higher education differential in india
TRANSCRIPT
1
Higher Education Differential along Gender and SocioeconomicDimensions in India
Chenna Reddy Cotla1,2
1 Department of Computational Social Science, Krasnow Institute for Advanced Study, George Mason
University, Fairfax, Virginia, USA
2 Interdisciplinary Center for Economic Science, George Mason University, Fairfax, Virginia, USA
E-mail: [email protected]
Abstract
Using a recent national level survey data, I have systematically investigated the pattern of higher educa-
tion differential along gender, socioeconomic and geographical dimensions in India. I have found a salient
differential in the attainment of higher education across gender subgroups, social groups and also across
the quintiles of economic variables. I have further investigated the evolution of the higher education dif-
ferential over different time frames in the recent history of India. These analyses show that while gender
based differential is fast declining over time, the social group based differential seems to be significantly
persistent.
Introduction
Individuals with higher education are a crucial component of a country’s intellectual capital. It is well
established from various studies that in India, social and economic capital is highly differentiated along
the socio religious dimensions (Desai, 2010; Desai & Amaresh, 2011; Vanneman & Dubey, 2011; Vanne-
man, Noon, & Desai, 2006). Since social and economic capital available to a household plays a crucial
role in the educational attainment of its members, we have systematically investigated how the higher
educational attainment is differentiated along socioeconomic and gender dimensions. Using one of the
most recent nationally representative survey data, the 2004-2005 Indian Human Development Survey, we
have investigated the different gender, socioeconomic and geographic dimensions along which inequalities
in the attainment of higher education exist in India. We have further investigated the way the higher
education differential across gender and socioeconomic subgroups is patterned for individuals belonging
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to different age groups. Since these age groups correspond to different time frames of potential graduation
if an individual follows the normal course of education, the way higher education differential is patterned
along gender and social subgroup dimensions over these age groups can shed light on the evolution of
higher education differential over the corresponding time frames.
Data and Methodology
Survey Data
For the current analysis, we have made use of the cross-sectional data generated from the India Human
development Survey (IHDS), 2005 (Desai et al., 2007). IHDS is a nationally representative survey con-
ducted from November 2004 to October 2005. In total, 215, 754 individuals from 41, 554 rural and urban
households were sampled in India. This multi-topic survey included a wide range of questions about
demographic details, health, education, employment, income, assets, consumption, and gender relations.
The questions about education and socioeconomic status form the basis of the results reported in this
paper.
Outcomes and Predictors
The outcome measure of the study is a dichotomous variable indicating whether an adult is a college
graduate (1) or not (0). Since the minimum age for obtaining a college degree if an individual follows the
normal course of education in India is 21 we restrict our attention to adults with age 21 or greater. An
individual is coded in the data as a college graduate if he/she has completed 15 years of education.
The main predictors include membership in a social group that is defined along the lines of caste
and religion, economic status measured by household assets, household income, and monthly per capita
consumption of the individuals, residency location, and finally membership in a age cohort that we have
formed by dividing age into five categories.
Caste and religion were identified at the household level in the IHDS survey. These social groups
are separated into Brahmin, High Caste, Other Backward Caste, Scheduled Castes, Scheduled Tribes,
Muslims, and Religious minorities including Jains, Sikhs, and Christians. We have grouped together all
the minorities into one group in our analyses.
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Household income data was collected from queries of over 50 different income sources. These sources
include eight major household income types: family farm income, household agricultural wages, non-
agricultural wages, salaries, net business income, sum household remittance, government benefits, and
property and pensions. Similar to the income data, the household assets data was constructed from
multiple queries. The total household assets is the total number of possessions of the household of 22
equally weighted consumer goods and eight aspects of housing quality. Monthly per capita consumption
of the household was constructed from a set of 47 questions. These included 30 questions on monthly
expenditure and 17 questions on annual expenditure reported for the previous year. The final consumption
was calculated as the sum of the expenditure on monthly items and one twelfth of the expenditure on
the annual items. For our analyses, we have divided household income, household assets, and monthly
per capita consumption of the household into quintiles. For the income variable, we have also created
another group for the households that have reported a negative income in the survey along with quintiles.
