how religious will the world be in 2050

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    Reports of the death of organized religion have been exaggerated. According to

    recent r esearch, the growth of religious populations worldwide is projected to be 23

    times larger than the growth of the unreligious between 2010 and 2050.

    The report Changing religion, changing economies, which draws on a 2015 global

    study published in Demographic Research and its connected Pew Research Center 

    report, has profound implications for the global economy.

    Today, seven of the G8 nations have Christian-majority populations. But by 2050

    only one of the leading economies is projected to have a majority Christian

    population – the United States. The other mega economies in 2050 are projected to

    include a country with a Hindu majority (India), a Muslim majority (Indonesia), and

    two with exceptionally high levels of religious diversity (China and Japan).

     As religious diversity and religious populations grow, so does their potential impact,

    creating new challenges and opportunities for societies, governments and

    economies.

    The impact of religion is on the rise on a global scale. By the middle of this century,

    the number of people affiliated with a religion is expected to grow by 2.3 billion, from

    5.8 billion in 2010 to 8.1 billion in 2050. By contrast, the number of people

    unaffiliated with any religion (including those who say their religion is “nothing in

    particular” as well as self-identifying agnostics and atheists) is projected to increase

    by only 0.1 billion, from 1.13 billion in 2010 to 1.23 billion in 2050. In terms of 

    population shares, this is significantly lower than the peak in the 1970s under 

    communism when nearly one in five people worldwide were religiously unaffiliated,

    GLOBAL REGIONAL INDUSTRY

    Economics Role of Faith

    How religious will the world be in 2050?

    By Brian Grim

    Oct 22 2015

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    according to the World Religion Database.

    The growth of religious populations also has implications for how the world’s wealth

    will be spread about. The economic transformations of China and India are common

    knowledge. But what is less well known is that the five leading economies of 2050

    are projected to represent one of the most religiously diverse groupings in recent

    memory.

    Below are the main takeaways of global religious and economic change, ordered by

    the projected size of religious groups in 2050.

    Christianity

    The growth of the global Christian population is projected to be about the

    same rate as overall global population growth between 2010-2050.

    The largest share of the world’s Christians lived in the Americas as of 

    2010, while the largest share of Christians is expected to be in Sub-

    Saharan Africa by 2050.

    Economic growth among the global Christian population is expected to

    increase, but be significantly less than economic growth in the world as a

    whole.

    In the years ahead, the global distribution of economic influence associated

    with Christian populations is expected to remain largely dominated by the

     Americas, with Europe slightly decreasing in influence and Sub-Saharan

     Africa and Asia-Pacific regions slightly increasing.

    Islam

    The number of Muslims in the world is expected to nearly double between

    2010 and 2050 and Muslims are expected to lead the world in population

    growth compared with other religious groups.

    The largest share of the world’s Muslims lived in the Asia-Pacific region as

    of 2010 and will continue to live in this region in the decades ahead.

    Economic growth among the global Muslim population is expected to

    3K+   160

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    significantly outpace global economic growth.

    India is expected to have the largest Muslim population of any country in

    the world by 2050, surpassing Indonesia.

    In the years ahead, slightly more than half of the economic influence

    associated with Muslim populations is expected to be in the Asia-Pacific

    region, with India’s economic overall growth also helping to add some to

    the global economic resources of Muslims.

    Religiously Unaffiliated

    The growth of the global religiously unaffiliated population is slowing at a

    much faster rate than global population growth.

    The largest share of the world’s religiously unaffiliated population lived in

    the Asia-Pacific region as of 2010 with over half of the entire world’s

    unaffiliated people living in China. Population growth of the religious

    unaffiliated population in the Americas is expected to be substantially

    higher than growth in other regions of the world.

    Economic growth among the global religiously unaffiliated population is

    expected to be on par with global economic growth in the years ahead.

