eu referendum ‘how did you vote’ poll · leave by ge2015 remain by ge2015 methodology plaid...

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Region Social Grade Age Gender York- shire North- West East & ern South South East- Mid- Mid- Humb- North North Ire- Scot- Eng- West East London ern lands lands erside East West land Wales land land DE C2 C1 AB 65+ 55-64 45-54 35-44 25-34 18-24 Female Male Total 1185 1849 1292 1108 985 891 1126 588 1444 170 629 1102 10468 2360 1653 3179 5148 2963 2663 2402 2091 1609 639 6513 5850 12369 Unweighted base 1186 1851 1284 1113 988 894 1129 589 1445 170 631 1090 10479 2384 1669 3177 5111 2981 2673 2409 2085 1592 627 6513 5850 12369 Weighted base 751 1167 818 705 672 529 653 319 845 162 364 699 6459 1390 1075 1995 3206 1548 1647 1553 1376 1108 451 3993 3686 7685 Yes, in person 63% 63% 64% 63% 68% 59% 58% 54% 58% 96% 58% 64% 62% 58% 64% 63% 63% 52% 62% 64% 66% 70% 72% 61% 63% 62% 432 680 460 405 312 360 471 267 596 7 267 386 3983 989 593 1174 1880 1430 1022 852 704 473 163 2501 2142 4644 Yes, by post 36% 37% 36% 36% 32% 40% 42% 45% 41% 4% 42% 35% 38% 41% 36% 37% 37% 48% 38% 35% 34% 30% 26% 38% 37% 38% 3 4 6 3 4 5 5 3 4 - - 4 36 5 2 8 24 3 4 4 6 11 13 19 22 40 Yes, by proxy * * * * * 1% * * * - - * * * * * * * * * * 1% 2% * * * - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - No - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Page 1 EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll ONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016 Absolutes/col percents Table 1 Q.1 Have you already cast your vote in the EU Referendum which will be held on Thursday 23rd June? Q.1 Did you vote in the EU Referendum held today across the United Kingdom? Base: All respondents Lord Ashcroft

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Page 1: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

RegionSocial GradeAgeGenderYork-shireNorth-

WestEast&ernSouthSouthEast-Mid-Mid-Humb-NorthNorthIre-Scot-Eng-WestEastLondonernlandslandsersideEastWestlandWaleslandlandDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

1185184912921108985891112658814441706291102104682360165331795148296326632402209116096396513585012369Unweighted base

1186185112841113988894112958914451706311090104792384166931775111298126732409208515926276513585012369Weighted base

75111678187056725296533198451623646996459139010751995320615481647155313761108451399336867685Yes, in person63%63%64%63%68%59%58%54%58%96%58%64%62%58%64%63%63%52%62%64%66%70%72%61%63%62%

432680460405312360471267596726738639839895931174188014301022852704473163250121424644Yes, by post36%37%36%36%32%40%42%45%41%4%42%35%38%41%36%37%37%48%38%35%34%30%26%38%37%38%

346345534--4365282434461113192240Yes, by proxy*****1%***--**********1%2%***

--------------------------No--------------------------

Page 1

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 1Q.1 Have you already cast your vote in the EU Referendum which will be held on Thursday 23rd June?Q.1 Did you vote in the EU Referendum held today across the United Kingdom?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 2: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

Reluctant ToTell How You

2015 VoteVotedWhen Mind Made UpReferendumSince

Longerbegin-In theOnagoningIn theIn thelastpol-

PlaidAlwaysthan aoflastlastfewlingCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConNoYesknownyearyearmonthweekdaysdayRemainLeaveTotal

7251950915109993442408511079129046167511743226680096612276198617112369Unweighted base

7251249815659823400410711080128946077581748226779996412255949642012369Weighted base

38330326901627211924516891794289948311101290491733679380738787685Yes, in person53%64%65%58%64%62%60%62%62%63%64%64%57%61%76%55%64%60%62%

341801706623531271164141574861695274632968306227542211525294644Yes, by post47%35%34%42%36%37%40%38%38%37%36%36%43%38%24%44%36%39%38%

-32221014328131610254281240Yes, by proxy-1%******1%*****1%****

-------------------No-------------------

Page 2

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 1Q.1 Have you already cast your vote in the EU Referendum which will be held on Thursday 23rd June?Q.1 Did you vote in the EU Referendum held today across the United Kingdom?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 3: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

MethodologyRemain by GE2015Leave by GE2015PlaidPlaid

CATIOnlineCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConTotal

1000113693334338770718224817793917612214402811194230612369Unweighted base

996113733232937167689215817084118312714982921242239912369Weighted base

6337052182242553643913781024201067186618874114277685Yes, in person64%62%58%68%69%53%64%64%60%49%58%56%58%64%60%59%62%

357428713105114322497716762175566301045009654644Yes, by post36%38%42%32%31%47%36%36%40%51%41%44%42%36%40%40%38%

733-12-298-2-2-1640Yes, by proxy1%*-*1%-***-1%-*-***

-----------------No-----------------

Page 3

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 1Q.1 Have you already cast your vote in the EU Referendum which will be held on Thursday 23rd June?Q.1 Did you vote in the EU Referendum held today across the United Kingdom?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 4: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

Attention Paid toThe GreenSocialMulti-PoliticsNational IdentityImmigrationCapitalismThe internetGlobalisationmovementFeminismliberalismculturalism

Equ-MoreallyMore

Brit-Brit-Eng-Eng-Eng-ishishlishlishlishnotthanandthannot

Eng-Eng-Brit-Brit-Brit-0-45-78-10lishlishishishishIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodTotal

1406469562441252113345341785120848904380366648695989319290552692418716119707087294857743665593412369Unweighted base

1413469662361240112045321805123550034272366348656079296294652102470708420057020301756813754582612369Weighted base

86429073904779725278411227002964278422942967375580418593290150645111211445218383633228737207685Yes, in person61%62%63%63%65%61%62%57%59%65%63%61%62%62%63%63%61%64%60%63%61%64%61%64%62%

54317732314455391173567853220321468136318772313459108518929582544789253911732028146220774644Yes, by post38%38%37%37%35%38%38%43%41%34%37%39%38%37%37%36%39%36%39%36%39%36%39%36%38%

6161963146372062223222862952862043040Yes, by proxy***************1%*******1%*

-------------------------No-------------------------

Page 4

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 1Q.1 Have you already cast your vote in the EU Referendum which will be held on Thursday 23rd June?Q.1 Did you vote in the EU Referendum held today across the United Kingdom?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 5: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

RegionSocial GradeAgeGenderYork-shireNorth-

WestEast&ernSouthSouthEast-Mid-Mid-Humb-NorthNorthIre-Scot-Eng-WestEastLondonernlandslandsersideEastWestlandWaleslandlandDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

1185184912921108985891112658814441706291102104682360165331795148296326632402209116096396513585012369Unweighted base

1186185112841113988894112958914451706311090104792384166931775111298126732409208515926276513585012369Weighted base

558864720474441388511271681872786784906851599155929241206116210681075981455313628125949For the UK to remain in47%47%56%43%45%43%45%46%47%52%44%62%47%36%36%49%57%40%43%44%52%62%73%48%48%48%the European Union

62898756463954750761831876582353412557315321070161821871776151013411010611172337730396420For the UK to leave the53%53%44%57%55%57%55%54%53%48%56%38%53%64%64%51%43%60%57%56%48%38%27%52%52%52%European Union

Page 5

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 2Q.2 Which way did you vote in the/today's referendum?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 6: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

Reluctant ToTell How You

2015 VoteVotedWhen Mind Made UpReferendumSince

Longerbegin-In theOnagoningIn theIn thelastpol-

PlaidAlwaysthan aoflastlastfewlingCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConNoYesknownyearyearmonthweekdaysdayRemainLeaveTotal

7251950915109993442408511079129046167511743226680096612276198617112369Unweighted base

7251249815659823400410711080128946077581748226779996412255949642012369Weighted base

3232937167689215817085313636232727977410743944856175949-5949For the UK to remain in44%64%75%4%70%63%42%48%49%51%37%44%47%49%50%50%100%-48%the European Union

41183127149829212422399576765222804799751193406480608-64206420For the UK to leave the56%36%25%96%30%37%58%52%51%49%63%56%53%51%50%50%-100%52%European Union

Page 6

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 2Q.2 Which way did you vote in the/today's referendum?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 7: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

MethodologyRemain by GE2015Leave by GE2015PlaidPlaid

CATIOnlineCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConTotal

1000113693334338770718224817793917612214402811194230612369Unweighted base

996113733232937167689215817084118312714982921242239912369Weighted base

5275423323293716768921581708-------5949For the UK to remain in53%48%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%-------48%the European Union

4695950-------411831271498292124223996420For the UK to leave the47%52%-------100%100%100%100%100%100%100%52%European Union

Page 7

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 2Q.2 Which way did you vote in the/today's referendum?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 8: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

Attention Paid toThe GreenSocialMulti-PoliticsNational IdentityImmigrationCapitalismThe internetGlobalisationmovementFeminismliberalismculturalism

Equ-MoreallyMore

Brit-Brit-Eng-Eng-Eng-ishishlishlishlishnotthanandthannot

Eng-Eng-Brit-Brit-Brit-0-45-78-10lishlishishishishIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodTotal

1406469562441252113345341785120848904380366648695989319290552692418716119707087294857743665593412369Unweighted base

1413469662361240112045321805123550034272366348656079296294652102470708420057020301756813754582612369Weighted base

59322493100742705220261626010003393179423871784754904323453943635284209594388470241405949For the UK to remain in42%48%50%60%63%49%34%21%20%79%49%49%29%51%31%62%22%62%26%60%20%68%19%71%48%the European Union

8202447313649841523301189975400387918692478430454220421977193127211477281124231798305216866420For the UK to leave the58%52%50%40%37%51%66%79%80%21%51%51%71%49%69%38%78%38%74%40%80%32%81%29%52%European Union

Page 8

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 2Q.2 Which way did you vote in the/today's referendum?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 9: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

Highest Level of EducationChildrenTenureStillinfullHigherNoRentOwned

timeuniv-Univ-Secon-Pri-formalAgedRentfromNET:withOwnededuc-ersityersitydarymaryeduc-AgedAgedAgedunderNET:RentOtherfromcoun-Rent-mort-out-NET:ationdegreedegreeschoolschoolationNone16-1811-155-105YesfreerentHAcilersgagerightOwnersTotal

2061772466754826179900085113191457107233181711685875754331440344827886112369Unweighted base

2011749463555386281900385213241454106633151701676884764332340154838885312369Weighted base

1631122262819721714429639357373658616289292231624614842171218643575949For the UK to remain in81%64%57%36%28%18%48%46%43%51%55%49%54%55%36%32%45%54%45%49%48%the European Union

37627200735664567470746075171848116877875356851818391843265344966420For the UK to leave the19%36%43%64%72%82%52%54%57%49%45%51%46%45%64%68%55%46%55%51%52%European Union

Page 9

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 3Q.2 Which way did you vote in the/today's referendum?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 10: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

ReligionEthnicityWorking StatusNot

work-Ret-ingNotiredRet-notwork-withiredseek-ingpri-oningbutNET:Work-Work-vatestatework/seek-NotingingNET:

Budd-Chris-Chin-NET:Housepen-pen-Stu-ingwork-partfullWork-NoneOtherhistSikhJewishHinduMuslimtianOthereseBlackAsianMixedBAMEWhitepersonsionsiondentworkingtimetimeingTotal

48542126420988420566253056159318147710115599602752697668460553720314796682712369Unweighted base

48292116420988320166573055156313145699115719682761707662462556020274777680412369Weighted base

26331083310455814128071938114209974785422366121221839419823871024253535595949For the UK to remain in55%51%51%48%46%70%70%42%65%70%73%67%67%68%47%38%44%31%59%43%43%51%53%52%48%the European Union

219610331105325603850101742104482216149602154948926826431731003224232456420For the UK to leave the45%49%49%52%54%30%30%58%35%30%27%33%33%32%53%62%56%69%41%57%57%49%47%48%52%European Union

Page 10

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 3Q.2 Which way did you vote in the/today's referendum?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 11: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

Work SectorDisabilityChar-

ity/Phys-not-Pri-icalMentalfor-vatePublicDisab-cond-cond-NET:

profitsectorsectorNoOtherilityitionitionYesTotal

4534108226696501269011581676249912369Unweighted base

4484099225696351269091593675251412369Weighted base

2732081120648255833462033210205949For the UK to remain in61%51%53%50%46%37%39%49%41%48%the European Union

1762018105148096957597334314946420For the UK to leave the39%49%47%50%54%63%61%51%59%52%European Union

Page 11

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 3Q.2 Which way did you vote in the/today's referendum?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 12: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

RegionSocial GradeAgeGenderYork-shireNorth-

WestEast&ernSouthSouthEast-Mid-Mid-Humb-NorthNorthIre-Scot-Eng-WestEastLondonernlandslandsersideEastWestlandWaleslandlandDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

1185184912921108985891112658814441706291102104682360165331795148296326632402209116096396513585012369Unweighted base

1186185112841113988894112958914451706311090104792384166931775111298126732409208515926276513585012369Weighted base

1141961279195831007216220601041040241180335467212221237274223567294961225On polling day/ the day10%11%10%8%10%9%9%12%11%12%10%10%10%10%11%11%9%7%8%10%13%14%9%11%8%10%I filled out my postal

vote

71120138798871814712412567881918212925239815815619124217049571393964In the last few days6%6%11%7%9%8%7%8%9%7%9%7%8%8%8%8%8%5%6%8%12%11%8%9%7%8%

77119717670647043908317968115912719232014015218415812046480319799In the last week6%6%6%7%7%7%6%7%6%5%5%7%6%7%8%6%6%5%6%8%8%8%7%7%5%6%

20532722321420414422011331031116162195942931959092549946245040530514612979672267In the last month17%18%17%19%21%16%19%19%21%18%18%15%19%18%19%19%18%17%17%19%19%19%23%20%17%18%

1732861771471311281468321124951471483348231447721454377352286199808918581748Since the beginning of15%15%14%13%13%14%13%14%15%14%15%13%14%15%14%14%14%15%14%15%14%12%13%14%15%14%the year

87115727759646034681037746371271031863382511791361046622256500758Longer ago than a year7%6%6%7%6%7%5%6%5%6%6%7%6%5%6%6%7%8%7%6%5%4%3%4%9%6%

4586894754283413404521974806523744638608975821176194212671125859616510228228923184607I have always known how39%37%37%38%35%38%40%33%33%38%38%41%37%38%35%37%38%43%42%36%30%32%36%35%40%37%I would end up voting

Page 12

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 4Q.3 When did you finally decide how you were going to vote?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 13: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

Reluctant ToTell How You

2015 VoteVotedWhen Mind Made UpReferendumSince

Longerbegin-In theOnagoningIn theIn thelastpol-

PlaidAlwaysthan aoflastlastfewlingCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConNoYesknownyearyearmonthweekdaysdayRemainLeaveTotal

7251950915109993442408511079129046167511743226680096612276198617112369Unweighted base

7251249815659823400410711080128946077581748226779996412255949642012369Weighted base

856367498350447873352------12256176081225On polling day/ the day11%11%7%5%10%10%11%8%27%------100%10%9%10%I filled out my postal

vote

735424480307328770194-----964-485480964In the last few days10%7%8%3%8%9%8%7%15%-----100%-8%7%8%

335216070228271676123----799--394406799In the last week4%7%4%4%7%7%7%6%10%----100%--7%6%6%

16671002001656198382039228---2267---107411932267In the last month22%13%20%13%17%18%20%18%18%---100%---18%19%18%

1277642341374386261626122--1748----7749751748Since the beginning of17%15%13%15%14%13%15%15%9%--100%----13%15%14%the year

532231844416425370850-758-----279479758Longer ago than a year7%6%5%12%4%5%6%6%4%-100%-----5%7%6%

212102137693871294134243882194607------232722804607I have always known how29%41%43%49%39%38%33%40%17%100%------39%36%37%I would end up voting

Page 13

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 4Q.3 When did you finally decide how you were going to vote?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 14: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

MethodologyRemain by GE2015Leave by GE2015PlaidPlaid

CATIOnlineCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConTotal

1000113693334338770718224817793917612214402811194230612369Unweighted base

996113733232937167689215817084118312714982921242239912369Weighted base

8411403361921581802235211753411702251225On polling day/ the day8%10%9%11%5%31%8%8%13%13%11%13%4%14%14%9%10%I filled out my postal

vote

5091532023850149169415193630158159964In the last few days5%8%9%6%6%11%7%7%10%10%8%15%2%10%13%7%8%

7672421915114012612511655030102147799In the last week8%6%6%6%4%16%6%6%7%3%9%4%3%10%8%6%6%

17520935367113105348373113029186602704652267In the last month18%18%15%11%19%20%15%16%22%28%16%23%12%21%22%19%18%

10916394474728527924083017232521593861748Since the beginning of11%14%12%14%13%3%12%13%14%21%16%13%15%18%13%16%14%the year

716873261823610470265182760183758Longer ago than a year7%6%9%8%5%3%5%5%4%5%3%4%12%2%5%8%6%

4314176121451781131597150886635758723228344607I have always known how43%37%39%44%48%16%46%45%30%21%36%28%51%25%26%35%37%I would end up voting

Page 14

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 4Q.3 When did you finally decide how you were going to vote?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 15: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

Attention Paid toThe GreenSocialMulti-PoliticsNational IdentityImmigrationCapitalismThe internetGlobalisationmovementFeminismliberalismculturalism

Equ-MoreallyMore

Brit-Brit-Eng-Eng-Eng-ishishlishlishlishnotthanandthannot

Eng-Eng-Brit-Brit-Brit-0-45-78-10lishlishishishishIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodTotal

1406469562441252113345341785120848904380366648695989319290552692418716119707087294857743665593412369Unweighted base

1413469662361240112045321805123550034272366348656079296294652102470708420057020301756813754582612369Weighted base

223538460110110468173125504352359458718872405422196692016572645023245631225On polling day/ the day16%11%7%9%10%10%10%10%10%8%10%9%12%10%8%10%9%9%10%9%9%9%9%10%10%I filled out my postal

vote

153420388117833631545935731026136240752172460121612114596164483207498964In the last few days11%9%6%9%7%8%9%5%7%7%7%7%7%8%6%9%5%9%6%8%5%8%6%9%8%

12638228959713191376330724822132135621154367116490125481160393195397799In the last week9%8%5%5%6%7%8%5%6%6%6%7%6%7%5%7%5%7%6%7%5%7%5%7%6%

29199697520221791434120788673065989791173245398437213473381291464102860710942267In the last month21%21%16%16%19%20%19%17%18%17%18%18%15%19%15%19%15%19%17%18%15%18%16%19%18%

14965893919015966024516575360154069282135840677233410382769944258015617831748Since the beginning of11%14%15%15%14%15%14%13%15%14%15%14%13%15%14%15%14%15%14%14%14%14%15%13%14%the year

4021650177622631188436625322035730578247271209397138406253335293318758Longer ago than a year3%5%8%6%6%6%7%7%7%6%6%7%5%6%8%5%8%6%7%6%8%6%8%5%6%

431148526844864181545637533183117781405177825933681273181510992532813259412862140156521734607I have always known how30%32%43%39%37%34%35%43%37%42%38%37%43%36%43%35%44%36%41%37%43%38%42%37%37%I would end up voting

Page 15

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 4Q.3 When did you finally decide how you were going to vote?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 16: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

RegionSocial GradeAgeGenderYork-shireNorth-

WestEast&ernSouthSouthEast-Mid-Mid-Humb-NorthNorthIre-Scot-Eng-WestEastLondonernlandslandsersideEastWestlandWaleslandlandDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

1185184912921108985891112658814441706291102104682360165331795148296326632402209116096396513585012369Unweighted base

1186185112841113988894112958914451706311090104792384166931775111298126732409208515926276513585012369Weighted base

829132495577166061477139810061184258357328147410672254389119561822169315031214516462440788707NET: Victory for Remain70%72%74%69%67%69%68%68%70%70%67%77%70%62%64%71%76%66%68%70%72%76%82%71%70%70%

6613515677838388461212239126855203141241456170178201216209674765641041A clear victory for6%7%12%7%8%9%8%8%8%13%6%12%8%9%8%8%9%6%7%8%10%13%11%7%10%8%Remain

764118979969457753068335288597386710647312719262013343417861645149212871005449414935147665A narrow victory for64%64%62%62%58%59%60%60%61%57%61%65%62%53%55%63%67%60%62%62%62%63%72%64%60%62%Remain

35752732834232828135819143951206254315191060392312201026851716582377111188817723662NET: Victory for Leave30%28%26%31%33%31%32%32%30%30%33%23%30%38%36%29%24%34%32%30%28%24%18%29%30%30%

292439282286278228298151367411792222620710488804105588973256947930092156015013062A narrow victory for25%24%22%26%28%25%26%26%25%24%28%20%25%30%29%25%21%30%27%24%23%19%15%24%26%25%Leave

6588465750536040721027325312001151181651361191471037718328271600A clear victory for5%5%4%5%5%6%5%7%5%6%4%3%5%8%7%4%3%5%4%6%5%5%3%5%5%5%Leave

Page 16

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 5Q.4 When the result of the referendum is announced on 24th June, what do you expect the result to be?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 17: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

Reluctant ToTell How You

2015 VoteVotedWhen Mind Made UpReferendumSince

Longerbegin-In theOnagoningIn theIn thelastpol-

PlaidAlwaysthan aoflastlastfewlingCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConNoYesknownyearyearmonthweekdaysdayRemainLeaveTotal

7251950915109993442408511079129046167511743226680096612276198617112369Unweighted base

7251249815659823400410711080128946077581748226779996412255949642012369Weighted base

53382402781788254828907781926318549312001628560725915523734698707NET: Victory for Remain73%75%81%50%80%75%70%70%72%69%65%69%72%70%75%75%88%54%70%

4544168823693038981433895913717563981217832581041A clear victory for5%10%8%4%8%11%7%8%11%8%8%8%8%8%10%10%13%4%8%Remain

49329361713706217925876883782279643410631453498627794445432117665A narrow victory for68%64%72%46%72%64%63%62%61%61%57%61%64%62%65%65%75%50%62%Remain

191309678419485112173299363142226554964023923931071229503662NET: Victory for Leave27%25%19%50%20%25%30%30%28%31%35%31%28%30%25%25%12%46%30%

171118961117870510512786276115021347155719921126065324093062A narrow victory for24%22%18%39%18%21%26%25%21%25%28%27%25%25%22%21%11%38%25%Leave

2197173151471665138727252778240284960541600A clear victory for3%4%1%11%2%4%4%5%7%6%7%4%4%5%3%4%1%8%5%Leave

Page 17

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 5Q.4 When the result of the referendum is announced on 24th June, what do you expect the result to be?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 18: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

MethodologyRemain by GE2015Leave by GE2015PlaidPlaid

CATIOnlineCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConTotal

1000113693334338770718224817793917612214402811194230612369Unweighted base

996113733232937167689215817084118312714982921242239912369Weighted base

7277980272793176060418911544261038572118465713468707NET: Victory for Remain73%70%85%85%85%90%88%88%90%64%56%67%48%63%53%56%70%

1199223443397629723319859673701041A clear victory for12%8%9%13%9%13%11%14%14%3%5%7%4%2%6%3%8%Remain

608705724235284525281594131025947766217858512767665A narrow victory for61%62%76%71%76%77%77%74%77%62%51%61%44%61%47%53%62%Remain

26933935505578526716415804277710858510533662NET: Victory for Leave27%30%15%15%15%10%12%12%10%36%44%33%52%37%47%44%30%

197286544855682242147146334605974639043062A narrow victory for20%25%12%15%15%9%12%11%9%33%35%27%40%33%37%38%25%Leave

7252912-142517117717211122149600A clear victory for7%5%3%1%-1%1%1%1%3%9%6%11%4%10%6%5%Leave

Page 18

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 5Q.4 When the result of the referendum is announced on 24th June, what do you expect the result to be?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 19: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

Attention Paid toThe GreenSocialMulti-PoliticsNational IdentityImmigrationCapitalismThe internetGlobalisationmovementFeminismliberalismculturalism

Equ-MoreallyMore

Brit-Brit-Eng-Eng-Eng-ishishlishlishlishnotthanandthannot

Eng-Eng-Brit-Brit-Brit-0-45-78-10lishlishishishishIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodTotal

1406469562441252113345341785120848904380366648695989319290552692418716119707087294857743665593412369Unweighted base

1413469662361240112045321805123550034272366348656079296294652102470708420057020301756813754582612369Weighted base

95733284411932851320511957222919352125633471381666418193981140654241215528517664429218646578707NET: Victory for Remain68%71%71%75%76%71%66%58%58%82%70%71%63%72%62%76%57%77%61%75%59%78%58%80%70%

10836157013613133110586296502308456458171825541446911376691685872086451041A clear victory for8%8%9%11%12%7%6%7%6%12%8%9%7%9%6%11%6%10%7%10%6%10%6%11%8%Remain

84929673841795721287410906352624301922553016336584716373427126147331077461515983842197840127665A narrow victory for60%63%62%64%64%63%60%51%52%71%62%62%55%63%56%66%51%67%54%66%53%68%53%69%62%Remain

45613681825309268132761051320847511101139422726321127122910651660791173512511252156811693662NET: Victory for Leave32%29%29%25%24%29%34%42%42%18%30%29%37%28%38%24%43%23%39%25%41%22%42%20%30%

36811711513250225110352440916986549051183171222992210518621418638147210061083127310173062A narrow victory for26%25%24%20%20%24%29%33%34%15%25%24%28%24%31%20%35%20%32%21%33%19%34%17%25%Leave

881973125943224861043869819621156403205178202242153264245169295152600A clear victory for6%4%5%5%4%5%5%8%8%2%5%4%9%4%7%3%8%3%8%4%8%3%8%3%5%Leave

Page 19

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 5Q.4 When the result of the referendum is announced on 24th June, what do you expect the result to be?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 20: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

RegionSocial GradeAgeGenderYork-shireNorth-

WestEast&ernSouthSouthEast-Mid-Mid-Humb-NorthNorthIre-Scot-Eng-WestEastLondonernlandslandsersideEastWestlandWaleslandlandDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

1185184912921108985891112658814441706291102104682360165331795148296326632402209116096396513585012369Unweighted base

1186185112841113988894112958914451706311090104792384166931775111298126732409208515926276513585012369Weighted base

534872549552517438555278699783094584993128292614982120150713171221975628192299528415839The decision we make in45%47%43%50%52%49%49%47%48%46%49%42%48%54%55%47%41%51%49%51%47%39%31%46%49%47%the referendum might

make us a bit better orworse off as a country,but there probablyisn't much in it eitherway

6529797355604714565743117479132263254861102744167929901475135611891110964435351830096530The decision we make in55%53%57%50%48%51%51%53%52%54%51%58%52%46%45%53%59%49%51%49%53%61%69%54%51%53%the referendum could

have disastrousconsequences for us asa country if we get itwrong

Page 20

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 6Q.5 Which of the following statements comes closer to your own view?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 21: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

Reluctant ToTell How You

2015 VoteVotedWhen Mind Made UpReferendumSince

Longerbegin-In theOnagoningIn theIn thelastpol-

PlaidAlwaysthan aoflastlastfewlingCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConNoYesknownyearyearmonthweekdaysdayRemainLeaveTotal

