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    History and Social ScienceRichard Ostrofsky

    (May, 2006)

    In his treatise on Poetics (Part IX), Aristotle declares: Poetry, therefore, is

    a more philosophical and a higher thing than history, for poetry tends to

    express the universal, history the particular. Agree or not, such valorizing

    of the abstract and general over the concrete and particular was crucial to

    the development of science and to our present-day, scientific world-view. To

    a classical philosopher, particulars are valued for the universal truths that

    they embody. Incidental features are irrelevant if not corrupt or deviant.

    As any actual circle that could be drawn is inferior to the mathematically

    ideal circle, so actual people and the things they did are inferior to godly

    ideals of heroism and wisdom. The actual historical record is always less

    edifying, less inspiring, than the myth. Why labor to chronicle the hurly-

    burly of a real war, when you could read Homer? Even today, by the same

    token, why study history (which, at its best, can only tell you what

    happened in some particular situation), when you could turn to sociologyfor a theory of how people behave and how societies work in every similar

    situation?

    A central result of the Darwinian concept of a self-organizing universe is

    to overturn this philosophical preference for ideal types and grand

    generalities. Fitness the quality of fecundity, and ecological

    compatibility with everything else is a quality of individual cases and

    specimens. Life is a probing of the edge of the possible (in Stuart

    Kauffmans words), not a living up to general principles. The patterns and

    principles that we find in nature always come after the fact. Any generalprinciples that we discover are abstractions of our representations of the

    real, rather than laws to be obeyed or plans to be followed. In particular,

    sociology is only possible when the complexities and sheer messiness of

    lived events are ignored or stripped away. Historians too must do this to

    some extent, if they are to tell a coherent story. But they, at least, are

    committed to recognize and capture (what they judge to be) the essential

    facts of a concrete situation. And they are aware and apologetic for their

    necessary acts of reductive judgment as sociologists, too often, are not.

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    Ignorance of history and preference for sociology in the United States

    may be one cause of that countrys self-defeating approach to foreign policy

    and its disastrous neo-conservatism which is not conservative at all.

    Sociology, after all, suggests the possibility of social engineering a

    technologizing effort to change society according to ones own preferences.

    By contrast, history mostly exposes the futility of such efforts and the

    human suffering they have caused. Authentic conservatives know this.

    Consequently, they prefer an evolutionary and Fabian approach to social

    change, and are suspicious of drastic measures. Whether we think them

    right or wrong on a particular issue, they deserve better than to be confused

    with the present lot of radical opportunists who call themselvesconservative and are anything but.

    The Darwinian view of society as a self-organizing system explains why

    the study of history is vitally important, and why sociology is at best the

    historians useful servant, not the other way round. Sociology can be a

    useful adjunct to common sense in the construction of historical

    explanations, but it is unlikely that we will ever know enough about the

    dynamics of social organization to predict future history, any more than we

    can know enough about atmospheric physics to predict the weather more

    than a few days ahead. On the other hand, the theory of self-organizing

    systems requires that a society remain consistent with itself, and that each

    day, week and year, must build on the outcomes of the last in re-entrant

    fashion. Come what may, a society remains tightly bound to its own past in

    ways not necessarily predictable, but very real.

    Perhaps we learn nothing from history except that we learn nothing from

    history. Even so, reading history at least gives a feeling for the ecological

    character of a society, and its resistance to change against its character. It

    helps us see society as an organic whole, more easily deranged thanmended. Serious history also exposes the shallowness and mendacity of

    historical myth. This alone should be sufficient reason to study it.