Along with the socioeconomic categorical variables, we have created another categorical variable by
dividing age of individuals into five groups. Age was divided into five categories to capture the time
trends in the higher education scenario: Age Cohort 1 (21 - 30 years), Age Cohort 2 (31 - 40 years), Age
Cohort 3 (41 - 50 years), Age Cohort 4 (51 - 60 years), and Age Cohort 5 (> 60 years). For individuals
following normal course of education the first four cohorts map to four 10 year time frames in which
individuals could graduate: cohort 1 (1996 - 2005), cohort 2 (1986 - 1995), cohort 3 (1976 - 1985), cohort
4 (1966 - 1975). Cohort 5 groups all individuals who could graduate before 1966 if they have followed
the standard course of education. These categorical predictors can shed light on the time trends in the
way the roles of gender and social groups have influenced the odds of obtaining higher education.
Model Specification
We have used multivariate logistic regression to model the association between probability of obtaining
a college degree at the individual level with demographic and socioeconomic predictors. The binary
response, y, (college graduate or not) for each individual is related to a set of categorical predictors,
X, (gender, age cohort, residency location, religion, caste, household income, household assets, monthly
per capita consumption). To account for unobservable state level differences that can influence the
outcome variable we have included state level fixed effects. The logit link function that related response
to predictors is then:
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logit(πi) = log(
πi
1−πi
)= β0 + βX + ε
The probability that an individual is a college graduate is πi. The parameter β0 estimates the log
odds of obtaining a college degree for the reference group and the parameters β estimate with maximum
likelihood the differential log odds of obtaining a college degree associated with the predictor X, as
compared to the reference group. All the analyses were computed using the statistical program STATA
12 ‘logit’ procedure using sampling weights to derive inferences at the national level. Finally, we have
clustered standard errors at the primary sampling unit (PSU) level to account for the correlation among
observations in a given PSU.
Results
Descriptive Statistics
A total of 118, 224 individuals were included in the analysis after excluding individuals younger than 21
years of age and individuals for whom the data for relevant predictors is not available. In this sample,
there were a total of 9,808 graduates. The distributions of individuals with college degree for gender,
social groups, and the quintiles of household income, assets and monthly consumption per capita, age
cohorts, and residency location are listed in Table 1. The variable CG represents number of college
graduates. The descriptive figures indicate a strong differential in securing higher education along gender
and socioeconomic status (GSES), residency location dimensions. Also, the differential across age cohorts
is salient. In the following section, we will systematically explore the individual influence of each of these
predictors by mutually adjusting for other predictors.
Socioeconomic and Gender Differentials in Higher Education
The conditional odds ratio (OR) and its 95% confidence interval of each subgroup is shown in Table
2. Both individual effects of the predictors without adjusting for other socioeconomic, gender, age and
residency effects and with mutually adjusting for other socioeconomic, gender, age and residency effects
are reported. The reference group represents a Brahmin male belonging to the Age Cohort 1 (21 - 30
