fourth idmp cee workshop: 3rd prg reporting by janusz kindler & henny a.j. van lanen

www.gwpcee.org

3rd PRG ReportingJanusz Kindler & Henny A.J. van Lanen

3rd Peer Review Group Reporting21 April 20152/17 www.gwpcee.org

3rd PRG Report (planned)

Contents:

- General observations

(whole IDMP CEE project lifetime)

- Brief assessment Activities

(Oct 2014 – March 2015)

- PRG Assessment reports (Annex)


PRG assessment procedure

Milestone 1 report

Output report 2

Milestone 2 report

Output report 1

Act

ivit

y

Milestone 3 report

Output report 3

Milestone/Output

Progress report 1

Milestone/Output

Progress report 2

Milestone/Output

Progress report 3

Final Activity report (FAR)

PR

G A

ssessm

en

t

brief

briefcomprehensive comprehensive

Assess-ment

reports


General observations

Where are we at the end? (responsibility of IDMP CEE consortium):

many written comprehensive Milestone / Output reports

scientific / professional content: varying

language; none-native speakers

restricted referencing; some refer to old literature

from the region and do not relate to recent literature

not all focus on drought, but have a wider perspective

some duplication; not always consistent



IDMP CEE Activities (responsibility GWP):

very ambitious and limited in budget

rather short lifetime (1.5 – 2 yr)

supply-driven (“what can we offer”) rather than balanced between demand (“what does CEE need”) and supply. Priorities of countries were only considered to a certain extend



IDMP CEE Activities (responsibility GWP cont’d):

not consistent in terms of Milestones (steps toward final product) and Outputs (IDMP programme structure)

last Output did not cover/synthesize the whole activity (was not planned)

very limited interaction across activities (cross-cutting needs to be organized and planned)



IDMP CEE Activities (responsibility GWP cont’d):

Lot of work is half-way, but very valuable and can easily be lost. Follow-up is urgently required

Dissemination plan is not well described; is it beyond the lifetime

of the project? Follow-up needed.

Good start was consultation of CEE countries (Inception Report). How do we close circle (back to countries)? Follow-up


FOLLOW-UP - IDMP CEE

ACTIVITIES clustered5.1 Agricultural practices (incl. increase WHC)5.2 Impacts on Forest ecosystems5.3 Natural small water retention measures

1.3 Drought Information Platform5.4 Risk Management, Decision support system5.5 Remote sensing agricultural drought

monitoring 5.6 Upgrading agricultural drought monitoring

and forecasting

1.3 Guidelines for DM Plans, NCDs7.1 Compendium Good Practices1.1 International Cooperation beyond CEE7.2 Capacity building / Awareness rising

ROLE of your Activity in whole?

Which step out of 7 steps Guidelines DMP (Act. 2.1)?

Operational or strategic mode? What do you address:

- Monitoring, Early Warning- forecasting / prediction- impacts, incl. threshold- vulnerability- measures- management- risk management


Seven steps Drought Management1. Develop a drought policy and establish a

Drought Committee2. Define objectives of drought risk-based

management policy3. Data inventory for the development the

Drought Management Plan4. Produce/update the Drought Management

Plan- Define content of Drought Management

Plan- Characterise and evaluate historical

drought events- Establish indicators and thresholds for

drought classification- Establish drought early warning system- Develop a programme of measures- Establish organizational framework for

production, implementation and updating of Drought Management Plan

- Identify gaps and uncertainties5. Publicize Drought Management Plan for

public involvement6. Develop scientific/research programme7. Develop educational programmes

Act. 2.1: Fatulova et al. 2015

CORNER STONES:

Activity 2.1: Guidelines for Drought Management

Activity 7.1: Good practice Compendium












public involvement6. Develop scientific/research programme7. Develop educational programmes

Act. 2.1: Fatulova et al. 2015

Where fits your Activity in?


Drought management, monitoring and early warning

Current situation- Soil moisture- Groundwater- Surface water- Impacted sectors

n-day weather forecast- e.g. ECMWF- National

HydrometeoServices

- ...

HydrologicalModeling- Soil moisture- Groundwater- Surface water

ImpactModeling- Agricultural- Energy- Ecosystem services- Navigation- ....

Potential short-term measures

National Drought Committee- Water managers- Stakeholders- Policy makers

Outlook- Snow stock- Reservoir storage- Time of year- ......

DSS (incl. risk management





HydrometeoServices

- ...






Priority ranking sectors

(prior to drought)






HydrometeoServices

- ...







ACTIVITIES (where?):1.3 Drought data exchange Platform5.2 Assessment of drought impact on

forests5.4 Drought Risk Management Scheme: a

decision support system5.5 Policy oriented study on remote

sensing agricultural droughtmonitoring methods

5.6 Upgrading agricultural droughtmonitoring and forecasting: the case ofUkraine and Moldova


Putting IDMP CEE Activitiesin a context

AMBITION: development pro-active Drought Management Plan in an integrated land and water management framework, incl. WFD RBMPs

Two temporal scales

Operational mode (ongoing (multiple-year) drought, next year drought)

Strategic mode (far future drought, prepared for global change)


Drought management,

long-term planning



HydrometeoServices

- ...



Potential long-term measures



Climate projections

Possible futures

Current water infrastructure

- Demographic developments

- RCPs



Drought management,

long-term planning



HydrometeoServices

- ...



Potential long-term measures



Climate projections

Possible futures

Current water infrastructure

- Demographic developments

- RCPs


ACTIVITIES (where?):5.1 Drought management by agricultural

practices and measures-increasing soilwater holding capacity

5.2 Assessment of drought impact onforests

5.3 Natural small water retentionmeasures

5.4 Drought Risk Management Scheme: adecision support system

5.6 Precipitation harvesting and practicesfor moisture conservation












public involvement6. Develop scientific/research programme7. Develop educational programmes Act. 2.1: Fatulova et al. 2015

fourth idmp cee workshop: 3rd prg reporting by janusz kindler & henny a.j. van lanen

Environment

reportoutput report

idmp cee activities

final activity report

activities cross

drought policy

drought information

prg assessment reports

agricultural practices