financial markets economics. section 1: savings and investing

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Financial Markets Economics

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Page 1: Financial Markets Economics. Section 1: Savings and Investing

Financial MarketsEconomics

Page 2: Financial Markets Economics. Section 1: Savings and Investing

Section 1: Savings and Investing

Page 3: Financial Markets Economics. Section 1: Savings and Investing

What is investment?

Investment is the act of redirecting resources from being consumed today so that they can create benefits in the future.

Investment is the use of assets to earn income or profit

In order to invest an economy must have a financial system

A financial system is the network of structures and mechanisms that allows the transfer of money between savers and borrowers

Documents report claims which are called financial assets or securities so it can be proven that a lending transaction took place

Page 4: Financial Markets Economics. Section 1: Savings and Investing

Flow of Savings and Investment

One side consists of the savers (households, individuals, and businesses) that lend out their savings in return for financial assets.

On the other side there are investors (governments and businesses) who invest the money they borrow to build roads, factories, and homes.

In the middle are financial intermediaries which are institutions that help channel funds from savers to borrowers.

Page 5: Financial Markets Economics. Section 1: Savings and Investing

Types of Financial Intermediaries

Banks, savings and loan associations, credit unions, and finance companies

Banks, S&Ls, and credit unions take in deposits from savers and then lend out some of these funds to businesses and individuals

Finance companies make loans to consumers and small businesses

Mutual Funds

A mutual fund pools the savings of many individuals and invests this money in a variety of stocks, bonds, and financial assets. Mutual funds allow people to invest in a broad range of companies in the stock market. This is less risky than purchasing the stock of only one or two companies that might do poorly.

Page 6: Financial Markets Economics. Section 1: Savings and Investing

Types of Financial Intermediaries

Hedge Funds

A hedge fund is a private investment organization that employs risky strategies that often makes huge profits for investors. These investors are typically wealthy and are often knowledgeable about investing. Because hedge funds are private they are not regulated by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and have not had to reveal information about themselves to the public.

Life Insurance Companies

Provides financial protection for the family or other people named as beneficiaries of the insured. Working members of a family, for example, may buy life insurance policies so that, if they die, money will be paid to survivors to make up for lost income. Insurance companies collect payments known as premiums from the people who buy insurance. They lend out to investors part of the premiums that they collect.

Page 7: Financial Markets Economics. Section 1: Savings and Investing

Types of Financial Intermediaries

Pension funds

A pension is income that some retirees receive after working a certain number of years or reaching a certain age. Employers can set up pension funds in a number of ways. They may contribute to the pension fund on behalf of their employees, they may withhold a percentage of workers’ salaries to deposit in a pension fund, or they may do both.

Pension fund managers invest those deposits in stocks, bonds, and other financial assets.

Page 8: Financial Markets Economics. Section 1: Savings and Investing

Financial Intermediaries

You may wonder why savers don’t deal directly with investors. The answer is that, in general, dealing with financial intermediaries offers three advantages. Intermediaries share risks, provide information, and provide liquidity.

Sharing Risk

A good investment strategy is diversification – financial intermediaries can diversify your investments and thus reduce the risk that you will lose all of your funds if a single investment fails.

Providing Information

Financial intermediaries have information about various investments. They know how stocks in portfolios, for instance are performing. They also have investment reports called a prospectus.

Page 9: Financial Markets Economics. Section 1: Savings and Investing

Financial Intermediaries

Providing Liquidity

Liquidity is the ability to convert an asset into cash.

You can get cash quickly by selling your shares in a mutual fund for instance. Other investments are not so liquid and do not allow this.

Page 10: Financial Markets Economics. Section 1: Savings and Investing

Liquidity, Return, and Risk

Liquidity and Return

Savings accounts are liquid but they have a low return.

A return is the money an investor receives above and beyond the sum of money that has been invested.

A certificate of deposit or CD generally offers larger returns than a savings account but will hold your money for a longer period of time reducing your liquidity.