years) living in a metro city. He belongs to the top quintile in terms of household assets, income and per
capita consumption.
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Table 1. Descriptive Statistics
N (%) CG (%)
Total 118224 100 9808 8.30
Gender
Men 59582 50.40 7062 10.86
Women 58642 49.60 3639 5.69
Age Cohorts
21 − 30 y 37508 31.73 4319 11.51
31 − 40 y 29814 25.22 2609 8.75
41 − 50 y 21820 18.46 1521 6.97
51 − 60 y 15367 13.00 890 5.79
> 60 y 13715 11.60 469 3.42
Caste
Brahmin 7345 6.21 1679 22.86
High Caste 21352 18.06 3054 14.30
Other Backward Castes 40544 34.29 2594 6.40
Scheduled Castes 22427 18.97 835 3.72
Scheduled Tribes 8982 7.60 358 3.99
Muslim 13200 11.17 639 4.84
Sikh/Jain/Christian 4374 3.70 649 14.84
Urban - Rural Status
Metro city 11261 9.53 1913 16.99
Small city or town 32625 27.60 5046 15.47
Village 74338 62.88 2849 3.83
Household Assets
Top Quintile 26190 22.15 6684 25.52
Second Quintile 21400 18.10 1817 8.49
Third Quintile 23989 20.29 788 3.28
Fourth Quintile 25053 21.19 411 1.64
Bottom Quintile 21592 18.26 108 0.50
Income
Top Quintile 26270 22.22 6053 23.04
Second Quintile 23949 20.26 2000 8.35
Third Quintile 22478 19.01 787 3.50
Fourth Quintile 21826 18.46 453 2.08
Bottom Quintile 22355 18.91 477 2.13
Negative Income 1346 1.14 38 2.82
Monthly Consumption Per Capita
Top Quintile 27612 23.36 6090 22.06
Second Quintile 24961 21.11 2031 8.14
Third Quintile 23481 19.86 1002 4.27
Fourth Quintile 21903 18.53 458 2.09
Bottom Quintile 20267 17.14 227 1.12
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Table 2. Odds ratios of obtaining higher education across GSES, age, and residency location factors, fixedeffects on states
Unadjusted for GSES factors Adjusted for GSES factors
OR (95% CI) OR (95% CI)
Gender
Men (omitted)
Women 0.45∗∗∗ [0.43 - 0.48] 0.37∗∗∗ [0.35 - 0.40]
Age Cohorts
21 − 30 y (omitted)
31 − 40 y 0.71∗∗∗ [0.66 - 0.78] 0.68∗∗∗ [0.62 - 0.75]
41 − 50 y 0.52∗∗∗ [0.47 - 0.57] 0.38∗∗∗ [0.34 - 0.42]
51 − 60 y 0.42∗∗∗ [0.37 - 0.47] 0.27∗∗∗ [0.24 - 0.31]
> 60 y 0.25∗∗∗ [0.21 - 0.29] 0.16∗∗∗ [0.14 - 0.19]
Caste
Brahmin (omitted)
High Caste 0.56∗∗∗ [0.49 - 0.65] 0.67∗∗∗ [0.59 - 0.77]
Other Backward Castes 0.23∗∗∗ [0.20 - 0.26] 0.49∗∗∗ [0.42 - 0.56]
Scheduled Castes 0.12∗∗∗ [0.10 - 0.15] 0.37∗∗∗ [0.31 - 0.44]
Scheduled Tribes 0.09∗∗∗ [0.07 - 0.12] 0.49∗∗∗ [0.38 - 0.65]
Muslim 0.17∗∗∗ [0.14 - 0.20] 0.31∗∗∗ [0.26 - 0.37]
Sikh/Jain/Christian 0.56∗∗∗ [0.45 - 0.69] 0.63∗∗∗ [0.50 - 0.79]
Urban - Rural Status
Metro city (omitted)
Small city or town 0.91 [0.73 - 1.13] 1.09 [0.91 - 1.31]
Village 0.20∗∗∗ [0.16 - 0.25] 0.75∗∗ [0.62 - 0.91]
Household Assets
Top Quintile (omitted)
Second Quintile 0.26∗∗∗ [0.23 - 0.29] 0.43∗∗∗ [0.39 - 0.48]
Third Quintile 0.09∗∗∗ [0.08 - 0.11] 0.25∗∗∗ [0.22 - 0.30]
Fourth Quintile 0.04∗∗∗ [0.04 - 0.05] 0.18∗∗∗ [0.14 - 0.23]
Bottom Quintile 0.01∗∗∗ [0.01 - 0.01] 0.05∗∗∗ [0.03 - 0.06]
Income
Top Quintile (omitted)
Second Quintile 0.30∗∗∗ [0.27 - 0.33] 0.53∗∗∗ [0.48 - 0.59]
Third Quintile 0.11∗∗∗ [0.10 - 0.13] 0.38∗∗∗ [0.32 - 0.44]
Fourth Quintile 0.06∗∗∗ [0.05 - 0.07] 0.35∗∗∗ [0.29 - 0.42]
Bottom Quintile 0.06∗∗∗ [0.05 - 0.07] 0.45∗∗∗ [0.37 - 0.55]
Negative Income 0.10∗∗∗ [0.05 - 0.19] 0.41∗ [0.21 - 0.81]
MCPC
Top Quintile (omitted)
Second Quintile 0.33∗∗∗ [0.30 - 0.37] 0.57∗∗∗ [0.51 - 0.63]
Third Quintile 0.14∗∗∗ [0.12 - 0.16] 0.40∗∗∗ [0.34 - 0.45]
Fourth Quintile 0.08∗∗∗ [0.06 - 0.10] 0.37∗∗∗ [0.29 - 0.46]
Bottom Quintile 0.03∗∗∗ [0.02 - 0.04] 0.28∗∗∗ [0.21 - 0.37]
Note:∗ p < 0.05, ∗∗ p < 0.01, ∗∗∗ p < 0.001
Confidence intervals are estimated using standard errors clustered at the PSU level
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In the unadjusted case, we see a striking differential in the higher education across social groups.
