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1World Meteorological OrganizationUnited Nations agency for weather, climate, hydrology and water resources and related environmental issues. 191 Members from National Meteorological and Hydrological Services (NMHS) Newest Member South Sudan (Dec 2012)

10 major scientific & technical programmes (Secretariat)8 Technical Commissions advise & guide activities of programmes (Experts)6 Regional Associations involved in implementation

1Integrated Drought Management Programme - BackgroundLaunched by WMO and GWP in 2013 at High-Level Meeting on National Drought Policies (HMNDP) to support implementation of the HMNDP outcomes[Excerpt of HMNDP final declaration, emphasis added]Develop proactive drought impact mitigation, preventive and planning measures, risk management, fostering of science, appropriate technology and innovation, public outreach and resource management as key elements of effective national drought policyPromote greater collaboration to enhance the quality of local/national/regional/global observation networks and delivery systemsImprove public awareness of drought risk and preparedness for droughtConsider, where possible [...]risk reduction, risk sharing and risk transfer tools in drought management plansLink drought management plans to local/national development policies

3Source: Atlas of Mortality and Economic Losses from Weather, Climate and Water Extremes (19702012), WMO, WMO- No. 1123WMO/CRED Analysis using EM-DAT dataMainDistribution of (a) number of reported disasters, (b) reported deaths and (c) reported economic losses (19702012)(a)(b)(c)Global

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WMO/CRED Analysis using EM-DAT dataMainGlobal

Source: Atlas of Mortality and Economic Losses from Weather, Climate and Water Extremes (19702012), WMO, WMO- No. 1123MainWMO/CRED Analysis using EM-DAT data

Source: Atlas of Mortality and Economic Losses from Weather, Climate and Water Extremes (19702012), WMO, WMO- No. 1123Regional IntercomparisonsAFRSAMNCAPACEURASIA6 Proactive rather than Reactive

Horizontal Integration

Vertical Integration

Knowledge Sharing

Demonstration Projects

Develop CapacitiesIntegrated Drought Management Programme (IDMP) - Approach

7 The Cycle of Disaster ManagementSource: National Drought Mitigation Center, University of Nebraska-Lincoln

8Organization that confirmed their interest to participate in IDMP (Status November 2014)Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO)United Nations Convention to Combat Desertification (UNCCD)Australian Bureau of MeteorologyConvention on Biological Diversity (CBD)International Center for Agricultural Research in the Dry Areas (ICARDA)International Commission for Irrigation and Drainage (ICID)International Water Management Institute (IWMI)Joint Research Centre (JRC)Mexicos National Water Commission (CONAGUA)Stockholm Environment Institute (SEI)U.S. National Drought Mitigation Center (NDMC)UNDP Cap-Net United Nations Development Progamme (UNDP)United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization (UNESCO)United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP)United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction (UNISDR) University of Nebraska Daugherty Water for Food InstituteUniversity of Southern QueenslandUN-Water Decade Programme on Capacity DevelopmentWorld Bank

10IDMP is part of the Global Framework for Climate ServicesGFCS Goal:Enable better management of the risks of climate variability and change and adaptation to climate change at all levels, through development and incorporation of science-based climateinformation and prediction into planning, policy and practice.

GFCS Priority Areas: Agriculture; Disaster risk reduction; Water; Health

IDMP at the Regional and National Level

www.droughtmanagement.info/idmp-activities/

11IDMP Regional Programmes and InitiativesSupport action and implementation on the ground, adding to existing efforts the strength of IDMP and its partners

Central and Eastern Europe (2013): Bulgaria, Czech Republic, Hungary, Lithuania, Moldova, Poland, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, UkraineHorn of Africa (2014): Djibouti, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Kenya, Somalia, South Sudan, Sudan and Uganda. West Africa (2014): First in Burkina Faso, Niger and Mali, and then share lessons learned with other neighbouring countries through the WMO partners, GWP Country Water Partnerships and other partners.South Asia Drought Monitoring System (2014) with IWMI in Bhutan, Bangladesh, Nepal, India, Pakistan and Sri LankaCentral America (2013) Regional workshop leading to training on SPI and assessment of current drought.South America (tbc 2015) Regional workshop in Bolivia potentially leading to follow-up activities with partners.

12IDMP National Initiatives- PRONACOSE Mexico: National Program against Drought (PRONACOSE) slated to run for the next 6 years in Mexicos 26 basin councils. IDMP will provide technical advice, capacity building, project management and links to international expertise and platforms. Work Programme has been developed as part of the WMO/CONAGUA PREMIA project.- Support to Turkish Government: In line with the recommendations of the High-Level Meeting on National Drought Policy held in March 2013, the Government of Turkey through the Turkish State Meteorological Service (TSMS) started a process to formulate a national policy on drought management. IDMP was requested to provide guidance and international expertise to this process and is contributing with technical guidance and experiences from the Mexican PRONACOSE and the IDMP Central and Eastern Europe.

Framework of IDMP work on Drought Policies:National Drought Management Policy GuidelinesAdapting of 10-step process by Don Wilhite (National Drought Mitigation Center at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln)Response to need articulated at High-level Meeting on National Drought Policy (HMNDP) Template that can be adapted to national realities and needsBuilding on existing risk management capacities

14Step 1:Appoint a national drought management policy commissionStep 2:State or define the goals and objectives of a risk-based national drought management policyStep 3:Seek stakeholder participation; define and resolve conflicts between key water use sectors, considering also transboundary implicationsStep 4:Inventory data and financial resources available and identify groups at riskStep 5:Prepare/write the key tenets of the national drought management policy and preparedness plans, which would include the following elements: monitoring; early warning and prediction; risk and impact assessment; and mitigation and responseStep 6:Identify research needs and fill institutional gapsStep 7:Integrate science and policy aspects of drought managementStep 8:Publicize the national drought management policy and preparedness plans and build public awareness and consensus Step 9:Develop educational programmes for all age and stakeholder groupsStep 10:Evaluate and revise national drought management policy and supporting preparedness plans

Sub-Seasonal to Seasonal (S2S) ProjectTo improve forecast skill and understanding on the sub-seasonal to seasonal timescale with special emphasis on high-impact weather events

To promote the initiatives uptake by operational centres and exploitation by the applications community

To capitalize on the expertise of the weather and climate research communities to address issues of importance to the Global Framework for Climate ServicesSub-Seasonal forecasts of precipitation18

18Operational Extended-range forecasts are improving!

Slide 41: Evolution of the skill (ROC area of 2-metre temperature) of the monthly forecasting system year by year since 2005 (Roc area of the probability that 2-metre temperature anomaly is in the upper tercile). There has been an improvement in the skill of the monthly forecasting system since 2005. The skill for day 26-32 is now close to the skill of the day 12-18 6 years ago. Daily real-time forecasts + re-forecasts3 weeks behind real-timeCommon grid (1.5x1.5 degree)Variables archived: about 80 variables including ocean variables, stratospheric levels and soil moisture/temperature Archived in GRIB2 NETCDF conversion availableDatabase to open in early 2015, initially with 3 models (ECMWF, NCEP and JMA)www.s2sprediction.net

S2S Database DescriptionFor further information please visitwww.droughtmanagement.info

idmp@wmo.int

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