fertility, proximate determinants and fertility preferences

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Fertility, Proximate Determinants and Fertility Preferences. 2007 Jordan Population and Family Health Survey. Levels, trends, and differentials Determinants of fertility Fertility preferences, ideal family size, and adoption Pregnancy outcome. (c) 2000 Kevork Toranian, Courtesy of Photoshare. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Fertility, Proximate Determinants and Fertility Preferences

Fertility, Proximate Determinants and Fertility Preferences2007 Jordan Population and Family Health Survey2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc

1Levels, trends, and differentialsDeterminants of fertilityFertility preferences, ideal family size, and adoptionPregnancy outcome

(c) 2000 Kevork Toranian, Courtesy of Photoshare2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc23.6At current fertility levels, a woman in Jordan will have an average of 3.6 children in her lifetime. 2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc3Fertility Trends

TFR for women age 15-49 for the 3-year period preceding the survey2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc4Fertility Differentials

TFR for women age 15-49 for the 3-year period preceding the survey2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc5Trends in Fertility by Region6Fertility by GovernorateMafraq4.0Irbid3.8Ajloun3.7Jarash3.8Balqa3.7Madaba3.6Karak3.2Tafiela3.7Aqaba4.1Maan4.0Amman3.4Zarqa3.82007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc7Fertility by Education

TFR for women age 15-492007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc8Fertility By Wealth

TFR for women age 15-49Poorest householdsWealthiest households2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, IncFertility decreases as wealth increases.9Levels, trends, and differentialsDeterminants of fertilityFertility preferences, ideal family size, and adoptionPregnancy outcome

(c) 2000 Kevork Toranian, Courtesy of Photoshare2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc10Birth IntervalsIn addition to their impact on fertility, birth intervals may also affect the health of mothers and their children.2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc11Length of Birth Intervals

33% of births occur less than 24 months after the preceding birth.

Infants born less than 2 years after a sibling have the highest rate of mortality.

2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, IncDoctors recommend a birth interval of at least 36 months12Median Age at First Birth for Women 25-29

2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc13Median Age at First Birth for Women 25-29

Less than 50% of the women had a birth before age 25)2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc14Trends in Percent of Women Pregnant15Teenage Pregnancy and Motherhood3% of women between the ages of 15-19 are already mothers and another 1% are pregnant with their first child. 2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc16Current Marital Status: Women

2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc17Polygyny by GovernoratePercent of currently married women who are married to a man who has more than 1 wifeMafraq10%Irbid4%Ajloun3%Jarash6%Balqa7%Madaba5%Karak6%Tafiela6%Aqaba7%Maan11%Amman4%Zarqa4%National average: 5%2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc18Consanguinity

Percent of all ever-married women by their relationship to their current or first husband2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc19Age at First Marriage by Education

Median age at first marriage among women 25-492007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc20Levels, trends, and differentialsDeterminants of fertilityFertility preferences, ideal family size, and adoptionPregnancy outcome

(c) 2000 Kevork Toranian, Courtesy of Photoshare2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc21Fertility Preferences of Married Women

78% either want no more children or want to delay childbearing by at least 2 years, or are already sterilised or infecund.2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, IncAlmost half of women want no more children. More than three-quarters either want no more children, want to wait at least 2 years before their next birth or are already sterilised or are infecund. 22Overall, more than 7 in 10 women either want to delay having another child or stop childbearing altogether.These women are potential contraceptive users for spacing and limiting.2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc23Women are considered as having an unmet need for family planning if they are fecund and wish: to space their next birth

OR

to limit childbearing altogetherBUT

are not using contraception

2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc2412 percent of currently married women have an unmet need for family planning:

5% for spacing

7% for limiting

2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc25Demand for Family Planningamong Currently Married Women

(Met need + unmet need)(Currently using)(Met need/ total demand)2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc89% of the demand for FP is satisfied in Namibia. 26Ideal Family SizeWomen report an ideal family size of 3.9 children.2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, IncWomen want an average of 3.1 children, while men would like 3.9 children. Ideal family size is slightly higher in rural than in urban areas.27Birth Planning

2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, IncDistribution of births in the 5 years preceding the survey by birth planning status28Gap Between Wanted and Actual Fertility Rates2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc3.63.72.63.94.53.63.93.229Key FindingsWomen have on average 3.6 children.TFR has dropped dramatically in the last 20 years, but has remained relatively stable since 2002.Women have their first birth at a median age of 23.9.73% of currently married women either want no more children or want to wait at least 2 years before their next child and 5% are already sterilized or infecund.11% of married women have an unmet need for family planning.

2007 JPFHS- DoS and Macro International, Inc30Chart16.65.64.43.73.6

Series 1

Sheet1Series 1Series 2Series 3JFFHS 19836.62.42JPFHS 19905.64.42JFPFHS 19974.41.83JPFHS 20023.72.85JPFHS 20073.6To resize chart data range, drag lower right corner of range.

Chart13.63.63.7

Series 1

Sheet1Series 1Series 2Series 3Total3.62.42Urban3.64.42Rural3.71.83Category 44.52.85To resize chart data range, drag lower right corner of range.

Chart12.63.94.53.93.2

2.64.5

Sheet12.6Series 2Series 3No education2.62.42Elementary3.94.42Preparatory4.51.83Secondary3.92.85Higher3.2More than secondary2.1To resize chart data range, drag lower right corner of range.

Chart14.84.43.62.82.5

Series 1

Sheet1Series 1Series 2Series 3Lowest4.82.42Second4.44.42Middle3.61.83Fourth2.82.85Highest2.5To resize chart data range, drag lower right corner of range.

Chart115182617915

Sales7-1715%18-2318%60+15%

Sheet1Sales7-171518-231824-352636-471748-59960+15To resize chart data range, drag lower right corner of range.

Chart123.923.824.3

Series 124.3

Sheet1Series 1Series 2Series 3Total23.9Urban23.8Rural24.3Secondary or less21.4Higher22.8

Chart121.621.520.822.825.5

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