7251950915109993442408511079129046167511743226680096612276198617112369Unweighted base

7251249815659823400410711080128946077581748226779996412255949642012369Weighted base

3521217496837313532108513870117163638221161459589728139344465839The decision we make in48%41%35%62%38%40%51%46%54%37%48%47%51%57%61%59%23%69%47%the referendum might

make us a bit better orworse off as a country,but there probablyisn't much in it eitherway

3730032459860820471999594358728913949271106340375496455719736530The decision we make in52%59%65%38%62%60%49%54%46%63%52%53%49%43%39%41%77%31%53%the referendum could

have disastrousconsequences for us asa country if we get itwrong

Page 21

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 6Q.5 Which of the following statements comes closer to your own view?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 22: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

MethodologyRemain by GE2015Leave by GE2015PlaidPlaid

CATIOnlineCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConTotal

1000113693334338770718224817793917612214402811194230612369Unweighted base

996113733232937167689215817084118312714982921242239912369Weighted base

47953607797823149417471281339794522593616365839The decision we make in48%47%21%24%21%34%22%19%28%69%73%76%63%77%75%68%47%the referendum might

make us a bit better orworse off as a country,but there probablyisn't much in it eitherway

5176013252512944454017411236125030553683067636530The decision we make in52%53%79%76%79%66%78%81%72%31%27%24%37%23%25%32%53%the referendum could

have disastrousconsequences for us asa country if we get itwrong

Page 22

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 6Q.5 Which of the following statements comes closer to your own view?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 23: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

Attention Paid toThe GreenSocialMulti-PoliticsNational IdentityImmigrationCapitalismThe internetGlobalisationmovementFeminismliberalismculturalism

Equ-MoreallyMore

Brit-Brit-Eng-Eng-Eng-ishishlishlishlishnotthanandthannot

Eng-Eng-Brit-Brit-Brit-0-45-78-10lishlishishishishIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodTotal

1406469562441252113345341785120848904380366648695989319290552692418716119707087294857743665593412369Unweighted base

1413469662361240112045321805123550034272366348656079296294652102470708420057020301756813754582612369Weighted base

8162370263648644921459877333059126317112264363424715922140143928451136287417392098221620685839The decision we make in58%50%42%39%40%47%55%59%61%30%47%47%60%46%54%41%58%40%57%41%58%37%59%35%47%the referendum might

make us a bit better orworse off as a country,but there probablyisn't much in it eitherway

596232536007546712387818502194430091952260124450491354307110314239869414612783583153837596530The decision we make in42%50%58%61%60%53%45%41%39%70%53%53%40%54%46%59%42%60%43%59%42%63%41%65%53%the referendum could

have disastrousconsequences for us asa country if we get itwrong

Page 23

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 6Q.5 Which of the following statements comes closer to your own view?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 24: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

RegionSocial GradeAgeGenderYork-shireNorth-

WestEast&ernSouthSouthEast-Mid-Mid-Humb-NorthNorthIre-Scot-Eng-WestEastLondonernlandslandsersideEastWestlandWaleslandlandDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

1185184912921108985891112658814441706291102104682360165331795148296326632402209116096396513585012369Unweighted base

1186185112841113988894112958914451706311090104792384166931775111298126732409208515926276513585012369Weighted base

535875623517483449499266677743015524923101076813482705168112811122925610230-58505850Male45%47%49%46%49%50%44%45%47%44%48%51%47%42%46%42%53%56%48%47%44%38%37%-100%47%

64997666159550544562832376895330537555013729001827240312991391128811609793966513-6513Female55%53%51%53%51%50%56%55%53%56%52%49%53%58%54%58%47%44%52%53%56%62%63%100%-53%

2-----2-----4111111-1-1--4Other*-----*-----*******-*-*--*

---1-1------2-1-1----2---2Prefer not to say---*-*------*-*-*----*---*

Page 24

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 7Q.6 GenderBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 25: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

Reluctant ToTell How You

2015 VoteVotedWhen Mind Made UpReferendumSince

Longerbegin-In theOnagoningIn theIn thelastpol-

PlaidAlwaysthan aoflastlastfewlingCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConNoYesknownyearyearmonthweekdaysdayRemainLeaveTotal

7251950915109993442408511079129046167511743226680096612276198617112369Unweighted base

7251249815659823400410711080128946077581748226779996412255949642012369Weighted base

382641998314691542202753285222318500858967319393496281230395850Male52%52%40%53%48%45%49%48%41%50%66%49%43%40%41%40%47%47%47%

3424829873451318572077574676622892568911297480571729313633776513Female48%48%60%47%52%55%51%52%59%50%34%51%57%60%59%60%53%53%53%

--1--114--1-3---134Other--*--***--*-*---***

------12--1-1---112Prefer not to say------**--*-*---***

Page 25

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 7Q.6 GenderBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 26: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

MethodologyRemain by GE2015Leave by GE2015PlaidPlaid

CATIOnlineCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConTotal

1000113693334338770718224817793917612214402811194230612369Unweighted base

996113733232937167689215817084118312714982921242239912369Weighted base

53553162117415636351101183317914479611853211945850Male54%47%67%53%42%53%51%47%49%41%49%34%53%40%43%50%47%

46260511115621532338114787424938370217570912046513Female46%53%33%47%58%47%49%53%51%59%51%66%47%60%57%50%53%

-4--1---------114Other-*--*---------***

-2------1-------2Prefer not to say-*------*-------*

Page 26

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 7Q.6 GenderBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 27: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

Attention Paid toThe GreenSocialMulti-PoliticsNational IdentityImmigrationCapitalismThe internetGlobalisationmovementFeminismliberalismculturalism

Equ-MoreallyMore

Brit-Brit-Eng-Eng-Eng-ishishlishlishlishnotthanandthannot

Eng-Eng-Brit-Brit-Brit-0-45-78-10lishlishishishishIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodTotal

1406469562441252113345341785120848904380366648695989319290552692418716119707087294857743665593412369Unweighted base

1413469662361240112045321805123550034272366348656079296294652102470708420057020301756813754582612369Weighted base

4451845355562755019209326672331214415322739280464516572400144731721138312716112702198026565850Male32%39%57%51%49%42%52%54%47%50%42%56%46%50%56%46%59%45%57%45%53%48%53%46%47%

966284926806145702609872566266821272130212432746481286280910223909867388914062977177231676513Female68%61%43%49%51%58%48%46%53%50%58%44%54%50%44%54%41%55%43%55%47%52%47%54%53%

2-1--211312--32111-3-1214Other*-*--******--*****-*-****

-2---1-11--2--11-2-1-1-22Prefer not to say-*---*-**--*--**-*-*-*-**

Page 27

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 7Q.6 GenderBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 28: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

RegionSocial GradeAgeGenderYork-shireNorth-

WestEast&ernSouthSouthEast-Mid-Mid-Humb-NorthNorthIre-Scot-Eng-WestEastLondonernlandslandsersideEastWestlandWaleslandlandDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

1185184912921108985891112658814441706291102104682360165331795148296326632402209116096396513585012369Unweighted base

1186185112841113988894112958914451706311090104792384166931775111298126732409208515926276513585012369Weighted base

488792437139542673932545329973219229-----62739623062718-244%5%7%4%7%4%5%4%5%5%5%5%5%4%4%7%4%-----100%6%4%5%

1392072561341111051546819417651421368235228478646----1592-979610159225-3412%11%20%12%11%12%14%12%13%10%10%13%13%10%14%15%13%----100%-15%10%13%

18229627316118813618698241281031931762359297510913---2085--1160925208535-4415%16%21%14%19%15%16%17%17%16%16%18%17%15%18%16%18%---100%--18%16%17%

225353218213199199234126279411102122046543395601867--2409---12881122240945-5419%19%17%19%20%22%21%21%19%24%17%19%20%23%24%19%17%--100%---20%19%19%

2634052312622051902411362944315025322275963336811058-2673----13911281267355-6422%22%18%24%21%21%21%23%20%25%24%23%21%25%20%21%21%-100%----21%22%22%

33050321330121222526013536332171236254255234268713982981-----12991681298165+28%27%17%27%22%25%23%23%25%19%27%22%24%23%21%22%27%100%-----20%29%24%

----1---1---2-----------22Refused----*---*---*-----------**

52.7552.3946.4852.6650.0551.8950.6951.3351.0450.4352.5250.7851.0452.2150.1249.6251.8470.3859.5149.5139.6229.8821.4349.2753.1251.09Average age

Page 28

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 8Q.7 AgeBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 29: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

Reluctant ToTell How You

2015 VoteVotedWhen Mind Made UpReferendumSince

Longerbegin-In theOnagoningIn theIn thelastpol-

PlaidAlwaysthan aoflastlastfewlingCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConNoYesknownyearyearmonthweekdaysdayRemainLeaveTotal

7251950915109993442408511079129046167511743226680096612276198617112369Unweighted base

7251249815659823400410711080128946077581748226779996412255949642012369Weighted base

32467333619713654285228228014646495645517262718-244%5%13%2%4%6%3%5%7%5%3%5%6%6%5%5%8%3%5%

67495120117535367129829451066199305120170223981611159225-348%15%19%8%12%16%9%12%23%11%9%11%13%15%18%18%16%10%13%

1486112215153683592178130461610428640515824227410751010208535-4419%17%22%14%16%20%14%16%24%13%14%16%18%20%25%22%18%16%17%

1211186348165706733216224885913635245018419123710681341240945-5417%22%17%22%17%21%18%20%19%19%18%20%20%23%20%19%18%21%19%

23133833842367059012482191112517937746215215622111621510267355-6432%26%17%25%24%21%22%22%15%24%24%22%20%19%16%18%20%24%22%

14845646527557113772813168126725145449914015821212061776298165+19%16%11%30%28%17%34%25%13%28%33%26%22%17%16%17%20%28%24%

-----2-2-2------2-2Refused-----*-*-*------*-*

52.0149.8243.3754.9053.1548.2154.7551.8244.7552.8155.1252.1149.9348.4146.9047.8148.4253.5651.09Average age

Page 29

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 8Q.7 AgeBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 30: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

MethodologyRemain by GE2015Leave by GE2015PlaidPlaid

CATIOnlineCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConTotal

1000113693334338770718224817793917612214402811194230612369Unweighted base

996113733232937167689215817084118312714982921242239912369Weighted base

865402185923316685168313315162718-249%5%6%6%16%3%5%8%5%3%3%7%2%1%3%2%5%

15614354558112983762022201510719159165159225-3416%13%12%17%22%19%14%17%12%5%11%11%7%6%13%7%13%

15419316608481004282928262820753255301208535-4415%17%18%18%22%11%14%20%17%21%14%22%14%18%21%13%17%

168224146956141124013048423033453305429240945-5417%20%12%21%15%21%16%19%18%21%23%24%22%18%25%18%19%

1752498873531216242534616603037274280556267355-6418%22%24%22%14%17%24%20%20%38%33%24%25%25%23%23%22%

254272795540191843594795291644691212898298165+26%24%27%17%11%29%27%17%28%13%16%12%30%31%17%37%24%

2------2--------2Refused*------*--------*

48.7451.2951.4548.6541.7451.9652.1247.1652.0952.4451.9148.1255.0355.5750.0356.6551.09Average age

Page 30

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 8Q.7 AgeBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 31: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

Attention Paid toThe GreenSocialMulti-PoliticsNational IdentityImmigrationCapitalismThe internetGlobalisationmovementFeminismliberalismculturalism

Equ-MoreallyMore

Brit-Brit-Eng-Eng-Eng-ishishlishlishlishnotthanandthannot

Eng-Eng-Brit-Brit-Brit-0-45-78-10lishlishishishishIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodTotal

1406469562441252113345341785120848904380366648695989319290552692418716119707087294857743665593412369Unweighted base

1413469662361240112045321805123550034272366348656079296294652102470708420057020301756813754582612369Weighted base

832552887686221693513235318922623496663935146764437614048345862718-246%5%5%6%8%5%4%3%3%8%5%5%4%5%2%8%2%7%3%6%2%7%2%8%5%

20468070020217856316913644775946059366123125584918010582141011225904281997159225-3414%14%11%16%16%12%9%11%9%18%13%12%11%13%9%16%7%15%11%14%7%16%7%17%13%

2898589302272027672571887418166137668415734249552871317299123536811044961147208535-4420%18%15%18%18%17%14%15%15%19%17%16%14%17%14%18%12%19%15%18%12%19%13%20%17%

3409581109221213886375244106572180584011718126219224331415394139159510597711076240945-5424%20%18%18%19%20%21%20%21%17%22%17%19%19%21%18%18%20%20%20%20%19%21%18%19%

278978141426022696042627312348018621024144197273510115771499437149378011359521120267355-6420%21%23%21%20%21%24%22%25%19%24%21%24%21%25%19%23%21%22%21%26%20%25%19%22%

21896617942552141133510360138482173414161742209846108194213265961451989107411711027298165+15%21%29%21%19%25%28%29%28%19%20%29%29%24%29%21%38%19%30%21%33%19%31%18%24%

-11--1--111--2---2-2-1-22Refused-**--*--***--*---*-*-*-**

48.1349.6452.8849.0648.2551.3353.6853.5253.9147.5750.4352.5553.3350.8254.2548.6156.9248.7953.6649.5555.9048.3155.3247.4751.09Average age

Page 31

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 8Q.7 AgeBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 32: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

RegionSocial GradeAgeGenderYork-shireNorth-

WestEast&ernSouthSouthEast-Mid-Mid-Humb-NorthNorthIre-Scot-Eng-WestEastLondonernlandslandsersideEastWestlandWaleslandlandDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

1185184912921108985891112658814441706291102104682360165331795148296326632402209116096396513585012369Unweighted base

1186185112841113988894112958914451706311090104792384166931775111298126732409208515926276513585012369Weighted base

1452401771389088905515123561191173---1371458256223225134746217491371A12%13%14%12%9%10%8%9%10%13%9%11%11%---27%15%10%9%11%8%12%10%13%11%

355597441337315259340170402401483373215---3740940803643688512155178219573740B30%32%34%30%32%29%30%29%28%23%24%31%31%---73%32%30%27%33%32%25%27%33%30%

295473352282240221309170346431832632687--3177-687681601510478219182713483177C125%26%27%25%24%25%27%29%24%25%29%24%26%--100%-23%25%25%24%30%35%28%23%26%

1452391521601461351537620323931451409-1669--342333395297228739007681669C212%13%12%14%15%15%14%13%14%14%15%13%13%-100%--11%12%16%14%14%12%14%13%13%

126139729997911325715417661039661152---168277277204154716435091152D11%8%6%9%10%10%12%10%11%10%10%9%9%48%---6%10%12%10%10%11%10%9%9%

1171568696979910462184248312310021232---38431926615580287305011232E10%8%7%9%10%11%9%11%13%14%13%11%10%52%---13%12%11%7%5%4%11%9%10%

374-421-6-2-27----253656101929Refused***-***-*-*-*----*****1%***

Page 32

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 9Q.8 SEGBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 33: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

Reluctant ToTell How You

2015 VoteVotedWhen Mind Made UpReferendumSince

Longerbegin-In theOnagoningIn theIn thelastpol-

PlaidAlwaysthan aoflastlastfewlingCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConNoYesknownyearyearmonthweekdaysdayRemainLeaveTotal

7251950915109993442408511079129046167511743226680096612276198617112369Unweighted base

7251249815659823400410711080128946077581748226779996412255949642012369Weighted base

6403811114631561612491225239619523876901527765951371A8%8%8%7%15%9%15%11%9%11%13%11%11%10%9%12%13%9%11%

16155177313364995140033453951419243526686243308314214815923740B22%30%36%20%37%29%34%30%31%31%32%30%30%30%32%26%36%25%30%

14124143404247900103928243521176186447590192252335155916183177C119%24%29%26%25%26%25%25%27%26%24%26%26%24%26%27%26%25%26%

11775529485413525149317658210323131912712918059910701669C216%15%11%19%9%12%13%13%14%13%14%13%14%16%13%15%10%17%13%

11453221373374261101713540758172197861141194067461152D15%9%7%14%7%11%6%9%10%9%8%10%9%11%12%10%7%12%9%

1472502276439526011251074906917623373681224457861232E20%14%10%15%6%12%6%10%8%11%9%10%10%9%7%10%7%12%10%

--3339528110425233161229Refused--1%*******1%********

Page 33

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 9Q.8 SEGBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 34: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

MethodologyRemain by GE2015Leave by GE2015PlaidPlaid

CATIOnlineCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConTotal

1000113693334338770718224817793917612214402811194230612369Unweighted base

996113733232937167689215817084118312714982921242239912369Weighted base

1261244428305120234291212810626813261371A13%11%12%8%8%7%17%11%17%5%7%7%7%9%7%14%11%

331340981171421027675565883735304872397423740B33%30%24%36%38%14%40%35%39%21%20%28%20%30%19%31%30%

21029669901112116660040153331383813006383177C121%26%27%27%30%31%24%28%23%13%18%25%26%28%24%27%26%

118155123936175720317693719277282093501669C212%14%6%12%10%26%8%9%10%23%20%15%18%10%17%15%13%

82107052323634178826229207401971791152D8%9%15%7%6%9%5%8%5%15%12%7%14%14%16%7%9%

1021129532289351799894122218292161621232E10%10%15%10%7%13%5%8%6%23%22%17%15%10%17%7%10%

263--1-292--231-329Refused3%*--*-***--2%**-**

Page 34

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 9Q.8 SEGBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 35: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

Attention Paid toThe GreenSocialMulti-PoliticsNational IdentityImmigrationCapitalismThe internetGlobalisationmovementFeminismliberalismculturalism

Equ-MoreallyMore

Brit-Brit-Eng-Eng-Eng-ishishlishlishlishnotthanandthannot

Eng-Eng-Brit-Brit-Brit-0-45-78-10lishlishishishishIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodTotal

1406469562441252113345341785120848904380366648695989319290552692418716119707087294857743665593412369Unweighted base

1413469662361240112045321805123550034272366348656079296294652102470708420057020301756813754582612369Weighted base

85454832171140513198994425772877295110722806702918052208353176933797071371A6%10%13%14%12%11%11%8%9%14%8%15%8%12%9%13%12%11%11%12%10%12%10%12%11%

3281303210240741113915352801209159897416811352929826173768023185342304794198497120493740B23%28%34%33%37%31%30%23%24%37%27%35%22%32%28%33%28%33%27%33%26%35%26%35%30%

3601278153332327211884433221238113097812321742378738131856818884841835772145490015583177C125%27%25%26%24%26%25%26%25%26%27%25%29%26%25%25%23%27%24%26%26%26%24%27%26%

2136997511371375902832068474145295449512284516213948523058344606536186391669C215%15%12%11%12%13%16%17%17%10%14%11%16%13%15%12%16%12%15%12%15%11%16%11%13%

2184554789479406157167605277389353678252904442505972205673174354204261152D15%10%8%8%7%9%9%14%12%6%11%7%11%9%10%9%10%8%11%8%11%8%11%7%9%

20349552910179429186161651267498317828423554062796102356263504534584341232E14%11%8%8%7%9%10%13%13%6%14%7%14%9%12%8%11%9%12%9%12%8%12%7%10%

5131172143-12891032271481471871091529Refused***1%***-*****************

Page 35

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 9Q.8 SEGBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 36: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

RegionSocial GradeAgeGenderYork-shireNorth-

WestEast&ernSouthSouthEast-Mid-Mid-Humb-NorthNorthIre-Scot-Eng-WestEastLondonernlandslandsersideEastWestlandWaleslandlandDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

1185184912921108985891112658814441706291102104682360165331795148296326632402209116096396513585012369Unweighted base

1186185112841113988894112958914451706311090104792384166931775111298126732409208515926276513585012369Weighted base

85113498198547336518274161014133453753751311261150226343022563206016961390852293456042898853NET: Owners72%73%64%77%74%73%73%71%70%79%72%69%72%47%69%71%84%86%77%70%67%54%47%70%73%72%

5107583774823613744382085917426839641007116051218230122871407595243192114234724894838Owned outright -43%41%29%43%37%42%39%35%41%43%43%36%39%30%36%38%45%77%53%25%12%12%18%36%43%39%without mortgage

3425914423713722773892084226018535734134155451044200127665311011147659179221318004015Owned with a mortgage29%32%34%33%38%31%34%35%29%35%29%33%33%17%33%33%39%9%24%46%55%41%29%34%31%32%or loan

3164774502472402272861683983016532128081209496872736410594690659691280184514763323NET: Renters27%26%35%22%24%25%25%29%28%18%26%29%27%51%30%27%14%14%22%29%32%43%45%28%25%27%

47941064252667759727351066164011361259811118018614311132418345764Rented from the council4%5%8%4%5%7%7%10%5%4%6%10%6%17%8%4%2%4%7%8%7%7%5%6%6%6%

8012510478784654421566377876342813119312916118720016011561500383884Rented from a housing7%7%8%7%8%5%5%7%11%3%6%7%7%18%8%6%3%5%7%8%8%7%10%8%7%7%association

19025723912710911515567170179213714293792295555081382283033564641879277481676Rented from someone16%14%19%11%11%13%14%11%12%10%15%13%14%16%14%17%10%5%9%13%17%29%30%14%13%14%else

1820101211151553061316135442140628152234454610268170Rent free1%1%1%1%1%2%1%1%2%4%2%1%1%2%1%1%1%*1%1%2%3%7%2%1%1%

1551421-4---2352210-4225861723Refused*******-*---*****-****1%***

Page 36

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 10Q.10 Is the house or flat in which you live...?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 37: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

Reluctant ToTell How You

2015 VoteVotedWhen Mind Made UpReferendumSince

Longerbegin-In theOnagoningIn theIn thelastpol-

PlaidAlwaysthan aoflastlastfewlingCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConNoYesknownyearyearmonthweekdaysdayRemainLeaveTotal

7251950915109993442408511079129046167511743226680096612276198617112369Unweighted base

7251249815659823400410711080128946077581748226779996412255949642012369Weighted base

503172981063788215534337977876331357412571624561660864435744968853NET: Owners69%62%60%68%80%63%84%72%68%72%76%72%72%70%68%71%73%70%72%

311571486314521026205544773611969351708863261302384218626534838Owned outright -43%31%30%40%46%30%50%40%28%43%46%40%38%33%31%31%37%41%39%without mortgage

191601494323361129137835005141344223549761300358480217118434015Owned with a mortgage26%31%30%28%34%33%34%32%40%29%29%31%34%38%37%39%36%29%32%or loan

20186183481186119162929413821219173463609222292345148418393323NET: Renters28%36%37%31%19%35%15%27%30%26%23%27%27%28%30%28%25%29%27%

47224134262951066719328040100121667682246518764Rented from the council6%14%5%9%3%9%3%6%7%6%5%6%5%8%8%7%4%8%6%

44940154373571478028130652127179576498316568884Rented from a housing6%10%8%10%4%10%4%7%6%7%7%7%8%7%7%8%5%9%7%association

1265119194123539376146820863481237309981521659227531676Rented from someone17%13%24%12%13%16%9%13%16%14%11%14%14%12%16%13%16%12%14%else

291621746361442668923281611159278170Rent free3%2%3%1%1%1%1%1%2%1%1%1%1%2%1%1%2%1%1%

--2-188185715612116623Refused--*-***************

Page 37

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 10Q.10 Is the house or flat in which you live...?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 38: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

MethodologyRemain by GE2015Leave by GE2015PlaidPlaid

CATIOnlineCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConTotal

1000113693334338770718224817793917612214402811194230612369Unweighted base

996113733232937167689215817084118312714982921242239912369Weighted base

6808173242242245156714501427269474101222170420068853NET: Owners68%72%76%68%60%76%82%67%84%64%51%58%68%75%57%84%72%

3554484161081052932266878215494460213035812724838Owned outright -36%39%52%33%28%43%47%31%46%36%27%34%40%44%29%53%39%without mortgage

3253690811511922246782645114530410913467334015Owned with a mortgage33%32%24%35%32%33%36%36%38%28%24%24%27%31%28%31%32%or loan

278304589913114115671262128752467715203673323NET: Renters28%27%24%30%35%21%17%31%15%31%48%41%31%24%42%15%27%

647001311041212932342151301416674764Rented from the council6%6%3%9%3%6%2%6%2%8%23%11%9%5%13%3%6%

698152232311816254226171531919594884Rented from a housing7%7%6%7%6%1%3%8%3%5%14%13%10%6%16%4%7%association

145153154598108438017772021184381592001676Rented from someone15%13%15%14%26%14%12%18%10%18%11%16%12%13%13%8%14%else

16154-7152629152211911821170Rent free2%1%-2%4%3%1%1%1%5%1%1%1%*1%1%1%

23---2-183------523Refused2%---1%-***------**

Page 38

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 10Q.10 Is the house or flat in which you live...?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 39: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

Attention Paid toThe GreenSocialMulti-PoliticsNational IdentityImmigrationCapitalismThe internetGlobalisationmovementFeminismliberalismculturalism

Equ-MoreallyMore

Brit-Brit-Eng-Eng-Eng-ishishlishlishlishnotthanandthannot

Eng-Eng-Brit-Brit-Brit-0-45-78-10lishlishishishishIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodTotal

1406469562441252113345341785120848904380366648695989319290552692418716119707087294857743665593412369Unweighted base

1413469662361240112045321805123550034272366348656079296294652102470708420057020301756813754582612369Weighted base

93132984610847790333813548513527304423693811414670321093734186650021421504022324047272341248853NET: Owners66%70%74%68%71%74%75%69%70%71%65%78%68%72%72%72%76%71%71%72%74%71%73%71%72%

439168327114274091828789476207415181281215324336351291187112122521877260114132002169819804838Owned outright -31%36%43%34%37%40%44%39%41%36%35%44%40%39%44%36%49%36%44%37%47%35%45%34%39%without mortgage

491161419004203811510565375145215261088165817130688181863654248154424398202044102521444015Owned with a mortgage35%34%30%34%34%33%31%30%29%36%30%34%28%33%28%36%26%35%27%35%27%36%27%37%32%or loan

4531322153937230411344283731416114412229901872442798138358219545591851752153398315983323NET: Renters32%28%25%30%27%25%24%30%28%27%33%20%31%26%27%27%24%28%28%26%25%27%26%27%27%

1273083288242261989740318828620957537191278152387130378186283273291764Rented from the council9%7%5%7%4%6%5%8%8%4%8%4%9%6%6%5%6%5%6%5%6%5%7%5%6%

1123524171006930513711744022435423955643234331175492159471231364303355884Rented from a housing8%8%7%8%6%7%8%9%9%5%10%5%9%7%8%6%7%7%8%7%8%6%8%6%7%association

214661794190194568193159573732582543741262374774255107627010023348864069521676Rented from someone15%14%13%15%17%13%11%13%11%17%16%11%12%14%13%15%10%15%13%14%11%16%11%16%14%else

26648018225120115575685151343687191162311529934491170Rent free2%1%1%1%2%1%1%1%1%2%2%1%1%1%1%2%1%2%1%2%1%2%1%2%1%

313743103-510513217373133153941423Refused*******-*****************

Page 39

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 10Q.10 Is the house or flat in which you live...?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 40: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

RegionSocial GradeAgeGenderYork-shireNorth-

WestEast&ernSouthSouthEast-Mid-Mid-Humb-NorthNorthIre-Scot-Eng-WestEastLondonernlandslandsersideEastWestlandWaleslandlandDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