Individuals in Scheduled Castes are 88% less likely to obtain a college degree compared to individuals
from Brahmins community (OR = 0.12, 95% CI = 0.10 - 0.15). More strikingly, Individuals from
Scheduled Tribes are 91% less likely to obtain a college degree compared to individuals in the Brahmins
community (OR = 0.09, 95% CI = 0.07 - 0.12). We also notice a strong differential in Muslims group
and Other Backward Castes group. When we adjust for gender, economic, residency, and age effects the
higher education differential across social groups is significantly alleviated. With adjustment for GSES,
age and geographical factors, individuals from Scheduled Castes are 51% less likely to obtain a college
degree compared to the reference group in contrast to 88% less likely to obtain a college degree compared
to Brahmins in the unadjusted case. While there is significant attenuation in the differential across the
social groups in the adjusted case, still a significant differential do exists across socio religious groups.
We found a statistically significant higher education differential along the economic status lines. For
all three economic status variables: household assets, income and per capita monthly consumption, we
find statistically significant differential in the attainment of higher education across the quintiles. The
differential is attenuated to a small extent when adjusted for other GSES variables, age, and residency
variables. The differential across the quintiles of household assets is stronger compared to that of the
differential across quintiles of income and monthly per capita consumption. The individuals from the
bottom quintile of assets are 95% (OR = 0.05, 95% CI = 0.03-0.06) less likely to obtain a college degree
compared to that of individuals in the reference group. In contrast, the individuals from bottom quintile
of income are 55% (OR = 0.45, 95% CI = 0.37-0.55) less likely to obtain a college degree and individuals
from the bottom quintile of monthly per capita consumption are 72% (OR = 0.28, 95% CI = 0.21 - 0.37)
less likely to obtain a college degree compared to that of the reference group.
While we see a stronger differential across residency locations, the differential is almost eliminated
when adjusted for other GSES and age factors. For socioeconomic variables we have seen that the
differential in the attainment of higher education attenuates across subgroups when mutually adjusted
for other GSES factors, age and residency location. However, we notice the opposite trend for the age
and gender variables. The differential in higher education is amplified for subgroups of gender and age
cohorts when mutually adjusted for other GSES factors and residency location. For example, women are
55% ( OR = 0.45, 95% CI = 0.43 - 0.48) less likely to obtain higher education compared to the men in
the unadjusted case while they are 67% (OR = 0.37, 95% CI = 0.35 - 0.40) less likely to obtain higher
8
education compared to the reference group in the adjusted case.
Discussion
In the previous section, we have seen that a very significant differential exists in terms of attainment
of higher education along the lines of GSES factors and age. Here we further explore the interaction
between Gender, Social Groups and Age. We have excluded the economic factors since we cannot assume
with confidence that economic status remains unchanged over the life times of all individuals. Our
investigation is centered on exploring if differential opportunities were present for the social and gender
subgroups over the decades that correspond to the first four age cohorts and the time period before 1966
that corresponds to the fifth age cohort. For this analysis, following the methodology of hierarchically well
formulated models (Jaccard 2001), we have included in the original logit link function the three two-way
interaction terms and a three way interaction term using age, gender, social groups dummy variables.
However, we observed that all the coefficients on the three way interaction terms are simultaneously not
statistically different from zero (χ2 = 24.07, df = 24, p = 0.46). Therefore, in the actual investigation
we have dropped the three-way interaction terms and retained only two-way interaction terms among
gender, age and social groups. Table 3 presents the the conditional odds ratios (OR) and corresponding
95% confidence interval for all the interaction terms. Interestingly, interactions are significant mainly for
gender and age cohorts and emphasize a negative differential in the opportunities for women in the time
periods corresponding to the cohorts 2 - 5 compared to that cohort 1. The coefficients on the interaction
terms involving Cohort 2, Cohort 3, Cohort 4 are statistically not different (χ2 = 4.28, df = 2, p = 0.12).
