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IAC-09-D2.8.2 ARES V: SHIFTING THE PAYLOAD DESIGN PARADIGM Phil Sumrall, Planning Manager, Ares Projects Steve Creech, Ares V Integration Manager, Ares Projects NASA Marshall Space Flight Center, AL Charles E. Cockrell, Jr. Associate Director, Systems Engineering Directorate NASA Langley Research Center, VA ABSTRACT NASA is designing the Ares V heavy-lift cargo launch vehicle to send more crew and cargo to more places on the lunar surface than the 1960s-era Saturn V and to provide ongoing support for a permanent lunar outpost. This uncrewed cargo vehicle is designed to operate together with the Ares I crew vehicle (Figure 1). In addition to this role, however, its unmatched mass and volume capability represent a national asset for exploration, science, and commerce. The Ares V also enables or significantly enhances a large class of space missions not thought possible by scientists and engineers since the Saturn V program ended over 30 years ago. Compared to current systems, it will offer approximately five times the mass and volume to most orbits and locations. This should allow prospective mission planners to build robust payloads with margins that are three to five times the industry norm. The space inside the planned payload shroud has enough usable volume to launch the volumetric equivalent of approximately 10 Apollo Lunar Modules or approximately five equivalent Hubble Space Telescopes. This mass and volume capability to low-Earth orbit (LEO) enables a host of new scientific and observation platforms, such as telescopes, satellites, planetary and solar missions, as well as being able to provide the lift for future large in-space infrastructure missions, such as space based solar power and mining, Earth asteroid defense, propellant depots, etc. In addition, payload designers may also have the option of simplifying their designs or employing Ares V’s payload as “dumb mass” to reduce technical and operational risk. The Ares V team is engaging the potential payload community now, two to three years before System Requirements Review (SRR), in order to better understand the additional requirements from the payload community that could be accommodated in the Ares V design in its conceptual phase. This paper will discuss the Ares V reference mission and capability, as well as its potential to perform other missions in the future. Figure 1: The Ares V cargo launch vehicle, shown during ascent, will provide the heavy lift capability to carry exploration beyond low Earth orbit. (NASA artist’s concept) International Astronautical Federation https://ntrs.nasa.gov/search.jsp?R=20090043018 2018-06-16T16:13:46+00:00Z

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IAC-09-D2.8.2

ARES V: SHIFTING THE PAYLOAD DESIGN PARADIGM

Phil Sumrall, Planning Manager, Ares ProjectsSteve Creech, Ares V Integration Manager, Ares Projects

NASA Marshall Space Flight Center, AL

Charles E. Cockrell, Jr.Associate Director, Systems Engineering Directorate

NASA Langley Research Center, VA

ABSTRACT

NASA is designing the Ares V heavy-lift cargo launch vehicle to send more crew and cargo to more places on thelunar surface than the 1960s-era Saturn V and to provide ongoing support for a permanent lunar outpost. Thisuncrewed cargo vehicle is designed to operate together with the Ares I crew vehicle (Figure 1). In addition to thisrole, however, its unmatched mass and volume capability represent a national asset for exploration, science, andcommerce. The Ares V also enables or significantly enhances a large class of space missions not thought possible byscientists and engineers since the Saturn V program ended over 30 years ago. Compared to current systems, it willoffer approximately five times the mass and volume to most orbits and locations. This should allow prospectivemission planners to build robust payloads with margins that are three to five times the industry norm. The spaceinside the planned payload shroud has enough usable volume to launch the volumetric equivalent of approximately10 Apollo Lunar Modules or approximately five equivalent Hubble Space Telescopes. This mass and volumecapability to low-Earth orbit (LEO) enables a host of new scientific and observation platforms, such as telescopes,satellites, planetary and solar missions, as well as being able to provide the lift for future large in-spaceinfrastructure missions, such as space based solar power and mining, Earth asteroid defense, propellant depots, etc.In addition, payload designers may also have the option of simplifying their designs or employing Ares V’s payloadas “dumb mass” to reduce technical and operational risk. The Ares V team is engaging the potential payloadcommunity now, two to three years before System Requirements Review (SRR), in order to better understand theadditional requirements from the payload community that could be accommodated in the Ares V design in itsconceptual phase. This paper will discuss the Ares V reference mission and capability, as well as its potential toperform other missions in the future.

