future oil & gas production: a forecast

17
Future Oil & Gas Production: A Forecast Ian Atkinson, P. Geo. Oil & Gas Development Partnership Memorial University of Newfoundland

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Future Oil & Gas Production: A Forecast. Ian Atkinson, P. Geo. Oil & Gas Development Partnership Memorial University of Newfoundland May 16, 2007. Warning!. The following presentation is for Mature Audiences Viewer discretion is advised. Sedimentary Basins of Atlantic Canada. White Rose. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Future Oil & Gas Production: A Forecast

Future Oil & Gas Production: A Forecast

Ian Atkinson, P. Geo.

Oil & Gas Development Partnership

Memorial University of Newfoundland

May 16, 2007

Page 2: Future Oil & Gas Production: A Forecast

Warning!

The following presentation is for Mature Audiences Viewer discretion is advised

Page 3: Future Oil & Gas Production: A Forecast

Sedimentary Basins of

Atlantic Canada

Page 4: Future Oil & Gas Production: A Forecast

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1998

2000

2002

2004

2006

2008

2010

2012

2014

2016

2018

2020

2022

2024

2026

2028

2030

Mill

ions

of B

arre

ls

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

Hibernia Terra Nova White Rose Oil Price

Hibernia

Terra Nova

White Rose

Locke 2007, C-NLOPB

Oil Production Forecast

Page 5: Future Oil & Gas Production: A Forecast

Sedimentary Basins of

Atlantic Canada

Page 6: Future Oil & Gas Production: A Forecast

The Jeanne d’Arc Basin

C-NLOPB and

the Dept. of Natural Resources

Page 7: Future Oil & Gas Production: A Forecast

Significant Discoveries on the

Labrador Shelf

Canada-Newfoundland Offshore Petroleum Board

Page 8: Future Oil & Gas Production: A Forecast

Canada-Newfoundland Offshore Petroleum Board

North Bjarni Field: 2.2 Tcf gas, 82 MMbbls NGL’s

Gudrid Field: 918 Bcf gas, 6.9 MMbbls NGL’s

Bjarni Field: 858 Bcf gas, 31.4 MMbbls NGL’s

Hopedale Field: 106 Bcf gas, 2.5 MMbbls NGL’s

Snorri Field: 106 Bcf gas, 2.5 MMbbls NGL’s

(P50 values, see DeSilva, 1999)

Page 9: Future Oil & Gas Production: A Forecast

Sedimentary

Basins of

Atlantic Canada

The Dept of Natural Resources

Page 10: Future Oil & Gas Production: A Forecast

The Department of Natural Resources

Onshore and Offshore Exploration Licences of

Newfoundland and Labrador

Page 11: Future Oil & Gas Production: A Forecast

Sedimentary

Basins of

Atlantic Canada

The Dept. of Natural Resources

Page 12: Future Oil & Gas Production: A Forecast

Western Newfoundland

Exploration Licences

The Department of Natural Resources

Page 13: Future Oil & Gas Production: A Forecast

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

1998

2000

2002

2004

2006

2008

2010

2012

2014

2016

2018

2020

2022

2024

2026

2028

2030

Mill

ions

of B

arre

ls

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

Hibernia Terra Nova White Rose Oil Price

Hebron/Ben Nevis

Orphan Basin?

Western Newfoundland?

Laurentian Basin?

Labrador Gas?

Jeanne d’Arc Gas?White Rose

Terra Nova

Hibernia

White Rose +

Page 14: Future Oil & Gas Production: A Forecast

Oil Production Forecast - Base Case

0

20

40

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120

140

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19

97

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01

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Year

An

nu

al

Pro

du

cti

on

(m

illi

on

bb

ls) Hebron

White RoseTerra NovaHibernia

Canada-Newfoundland Offshore Petroleum Board

Western Newfoundland?

Jeanne d’Arc Gas?

Labrador Gas?

Laurentian Basin

Orphan Basin

White Rose +

Hebron

White Rose

Terra Nova

Hibernia

Page 15: Future Oil & Gas Production: A Forecast

Sedimentary

Basins of

Atlantic Canada

Page 16: Future Oil & Gas Production: A Forecast

Thank You

The Oil & Gas Development Partnership

Page 17: Future Oil & Gas Production: A Forecast