1185184912921108985891112658814441706291102104682360165331795148296326632402209116096396513585012369Unweighted base

1186185112841113988894112958914451706311090104792384166931775111298126732409208515926276513585012369Weighted base

3084743803132922283221603745115725628515685637651416462401026128167449190214133315NET: Yes26%26%30%28%30%25%28%27%26%30%25%24%27%24%34%24%28%2%9%43%61%42%8%29%24%27%

10015115910191681023513812367494415617625747521080461480336693961066Yes - children aged8%8%12%9%9%8%9%6%10%7%6%7%9%7%11%8%9%**3%22%30%5%10%7%9%under 5 years old

1292181681381428814471162226210912602322393206611140327740326108306231454Yes - children aged 511%12%13%12%14%10%13%12%11%13%10%10%12%10%14%10%13%*1%14%35%21%2%13%11%12%to 10 years old

11118314113611596136641383162110112025323529454118104564517111107535711324Yes - children aged 119%10%11%12%12%11%12%11%10%18%10%10%11%11%14%9%11%1%4%23%25%7%2%12%10%11%to 15 years old

941117068816380529818486871718214817534824134447224194471381852Yes - children aged 168%6%5%6%8%7%7%9%7%11%8%6%7%8%9%5%7%1%5%19%11%1%1%7%7%7%to 18 years old

8741367896798693657804428106611747183075841806109823993678293024271375795908568458444159003No children aged 18 or74%74%70%72%70%73%71%73%74%69%75%76%72%76%66%76%72%98%91%57%38%57%91%70%75%73%under

410822931513344108121656991010272351Prefer not to answer*1%1%**1%***1%***********1%2%***

Page 40

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 11Q.11 Do you have any children aged 18 or under? If so, how old are they?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 41: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

Reluctant ToTell How You

2015 VoteVotedWhen Mind Made UpReferendumSince

Longerbegin-In theOnagoningIn theIn thelastpol-

PlaidAlwaysthan aoflastlastfewlingCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConNoYesknownyearyearmonthweekdaysdayRemainLeaveTotal

7251950915109993442408511079129046167511743226680096612276198617112369Unweighted base

7251249815659823400410711080128946077581748226779996412255949642012369Weighted base

19130112407225103798928065091006151435651274374423162816873315NET: Yes27%25%22%26%23%30%24%25%40%22%20%25%29%34%39%35%27%26%27%

740481067531632386020630843141193791361665864811066Yes - children aged10%8%10%7%8%9%8%8%16%7%6%8%9%10%14%14%10%7%9%under 5 years old

1052431521074934251212242415611742791311772167367181454Yes - children aged 514%10%9%10%11%14%10%11%19%9%8%10%12%16%18%18%12%11%12%to 10 years old

65737184844103901151173420621662631171431545737511324Yes - children aged 118%11%8%12%9%12%9%10%13%9%8%9%12%15%15%13%10%12%11%to 15 years old

535221254726626375110227641116179608991393460852Yes - children aged 167%7%4%8%5%8%6%7%8%6%5%7%8%8%9%7%7%7%7%to 18 years old

523803871153751234431108233769358760313071606519588793429647079003No children aged 18 or72%74%78%74%77%69%76%74%60%78%80%75%71%65%61%65%72%73%73%under

12-551974110144610638262551Prefer not to answer1%*-*1%1%**1%*1%**1%*1%***

Page 41

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 11Q.11 Do you have any children aged 18 or under? If so, how old are they?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 42: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

MethodologyRemain by GE2015Leave by GE2015PlaidPlaid

CATIOnlineCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConTotal

1000113693334338770718224817793917612214402811194230612369Unweighted base

996113733232937167689215817084118312714982921242239912369Weighted base

24630696868227153612484144430380734245063315NET: Yes25%27%18%26%22%40%22%28%28%33%24%24%25%25%34%21%27%

749922293512571981775111494191191471066Yes - children aged7%9%6%9%9%19%8%9%10%13%6%11%6%6%10%6%9%under 5 years old

11913354383197329321661412144342002091454Yes - children aged 512%12%12%12%8%13%11%14%13%15%7%10%10%12%16%9%12%to 10 years old

9212323322595423016632512176301802241324Yes - children aged 119%11%9%10%7%13%8%11%10%8%14%10%12%10%14%9%11%to 15 years old

6478812516927154122410511720112141852Yes - children aged 166%7%3%8%4%13%4%7%7%10%6%4%8%7%9%6%7%to 18 years old

74182622524129039534153312232713997111421781118879003No children aged 18 or74%73%79%73%78%59%77%71%72%67%76%76%74%74%65%79%73%under

94212-13121---426651Prefer not to answer1%*3%1%-1%*1%*---*1%1%**

Page 42

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 11Q.11 Do you have any children aged 18 or under? If so, how old are they?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 43: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

Attention Paid toThe GreenSocialMulti-PoliticsNational IdentityImmigrationCapitalismThe internetGlobalisationmovementFeminismliberalismculturalism

Equ-MoreallyMore

Brit-Brit-Eng-Eng-Eng-ishishlishlishlishnotthanandthannot

Eng-Eng-Brit-Brit-Brit-0-45-78-10lishlishishishishIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodTotal

1406469562441252113345341785120848904380366648695989319290552692418716119707087294857743665593412369Unweighted base

1413469662361240112045321805123550034272366348656079296294652102470708420057020301756813754582612369Weighted base

4171358153035930712494483181279119198712721582526703151753120054971937667163087816963315NET: Yes30%29%25%29%27%28%25%26%26%28%27%26%26%27%24%29%21%28%25%28%22%29%23%29%27%

13545347311711042313194342463287420508081945501446821506451695912096381066Yes - children aged10%10%8%9%10%9%7%8%7%11%8%9%8%9%7%11%6%10%7%9%6%10%6%11%9%under 5 years old

1885866721701325591961305175504275437110812976742069132178462757423467821454Yes - children aged 513%12%11%14%12%12%11%11%10%13%12%11%12%12%10%13%8%13%11%12%9%13%9%13%12%to 10 years old

1745226251291164871811455813993935015610283235662337672247403095923996081324Yes - children aged 1112%11%10%10%10%11%10%12%12%9%11%10%9%11%11%11%9%11%11%11%10%10%11%10%11%to 15 years old

109337406717931212510137526226531852653172363157482116506192381273370852Yes - children aged 168%7%7%6%7%7%7%8%7%6%7%7%9%7%6%7%6%7%6%7%6%7%7%6%7%to 18 years old

98533204684878809326313539133705306526613568447673522333671193150481500505523394024286141039003No children aged 18 or70%71%75%71%72%72%75%74%74%72%73%73%74%72%76%70%78%71%75%72%78%71%76%70%73%under

1118224420441917162523610239328281128142751Prefer not to answer1%**********1%*************

Page 43

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 11Q.11 Do you have any children aged 18 or under? If so, how old are they?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 44: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

RegionSocial GradeAgeGenderYork-shireNorth-

WestEast&ernSouthSouthEast-Mid-Mid-Humb-NorthNorthIre-Scot-Eng-WestEastLondonernlandslandsersideEastWestlandWaleslandlandDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

1185184912921108985891112658814441706291102104682360165331795148296326632402209116096396513585012369Unweighted base

1186185112841113988894112958914451706311090104792384166931775111298126732409208515926276513585012369Weighted base

592106512412149674416128342013761404181No formal education***1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%2%1%**1%1%1%***1%1%1%

4125563828332542120119231377101263662Primary school*1%**1%*1%*1%2%**1%1%1%**1%***1%**1%1%

5358214345514564385482746747529943447291611107614681370144513491219824528173307524595538Secondary school, high45%44%34%49%46%49%49%46%47%44%47%40%45%68%64%46%27%48%50%51%40%33%28%47%42%45%school, NVQ levels 1 to

3, etc.

460693532387361326419216518562374313912521410124824481109969847824667218236422704635University degree or39%37%41%35%37%36%37%37%36%33%38%40%37%22%25%39%48%37%36%35%39%42%35%36%39%37%equivalent professional

qualification, NVQlevel 4, etc.

16026626913912810212677196317418114621211023421179340309295407340588349151749Higher university13%14%21%13%13%11%11%13%14%18%12%17%14%5%6%11%23%11%12%12%20%21%9%13%16%14%degree, doctorate, MBA,

NVQ level 5, etc.

113526921111411223132516029207873-1452416612476201Still in full time1%2%2%1%2%1%1%2%2%2%2%2%2%1%1%2%1%-***2%27%2%1%2%education

1014148772212-1677292011212481710158414184Prefer not to answer1%1%1%1%1%1%**1%-*1%1%1%1%**1%*1%*1%1%1%1%1%

112323-33--118746263621181119Don't know******-1%*--***************

Page 44

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 12Q.12 What is the highest educational level that you have achieved to date?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 45: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

Reluctant ToTell How You

2015 VoteVotedWhen Mind Made UpReferendumSince

Longerbegin-In theOnagoningIn theIn thelastpol-

PlaidAlwaysthan aoflastlastfewlingCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConNoYesknownyearyearmonthweekdaysdayRemainLeaveTotal

7251950915109993442408511079129046167511743226680096612276198617112369Unweighted base

7251249815659823400410711080128946077581748226779996412255949642012369Weighted base

-4119122216516433810187146781No formal education-1%*1%*1%1%1%1%1%****1%1%*1%1%

-1-121231445171931411545174562Primary school-*-1%*1%**1%**1%*1%***1%1%

4020913394732914671819502551220132937971067367413588197235665538Secondary school, high55%41%27%60%33%43%44%45%40%44%39%46%47%46%43%48%33%56%45%school, NVQ levels 1 to

3, etc.

261962344314521250164741524831715330651821308381428262820074635University degree or36%38%47%28%46%37%40%37%37%37%44%37%36%39%40%35%44%31%37%equivalent professional

qualification, NVQlevel 4, etc.

68510213617955253315282217071132372919214116911226271749Higher university8%17%21%9%18%16%13%14%17%15%15%14%13%11%15%14%19%10%14%degree, doctorate, MBA,

NVQ level 5, etc.

11423414574817526745285114111716337201Still in full time1%3%5%*1%2%1%2%2%2%1%2%2%2%1%1%3%1%2%education

-34134271572122899148510295584Prefer not to answer-1%1%1%*1%*1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%*1%1%

-1-3128181713242-41619Don't know-*-************-***

Page 45

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 12Q.12 What is the highest educational level that you have achieved to date?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 46: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

MethodologyRemain by GE2015Leave by GE2015PlaidPlaid

CATIOnlineCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConTotal

1000113693334338770718224817793917612214402811194230612369Unweighted base

996113733232937167689215817084118312714982921242239912369Weighted base

1368-2--156-2119-181681No formal education1%1%-1%--***-1%1%1%-1%1%1%

1547-1---132---12191262Primary school2%*-*---1%*---1%*1%1%1%

4465092121048437177717616271054990915275012035538Secondary school, high45%45%39%31%23%56%26%33%36%67%57%39%61%52%60%50%45%school, NVQ levels 1 to

3, etc.

341429414146182203489157761150524111043358724635University degree or34%38%45%44%49%30%51%42%45%28%27%41%27%36%27%36%37%equivalent professional

qualification, NVQlevel 4, etc.

170157946283914644326922320127331092641749Higher university17%14%12%19%22%13%21%21%16%5%13%16%8%11%9%11%14%degree, doctorate, MBA,

NVQ level 5, etc.

319811221-145234-224-515201Still in full time*2%3%3%6%-2%2%2%-1%2%*-*1%2%education

480-3113124--3121151184Prefer not to answer*1%-1%*1%*1%*--2%1%*1%*1%

415-----12-1-311619Don't know**-----**-1%-*****

Page 46

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 12Q.12 What is the highest educational level that you have achieved to date?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 47: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

Attention Paid toThe GreenSocialMulti-PoliticsNational IdentityImmigrationCapitalismThe internetGlobalisationmovementFeminismliberalismculturalism

Equ-MoreallyMore

Brit-Brit-Eng-Eng-Eng-ishishlishlishlishnotthanandthannot

Eng-Eng-Brit-Brit-Brit-0-45-78-10lishlishishishishIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodTotal

1406469562441252113345341785120848904380366648695989319290552692418716119707087294857743665593412369Unweighted base

1413469662361240112045321805123550034272366348656079296294652102470708420057020301756813754582612369Weighted base

9383466281311481123305532021292423312919391881No formal education1%1%1%*1%1%1%1%1%*1%1%1%1%1%*1%*1%*1%*1%*1%

10312175181111381524206392123242913282421291762Primary school1%1%*1%**1%1%1%*1%*1%*1%*1%*1%*1%*1%*1%

8172275243244140220729257392955122117421901322401814212029134227061035271016191976206119855538Secondary school, high58%48%39%36%36%46%51%60%59%29%48%39%53%43%48%39%54%38%52%39%54%35%55%34%45%school, NVQ levels 1 to

3, etc.

4181696251752245717126513421450196512912007192357610582101790290765629049822428120025284635University degree or30%36%40%42%41%38%36%28%29%46%35%41%32%38%36%40%32%41%33%41%33%43%32%43%37%equivalent professional

qualification, NVQlevel 4, etc.

125527109323121859517810443090948180865138636887524312002331150320106436810821749Higher university9%11%18%19%19%13%10%8%9%21%13%17%11%15%12%17%10%17%12%16%11%19%10%19%14%degree, doctorate, MBA,

NVQ level 5, etc.

2376101232469131135126686971572512417165201491413915160201Still in full time2%2%2%2%2%2%1%1%1%3%2%1%1%2%1%2%1%2%1%2%*2%*3%2%education

9453084291312372529276592533204719422334303484Prefer not to answer1%1%*1%*1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%

2872391311153499475557111219Don't know************1%************

Page 47

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 12Q.12 What is the highest educational level that you have achieved to date?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 48: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

RegionSocial GradeAgeGenderYork-shireNorth-

WestEast&ernSouthSouthEast-Mid-Mid-Humb-NorthNorthIre-Scot-Eng-WestEastLondonernlandslandsersideEastWestlandWaleslandlandDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

1185184912921108985891112658814441706291102104682360165331795148296326632402209116096396513585012369Unweighted base

1186185112841113988894112958914451706311090104792384166931775111298126732409208515926276513585012369Weighted base

61410168645975454736333087439231460457937901001203229633261382182616641288317345933426804NET: Working52%55%67%54%55%53%56%52%51%54%50%55%55%33%60%64%58%11%52%76%80%81%51%53%57%55%

4036796743913963364232255336320445140594366711399225991869134212531011210198227924777Working full time -34%37%52%35%40%38%38%38%37%37%32%41%39%18%40%44%44%3%32%56%60%64%34%30%48%39%working 30 hours per

week or more

2113371902071491372108320929110153173435433063370323551348441127710714775512027Working part time -18%18%15%19%15%15%19%14%14%17%17%14%17%15%20%20%14%8%19%20%20%17%17%23%9%16%working between 8 and

29 hours per week

57283441951644242249528170178317484468115936681144214826541291583421302309305425035560NET: Not working48%45%33%46%45%47%44%48%49%46%50%44%45%67%40%36%42%89%48%24%20%19%49%47%43%45%

426439314032372066728563713074448613971461097731226235462Not working but seeking4%3%3%3%4%4%3%3%5%4%4%5%4%13%3%2%1%*4%6%5%5%5%3%4%4%work or temporarily

unemployed or sick

5496654559475534781341755333035415914441441165775266390272662Not working and not5%5%5%4%6%5%5%6%5%8%6%7%5%13%3%5%3%*5%5%3%5%42%6%5%5%seeking work / Student

811064270625262388913385460244983741006138851--484223707Retired on a state7%6%3%6%6%6%5%7%6%7%6%5%6%19%5%2%2%21%3%**--7%4%6%pension only

30243219926019921725413235330156229234718229470315812011713325--109016712761Retired with a private25%23%15%23%20%24%22%22%24%18%25%21%22%8%18%22%31%67%27%1%*--17%29%22%pension

9313675109817488571151555718273531931602612324928424915012865102968House person,8%7%6%10%8%8%8%10%8%9%9%6%8%15%12%5%5%1%9%12%12%9%2%13%2%8%housewife,

househusband, etc.

-11-1---1--14--1-1---2--55Refused-**-*---*--**--*-*---*--**

Page 48

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 13Q.13 Which of the following best describes your current working status?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 49: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

Reluctant ToTell How You

2015 VoteVotedWhen Mind Made UpReferendumSince

Longerbegin-In theOnagoningIn theIn thelastpol-

PlaidAlwaysthan aoflastlastfewlingCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConNoYesknownyearyearmonthweekdaysdayRemainLeaveTotal

7251950915109993442408511079129046167511743226680096612276198617112369Unweighted base

7251249815659823400410711080128946077581748226779996412255949642012369Weighted base

3928930077552520032139594386123603899221278485630740355932456804NET: Working54%56%60%50%53%59%52%54%67%51%51%53%56%61%65%60%60%51%55%

272262035513531430148641696081680292643858318448538253522424777Working full time -38%44%41%35%36%42%36%38%47%36%39%37%38%40%46%44%43%35%39%working 30 hours per

week or more

126296224172574653177425368197279420167181202102410032027Working part time -16%12%19%14%18%17%16%16%20%15%13%16%19%21%19%17%17%16%16%working between 8 and

29 hours per week

332241997904561395196551344272243369826988314335485238731735560NET: Not working46%44%40%50%46%41%48%46%33%49%49%47%44%39%35%40%40%49%45%

4312759331646840953172216965413954198264462Not working but seeking6%6%5%4%3%5%2%4%4%4%3%4%3%5%4%4%3%4%4%work or temporarily

unemployed or sick

5395763372291266115127428105121403657394268662Not working and not7%8%11%4%4%7%3%6%4%6%4%6%5%5%4%5%7%4%5%seeking work / Student

5251315644154251667403004496136392666218489707Retired on a state7%5%3%10%4%5%6%6%3%7%6%5%6%5%3%5%4%8%6%pension only

129267365282565125826101511175232430449136151188121215492761Retired with a private16%18%13%23%29%17%31%24%12%26%31%25%20%17%16%15%20%24%22%pension

7373614760284263837131322441262175783119366602968House person,10%7%7%9%6%8%6%8%10%7%6%7%10%7%9%10%6%9%8%housewife,

househusband, etc.

----122414--1---325Refused----******--*---***

Page 49

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 13Q.13 Which of the following best describes your current working status?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 50: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

MethodologyRemain by GE2015Leave by GE2015PlaidPlaid

CATIOnlineCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConTotal

1000113693334338770718224817793917612214402811194230612369Unweighted base

996113733232937167689215817084118312714982921242239912369Weighted base

56462401819123639380134397921986373514566111606804NET: Working57%55%58%58%64%59%55%62%57%51%53%50%49%49%53%48%55%

42343541215415626262967703167347525914637834777Working full time -42%38%36%47%42%39%38%45%41%38%40%37%35%31%37%33%39%working 30 hours per

week or more

1421885737801311837627652517210541983772027Working part time -14%17%21%11%21%20%17%17%16%13%14%13%14%19%16%16%16%working between 8 and

29 hours per week

4275133131381352830881372920856376314858212375560NET: Not working43%45%42%42%36%41%45%38%43%49%47%50%51%51%47%52%45%

55407118171208026312958128442462Not working but seeking6%4%3%6%5%1%3%4%2%8%7%7%4%4%7%2%4%work or temporarily

unemployed or sick

516112274533015173312116077853662Not working and not5%5%6%8%12%4%4%7%4%8%7%9%4%2%6%2%5%seeking work / Student

816261114419778041591522577172707Retired on a state8%6%3%3%1%6%3%4%5%10%8%7%10%9%6%7%6%pension only

2112550861501219937644943017353831888082761Retired with a private21%22%24%19%13%19%29%17%26%10%16%13%24%28%15%34%22%pension

29939221198401301015161713920154162968House person,3%8%6%6%5%11%6%6%6%13%9%13%9%7%12%7%8%housewife,

househusband, etc.

5-----12-------25Refused*-----**-------**

Page 50

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 13Q.13 Which of the following best describes your current working status?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 51: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

Attention Paid toThe GreenSocialMulti-PoliticsNational IdentityImmigrationCapitalismThe internetGlobalisationmovementFeminismliberalismculturalism

Equ-MoreallyMore

Brit-Brit-Eng-Eng-Eng-ishishlishlishlishnotthanandthannot

Eng-Eng-Brit-Brit-Brit-0-45-78-10lishlishishishishIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodTotal

1406469562441252113345341785120848904380366648695989319290552692418716119707087294857743665593412369Unweighted base

1413469662361240112045321805123550034272366348656079296294652102470708420057020301756813754582612369Weighted base

7982671332176667824479366192538262119702705306524015143096111542041044407714683409184435536804NET: Working56%57%53%62%61%54%52%50%51%61%54%56%50%56%51%59%45%59%52%58%49%60%49%61%55%

53318122424565490165565145317571906136019592093744107221797992924746284610082435126325454777Working full time -38%39%39%46%44%37%36%37%35%45%37%40%34%40%36%42%32%41%37%41%33%43%34%44%39%working 30 hours per

week or more

2658598982011887922851677817156107479714954439173171279298123046197458010092027Working part time -19%18%14%16%17%17%16%13%16%17%17%15%16%16%15%18%13%18%15%18%15%17%15%17%16%working between 8 and

29 hours per week

615202129134754412082869616246516491692215830140531432211213542877960293915472271190922715560NET: Not working44%43%47%38%39%46%48%50%49%39%46%44%50%44%49%41%55%41%48%42%51%40%51%39%45%

7518819747361675248207127182117223251241598826181239109194135208462Not working but seeking5%4%3%4%3%4%3%4%4%3%5%2%4%3%4%3%4%4%4%3%4%3%4%4%4%work or temporarily

unemployed or sick

93259310527322986462063022641953449512832293441101431107358149384662Not working and not7%6%5%4%7%5%5%4%4%7%7%4%6%5%4%6%4%6%5%6%4%6%4%7%5%seeking work / Student

102255350503126812011142411225422566462207218206294143320257209304178707Retired on a state7%5%6%4%3%6%7%9%8%3%7%5%11%5%7%4%8%4%7%5%9%4%8%3%6%pension only

187894167825522610184842971164860676134913321077651046790134749914318431116100710962761Retired with a private13%19%27%21%20%22%27%24%23%20%18%28%22%23%26%20%32%19%25%20%28%20%27%19%22%pension

158425377707440012711446424831527245663208367177535137519231394316404968House person,11%9%6%6%7%9%7%9%9%6%9%6%7%7%7%7%7%8%7%7%8%7%8%7%8%housewife,

househusband, etc.

-32--3--1222-4-2131421125Refused-**--*--****-*-**********

Page 51

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 13Q.13 Which of the following best describes your current working status?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 52: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

RegionSocial GradeAgeGenderYork-shireNorth-

WestEast&ernSouthSouthEast-Mid-Mid-Humb-NorthNorthIre-Scot-Eng-WestEastLondonernlandslandsersideEastWestlandWaleslandlandDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

1185184912921108985891112658814441706291102104682360165331795148296326632402209116096396513585012369Unweighted base

1186185112841113988894112958914451706311090104792384166931775111298126732409208515926276513585012369Weighted base

11511757977107091384910765701372165612105997352256157529634753294026112266185613725256084548311571White97%95%76%96%92%95%95%97%95%97%97%97%93%95%94%93%93%99%98%94%89%86%84%93%94%94%

32772933364374017664152265710381190321234312821219796387310699NET: BAME3%4%23%3%6%4%4%3%5%2%2%2%6%4%5%6%6%1%2%5%10%12%15%6%5%6%

112354758641624513430134060817224038198262145Mixed1%1%4%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%*1%1%1%1%1%*1%1%2%2%3%1%1%1%

112912211451922632269297444574151975110210143156158313Asian1%2%10%1%5%2%2%1%2%1%1%1%3%2%3%2%3%**2%5%6%7%2%3%3%

316886886512-2315122205360213394434249858156Black*1%7%1%1%1%1%1%1%-**1%1%1%2%1%**2%2%2%4%2%1%1%

3619742226-1450431237121021166352055Chinese**1%1%*****-******1%***1%1%1%1%**

43102214---22264-1214357474161330Other ethnic group**1%****---****-*******1%***

417141011813281488725132336181915182354157100Prefer not to answer*1%1%1%1%1%1%*1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%

Page 52

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 14Q.14 To which of the following ethnic groups do you consider you belong?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 53: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

Reluctant ToTell How You

2015 VoteVotedWhen Mind Made UpReferendumSince

Longerbegin-In theOnagoningIn theIn thelastpol-

PlaidAlwaysthan aoflastlastfewlingCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConNoYesknownyearyearmonthweekdaysdayRemainLeaveTotal

7251950915109993442408511079129046167511743226680096612276198617112369Unweighted base

7251249815659823400410711080128946077581748226779996412255949642012369Weighted base

7150545915379423032390810465110643837151661213672984810995422614911571White99%98%92%98%96%89%95%94%86%95%94%95%94%91%88%90%91%96%94%

15321632340180528171187327911364110114478221699NET: BAME1%1%6%1%3%10%4%5%13%4%4%5%5%8%11%9%8%3%6%

-11551463321261955916191020169748145Mixed-*3%*1%2%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%2%1%2%1%1%

-3105131548720910562123352366356209104313Asian-1%2%*1%5%2%2%8%1%2%2%2%4%7%5%4%2%3%

--2329132125314910201811222711442156Black--***3%1%1%2%1%1%1%1%1%2%2%2%1%1%

--3131922441112-6147611381755Chinese--1%**1%1%*1%*-*1%1%1%1%1%**

112211472461014101-4191030Other ethnic group1%*************-****

-3711729198812371191966125050100Prefer not to answer-1%1%1%1%1%*1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%

Page 53

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 14Q.14 To which of the following ethnic groups do you consider you belong?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 54: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

MethodologyRemain by GE2015Leave by GE2015PlaidPlaid

CATIOnlineCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConTotal

1000113693334338770718224817793917612214402811194230612369Unweighted base

996113733232937167689215817084118312714982921242239912369Weighted base

900106713232334363661188515944018211714742811146231411571White90%94%100%98%92%94%96%87%93%97%99%92%98%96%92%96%94%

79619-5263222531031-614108677699NET: BAME8%5%-1%7%4%3%12%6%3%-5%1%4%7%3%6%

18127-114-124517--1521815145Mixed2%1%-*4%-2%2%1%--1%*1%1%1%1%

26288-371711049--3464438313Asian3%3%-1%2%1%1%5%3%--2%*2%4%2%3%

27129--12-7319--1121812156Black3%1%--*3%-3%1%--1%*1%1%1%1%

352--2-31315--11-5655Chinese**--1%-*1%1%--1%*-***

624-12-11221--2-2530Other ethnic group1%*-*1%-*1%*3%--*-***

1783-23161911-1410198100Prefer not to answer2%1%-1%1%1%1%1%1%-1%3%1%*1%*1%

Page 54

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 14Q.14 To which of the following ethnic groups do you consider you belong?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 55: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

Attention Paid toThe GreenSocialMulti-PoliticsNational IdentityImmigrationCapitalismThe internetGlobalisationmovementFeminismliberalismculturalism