Figure 1: The Ares V cargo launch vehicle, shown during ascent, will provide the heavy liftcapability to carry exploration beyond low Earth orbit. (NASA artist’s concept)

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https://ntrs.nasa.gov/search.jsp?R=20090043018 2018-06-16T16:13:46+00:00Z

Introduction

Ares V represents the capability to again take humanexploration beyond low-Earth orbit (LEO). It is oneof the major architectural components of NASA’sConstellation Program. Constellation evolved from aseries of events set in motion by the Space ShuttleColumbia accident and followed by the subsequentinvestigation and recommendations, the Bushadministration’s Vision for Space Exploration (VSE),and NASA’s Exploration Systems Architecture Study(ESAS).

NASA’s current mission, as set forth in NationalSpace Policy, is to retire the Shuttle, develop itsreplacement, complete the International SpaceStation (ISS), and resume human exploration beyondLEO beginning with a permanent presence on theMoon.

As part of the Constellation architecture, Ares V isdesigned to launch the lunar lander into LEO. There,the Ares V upper stage, called the Earth departurestage (EDS), will be joined by the Orion crewspacecraft, launched on the Ares I launch vehicle.After crew and ground control checkouts, the EDSwill ignite to send the combined Orion/lander stack tothe Moon.

The Ares V design and capabilities are shaped byseveral goals that emerged after the loss of Columbia.The Columbia Accident Investigation Board (CAIB)recommended separating crew from cargo, leading tothe dual launch vehicles. Crewmembers were put onthe smaller, simpler Ares I, while cargo was assignedto the larger, more complex Ares V. During ESAS,NASA sought to minimize technical andprogrammatic risk by drawing where feasible onexisting hardware, infrastructure and experience. Theagency also sought to minimize development andoperations costs by sharing components wherepossible between the Ares vehicles. As a result, theAres I first stage and Ares V boosters are derivedfrom the Shuttle boosters. The J-2X upper stageengine used by both Ares I and Ares V is an evolvedversion of the Saturn-era J-2 upper stage engine. TheRS-68B engine for the Ares V core stage is animproved version of the engine now used on theDelta IV. The National Research Council noted in areport titled, Launching Science: ScienceOpportunities Provided by NASA’s ConstellationSystem, that, “Given the use of hardware and systemsbeing developed for Ares I, the development risks ofthe Ares V are significantly reduced.” That heritageand commonality are illustrated in Figure 2.

Fig. 2: Heritage hardware and commonality between Ares vehicles remains a key goal.

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Current Point of Departure

More than 1,700 variants of Ares V were studiedleading up to the current reference configuration.Various combinations of stages, boosters, engines,materials, lengths, diameters, etc. were traded forperformance, cost, technology readiness, and otherfactors. The Constellation Program approved thecurrent configuration during the Lunar CapabilitiesConcept Review (LCCR) in June 2008. Thisconfiguration serves as the basis for design tradessince the LCCR.

The current reference configuration stands 381 feet(116 meters (m)) tall with a gross lift-off mass(GLOM) of 8.1 million pounds (3,704.5 metric tons(mT)). Its first stage can generate more than 11million pounds of sea-level liftoff thrust. It can send413,800 pounds (187.7 mT) to LEO, 138,500 pounds(63 mT) direct to the Moon, or 156,700 pounds (71.1mT) to the Moon in its dual-launch architecture modewith Ares I.

For historical perspective, the Saturn V was 364 feet(111 m) tall, with a gross liftoff mass of 6.5 millionpounds (2,948.4 mT), and could carry 99,000 pounds(44.9 mT) to TLI or 262,000 pounds (118.8 mT) toLEO. In conjunction with Ares I, Ares V can launch58 percent more payload to TLI than the Saturn V.

As shown in the expanded vehicle overview (Figure3), the Ares V core stage is powered by sixcommercial liquid hydrogen/liquid oxygen(LH2/LOX) RS-68B engines that will undergoNASA-specific upgrades to decrease free hydrogenaround the launch pad, decrease the use ofincreasingly scarce helium, and increase the life ofthe nozzle for the longer Ares V operating times.Flanking the core stage are two 5.5-segment solidrocket boosters (SRBs) based on the 5-segment AresI First Stage. The boosters use the same Polybu-tadiene Acrylonitrile (PBAN) propellant as the Ares Iand Space Shuttle. Atop the Core Stage is the Earthdeparture stage (EDS), powered by a single J-2Xupper stage engine based on the Ares I upper stageengine.

Figure 3: Expanded view of the current Ares V reference configuration.