Page 11: Financial Markets Economics. Section 1: Savings and Investing

Liquidity, Return, and Risk

Return and Risk

Certificates of deposit are considered very safe investments because they are insured by the federal government. You are giving up liquidity for a certain period of time, but you are not risking the loss of your money.

In general, the higher the potential return on an investment, the riskier the investment.

Page 12: Financial Markets Economics. Section 1: Savings and Investing

Section 2: Bonds and Other Financial Assets

Page 13: Financial Markets Economics. Section 1: Savings and Investing

Bonds as Financial Assets

Bonds are basically loans, or IOUs, that represent debt that the seller, or issuer, must repay to an investor. Bonds typically pay the investor a fixed amount of interest at regular intervals for a specific amount of time.

Bonds are generally lower-risk investments. In turn, the rate of return on bonds are generally lower than other investments.

Page 14: Financial Markets Economics. Section 1: Savings and Investing

Three Components of Bonds

Coupon rate: The coupon rate is the interest rate that a bond issuer will pay to the bondholder.

Maturity: The time at which payment to a bondholder is due is called the bond’s maturity. The length of time to maturity varies with different bonds. Bonds usually mature in 10,20, or 30 years.

Par Value: A bond’s par value, assigned by the issuer, is the amount to be paid to the bondholder at maturity. Par value is also called face value or principal.

A yield is defined as the annual rate of return on a bond if the bond is held to maturity.

Page 15: Financial Markets Economics. Section 1: Savings and Investing

Discount Bonds/Bond Ratings

Investors earn money from interest on the bonds they buy. They can also earn money by buying bonds at a discount, called a discount from par.

How does an investor decide which bonds to buy?

Investors can check bond quality through independent firms that publish bond issuers’ credit ratings. Firms include Standard and Poor’s and Moody’s.

The bond ratings are based on a number of factors focusing on the issuer’s financial strength – its ability to make future interest payments and its ability to repay the principal when the bond matures.

The higher the bond rating, the lower the interest rate – riskier bonds have higher interest rates

Page 16: Financial Markets Economics. Section 1: Savings and Investing

Advantages and Disadvantages to the Issuer

Bonds are desirable from the issuers point of view for two main reasons

Once the bond is sold the coupon rate for that bond will not go up or down

Unlike stockholders, bondholders do not own a part of the company, therefore the company does not have to share profits with its bondholders if the company does well

Bonds also pose two main disadvantages to the issuer

The company must make fixed interest payments, even in bad years when it does not make money. It cannot change its interest payments even when interest rates have gone down.

If the firm does not maintain financial health, its bonds may be downgraded to a lower bond rating and thus may be harder to sell unless offered at a discount

Page 17: Financial Markets Economics. Section 1: Savings and Investing

Types of Bonds

Savings Bonds

Low-denomination ($50-$10,000) bonds issued by the United States government. The government uses these bonds to help pay for public works such as buildings, roads, and dams.

Like other government bonds, savings bonds have virtually no risk of default, or failure to repay the loan. The federal government pays interest on savings bonds.

Unlike other bonds, the federal government does not send interest payments to bondholders on a regular schedule. Instead the purchaser buys a savings bond for less than par value. For example, you can purchase a $50 savings bond for only $25. When the bond matures, you receive the $25 you paid for the bond plus $25 in interest.

Page 18: Financial Markets Economics. Section 1: Savings and Investing

Types of Bonds

Treasury Bonds, Bills, and Notes

Issued by the United States Treasury Department, sometimes called T-bills and T-notes. These investments offer different lengths of maturity. Backed by the “full faith and credit” of the Unites States government, these securities are among the safest investments in terms of default risk.

One problem with bonds is inflation. For example if a Treasury bond pays you 5 percent interest per year but the inflation rate is 3 percent, you are really getting just 2 percent interest on the bond.

