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Global Supply and Markets of Fishery Products Nianjun Shen Products, Trade and Marketing Branch (FIPM) Fisheries and Aquaculture Department Humber Seafood Summit 18 September 2014 Grimsby, UK

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Page 1: Fao - Nianjun Shen

Global Supply and Markets of Fishery Products

Nianjun Shen

Products, Trade and Marketing Branch (FIPM)

Fisheries and Aquaculture Department

Humber Seafood Summit

18 September 2014

Grimsby, UK

Page 2: Fao - Nianjun Shen

Outline

Page 3: Fao - Nianjun Shen

Production

Aquaculture Capture fisheries

About Us

Trade and Markets Market Access Traceability & Certification Consumption International Trade & Markets Prices & Projections Conclusions

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FAO Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations

Established to lead international efforts to defeat world hunger

Acts as a neutral forum to direct global policy

Gathers and disseminates information about food production and markets

Provides technical assistance in developing countries

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FIPM

Fish Products, Trade and Marketing service – a branch of the FAO Fisheries Department

Deals with fish after they have been caught

Runs technical assistance projects in developing

countries, helps formulate best practice guidelines

Gathers and disseminates market information through reports, website (www.globefish.org), regular publications etc.

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PRODUCTION

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Global fish production 2012

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Capture fisheries today

Marine Fisheries

29% ---Over fished

61%---Fully Fished

10%---Under Fished

Limited potential for increased production

In-Land Fisheries

Some stocks collapsed or collapsing

But many remain underutilized

Lack of data

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1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

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Capture Aquaculture

Aquaculture vs Capture

Source: FAO. 2014. The State of World Fisheries and Aquaculture 2014. Rome. 223 pp

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Aquaculture vs Capture in Projection 1950 - 2022 (FAO-OECD projections)

Aquaculture

Capture production

Source: Fishstat & Globefish Highlights (2014)

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Source: FAO. 2014. The State of World Fisheries and Aquaculture 2014. Rome. 223 pp

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TRADE AND MARKETS

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Market Access

Import Tariffs

– Low on most imports by developed countries

– But remain high on developing country imports

– High tariffs are barriers to regional trade

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Non -Tariff Measures

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Globalization of supply chains (separation of producer and consumer) +

Concerns about food safety and quality assurance +

Consumer awareness of fisheries sustainability issues

= Growing need for traceability mechanisms and guidelines Are costs and benefits equally distributed along the supply chain? Balance between need for traceability and minimizing unnecessary barriers to trade?

Traceability in the Supply Chain

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• Traceability best practice guidelines currently being developed through FAO consultancy

• First draft submitted at COFI-ST 2014

• Multiple FAO projects currently underway with traceability components

• Review of traceability systems for small pelagics in developing regions

Potential to be a new trade barrier?

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Growing number of ecolabels may confuse

consumer

What’s the difference?

Which is the best?

More means less – value of each individual label

decreases

Need for harmonization of standards

FAO’s Guidelines

Guidelines for the Ecolabelling of fish and fishery

products from marine capture fisheries (2005)

Guidelines for the Ecolabelling of Fish and Fishery

Products from Inland Capture Fisheries (2010)

Guidelines on Aquaculture Certification (Aquaculture

Guidelines) (2011)

Page 19: Fao - Nianjun Shen

Consumption

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Source: FAO. 2014. The State of World Fisheries and Aquaculture 2014. Rome. 223 pp

Total and per capita food fish consumption

by continent and economic grouping

2010

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World per capita meat and fish food supply

Source: FAO. 2014. The State of World Fisheries and Aquaculture 2014. Rome. 223 pp

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World per capita supply of fish by species group

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Kg

per

cap

ita

per

yea

r Cephalopods

Crustaceans

Demersal Fish

Freshwater Fish

Marine Fish, Other

Molluscs, Other

Pelagic Fish

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World per capita fish consumption map by major species group 2010

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International Trade and Markets

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2011 2012 2013

USD

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World fish trade - Major Importers

2011 to 2013

Other EU Japan USA Source: Globefish Highlights (2014) Note: 2013 estimated, EU includes intra-EU

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Global Market Trends

Strong growth: now 4th biggest importer and biggest exporting country Steadily increasing per capita consumption: 31 kg/kaput long-term growth: # 1 market (EU 28) rising population and stable consumption at 23 kg/kaput increasing import dependence long-term growth, overtaking Japan as # 1 importing country rising population and stable consumption 24 kg/kaput long-term decline in fish consumption and imports of meat>fish. high consumption but falling: 57 kg/kaput

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2011 2012 2013

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World fish trade - Major Exporters

2011 to 2013

China REST OF ASIA SOUTH AMERICA EU AFRICA Source: Globefish Highlights (2014) Note: 2013 estimated, EU includes intra-EU

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TRADE: Developed vs developing countries

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Prices & Projections

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Fish Price Index 1990 to 2013

TOTAL AQUACULTURE CAPTURE

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Fish Price Index by Species Group 1990 - 2013

Other fish White fish Salmon Shrimp Pelagic Tuna

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FAO (terrestrial) Meat Price Index vs Fish 1990 - 2013

FISH MEAT 11 per. Mov. Avg. (FISH) 11 per. Mov. Avg. (MEAT)

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Source: OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2013

Price Trends of Major Protein Sources, OECD-FAO projections

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82%

83%

84%

85%

86%

87%

88%

89%

90%

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BASELINE 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

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Total fish consumption, OECD-FAO projections Source: OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2013

DEVELOPED DEVELOPING % for food (developed) % for food (developing)

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Conclusions

Page 37: Fao - Nianjun Shen

SUPPLY INCREASES THANKS TO AQUACULTURE

oBUT FISHERIES MANAGEMENT STILL AN ISSUE

WORLD TRADE IS INCREASING

oBUT SHARE OF 3 BIG MARKETS DECLINING

oROLE OF CHINA

FISH’S NUTRITIONAL VALUE

PRICES TO RISE STRONGLY

IMPORTANCE OF TRACEABILITY AND LABELING

MARKET ACCESS REMAIN A CHALLENGE

Page 38: Fao - Nianjun Shen

http://www.fao.org/fishery

THANK YOU