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Exploring Other Uses for Ares V

Ares V is the largest launch vehicle in history. It hasunmatched payload mass and volume capability thatwill make it an asset, not just for human exploration,but also for science, national defense, andcommercial use represent a global asset forexploration, science, and commerce. The Ares V alsoenables or significantly enhances a large class ofspace missions not thought possible by scientists andengineers since the Saturn V program ended over 30years ago. Compared to current systems, it will offerapproximately five times the mass and volume tomost orbits and locations. This should allowprospective mission planners to build robust payloadswith margins that are three to five times the industrynorm. The space inside the planned payload shroudhas enough usable volume to launch the volumetricequivalent of approximately 10 Apollo LunarExcursion Modules or approximately five equivalentHubble Space Telescopes. This mass and volumecapability to Low Earth Orbit enables a host of newscientific and observation platforms, such as

telescopes, satellites, planetary and solar missions, aswell as being able to provide the lift for future largein-space infrastructure missions, such as space-basedsolar power and mining, Earth asteroid defense,propellant depots, etc. Since Spring 2008, theassessment of astronomy payload requirements hasindicated that Ares V has the potential to support arange of payloads and missions. Some of thesemissions were impossible in the absence of Ares V’scapabilities.

Preliminary Payload AnalysesThe availability of Ares V will change substantiallythe opportunities for astronomy and solar systemscience. Unique aspects of the Ares V include itsdramatically larger payload capability (mass andvolume) over existing launch vehicles. The followinganalysis was based on pre-LCCR configuration (LV51.00.39). Figure 4 shows Ares V payload mass(metric tons) to LEO as a function of orbit altitudeand inclination angle. The higher the orbit or greaterthe inclination angle, the less mass can be launched.

Figure 4: Payload mass vs. altitude and inclination for the 51.00.39 Ares V configuration.

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Collaborative design/architecture inputs, exchanges,and analyses have already begun between scientistsand payload developers. A 2008 study by a NationalResearch Council (NRC) panel, as well as analysespresented by astronomers and planetary scientists attwo weekend conferences in 2008, support theposition that Ares V has benefit to a broad range ofplanetary and astronomy missions. This earlydialogue with Ares V engineers is permitting thegreatest opportunity forpayload/transportation/mission synergy and the leastfinancial impact to Ares V development. In addition,independent analyses suggest that Ares V has theopportunity to enable more cost-effective missiondesign.

Figure 5, again based on pre-LCCR configuration(LV 51.00.39), shows potential capability for sciencemissions expressed as C 3 energy. C3 is a measure ofenergy required for an interplanetary mission thatrequires achieving an excess orbital velocity over anescape velocity required for additional orbitalmaneuvers. Ares V, alone or with a Centaur UpperStage, can accelerate larger payloads to large C3

energy values, thus enabling and enhancing deepspace planetary missions. For example, preliminaryperformance assessments indicate that an Ares Vcould deliver a Mars sample return mission payloadapproximately five times greater than the mostcapable current vehicles.

n2 A^ E3-3 r .78as Aso 1^^ 3sa

D i /̂ },y► 2 2 ^C3 Ener .`J17 km' is

Figure 5: Payload vs. C3 energy for the 51.00.39 Ares Vconfiguration.

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As shown in Figure 6, the Ares V can delivertremendous payloads to a wide variety of orbitalparameters. Based on the pre-LCCR analysis (LV51.00.39), the Ares V can deliver 56.5 metric tons toa Sun-Earth L2 transfer orbit and 57 metric tons to anEarth-Moon L2 transfer orbit. It can also carryapproximately 69.5 metric tons to geosynchronoustransfer orbit (GTO) and 35 metric tons togeosynchronous orbit (GEO). This is approximately 6times that of any currently manufactured launchvehicle. Payloads for additional transfer orbits arealso shown. Performance is expected to improve for

the current concept (LV 51.00.48) when theperformance analysis is completed.

Among the ground rules assumptions for thesecalculations were: no gravity assists, interplanetarytrip times based on Hohmann transfers, payload massestimates comprise spacecraft, payload adapter, andmission peculiar hardware, and a two-engine Centaurfor the kick stage. The payloads shown for theextended shroud as shown in Figure 8 are aconceptual exercise. Only the POD shroud isincluded in the design baseline.