    The global distribution of economic influence associated with religiously

    unaffiliated populations is expected to grow in the Asia-Pacific region, with

    economic influence decreasing slightly in Europe and the Americas.

    Hinduism

    The number of Hindus in the world is expected to grow by 400 million

    people between 2010 and 2050, but is projected to remain about the same

    share of the world’s population in the decades ahead.

    The largest share of the world’s Hindus lived in the Asia-Pacific region(notably India) as of 2010 and will continue to live in this region in the

    decades ahead.

    Economic growth among the global Hindu population is expected to

    significantly outpace global economic growth, mostly led by the rising

    economy of India.

    The vast majority of economic resources available to Hindus lies in India,

    but Hindus in the United States and the United Kingdom also contribute

    significantly to the global economic resources available to Hindus.

    Buddhism

    The number of Buddhists in the world is expected to remain at nearly 500

    million between 2010 and 2050, but is projected to decrease as a share of 

    the world’s population.

    The largest share of the world’s Buddhists lived in the Asia-Pacific region

    (notably China) as of 2010; they are estimated to continue to live in this

    region in the decades ahead.

    Despite the stagnation of population growth among Buddhists, economic

    growth among the global Buddhist population is expected to be on par with

    global economic growth, largely due to China’s economic rise.

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    China and Japan jointly hold nearly all of the world’s economic resources

    available to Buddhists, but this study estimates that Buddhists in the United

    States also contribute significantly to the global economic resources

    available to Buddhists.

    Judaism

    The growth of the global Jewish population is slowing more quickly than the

    world overall; however, the number of Jews is still anticipated to be about

    two million more in 2050 than in 2010 (increasing from about 14 million in2010 to slightly more than 16 million worldwide in 2050).

    The largest share of the world’s Jews lived in the Americas (mostly in the

    United States) as of 2010, while the largest share of Jews is expected to be

    in the Middle East-North Africa region (namely Israel) by 2050.

    Economic growth among the global Jewish population is expected to

    increase, but be significantly less than economic growth in the world as a

    whole.

    In the years ahead, the global distribution of economic influence associated

    with Jewish populations is expected to slightly decrease in the Americas

    with corresponding slight increases among Jewish populations living in the

    Middle East- North Africa region.

    Other religions*

    The number of people belonging to other religions in the world is expected

    to grow by about 30 million people between 2010 and 2050, but is

    projected to decrease as a share of the world’s population.

    The largest share of the world’s other religious populations lived in the

     Asia-Pacific region (notably China) as of 2010 and will continue to live in

    this region in the decades ahead.

    Despite its slow population growth, economic growth among people

    belonging to other religions is expected to outpace global economic growth,

    largely due to China’s projected economic growth.

    China holds about two-thirds of the global economic resources available to

    other religions.

    * Other religions include religious traditions not covered elsewhere in this report.

    Data limitations prevent their individual analysis on a global basis. They are included,

    however, to account for all people worldwide, recognizing that the results have

    limited information for any one particular group. These religions include folk religions

    often identified along ethnic lines and sometimes mixed with local beliefs of other 

    major religions. Examples of these folk religions include traditional African religions

    and Chinese ancestral belief systems. The other religion category also includes

    groups like Baha’i, Jainism, Shintoism, Sikhism and Taoism that do not have

    sufficient data to have their own category across most country censuses and

    surveys.

     Author: Brian J. Grim, President, Religious Freedom & Business Foundation

    Image: Hindu devotees with earthen oil lamps pray inside a temple during the

    Navratri festival in Chandigarh, India. REUTERS/Ajay Verma

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    Buddhism Christianity Economic Growth Economics Economics Faith Forum

    Global Agenda Councils Hinduism Islam Judaism Religion Role Of Faith

    Posted by Brian Grim - 10:45

     All opinions express ed are those of the author. The World Economic Forum Blog is an independent and neutral platform

    dedicated to generating debate around the key topics that shape global, regional and industry agendas.

    Comments are closed.

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