Equ-MoreallyMore

Brit-Brit-Eng-Eng-Eng-ishishlishlishlishnotthanandthannot

Eng-Eng-Brit-Brit-Brit-0-45-78-10lishlishishishishIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodTotal

1406469562441252113345341785120848904380366648695989319290552692418716119707087294857743665593412369Unweighted base

1413469662361240112045321805123550034272366348656079296294652102470708420057020301756813754582612369Weighted base

132943835837104698643311749120648553845344645055778690282347272373654419036521291152173674525611571White94%93%94%84%88%96%97%98%97%90%94%93%95%93%96%91%96%92%95%93%96%92%98%90%94%

712793471811291724522117385190318235439143976473834438541555513699NET: BAME5%6%6%15%11%4%3%2%2%9%5%7%4%6%3%8%3%7%4%6%3%7%1%9%6%

8607622234810921845164710625881810515101209215105145Mixed1%1%1%2%2%1%1%1%*2%1%1%1%1%1%2%1%1%1%1%1%2%*2%1%

381231509264711911611647514182563321030218451933620021238313Asian3%3%2%7%6%2%1%1%1%4%2%3%1%3%1%4%1%3%2%3%1%4%1%4%3%

165782482733151199344725114229516991797228113111156Black1%1%1%4%2%1%1%**2%1%1%1%1%1%2%1%1%1%1%1%1%*2%1%

728201711111192663214533273253232623755Chinese*1%*1%1%****1%*1%***1%*******1%*

110192491-61814922291342012041642130Other ethnic group*******-*****************

133452135301173243284276432442167205621502557100Prefer not to answer1%1%1%1%*1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%

Page 55

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 14Q.14 To which of the following ethnic groups do you consider you belong?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 56: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

RegionSocial GradeAgeGenderYork-shireNorth-

WestEast&ernSouthSouthEast-Mid-Mid-Humb-NorthNorthIre-Scot-Eng-WestEastLondonernlandslandsersideEastWestlandWaleslandlandDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

1185184912921108985891112658814441706291102104682360165331795148296326632402209116096396513585012369Unweighted base

1186185112841113988894112958914451706311090104792384166931775111298126732409208515926276513585012369Weighted base

62210235955955384836253458501283355175677130693216912716209216541286917538170358030766657Christian52%55%46%53%54%54%55%59%59%75%53%47%54%55%56%53%53%70%62%53%44%34%27%55%53%54%

618668321221625-17194352550906522607831100102201Muslim*1%5%1%3%1%2%1%2%-*1%2%1%2%2%2%**1%3%5%5%2%2%2%

1104537341314276672050431528267414183Hindu*1%3%*1%****1%1%*1%**1%1%**1%1%2%1%1%1%1%

38425324320-17901392848421818776514798Jewish**3%****1%1%-*1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%**1%1%1%1%

1-51912-1---201559--746381220Sikh*-**1%**-*---*****--*******

55145649-4-395211918261316121634372764Buddhist**1%*1%*1%-*-*1%**1%1%1%*1%*1%*1%1%*1%

242919221817151121314191765927447935474748251013575211Other2%2%1%2%2%2%1%2%1%2%2%2%2%2%2%1%2%1%2%2%2%2%2%2%1%2%

50871945745436235743821549934269517400992063012652005755890968971863382245523724829None43%39%36%41%37%40%39%37%35%20%43%47%38%39%38%40%39%25%33%40%47%54%61%38%41%39%

1639412014151182244121853324568734403534461510798206Prefer not to say1%2%3%2%1%2%1%1%2%2%1%1%2%1%1%2%2%1%2%1%2%3%2%2%2%2%

Page 56

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 15Q.15 Which of the following religious groups do you consider yourself to be a member of?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 57: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

Reluctant ToTell How You

2015 VoteVotedWhen Mind Made UpReferendumSince

Longerbegin-In theOnagoningIn theIn thelastpol-

PlaidAlwaysthan aoflastlastfewlingCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConNoYesknownyearyearmonthweekdaysdayRemainLeaveTotal

7251950915109993442408511079129046167511743226680096612276198617112369Unweighted base

7251249815659823400410711080128946077581748226779996412255949642012369Weighted base

3420412890849316162678601364423664279871250436503687280738506657Christian47%40%26%58%50%48%65%54%50%51%56%56%55%55%52%56%47%60%54%

-374111104313962536222815403914160201Muslim-1%1%*1%3%1%1%5%1%1%1%1%2%4%3%2%1%2%

-13-232325132172713101915582583Hindu-*1%-*1%1%*2%***1%1%2%1%1%*1%

-3155275590833417206711455398Jewish-1%**1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%

---1-1261734153223101020Sikh---*-**************

-45106191651132421011566333164Buddhist-1%1%1%1%1%**1%1%*1%*1%1%*1%*1%

41125251271451862679202635171916108103211Other6%2%5%2%1%2%1%2%2%2%3%2%2%2%2%1%2%2%2%

352783185944371451117143674621968287649851294352428263321964829None48%54%64%38%44%43%29%39%36%43%38%37%38%37%36%35%44%34%39%

-8121817636016739628245815182111591206Prefer not to say-2%2%1%2%2%1%2%3%1%1%1%3%2%2%2%2%1%2%

Page 57

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 15Q.15 Which of the following religious groups do you consider yourself to be a member of?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 58: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

MethodologyRemain by GE2015Leave by GE2015PlaidPlaid

CATIOnlineCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConTotal

1000113693334338770718224817793917612214402811194230612369Unweighted base

996113733232937167689215817084118312714982921242239912369Weighted base

528612981178436322917105026874487317269916286657Christian53%54%24%36%23%53%47%42%61%64%48%34%58%59%56%68%54%

18184-361107925--1313118201Muslim2%2%-1%2%1%1%4%1%--1%**3%1%2%

479-12-12319--1-191283Hindu*1%-*1%-*1%1%--1%-*1%1%1%

989-31131522---42113398Jewish1%1%-1%*1%*1%1%---*1%1%1%1%

317-----82---1-4420Sikh**-----**---*-***

559-2415135-219151164Buddhist*1%-1%1%1%1%1%*-1%1%1%***1%

3617626152944212592332724211Other4%2%6%2%4%3%1%2%1%5%3%7%2%1%2%1%2%

3744455221952512732710115381283675671094406344829None38%39%70%59%68%40%47%47%31%31%45%52%38%37%35%26%39%

20186-38-134826-541831534206Prefer not to say2%2%-1%2%-2%2%2%-3%3%1%1%1%1%2%

Page 58

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 15Q.15 Which of the following religious groups do you consider yourself to be a member of?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 59: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

Attention Paid toThe GreenSocialMulti-PoliticsNational IdentityImmigrationCapitalismThe internetGlobalisationmovementFeminismliberalismculturalism

Equ-MoreallyMore

Brit-Brit-Eng-Eng-Eng-ishishlishlishlishnotthanandthannot

Eng-Eng-Brit-Brit-Brit-0-45-78-10lishlishishishishIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodTotal

1406469562441252113345341785120848904380366648695989319290552692418716119707087294857743665593412369Unweighted base

1413469662361240112045321805123550034272366348656079296294652102470708420057020301756813754582612369Weighted base

71925373389643511252910527263103184817442837367492616052774157134261252344419502575232426856657Christian51%54%54%52%46%56%58%59%62%43%48%58%60%53%54%53%64%48%62%49%65%45%62%46%54%

247310462444813332122618271572713419141271241912710157201Muslim2%2%2%5%4%1%1%*1%3%2%2%1%2%1%3%1%2%1%2%1%2%*3%2%

1128442312215616391448173657564857125376683Hindu1%1%1%2%1%****1%*1%*1%*1%*1%*1%*1%*1%1%

830607174986383521563821743264913602645275198Jewish1%1%1%1%2%1%**1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%

3893381277591134105921131021220Sikh*************************

5253467191062524322025220307508351236143964Buddhist*1%1%*1%*1%*1%1%1%**1%1%1%*1%*1%*1%*1%1%

19791122318742026747682559154567837142251264411047114211Other1%2%2%2%2%2%1%2%1%2%2%1%1%2%2%1%1%2%1%2%1%2%1%2%2%

6071820239145848916966604471639204416501671202369311552006761307863930449152618127525894829None43%39%38%37%44%37%37%36%33%48%45%34%33%40%39%39%31%43%32%43%30%46%34%44%39%

18959217208835126977558615147568040126311193610747114206Prefer not to say1%2%1%1%2%2%2%1%1%2%2%2%3%2%2%2%2%2%2%2%1%2%1%2%2%

Page 59

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 15Q.15 Which of the following religious groups do you consider yourself to be a member of?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 60: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

RegionSocial GradeAgeGenderYork-shireNorth-

WestEast&ernSouthSouthEast-Mid-Mid-Humb-NorthNorthIre-Scot-Eng-WestEastLondonernlandslandsersideEastWestlandWaleslandlandDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

1185184912921108985891112658814441706291102104682360165331795148296326632402209116096396513585012369Unweighted base

1186185112841113988894112958914451706311090104792384166931775111298126732409208515926276513585012369Weighted base

-----------1090-226145263455236253212193142545375521090Scotland-----------100%-9%9%8%9%8%9%9%9%9%9%8%9%9%

-------589----58911976170224135136126986826323266589North East-------100%----6%5%5%5%4%5%5%5%5%4%4%5%5%5%

--------1445---1445338203346553363294279241194737686771445North West--------100%---14%14%12%11%11%12%11%12%12%12%12%12%12%12%

------1129-----1129236153309429260241234186154546284991129Yorkshire and the------100%-----11%10%9%10%8%9%9%10%9%10%9%10%9%9%Humber

----988-------98819414624040521220519918811171505483988West Midlands----100%-------9%8%9%8%8%7%8%8%9%7%11%8%8%8%

-----894------89419013522134722519019913610539445449894East Midlands-----100%------9%8%8%7%7%8%7%8%7%7%6%7%8%7%

----------631--149931832041711501101036532330301631Wales----------100%--6%6%6%4%6%6%5%5%4%5%5%5%5%

---1113--------1113195160282475301262213161134435955171113East of England---100%--------11%8%10%9%9%10%10%9%8%8%7%9%9%9%

--1284---------1284158152352618213231218273256926616231284London--100%---------12%7%9%11%12%7%9%9%13%16%15%10%11%10%

-1851----------1851295239473837503405353296207879768751851South East-100%----------18%12%14%15%16%17%15%15%14%13%14%15%15%15%

1186-----------1186243145295500330263225182139486495351186South West100%-----------11%10%9%9%10%11%10%9%9%9%8%10%9%10%

---------170---41234363324341281799574170Northern Ireland---------100%---2%1%1%1%1%2%2%1%1%1%1%1%1%

Page 60

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 16Q.16 Which of the following describes where you live?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 61: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

Reluctant ToTell How You

2015 VoteVotedWhen Mind Made UpReferendumSince

Longerbegin-In theOnagoningIn theIn thelastpol-

PlaidAlwaysthan aoflastlastfewlingCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConNoYesknownyearyearmonthweekdaysdayRemainLeaveTotal

7251950915109993442408511079129046167511743226680096612276198617112369Unweighted base

7251249815659823400410711080128946077581748226779996412255949642012369Weighted base

-512232570200205993964467414716279781046784121090Scotland-100%5%2%7%6%5%9%7%10%10%8%7%10%8%8%11%6%9%

--259326238139529601973483113434772271318589North East--5%6%3%7%3%5%5%4%4%5%5%5%5%6%5%5%5%

--5116288551468130613948068211310901241626817651445North West--10%10%9%16%11%12%11%10%9%12%14%11%13%13%11%12%12%

--451749738633110291004526014622070811005116181129Yorkshire and the--9%11%10%11%8%9%8%10%8%8%10%9%8%8%9%10%9%Humber

--261447127637987811034159131204708895441547988West Midlands--5%9%7%8%9%8%9%7%8%7%9%9%9%8%7%9%8%

--301486024632879010434064128144647183388507894East Midlands--6%9%6%7%8%7%8%7%8%7%6%8%7%7%7%8%7%

72-238248191164575562373795116315660278353631Wales100%-5%5%5%6%4%5%4%5%5%5%5%4%6%5%5%5%5%

--49193862464351004109428771472147679914746391113East of England--10%12%9%7%11%9%8%9%10%8%9%10%8%7%8%10%9%

--6386111459449108919547572177223711381277205641284London--13%6%11%14%11%10%15%10%9%10%10%9%14%10%12%9%10%

--9828016636377616551966891152863271191201968649871851South East--20%18%17%11%19%15%15%15%15%16%14%15%12%16%15%15%15%

--6517815824343210751114588717320577711145586281186South West--13%11%16%7%11%10%9%10%11%10%9%10%7%9%9%10%10%

-------1561465102431812208782170Northern Ireland-------1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%2%1%1%1%

Page 61

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 16Q.16 Which of the following describes where you live?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 62: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

MethodologyRemain by GE2015Leave by GE2015PlaidPlaid

CATIOnlineCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConTotal

1000113693334338770718224817793917612214402811194230612369Unweighted base

996113733232937167689215817084118312714982921242239912369Weighted base

871003-3291625614797-18362315531081090Scotland9%9%-100%4%3%8%7%6%-100%5%2%5%4%5%9%

39550--1452014058--108869881589North East4%5%--4%7%3%6%3%--8%6%2%8%3%5%

1031342--361155323203--15152332292641445North West10%12%--10%16%8%15%12%--11%10%11%18%11%12%

881040--36268227136--9172291581951129Yorkshire and the9%9%--10%3%10%11%8%--7%11%10%13%8%9%Humber

87901--19749157163--713722119215988West Midlands9%8%--5%10%7%7%10%--6%9%7%10%9%8%

70825--25835156130--51402589199894East Midlands7%7%--7%11%5%7%8%--4%9%9%7%8%7%

4858332-121361126141-11811279103631Wales5%5%100%-3%1%5%5%4%100%-9%5%4%6%4%5%

991014--331259158167--1718127872681113East of England10%9%--9%19%8%7%10%--13%12%9%7%11%9%

1251158--52386327186--1183251322631284London13%10%--14%4%13%15%11%--9%6%9%11%11%10%

1371714--8113115247333--18266511174431851South East14%15%--22%20%17%11%20%--14%18%17%9%18%15%

861100--484111162173--1717447812591186South West9%10%--13%6%16%8%10%--13%12%16%7%11%10%

27142--------------170Northern Ireland3%1%--------------1%

Page 62

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 16Q.16 Which of the following describes where you live?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 63: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

Attention Paid toThe GreenSocialMulti-PoliticsNational IdentityImmigrationCapitalismThe internetGlobalisationmovementFeminismliberalismculturalism

Equ-MoreallyMore

Brit-Brit-Eng-Eng-Eng-ishishlishlishlishnotthanandthannot

Eng-Eng-Brit-Brit-Brit-0-45-78-10lishlishishishishIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodTotal

1406469562441252113345341785120848904380366648695989319290552692418716119707087294857743665593412369Unweighted base

1413469662361240112045321805123550034272366348656079296294652102470708420057020301756813754582612369Weighted base

113387588-----352471389375498382914321946861496582175892725851090Scotland8%8%9%-----7%11%11%8%8%9%10%8%8%10%7%9%7%10%7%10%9%

752292827441290100562601702022003443214223611733396334166249198253589North East5%5%5%6%4%6%6%5%5%4%6%4%6%5%5%5%5%5%5%5%5%4%5%4%5%

1715477211471617072181466234764555716111223276202708352198323236884416601445North West12%12%12%12%14%16%12%12%12%11%12%12%10%12%11%12%11%12%11%12%11%12%12%11%12%

137444546123124505201129500366346419588382734852356141846312755063825021129Yorkshire and the10%9%9%10%11%11%11%10%10%9%9%9%10%9%9%9%10%9%9%9%9%9%10%9%9%Humber

11537249711310739518813942931826339743734243399205567154540256419332437988West Midlands8%8%8%9%10%9%10%11%9%7%7%8%7%8%8%8%8%8%8%8%8%7%9%7%8%

112339442959835916513539126927635737670219383175474165473248361290394894East Midlands8%7%7%8%9%8%9%11%8%6%8%7%6%7%7%7%7%7%8%7%8%6%8%7%7%

75229327-----27119019923732471158256146336114341161272195268631Wales5%5%5%-----5%4%5%5%5%5%5%5%6%5%6%5%5%5%5%5%5%

153447512122104475210153494327315417787832664352406191865792924653634821113East of England11%10%8%10%9%10%12%12%10%8%9%9%13%8%9%8%10%9%9%8%10%8%10%8%9%

113469698224172484168116377581326582599932976112048391798102486992937611284London8%10%11%18%15%11%9%9%8%14%9%12%10%11%10%12%8%12%9%12%8%12%8%13%10%

200717934208185813347217753643503782981421434813388103033410564768575718561851South East14%15%15%17%17%18%19%18%15%15%14%16%16%15%15%16%16%15%17%15%16%15%15%15%15%

126453603136128504209144481410334470508682664602616581956673115093715471186South West9%10%10%11%11%11%12%12%10%10%9%10%8%9%9%9%11%9%10%10%10%9%10%9%10%

226285-----72525759712532803495299844684580170Northern Ireland2%1%1%-----1%1%2%1%1%1%1%2%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%

Page 63

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 16Q.16 Which of the following describes where you live?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 64: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

RegionSocial GradeAgeGenderYork-shireNorth-

WestEast&ernSouthSouthEast-Mid-Mid-Humb-NorthNorthIre-Scot-Eng-WestEastLondonernlandslandsersideEastWestlandWaleslandlandDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

1185184912921108985891112658814441706291102104682360165331795148296326632402209116096396513585012369Unweighted base

1186185112841113988894112958914451706311090104792384166931775111298126732409208515926276513585012369Weighted base

26035417620017520323514033344152242207590233655771577965549631319478134311682514NET: Yes22%19%14%18%18%23%21%24%23%26%24%22%20%38%20%18%14%26%25%21%15%12%12%21%20%20%

739352524948564397134258563286861371644312818215711353356318675Yes - mental condition6%5%4%5%5%5%5%7%7%8%7%5%5%12%5%4%3%1%5%8%8%7%8%5%5%5%

150217104132117133160922142590158132056220935646359346328515977178657271593Yes - physical13%12%8%12%12%15%14%16%15%15%14%15%13%24%13%11%9%20%17%12%8%5%3%13%12%13%condition

1021286671567279451191569877383771191732402622732011124616464443909Yes - disability9%7%5%6%6%8%7%8%8%9%11%8%7%16%7%5%5%9%10%8%5%3%2%7%8%7%

1424101231213517-9711044133138413021141376165126Yes - other1%1%1%1%*1%1%1%1%-1%1%1%2%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%

8981461108789679868286744010781224748318208142313062567431921561983185717381360541505045829635No76%79%85%80%81%76%77%75%75%72%75%76%78%60%78%81%85%72%74%77%83%85%86%78%78%78%

26342017149279313516188562653764435563434811793211Prefer not to say2%2%2%2%1%1%2%2%2%2%1%1%2%2%2%2%1%1%1%2%2%2%1%2%2%2%

221-1---2--1821-12-1-4-279Don't know***-*---*--****-**-*-*-***

Page 64

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 17Q.17 Do you have a longstanding physical or mental condition or disability that has lasted or is likely to last 12 months andwhich has a substantial adverse effect on your ability to carry out day-to-day activities?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 65: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

Reluctant ToTell How You

2015 VoteVotedWhen Mind Made UpReferendumSince

Longerbegin-In theOnagoningIn theIn thelastpol-

PlaidAlwaysthan aoflastlastfewlingCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConNoYesknownyearyearmonthweekdaysdayRemainLeaveTotal

7251950915109993442408511079129046167511743226680096612276198617112369Unweighted base

7251249815659823400410711080128946077581748226779996412255949642012369Weighted base

181391244061707826082289225985167355445154165243102014942514NET: Yes25%27%25%26%17%23%15%21%17%21%22%20%20%19%17%20%17%23%20%

636559235254100611642573685132495463332343675Yes - mental condition8%7%11%6%4%7%2%6%5%6%5%5%6%6%6%5%6%5%5%

118675270110498394145513866111222126194941496209731593Yes - physical15%17%15%17%11%15%10%13%11%14%15%13%12%12%10%12%10%15%13%condition

35138156553112178416834665128174585979334575909Yes - disability4%10%8%10%6%9%5%8%5%8%9%7%8%7%6%6%6%9%7%

-4101894233110165281818711125869126Yes - other-1%2%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%

5436436011327942556343985981037353757613601782636783960482548099635No75%71%72%72%81%75%84%78%80%77%76%78%79%80%81%78%81%75%78%

-9142717565818526801434388152297114211Prefer not to say-2%3%2%2%2%1%2%2%2%2%2%2%1%2%2%2%2%2%

--1-1518141-211-729Don't know--*-*******-***-***

Page 65

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 17Q.17 Do you have a longstanding physical or mental condition or disability that has lasted or is likely to last 12 months andwhich has a substantial adverse effect on your ability to carry out day-to-day activities?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 66: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

MethodologyRemain by GE2015Leave by GE2015PlaidPlaid

CATIOnlineCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConTotal

1000113693334338770718224817793917612214402811194230612369Unweighted base

996113733232937167689215817084118312714982921242239912369Weighted base

2172297976782010843320196346386613504082514NET: Yes22%20%27%23%21%30%16%20%12%23%35%36%26%21%28%17%20%

456312223982715836414168489663675Yes - mental condition4%6%6%7%11%11%4%7%2%10%7%12%6%3%8%3%5%

153143964438127127412654236258382252681593Yes - physical15%13%18%13%10%17%10%13%7%13%23%29%17%13%18%11%13%condition

4087012324634154672281415022157150909Yes - disability4%8%3%7%6%9%5%7%4%5%15%11%10%7%13%6%7%

12114-27142715-231751618126Yes - other1%1%-1%2%1%1%1%1%-1%2%1%2%1%1%1%

77088642324628445570168614873111976108722487119539635No77%78%73%75%76%67%83%78%87%77%65%60%73%77%70%81%78%

-211-892103520-152572237211Prefer not to say-2%-2%2%3%1%2%1%-1%4%2%2%2%2%2%

9---1-15-------19Don't know1%---*-**-------**

Page 66

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 17Q.17 Do you have a longstanding physical or mental condition or disability that has lasted or is likely to last 12 months andwhich has a substantial adverse effect on your ability to carry out day-to-day activities?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 67: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

Attention Paid toThe GreenSocialMulti-PoliticsNational IdentityImmigrationCapitalismThe internetGlobalisationmovementFeminismliberalismculturalism

Equ-MoreallyMore

Brit-Brit-Eng-Eng-Eng-ishishlishlishlishnotthanandthannot

Eng-Eng-Brit-Brit-Brit-0-45-78-10lishlishishishishIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodTotal

1406469562441252113345341785120848904380366648695989319290552692418716119707087294857743665593412369Unweighted base

1413469662361240112045321805123550034272366348656079296294652102470708420057020301756813754582612369Weighted base

30593412702311898753573271196712977767149178371591855913434611306712102989710232514NET: Yes22%20%20%19%17%19%20%26%24%17%27%16%25%19%24%18%23%19%23%19%24%18%24%18%20%

782543416455245887128124430715337482191263107420114393142339206328675Yes - mental condition6%5%5%5%5%5%5%6%6%6%8%3%6%5%6%5%4%6%6%6%5%6%5%6%5%

1895988051451185462432137704296294839611104635663598412937994926275936311593Yes - physical13%13%13%12%11%12%13%17%15%10%17%10%16%12%16%11%15%12%15%11%16%11%16%11%13%condition

111320476766231911513647923135926960661254332223471176454275350342334909Yes - disability8%7%8%6%6%7%6%11%10%5%10%6%10%7%9%6%9%7%9%6%9%6%9%6%7%

2155501285018145336484069233462471186833584258126Yes - other2%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%

108236734862991914356414208853705349326134030443736821684233187356131516558622524559279047129635No77%78%78%80%82%79%79%72%74%82%71%83%73%79%74%81%76%79%76%80%75%80%74%81%78%

2585100191689272199647065141416257361242612451916689211Prefer not to say2%2%2%2%1%2%2%2%2%2%2%1%2%2%2%1%1%2%1%2%2%2%2%2%2%

144--41233331413243522239Don't know***--********************

Page 67

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 17Q.17 Do you have a longstanding physical or mental condition or disability that has lasted or is likely to last 12 months andwhich has a substantial adverse effect on your ability to carry out day-to-day activities?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 68: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

RegionSocial GradeAgeGenderYork-shireNorth-

WestEast&ernSouthSouthEast-Mid-Mid-Humb-NorthNorthIre-Scot-Eng-WestEastLondonernlandslandsersideEastWestlandWaleslandlandDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

6151018872597546474633308744923156135807784994203829933261378182416721304323347133536827Unweighted base

61410168645975454736333087439231460457937901001203229633261382182616641288317345933426804Weighted base

2192962462011861491841382494012522218702532897169926641562757245811713698872256The public sector36%29%28%34%34%32%29%45%34%43%40%37%32%32%29%35%33%20%30%34%34%36%37%40%27%33%

363644551358324295403159457461663323555480678115817742318691084973760182179922984099The private sector59%63%64%60%59%62%64%52%62%50%53%55%61%61%68%57%60%71%63%59%58%59%57%52%69%60%

32766738352847103662450369573515819729971161197018291158448The charity/ not-for-5%7%8%6%6%6%7%3%5%6%7%8%6%7%4%8%7%9%7%6%7%5%6%8%5%7%profit sector

Page 68

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 18Q.18 Do you currently work in...?Base: All respondents who work

Lord Ashcroft

Page 69: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

Reluctant ToTell How You

2015 VoteVotedWhen Mind Made UpReferendumSince

Longerbegin-In theOnagoningIn theIn thelastpol-

PlaidAlwaysthan aoflastlastfewlingCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConNoYesknownyearyearmonthweekdaysdayRemainLeaveTotal

3929330774853520342135596486323783879221280486632742370831196827Unweighted base

3928930077552520032139594386123603899221278485630740355932456804Weighted base

2010593252167791546194231474697307421181219286120610512256The public sector52%36%31%33%32%39%26%33%37%32%25%33%33%37%35%39%34%32%33%

171581724893151053148736024971439266563763271383414208120184099The private sector43%55%57%63%60%53%70%61%58%61%68%61%60%56%61%56%58%62%60%

22635344316010639950175265295332840273176448The charity/ not-for-5%9%12%4%8%8%5%7%6%7%7%6%7%7%4%5%8%5%7%profit sector

Page 69

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 18Q.18 Do you currently work in...?Base: All respondents who work

Lord Ashcroft

Page 70: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

MethodologyRemain by GE2015Leave by GE2015PlaidPlaid

CATIOnlineCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConTotal

570625719199246413961399102020946170713963511156827Unweighted base

56462401819123639380134397921986373514566111606804Weighted base

20120558677211114531265123721241532602812256The public sector36%33%42%35%30%27%30%40%27%60%38%33%33%37%39%24%33%

3213778101081362723069666275135462843578254099The private sector57%61%53%56%58%68%61%52%68%35%52%56%63%58%54%71%60%

4240611628236116521973274454448The charity/ not-for-7%7%5%9%12%5%9%9%5%5%10%11%4%5%7%5%7%profit sector

Page 70

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 18Q.18 Do you currently work in...?Base: All respondents who work

Lord Ashcroft

Page 71: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

Attention Paid toThe GreenSocialMulti-PoliticsNational IdentityImmigrationCapitalismThe internetGlobalisationmovementFeminismliberalismculturalism