Constellation POD Shroud Extended ShroudMission Profile Target

Payload(lbm)Payload (mt) Payload (lbm) Payload (mt)

1) Sun-Earth L2Transfer Orbit C3 of -0.7 km2/s2 124.000 56.5 123,000 56Injection

2) Earth-Moon L2Transfer Orbit C3 of -1.7 km2/s2 126,000 57.0 125,000 57Injection

3) GTO InjectionTransfer DV

8,200 ft/s 153,000 69.5 152,000 69

4) GEOTransfer DV14,100 ft/s 77,000 35 76,000 34.5

5) LEO (@29ºinclination) 241 x 241 km 315, 000 143 313,000 142

6) Cargo LunarOutpost (TLI Direct), C3 of -1.8 km2/s2 126,000 57 125,000 57Reference

7) Mars Cargo (TMIC3 of 9 km2/s2 106,000 48 105,000 48Direct)

*based on LV 51.00.39

Figure 6: Performance for selected missions using the 51.00.39 configuration.

Ares V’s capabilities potentially opens up directmissions to the outer planets that are currently onlyachievable using indirect flights with gravity assisttrajectories. An Ares V with an upper stage couldperform these missions using direct flights withshorter interplanetary transfer times, which would

enable extensive in-situ investigations and potentiallysample return.

As an example, a preliminary NASA ScienceMission Directorate (SMD) study is under way tostudy the capability of the current LV 51.00.48

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reference design. Results to date indicate an increaseapproximately 20,000 kg more – or approximately161,000 kg – to LEO. The reference configurationalso could send approximately 65,000 kg to a Sun-Earth L2. The study will be completed in the summerof 2009.

Potential for Astronomy and Planetary ScienceNASA’s Ames Research Center sponsored aworkshop on April 26-27 entitled “AstronomyEnabled by Ares V.”2 It had the relatively simple goalof beginning the dialogue between the teamdesigning the Ares V and key members of theastronomy community. Key questions thatparticipants address were:

• Are there astronomy payload concepts ormissions capable of breakthrough sciencethat are either enabled or significantlyenhanced by the Ares V?

• What do the envisioned payloads need fromAres V in terms of mass, volume, fairingshape, cleanliness, acoustics, access, power,etc?

• What technology and environmental issuesneed to be addressed to facilitate launchingastronomy payloads on Ares V?

Is there a trade-off between Ares V masscapability and payload complexity thatcould reduce cost and technical risk forpayload designers? Consideration was givento the idea of “dumb mass,” using Ares V’sexcess capability to provide dynamic oracoustic damping from launch environmentsor extra radiation shielding for the spaceenvironment or extra fuel for missions intoplanetary “gravity wells.”

While the Ares V cannot compromise its primarymission to transport the lunar lander and Orion crewvehicle to the Moon, participants agreed that Ares Voffers new possibilities to enhance astronomy. Mostof the concepts presented by astronomers were drivenmore by volume requirements than by mass andfavored a taller fairing than the baseline design. Bothare shown in Figure 7. Volume could be increased byincreasing the diameter past the 10 meter currentdiameter or by increasing the length. A modularfairing design based on length seems to be the bestway to increase volume and could be extended inheight up to the current height permitted by theVehicle Assembly building.

Figure 7: Payload shroud and internal volume for the current point of departure concept, left, and a notionalextended shroud, right.

In addition to the emphasis on volume, the workshopalso raised the importance of on-orbit serving ofastronomical payloads. The Defense AdvancedResearch Project Agency’s Orbital Expresssuccessfully demonstrated autonomous on-orbitservicing of the telescopes designed for it. Theworkshop suggested that Ares V, Ares I, and the

Orion crew exploration vehicle could play a role inserving science satellites autonomously or withhuman crews.

While most of the concepts presented could belaunched on existing heavy launch vehicles, Ares Vdoes enable new concepts such as large monolithic

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mirrors that are simpler to build and deploy. Suchtelescopes offer much higher sensitivity and spatialresolution than those that can be launched withcurrent rockets. These qualities are particularly

important for studies of the early universe and extra-solar planets. One such concept is shown in Figure 8below.

Figure 8: Artist’s concept of the Ares V launch of an 8-meter monolithic telescope visible in the cutawaydepiction of the payload shroud

Ares V is too early in its design cycle to providecertain information on launch environments such asvibrations, temperature, cleanliness, etc., but payloaddesigners agreed that an environment comparable tothe Shuttle would be desirable. Because the RS-68engines can be throttled, vehicle designers believe theacoustic and dynamic loads can be kept withinacceptable limits or mitigated by other means withinthe payload shroud.

