florida republicans 2016

7/30/2019 Florida Republicans 2016

1/17

November 3-4, 2012Survey of 624 Republican voters

November 3-4, 2012Survey of 624 Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988



Florida Survey Results

Q1 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Jeb Bush?

85%Favorable........................................................

9%Unfavorable ....................................................

6%Not sure ..........................................................

Q2 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Chris Christie?

59%Favorable........................................................

20%Unfavorable ....................................................

21%Not sure ..........................................................

Q3 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Mike Huckabee?

76%Favorable........................................................

10%Unfavorable ....................................................

14%Not sure ..........................................................

Q4 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Sarah Palin?

65%Favorable........................................................

24%Unfavorable ....................................................

12%Not sure ..........................................................

Q5 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Rand Paul?

51%Favorable........................................................

28%Unfavorable ....................................................

21%Not sure ..........................................................

Q6 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Condoleezza Rice?

84%Favorable........................................................

8%Unfavorable ....................................................

8%Not sure ..........................................................

Q7 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Marco Rubio?

88%Favorable........................................................

8%Unfavorable ....................................................

5%Not sure ..........................................................

Q8 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Paul Ryan?

85%Favorable........................................................

9%Unfavorable ....................................................

6%Not sure ..........................................................

Q9 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Rick Santorum?

57%Favorable........................................................

16%Unfavorable ....................................................

27%Not sure ..........................................................


2/17


3/17

November 3-4, 2012survey of 624 Republican voters






Crosstabs

Base

Tea Party ID

Yes No

Not

sure

Jeb Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

85% 84% 85% 90%

9% 10% 10% -

6% 6% 5% 10%

Base

Tea Party ID

Yes No

Not

sure

Christ ie Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

59% 63% 60% 44%

20% 16% 21% 24%

21% 21% 20% 31%

Base

Tea Party ID

Yes No

Not

sure

Huckabee

Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

76% 82% 73% 79%

10% 6% 13% 5%

14% 12% 14% 17%

Base

Tea Party ID

Yes No

Not

sure

Palin Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sur e

65% 81% 55% 74%

24% 11% 33% 9%

12% 8% 12% 17%


4/17







Crosstabs

Base

Tea Party ID

Yes No

Not

sure

Paul Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

51% 64% 46% 45%

28% 22% 35% 7%

21% 14% 19% 48%

Base

Tea Party ID

Yes No

Not

sure

Condi Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sur e

84% 87% 82% 84%

8% 5% 10% 3%

8% 7% 8% 13%

Base

Tea Party ID

Yes No

Not

sure

Rubio Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

88% 93% 85% 86%

8% 4% 10% 4%

5% 3% 5% 11%

Base

Tea Party ID

Yes No

Not

sure

Ryan Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sur e

85% 94% 82% 85%

9% 4% 13% -

6% 3% 5% 15%


5/17







Crosstabs

Base

Tea Party ID

Yes No

Not

sure

Santorum

Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

57% 68% 53% 47%

16% 10% 20% 6%

27% 22% 26% 47%

Base

Tea Party ID

Yes No

Not

sure

2016 GOP Pres

Preference

Jeb Bush

Chris Christie

Mike Huckabee

Sarah Palin

Rand Paul

Condoleezza Rice

Marco Rubio

Paul Ryan

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Not

sure

28% 19% 34% 21%

9% 6% 10% 9%

11% 13% 9% 17%

5% 11% 2% 5%

3% 5% 2% 3%

8% 5% 9% 10%

22% 24% 20% 25%

8% 13% 5% 4%

3% 1% 4% 2%

5% 3% 6% 4%

Base

Evangelical?

Are an

Evangelical

Are

not

Jeb Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

85% 91% 81%

9% 4% 12%

6% 4% 7%

Base

Evangelical?

Are an

Evangelical

Are

not

Christie Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

59% 56% 61%

20% 21% 19%

21% 23% 20%


6/17







Crosstabs

Base

Evangelical?

Are an

Evangelical

Are

not

Huckabee

Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

76% 86% 69%

10% 4% 15%

14% 10% 16%

Base

Evangelical?

Are an

Evangelical

Are

not

Palin Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

65% 80% 53%

24% 9% 36%

12% 12% 12%

Base

Evangelical?