One type of bond issues mainly by the government seeks to protect against inflation – a general rise in price. The inflation-indexed bond links the principal and interest to an inflation index – a measure of how fast prices are rising. If the index rises by 3 percent, this bonds par value will also rise by 3 percent. As a result you will receive the return on the bond that you expected when you bought it.

Page 19: Financial Markets Economics. Section 1: Savings and Investing

Types of Bonds

Municipal Bonds

State and local governments and municipalities (government units with corporate status) issue bonds to finance such projects as highways, state buildings, libraries, parks, and schools. Also called “munis”

Because state and local governments have the power to tax, investors can assume that these governments will be able to keep up with interest payments and repay the principal at maturity. Municipal bonds are pretty safe investments.

Municipal bonds are not subject to income taxes at the federal level or in the issuing state

Because they are safe and tax-exempt, “munis” are very attractive to investors as a long-term investment. A high-quality municipal bond can pay a good return for quite a long time.

Page 20: Financial Markets Economics. Section 1: Savings and Investing

Corporate Bonds

Corporations issue bonds to help raise money to expand their businesses

Corporate bonds are generally issued in denominations of $1,000 or $5,000. The interest on corporate bonds is taxed as ordinary income.

Unlike governments, corporations have no tax base to help guarantee their ability to repay their loans. Thus, these bonds have moderate levels of risk.

Investors in corporate bonds depend on the success of the corporation’s sales of goods and services to generate enough income to pay interest and principal

Corporations who issue bonds are overseen by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC)

Page 21: Financial Markets Economics. Section 1: Savings and Investing

Junk Bonds

Bonds with a fairly high risk of default but a potentially high yield are known as junk bonds.

Junk bonds have been known to pay as much as 12% interest at a time where government bonds were yielding only 8%. On the other hand, however, the speculative nature of most junk bonds makes them very risky.

Investors face a strong possibility that some of the issuing firms will default on their debt. Nevertheless, issuing junk bonds has enabled many companies to undertake activities that would otherwise have been impossible to complete.

Junk bonds, which pool large numbers of individual high-risk bonds, may reduce the risk somewhat for the average investor. Still, investment in junk bond funds can be hazardous.

Page 22: Financial Markets Economics. Section 1: Savings and Investing

Other Types of Financial Assets

Certificates of Deposit (CDs)

One of the most common forms of investment.

CDs are available through banks, which lend out the funds deposited in CDs for a fixed amount of time, such as six months or two years.

CDs are attractive to small investors because they can deposit as little as $100. Investors can also choose among several terms of maturity. This means that if an investor foresees a future expenditure, he or she can buy a CD that matures just before the expenditure is due.

Money Market Mutual Funds

Money market mutual funds are special types of mutual funds in which intermediaries buy short-term financial assets.

Investors receive higher interest on a money market mutual fund than they would receive from their savings account. However, they are not FDIC insured.

Page 23: Financial Markets Economics. Section 1: Savings and Investing

Financial Asset Markets

Capital Markets and Money Markets

Capital Markets

Markets in which money is lent for longer than a year.

Financial assets include long-term CDs and corporate and government bonds that require more than a year to mature.

Money Markets

Markets in which money is lent for one year or less.

Financial assets include short-term CDs, Treasury bills, and money market mutual funds.

Page 24: Financial Markets Economics. Section 1: Savings and Investing

Financial Asset Markets

Primary and Secondary Markets

Primary Markets

Financial assets that can be redeemed only by the original holder are sold on primary markets.

Examples include savings bonds, which cannot be sold by the original buyer to another buyer. Small CDs are also on the primary market because investors would most likely cash them in early rather than try to sell them to someone else.

Secondary Markets

Financial assets that can be resold are sold on secondary markets.

This option for resale provides liquidity to investors. If there is a strong secondary market for an asset, the investor knows that the asset can be resold fairly quickly without a penalty, thus providing the investor with ready cash. The secondary market also makes possible the lively trade in stock.