A similar two-day workshop entitled “Ares V SolarSystem Science” was held at NASA Ames ResearchCenter on August 16-17, 2008. 3 The goal again wasto bring together Ares V designers with the payloadcommunity, this time planetary scientists.Presentations by Ares V designers and by payloaddesigners again showed that Ares V significantlychanges what can be done in the planetary sciencearena. Preliminary analyses suggested that Ares Vcould deliver roughly five times the payload mass toMars compared with existing vehicles such as theDelta IV Heavy. Ares V is also capable of larger C3.This could make possible direct missions to the outerplanets that are now achievable only with flightsinvolving gravity-assist trajectories. An Ares V with

an upper stage could perform these missions usingdirect flights with shorter interplanetary travel times,enabling extensive in situ science and potentiallysample return options.

Planetary science is more likely than astronomy tobenefit from using Ares V’s unprecedented payloadmass. Extra fuel for landing and sample return, extraradiation shielding, drill strings and casings fordrilling, and redundancy were some of the ideasmentioned at the workshop. For instance, Ares Vmight enable a sample return mission to Jupiter’smoon Europa by allowing propulsion maneuversinside Jupiter’s gravity well and allowing shieldingfor the lander on the surface. At Saturn, it mightallow collection of atmospheric samples and the useof penetrators to churn up materials from the planet’smoons. Concepts were also presented during theworkshop for missions beyond the solar system tostudy the outer heliosphere and local interstellarmedium. For such a mission, Ares V would launch apayload attached to an upper stage powered byradioisotope-powered ion engines.

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Changing the Design Paradigm to Reduce MissionCost

An idea discussed in both conferences that meritsmore study is whether the large mass and volumecapabilities of the Ares V can be used to reducetechnology development and mission risk. Principalinvestigators and mission designers now usetechnical complexity, exotic materials, and detailedtesting to overcome the mass and volume constraintsof current launch vehicles. Existing heavy liftlaunchers have deployed NASA science missions inthe $5 billion range. A simple extrapolation of AresV mass capabilities would yield missions costing $20billion or more, which might be unaffordable withtoday’s science budgets.

Current cost models vary in their fidelity, but theyraise questions worth further investigation. Whilemass is commonly used to predict mission cost,complexity may be a bigger factor. NASA’sAdvanced Mission Cost Model, for instance,indicates that cost does rise with mass but also ratedhigh in technical complexity. The same cost modelsshow that historically missions of the same mass butof average difficulty would cost only about $10billion or about half the $20 billion price tagsuggested above by simply scaling up the mass.

Ares V enables a new paradigm – reduced cost andrisk by designing less complex payloads. Bothworkshops had discussions on how Ares V mightpermit better mission performance, reduced risk,shorter schedules, and reduced cost. But doing sorequires scientists and engineers to think beyondsimply scaling up current designs and insteadpursuing simpler, more rugged designs.

The planned James Webb Space Telescope is poisedto eclipse the Hubble Space Telescope’s capability byemploying a fairly complex segmented deployablemirror system that must be carefully designed, built,extensively tested, stowed in a payload shroud, andfinally deployed and operated in the harsh spaceenvironment. Ares V would enable the launch of asimpler 6-meter monolithic mirror with the same orbetter light-gathering power while producing a 30percent savings in overall mission development costby reducing the need for stowage and deploymenthardware and testing.

The increased mass capability might also allow formore robust spacecraft structures that could savecosts associated with handling fragile spacecraft;simpler, sturdier instruments; more shielding insteadof typical radiation-hardened parts; and the addition

of redundant components to improve missionreliability. By such measures, Ares V can change thecurrent rule of thumb that it costs about $1 millionper kilogram to solve problems that arise duringspacecraft and instrument development.

One NASA mission provides anecdotal evidence thatlarge mass and volume margins can enablesignificant cost savings. The Earth Radiation BudgetSatellite (ERBS) was a free-flying Earth observingsatellite launched by the Space Shuttle in 1984. Asone of the early shuttle payloads, ERBS tookadvantage of the large mass and volume marginsprovided by the shuttle to use off-the-shelfcomponents and robust design technologies. Theresult was a satellite bus cost that was 70% less on aper-pound basis than average for a similar Earthobserving spacecraft.

