how fintechs and blockchain technology might change banking · fintech landscape germany: key facts...
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How FinTechs and blockchain technology might change
banking
XXXVII Heidelberg Physics Graduate Days
Heidelberg, October 12th, 2016
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Agenda
» 2 What is FinTech?
» 14 What can banks learn from the start-up world?
» 21 Is FinTech here to stay?
» 25 What is blockchain technology?
2016-10-12 | How FinTechs and blockchain technology might change banking
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What is FinTech?
2016-10-12 | How FinTechs and blockchain technology might change banking | What is FinTech?
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What are FinTechs?
Start-ups usually have one or more of the following characteristics:
Use new technologies, such as the blockchain
User friendly Address specific customer pain points
Unbundling Service offering is simple, clear and focused
Processes are automated and fast Efficient
Innovative
The term FinTech (Financial and Technology) refers to technology companies offering financial
products or services.
No exact definition: wider and narrower definitions are used.
2016-10-12 | How FinTechs and blockchain technology might change banking | What is FinTech? (1/11)
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All stakeholders in the financial services industry are affected
Exchanges
By reshaping service offerings and business models, potentially all players are affected by FinTech.
Clearing houses Central Banks
Insurances Banks Asset Managers
Corporates Regulators …
Today our focus is banking.
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Core service areas are affected
Source: Unbundling of a European Bank, CBinsights
Retail
Banking
» Basis banking (account, etc.)
» (Cross-border) payments
» Saving
» Investments
» Financing
Unbundling the bank: FinTech start-ups are evading most of the service areas of banking.
Corporate
Banking
» Trade finance
» Treasury and cash management services
» Financing
» Risk management (derivatives, etc.)
» Investment banking
2016-10-12 | How FinTechs and blockchain technology might change banking | What is FinTech? (3/11)
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FinTech landscape Germany: key facts
1 http://www.eu-startups.com/2016/08/german-fintech-companies-secured-80-more-funding-than-their-uk-based-counterparts-in-q2-2016
>300 FinTech start-
ups in Germany
Number of start-
ups grows rapidly
Areas: Lending,
Investment,
InsurTech and
many more
Total VC
investment
293M€
Q1+Q2 2016 1
Initially mostly
B2C, but B2B
segment grows
Berlin, Munich,
Frankfurt,
Hamburg
2016-10-12 | How FinTechs and blockchain technology might change banking | What is FinTech? (4/11)
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Spotlight on key areas in the FinTech space
Saving and investing
» Robo-Advisor
» Time money
» Crowdinvesting
» …
Example:
Scalable Capital
RegTech / RiskTech
» GRC solutions
» Ratings
» KYC
» …
Example:
Alyne
Banking
» Challenger Banks
» Corporate Banking
» Social Banking
» …
Example:
N26
Financing
» P2P lending
» Factoring
» Comparison
» …
Example:
wroomer
API-Banking
» Banks
» Aggregators
» Open Source
» …
Example:
SolarisBank
Payments
» P2P payments
» POS solutions
» B2B solutions
» …
Example:
Cringle
Blockchain
» Software Solutions
» Cryptocurrencies
» Applications
» …
Example:
Monax (Eris Industries)
Other areas
» IT-Security
» Donations
» Accounting
» …
Example:
Fenror7
2016-10-12 | How FinTechs and blockchain technology might change banking | What is FinTech? (5/11)
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Core capabilities of banks are affected
» Product offering
» Customer facing
applications
» Client services
» …
» Improved user
experience
» Innovative services
addressing specific
customer pain points
Front Office
Focus
» Calculation, controlling
and management of
risks
» Regulatory reporting
» …
» Manage risks more
efficiently
» Ease the burden to fulfil
regulatory requirements
RM & Compliance
Focus
» Back office functions
» Securities
settlement
» Payments
» Derivatives BO
» IT Security
» …
» Automated and efficient
processes to reduce
costs and enable better
services
» More agile IT allows
business to adapt
Ops & IT
Focus
2016-10-12 | How FinTechs and blockchain technology might change banking | What is FinTech? (6/11)
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What sets FinTech start-up models apart from existing offerings?
Embrace (innovative)
technology
New digital business
models
Addressing specific
customer needs
Example Credit Ratings
Use machine learning
approach and new data
sources to determine
creditworthiness of a client
Example P2P lending
Create P2P platforms to
match investors and
borrowers.