Are an

Evangelical

Are

not

Paul Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

51% 52% 51%

28% 20% 34%

21% 28% 15%

Base

Evangelical?

Are an

Evangelical

Are

not

Condi Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

84% 87% 82%

8% 4% 11%

8% 9% 8%


7/17







Crosstabs

Base

Evangelical?

Are an

Evangelical

Are

not

Rubio Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

88% 93% 83%

8% 3% 11%

5% 4% 6%

Base

Evangelical?

Are an

Evangelical

Are

not

Ryan Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

85% 92% 81%

9% 3% 14%

6% 6% 6%

Base

Evangelical?

Are an

Evangelical

Are

not

Santorum

Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

57% 65% 50%

16% 8% 22%

27% 27% 28%

Base

Evangelical?

Are an

Evangelical

Are

not

2016 GOP Pres

Preference

Jeb Bush

Chris Christie

Mike Huckabee

Sarah Palin

Rand Paul

Condoleezza Rice

Marco Rubio

Paul Ryan

Rick Santorum

Someone else /Not

sure

28% 29% 28%

9% 4% 12%

11% 17% 6%

5% 6% 4%

3% 2% 4%

8% 8% 8%

22% 21% 22%

8% 6% 9%

3% 3% 3%

5% 4% 6%


8/17







Crosstabs

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

liberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative

Jeb Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

85% 45% 46% 79% 88% 92%

9% 39% 42% 16% 4% 5%

6% 16% 12% 5% 8% 3%

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

liberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

59% 25% 48% 61% 60% 58%

20% 45% 21% 22% 15% 23%

21% 30% 31% 17% 25% 18%

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

liberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative

HuckabeeFavorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

76% 9% 45% 65% 80% 84%

10% 41% 26% 22% 7% 4%

14% 50% 29% 13% 13% 12%

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

liberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative

Palin Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

65% 27% 54% 43% 60% 87%

24% 73% 38% 50% 24% 4%

12% - 8% 7% 16% 10%


9/17







Crosstabs

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

liberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative

Paul Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

51% 5% 46% 39% 50% 64%

28% 75% 25% 39% 27% 20%

21% 21% 29% 22% 23% 16%

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

liberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative

Condi Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

84% 41% 63% 86% 85% 87%

8% 18% 30% 11% 6% 5%

8% 41% 7% 3% 9% 8%

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

liberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative

Rubio Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

88% 54% 68% 75% 90% 95%

8% 46% 30% 17% 5% 1%

5% - 2% 7% 5% 4%

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

liberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative

Ryan Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

85% 9% 65% 67% 90% 96%

9% 86% 26% 22% 4% 2%

6% 5% 8% 11% 6% 3%


10/17







Crosstabs

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

liberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative

Santorum

Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

57% 6% 56% 46% 51% 73%

16% 69% 25% 29% 15% 6%

27% 25% 19% 25% 34% 21%

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

liberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative

2016 GOP Pres

Preference

Jeb Bush

Chris Christie

Mike Huckabee

Sarah Palin

Rand Paul

Condoleezza Rice

Marco Rubio

Paul Ryan

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Not

sure

28% 27% 26% 38% 30% 21%

9% 16% 13% 18% 7% 5%

11% 5% - 7% 10% 16%

5% 18% - 3% 3% 8%

3% 5% 6% 3% 3% 2%

8% - 6% 15% 5% 7%

22% - 21% 5% 28% 24%

8% - 18% 6% 5% 12%

3% - - 0% 4% 3%

5% 30% 9% 6% 4% 3%

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

Jeb Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

85% 84% 87%

9% 11% 6%

6% 6% 6%

Base

Gender

Wom an Man


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sur e

59% 58% 60%

20% 18% 22%

21% 24% 18%


11/17







Crosstabs

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

Huckabee

Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

76% 78% 75%

10% 9% 11%

14% 14% 14%

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

Palin Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

65% 65% 64%

24% 22% 26%

12% 13% 10%

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

Paul Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

51% 50% 52%

28% 25% 31%

21% 24% 17%

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