While the cost performance of a single missionshould not be used to set expectations within NASAand the science community, it does illustrate that thepotential exists to use large mass and volume marginsto achieve cost savings if requirements are carefullymanaged early in the program. Two studies by TheAerospace Corporation in 2008 further suggest someinherent payload-wide design issues where Ares Vcapabilities could help. One notes that “use of heavy,low-cost technologies was shown to decrease costsfrom lightweight advanced technologies. Use ofexisting technology was shown to reducedevelopment costs by 54% on a pound for poundbasis.”4 The second study suggests that mass,schedule, and cost growth is common, interrelated,and significant among science payloads. 5

While many payload cost models to date use mass toestimate cost, recent thinking notes that not all costdrivers are being addressed in existing models.Among the factors attracting more attention are “newdesign” and “integration complexity,” a 2003 NASApaper noted.6 These and other factors such asmanagement, manufacturing, and funding are beingcombined into analyses that plot mission complexityversus cost to provide a more refined prediction ofexpected mission success or failure – a tool that cangreatly assist the payload community. Thosecalculations are complex but they can be distilled intoa simpler equation: simplicity equals less technicalrisk and higher confidence in mission success. A May2000 paper by The Aerospace Corporation suggestedsuch: “A clear dependence of success rate on systemscomplexity was identified.” 7

In its “Launching Science...” report referencedabove, the NRC echoed comments from the Ames

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conference in recognizing Ares V’s possibilities:“NASA should conduct a comprehensive systemsengineering-based analysis to assess the possibilitythat the relaxation of weight and volume constraintsenabled by Ares V for some space science missionsmight make feasible significantly a differentapproach to science mission design, development,assembly, integration, and testing, resulting in arelative decrease in the cost of space sciencemissions.”

Conclusions

Ares V has unprecedented capability for launchingpayloads that one potential user said “opens the doorsof imagination.” Indeed, Ares V offers a crosscuttingsolution to a wide range of payloads. It can launchmore capable science spacecraft farther, shorten triptimes, and increase scientific return on missions thatotherwise might be launched on today’s launchers. Itcould also enable certain kinds of missions, such assample return, that would be impossible on today’sfleet. Payload and mission designers certainly can usetraditional technical complexity to fully exploit AresV capabilities. Additionally, though, they stand togain greater scientific “bang for their buck” and,conversely, less undesirable “bang” in the form ofmission -jeopardizing risk, by using Ares V’s massand volume capabilities as technical margin.

Bigger/Better/Faster/Farther is always an attractivedesign goal to scientists with the unquenchable desireto explore beyond today’s limits. Ares V allows themto do that. For those willing to explore thepossibilities within the payload developmentuniverse—particularly those facing limitedresources—Ares V also holds the possibility of newless costly, less risky solutions for the space sciencecommunity.

References

1. Committee on Science Opportunities Enabled byNASA’s Constellation System; National Re-search Board: Launching Science. ScienceOpportunities Provided by NASA’s ConstellationSystem, National Academies Press, ISBN: 0-309-11645-7, Washington, D.C., 2008.

2. Workshop Report on Astronomy Enabled by AresV, NASA/CP —2008–214588, Ames ResearchCenter, August 2008.

3. Workshop Report on Ares V Solar SystemScience, NASA/CP—2008–214592, AmesResearch Center, December 2008.

4. Ares V Alternative Mission Study, The AerospaceCorporation, August 2008.

5. Bearden, D.: “Perspectives on NASA MissionCost and Schedule Performance Trends,”Presentation at GSFC Symposium, June 3, 2008.

6. Prince, F.A.: “Weight and the Future of SpaceFlight Hardware Cost Modeling,” JointInternational Society of ParametricAnalysts/Society of Cost Estimating and AnalysisConference, Marshall Space Flight Center, AL,2003.

7. Bearden, D.: “A Complexity-Based RiskAssessment of Low-Cost Planetary Missions:When is a Mission Too Fast and Too Cheap?”Fourth IAA International Conference on Low-Cost Planetary Missions, JHU/APL, Laurel, MD,May 2–5, 2000.

