow/2403369880/

http://www.flickr.com/photos/wipeout/179788993/

23 and Me

http://www.flickr.com/photos/takomabibelot/417896166/

http://www.flickr.com/photos/hackshaven/2228724569/

SMART DU

ST

Business Logic

Basic Awareness

Sensory Enablement

http://www.flickr.com/photos/liberato/171610084/

Answerstheques,on:

WhereamI?Answerstheques,on:

What’saroundme?

Answerstheques,ons:

AmIbehavingcorrectly?

AmIdoinganythingdangerous?

Makesthestatements:

Dothisandthat.

Basic Awareness

Hig

h Pe

rform

ance

M

obile

Sen

sing

Execution

Goal Logic

Higher‐LevelDomainKnowledgeandApplica,on‐specificopera,onsimplementedhere

Complexbusinessrules

Interac>ngwithsociety

100%ofanapplica,ondeveloper’s,meshouldbespenthere

Basic Awareness

Hig

h Pe

rform

ance

M

obile

Sen

sing

Execution

Goal Logic

Basic Awareness

Hig

h Pe

rform

ance

M

obile

Sen

sing

Execution

Goal Logic

2004 DGC Landscape of Technologies

5–10%ofteamcapacitywasspentoncollec,ngGPSdata.

Matureandwell‐establishedhighperformanceGPSmarketenableddeveloperstofocusonhigher‐levelfunc,onofGPSwaypointtraversal.

PrevalentTechnologies:

 NAVCOM

 Arrow

 Trimble

30‐60%ofteamcapacitywasspentenablingmobilesensingtechnologies.


 SICK

 BOSCH

 CustomVisionSolu,ons

10–30%ofteamcapacityspentwri,ngthesame“commodity”naviga,onalalgorithmsasotherteamssuchas:

 PIDcontrollers

 KalmanFilters

 ObstacleAvoidance

In2004,DGCgoalsweresimple:

LettheNaviga>onsystemtakethecartotheend.

Higherlevelfunc,onswereirrelevantbecausebasicsensingandnaviga,ontechnologiesneededtobedeveloped.

10–20%ofteamcapacitywasspentintegra,ngactuators.

Basic Awareness

Hig

h Pe

rform

ance

M

obile

Sen

sing

Execution

Goal Logic

2005 DGC Landscape of Technologies




 NAVCOM

 Arrow

 Trimble



 SICK

 BOSCH

 CustomVisionSolu,ons


 PIDcontrollers

 KalmanFilters


In2005,DGCgoalsweres,llsimple:

LettheNaviga>onsystemtakethecartotheend.

The2005DGCwaseffec,velytheconclusionofthe2004DGC. 10–20%ofteamcapacitywas

spentintegra,ngactuators.¹

¹ Actuator integration will continue to be studied. It has sparked a market for turnkey actuator systems for vehicles. It is outside the scope of this presentation.

Basic Awareness

Hig

h Pe

rform

ance

M

obile

Sen

sing

Execution

Goal Logic

2007 DUC Landscape of Technologies




 NAVCOM

 Arrow

 Trimble


Allowedmorecapacitytobespentonhigherlevelfunc,ons.

PrevalentEnablingTechnologies:

 Velodyne

 ibeo

10–20%ofteamcapacitywasspentintegra,ngactuators.¹

¹ Actuator integration will continue to be studied. It has sparked a market for turnkey actuator systems for vehicles. It is outside the scope of this presentation.


 PIDcontrollers

 KalmanFilters


40–70%ofteamcapacitywasspentoncodifyingdomainknowledgeofrulesoftheroad:

Respectrulesoffour‐wayintersec>ons.

Mergesafelywithmovingtraffic.

Safelypassintooncomingtraffic.

Badness Goodness

Utopia

Biggest.bubble.ever

Market beats expectations Global Meltdown

Nuke York

End of Humanity

Sameness

Image (cc) http://www.flickr.com/photos/maxkiesler/2240153169/

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I <3 those guys

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intelligent sensors: 2010 - 2020

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