Condi Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

84% 85% 83%

8% 7% 9%

8% 8% 8%


12/17







Crosstabs

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

Rubio Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

88% 89% 86%

8% 8% 7%

5% 4% 6%

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

Ryan Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

85% 85% 86%

9% 7% 10%

6% 8% 4%

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

Santorum

Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

57% 60% 54%

16% 11% 21%

27% 29% 26%

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

2016 GOP Pres

Preference

Jeb Bush

Chris Christie

Mike Huckabee

Sarah Palin

Rand Paul

Condoleezza Rice

Marco Rubio

Paul Ryan

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Not

sure

28% 23% 33%

9% 9% 8%

11% 13% 8%

5% 3% 6%

3% 3% 3%

8% 9% 6%

22% 23% 20%

8% 8% 8%

3% 2% 3%

5% 6% 3%


13/17







Crosstabs

Base

Race

Hispanic White Other

Jeb Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

85% 76% 87% 83%

9% 13% 8% 11%

6% 10% 5% 6%

Base

Race



Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sur e

59% 61% 58% 62%

20% 17% 21% 13%

21% 22% 21% 25%

Base

Race


Huckabee

Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

76% 57% 80% 61%

10% 14% 8% 23%

14% 29% 11% 16%

Base

Race


Palin Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

65% 55% 66% 69%

24% 32% 22% 23%

12% 13% 12% 8%


14/17







Crosstabs

Base

Race


Paul Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

51% 51% 52% 42%

28% 34% 26% 37%

21% 15% 22% 21%

Base

Race


Condi Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

84% 69% 86% 86%

8% 17% 6% 7%

8% 14% 8% 7%

Base

Race


Rubio Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

88% 78% 90% 75%

8% 13% 7% 9%

5% 9% 4% 16%

Base

Race


Ryan Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

85% 80% 87% 71%

9% 18% 7% 20%

6% 2% 6% 10%


15/17







Crosstabs

Base

Race


Santorum

Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

57% 53% 58% 56%

16% 22% 15% 20%

27% 26% 28% 24%

Base

Race


2016 GOP Pres

Preference

Jeb Bush

Chris Christie

Mike Huckabee

Sarah Palin

Rand Paul

Condoleezza Rice

Marco Rubio

Paul Ryan

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Not

sure

28% 27% 28% 35%

9% 4% 9% 9%

11% 5% 12% 1%

5% 1% 5% 16%

3% 2% 3% 1%

8% 13% 7% 14%

22% 33% 20% 22%

8% 4% 8% 3%

3% 4% 3% -

5% 7% 5% -

Base

Age

18 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

Jeb Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

85% 81% 87% 89%

9% 12% 7% 6%

6% 7% 6% 5%

Base

Age

18 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

Christ ie Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

59% 47% 64% 64%

20% 27% 16% 17%

21% 25% 20% 19%


16/17







Crosstabs

Base

Age

18 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

Huckabee

Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

76% 74% 73% 85%

10% 13% 10% 5%

14% 13% 17% 10%

Base

Age

18 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

Palin Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sur e

65% 65% 61% 71%

24% 22% 29% 17%

12% 13% 10% 13%

Base

Age

18 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

Paul Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

51% 56% 50% 49%

28% 27% 28% 28%

21% 17% 22% 23%

Base

Age

18 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

Condi Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sur e

84% 85% 84% 84%

8% 7% 8% 8%

8% 8% 8% 8%


17/17







Crosstabs

Base

Age

18 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

Rubio Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

88% 86% 87% 91%

8% 9% 8% 5%

5% 5% 5% 4%

Base

Age

18 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

Ryan Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sur e

85% 85% 83% 89%

9% 10% 10% 5%

6% 5% 6% 6%

Base

Age

18 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

Santorum

Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

57% 59% 56% 56%

16% 12% 19% 15%

27% 29% 26% 29%

Base

Age

18 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

2016 GOP Pres

Preference

Jeb Bush

Chris Christie

Mike Huckabee

Sarah Palin

Rand Paul

Condoleezza Rice

Marco Rubio

Paul Ryan

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Not

sure

28% 30% 24% 32%

9% 5% 10% 11%

11% 9% 11% 13%

5% 5% 4% 5%

3% 4% 2% 3%

8% 10% 9% 3%

22% 22% 23% 18%

8% 8% 7% 8%

3% 3% 3% 2%

5% 3% 6% 6%

florida republicans 2016

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