Figure 1 shows the predicted probabilities in terms of number of graduates in 1000 individuals for males
and females across age cohorts. We can notice a significant change in the predicted probabilities of
obtaining higher education for women in comparison to men over age cohorts. To get even a better idea
we have plotted the ratio of predicted probabilities for males to females for the five age cohorts in Figure
2. The probability that a women in age cohort 5 obtaining higher education is almost 1/7 of the predicted
probability of a man in the same age cohort obtaining higher education. In contrast, the probability that
a woman in the age cohort 1 obtaining higher education is approximately 1/2 of the predicted probability
of a man in the same cohort obtaining higher education. More strikingly, the predicted probability
of a woman obtaining higher education in age cohort 1 is almost 3 times the corresponding predicted
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Table 3. Interaction between gender, age and social groups, adjusted for urban-rural status, assets, income,consumption with fixed effects on states
Interaction Between Gender and SES factors
OR (95% CI)
Caste × Age Cohort
High Castes × Cohort2 (31 − 40 y) 1.13 [0.88 - 1.45]
High Castes × Cohort3 (41 − 50 y) 0.98 [0.71 - 1.35]
High Castes × Cohort4 (51 − 60 y) 1.16 [0.84 - 1.61]
High Castes × Cohort5 (> 60 y) 1.37 [0.93 - 2.01]
Other Backward Castes × Cohort2 (31 − 40 y) 0.90 [0.69 - 1.18]
Other Backward Castes × Cohort3 (41 − 50 y) 0.63∗∗ [0.45 - 0.89]
Other Backward Castes × Cohort4 (51 − 60 y) 0.51∗∗ [0.34 - 0.77]
Other Backward Castes × Cohort5 (> 60 y) 0.63∗ [0.40 - 0.99]
Scheduled Castes × Cohort2 (31 − 40 y) 0.77 [0.55 - 1.08]
Scheduled Castes × Cohort3 (41 − 50 y) 0.53∗∗ [0.34 - 0.81]
Scheduled Castes × Cohort4 (51 − 60 y) 0.56∗ [0.35 - 0.89]
Scheduled Castes × Cohort5 (> 60 y) 0.46∗ [0.25 - 0.87]
Scheduled Tribes × Cohort2 (31 − 40 y) 0.76 [0.52 - 1.12]
Scheduled Tribes × Cohort3 (41 − 50 y) 0.70 [0.33 - 1.48]
Scheduled Tribes × Cohort4 (51 − 60 y) 0.66 [0.35 - 1.27]
Scheduled Tribes × Cohort5 (> 60 y) 0.67 [0.27 - 1.69]
Muslims × Cohort2 (31 − 40 y) 1.10 [0.78 - 1.55]
Muslims × Cohort3 (41 − 50 y) 0.90 [0.57 - 1.43]
Muslims × Cohort4 (51 − 60 y) 1.00 [0.59 - 1.69]
Muslims × Cohort5 (> 60 y) 1.86 [0.98 - 3.50]
Sikh/Jain/Christian × Cohort2 (31 − 40 y) 0.82 [0.52 - 1.29]
Sikh/Jain/Christian × Cohort3 (41 − 50 y) 0.88 [0.52 - 1.49]
Sikh/Jain/Christian × Cohort4 (51 − 60 y) 0.66 [0.37 - 1.19]
Sikh/Jain/Christian × Cohort5 (> 60 y) 1.24 [0.64 - 2.40]
Female × Caste
Female × High Castes 1.30∗ [1.02 - 1.66]
Female × Other Backward Castes 0.93 [0.72 - 1.20]
Female × Scheduled Castes 0.91 [0.68 - 1.21]
Female × Scheduled Tribes 0.72 [0.47 - 1.12]
Female × Muslims 0.87 [0.62 - 1.20]
Female × Sikh/Jain/Christian 2.64∗∗∗ [1.98 - 3.52]
Female × Age Cohort
Female × Cohort2 (31 − 40 y) 0.44∗∗∗ [0.37 - 0.51]
Female × Cohort3 (41 − 50 y) 0.39∗∗∗ [0.32 - 0.47]
Female × Cohort4 (51 − 60 y) 0.35∗∗∗ [0.28 - 0.44]
Female × Cohort5 (> 60 y) 0.28∗∗∗ [0.21 - 0.37]
Note:∗ p < 0.05, ∗∗ p < 0.01, ∗∗∗ p < 0.001
Confidence intervals are estimated using standard errors clustered at the PSU level
10
21 − 30 31 − 40 41 − 50 51 − 60 > 600
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Age Cohorts
Pre
dic
ted
Nu
mb
er
of C
olle
ge
Gra
du
ate
s in 1
00
0 I
nd
ivid
ua
ls
Males
Females
Figure 1. Predicted probabilities of obtaining higher education for males and females over differentage cohorts (error bars represent 95% confidence intervals)
probability for a woman in age cohort 2.
