general theories in other disciplines

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General theories in other disciplines Pontus Johnson KTH Royal Institute of Technology 1

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General theories in other disciplines

Pontus JohnsonKTH Royal Institute of Technology

1

”General Theory”An ostensive definition

2

Maxwell’s Equations

James Clerk Maxwell, A Treatise on Electricity and Magnetism, 1873

The Standard Model

4

Theory of the Big Bang(Original version)

"all the energy of the universe packed in a few or even in a unique quantum."

G. Lemaître, The Beginning of the World from the Point of View of Quantum Theory, 1931

Theory of the Cell

T. Schwann, M. J. Schleiden, Microscopical researches into the accordance in the structure and growth of animals and plants, 1847

Probability Theory

7

✦ Frequentist interpretation✦ Subjective Bayesian interpretation✦ Objective Bayesian interpretation✦ Propensity✦ ....

The Theory of Supply and Demand

Augustin Cournot, Recherches sur les principes mathématiques de la théorie des richesses, 1838

The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money

J. M. Keynes, The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money, 1936

A General Theory of Human Information Processing

R. Shiffrin, W. Schneider, Controlled and Automatic Human Information Processing: II. Perceptual Learning, Automatic Attending, and a General Theory, 1977

A Theory of the Psyche

S. Freud, Introductory Lectures on Psycho-Analysis, 1915

The Theory of Special Relativity

Einstein, Albert (1905a), "Zur Elektrodynamik bewegter Körper", Annalen der Physik 322

In academia, general theories are the norm

13

Other Established Theories

14

A Unified Theory of Income and Happiness, Easterlin, 2001A General Theory of Crime, Gottfredson & Hirschi, 1990An Economic Theory of Democracy, Downs, 1957The Theory of the Final Human Government, Fukuyama, 1992The Germ Theory of Disease, Semmelweiss, 1847A General Theory of Political Economy, Lenin, 1917A General Theory of Economy, Adam Smith, 1776A Theory of Organizational Structure, Mintzberg, 1979A Theory of Justice, Rawls, 1999A Theory of World Conflict, Huntington, 1993The Theory of the Growth of the Firm, Penrose, 1959...

General Theories according to scientific databases

General Theories published 2013

16

A general theory of acute and chronic heart failure International Journal of Cardiology

A general theory of business marketingIndustrial Marketing Management

A more general theory of commodity bundlingJournal of Economic Theory

Life history theory and the general theory of crimeJournal of Social, Evolutionary, and Cultural Psychology

General theory of environment-assisted entanglement distillationIEEE Transactions on Information Theory

Towards a general theory of implementationImplementation Science

Outline of a general theory of behavior and brain coordinationNeural Networks

Who needs a general theory of social reality?Contemporary Sociology

An almost general theory of mean size perception Vision Research

...

The practical importance of theories of international relations

17

Three theories of international relations

Francis Fukuyama, 1989

Technology, wealth and globalization will eventually turn all countries into democratic, capitalistic, liberal states.

Samuel Huntington, 1992

The world’s eight basic civilizations are unifying economically and technologically, but not socially. ”Somewhere in the Middle East a half-dozen young men could well be dressed in jeans, drinking Coke, listening to rap, and betweens their bows to Mecca, putting together a bomb to blow up an American airliner.”

John Mearsheimer, 2001

In the absence of a world government to enforce rights, great powers find it impossible to trust one another, and simply striving for security drives them to seek control of their environment and thus dominance. If peace is to last, it will have to be fashioned from a stable balance of power.

Big, Practical Decision:How should the US act towards China?

Respect China's difference and hold back from attempts to stifle its influence.

Encourage China to join the West

Form a potent coalition to balance and contain China's power

Theory

OutcomeCurrent State

Balance of power

Action

CONTAINMENT

National security

Goal

Decision

Decision maker

Prediction

Big, Practical Decision:How should the US act towards China?

Everybody has some theory

”Practical men, who believe themselves to be quite exempt from any intellectual influence, are usually the slaves of some defunct economist.”