Example Robo-Advisory
Create an easy, transparent
and cost-efficient way for
investments
2016-10-12 | How FinTechs and blockchain technology might change banking | What is FinTech? (7/11)
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Barriers to market entry are reduced more and more: some examples
» Amount and complexity
» Interpretation
» Applicability
» Uncertainty about future changes
Regulators are interested
in new market
participants and
technologies
Regulation
Demography
» Large parts of assets currently sits with older part of
population that are less technically experienced Millenials
Proprietary
structures
» Expensive, slowly changing complex systems
» e.g. proprietary networks like SWIFT, MarkitWire
etc. API Banking
Complexity of
finance
» Finance is complex, intransparent and
mathematical Innovate a niche area first
Technology
» In the past often high investment in IT infrastructure
where necessary Technology became less
and less expensive
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How regulators are helping to support the FinTech developments: two
examples
» Aims of the regulations:
» Same competitive conditions for all
players in the payments space
» Increase in transparency,
efficiency and choices for users of
payment services
» Introduction of new payment services
through Third Party Providers (TPP)
» Banks will need to allow these provides
in certain circumstances to access their
IT systems (XS2A)
» Payment Initiation Services (PIS)
» Account Information Services (AIS)
Payment Services Directive 2 (PSD2)
» Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) is
the main regulator for banks in the UK
» FCA interested in financial innovation in
the interest of consumers
» Dedicated team and contact that
provides help to FinTechs in regulatory
questions
» Assistance in preparing and making an
application for authorisation
» Regulatory sandbox
FCA Innovation Hub
This type of support reduces barriers to entry in financial markets.
2016-10-12 | How FinTechs and blockchain technology might change banking | What is FinTech? (9/11)
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Clients expectations towards digital service offerings increase
Source: ING-Diba
Millenials
» Today 10 to 19 years of age
» Also 19 to 30 years old that have fully adapted to the digital world
» Currently around 10% of the population in Germany
80%
sleep with their phone next to their bed
56%
would refuse to work at a company that
bans social media
53%
would give up their sense of smell instead
of their social networks
27%
prioritize keeping up-to-date on Facebook
above dating, listening to music and going
to parties
Innovations is partially driven by changing customer expectations.
2016-10-12 | How FinTechs and blockchain technology might change banking | What is FinTech? (10/11)
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Surveys show that clients are not fully satisfied with their banks
Source: http://www.millennialdisruptionindex.com/
71%
would rather go to the dentist than
listen to what banks are saying.
33%
are open to switching banks in the next
90 days.
53%
don‘t think their bank offers anything
different than other banks
68%
say that in 5 years, the way we access
our money will be totally different.
70%
say that in 5 years, the way we pay for
things will be totally different.
33%
believe they won’t need a bank at all.
73%
would be more excited about a new offering in financial services from GOOGLE,
AMAZON, APPLE, PAYPAL or SQUARE than from their own nationwide bank.
Customers are open to offerings of new market participants.
2016-10-12 | How FinTechs and blockchain technology might change banking | What is FinTech? (11/11)
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What can banks learn from the start-up world?
2016-10-12 | How FinTechs and blockchain technology might change banking | What can banks learn from the start-up world?
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Banks have capital, resources and client base. Start-ups have…
Agility
» Agile product development (no waterfall approach)
» Learn and fail fast
» Acquire quick customer feedback and take into account in
product offering (iterative approach)
Customer focus
» “Get out of the building” approach
» Often start in a niche market and address specific
customer pain points
» Extend the product in a stepwise manner
Technology
» Start-ups can build their product from a clean slate
» Modern IT architecture (e.g. cloud)
» Use innovative technologies (e.g. machine learning)
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Example: Development of a Minimum Viable Product (MVP)
Ries, Eric: The Lean Startup
Avoid building products customers do not want.
Minimum Viable
Min. and viable
Crappy product Two many
resources spent
before validation
Definition 1 Definition 2
Idea
Product Data
Build
Measure
Learn
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MVP Case Study
confidential
2016-10-12 | How FinTechs and blockchain technology might change banking | What can banks learn from the start-up world? (3/3)
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Is FinTech here to stay?
2016-10-12 | How FinTechs and blockchain technology might change banking | Is FinTech here to stay?
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A lot of start-ups fail. Can we conclude that FinTech will eventually vanish?
Source: CBinsights
2016-10-12 | How FinTechs and blockchain technology might change banking | Is FinTech here to stay? (1/3)
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Example Robo-Advisory: a new offering that is here to stay
Robo-Advisors offer automated investment services through web based and mobile platforms.
» Different models, from simple one-time advice
of how to invest to automated rebalancing
» Customer needs to be onboarded and answer
a set of questions depending on the service
» Personal data
» Objectives
» Knowledge & experience
» Financials
How does it work?
» Mobile / web offering that is user friendly and
easy to use
» Transparent and low costs
» Automated allocation taking out the “human
factor”
» Access to allocation strategies that can
practically not be executed by an individual
» Further additional offerings
Why use it?