Page 25: Financial Markets Economics. Section 1: Savings and Investing

Section 3: The Stock Market

Page 26: Financial Markets Economics. Section 1: Savings and Investing

Buying Stock

Besides bonds, corporations can raise funds by issuing stock, which represents ownership in the corporation. Stock is issued in portions known as shares. By selling shares of stock, corporations raise money to start, run, and expand their businesses.

Benefits of Buying Stock

Dividends: Dividends are usually paid four times per year (quarterly). The size of the dividend depends on the corporation’s profit. The higher the profit, the larger the dividend per share of stock. (Not all stocks pay dividends)

Capital gains: A second way an investor can earn a profit is to sell the stock for more than he or she paid for it. The difference between the higher selling price and the lower purchase price is called a capital gain. An investor who sells a stock at a price lower than the purchase price, however, suffers a capital loss.

Page 27: Financial Markets Economics. Section 1: Savings and Investing

Types of Stock

Income stock: By paying dividends, this stock provides investors with income.

Growth stock: This stock pays few to no dividends. Instead, the issuing company reinvests its earnings in its business. The business and its stock thus grows in value over time.

Common stock: Investors who buy common stock are usually voting owners of the company. They usually receive one vote for each share of stock owned. For example: they could help elect someone on the company’s board of directors. In some cases, a relatively small group of people may own enough shares to give them control over the company.

Preferred stock: Investors who buy preferred stock are usually nonvoting owners of the company. Owners of a preferred stock receive dividends before the owners of common stock. If the company goes out of business, preferred stockholders get their investments back before the common stockholders.

Page 28: Financial Markets Economics. Section 1: Savings and Investing

Stock Splits

Owners of common stock may sometimes vote on whether to initiate a stock split. A stock split means that each single share of stock splits into more than one share. A company may seek to split a stock when the price of stock becomes so high that it discourages potential investors from buying it.

For example, you own 200 shares in a sporting goods company called Ultimate Sports. Each share is worth $100. After a 2-1 split, you own 400 shares of Ultimate Sports, or two shares of stock for every single share you owned before. Because the price is divided along with the stock, each share is now worth only $50. Thus a stock split does not immediately result in any financial gain.

Shareholders like splits though because splits usually demonstrate that the company is doing well, and the lower stock price tends to attract more investors.

Page 29: Financial Markets Economics. Section 1: Savings and Investing

Risks of Buying Stock

Purchasing stock is risky because the firm selling the stock may earn lower profits than expected, or it may lose money. If so, the dividends will be smaller than expected or nothing at all, and the market price of the stock will probably decrease. If the price of a stock decreases, investors who choose to sell the stock will get less than they paid for it resulting in a capital loss.

Because of the laws governing bankruptcy, stocks are more risky than bonds. When a firm goes bankrupt, it sells its assets (such as land and equipment) and then pays its creditors, including bondholders, first. Stockholders receive a share of the assets only if there is money left over after bondholders are paid. Because stocks are riskier than bonds, the return on stocks is usually higher.

Page 30: Financial Markets Economics. Section 1: Savings and Investing

How Stocks Are Traded

To buy a stock you would contact a stockbroker, a person who links buyers and sellers of stocks. Stockbrokers usually work with individual investors, advising them to buy or sell particular stocks.

Stockbrokers work for brokerage firms, or businesses that specialize in trading stocks. Stock brokers and brokerage firms cover their costs and earn a profit by charging a commission, or fee, on each stock transaction. Sometimes, they also act as dealers of stock, meaning that they buy shares at a lower price and sell them to investors at a slightly higher price, profiting from the difference, or “spread.”

Page 31: Financial Markets Economics. Section 1: Savings and Investing

Stock Exchanges

A market for buying and selling stock is known as the stock exchange. A stock exchange acts as a secondary market for stocks and bonds.

Major United States stock markets include the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) and Nasdaq. In addition, a large number of people trade stocks on the Internet using online brokerage firms or special trading software.

