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Framing the climate challenge Disaster Risk, Exposure, Vulnerability and Resilience Linda Sygna University of Oslo Norway

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Framing the climatechallenge

Disaster Risk, Exposure, Vulnerability and Resilience

Linda SygnaUniversity of OsloNorway

• Increasing disaster risk identified as a threat to human security

• Analysis of the challengesof integrating disaster risk reduction, climate changeadaptation and development

• Comprehensive bibliography with close to 800 references

Source: IPCC SREX Figure 1‐1

Components of Disaster Risk

Source: IPCC SREX Figure 1‐1

The disaster risk and its components are strongly link to both the wider development context and environmental factors

Source: IPCC SREX Figure 1‐1

Extremes in Norway

• More intense precipitation• Higher storm surges• Warmer winters• Larger floods

Disaster risk is a concern for my 90‐year old grandmother

Exposure to floods

Vulnerability

• She uses the river daily for collecting water and washing

• The river bed has been changed upstream, so the river behaves differently from before

• Her sense of place is very strong ‐‐ she does not want to evacuate or move

• She has always coped, but this capacity has been reduced as she ages

• Despite broad social network she has no close neighbours and limited mobility

Climate change not on the radar

The response space

Incremental and transformative pathways to resilience

Single‐loop learning

Be more efficient in keeping the water out of the house

Double‐loop learning

Be more efficient in keeping the water out of the house

Talk to the farmers upstream of ways of managing the flood

Learning loops

Be more efficient in keeping the water out of the house

Talk to the farmers upstream of ways of managing the flood

Resettle, changes in local plans and insurance

doingmore ofsome things; 

and by doing somethings differently.

by doing somethings better;

Changing risks canbe addressed by:

Oslo Extreme Dialogue on Climate Extremes

“It is critical to have these spaces to exchange ideas…and to create unexpected alliances” (Mehjabeen Abidi‐Habib, Pakistan)“We really need people to engage, we need creativity”(Idar Kreutzer, FinanceNorway)“How do we reach the kitchen table and the everyday conversation?” (Arvin Gadgil, State Secretary, Norway)

I look forward to continuing the conversation!

Thank you

Picture: Eva Bakkeslett