John Maynard Keynes

The practical importance of the theories of common people

27

Person.injury := World.time->exists(t : Time | roadcrossing.area.contains(person.position[t])

and roadcrossing.area.contains(car.position[t]))

Thing.position[t+1]=position[t]+speed[t]

Pontus’ theory of road crossing

positionspeed

Thing

injuryPerson Car

areaRoadCrossing

World

Current State Outcome

Prediction

Avoid injury

Goal

Decision

Decision makerTheory

Person.injury := World.time->exists(t : Time | sidewalk.area.contains(person.position[t])

and sidewalk.area.contains(car.position[t]))

Thing.position.x[t+1]=position.x[t]+speed.x[t]Thing.position.y[t+1]=position.y[t]+speed.y[t]

positionspeed

Thing

injuryPerson Car

areaSidewalk

World

Pontus’ theory of roadcrossing

Action

Big, Practical Decision:When should I cross the road?

The practical importance of some other general theories

30

The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money

J. M. Keynes, The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money, 1936

Big, Practical Decision:How to mitigate economic depression?

Maxwell’s Equations

James Clerk Maxwell, A Treatise on Electricity and Magnetism, 1873

Big, Practical Decision:How to build electric circuits?

A Theory of the Psyche

S. Freud, Introductory Lectures on Psycho-Analysis, 1915

Big, Practical Decision:How to cure psychological disorders?

The Germ Theory of Disease

Ignaz Semmelweiss, Etiology, Concept and Prophylaxis of Childbed Fever, 1847

Big, Practical Decision:How to reduce mortality rates?

What are the big, practical decisions in software engineering?

How to increase software engineering success?

How to better separate concerns?How to better divide software development labor?How to increase software engineering automation?How to understand the stakeholders better?How to minimize defects?...

Backup Slides

Karl Popper on TheoryThe Demarcation Criterion

Now theoretical science [...] aims at restricting the range of permitted events to a minimum; and, if this can be done at all, to such a degree that any further restriction would lead to an actual empirical falsification of the theory. If we could be successful in obtaining a theory such as this, then this theory would describe ‘our particular world’ as precisely as a theory can; for it would single out the world of ‘our experience’ from the class of all logically possible worlds of experience with the greatest precision attainable by theoretical science. All the events or classes of occurrences which we actually encounter and observe, and only these, would be characterized as ‘permitted’.

37

Permitted

Forbidden Permitted

Forbidden

High empirical contentLow empirical content

Examples of theories:

”All orbits of heavenly bodies are circles.”

”Whenever a thread is loaded with a weight exceeding that which characterizes the tensile strength of the thread, then it will break.”

Logically possible worlds

Quality Criteria of Theory

UniversalityInternal Precision

External PrecisionFormalizationConfirmation

38

Theory, laws and hypotheses

Hypotheses (later perhaps called "theories or '1aws") are among the results of scientific investigation; science aims at establishing general statements about the world. Scientific prediction and explanation require such generalizations.

(Salmon, W., The Foundations of Scientific Inference, 1967)

the·o·ry noun \ˈthē-ə-rē, ˈthir-ē\plural the·o·ries

Definition of THEORY

1: the analysis of a set of facts in their relation to one another2: abstract thought : speculation3: the general or abstract principles of a body of fact, a science, or an art <music theory>4a : a belief, policy, or procedure proposed or followed as the basis of action <her method is based on the theory that all children want to learn>

b : an ideal or hypothetical set of facts, principles, or circumstances —often used in the phrase in theory <in theory, we have always advocated freedom for all>5: a plausible or scientifically acceptable general principle or body of principles offered to explain phenomena <the wave theory of light>6a : a hypothesis assumed for the sake of argument or investigation

b : an unproved assumption : conjecture

c : a body of theorems presenting a concise systematic view of a subject <theory of equations>

Theory: (Gr. theoria, viewing) The hypothetical universal aspect of anything. For Plato, a contemplated truth. For Aristotle, pure knowledge as opposed to the practical. An abstraction from practice. The principle from which practice proceeds. Opposite of: practice. J.K.F.(1) Hypothesis. More loosely: supposition, whatever is problematic, verifiable but not verified.(2) (As opposed to practice): systematically organized knowledge of relatively high generality. (See "the theory of light").(3) (As opposed to laws and observations): explanation. The deduction of the axioms and theorems of one system from assertions (not necessarily verified) from another system and of a relatively less problematic and more intelligible nature.