Equ-MoreallyMore

Brit-Brit-Eng-Eng-Eng-ishishlishlishlishnotthanandthannot

Eng-Eng-Brit-Brit-Brit-0-45-78-10lishlishishishishIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodTotal

7982678333877568724549306072486268819772716302526914983137109542571028412314393470180336236827Unweighted base

7982671332176667824479366192538262119702705306524015143096111542041044407714683409184435536804Weighted base

3149569782632168282721808618806978051071715457105733014103191378448114457412292256The public sector39%36%29%34%32%34%29%29%34%34%35%30%35%33%30%34%30%34%31%34%31%34%31%35%33%

449155520924464051468614417156315201104175618731809571837739246767823679492003117920434099The private sector56%58%63%58%60%60%66%67%62%58%56%65%61%61%63%59%66%59%65%58%65%59%64%57%60%

35161251575715149221142211691441234510020347328473327126290282448The charity/ not-for-4%6%8%7%8%6%5%4%4%8%9%5%4%7%7%7%4%8%5%8%5%8%5%8%7%profit sector

Page 71

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 18Q.18 Do you currently work in...?Base: All respondents who work

Lord Ashcroft

Page 72: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

RegionSocial GradeAgeGenderYork-shireNorth-

WestEast&ernSouthSouthEast-Mid-Mid-Humb-NorthNorthIre-Scot-Eng-WestEastLondonernlandslandsersideEastWestlandWaleslandlandDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

1185184912921108985891112658814441706291102104682360165331795148296326632402209116096396513585012369Unweighted base

1186185112841113988894112958914451706311090104792384166931775111298126732409208515926276513585012369Weighted base

111017161194103391182810535331347135593104397262162150529644842290525482253191513665095960553311498Yes94%93%93%93%92%93%93%91%93%80%94%96%93%91%90%93%95%97%95%94%92%86%81%92%95%93%

671298174745868549332384169820014820025672116150155208108506302809No6%7%6%7%7%6%6%9%6%19%6%4%7%8%9%6%5%2%4%6%7%13%17%8%5%7%

9686387252-65422161212586151810461662Can't remember1%*1%1%*1%1%**1%-1%1%1%1%*****1%1%2%1%*1%

Page 72

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 19Q.19 Did you vote in the general election held on 7th May 2015?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 73: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

Reluctant ToTell How You

2015 VoteVotedWhen Mind Made UpReferendumSince

Longerbegin-In theOnagoningIn theIn thelastpol-

PlaidAlwaysthan aoflastlastfewlingCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConNoYesknownyearyearmonthweekdaysdayRemainLeaveTotal

7251950915109993442408511079129046167511743226680096612276198617112369Unweighted base

7251249815659823400410711080128946077581748226779996412255949642012369Weighted base

7251249815659823400410710342115643587281643208571486011125544595311498Yes100%100%100%100%100%100%100%93%90%95%96%94%92%89%89%91%93%93%93%

-------694115231271021718110097381428809No-------6%9%5%4%6%8%10%10%8%6%7%7%

-------44181834115516243862Can't remember-------*1%****1%1%1%*1%1%

Page 73

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 19Q.19 Did you vote in the general election held on 7th May 2015?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 74: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

MethodologyRemain by GE2015Leave by GE2015PlaidPlaid

CATIOnlineCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConTotal

1000113693334338770718224817793917612214402811194230612369Unweighted base

996113733232937167689215817084118312714982921242239912369Weighted base

902105963232937167689215817084118312714982921242239911498Yes91%93%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%93%

91718--------------809No9%6%--------------7%

359--------------62Can't remember*1%--------------1%

Page 74

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 19Q.19 Did you vote in the general election held on 7th May 2015?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 75: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

Attention Paid toThe GreenSocialMulti-PoliticsNational IdentityImmigrationCapitalismThe internetGlobalisationmovementFeminismliberalismculturalism

Equ-MoreallyMore

Brit-Brit-Eng-Eng-Eng-ishishlishlishlishnotthanandthannot

Eng-Eng-Brit-Brit-Brit-0-45-78-10lishlishishishishIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodTotal

1406469562441252113345341785120848904380366648695989319290552692418716119707087294857743665593412369Unweighted base

1413469662361240112045321805123550034272366348656079296294652102470708420057020301756813754582612369Weighted base

1122431760431145105242371669114546164027339546185438669276548572323661518496562281653363508542711498Yes79%92%97%92%94%93%92%93%92%94%93%95%89%93%94%93%94%93%92%93%93%94%93%93%93%

27335117993632731258335323525223260591169335140443145429185328225382809No19%7%3%7%6%6%7%7%7%6%7%5%10%6%6%6%6%6%7%6%6%6%6%7%7%

182714352211634101615536121872611291617201862Can't remember1%1%****1%1%1%***1%*****1%*1%*1%*1%

Page 75

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 19Q.19 Did you vote in the general election held on 7th May 2015?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 76: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

RegionSocial GradeAgeGenderYork-shireNorth-

WestEast&ernSouthSouthEast-Mid-Mid-Humb-NorthNorthIre-Scot-Eng-WestEastLondonernlandslandsersideEastWestlandWaleslandlandDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

110917151202102890882510515321347136591105597172140149129664877288725402247192213825195961553311499Unweighted base

111017161194103391182810535331347135593104397262162150529644842290525482253191513665095960553311498Weighted base

432776449435379328331139468-1642053737521525103920171377901733592367136207720274107Conservative39%45%38%42%42%40%31%26%35%-28%20%38%24%35%35%42%47%35%33%31%27%27%35%37%36%

243363459246276246386238551-19120030097694139001310571705706683535197185715423400Labour22%21%38%24%30%30%37%45%41%-32%19%31%36%27%30%27%20%28%31%36%39%39%31%28%30%

1782808619314414817493162-82251458440294404424465384348215120337348311565UK Independence Party16%16%7%19%16%18%16%17%12%-14%2%15%20%20%14%9%16%15%15%11%9%7%12%15%14%(UKIP)

158166111867160972688-48708631378524751027523616515311736513469982Liberal Democrat14%10%9%8%8%7%9%5%7%-8%7%9%6%6%8%11%9%9%7%8%9%7%9%8%9%

-----------512-1177712419584133111867424248264512SNP-----------49%-5%5%4%4%3%5%5%4%5%5%4%5%4%

659863492630452551-232345382551432165683861129567298199498Green6%6%5%5%3%4%4%5%4%-4%2%5%4%4%5%4%2%3%4%6%7%13%5%4%4%

16169565811212984774026619047535634218101118218NET: Other party1%1%1%*1%1%1%*1%95%1%*1%2%2%2%2%2%2%2%2%2%2%2%2%2%

---------37---7711121271062-181937Democratic Unionist---------28%---*********-***Party (DUP)

---------24---8467278413141124Sinn Féin---------18%---*********1%***

---------21---637537722-12921Ulster Unionist Party---------16%---*********-***(UUP)

---------16---2131017431-61016SDLP---------12%---*********-***

16169565811231847717113356292527191655268120Another party1%1%1%*1%1%1%*1%23%1%*1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%

Page 76

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 20Q.20 Which party did you vote for at the general election?Base: All respondents who voted in 2015

Lord Ashcroft

Page 77: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

RegionSocial GradeAgeGenderYork-shireNorth-

WestEast&ernSouthSouthEast-Mid-Mid-Humb-NorthNorthIre-Scot-Eng-WestEastLondonernlandslandsersideEastWestlandWaleslandlandDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

111017161194103391182810535331347135593104397262162150529644842290525482253191513665095960553311498Weighted base

----------72--251114221423121463343872Plaid Cymru----------12%--1%1%***1%1%1%*1%1%1%1%

86109626552335713918257111314182501565Can't remember1%*1%1%1%*1%1%*2%**1%1%1%1%1%**1%1%1%*1%*1%

11116939761041172181016349192313122482978Would rather not say1%1%*1%*1%1%1%1%3%**1%1%1%1%1%*1%1%1%1%*1%1%1%

Page 77

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 20Q.20 Which party did you vote for at the general election?Base: All respondents who voted in 2015

Lord Ashcroft

Page 78: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

Reluctant ToTell How You

2015 VoteVotedWhen Mind Made UpReferendumSince

Longerbegin-In theOnagoningIn theIn thelastpol-

PlaidAlwaysthan aoflastlastfewlingCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConNoYesknownyearyearmonthweekdaysdayRemainLeaveTotal

7251950915109993442408510342115743677211638208471486111145776572311499Unweighted base

7251249815659823400410710342115643587281643208571486011125544595311498Weighted base

------410736534541342253626838271328447170823994107Conservative------100%35%39%31%35%38%40%38%38%40%31%40%36%

-----3400-30413591294164438619228307350215812423400Labour-----100%-29%31%30%23%27%30%32%36%31%39%21%30%

---1565---14571087691842342006044746714981565UK Independence Party---100%---14%9%18%25%14%10%8%5%7%1%25%14%(UKIP)

----982--88010238744137165708098689292982Liberal Democrat----100%--9%9%9%6%8%8%10%9%9%12%5%9%

-512-----47340210327767353556329183512SNP-100%-----5%3%5%4%5%3%5%4%5%6%3%4%

--498----461372132364100214236371127498Green--100%----4%3%5%3%4%5%3%5%3%7%2%4%

-------196227816354810112112495218NET: Other party-------2%2%2%2%2%2%1%1%2%2%2%2%

-------352136562-5132437Democratic Unionist-------***1%***-****Party (DUP)

-------2317-4711520424Sinn Féin-------***-********

-------1927153-1491221Ulster Unionist Party-------******-*****(UUP)

-------1337125--110616SDLP-------******--****

-------1061444819277967248120Another party-------1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%

Page 78

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 20Q.20 Which party did you vote for at the general election?Base: All respondents who voted in 2015

Lord Ashcroft

Page 79: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

Reluctant ToTell How You

2015 VoteVotedWhen Mind Made UpReferendumSince

Longerbegin-In theOnagoningIn theIn thelastpol-

PlaidAlwaysthan aoflastlastfewlingCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConNoYesknownyearyearmonthweekdaysdayRemainLeaveTotal

7251249815659823400410710342115643587281643208571486011125544595311498Weighted base

72------6662151216378324172Plaid Cymru100%------1%1%*1%1%1%*1%1%1%1%1%

-------53121629194312293665Can't remember-------1%1%**1%1%1%*1%1%1%1%

-------621628410131139374178Would rather not say-------1%1%1%1%1%1%2%*1%1%1%1%

Page 79

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 20Q.20 Which party did you vote for at the general election?Base: All respondents who voted in 2015

Lord Ashcroft

Page 80: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

MethodologyRemain by GE2015Leave by GE2015PlaidPlaid

CATIOnlineCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConTotal

906105933334338770718224817793917612214402811194230611499Unweighted base

902105963232937167689215817084118312714982921242239911498Weighted base

2763831------1708------23994107Conservative31%36%------100%------100%36%

2913109-----2158------1242-3400Labour32%29%-----100%------100%-30%

1061459---67------1498---1565UK Independence Party12%14%---100%------100%---14%(UKIP)

82900----689------292--982Liberal Democrat9%8%----100%------100%--9%

40473-329------183-----512SNP4%4%-100%------100%-----4%

52447--371------127----498Green6%4%--100%------100%----4%

35184--------------218NET: Other party4%2%--------------2%

829--------------37Democratic Unionist1%*--------------*Party (DUP)

420--------------24Sinn Féin**--------------*

516--------------21Ulster Unionist Party1%*--------------*(UUP)

214--------------16SDLP**--------------*

16104--------------120Another party2%1%--------------1%

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Table 20Q.20 Which party did you vote for at the general election?Base: All respondents who voted in 2015

Lord Ashcroft

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MethodologyRemain by GE2015Leave by GE2015PlaidPlaid

CATIOnlineCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConTotal

902105963232937167689215817084118312714982921242239911498Weighted base

66632------41------72Plaid Cymru1%1%100%------100%------1%

857--------------65Can't remember1%1%--------------1%

771--------------78Would rather not say1%1%--------------1%

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EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

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Table 20Q.20 Which party did you vote for at the general election?Base: All respondents who voted in 2015

Lord Ashcroft

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Attention Paid toThe GreenSocialMulti-PoliticsNational IdentityImmigrationCapitalismThe internetGlobalisationmovementFeminismliberalismculturalism

Equ-MoreallyMore

Brit-Brit-Eng-Eng-Eng-ishishlishlishlishnotthanandthannot

Eng-Eng-Brit-Brit-Brit-0-45-78-10lishlishishishishIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodTotal

1116431760501156106542391650112045114129339846215348692272749122273668918166627275154253425552811499Unweighted base

1122431760431145105242371669114546164027339546185438669276548572323661518496562281653363508542711498Weighted base

3651580215938634116747584681841109070122951853174891182611371878823203312861426143216224107Conservative33%37%36%34%32%40%45%41%40%27%21%50%34%37%32%38%49%28%45%31%46%27%41%30%36%

325127117984583821349366247989160512939911362591705160534723893352316441209164920663400Labour29%29%30%40%36%32%22%22%21%40%38%21%25%30%26%33%15%36%18%35%16%39%18%38%30%

17756682110288574341329118511250653013410266023816175244415647553029802471565UK Independence Party16%13%14%9%8%14%20%29%26%3%15%11%25%12%22%8%27%8%24%9%27%6%28%5%14%(UKIP)

90382510102122396130582115132504273277518445793729105665123653176623982Liberal Democrat8%9%8%9%12%9%8%5%5%13%7%9%6%9%7%9%4%11%6%10%4%12%5%11%9%

48161303-----1482532401221641514820650382433476731198298512SNP4%4%5%-----3%6%7%3%3%5%5%4%2%6%2%5%2%6%3%5%4%

591822587391163442468308251107163811272186463273933536653370498Green5%4%4%6%9%4%3%2%1%8%7%2%3%4%5%4%*7%1%6%1%7%2%7%4%

18811197153112781808476916253863813036127549659107218NET: Other party2%2%2%1%1%1%1%1%2%2%2%2%2%2%2%2%2%2%2%2%2%2%2%2%2%

41320-----19713123247151017919138121237Democratic Unionist***-----****1%*****1%******Party (DUP)

11014-----613118-22217216-1721221724Sinn Féin***-----****-*****-******

2109-----114761126851059748821Ulster Unionist Party***-----*****************(UUP)

1411-----7777113384939496816SDLP***-----*****************

104465715311273850464449035381678187228633162120Another party1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%

Page 82

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 20Q.20 Which party did you vote for at the general election?Base: All respondents who voted in 2015

Lord Ashcroft

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Attention Paid toThe GreenSocialMulti-PoliticsNational IdentityImmigrationCapitalismThe internetGlobalisationmovementFeminismliberalismculturalism

Equ-MoreallyMore

Brit-Brit-Eng-Eng-Eng-ishishlishlishlishnotthanandthannot

Eng-Eng-Brit-Brit-Brit-0-45-78-10lishlishishishishIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodTotal

1122431760431145105242371669114546164027339546185438669276548572323661518496562281653363508542711498Weighted base

42840-----332432181552423114211461935212972Plaid Cymru*1%1%-----1%1%1%**1%1%**1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%

193112762388331116227391523133914321623222765Can't remember2%1%*1%1%1%*1%1%***1%*1%*1%1%1%*1%*1%*1%

1736239727114283222306531632114014402033183878Would rather not say2%1%*1%1%1%1%*1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%*1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%

Page 83

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 20Q.20 Which party did you vote for at the general election?Base: All respondents who voted in 2015

Lord Ashcroft

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RegionSocial GradeAgeGenderYork-shireNorth-

WestEast&ernSouthSouthEast-Mid-Mid-Humb-NorthNorthIre-Scot-Eng-WestEastLondonernlandslandsersideEastWestlandWaleslandlandDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

1185184912921108985891112658814441706291102104682360165331795148296326632402209116096396513585012369Unweighted base

1186185112841113988894112958914451706311090104792384166931775111298126732409208515926276513585012369Weighted base

2002732401491221281568621027104176156329520446790258041131724621210670511661871Pay a great deal (10)17%15%19%13%12%14%14%15%15%16%16%16%15%12%12%15%18%19%15%13%12%13%17%11%20%15%of attention

1562461771401351061306016922751711319247190372777459362296253163556169721588(9)13%13%14%13%14%12%12%10%12%13%12%16%13%10%11%12%15%15%14%12%12%10%9%9%17%13%

2484142812232412092601363423614824023544653576951256756642496430326126136014172777(8)21%22%22%20%24%23%23%23%24%21%23%22%22%20%21%22%25%25%24%21%21%20%20%21%24%22%

238381250237204158240126274281072132109441336685993527504498436339152138110752456(7)20%21%20%21%21%18%21%21%19%17%17%20%20%18%20%22%19%18%19%21%21%21%24%21%18%20%

1201881201178195115531521565961042255185316455231252254228194587704471218(6)10%10%9%11%8%11%10%9%11%9%10%9%10%11%11%10%9%8%9%11%11%12%9%12%8%10%

95148999387858851120195779868254178277309209221207194146456983231022(5)8%8%8%8%9%10%8%9%8%11%9%7%8%11%11%9%6%7%8%9%9%9%7%11%6%8%

4067374139314221586204037712466116134819295726934295147443(4)3%4%3%4%4%4%4%4%4%4%3%4%4%5%4%4%3%3%3%4%3%4%5%5%3%4%

42482646253241203731922318895395124596078844931244117361(3)4%3%2%4%3%4%4%3%3%2%3%2%3%4%3%3%2%2%2%3%4%3%5%4%2%3%

26441724261928133951726238874072884157807132620284286(2)2%2%1%2%3%2%2%2%3%3%3%2%2%4%2%2%2%1%2%3%3%2%1%3%1%2%

824121513131571541111123462940351833382728511039149(1)1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%2%2%1%1%2%2%1%1%1%1%2%1%2%1%2%1%1%

916212611161114214715147762538331836493527711459173Pay no attention (0)1%1%2%2%1%2%1%2%1%2%1%1%1%3%1%1%1%1%1%2%2%2%1%2%1%1%

603934698512497442546282721853275885237100775115332934179414141109930700288268035556236NET: 8-1051%50%54%46%50%49%48%48%50%50%52%54%50%42%45%48%57%60%53%46%45%44%46%41%61%50%

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EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 21Q.21 How much attention, if any, do you generally pay to politics?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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RegionSocial GradeAgeGenderYork-shireNorth-

WestEast&ernSouthSouthEast-Mid-Mid-Humb-NorthNorthIre-Scot-Eng-WestEastLondonernlandslandsersideEastWestlandWaleslandlandDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

1186185112841113988894112958914451706311090104792384166931775111298126732409208515926276513585012369Weighted base

45371746944737233944422954762229387401894969912781757966978958858680255284918454696NET: 5-738%39%37%40%38%38%39%39%38%36%36%36%38%40%42%40%34%32%37%40%41%43%41%44%32%38%

1262001131531151121377517122751131203422213360413218278340289204839664451413NET: 0-411%11%9%14%12%13%12%13%12%13%12%10%11%18%13%11%8%7%10%14%14%13%13%15%8%11%

3131311261-221675633287118524Don't know*********1%-***************

7.277.207.406.957.117.037.097.027.117.007.157.337.156.636.917.127.527.627.246.926.886.937.116.727.657.16Mean

2.162.172.192.362.192.312.202.332.242.492.302.202.232.522.272.202.032.012.202.372.312.272.192.302.052.24Standard deviation0.060.050.060.070.070.080.070.100.060.190.090.070.020.050.060.040.030.040.040.050.050.060.090.030.030.02Standard error

Page 85

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 21Q.21 How much attention, if any, do you generally pay to politics?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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Reluctant ToTell How You

2015 VoteVotedWhen Mind Made UpReferendumSince

Longerbegin-In theOnagoningIn theIn thelastpol-

PlaidAlwaysthan aoflastlastfewlingCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConNoYesknownyearyearmonthweekdaysdayRemainLeaveTotal

7251950915109993442408511079129046167511743226680096612276198617112369Unweighted base

7251249815659823400410711080128946077581748226779996412255949642012369Weighted base

15106792721435725911703168922174248223711001349169551871Pay a great deal (10)20%21%16%17%15%17%14%15%13%20%23%14%10%9%10%11%15%15%15%of attention

1383672131304635391454134664145236245831021138157731588(9)18%16%13%14%13%14%13%13%10%14%19%14%11%10%11%9%14%12%13%

13114112336236762102925342431098182455507136186213136914092777(8)18%22%22%21%24%22%25%23%19%24%24%26%22%17%19%17%23%22%22%

1396923011976748542210246808138368495191206250118912672456(7)18%19%18%19%20%20%21%20%19%18%18%21%22%24%21%20%20%20%20%

72950137114336412106515337944153284971171436156021218(6)10%6%10%9%12%10%10%10%12%8%6%9%13%12%12%12%10%9%10%

73640127712613148811412983413721894961454445771022(5)10%7%8%8%7%8%8%8%11%6%4%8%10%12%10%12%7%9%8%

-14205543113117372721231252105445354197247443(4)-3%4%4%4%3%3%3%6%3%2%3%5%6%6%4%3%4%4%

-8163820871093164510473982324058171190361(3)-2%3%2%2%3%3%3%3%2%1%2%4%4%4%5%3%3%3%

21112341559892414589103151232656113173286(2)3%2%2%2%2%2%2%2%3%2%1%2%2%3%3%5%2%3%2%

27527531271331646212291419275496149(1)3%1%1%2%1%1%1%1%1%1%*1%1%2%2%2%1%1%1%

-86247342315122699152413152759114173Pay no attention (0)-2%1%2%1%1%1%1%2%1%1%1%1%2%2%2%1%2%1%

403032588215101798215956905462684501939975289388460310031366236NET: 8-1056%59%52%52%52%53%53%51%42%58%66%54%43%36%40%38%52%49%50%

Page 86

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 21Q.21 How much attention, if any, do you generally pay to politics?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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Reluctant ToTell How You

2015 VoteVotedWhen Mind Made UpReferendumSince

Longerbegin-In theOnagoningIn theIn thelastpol-

PlaidAlwaysthan aoflastlastfewlingCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConNoYesknownyearyearmonthweekdaysdayRemainLeaveTotal

7251249815659823400410711080128946077581748226779996412255949642012369Weighted base

281611825663821271158041565401485216658996382420538224924474696NET: 5-738%32%37%36%39%37%38%38%42%32%28%38%44%48%44%44%38%38%38%

44859177903253651213200431401492911261532235938201413NET: 0-46%9%12%11%9%10%9%11%16%9%5%9%13%16%16%18%10%13%11%

---1-72213712523481724Don't know---*-**************

7.537.537.197.247.317.347.317.216.777.487.927.346.876.606.706.497.287.057.16Mean

2.172.262.242.302.012.132.032.222.352.221.952.032.142.262.302.462.132.332.24Standard deviation0.260.100.100.060.060.040.030.020.070.030.070.050.050.080.070.070.030.030.02Standard error

Page 87

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 21Q.21 How much attention, if any, do you generally pay to politics?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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MethodologyRemain by GE2015Leave by GE2015PlaidPlaid

CATIOnlineCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConTotal

1000113693334338770718224817793917612214402811194230612369Unweighted base

996113733232937167689215817084118312714982921242239912369Weighted base

1561714128464911339419932315263301793921871Pay a great deal (10)16%15%36%25%17%13%16%18%12%8%13%11%18%10%14%16%15%of attention

97149110575569832522232612207321373171588(9)10%13%30%17%15%9%14%15%13%8%14%10%14%11%11%13%13%

2352543583841017151140883128327662526212777(8)24%22%15%25%22%14%25%24%24%21%17%22%22%22%20%26%22%

20422522487315134433381114819286622414732456(7)21%20%6%15%20%23%19%20%22%28%26%15%19%21%19%20%20%

831135121365832011956815132311352171218(6)8%10%3%6%10%7%12%9%11%15%5%11%9%11%11%9%10%

979252152864413114252112122271301721022(5)10%8%6%5%7%9%6%6%8%13%11%10%8%9%10%7%8%

39404-6134266152-8651175266443(4)4%4%-2%4%6%4%3%3%-5%5%3%6%4%3%4%

30331-59674654-3732144155361(3)3%3%-1%2%9%1%2%3%-2%6%2%5%3%2%3%

27259-574927362653063253286(2)3%2%-1%2%6%1%1%2%5%3%4%2%2%3%2%2%

71421433210121322432216149(1)1%1%3%1%1%4%**1%3%2%2%2%1%2%1%1%

21152-3113178-552341716173Pay no attention (0)2%1%-1%*1%*1%*-3%4%2%1%1%1%1%

48857482622320324382123082815805579712856813316236NET: 8-1049%51%82%68%55%36%55%57%49%36%44%43%53%44%46%55%50%

Page 88

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 21Q.21 How much attention, if any, do you generally pay to politics?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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MethodologyRemain by GE2015Leave by GE2015PlaidPlaid

CATIOnlineCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConTotal

996113733232937167689215817084118312714982921242239912369Weighted base

3844312584136262617647182377465401215078624696NET: 5-739%38%15%26%37%39%38%35%42%56%42%36%36%41%41%36%38%

124128912233174616116032626160441632051413NET: 0-412%11%3%7%9%26%7%7%9%8%14%20%11%15%13%9%11%

-24-----31---1-4124Don't know-*-----**---*-***

7.067.178.527.887.446.307.527.567.176.776.886.487.286.846.957.417.16Mean

2.312.231.962.082.042.691.881.992.002.032.432.632.272.222.312.052.24Standard deviation0.070.020.340.110.100.320.070.040.050.330.180.240.060.130.070.040.02Standard error

Page 89

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 21Q.21 How much attention, if any, do you generally pay to politics?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 21Q.21 How much attention, if any, do you generally pay to politics?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Attention Paid toThe GreenSocialMulti-PoliticsNational IdentityImmigrationCapitalismThe internetGlobalisationmovementFeminismliberalismculturalism

Equ-MoreallyMore

Brit-Brit-Eng-Eng-Eng-ishishlishlishlishnotthanandthannot

Eng-Eng-Brit-Brit-Brit-0-45-78-10lishlishishishishIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodTotal

1406469562441252113345341785120848904380366648695989319290552692418716119707087294857743665593412369Unweighted base

1413469662361240112045321805123550034272366348656079296294652102470708420057020301756813754582612369Weighted base

--1871219200643235172648808595844811437566783457108534511284969936099191871Pay a great deal (10)--30%18%18%14%13%14%13%19%16%17%13%15%19%15%19%15%17%16%16%17%16%16%15%of attention

--15881651535332491415706844337726112794097263329832579743998505128191588(9)--25%13%14%12%14%11%11%16%12%16%10%14%14%14%13%14%13%14%13%15%14%14%13%

--277729326410164102491023107875812221282137637125053916544271662635138582613772777(8)--45%24%24%22%23%20%20%25%21%25%21%23%22%24%22%23%21%24%21%24%22%24%22%

-2456-2162329533772419768526979971001876508112740915233361461537119968812342456(7)-52%-17%21%21%21%20%20%20%19%20%17%20%17%22%17%21%17%21%18%21%18%21%20%

-1218-114105478179116506374351423509282565282156961796942734953245781218(6)-26%-9%9%11%10%9%10%9%10%9%8%10%9%10%9%10%9%10%9%9%9%10%10%