No exhaustive list of German Robo-Advisors
2016-10-12 | How FinTechs and blockchain technology might change banking | Is FinTech here to stay? (2/3)
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Example Machine Learning: a technology that is here to stay
» Automate repetitive
tasks
» In customer
interaction (e.g.
chat bots) or
internal processes
Automate
» Augment
employees / clients
knowledge
» Provide further
insights
» Convenient user
interfaces
Augment
» Spot relationships
and trends in data
that could not be
discovered earlier
Discover
» Make predictions
about future events
Predict
We see four key ways in how Machine Learning can impact financial services.
Use chat bots to
automate customer
interaction.
Create warnings for
analysts or IT security
experts in banks.
Use additional data
sources to enhance
credit rating models.
Use predictive models
for investment
management.
2016-10-12 | How FinTechs and blockchain technology might change banking | Is FinTech here to stay? (3/3)
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What is blockchain technology?
2016-10-12 | How FinTechs and blockchain technology might change banking | What is blockchain technology?
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The topic blockchain has been on the rise in 2015
1Google Trends analysis
Online search trend statistics of the
expression “blockchain”1
» While remaining relatively constant in
2014, the search statistics shows an
increase by more than 3-fold since
January 2015.
News search trend statistics for the
expression “blockchain”1
» Extreme increase in news-search since
January 2015.
100%
1250%
x 12,5
100%
357%
x 3,6
Online and news search have substantially increased in 2015.
2016-10-12 | How FinTechs and blockchain technology might change banking | What is blockchain technology? (1/10)
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Blockchain vs Distributed Ledger Technology: Clarification of vocabulary
Blockchain In a narrow sense the blockchain is
the distributed ledger that is used to
exchange Bitcoins in the Bitcoin
network. However, many people use
the word “blockchain” to describe
the set of technologies that
constitute a complete DLT system.
Distributed Ledger
Technology General term to describe a distributed,
append-only database in which records are
immutable and the state of the database is
defined by a consensus mechanism.
Bitcoin Network The largest distributed ledger with an
embedded cryptocurrency with a
market capitalisation
of several billion dollars.
Ethereum
A public distributed ledger with extensive
smart contract capability. The corresponding
cryptocurrency is Ether.
DLs can be used to provide an immutable history of records and reach consensus between nodes
participating in the network.
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The Bitcoin network is a specific implementation of a distributed ledger
1 Nakamoto, S. Bitcoin: A Peer-to-Peer Electronic Cash System
Technological Elements Bitcoin Implementation
Decentralized data management: No central
authority
Blockchain e.g. distributed ledger technology:
Distributed „P2P“ database
Consensus mechanism Proof-of-Work / Mining
Anonymity Use of a public key instead of a real name: A new
identity can be generated.
Smart Contracts Rudimental functionalities through Bitcoin script
… …
Access to the network (public / private and
permissioned / permissionless) Public / permissionless
» A white paper1 published in 2008 by the alias “Stoshi Nakamato” describes the concept of a
virtual currency called Bitcoin.
Distributed ledger is only one technology element of the Bitcoin network. The technology has to be
complemented by further elements that are suited for the respective use case.
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Schematic representation of a procedure of the distributed ledger technology
(DLT)
Block i
Hash
Block i+1
Hash
Block i+2
Hash …
» A hash-code is a “fingerprint” of the previous block.
» For a new block, a hashcode of the previous block has to be generated.
» Every 10 minutes a new block is generated within the Bitcoin network.
» If there are changes to either the hash code or the block, they are not consistent anymore.
» Therefore transactions can not be easily manipulated or reversed.
…
» Distributed ledger: Distributed database, with transactions saved block wise and single
blocks connected by nested cryptographic hashes.
The DL is a distributed “append-only” database.
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There are two main types of consensus mechanisms
Proof-of-Work (PoW) Proof-of-Stake (PoS)
» Consensus is reached via solving a
computationally challenging
mathematical problem
» So called miners try to solve that problem
and are rewarded if they find the solution
to that problem
» By doing that they validated the next
block
» Via the PoW mechanism the rate at
which blocks are created can be adjusted
changing the difficulty of the problem
» Time between blocks gives the network
time to synchronize
» The Bitcoin network uses this consensus
mechanism.
» The PoS mechanism is not based on the
“hashing power” of the nodes rather on
the stake they either carry in a
corresponding cryptocurrency or voting
mechanisms
» Advantage of PoS over PoW is that it
does not require as much computing
power (simple calculations based on
stake)
» Ethereum will change to PoS
For a lot of use cases in financial services the PoW mechanism is not suitable.
2016-10-12 | How FinTechs and blockchain technology might change banking | What is blockchain technology? (5/10)
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Smart Contracts – A definition attempt
Definition Example (Ethereum)
contract token {
mapping (address => uint) public coinBalanceOf;
event CoinTransfer(address sender, address receiver, uint amount);
function token(uint supply) {
if (supply == 0) supply = 10000;
coinBalanceOf[msg.sender] = supply;
}
function sendCoin(address receiver, uint amount) returns(bool sufficient) {
if (coinBalanceOf[msg.sender] < amount) return false;
coinBalanceOf[msg.sender] -= amount;
coinBalanceOf[receiver] += amount;
CoinTransfer(msg.sender, receiver, amount);
return true;
}
} A tradeable token can be generated in the
Ethereum network based on around 20 lines of
solidity code.