The ease of online brokerages can make it very risky because snap judgments can often be wrong – and very costly.

Page 32: Financial Markets Economics. Section 1: Savings and Investing

The New York Stock Exchange

The NYSE is the country’s largest and most powerful exchange. The NYSE began in 1792 as an informal, outdoor exchange in New York’s financial district. Over time, as the financial market developed the exchange would move indoors and became restricted to a limited number of members who bought “seats” allowing them to trade on the exchange.

The NYSE handles stock and bond transactions for the top companies in the United States and in the world. The largest, most financially sounds, and best-known firms listed on the NYSE are referred to as blue chip companies. Blue chip stocks are often in high-demand, because investors expect the companies to continue to do business profitably for a long time.

Page 33: Financial Markets Economics. Section 1: Savings and Investing

Nasdaq

Despite the importance of organized markets like the New York Stock Exchange, many stocks, as well as bonds, are not traded on the floor of stock exchanges. Instead, they are traded directly, on the over-the-county (OTC) market. Using the telephone or the Internet, investors may buy directly from a dealer or broker who will search other dealers or brokers on the OTC market for the best price.

The Nasdaq (National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotation) system was created in 1971 to help organize the OTC market through the use of automation. It grew rapidly in the 1990s in part by focusing on new-technology stocks.

Today, the Nasdaq is the second largest securities market in the country and the largest electronic market for stocks. It handles more trades on average than any other American market. True to its OTC roots, the Nasdaq has no physical trading floor. Instead it has a telecommunications network through which it broadcasts trading information to computer terminals throughout the world.

Page 34: Financial Markets Economics. Section 1: Savings and Investing

Futures

Futures are contracts to buy or sell commodities at a particular date in the future at a price specified today.

For example, a buyer and seller might agree today on a price of $4.50 per bushel for soybeans that would not reach the market until six or nine months from now. The buyer would pay some portion of the money today, and the seller would deliver the goods in the future.

Many of the markets in which futures are bought and sold are associated with grain and livestock exchanges. These markets include the New York Mercantile Exchange and the Chicago Board of Trade.

Page 35: Financial Markets Economics. Section 1: Savings and Investing

Options

Options are contracts that give investors the choice to buy or sell stock and other financial assets. Investors may buy or sell a particular stock at a particular price up until a certain time in the future – usually three to six months.

The option to buy shares of stock until a specified time in the future is known as a call option. For example, you may pay $10 per share today for a call option. The call option gives you the right, but not the obligation, to purchase a certain stock at a price of, say, $100 a share. If at the end of six months, the price has gone up to $115 per share, your option still allows you to purchase the stock for the agreed upon $100 a share. Thus you earn $5 per share ($15 minus the $10 you paid for the call option) If on the other hand, the price has dropped to $80, you can throw away the option and buy the stock at the going rate.

Page 36: Financial Markets Economics. Section 1: Savings and Investing

Options

The option to sell shares of stock at a specified time in the future is called a put option. Suppose that you, as the seller, pay $5 per share for the right to sell a particular stock that you do not yet own at $50 per share. If the price of the share falls to $40, you can buy the share at that price and require the contracted buyer to pay the agreed-upon $50. You would then make $5 per share on the sale ($10 minus the $5 you paid for the put option) If the price rises to $60, however, you can throw away the option and sell the stock for $60.

Page 37: Financial Markets Economics. Section 1: Savings and Investing

Day Trading

Most people who buy stock hold their investment for a significant period of time – sometimes many years – with the expectation that it will grow in value.

Day traders use a different strategy. They might make dozens of trades per day, sometimes holding a stock for just minutes or even seconds. The typical day trader, sitting in front of a computer, hopes to ride a rising stock’s momentum for a short time and then sell the stock for a quick profit.

Day trading is a bit like gambling – it is a very risky business in which traders can lose a great deal of money.