-1022-10056390148127513206318287636852183441895021674692603323203781022(5)-22%-8%5%9%8%10%10%5%9%6%10%7%7%7%8%7%8%7%9%6%9%6%8%

443--50461516551225103145112323041101399020493201119160125182443(4)31%--4%4%3%4%4%5%2%4%2%5%3%4%3%4%3%5%3%4%3%3%3%4%

361--2330157524216980123923025568140771806018396116121135361(3)26%--2%3%3%3%3%3%2%3%2%5%3%2%3%3%3%3%3%3%2%3%2%3%

286--2619106463216348106612318972826612961124938095114286(2)20%--2%2%2%3%3%3%1%3%1%4%2%2%2%3%2%3%2%3%1%3%2%2%

149--88532221931853261110343484557365944385144149(1)11%--1%1%1%1%2%2%*1%1%2%1%1%1%2%1%2%1%1%1%1%1%1%

173--247442135106197826239652394665405856317443173Pay no attention (0)12%--2%1%1%1%3%2%*2%1%4%1%2%1%2%1%2%1%2%1%2%1%1%

--623667661621928945632241257017862838270485216132759132837221029376415303227194731146236NET: 8-10--100%55%55%48%50%46%45%60%49%58%45%52%55%53%54%53%51%54%51%57%52%53%50%

Page 91: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

Attention Paid toThe GreenSocialMulti-PoliticsNational IdentityImmigrationCapitalismThe internetGlobalisationmovementFeminismliberalismculturalism

Equ-MoreallyMore

Brit-Brit-Eng-Eng-Eng-ishishlishlishlishnotthanandthannot

Eng-Eng-Brit-Brit-Brit-0-45-78-10lishlishishishishIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodTotal

1413469662361240112045321805123550034272366348656079296294652102470708420057020301756813754582612369Weighted base

-4696-43139218217044851995143113651707213348998120008132721681262310702026133221904696NET: 5-7-100%-35%35%40%39%39%40%34%37%35%35%38%33%38%33%38%34%37%35%36%35%38%38%

1413--1311105112061827562695053171209473454473246352896264094254665181413NET: 0-4100%--11%10%11%11%15%15%6%14%7%20%10%12%9%13%9%14%9%14%7%12%9%11%

---218151127348755657839424Don't know---*********1%************

2.536.318.857.307.457.117.136.856.827.707.037.616.597.277.307.367.207.347.077.387.097.557.157.387.16Mean

1.350.800.852.252.072.182.192.452.401.892.401.922.642.152.352.042.422.072.442.072.401.972.362.052.24Standard deviation0.040.010.010.060.060.030.050.070.030.030.040.030.110.020.040.030.050.020.060.020.040.030.040.030.02Standard error

Page 91

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 21Q.21 How much attention, if any, do you generally pay to politics?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 92: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

RegionSocial GradeAgeGenderYork-shireNorth-

WestEast&ernSouthSouthEast-Mid-Mid-Humb-NorthNorthIre-Scot-Eng-WestEastLondonernlandslandsersideEastWestlandWaleslandlandDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

1185184912921108985891112658814441706291102104682360165331795148296326632402209116096396513585012369Unweighted base

1186185112841113988894112958914451706311090104792384166931775111298126732409208515926276513585012369Weighted base

689117875366760555866030784111637557262571229940191232211936152913461224930354385334677320If you work hard, it is58%64%59%60%61%62%58%52%58%68%59%53%60%52%56%60%63%65%57%56%59%58%57%59%59%59%possible to be very

successful in Britainno matter what yourbackground

497673531446383337469282604542565174221115572912651889104611441063862661273266023835049In Britain today,42%36%41%40%39%38%42%48%42%32%41%47%40%48%44%40%37%35%43%44%41%42%43%41%41%41%people from some

backgrounds will neverhave a real chance tobe successful no matterhow hard they work

Page 92

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 22Q.22 Below are some pairs of statements. Please say which statement in each pair you most agree with, even if you don't completely agree with it.Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 93: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

Reluctant ToTell How You

2015 VoteVotedWhen Mind Made UpReferendumSince

Longerbegin-In theOnagoningIn theIn thelastpol-

PlaidAlwaysthan aoflastlastfewlingCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConNoYesknownyearyearmonthweekdaysdayRemainLeaveTotal

7251950915109993442408511079129046167511743226680096612276198617112369Unweighted base

7251249815659823400410711080128946077581748226779996412255949642012369Weighted base

32213215802598158331566571750259444110281394515609739360337187320If you work hard, it is45%42%43%51%61%47%77%59%58%56%58%59%62%64%63%60%61%58%59%possible to be very

successful in Britainno matter what yourbackground

40299283763383181795145105392013317720873284355486234727025049In Britain today,55%58%57%49%39%53%23%41%42%44%42%41%38%36%37%40%39%42%41%people from some

backgrounds will neverhave a real chance tobe successful no matterhow hard they work

Page 93

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 22Q.22 Below are some pairs of statements. Please say which statement in each pair you most agree with, even if you don't completely agree with it.Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 94: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

MethodologyRemain by GE2015Leave by GE2015PlaidPlaid

CATIOnlineCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConTotal

1000113693334338770718224817793917612214402811194230612369Unweighted base

996113733232937167689215817084118312714982921242239912369Weighted base

624669611140151364311062140922736476716752117477320If you work hard, it is63%59%33%43%41%53%63%49%83%54%40%51%51%57%42%73%59%possible to be very

successful in Britainno matter what yourbackground

37246772118922132258109629919110627311257216525049In Britain today,37%41%67%57%59%47%37%51%17%46%60%49%49%43%58%27%41%people from some

backgrounds will neverhave a real chance tobe successful no matterhow hard they work

Page 94

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 22Q.22 Below are some pairs of statements. Please say which statement in each pair you most agree with, even if you don't completely agree with it.Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 95: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

Attention Paid toThe GreenSocialMulti-PoliticsNational IdentityImmigrationCapitalismThe internetGlobalisationmovementFeminismliberalismculturalism

Equ-MoreallyMore

Brit-Brit-Eng-Eng-Eng-ishishlishlishlishnotthanandthannot

Eng-Eng-Brit-Brit-Brit-0-45-78-10lishlishishishishIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodTotal

1406469562441252113345341785120848904380366648695989319290552692418716119707087294857743665593412369Unweighted base

1413469662361240112045321805123550034272366348656079296294652102470708420057020301756813754582612369Weighted base

85429183531696682282511066682817249115973490309564814233384153440621197409817633308208035167320If you work hard, it is60%62%57%56%61%62%61%54%56%58%44%72%51%61%48%65%62%57%60%58%58%58%55%60%59%possible to be very

successful in Britainno matter what yourbackground

55817782705544438170769956721861781206713762983648152318269363022808292212542374167323105049In Britain today,40%38%43%44%39%38%39%46%44%42%56%28%49%39%52%35%38%43%40%42%42%42%45%40%41%people from some

backgrounds will neverhave a real chance tobe successful no matterhow hard they work

Page 95

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 22Q.22 Below are some pairs of statements. Please say which statement in each pair you most agree with, even if you don't completely agree with it.Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 96: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

RegionSocial GradeAgeGenderYork-shireNorth-

WestEast&ernSouthSouthEast-Mid-Mid-Humb-NorthNorthIre-Scot-Eng-WestEastLondonernlandslandsersideEastWestlandWaleslandlandDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

1185184912921108985891112658814441706291102104682360165331795148296326632402209116096396513585012369Unweighted base

1186185112841113988894112958914451706311090104792384166931775111298126732409208515926276513585012369Weighted base

50283954248644841649827669798283522470499273314142455145712031016894734302278228225607For most children42%45%42%44%45%47%44%47%48%58%45%48%45%42%44%44%48%49%45%42%43%46%48%43%48%45%growing up in Britain

today, life will bebetter than it was fortheir parents

68410137426275404786303137487234856757751392936176326551524147013931192858324373130286762For most children58%55%58%56%55%53%56%53%52%42%55%52%55%58%56%56%52%51%55%58%57%54%52%57%52%55%growing up in Britain

today, life will beworse than it was fortheir parents

Page 96

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 23Q.22 Below are some pairs of statements. Please say which statement in each pair you most agree with, even if you don't completely agree with it.Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 97: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

Reluctant ToTell How You

2015 VoteVotedWhen Mind Made UpReferendumSince

Longerbegin-In theOnagoningIn theIn thelastpol-

PlaidAlwaysthan aoflastlastfewlingCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConNoYesknownyearyearmonthweekdaysdayRemainLeaveTotal

7251950915109993442408511079129046167511743226680096612276198617112369Unweighted base

7251249815659823400410711080128946077581748226779996412255949642012369Weighted base

2321317647246814402240501159619603208061079392472577310725005607For most children32%42%35%30%48%42%55%45%46%43%42%46%48%49%49%47%52%39%45%growing up in Britain

today, life will bebetter than it was fortheir parents

49300322109351419601867606969326474389421188407492648284239206762For most children68%58%65%70%52%58%45%55%54%57%58%54%52%51%51%53%48%61%55%growing up in Britain

today, life will beworse than it was fortheir parents

Page 97

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 23Q.22 Below are some pairs of statements. Please say which statement in each pair you most agree with, even if you don't completely agree with it.Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 98: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

MethodologyRemain by GE2015Leave by GE2015PlaidPlaid

CATIOnlineCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConTotal

1000113693334338770718224817793917612214402811194230612369Unweighted base

996113733232937167689215817084118312714982921242239912369Weighted base

50151061214314336352981110811703343711545911325607For most children50%45%36%43%39%53%51%45%65%28%38%26%29%40%37%47%45%growing up in Britain

today, life will bebetter than it was fortheir parents

4956267201862283233711776002911394106117778312676762For most children50%55%64%57%61%47%49%55%35%72%62%74%71%60%63%53%55%growing up in Britain

today, life will beworse than it was fortheir parents

Page 98

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 23Q.22 Below are some pairs of statements. Please say which statement in each pair you most agree with, even if you don't completely agree with it.Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 99: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

Attention Paid toThe GreenSocialMulti-PoliticsNational IdentityImmigrationCapitalismThe internetGlobalisationmovementFeminismliberalismculturalism

Equ-MoreallyMore

Brit-Brit-Eng-Eng-Eng-ishishlishlishlishnotthanandthannot

Eng-Eng-Brit-Brit-Brit-0-45-78-10lishlishishishishIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodTotal

1406469562441252113345341785120848904380366648695989319290552692418716119707087294857743665593412369Unweighted base

1413469662361240112045321805123550034272366348656079296294652102470708420057020301756813754582612369Weighted base

66022052731567555212874547619132172132626152034476947275910473272829332411652773134829735607For most children47%47%44%46%50%47%41%39%38%51%36%54%34%48%32%53%42%46%41%47%39%49%36%51%45%growing up in Britain

today, life will bebetter than it was fortheir parents

75324913505673565240410607593090210023382250404482020002452142338121176369618522908240628546762For most children53%53%56%54%50%53%59%61%62%49%64%46%66%52%68%47%58%54%59%53%61%51%64%49%55%growing up in Britain

today, life will beworse than it was fortheir parents

Page 99

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 23Q.22 Below are some pairs of statements. Please say which statement in each pair you most agree with, even if you don't completely agree with it.Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 100: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

RegionSocial GradeAgeGenderYork-shireNorth-

WestEast&ernSouthSouthEast-Mid-Mid-Humb-NorthNorthIre-Scot-Eng-WestEastLondonernlandslandsersideEastWestlandWaleslandlandDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

1185184912921108985891112658814441706291102104682360165331795148296326632402209116096396513585012369Unweighted base

1186185112841113988894112958914451706311090104792384166931775111298126732409208515926276513585012369Weighted base

7721200813746645588754410950104420762687816921121211332201919188116571355974377444037198164With the way the65%65%63%67%65%66%67%70%66%62%67%70%66%71%67%67%63%64%70%69%65%61%60%68%64%66%economy and society are

changing, there will bemore threats to mystandard of living infuture than there willbe opportunities toimprove it

415651471367343306374179495652113273601692548106318911063792752731618249207321314205The way society and the35%35%37%33%35%34%33%30%34%38%33%30%34%29%33%33%37%36%30%31%35%39%40%32%36%34%economy is changing

will bring moreopportunities for me toimprove my standard ofliving than threats toit

Page 100

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 24Q.22 Below are some pairs of statements. Please say which statement in each pair you most agree with, even if you don't completely agree with it.Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 101: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

Reluctant ToTell How You

2015 VoteVotedWhen Mind Made UpReferendumSince

Longerbegin-In theOnagoningIn theIn thelastpol-

PlaidAlwaysthan aoflastlastfewlingCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConNoYesknownyearyearmonthweekdaysdayRemainLeaveTotal

7251950915109993442408511079129046167511743226680096612276198617112369Unweighted base

7251249815659823400410711080128946077581748226779996412255949642012369Weighted base

543803631218604238223567320845305848911661480525625821359945668164With the way the75%74%73%78%61%70%57%66%66%66%65%67%65%66%65%67%60%71%66%economy and society are

changing, there will bemore threats to mystandard of living infuture than there willbe opportunities toimprove it

181321353473781018175137614441549269583787274339404235118544205The way society and the25%26%27%22%39%30%43%34%34%34%35%33%35%34%35%33%40%29%34%economy is changing

will bring moreopportunities for me toimprove my standard ofliving than threats toit

Page 101

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 24Q.22 Below are some pairs of statements. Please say which statement in each pair you most agree with, even if you don't completely agree with it.Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 102: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

MethodologyRemain by GE2015Leave by GE2015PlaidPlaid

CATIOnlineCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConTotal

1000113693334338770718224817793917612214402811194230612369Unweighted base

996113733232937167689215817084118312714982921242239912369Weighted base

53676292324325742407143384131137106117619794915158164With the way the54%67%73%74%69%63%59%66%49%77%75%84%78%67%76%63%66%economy and society are

changing, there will bemore threats to mystandard of living infuture than there willbe opportunities toimprove it

46037449861142528272586794621322962938844205The way society and the46%33%27%26%31%37%41%34%51%23%25%16%22%33%24%37%34%economy is changing

will bring moreopportunities for me toimprove my standard ofliving than threats toit

Page 102

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 24Q.22 Below are some pairs of statements. Please say which statement in each pair you most agree with, even if you don't completely agree with it.Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 103: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

Attention Paid toThe GreenSocialMulti-PoliticsNational IdentityImmigrationCapitalismThe internetGlobalisationmovementFeminismliberalismculturalism

Equ-MoreallyMore

Brit-Brit-Eng-Eng-Eng-ishishlishlishlishnotthanandthannot

Eng-Eng-Brit-Brit-Brit-0-45-78-10lishlishishishishIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodTotal

1406469562441252113345341785120848904380366648695989319290552692418716119707087294857743665593412369Unweighted base

1413469662361240112045321805123550034272366348656079296294652102470708420057020301756813754582612369Weighted base

95530744125790676291312808643683252127532797442595622393061166046361371452021753559279035518164With the way the68%65%66%64%60%64%71%70%74%59%75%57%73%64%76%59%67%65%68%64%72%63%74%61%66%economy and society are

changing, there will bemore threats to mystandard of living infuture than there willbe opportunities toimprove it

4581621211145144416195263711321175291020681663341708214981024486342500842212296422754205The way society and the32%35%34%36%40%36%29%30%26%41%25%43%27%36%24%41%33%35%32%36%28%37%26%39%34%economy is changing

will bring moreopportunities for me toimprove my standard ofliving than threats toit

Page 103

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 24Q.22 Below are some pairs of statements. Please say which statement in each pair you most agree with, even if you don't completely agree with it.Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 104: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

RegionSocial GradeAgeGenderYork-shireNorth-

WestEast&ernSouthSouthEast-Mid-Mid-Humb-NorthNorthIre-Scot-Eng-WestEastLondonernlandslandsersideEastWestlandWaleslandlandDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

1185184912921108985891112658814441706291102104682360165331795148296326632402209116096396513585012369Unweighted base

1186185112841113988894112958914451706311090104792384166931775111298126732409208515926276513585012369Weighted base

694106274259554149561632582111434965658921026832178133531786146212541152922434340536027011Overall, life in58%57%58%53%55%55%55%55%57%67%55%60%56%43%50%56%66%60%55%52%55%58%69%52%62%57%Britain today is better

than it was 30 yearsago

492789542518446399512264624562824344587135783713951757119512111155933670193310822485358Overall, life in42%43%42%47%45%45%45%45%43%33%45%40%44%57%50%44%34%40%45%48%45%42%31%48%38%43%Britain today is worse

than it was 30 yearsago

Page 104

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 25Q.22 Below are some pairs of statements. Please say which statement in each pair you most agree with, even if you don't completely agree with it.Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 105: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

Reluctant ToTell How You

2015 VoteVotedWhen Mind Made UpReferendumSince

Longerbegin-In theOnagoningIn theIn thelastpol-

PlaidAlwaysthan aoflastlastfewlingCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConNoYesknownyearyearmonthweekdaysdayRemainLeaveTotal

7251950915109993442408511079129046167511743226680096612276198617112369Unweighted base

7251249815659823400410711080128946077581748226779996412255949642012369Weighted base

3328129346569119802602629072125833939941322482557682431726947011Overall, life in45%55%59%30%70%58%63%57%56%56%52%57%58%60%58%56%73%42%57%Britain today is better

than it was 30 yearsago

4023220511002911420150547915672024365755946318408543163337255358Overall, life in55%45%41%70%30%42%37%43%44%44%48%43%42%40%42%44%27%58%43%Britain today is worse

than it was 30 yearsago

Page 105

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 25Q.22 Below are some pairs of statements. Please say which statement in each pair you most agree with, even if you don't completely agree with it.Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 106: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

MethodologyRemain by GE2015Leave by GE2015PlaidPlaid

CATIOnlineCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConTotal

1000113693334338770718224817793917612214402811194230612369Unweighted base

996113733232937167689215817084118312714982921242239912369Weighted base

643636820201248365481497135212804642914348312507011Overall, life in65%56%64%61%67%54%80%69%79%31%44%36%29%49%39%52%57%Britain today is better

than it was 30 yearsago

353500512129124311416603562810381106915075911485358Overall, life in35%44%36%39%33%46%20%31%21%69%56%64%71%51%61%48%43%Britain today is worse

than it was 30 yearsago

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Absolutes/col percents

Table 25Q.22 Below are some pairs of statements. Please say which statement in each pair you most agree with, even if you don't completely agree with it.Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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Attention Paid toThe GreenSocialMulti-PoliticsNational IdentityImmigrationCapitalismThe internetGlobalisationmovementFeminismliberalismculturalism

Equ-MoreallyMore

Brit-Brit-Eng-Eng-Eng-ishishlishlishlishnotthanandthannot

Eng-Eng-Brit-Brit-Brit-0-45-78-10lishlishishishishIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodTotal

1406469562441252113345341785120848904380366648695989319290552692418716119707087294857743665593412369Unweighted base

1413469662361240112045321805123550034272366348656079296294652102470708420057020301756813754582612369Weighted base

718269335907827382654910497203530921736322021056831216347811504383898442212473816148040177011Overall, life in51%57%58%63%66%59%50%40%41%72%47%66%35%61%41%67%47%62%45%63%41%67%39%69%57%Britain today is better

than it was 30 yearsago

6952003264645938118798957382968118019271645397361317311733132027011107259817701866227418105358Overall, life in49%43%42%37%34%41%50%60%59%28%53%34%65%39%59%33%53%38%55%37%59%33%61%31%43%Britain today is worse

than it was 30 yearsago

Page 107

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 25Q.22 Below are some pairs of statements. Please say which statement in each pair you most agree with, even if you don't completely agree with it.Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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Q23 SummaryThe GreenSocialMulti-

ImmigrationCapitalismThe internetGlobalisationmovementFeminismliberalismculturalism

1236912369123691236912369123691236912369Unweighted base

1236912369123691236912369123691236912369Weighted base

353301190041913301365808976Very much a force (10)3%2%15%3%11%11%7%8%for good

3193791745386927904679783(9)3%3%14%3%7%7%5%6%

9891134260810991655167813521462(8)8%9%21%9%13%14%11%12%

14341571196016131798176515691483(7)12%13%16%13%15%14%13%12%

11771480108416921375130812721122(6)10%12%9%14%11%11%10%9%

30903823245741972799332436252781Mixed blessing (5)25%31%20%34%23%27%29%22%

8921032210868682626899838(4)7%8%2%7%6%5%7%7%

956934151779622508778818(3)8%8%1%6%5%4%6%7%

91471597501438345503669(2)7%6%1%4%4%3%4%5%

74339058291264184282481(1)6%3%*2%2%1%2%4%

149959291508464343555947Very much a force (0)12%5%1%4%4%3%4%8%for ill

42724865929652107084702056815826NET: A force for good35%39%75%42%57%57%46%47%

5003366360729462470200530173754NET: A force for ill40%30%5%24%20%16%24%30%

3179151620468Don't know********

4.525.127.255.346.116.235.605.43Mean

Page 108

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 26Q.23 Do you think of each of the following as being a force for good, a force for ill, or a mixed-blessing?SummaryBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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Q23 SummaryThe GreenSocialMulti-

ImmigrationCapitalismThe internetGlobalisationmovementFeminismliberalismculturalism

1236912369123691236912369123691236912369Weighted base

2.692.272.012.192.532.392.442.79Standard deviation0.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.03Standard error

Page 109

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 26Q.23 Do you think of each of the following as being a force for good, a force for ill, or a mixed-blessing?SummaryBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 110: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

RegionSocial GradeAgeGenderYork-shireNorth-

WestEast&ernSouthSouthEast-Mid-Mid-Humb-NorthNorthIre-Scot-Eng-WestEastLondonernlandslandsersideEastWestlandWaleslandlandDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

1185184912921108985891112658814441706291102104682360165331795148296326632402209116096396513585012369Unweighted base

1186185112841113988894112958914451706311090104792384166931775111298126732409208515926276513585012369Weighted base

921541616660647536123134191832139108269455113141151217230123587389976Very much a force (10)8%8%13%6%6%7%7%6%9%8%6%8%8%6%6%8%9%4%5%6%10%14%20%9%7%8%for good

7410413471625263318242878673101762063989114814216215089430352783(9)6%6%10%6%6%6%6%5%6%2%4%7%6%4%5%6%8%3%6%6%8%9%14%7%6%6%

121215204117109891236115333761601192182160387729268272277296248997597031462(8)10%12%16%11%11%10%11%10%11%20%12%15%11%8%10%12%14%9%10%11%14%16%16%12%12%12%

1332171461311161101437318217701461250236163393689288309284281224987866961483(7)11%12%11%12%12%12%13%12%13%10%11%13%12%10%10%12%13%10%12%12%13%14%16%12%12%12%

12716511598907999531201452110946201132303484267249222191145496055161122(6)11%9%9%9%9%9%9%9%8%8%8%10%9%8%8%10%9%9%9%9%9%9%8%9%9%9%

268422230265217209243138344441682322336640412718100577860056344131386156812122781Mixed blessing (5)23%23%18%24%22%23%22%23%24%26%27%21%22%27%25%23%20%26%22%23%21%20%14%24%21%22%

941346284636284441011136647271731322133202441831861286830441397838(4)8%7%5%8%6%7%7%7%7%7%6%6%7%7%8%7%6%8%7%8%6%4%5%7%7%7%

731215886735982521061038617101901201963072492171691016714401417818(3)6%7%4%8%7%7%7%9%7%6%6%6%7%8%7%6%6%8%8%7%5%4%2%6%7%7%

51974160636085368254248574153127152235231176122873913329339669(2)4%5%3%5%6%7%8%6%6%3%7%4%5%6%8%5%5%8%7%5%4%2%2%5%6%5%

53844737403553163973237406112671181841701259056319206275481(1)4%5%4%3%4%4%5%3%3%4%5%3%4%5%4%4%4%6%5%4%3%2%1%3%5%4%

1011368696937477501141147628272501722213032772512041237616394552947Very much a force (0)9%7%7%9%9%8%7%8%8%7%8%6%8%10%10%7%6%9%9%8%6%5%3%6%9%8%for ill

547856761482437394502253660802685854893860639155827551027112010761147997458316726565826NET: A force for good46%46%59%43%44%44%45%43%46%47%42%54%47%36%38%49%54%34%42%45%55%63%73%49%45%47%

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EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 27Q.23 Do you think of each of the following as being a force for good, a force for ill, or a mixed-blessing?MulticulturalismBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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RegionSocial GradeAgeGenderYork-shireNorth-

WestEast&ernSouthSouthEast-Mid-Mid-Humb-NorthNorthIre-Scot-Eng-WestEastLondonernlandslandsersideEastWestlandWaleslandlandDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

1186185112841113988894112958914451706311090104792384166931775111298126732409208515926276513585012369Weighted base

3715712933633322903821984414519527232428786189001349117195277149628183177219803754NET: A force for ill31%31%23%33%34%32%34%34%31%27%31%25%31%37%37%28%26%39%36%32%24%18%13%27%34%30%

-1-2211---1-7511151-11-628Don't know-*-****---*-*******-**-***

5.345.416.135.235.185.255.255.195.425.565.225.795.414.844.945.565.794.695.035.285.936.427.075.635.225.43Mean

2.802.792.882.752.832.792.752.722.772.672.742.692.812.762.822.762.752.642.792.752.732.662.502.712.872.79Standard deviation0.080.060.080.080.090.090.080.110.070.210.110.080.030.060.070.050.040.050.050.060.060.070.100.030.040.03Standard error

Page 111

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 27Q.23 Do you think of each of the following as being a force for good, a force for ill, or a mixed-blessing?MulticulturalismBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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Reluctant ToTell How You

2015 VoteVotedWhen Mind Made UpReferendumSince

Longerbegin-In theOnagoningIn theIn thelastpol-

PlaidAlwaysthan aoflastlastfewlingCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConNoYesknownyearyearmonthweekdaysdayRemainLeaveTotal

7251950915109993442408511079129046167511743226680096612276198617112369Unweighted base

7251249815659823400410711080128946077581748226779996412255949642012369Weighted base

96011016904331578938348655122125436183829147976Very much a force (10)12%12%22%1%9%13%4%8%6%11%7%7%6%5%6%7%14%2%8%for good

2437016783371717018232748100118446581636147783(9)3%8%14%1%8%10%4%6%6%7%6%6%5%6%7%7%11%2%6%

108392531795293781316146572841952799811811610883741462(8)14%16%19%3%18%16%9%12%11%12%11%11%12%12%12%9%18%6%12%

36762771604804911303180461772073161201421619495341483(7)4%13%12%5%16%14%12%12%14%10%10%12%14%15%15%13%16%8%12%

645368511728742597115132955159256921101216374851122(6)8%9%7%5%12%8%10%9%12%7%7%9%11%11%11%10%11%8%9%

221167533618368410512460321866145402567205258337110616752781Mixed blessing (5)31%23%15%21%19%20%26%22%25%19%19%23%25%26%27%28%19%26%22%

428171315019332975286257411291616875108237601838(4)6%5%3%8%5%6%8%7%7%6%5%7%7%9%8%9%4%9%7%

3179175551523347457329661127164504477193625818(3)4%3%2%11%6%4%8%7%6%6%8%7%7%6%5%6%3%10%7%

71810153251312696125726249106119314062140528669(2)10%3%2%10%3%4%7%6%4%6%6%6%5%4%4%5%2%8%5%