(Runes, D. The Dictionary of Philosophy, 2006)

hypothesisEpistemology, philosophy of science [from Greek hypo, under + thesis, position, supposition, assumption] A tentative and speculative explanation of a problem or a provisional affirmation before proof. Such an explanation is made because of its explanatory power regarding the phenomenon. A hypothesis is subject to revision or abandonment through observation, experiment, and argument. If it is shown to be acceptable after these further investigations, it may be elevated to the status of a scientific theory or law. The use of hypotheses is essential for the development of science.“An hypothesis is a supposition which we make (either without actual evidence, or on evidence avowedly insufficient) in order to endeavour to deduce from it conclusions in accordance with facts which are known to be real.” The Collected Works of John Stuart Mill, vol. VII

(Bunnin, N., and Yu, J., The Blackwell Dictionary of Western Philosophy. 2009)

Normally a hypothesis is a statement not yet accepted as true, or as a law, while a law is only called a law if it is accepted, whether or not we call it ‘true’. But occasionally laws, though accepted, are still called hypotheses, e.g. ‘Avogadro’s hypothesis’. [...]Theory has various meanings: (i) One or more hypotheses or law-like statements (either of first two senses), regarded as speculative. (ii) A law about unobservables like electrons or evolution, sometimes called a theory because evidence about unobservables is felt to be inevitably inconclusive. (iii) A unified system of laws or hypotheses, with explanatory force (not merely like a railway timetable). (iv) A field of study (e.g. in philosophy: theory of knowledge, logical theory).

(Proudfoot, M., Lacey, A., The Routledge Dictionary of Philosophy, 2009)

hypothesis A proposition put forward as a supposition, rather than asserted. A hypothesis may be put forward for testing or for discussion, possibly as a prelude to acceptance or rejection.

(Backburn, S., The Oxford Dictionary of Philosophy, 1996)

In its explanatory account of the world, science posits novel entities and properties. [...] A theory is a set of hypotheses positing such entities and properties. (The Cambridge Dictionary of Philosophy, 1999)

Scientific theories are taken quite literally as hypotheses.(Salmon, W., The Foundations of Scientific Inference, 1967)

Definitions of theory

hypothetico-deductive methodPhilosophy of science A model of scientific explanation, abbreviated as the H-D method. It proposes that in creating a scientific theory, we should first formulate a general theory or hypothesis that can immediately explain the results already obtained and from which further particular statements or pre- dictions can be derived. These inferred predictions can be verified and falsified in experimental and observational tests. On this basis we decide whether to accept or to reject the general hypothesis.

(Bunnin, N., and Yu, J., The Blackwell Dictionary of Western Philosophy. 2009)

“As it is frequently characterised, the hypothetico- deductive method consists of (1) setting up a hypothesis, (2) deducing consequences from a hypothesis, and (3) checking by observation to see whether these consequences are true.”

(Salmon, W., Logic

Definitions of theory

ScopusEXPORT DATE:28 Apr 2013

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Grossmann, S., Lohse, D.Scaling in thermal convection: A unifying theory(2000) Journal of Fluid Mechanics, 407, pp. 27-56. Cited 293 times.http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?eid=2-s2.0-0033925498&partnerID=40&md5=b424a0f75ac9783daf5bc9d54a0a48e9DOCUMENT TYPE: ArticleSOURCE: Scopus

Salmon, P.Effects of physical exercise on anxiety, depression, and sensitivity to stress: A unifying theory(2001) Clinical Psychology Review, 21 (1), pp. 33-61. Cited 270 times.http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?eid=2-s2.0-0035218073&partnerID=40&md5=7e8a6a1f7112e881878b6d5988990073DOCUMENT TYPE: ReviewSOURCE: Scopus