Page 38: Financial Markets Economics. Section 1: Savings and Investing

Measuring Stock Performance

When the stock market rises steadily over a period of time, a bull market exists. On the other hand, when the stock market falls or stagnates for a period of time, people call it a bear market.

In a bull market, investors expect an increase in profits and, therefore, buy stock. During a bear market, investors sell stock in expectation of lower profits.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average measures stock performance. The Dow is the average value of a particular set of stocks, and it is reported as a certain number of points. For example, on a good day the Dow might rise 60 points.

The Dow today consists of 30 large companies in various industries, such as food, entertainment, and technology.

The S&P 500 (Standard & Poor’s 500) gives a broader picture of stock performance than the Dow. It tracks the price changes of 500 different stocks as a measure of overall stock market performance. The S&P 500 reports mainly on stocks listed on the NYSE, but some of its stocks are traded on the Nasdaq market.

Page 39: Financial Markets Economics. Section 1: Savings and Investing

The Great Crash and Beyond

In the 1920’s under President Hoover, the Unites States economy seemed in great shape. The booming economy has drastically changed the lives of Americans. Factories produced a steady stream of consumer products, including refrigerators, washing machines, toasters, and automobiles. In 1925, the market value of all stocks had been $27 billion. By October 1929, combined stock values reached $87 billion.

However, a very small number of companies and families held much of the nation’s wealth, while many farmers and workers were suffering financially. Many people owned products but they used credit as a way to acquire them. Finally, industries were producing more goods than consumers could buy. As a result, some industries, including the important automobile industry, developed large surpluses of goods, and prices began to slump.

Page 40: Financial Markets Economics. Section 1: Savings and Investing

The Great Crash and Beyond

Many investors used speculation in which they bought stocks with borrowed money in hopes to get a big return.

Before it was only the wealthy that bought stocks, but in the 1920’s many ordinary people were playing the stock market – sometimes investing their life savings into it. They were tempted to do this because of a system called buying on margin in which they could borrow the money from investment firms.

The Hoover administration did very little to discourage people from taking risky loans.

On October 29, 1929 (known as Black Tuesday) there was a record of 16.4 million shares sold as investors were panicking about the speculation of prices. The Great Crash had begun because everyone was selling stocks but no one was buying them.

Page 41: Financial Markets Economics. Section 1: Savings and Investing

The Aftermath of the Crash

Millions of people lost their life savings, jobs, homes, and farms. By 1933, more than one quarter of the labor force was out of work.

Many people erected and lived in shacks made out of scrap wood, old tin, and other materials they scavenged. As more and more shacks sprang up, they formed shabby little villages in which they called “Hoovervilles” because they placed their blame on US President Herbert Hoover.

In 1929, the money supply in the United States was low. The Federal Reserve had done that to discourage speculation. With too little money in circulation, individuals and businesses could not spend enough to help the economy improve.

Page 42: Financial Markets Economics. Section 1: Savings and Investing

Changing Attitudes Toward Stocks

After the Depression, many people saw stocks as risky investments to be avoided. As late as 1980, a relatively small percentage of American households held stock. Gradually, however, attitudes began to change. For one thing, the development of mutual funds made it easy to own a wide variety of stocks. Americans became more comfortable with stock ownership.

After a period of very strong growth the stocks crashed again on “Black Monday,” October 18, 1987. The Dow lost 22.6 percent of its value that day – nearly twice the one-day loss that began the Great Crash of 1929. However, this time the market rebounded on each of the next two days and the impact on the economy was less severe. The Fed reduced interest rates to stimulate economic growth and within two years, the Dow had returned to pre-crash levels.

Starting in 1990, stock prices began to soar on the strength of a growing economy and a technology boom. Many people bought stock for the first time, investing heavily in Internet-based companies and other new, high-tech enterprises. A so-called dot.com boom raised stock prices of Internet-based securities to wildly unrealistic levels. At the end of the 1990s, almost half of American households owned mutual funds.