explore a fast changing world
DESCRIPTION
As it is difficult to make long-term predictions, we have to take initiative to drive and shape the future. It's time to anticipate trends, navigate the threats and focus on the opportunities without never neglecting the power of YOU!TRANSCRIPT
Explore a fast-changing world Dirk Höpfl, IE Business School
Inventions reached their limit long ago, and I see no hope for further development.
Julius Frontinus, 1st century A.D.
Heavier-than-air flying machines are impossible.
Lord Kelvin, President, Royal Society, 1895
I think there is a world market for maybe five computers.
Thomas Watson, Chairman of IBM, 1943
This 'telephone' has too many shortcomings to be seriously considered as a means of communication. The device is inherently of no value to us.
Western UnionInternal memo, 1876
640K ought to be enough for anybody.
Bill Gates, 1981
Forecast/Projections: Extrapolate the future from the past
So, what is the point in trying to predict the future?
We should study the future not to predict it
but to shape it...
MegaTrends
Individual empowerment
Diffusion of Power
By 2030, Asia will have surpassed North America and Europe combined in terms of global power based upon
GDP, population size, military spending and technological
investment.
US National Intelligence Council Global Trends 2030: Alternative Worlds
Demographic Patterns
Food, Water, Energy Nexus
Big Data
1 000 000 000 000 000 B 1 million Gigabytes
MegaOpportunities
Demographic Patterns
Food, Water, Energy Nexus
Individual Empowerment
Big Data
BRIC
MIST
N11Mexico, Indonesia, South Korea, Turkey
MIST+ Bangladesh, Egypt, Iran, Nigeria, Pakistan, Philippines, Vietnam
Brazil, Russia, India, China
Future demand for talent
MegaThreats
A reality in 2020?!
Failed States
Weapons of Mass Destruction
Terrorism
Cyber Attacks
MegaYOU
Emotional Management
Network Management
EQ
PQ
IQScientific Management
• Making decisions
• Solving problems
• Managing budgets
• Thinking strategically
• Organizing projects
• Preparing spreadsheets and presentations
• Reviewing documents
• Analyzing data
IQScientific Management
Emotional Management
Network Management
EQ
PQ
• Motivating people
• Influencing and persuading skills
• Coaching
• Delegating
• Managing upwards
• Overcoming resistance
• Adapting to different styles and situations
• Managing yourself: time, emotions, style
IQScientific Management
Emotional Management
Network Management
EQ
PQ
• Building networks of trusts and influence
• Creating alliances to make things happen
• Dealing with organizational conflicts and resistance
• Managing ambiguity and uncertainty
• Finding the right assignments and projects to work on
• Discovering the real rules of survival and success in your firm
Digital Skills
Digital business skills
Ability to work virtually
Agile Thinking Skills
Ability to consider and prepare for multiple scenarios
Innovation
Dealing with complexity and ambiguity
Interpersonal and Communication Skills
Co-creativity and brainstorming
Relationship building
Global Operating Skills
Ability to manage diverse employees
Understanding international markets
The world is changing very fast. Big will not beat small anymore.
It will be the fast beating the slow.
Robert Murdoch
You have the power to shape the future…
Let´s be connected on Twitter: @dirkhopfl Join the Facebook group IE-Taiwan
Dirk Höpfl [email protected]