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Baroldi, G.Acute coronary syndromes: 'Unifying' theory versus adrenergic stress [Sindromi coronariche acute: Teoria 'unificante' o stress adrenergico?](1998) Giornale Italiano di Cardiologia, 28 (11), pp. 1303-1316. http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?eid=2-s2.0-0031729090&partnerID=40&md5=bf2eb7a8d139c3d803b4d4bfe5b5fd75DOCUMENT TYPE: ReviewSOURCE: Scopus

Lai, E., Gooding, R.J.A unifying theory of the magnetic and transport properties of La2-xSrxCuO4(1997) Physica B: Condensed Matter, 241-243, pp. 832-834. http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?eid=2-s2.0-11544341362&partnerID=40&md5=64e362aea0f7f7a902fda6ca45100886DOCUMENT TYPE: ArticleSOURCE: Scopus

Rabinovta, M.Consequences of am1no acid deprivation'. a unifying theory(1996) FASEB Journal, 10 (6), . http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?eid=2-s2.0-33749156407&partnerID=40&md5=a3464756fcbd9168c94efd8c02c1306eDOCUMENT TYPE: ArticleSOURCE: Scopus

Klas, J., MacÁek, F.Unifying theory of errors for the analytical methods of concentration-dependent distribution, immunoassay and substoichiometric and subsuperequivalence isotope dilution(1994) The Analyst, 119 (5), pp. 981-986. http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?eid=2-s2.0-37049081443&partnerID=40&md5=7199cca3c4cbb2961410469eafe6fe4dDOCUMENT TYPE: ArticleSOURCE: Scopus

Alexis, Alain, Bassoullet, Philippe, Le Hir, Pierre, Teisson, CharlesConsolidation of soft marine soils : unifying theories, numerical modelling and in situ experiments(1993) Proceedings of the Coastal Engineering Conference, 3, pp. 2949-2961. http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?eid=2-s2.0-0027259647&partnerID=40&md5=c58d24b5c1279fce213e267b4d7f1fe2DOCUMENT TYPE: Conference PaperSOURCE: Scopus

Masri, P.Self-consistent unifying theory of the electronic structure of metal-semiconductor systems(1990) Physical Review B, 42 (11), pp. 7204-7212. http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?eid=2-s2.0-35949010702&partnerID=40&md5=4814342ef0b119b5e77c5717af173decDOCUMENT TYPE: ArticleSOURCE: Scopus

Knoester, J., Mukamel, S.Susceptibilities, local field, and polaritons in nonlinear optics: A unifying theory(1990) Journal of Luminescence, 45 (1-6), pp. 266-268. http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?eid=2-s2.0-0025240207&partnerID=40&md5=98969bfdfdc228ee6122b688b3a02eaaDOCUMENT TYPE: ArticleSOURCE: Scopus

Hammer, A.I., Hammer, M.Alcohol consumption and pain phobia: Toward a unifying theory of alcoholism(1990) Advances in Alcohol and Substance Abuse, 8 (3-4), pp. 43-55. http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?eid=2-s2.0-0025298323&partnerID=40&md5=b9464b757604f7259a720d6191e27accDOCUMENT TYPE: ArticleSOURCE: Scopus

Adrenoreceptors and the pharmacology of affective illness: A unifying theory. by Joseph F. Lipinski, Jr. (PII:0024-3205(87)90284-0)(1987) Life Sciences, 41 (2), p. 249. http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?eid=2-s2.0-45949117542&partnerID=40&md5=8a6a3dee591bed7ea9ab9ac46898589cDOCUMENT TYPE: ErratumSOURCE: Scopus

Hess, Ronald A., Sunyoto, IwanTOWARD A UNIFYING THEORY FOR AIRCRAFT HANDLING QUALITIES.(1985) Journal of Guidance, Control, and Dynamics, 8 (4), pp. 440-446. http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?eid=2-s2.0-0022093041&partnerID=40&md5=bdcd98072b2cd42d0cdf673da30808a6DOCUMENT TYPE: ArticleSOURCE: Scopus

Bodek, NormanUNIFYING THEORY OF PRODUCTIVITY (UTOP): MANAGING HUMAN RESOURCES.(1985) Proceedings, American Institute of Industrial Engineers, Annual Conference and Convention, pp. 327-332. http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?eid=2-s2.0-0021902143&partnerID=40&md5=2cfbe5e64ac19cfc74911b225e3c1459DOCUMENT TYPE: Conference PaperSOURCE: Scopus