We have observed a very mild interaction between gender and social groups. Except for high castes and
minorities the interaction effect is absent for other groups (Table 3). One interpretation of these results
is that women were mostly not subject to selective differential opportunities across social groups. The
coefficients on high castes and minorities interaction terms with gender are positive indicating preferential
opportunities in these groups compared to the Brahmins group. Thus the existing differences in the
attainment of higher education for women in different social groups can be attributed to the differential
opportunities present for individuals in these social groups irrespective of gender. Figure 3 depicts
the gender differential in higher education across social groups. We have plotted predicted predicted
probabilities in terms of number of graduates in 1000 individuals for both males and females for different
social groups.
Finally, the odds ratios of the interaction terms between social groups and age cohorts also indicate
that interaction between social groups and age cohorts is mostly absent. Except for the interaction terms
involving Schedules Castes and Other Backward Castes the odds ratios are statistically not different from
1. Figure 4 depicts the social group differential in higher education across age cohorts. We have plotted
predicted predicted probabilities in terms of number of graduates in 1000 individuals for all social groups
11
> 60 51 − 60 41 − 50 31 − 40 21 − 301
2
3
4
5
6
7
Age Cohorts
Ra
tio
of
Pre
dic
ted
Pro
ba
bili
tie
s f
or
Ma
les a
nd
Fe
ma
les
Figure 2. Ratio of predicted probabilities of obtaining higher education for males and females over agecohorts
Brahmins HC OBC SC ST Muslims Others0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Social Group
Pre
dic
ted N
um
ber
of
Colle
ge G
radu
ate
s in 1
00
0 In
div
idu
als
Males
Females
Figure 3. Predicted probabilities of obtaining higher education for males and females over differentsocial groups (error bars represent 95% confidence intervals)
12
21 − 30 31 − 40 41 − 50 51 − 60 > 600
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Age Cohorts
Pre
dic
ted N
um
be
r of C
olle
ge
Gra
duate
s in
10
00 in
div
idu
als
Brahmin
High Castes
Other Backward Castes
Scheduled Castes
Scehduled Tribes
Muslims
Sikhs/Jains/Christians
Figure 4. Predicted probabilities of obtaining higher education for individuals in different socialgroups over age cohorts (error bars represent 95% confidence intervals)
over age cohorts. The significant odd ratios for Other Backward Castes and Scheduled Castes indicate
the presence selectively unfavorable opportunities to obtain higher education for individuals in these
subgroups for the corresponding age cohorts compared to the reference age cohort. Overall, in contrast
to the fast declining gender differential, the social group based differential is relatively persisting in the
higher education scenario over the time frames corresponding to the age cohorts.
Conclusion
Our study suggests a very salient higher education differential along gender and socioeconomic lines. The
differential among social subgroups and gender subgroups seems to be declining over the time. Especially,
the fast shrinking differential in obtaining higher education between males and females is encouraging.
The results also indicate that females were mostly not selectively discriminated in terms of opportunities
for obtaining higher education across different social groups. At the same time, persisting higher education
differential across social groups which seems to be only moderately minimized over the considered time
frames in spite of the caste based reservations in India suggests the need for alternative policies to minimize
the differential. While reservations program do provide opportunities to the historically backward groups,
13
these groups might not be able to fully utilize the benefits of such a program due to economic constraints.
Finally, apart from the differential across gender and socioeconomic factors, the percentage of individuals
obtaining higher education in India is dismal when compared to that of developed countries.
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