Nomenclature

BDM booster deceleration motorCDR critical design reviewCEV crew exploration vehicleCFM cryogenic fluid managementCM crew moduleEDS Earth departure stageFSB five segment boosterFTV flight test vehicleGN&C guidance, navigation, and controlHAA high altitude abortLAS launch abort systemLEO low earth orbitLH2 liquid hydrogenLOX liquid oxygenLSC linear shape chargeIOC initial operational capabilityISS international space stationISTA integrated stage test articleIVGVT integrated vehicle ground vibration testMCR mission concept reviewMECO main engine cut-offMLP mobile launch platformMPS main propulsion systemMPTA main propulsion test articleMSFC Marshall Space Flight Centerm metermT metric tonsNASA National Aeronautics and Space Admin.OET orbital environments testPDR preliminary design reviewRCS reaction control systemSA spacecraft adapterSM service module

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SRB solid rocket boosterSSC Stennis Space CenterTLI trans-lunar injectionTVC thrust vector controlUSM ullage settling motor

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-%L Ares V: Shifting thePayload Design

Paradigm

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Ares V ElementsCurrent Point-of-Departure

Earth Departure Stage (EDS)• One Saturn-derived J-2X

LOX/LH 2 engine (expendable)• 33-ft diameter stage• Aluminum-Lithium (AI-Li) tanks

Core Stage X• Six Delta IV-derived RI:

LOX/LH 2 engines (expE• 33-ft diameter stage• Composite structures• AI-Li tanks

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Lander

PayloadAdapter

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Payload SkirtShroud

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Gross Liftoff Mass: 8,167.1 K IbmPerformance to TLI: 157K IbmIntegrated Stack Length: 381.1 ft

Solid Rocket Boosters• Two recoverable 5.5-segment

PBAN-fueled, steel-caseboosters (derived from currentAres I first stage)

• Option for new design

• Composite structures, instrument unit,and interstage

• Primary Ares V avionics systemSix

RS-68BEngines

National Aeronautics and Space Administration 7793.2

Constellation Lunar Sortie Mission— 1.5 Vehicle Launch Solution —

Current Ares V concept analyses are based on 67mt payload to TLIrequirement (Lunar Lander + Crew Exploration Vehicle)

• Orbital Insertion at 130 nmi and 29.0° inclination• Orbital decay during maximum 4-day loiter period• Trans Lunar Injection (TLI) burn of 3175 m/s from 100 nmi

MOON

Ascent Stage

100 km LSAM Performs LOJ f 'im Expended

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National Aeronautics and Space Administration 7793.3

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Ares V LEO Performance- Constellation POD Shroud -

Ares V Payload vs. Altitude & Inclination

— Inclination = 29 deg

— Inclination = 35 deg

Inclination = 40 deg

Inclination = 45 deg

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150

90

80

200 800 900300 400 500 600 700

Circular Orbital Altitude (km)

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Ares V Escape Performance-Constellation POD Shroud -

Ares V Ares V with Centaur V2

Payload vs. C3 Energy70

so At 5.7 mT, the Cassini spacecraft isthe largest interplanetary probe and

50 required a C3 of 20 km 2/s2. Ares Vcan support about 35 mT for this

0 40 same C3.

300

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-2.0 18.0 38.0 58.0 78.0 98.0 118.0 138.0 158.0

C3 Energy (km2 /s2)

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60

55

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0

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8 10 12 14 16

Trip Time to

18 20 22 24

Payload vs. Trip Times for Representative Missions ^(- Constellation POD Shroud -

NeptuneC3 = 13630.6 yrs

U3U 3 = bU

9 m0 2.7 yrs

CeresC3 = 40 kmz/sz

1.3 yrs

VGLU 111 UranusC3 = 106 kmz/sz Destination (years)

C = 127 km2/s26.1 yrs

315.8 yrs

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Ares V Performance forSelected Trajectories from KSC

tion PO

Payload (Ibml)rpayload (rnt) Payload (Ibrn) Payload (rnt)

4) Sun-Earth L2 C3 of -0.7 km2/s2 124.000 56.5 123,000 56Transfer OrbitInjection

5) Earth-Moon L2 C3 of -1.7 km 2/s2 126,000 57.0 125,000 57Transfer OrbitInjection

3) GTO Injection Transfer DV 153,000 69.5 152,000 698,200 ft/s

2) GEO Transfer DV 77,000 35 76,000 34.514,100 ft/s

1) LEO (@29 0 241 x 241 km 315,000 143 313,000 142inclination)

6) Cargo Lunar C3 of -1.8 km 2/s2 126,000 57 125,000 57Outpost (TLI Direct),Reference

7) Mars Cargo C3 of 9 km 2/s2 106,000 48 105,000 48(TMI Direct)

`based on LV 51.00.39

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• 18.7 m Represents theMaximum Barrel Length forthe Shroud

' • Maximum Barrel LengthConstrained Vehicle AssemblyBuilding (VAB) Height

• Increased Barrel LengthIntroduces TheoreticalReduction of PayloadCapability of 200 kg