1. Smart Contracts are autonomous, i.e. after they are deployed
they can not be modified anymore and can only be used by
applying certain rules and programs. The correct execution of
these is a part of the verification process ensured by the
blockchain network.
2. The generation of a smart contract or the triggering of a certain
function of a smart contract are put into effect by transactions.
3. Therefore, changes to the state of the distributed ledger can
be controlled by a programmable business logic.
4. Smart Contracts are autonomous accounts in a blockchain
network which can themselves hold tokens or units of the virtual
currency.
5. Smart contracts can already be used in the Ethereum network.
Smart contracts enable to implement complex business logic on the blockchain.
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What are potential benefits of using DLT in the financial sector?
Less
intermediaries 4
» Intermediaries could be omitted or their role could change, since some of their services are carried
out by the DL
» Reduction of transaction costs due to lower process costs
Cost cutting 2 » Reduction of IT costs by replacing complex legacy systems
» Reduction of staff costs by more efficient processes
Simplification of
processes 3
» “Golden Source” is the DL. It allows a common view for all involved parties
» Efforts for reconciliation processes might be reduced dramatically
Risk reduction 1
» Reduction of settlement risk by shortening the settlement cycle and linking payment and delivery
» Process automation reduces process risks
» Up-to-date encoding methods (compared to username/password technique) increase IT security
Automation 5 » Smart contracts enable to encode business logic on the DL
» Examples: Automated payment of dividends / coupons, processing of corporate events
Clear focus are quicker, more efficient and cost effective processes.
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Central clearing of derivatives based on DLT
1. Central clearing of derivatives is done using DLT. The role of the central counterparty is limited to the handling of defaults.
2. Collateral exchange, margin calculation and further functionalities are done on the DL.
3. Smaller players can connect to central counterparties due to more efficient processes and reduced costs.
Vis
ion
Central Clearing of Derivatives
Current process Process using DLT
» Currently, a central counterparty carries out various
functions.
» This includes: Valuation of derivatives, determination of
initial margin, exchange of margins (VM, IM),
processing of lifecycle events and implementation of the
risk waterfall.
Clearing
Member
CM1
CM
CM2
CM1 CM2
Central
Counterparty CCP
CCP
1
2
Execution, Trade capture,
Confirmation
Novation to CCP
Trade
Collateral
» Substantial functions of a CCP can be carried out by a DL with sufficient smart
contract functionalities.
» Valuation, calculation and exchange of collateral can be carried on the DL
» Implementing the risk waterfalls remains the biggest challenge for a realization.
Derivate DL
Cash/WP DL
1 2 4 3
1 After a digital signature of both parties the
trade can be booked in the DL if enough
margin is available.
Automated exchange of collateral
and payments with respect to that
trade
4
2
Rebooking of collateral to a custodian
account or implementation via a so
called DAO („Decentralized
Autonomous Organizations“)
3 CM1
CM2
Execution, Trade
capture, Confirmation
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Current challenges
Confidentiality » A lot of use cases require the confidentiality of data
» However in a distributed system it is inherently
difficult to do this
» Permissioned chains, pseudonymity, hash or encrypt
data, zero knowledge proofs, …
Issue Comment
Scalability » With respect to the number of transactions processed
for a given use case current technology cannot
handle the most demanding use cases
» Use PoS instead of PoW
» It is constantly improved and some vendors claim to
reach thousands of transactions per second
Governance » The community currently discusses how updates and
bugs can be handled (compare DAO hack)
» One solution can be modularized code that is
referenced by addresses
» Hard forks are not final solution
» Is an independent body of governance needed?
Legal » How can one make sure that what happens on the
chain is legally enforceable in the real world?
» Some vendors directly include a coupling of the legal
contracts with the transactions on the chain
Standardization » Currently a lot of new technologies evolve. However,
it is not desired that the ecosystem becomes too
complex and no common standards emerge.
» This remains to be seen. Open source projects are
candidates for standard setting projects.
2016-10-12 | How FinTechs and blockchain technology might change banking | What is blockchain technology? (9/10)
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Conclusions
DLT is still in a PoC phase and it remains to be seen to which extent promised
advantages can be realized in practice.
It is not expected that change is happening in a big bang rather changes will
happen gradually.
Using DLT will drastically change processes and impact organisational structures.
The technology has the potential to change the roles of some of the market
participants dramatically.
There will probably several blockchain implementations tailored for specific use
cases.
2016-10-12 | How FinTechs and blockchain technology might change banking | What is blockchain technology? (10/10)
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