215914621561864384321737885923213666415481(1)3%3%2%9%2%2%5%4%3%5%5%5%3%3%2%3%1%6%4%

4208374241153158846453410611210422284265882947Very much a force (0)6%4%2%24%2%3%8%8%5%12%14%6%5%3%3%3%1%14%8%for ill

2929837024762320661622518364321733187831094397498563414016865826NET: A force for good41%58%74%16%63%61%40%47%50%47%42%45%48%50%52%46%70%26%47%

Page 112

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 27Q.23 Do you think of each of the following as being a force for good, a force for ill, or a mixed-blessing?MulticulturalismBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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Reluctant ToTell How You

2015 VoteVotedWhen Mind Made UpReferendumSince

Longerbegin-In theOnagoningIn theIn thelastpol-

PlaidAlwaysthan aoflastlastfewlingCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConNoYesknownyearyearmonthweekdaysdayRemainLeaveTotal

7251249815659823400410711080128946077581748226779996412255949642012369Weighted base

21985398017664914323431323156529356160719520732470230523754NET: A force for ill29%19%11%63%18%19%35%31%25%34%39%32%27%24%22%26%12%48%30%

---2-2162212-21-268Don't know---*-*******-**-***

5.456.227.253.176.326.374.975.415.625.334.925.325.545.695.845.606.834.145.43Mean

2.802.612.432.562.392.582.582.822.533.123.092.732.472.342.342.452.262.612.79Standard deviation0.330.110.110.070.080.040.040.030.070.050.110.070.050.080.080.070.030.030.03Standard error

Page 113

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 27Q.23 Do you think of each of the following as being a force for good, a force for ill, or a mixed-blessing?MulticulturalismBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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MethodologyRemain by GE2015Leave by GE2015PlaidPlaid

CATIOnlineCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConTotal

1000113693334338770718224817793917612214402811194230612369Unweighted base

996113733232937167689215817084118312714982921242239912369Weighted base

1698078549938438111716111455240976Very much a force (10)17%7%24%16%27%4%12%18%7%3%3%9%1%2%4%2%8%for good

677161336427528712011051535051783(9)7%6%3%10%17%3%11%13%7%3%6%4%1%1%4%2%6%

14613167687761504292513151647291001271462(8)15%12%21%21%21%9%22%20%15%8%8%12%3%10%8%5%12%

10713762564851173482821111472431312091483(7)11%12%6%17%13%7%17%16%17%3%6%11%5%15%11%9%12%

67105543131882184229215577351031961122(6)7%9%12%9%8%11%12%9%13%5%8%4%5%12%8%8%9%

23625459653219105346407145144317783386442781Mixed blessing (5)24%22%27%20%9%29%15%16%24%33%28%34%21%27%27%27%22%

54785-1293207887417812830115241838(4)5%7%-3%2%4%3%4%5%10%9%7%9%10%9%10%7%

50768-526294390312717026109243818(3)5%7%-1%1%9%4%2%5%8%7%6%11%9%9%10%7%

28641-26612376671641481294203669(2)3%6%-1%2%9%2%2%4%18%9%3%10%4%8%8%5%

20461-3348103321261431447153481(1)2%4%-1%1%6%1%*2%5%7%5%10%5%4%6%4%

44903222781324218636717102291947Very much a force (0)4%8%6%1%1%10%1%1%1%5%10%5%25%6%8%12%8%for ill

5565270212413192350816301000857512241154366225826NET: A force for good56%46%67%73%86%34%74%76%59%21%31%40%15%40%35%26%47%

Page 114

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 27Q.23 Do you think of each of the following as being a force for good, a force for ill, or a mixed-blessing?MulticulturalismBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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MethodologyRemain by GE2015Leave by GE2015PlaidPlaid

CATIOnlineCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConTotal

996113733232937167689215817084118312714982921242239912369Weighted base

19635572232125771813001975329559946711323754NET: A force for ill20%31%6%7%6%37%11%8%18%46%41%25%64%34%38%47%30%

8------1----2-118Don't know1%------*----*-***

6.315.366.917.127.854.646.897.246.114.314.605.523.114.964.854.165.43Mean

2.732.782.632.062.062.692.192.132.242.382.712.622.532.292.592.512.79Standard deviation0.090.030.460.110.100.320.080.040.050.380.200.240.070.140.070.050.03Standard error

Page 115

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 27Q.23 Do you think of each of the following as being a force for good, a force for ill, or a mixed-blessing?MulticulturalismBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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Attention Paid toThe GreenSocialMulti-PoliticsNational IdentityImmigrationCapitalismThe internetGlobalisationmovementFeminismliberalismculturalism

Equ-MoreallyMore

Brit-Brit-Eng-Eng-Eng-ishishlishlishlishnotthanandthannot

Eng-Eng-Brit-Brit-Brit-0-45-78-10lishlishishishishIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodTotal

1406469562441252113345341785120848904380366648695989319290552692418716119707087294857743665593412369Unweighted base

1413469662361240112045321805123550034272366348656079296294652102470708420057020301756813754582612369Weighted base

7329960415314035648283678137333017798131613388333581624819-976976Very much a force (10)5%6%10%12%12%8%3%2%1%18%10%7%3%9%4%12%2%12%2%12%1%14%-17%8%for good

6924047412411528865285963626934314674102519406743965522667-783783(9)5%5%8%10%10%6%4%2%1%15%7%7%2%7%3%10%2%10%2%9%1%12%-13%6%

119514829175210536124621431029384673241245192892871176811149771145-14621462(8)8%11%13%14%19%12%7%5%3%24%10%14%4%13%7%17%4%17%4%16%3%20%-25%12%

13363571416814457820984241845417634511200207803135107610510891151028-14831483(7)9%14%11%14%13%13%12%7%5%20%11%13%8%13%7%15%5%15%5%16%4%18%-25%12%

125502493981054551618332447427153231931177589151734124728133662-11221122(6)9%11%8%8%9%10%9%7%6%11%7%11%5%10%6%11%6%10%6%10%4%12%-19%9%

4271171117225119410614532781110305759870123185151689850413004101258513787--2781Mixed blessing (5)30%25%19%20%17%23%25%23%22%7%21%18%20%20%18%17%20%18%20%18%17%14%--22%

1073543747150310175976058526036369628245289241395174371334191838-838(4)8%8%6%6%5%7%10%8%12%2%7%7%11%7%8%6%10%6%9%5%11%3%22%-7%

9232839759563051611086175324132454582287221256318223317402155818-818(3)7%7%6%5%5%7%9%9%12%1%7%7%9%6%10%4%10%4%11%5%13%3%22%-7%

812333525746226129102552362052704248928215026622120423338790669-669(2)6%5%6%5%4%5%7%8%11%1%6%6%7%5%10%3%11%3%10%3%13%2%18%-5%

591662572317167909743115168168483162419222714119215631564481-481(1)4%4%4%2%2%4%5%8%9%*5%3%8%3%8%2%9%2%10%2%10%1%13%-4%

12725156659412481912678801131635613257856214252221441924369370947-947Very much a force (0)9%5%9%5%4%5%11%22%18%*9%7%22%6%19%3%21%3%21%3%23%1%25%-8%for ill

51821903114717715221360628480437661714251313748488103416452449338444373714322-58265826NET: A force for good37%47%50%58%64%49%34%23%16%88%47%52%23%52%27%66%18%63%19%63%12%76%-100%47%

Page 116

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Absolutes/col percents

Table 27Q.23 Do you think of each of the following as being a force for good, a force for ill, or a mixed-blessing?MulticulturalismBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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Attention Paid toThe GreenSocialMulti-PoliticsNational IdentityImmigrationCapitalismThe internetGlobalisationmovementFeminismliberalismculturalism

Equ-MoreallyMore

Brit-Brit-Eng-Eng-Eng-ishishlishlishlishnotthanandthannot

Eng-Eng-Brit-Brit-Brit-0-45-78-10lishlishishishishIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodTotal

1413469662361240112045321805123550034272366348656079296294652102470708420057020301756813754582612369Weighted base

46613321947268211125774667230852001190148134625931617895151212901210132121325713754-3754NET: A force for ill33%28%31%22%19%28%41%54%62%5%32%30%57%28%55%17%61%18%60%19%71%10%100%-30%

2334-1-142121332221411--8Don't know****-*-***************--*

4.995.465.526.196.445.584.583.663.417.645.435.533.665.683.916.493.376.403.416.362.947.032.037.835.43Mean

2.662.562.982.702.612.662.602.792.391.822.962.772.802.752.972.462.612.512.662.552.392.191.501.342.79Standard deviation0.070.040.040.080.080.040.060.080.030.030.050.040.110.030.060.030.050.030.060.030.040.030.020.020.03Standard error

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Absolutes/col percents

Table 27Q.23 Do you think of each of the following as being a force for good, a force for ill, or a mixed-blessing?MulticulturalismBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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RegionSocial GradeAgeGenderYork-shireNorth-

WestEast&ernSouthSouthEast-Mid-Mid-Humb-NorthNorthIre-Scot-Eng-WestEastLondonernlandslandsersideEastWestlandWaleslandlandDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

1185184912921108985891112658814441706291102104682360165331795148296326632402209116096396513585012369Unweighted base

1186185112841113988894112958914451706311090104792384166931775111298126732409208515926276513585012369Weighted base

79127123475851722995540816831208121439011613913618015977405403808Very much a force (10)7%7%10%4%6%6%6%5%7%3%6%7%7%5%5%7%8%4%5%6%9%10%12%6%7%7%for good

6177946550455932808278156385471783689713812413212563363317679(9)5%4%7%6%5%5%5%5%6%5%4%7%5%4%3%6%7%3%5%5%6%8%10%6%5%5%

127207177102998812251151206414611231991573256692322752612492331026876651352(8)11%11%14%9%10%10%11%9%10%12%10%13%11%8%9%10%13%8%10%11%12%15%16%11%11%11%

1382421731381121091326720827751481320222187409750326309307302229978277401569(7)12%13%13%12%11%12%12%11%14%16%12%14%13%9%11%13%15%11%12%13%14%14%15%13%13%13%

10420413111210168121691538671331064263181328500303273231241158656945781272(6)9%11%10%10%10%8%11%12%11%5%11%12%10%11%11%10%10%10%10%10%12%10%10%11%10%10%

3675103303513052843451734285719627930938145519381311897753752609455158209515253625Mixed blessing (5)31%28%26%32%31%32%31%29%30%34%31%26%30%34%33%30%26%30%28%31%29%29%25%32%26%29%

901296989768779561011145687761781402373432812181791217526460440899(4)8%7%5%8%8%10%7%9%7%7%7%6%7%7%8%7%7%9%8%7%6%5%4%7%8%7%

7912569697161663987114061666162110198305251205152956115373405778(3)7%7%5%6%7%7%6%7%6%7%6%6%6%7%7%6%6%8%8%6%5%4%2%6%7%6%

46814649433451285582734434118741321771621489361345222281503(2)4%4%4%4%4%4%5%5%4%5%4%3%4%5%4%4%3%5%6%4%3%2%1%3%5%4%

2659152924252992231824237633576106106725135134122159282(1)2%3%1%3%2%3%3%2%1%2%3%2%2%3%2%2%2%4%3%2%2%1%1%2%3%2%

698348574242493459103230483147101128179190137120564310229326555Very much a force (0)6%4%4%5%4%5%4%6%4%6%5%3%5%6%6%4%3%6%5%5%3%3%2%4%6%4%for ill

509857699465419361506249688682725894752888653145426771074113510591104904404297727025681NET: A force for good43%46%54%42%42%40%45%42%48%40%43%54%45%37%39%46%52%36%42%44%53%57%65%46%46%46%

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EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 28Q.23 Do you think of each of the following as being a force for good, a force for ill, or a mixed-blessing?Social liberalismBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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RegionSocial GradeAgeGenderYork-shireNorth-

WestEast&ernSouthSouthEast-Mid-Mid-Humb-NorthNorthIre-Scot-Eng-WestEastLondonernlandslandsersideEastWestlandWaleslandlandDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

1186185112841113988894112958914451706311090104792384166931775111298126732409208515926276513585012369Weighted base

311476248292256248275166323441612172595667460772111198978059536822561140616113017NET: A force for ill26%26%19%26%26%28%24%28%22%26%26%20%25%28%28%24%22%33%29%25%18%14%10%22%28%24%

-775713261253815612122164474341246Don't know-*1%*1%****1%***1%***1%****1%1%**

5.475.536.065.385.465.415.555.355.695.335.445.985.575.175.245.615.914.995.355.516.016.296.715.685.515.60Mean

2.512.472.472.392.402.422.432.422.372.402.452.372.442.412.372.422.442.422.472.412.322.312.182.322.572.44Standard deviation0.070.060.070.070.080.080.070.100.060.180.100.070.020.050.060.040.030.040.050.050.050.060.090.030.030.02Standard error

Page 119

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 28Q.23 Do you think of each of the following as being a force for good, a force for ill, or a mixed-blessing?Social liberalismBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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Reluctant ToTell How You

2015 VoteVotedWhen Mind Made UpReferendumSince

Longerbegin-In theOnagoningIn theIn thelastpol-

PlaidAlwaysthan aoflastlastfewlingCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConNoYesknownyearyearmonthweekdaysdayRemainLeaveTotal

7251950915109993442408511079129046167511743226680096612276198617112369Unweighted base

7251249815659823400410711080128946077581748226779996412255949642012369Weighted base

115195189838410073771433549193344558683125808Very much a force (10)15%10%19%1%10%11%2%7%5%9%7%5%4%4%5%5%11%2%7%for good

342571381296114609712924487121344655558122679(9)4%8%11%1%8%9%3%5%5%6%6%5%5%4%5%5%9%2%5%

11829156183523298121014253774204245901001019983541352(8)15%16%18%4%19%15%7%11%11%12%10%12%11%11%10%8%17%6%11%

678779517653345214061635121042223221221501389855851569(7)8%15%15%6%18%16%11%13%13%11%14%13%14%15%16%11%17%9%13%

558461191153564631125148365591972471131411506596131272(6)7%11%9%8%12%10%11%10%11%8%8%11%11%14%15%12%11%10%10%

1713394500206853138531964281164167518762246315453145121733625Mixed blessing (5)24%26%19%32%21%25%34%29%33%25%22%30%34%31%33%37%24%34%29%

82113133511813948099130064156168655394253646899(4)12%4%3%8%5%5%10%7%7%7%8%9%7%8%6%8%4%10%7%

3188173371173457067229953111125485982191587778(3)4%4%2%11%4%3%8%6%6%6%7%6%6%6%6%7%3%9%6%

59515414672154554821451688127214071432503(2)7%2%1%10%1%2%5%4%4%5%7%4%4%3%2%3%1%7%4%

11058310281212592314223373510122341240282(1)1%2%1%5%1%1%3%2%2%3%3%2%2%1%1%2%1%4%2%

18421210472115272833262535510182537518555Very much a force (0)1%2%1%14%1%1%5%5%2%7%8%3%2%1%2%2%1%8%4%for ill

3531136630265320911426508759421403358011028393483502388417985681NET: A force for good49%61%73%19%67%62%35%46%46%46%44%46%45%49%50%41%65%28%46%

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Absolutes/col percents

Table 28Q.23 Do you think of each of the following as being a force for good, a force for ill, or a mixed-blessing?Social liberalismBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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Reluctant ToTell How You

2015 VoteVotedWhen Mind Made UpReferendumSince

Longerbegin-In theOnagoningIn theIn thelastpol-

PlaidAlwaysthan aoflastlastfewlingCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConNoYesknownyearyearmonthweekdaysdayRemainLeaveTotal

7251249815659823400410711080128946077581748226779996412255949642012369Weighted base

19673575512344112862756261128625342546416016426459424233017NET: A force for ill26%13%7%48%13%13%31%25%20%28%33%24%20%20%17%22%10%38%24%

1138-1510415173513125202646Don't know1%*1%1%-*******1%******

6.056.407.203.906.606.514.995.585.725.565.285.615.665.755.815.536.704.585.60Mean

2.592.262.172.362.132.222.222.472.202.772.772.282.142.022.052.102.082.302.44Standard deviation0.310.100.100.060.070.040.030.020.060.040.100.050.050.070.070.060.030.030.02Standard error

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EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 28Q.23 Do you think of each of the following as being a force for good, a force for ill, or a mixed-blessing?Social liberalismBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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MethodologyRemain by GE2015Leave by GE2015PlaidPlaid

CATIOnlineCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConTotal

1000113693334338770718224817793917612214402811194230612369Unweighted base

996113733232937167689215817084118312714982921242239912369Weighted base

997091046843883357215111694928808Very much a force (10)10%6%30%14%22%4%13%16%4%3%3%9%1%3%4%1%7%for good

486323345127625875-861153740679(9)5%6%9%10%14%3%11%12%4%-5%5%1%2%3%2%5%

11912338708171544181863111049291051111352(8)12%11%24%21%22%10%22%19%11%8%6%8%3%10%8%5%11%

9814713596261293772583201589481561931569(7)10%13%9%18%17%9%19%17%15%8%11%11%6%16%13%8%13%

7711953363277821323822215112371432251272(6)8%11%9%11%9%10%11%10%14%5%12%11%7%13%11%9%10%

33332915634525115416585127049475914378003625Mixed blessing (5)33%29%15%19%12%37%17%19%34%31%38%39%32%31%35%33%29%

59840-9732360124812613028121270899(4)6%7%-3%2%4%3%3%7%21%7%5%9%10%10%11%7%

51727-74713389731141662479248778(3)5%6%-2%1%10%2%2%6%8%6%3%11%8%6%10%6%

18484122262034473152847181503(2)2%4%3%1%1%3%1%1%2%10%4%2%10%3%4%8%4%

15266-413581716480521104282(1)2%2%-1%*4%1%*1%3%3%3%5%2%2%4%2%

31525--233717182209741193555Very much a force (0)3%5%--1%4%**1%3%5%2%14%2%3%8%4%for ill

442523926245309245241601829967572781294905975681NET: A force for good44%46%82%74%83%36%76%74%49%23%36%45%19%44%39%25%46%

Page 122

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 28Q.23 Do you think of each of the following as being a force for good, a force for ill, or a mixed-blessing?Social liberalismBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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MethodologyRemain by GE2015Leave by GE2015PlaidPlaid

CATIOnlineCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConTotal

996113733232937167689215817084118312714982921242239912369Weighted base

1752842121151750133289184620738733089973017NET: A force for ill18%25%3%6%4%26%7%6%17%44%25%16%49%25%25%42%24%

46---21-851117-7546Don't know5%---1%1%-**3%1%1%*-1%**

5.935.577.797.087.675.197.097.175.824.665.175.843.845.445.374.405.60Mean

2.392.442.071.971.942.341.971.991.932.072.222.252.342.042.122.232.44Standard deviation0.080.020.360.110.100.280.070.040.050.340.170.200.060.120.060.050.02Standard error

Page 123

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 28Q.23 Do you think of each of the following as being a force for good, a force for ill, or a mixed-blessing?Social liberalismBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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Attention Paid toThe GreenSocialMulti-PoliticsNational IdentityImmigrationCapitalismThe internetGlobalisationmovementFeminismliberalismculturalism

Equ-MoreallyMore

Brit-Brit-Eng-Eng-Eng-ishishlishlishlishnotthanandthannot

Eng-Eng-Brit-Brit-Brit-0-45-78-10lishlishishishishIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodTotal

1406469562441252113345341785120848904380366648695989319290552692418716119707087294857743665593412369Unweighted base

1413469662361240112045321805123550034272366348656079296294652102470708420057020301756813754582612369Weighted base

34152621119122281532962623323295156781284863469718719-80846714808Very much a force (10)2%3%10%10%11%6%3%2%1%15%9%6%2%7%4%9%1%10%1%10%-14%1%12%7%for good

3819045110396237612560521243304136021114192161418616-67931596679(9)3%4%7%8%9%5%3%2%1%12%7%6%2%6%4%8%1%9%1%9%-12%1%10%5%

9544980815118352712856174886393604261142203819751138561146-13529711311352(8)7%10%13%12%16%12%7%5%3%21%11%12%4%12%7%16%3%16%3%16%-24%3%19%11%

122647799174183602213793717904147203713062328801251194981204-156917511171569(7)9%14%13%14%16%13%12%6%7%18%11%15%6%14%8%17%5%17%5%17%-28%5%19%13%

136587548118106486194109406502306628401039219681172845132870-12722227641272(6)10%13%9%10%9%11%11%9%8%12%8%13%7%11%7%13%7%12%7%12%-22%6%13%10%

565158414633252451372595401168765993911151582474698121763517354601562--104511153625Mixed blessing (5)40%34%23%26%22%30%33%32%34%15%26%23%26%27%24%23%26%24%23%22%--28%19%29%

116361419815633715911956913430536570673289285297347251371899-503193899(4)8%8%7%7%5%7%9%10%11%3%8%8%12%7%10%5%12%5%13%5%30%-13%3%7%

11131635160532831421115287826129060533286190326243307221778-52190778(3)8%7%6%5%5%6%8%9%11%2%7%6%10%6%10%4%13%3%15%3%26%-14%2%6%

62171266463315298984062917721361336260102259102225127503-40244503(2)4%4%4%4%3%3%5%8%8%1%5%4%10%4%9%2%10%1%11%2%17%-11%1%4%

388715616139364442351610310632186160511556113862282-22417282(1)3%2%3%1%1%2%4%4%5%*3%2%5%2%5%1%6%1%7%1%9%-6%*2%

811343384324150931564892018921289303354673668529896555-48227555Very much a force (0)6%3%5%4%2%3%5%13%10%*5%4%15%3%12%1%15%1%15%1%18%-13%*4%for ill

42520263227664690213164929810733322167825511304766894328542744883214555-568157143225681NET: A force for good30%43%52%54%62%47%36%24%21%78%46%52%21%51%30%63%17%63%16%65%-100%15%74%46%

Page 124

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 28Q.23 Do you think of each of the following as being a force for good, a force for ill, or a mixed-blessing?Social liberalismBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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Attention Paid toThe GreenSocialMulti-PoliticsNational IdentityImmigrationCapitalismThe internetGlobalisationmovementFeminismliberalismculturalism

Equ-MoreallyMore

Brit-Brit-Eng-Eng-Eng-ishishlishlishlishnotthanandthannot

Eng-Eng-Brit-Brit-Brit-0-45-78-10lishlishishishishIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodTotal

1413469662361240112045321805123550034272366348656079296294652102470708420057020301756813754582612369Weighted base

40910701530246179101655752922272771036118631220301348694140183912198783017-21323713017NET: A force for ill29%23%25%20%16%22%31%43%45%6%28%24%51%22%46%13%57%12%61%13%100%-57%6%24%

14161655135716141113725714722525--61846Don't know1%******1%****1%*******--***

4.935.475.846.056.425.695.034.254.207.215.605.723.955.854.436.443.676.533.546.552.397.683.717.005.60Mean

2.192.122.672.462.362.322.292.462.241.962.642.452.562.392.752.152.362.132.312.171.461.332.251.922.44Standard deviation0.060.030.030.070.070.030.050.070.030.030.040.040.110.020.050.030.050.030.050.030.030.020.040.020.02Standard error

Page 125

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 28Q.23 Do you think of each of the following as being a force for good, a force for ill, or a mixed-blessing?Social liberalismBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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RegionSocial GradeAgeGenderYork-shireNorth-

WestEast&ernSouthSouthEast-Mid-Mid-Humb-NorthNorthIre-Scot-Eng-WestEastLondonernlandslandsersideEastWestlandWaleslandlandDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

1185184912921108985891112658814441706291102104682360165331795148296326632402209116096396513585012369Unweighted base

1186185112841113988894112958914451706311090104792384166931775111298126732409208515926276513585012369Weighted base

120213204100959111461160175713311581991353786462012642402722531338625001365Very much a force (10)10%11%16%9%10%10%10%10%11%10%9%12%11%8%8%12%13%7%10%10%13%16%21%13%9%11%for good

9913711472636682411008378477512510123044515718219815214471507397904(9)8%7%9%6%6%7%7%7%7%5%6%8%7%5%6%7%9%5%7%8%7%9%11%8%7%7%

155243190142107991638023123871581410292194458732344389340294221908987791678(8)13%13%15%13%11%11%14%14%16%13%14%14%13%12%12%14%14%12%15%14%14%14%14%14%13%14%

1642611761531631311558418735921641474334223439768422366350305235879308341765(7)14%14%14%14%17%15%14%14%13%20%15%15%14%14%13%14%15%14%14%15%15%15%14%14%14%14%

129202126113112861176715416681191105243181331549327291263213158556926161308(6)11%11%10%10%11%10%10%11%11%9%11%11%11%10%11%10%11%11%11%11%10%10%9%11%11%11%

3234602943442902553111583914217428228267275288541211926740619550364126174215803324Mixed blessing (5)27%25%23%31%29%28%28%27%27%25%28%26%27%30%32%27%24%31%28%26%26%23%20%27%27%27%

54965161515369366910284854014096161229186131140866418319306626(4)5%5%4%5%5%6%6%6%5%6%4%4%5%6%6%5%4%6%5%6%4%4%3%5%5%5%

488642504648441654525434351117411221016311791814312199308508(3)4%5%3%4%5%5%4%3%4%3%4%4%4%5%4%4%4%5%4%4%4%3%2%3%5%4%

325735322232281935521272928340931291147853503712158187345(2)3%3%3%3%2%4%2%3%2%3%3%2%3%3%2%3%3%4%3%2%2%2%2%2%3%3%

203218151313194242139159393344676043351820867117184(1)2%2%1%1%1%1%2%1%2%1%2%1%2%2%2%1%1%2%2%1%1%1%1%1%2%1%

40633328231824203762623287826275120726875654914123219343Very much a force (0)3%3%3%3%2%2%2%3%3%4%4%2%3%3%4%2%2%2%3%3%3%3%2%2%4%3%for ill

667105681057954047363133483298341658592211938341835313914511493139112351011437388931277020NET: A force for good56%57%63%52%55%53%56%57%58%58%54%60%57%50%50%58%61%49%56%58%59%64%70%60%53%57%

Page 126

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 29Q.23 Do you think of each of the following as being a force for good, a force for ill, or a mixed-blessing?FeminismBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 127: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

RegionSocial GradeAgeGenderYork-shireNorth-

WestEast&ernSouthSouthEast-Mid-Mid-Humb-NorthNorthIre-Scot-Eng-WestEastLondonernlandslandsersideEastWestlandWaleslandlandDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

1186185112841113988894112958914451706311090104792384166931775111298126732409208515926276513585012369Weighted base

195334179186154165184962192911414917134563054847545964373942992146486711382005NET: A force for ill16%18%14%17%16%18%16%16%15%17%18%14%16%19%18%15%15%20%16%16%14%13%10%13%19%16%

-1133231312-17833683513-14620Don't know-********1%*-**********-***

6.176.186.596.066.136.096.226.196.296.155.986.436.225.895.896.326.455.806.176.246.386.607.026.465.976.23Mean

2.432.482.482.312.272.372.322.382.372.382.472.312.392.372.362.372.392.272.362.382.412.482.452.322.442.39Standard deviation0.070.060.070.070.070.080.070.100.060.180.100.070.020.050.060.040.030.040.050.050.050.060.100.030.030.02Standard error

Page 127

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 29Q.23 Do you think of each of the following as being a force for good, a force for ill, or a mixed-blessing?FeminismBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 128: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