10.0 m[ 33.0 ft]

I^ Notional Ares V Shroud for Other Missions4.4 m

[ 14.4 ft]

r

1

[E

/\

7.5 m

[ 24.6 ft]

18.7 m[ 61.4 ft] r

National Aeronautics and Space Administration 7793.9

150

140

130

a^

1200

1100aa 100

90

80200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900

Ares V LEO Performance- Extended Shroud -

Ares V Payload vs. Altitude & Inclination

Circular Orbital Altitude (km)

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Ares V Escape Performance- Extended Shroud -

Payload vs. C3 Energy

18

60

50

N 40

cc0

30

c^0

c^

a-

10

0

-2 38

58

C3 Energy (km2/s2)

78

98

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Developing Ares V LaunchSystem Mission Planner's Guide

7AR

National Aeronautics andSpace Administration November 2007

George C. Marshall Space Flight Center

Ares V Launch SystemMission Planner's Guide

(DRAFT)

CHECK THE MASTER LIST- VERIFY THAT THIS IS THE CORRECT VERSION aEFORE USE

♦ Mission Planner Guide DraftRelease Pending

• Interface Definitions— Fairings, Adapters...

• Mission Performance• Development Timelines• Concept of Operations• Potential Vehicle Evolution

and Enhancements• Need Past Astronomy Mission Data

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70

60

50

- 40

v ry30Oa

a- 20

10

Large Payload Volume andLift Capability

CassiniSpacecraft

Approximatelyto scale

for comparison

Ares V will have the largestpayload volume capability of any

existing launch system

Current Ares V EnabledCapability Capability

(>10x Collection Area)

i.o

HST 2.4-m JWST 6.5-m 8-9 m 16+ m

Architecture FlexibilityEnables New Science Applications

Mars — Ares V with CentaurC3 = 9 km2/s2

Ares V9 mos

Ares I with Centaur

Deltas IV-H

At 5.7 mT, the Cassini spacecraft isCeres the largest interplanetary probe and

C3 = km2/s21.3

.3 yrs required a C3 of 20 km2lS2 and several

planetary flyby `gravity assist'manuevers. Ares V can supportabout 40 mT for this same C3.

JupiterC3 = 80 km2/s2

2.7 yrs SaturnC3 = 106 km2/52

6.1 yrs Uranus+ =_^^ C3 = 127 km2/s2 Neptune

15.8 yrsC3 = 136 km2/s2

30.6 yrs

0 20 40 60 80l 100

120 140 160 180

C3 Energy (km2 /s2)

"!t is very clear from the outset that the availability of the Ares V changesthe paradigm of what can be done in planetary science,"

— Workshop on Ares V Solar System Science

"Exciting new science may be enabled by the increased capability of AresV. The larger launch mass, large volume, and increased C3 capability areonly now being recognized by the science community."

— National Academy of Science's"Science Opportunities by NASA's Constellation Program"

0-0

National Aeronautics and Space Administration 7793.13

National Aeronautics and Space AdministrationI . 0''.1

M

Backup

Ground Rules and Assumptions

All trajectories analyzed using POST313(Program to Optimize Simulated Trajectories - 3 Dimensional)

♦ Flight performance reserve is based on the Ares V LEO mission,and is held constant for all cases

No gravity assists

Interplanetary trip times are based on Hohmann transfers(limited to -24 years max.)

Payload mass estimates are separated spacecraft mass, andinclude payload adapter and any mission peculiar hardware(if required)

Ares V vehicle based on configuration 51.00.39, but w/ UpperStage burnout mass from configuration 51.00.34(propellant tanks not resized for high C3 missions)

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Ground Rules and Assumptions (Cont'd)

For cases incorporating a kick stage:-Ares I and Ares V employ 2-engine Centaur from Atlas V*Additional adapter mass of 6,400 Ibm assumed• No adjustments to aerodynamic data

Propellant mass for:• Ares V LEO missions: held constant at 310,000 Ibm• Ares I and V C3 missions and Ares I LEO missions: maximumpropellant load

No Upper Stage propellant off-loading for Ares I andAres V C3 casesTransfer orbit to Sun-Earth L2 point is a direct transfer w/C3= -0.7 km2/s2

• Payload can be increased by using a lunar swing-by maneuver<> All cases targeting a C3 are of longer duration than the J-2X

constraint of 500 seconds

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