Hess, Ronald A., Sunyoto, IwanTOWARD A UNIFYING THEORY FOR AIRCRAFT HANDLING QUALITIES.(1984) AIAA Paper, . http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?eid=2-s2.0-0021202949&partnerID=40&md5=b8831659cb2ab988239f39b86ada3971DOCUMENT TYPE: Conference PaperSOURCE: Scopus

Porzig, H.Red cell cation transport systems- clues for the 'missing link' in a unifying theory of essential hypertension?(1983) Trends in Pharmacological Sciences, 4 (C), pp. 410-411. http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?eid=2-s2.0-49049129258&partnerID=40&md5=f69652054e788c6cf87f85eaf4e64125DOCUMENT TYPE: ArticleSOURCE: Scopus

Sharpe, R., Karlqvist, A.Towards a unifying theory for modelling urban systems(1980) Regional Science and Urban Economics, 10 (2), pp. 241-257. http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?eid=2-s2.0-0018913179&partnerID=40&md5=cd48cf148fde93a8187449854baefbf5DOCUMENT TYPE: ArticleSOURCE: Scopus

Higgins, T.H.UNIFYING THEORY FOR DETERMINING HUMAN RESPONSE TO SOUND.(1979) ASTM Special Technical Publication, (692), pp. 144-157. http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?eid=2-s2.0-0018678607&partnerID=40&md5=5a1d990494f9533c95efe0a9c1f46074SOURCE: Scopus

Wilson, G.T.The importance of being theoretical: A commentary on Bandura's "self-efficacy: Towards a unifying theory of behavioral change"(1978) Advances in Behaviour Research and Therapy, 1 (4), pp. 217-230. http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?eid=2-s2.0-49349133143&partnerID=40&md5=35d945fbc0516bf035bc7176cd54458eDOCUMENT TYPE: ArticleSOURCE: Scopus

Bowden, G.J.UNIFYING THEORY FOR EFFECTIVE FIELD MODELS IN MAGNETISM.(1977) Proc R Soc London Ser A, 353 (1975), pp. 563-574. http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?eid=2-s2.0-0017484697&partnerID=40&md5=e4de77f436a4d82f25416280ec5c87e2SOURCE: Scopus

Gans, B.M., Noordergraaf, A.Voluntary skeletal muscles: a unifying theory on the relationship of their electrical and mechanical activities(1975) Archives of Physical Medicine and Rehabilitation, 56 (5), pp. 194-199. http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?eid=2-s2.0-0016732726&partnerID=40&md5=258f76aaaa093d3e96dc9d0e47945abbDOCUMENT TYPE: ArticleSOURCE: Scopus

Allan, G.G., Neogi, A.N.Fundamentals of fibre assemblages. III. A unifying theory for the tensile strength of paper and nonwovens(1974) . http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?eid=2-s2.0-0016002878&partnerID=40&md5=f88b6024db39dc8fa69780b7b5830e52DOCUMENT TYPE: ArticleSOURCE: Scopus

Unifying theory covers chemical separations(1967) Chemical and Engineering News, 45 (42), pp. 60-61. http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?eid=2-s2.0-33947332821&partnerID=40&md5=ce456f18f8cd057138e7ec73a857f926DOCUMENT TYPE: ReviewSOURCE: Scopus

Piddington, J.H.A unifying theory of galactic forms and activity(1967) Planetary and Space Science, 15 (11), pp. 1625-1640. http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?eid=2-s2.0-49949150176&partnerID=40&md5=06d721b295b47fe455b05897ab6ef302DOCUMENT TYPE: ArticleSOURCE: Scopus

Serra, J.A.The genetic concept of treption (and brief reference to a unifying theory of cancer)(1964) Journal of Theoretical Biology, 6 (3), pp. 371-374. http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?eid=2-s2.0-0013769836&partnerID=40&md5=834f2bb9c792de4415d3a9042380cf74DOCUMENT TYPE: ArticleSOURCE: Scopus