Reluctant ToTell How You

2015 VoteVotedWhen Mind Made UpReferendumSince

Longerbegin-In theOnagoningIn theIn thelastpol-

PlaidAlwaysthan aoflastlastfewlingCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConNoYesknownyearyearmonthweekdaysdayRemainLeaveTotal

7251950915109993442408511079129046167511743226680096612276198617112369Unweighted base

7251249815659823400410711080128946077581748226779996412255949642012369Weighted base

10821527913257122812531116468518620363839810223421365Very much a force (10)13%16%30%5%13%17%6%11%9%14%11%11%9%8%9%8%17%5%11%for good

44269531003302328069834259115168507892646258904(9)6%8%14%3%10%10%6%7%8%7%8%7%7%6%8%8%11%4%7%

1587801251665744901513165631972443041171251609687111678(8)21%17%16%8%17%17%12%14%13%14%13%14%13%15%13%13%16%11%14%

775601491615016161554211546932593591461911719218451765(7)10%15%12%10%16%15%15%14%16%12%12%15%16%18%20%14%15%13%14%

1061321581053414661162146428721902581061191356536551308(6)14%12%7%10%11%10%11%10%11%9%9%11%11%13%12%11%11%10%11%

1512379558212742124629783461190214477633192253365120321213324Mixed blessing (5)21%24%16%36%22%22%30%27%27%26%28%27%28%24%26%30%20%33%27%

317118141121274552742163080126484679204421626(4)4%3%2%5%4%4%7%5%6%5%4%5%6%6%5%6%3%7%5%

3851122890218459491763178102323852147361508(3)4%2%1%7%3%3%5%4%4%4%4%4%5%4%4%4%2%6%4%

-858216521473093616023504919113381264345(2)-2%1%5%2%2%4%3%3%3%3%3%2%2%1%3%1%4%3%

3215211326816717732135211181640144184(1)4%**3%1%1%2%2%1%2%3%2%1%1%1%1%1%2%1%

2751149381173073518834344015112156287343Very much a force (0)3%1%1%7%1%1%3%3%3%4%5%2%2%2%1%2%1%4%3%for ill

4634739356466523162033628973125944069941291481596657420928117020NET: A force for good64%68%79%36%68%68%49%57%57%56%54%57%57%60%62%54%71%44%57%

Page 128

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 29Q.23 Do you think of each of the following as being a force for good, a force for ill, or a mixed-blessing?FeminismBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 129: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

Reluctant ToTell How You

2015 VoteVotedWhen Mind Made UpReferendumSince

Longerbegin-In theOnagoningIn theIn thelastpol-

PlaidAlwaysthan aoflastlastfewlingCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConNoYesknownyearyearmonthweekdaysdayRemainLeaveTotal

7251249815659823400410711080128946077581748226779996412255949642012369Weighted base

114327441105335823179421181313827633812511420152814772005NET: A force for ill16%8%5%28%11%10%20%16%16%18%18%16%15%16%12%16%9%23%16%

---2-7519110-15112101020Don't know---*-*****-********

6.426.857.735.076.796.905.796.246.156.256.056.226.246.226.416.127.015.516.23Mean

2.512.192.192.492.192.252.252.402.312.602.592.342.202.192.072.222.192.342.39Standard deviation0.300.100.100.060.070.040.040.020.060.040.090.060.050.080.070.060.030.030.02Standard error

Page 129

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 29Q.23 Do you think of each of the following as being a force for good, a force for ill, or a mixed-blessing?FeminismBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 130: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

MethodologyRemain by GE2015Leave by GE2015PlaidPlaid

CATIOnlineCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConTotal

1000113693334338770718224817793917612214402811194230612369Unweighted base

996113733232937167689215817084118312714982921242239912369Weighted base

20411619631291111347814111923691993871365Very much a force (10)20%10%27%19%35%16%16%22%8%3%10%18%5%6%7%4%11%for good

678372376038426613624850166496904(9)7%7%6%11%16%4%12%12%8%5%2%7%3%5%5%4%7%

128155076164613839422282616120281802681678(8)13%14%21%19%17%9%20%18%13%21%14%12%8%10%14%11%14%

97166815038911331329662522140481883201765(7)10%15%3%15%10%13%16%15%17%15%14%17%9%16%15%13%14%

791229542235742172245199153311242421308(6)8%11%15%13%6%7%11%10%13%13%10%7%10%11%10%10%11%

2693055761431711735744386135541953858023324Mixed blessing (5)27%27%21%19%12%26%17%17%26%21%34%28%36%32%31%33%27%

47579-973174596384782476178626(4)5%5%-3%2%4%3%2%6%8%5%3%5%8%6%7%5%

33475-3161439713541061451147508(3)3%4%-1%*9%2%2%4%8%3%3%7%5%4%6%4%

12332-24272036-6180932111345(2)1%3%-1%1%3%1%1%2%-3%1%5%3%3%5%3%

141702--2610161215052352184(1)1%1%6%--3%1%*1%3%1%1%3%2%2%2%1%

26316--255132527310942592343Very much a force (0)3%3%--1%7%1%1%1%5%4%2%7%1%2%4%3%for ill

574644623254315335231667101823937853214164910147020NET: A force for good58%57%73%77%85%49%76%77%60%56%51%61%35%48%52%42%57%

Page 130

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 29Q.23 Do you think of each of the following as being a force for good, a force for ill, or a mixed-blessing?FeminismBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 131: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

MethodologyRemain by GE2015Leave by GE2015PlaidPlaid

CATIOnlineCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConTotal

996113733232937167689215817084118312714982921242239912369Weighted base

133187221313174912824492914423562075792005NET: A force for ill13%16%6%4%4%26%7%6%14%23%16%11%28%19%17%24%16%

20------62---2-1320Don't know2%------**---*-***

6.646.197.217.358.095.777.197.416.295.795.956.675.045.846.025.436.23Mean

2.552.372.501.912.002.902.092.112.152.372.372.382.462.142.222.252.39Standard deviation0.080.020.430.100.100.350.080.040.050.380.180.220.060.130.060.050.02Standard error

Page 131

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 29Q.23 Do you think of each of the following as being a force for good, a force for ill, or a mixed-blessing?FeminismBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 132: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

Attention Paid toThe GreenSocialMulti-PoliticsNational IdentityImmigrationCapitalismThe internetGlobalisationmovementFeminismliberalismculturalism

Equ-MoreallyMore

Brit-Brit-Eng-Eng-Eng-ishishlishlishlishnotthanandthannot

Eng-Eng-Brit-Brit-Brit-0-45-78-10lishlishishishishIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodTotal

1406469562441252113345341785120848904380366648695989319290552692418716119707087294857743665593412369Unweighted base

1413469662361240112045321805123550034272366348656079296294652102470708420057020301756813754582612369Weighted base

8939088518717348412381216883530450401114232736701169-136586107215410591365Very much a force (10)6%8%14%15%15%11%7%7%4%21%14%9%7%12%8%14%3%16%-19%3%19%4%18%11%for good

51294559115114352111361845392783981676315253046767-90473723118679904(9)4%6%9%9%10%8%6%3%4%13%8%8%3%8%5%10%2%11%-13%2%13%3%12%7%

1366369061661956572061254828094487703614032519341361302-1678199109529010791678(8)10%14%15%13%17%14%11%10%10%19%12%16%6%15%9%18%6%18%-24%7%19%8%19%14%

2027328291651636552681515966984528045414472919171951245-176524010163989941765(7)14%16%13%13%15%14%15%12%12%16%12%17%9%16%10%18%8%18%-25%8%18%11%17%14%

147571585134137472201106523469350613511054286594212821-13082816493606251308(6)10%12%9%11%12%10%11%9%10%11%10%13%8%11%10%11%9%12%-19%9%11%10%11%11%

49213801440278207127651442316386109011075176216880810097451257--91780012209973324Mixed blessing (5)35%29%23%22%18%28%28%34%33%14%25%22%29%23%27%19%30%18%--30%14%33%17%27%

1062412796345210116883849620623155442211196279207626-309144317157626(4)7%5%4%5%4%5%6%7%8%2%6%5%9%5%7%4%11%3%31%-10%3%8%3%5%

71172263423517795743247817418655345225122244150508-30478283102508(3)5%4%4%3%3%4%5%6%6%2%5%4%9%4%8%2%10%2%25%-10%1%8%2%4%

431251763025106654824146121146452311747419372345-2244421658345(2)3%3%3%2%2%2%4%4%5%1%3%3%7%2%6%1%8%1%17%-7%1%6%1%3%

2461100227514529143147258231281063310639184-1242512629184(1)2%1%2%2%1%1%2%2%3%*2%1%4%1%4%1%4%1%9%-4%*3%1%1%

4683213361583607326425127128531912065823748343-2583026937343Very much a force (0)3%2%3%3%1%2%3%6%5%1%3%3%9%2%7%1%10%1%17%-9%1%7%1%3%for ill

62626233764767782262090949920023399205930361975782121237126605304-70208784555132144377020NET: A force for good44%56%60%62%70%58%50%40%40%80%56%62%32%62%41%71%27%75%-100%29%80%35%76%57%

Page 132

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 29Q.23 Do you think of each of the following as being a force for good, a force for ill, or a mixed-blessing?FeminismBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 133: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

Attention Paid toThe GreenSocialMulti-PoliticsNational IdentityImmigrationCapitalismThe internetGlobalisationmovementFeminismliberalismculturalism

Equ-MoreallyMore

Brit-Brit-Eng-Eng-Eng-ishishlishlishlishnotthanandthannot

Eng-Eng-Brit-Brit-Brit-0-45-78-10lishlishishishishIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodTotal

1413469662361240112045321805123550034272366348656079296294652102470708420057020301756813754582612369Weighted base

28968110291941276283813121356259701750231133692248310595162005-121932112103842005NET: A force for ill20%15%17%16%11%14%21%25%27%6%19%15%38%14%31%9%43%7%100%-40%6%32%7%16%

6113249-175343114768--353820Don't know******-*****1%*****--*****

5.656.166.426.496.866.345.795.385.277.416.236.334.796.455.266.914.437.122.447.894.577.384.977.246.23Mean

2.222.192.552.512.272.272.372.442.372.062.592.322.642.342.692.142.432.071.441.382.432.002.452.072.39Standard deviation0.060.030.030.070.070.030.060.070.030.030.040.030.110.020.050.030.050.020.030.020.040.030.040.030.02Standard error

Page 133

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 29Q.23 Do you think of each of the following as being a force for good, a force for ill, or a mixed-blessing?FeminismBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 134: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

RegionSocial GradeAgeGenderYork-shireNorth-

WestEast&ernSouthSouthEast-Mid-Mid-Humb-NorthNorthIre-Scot-Eng-WestEastLondonernlandslandsersideEastWestlandWaleslandlandDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

1185184912921108985891112658814441706291102104682360165331795148296326632402209116096396513585012369Unweighted base

1186185112841113988894112958914451706311090104792384166931775111298126732409208515926276513585012369Weighted base

130204187111869011853132166713611112291293476181982592462772261227875421330Very much a force (10)11%11%15%10%9%10%10%9%9%9%11%12%11%10%8%11%12%7%10%10%13%14%19%12%9%11%for good

101122108797167823311413399877814210324843314419419015616084522404927(9)9%7%8%7%7%7%7%6%8%7%6%9%7%6%6%8%8%5%7%8%7%10%13%8%7%7%

13723520715111910712290211268216713792782044567152873623293072621089177371655(8)12%13%16%14%12%12%11%15%15%15%13%15%13%12%12%14%14%10%14%14%15%16%17%14%13%13%

1592561991611651161648621222921651518293246467790351372367377241909788191798(7)13%14%16%14%17%13%15%15%15%13%15%15%14%12%15%15%15%12%14%15%18%15%14%15%14%15%

131213138117126951277016619551191182265170371568346312284201168637046691375(6)11%11%11%10%13%11%11%12%11%11%9%11%11%11%10%12%11%12%12%12%10%11%10%11%11%11%

2664302412542162422781393374114621024016434207151013706596560479351108156912272799Mixed blessing (5)22%23%19%23%22%27%25%24%23%24%23%19%23%27%25%23%20%24%22%23%23%22%17%24%21%23%

80100626954406530878394958613696167283238172109994916313368682(4)7%5%5%6%5%4%6%5%6%5%6%4%6%6%6%5%6%8%6%5%5%3%3%5%6%6%

661004560504758316683457524118104133264231137119715112271351622(3)6%5%3%5%5%5%5%5%5%5%5%5%5%5%6%4%5%8%5%5%3%3%2%4%6%5%

3772344040384622394323436796681091651731167339317169269438(2)3%4%3%4%4%4%4%4%3%2%5%3%4%4%4%3%3%6%4%3%2%2%1%3%5%4%

284818222820319245112022870345510211064363020594170264(1)2%3%1%2%3%2%3%2%2%3%2%2%2%3%2%2%2%4%2%1%1%1%1%1%3%2%

50694548343134255583035391108931031571908896493011175288464Very much a force (0)4%4%4%4%3%3%3%4%4%5%5%3%4%5%6%3%3%6%3%4%2%2%2%3%5%4%for ill

658103083961956747461433383595336686596812078521888312313261499141513171058467390931727084NET: A force for good55%56%65%56%57%53%54%57%58%56%53%63%57%51%51%59%61%44%56%59%63%66%75%60%54%57%

Page 134

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 30Q.23 Do you think of each of the following as being a force for good, a force for ill, or a mixed-blessing?The Green movementBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 135: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

RegionSocial GradeAgeGenderYork-shireNorth-

WestEast&ernSouthSouthEast-Mid-Mid-Humb-NorthNorthIre-Scot-Eng-WestEastLondonernlandslandsersideEastWestlandWaleslandlandDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

1186185112841113988894112958914451706311090104792384166931775111298126732409208515926276513585012369Weighted base

26138820424020517523511727034146194209652939456897294257743328718051102214472470NET: A force for ill22%21%16%22%21%20%21%20%19%20%23%18%20%22%24%18%19%32%22%18%14%11%8%16%25%20%

13-1-32-3-3-13535371223112416Don't know**-*-**-*-*-**************

6.046.026.536.015.985.996.006.016.136.005.926.386.095.815.736.236.295.296.026.166.526.727.206.365.836.11Mean

2.602.562.522.552.482.512.512.482.452.582.632.532.532.572.562.472.522.632.512.482.352.332.282.412.642.53Standard deviation0.080.060.070.080.080.080.070.100.060.200.110.080.020.050.060.040.040.050.050.050.050.060.090.030.030.02Standard error

Page 135

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 30Q.23 Do you think of each of the following as being a force for good, a force for ill, or a mixed-blessing?The Green movementBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 136: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

Reluctant ToTell How You

2015 VoteVotedWhen Mind Made UpReferendumSince

Longerbegin-In theOnagoningIn theIn thelastpol-

PlaidAlwaysthan aoflastlastfewlingCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConNoYesknownyearyearmonthweekdaysdayRemainLeaveTotal

7251950915109993442408511079129046167511743226680096612276198617112369Unweighted base

7251249815659823400410711080128946077581748226779996412255949642012369Weighted base

139422364130518174119513562870179196629410010043261330Very much a force (10)17%18%45%4%13%15%4%11%10%14%9%10%9%8%10%8%17%5%11%for good

66791511103481768389034160133175708068678250927(9)8%13%18%3%11%10%4%8%7%7%8%8%8%9%8%6%11%4%7%

9907712318860839814901655779726031711712516110496051655(8)12%18%15%8%19%18%10%13%13%13%13%15%14%15%13%13%18%9%13%

1081541541695605871605192573812623741181921989558431798(7)14%16%11%10%17%16%14%14%15%12%11%15%16%15%20%16%16%13%15%

451181331323555441202172413882052841221211426776981375(6)6%10%4%8%13%10%13%11%13%9%12%12%13%15%13%12%11%11%11%

18812942215966010872470328970151373547191230336104117572799Mixed blessing (5)25%16%6%27%16%19%26%22%25%21%20%21%24%24%24%27%18%27%23%

4113117341233246255726039106133293777194488682(4)6%2%1%7%3%4%8%6%4%6%5%6%6%4%4%6%3%8%6%

21511352184306565572484687106374057163459622(3)3%3%*9%2%2%7%5%4%5%6%5%5%5%4%5%3%7%5%

210-12113681974053319948566219193594344438(2)3%2%-8%1%2%5%4%3%4%6%3%3%2%2%3%2%5%4%

161771232114245191332537281192140224264(1)1%1%*5%1%1%3%2%2%3%3%2%1%1%1%2%1%3%2%

27116613391964273725952474419152848416464Very much a force (0)3%1%*11%1%1%5%4%3%6%7%3%2%2%2%2%1%6%4%for ill

42382463524729238918786330754253239710381347490612669436327217084NET: A force for good58%75%93%34%74%70%46%57%59%55%52%59%59%61%64%55%73%42%57%

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Absolutes/col percents

Table 30Q.23 Do you think of each of the following as being a force for good, a force for ill, or a mixed-blessing?The Green movementBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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Reluctant ToTell How You

2015 VoteVotedWhen Mind Made UpReferendumSince

Longerbegin-In theOnagoningIn theIn thelastpol-

PlaidAlwaysthan aoflastlastfewlingCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConNoYesknownyearyearmonthweekdaysdayRemainLeaveTotal

7251249815659823400410711080128946077581748226779996412255949642012369Weighted base

115066179334711372267203109920933437211612121953919312470NET: A force for ill16%10%1%39%9%10%28%20%16%24%28%19%16%14%13%18%9%30%20%

1--2-45133613131161016Don't know1%--*-**************

6.547.128.664.646.936.905.376.106.216.005.666.206.246.266.446.047.065.226.11Mean

2.572.311.642.682.172.232.372.552.362.802.822.442.252.272.182.272.182.522.53Standard deviation0.310.100.070.070.070.040.040.020.070.040.100.060.050.080.070.060.030.030.02Standard error

Page 137

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 30Q.23 Do you think of each of the following as being a force for good, a force for ill, or a mixed-blessing?The Green movementBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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MethodologyRemain by GE2015Leave by GE2015PlaidPlaid

CATIOnlineCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConTotal

1000113693334338770718224817793917612214402811194230612369Unweighted base

996113733232937167689215817084118312714982921242239912369Weighted base

15711731176189710842510821834572293661330Very much a force (10)16%10%33%23%51%10%16%20%6%5%10%27%4%7%7%3%11%for good

56871450793912791112171248196964927(9)6%8%12%15%21%4%13%13%7%5%9%10%3%6%6%3%7%

1231532568511215245122042226111361571781655(8)12%13%15%21%14%17%22%21%13%10%12%20%7%12%13%7%13%

1151683451321012334730063022145462132861798(7)12%15%12%15%9%14%18%16%18%15%16%17%10%16%17%12%15%

871287228768420726322311127491482811375(6)9%11%6%8%2%9%12%10%15%5%13%9%8%17%12%12%11%

2532546443121487319429153718408723416572799Mixed blessing (5)25%22%12%13%3%21%13%15%25%36%20%14%27%25%27%27%23%

3564714231647923711141876232682(4)4%6%3%1%1%4%2%2%5%8%4%1%8%6%6%10%6%

54568-4-410359221111311150214622(3)5%5%-1%-6%1%2%5%5%6%1%9%4%4%9%5%

3440514-310284416-119341153438(2)3%4%3%1%-4%1%1%3%3%3%-8%1%3%6%4%

172471--341119-617482295264(1)2%2%3%--4%1%*1%-3%1%5%3%2%4%2%

49415-214592525-162830171464Very much a force (0)5%4%-1%*6%1%*1%5%3%-11%3%2%7%4%for ill

5386546252733573655817101003171091064881726798757084NET: A force for good54%58%79%83%96%54%81%79%59%41%60%84%33%59%55%36%57%

Page 138

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 30Q.23 Do you think of each of the following as being a force for good, a force for ill, or a mixed-blessing?The Green movementBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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MethodologyRemain by GE2015Leave by GE2015PlaidPlaid

CATIOnlineCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConTotal

996113733232937167689215817084118312714982921242239912369Weighted base

1892281313316441292738363600492188642470NET: A force for ill19%20%9%4%1%24%6%6%16%21%20%2%40%17%18%36%20%

16------131--2-3216Don't know2%------**3%--*-***

6.166.107.677.678.975.817.307.426.115.636.117.744.596.066.014.846.11Mean

2.722.522.461.981.412.762.012.042.112.322.521.912.662.282.262.412.53Standard deviation0.090.020.430.110.070.330.070.040.050.380.190.170.070.140.070.050.02Standard error

Page 139

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 30Q.23 Do you think of each of the following as being a force for good, a force for ill, or a mixed-blessing?The Green movementBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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Attention Paid toThe GreenSocialMulti-PoliticsNational IdentityImmigrationCapitalismThe internetGlobalisationmovementFeminismliberalismculturalism

Equ-MoreallyMore

Brit-Brit-Eng-Eng-Eng-ishishlishlishlishnotthanandthannot

Eng-Eng-Brit-Brit-Brit-0-45-78-10lishlishishishishIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodTotal

1406469562441252113345341785120848904380366648695989319290552692418716119707087294857743665593412369Unweighted base

1413469662361240112045321805123550034272366348656079296294652102470708420057020301756813754582612369Weighted base

9739683618816445611871217839582367411022251695-133050113371102314210171330Very much a force (10)7%8%13%15%15%10%7%6%4%20%16%8%7%11%9%13%-19%3%16%2%18%4%17%11%for good

72305550107126343945017756533636426787159545-9273479985724115707927(9)5%6%9%9%11%8%5%4%4%13%9%7%4%8%5%10%-13%2%11%3%13%3%12%7%

129655868172196605217108398844506681441335248955-1655771312165111426511191655(8)9%14%14%14%17%13%12%9%8%20%14%14%7%14%8%18%-23%4%19%5%20%7%19%13%

195758843184158686270144626695482762611411296952-179816612232509774039761798(7)14%16%14%15%14%15%15%12%13%16%13%16%10%15%10%18%-25%8%17%8%17%11%17%15%

141607624127125543214128537486323660531117251701-13751888362686503656741375(6)10%13%10%10%11%12%12%10%11%11%9%14%9%12%9%13%-19%9%12%9%11%10%12%11%

45011531182251199109143231513395377209281451884575789--42610507737649498792799Mixed blessing (5)32%25%19%20%18%24%24%26%27%13%20%19%24%20%20%15%--21%15%26%13%25%15%23%

9725333044502511329340413320231347521249207682-234230313172355185682(4)7%5%5%4%4%6%7%8%8%3%6%6%8%6%8%4%28%-12%3%10%3%9%3%6%

852223134843212126824077116027951444269155622-249176310124347121622(3)6%5%5%4%4%5%7%7%8%2%4%6%8%5%9%3%25%-12%3%10%2%9%2%5%

4614724546181506481311531381794631122386438-2021122536828270438(2)3%3%4%4%2%3%4%7%6%1%4%4%8%3%8%2%18%-10%2%8%1%8%1%4%

3384147241474614721021771243417015153264-129601902718834264(1)2%2%2%2%1%2%3%4%4%*2%3%6%2%5%1%11%-6%1%6%*5%1%2%

63108293482611577113367261342065728727367464-246823353634042464Very much a force (0)4%2%5%4%2%3%4%9%7%1%4%4%9%3%9%1%19%-12%1%11%1%9%1%4%for ill

6352721372277877026339135011954342922292833226567212043849-708451653048394488129044937084NET: A force for good45%58%60%63%69%58%51%41%39%80%61%58%37%61%41%74%-100%26%76%28%79%34%77%57%

Page 140

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 30Q.23 Do you think of each of the following as being a force for good, a force for ill, or a mixed-blessing?The Green movementBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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Attention Paid toThe GreenSocialMulti-PoliticsNational IdentityImmigrationCapitalismThe internetGlobalisationmovementFeminismliberalismculturalism

Equ-MoreallyMore

Brit-Brit-Eng-Eng-Eng-ishishlishlishlishnotthanandthannot

Eng-Eng-Brit-Brit-Brit-0-45-78-10lishlishishishishIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodTotal

1413469662361240112045321805123550034272366348656079296294652102470708420057020301756813754582612369Weighted base

324813132821115080245941617003047101101235173311665672470-1059660140142715124522470NET: A force for ill23%17%21%17%13%18%25%34%34%7%19%23%39%19%40%11%100%-53%9%46%8%40%8%20%

4841162392432725--46333316Don't know****************--*******

5.606.136.216.426.776.195.655.034.997.396.415.944.856.265.026.882.327.864.037.074.287.304.687.226.11Mean

2.402.302.712.632.392.382.482.702.542.072.672.512.802.482.922.191.451.382.522.192.552.072.592.102.53Standard deviation0.060.030.030.070.070.040.060.080.040.030.040.040.110.030.050.030.030.020.060.030.050.030.040.030.02Standard error

Page 141

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 30Q.23 Do you think of each of the following as being a force for good, a force for ill, or a mixed-blessing?The Green movementBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 142: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

RegionSocial GradeAgeGenderYork-shireNorth-

WestEast&ernSouthSouthEast-Mid-Mid-Humb-NorthNorthIre-Scot-Eng-WestEastLondonernlandslandsersideEastWestlandWaleslandlandDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

1185184912921108985891112658814441706291102104682360165331795148296326632402209116096396513585012369Unweighted base

1186185112841113988894112958914451706311090104792384166931775111298126732409208515926276513585012369Weighted base

415773343434321344923263627341109193756866807951222198419Very much a force (10)3%3%6%3%3%4%3%2%3%5%4%2%3%3%2%3%4%3%3%3%4%5%8%3%3%3%for good

22665526323732205561126344704394179566668677554219168386(9)2%4%4%2%3%4%3%3%4%3%2%2%3%3%3%3%4%2%2%3%3%5%9%3%3%3%

95156144858678100521231465101919153142279522207209173209210926084901099(8)8%8%11%8%9%9%9%9%8%8%10%9%9%6%8%9%10%7%8%7%10%13%15%9%8%9%

14625516614712212015773185278213313712441904097673633052912982571008457681613(7)12%14%13%13%12%13%14%12%13%16%13%12%13%10%11%13%15%12%11%12%14%16%16%13%13%13%

1572791721431261151647921325761451447309206427746381364323301227969157761692(6)13%15%13%13%13%13%15%13%15%14%12%13%14%13%12%13%15%13%14%13%14%14%15%14%13%14%

458602375411345291370208495582173673556886595111715931049924865704487168240617904197Mixed blessing (5)39%33%29%37%35%33%33%35%34%34%34%34%34%37%36%35%31%35%35%36%34%31%27%37%31%34%

71125838277608635101651927191711272203482461931801339719433434868(4)6%7%6%7%8%7%8%6%7%4%8%8%7%7%8%7%7%8%7%7%6%6%3%7%7%7%

8110682647262713691832726661431092083172401811571166917339440779(3)7%6%6%6%7%7%6%6%6%5%5%7%6%6%6%7%6%8%7%6%6%4%3%5%8%6%

4186444440404230614303842912172126181134142112633317214287501(2)3%5%3%4%4%5%4%5%4%2%5%3%4%5%4%4%4%4%5%5%3%2%3%3%5%4%

2548292120203816185133623674476410593855137196104185291(1)2%3%2%2%2%2%3%3%1%3%2%3%2%3%3%2%2%3%3%2%2%1%1%2%3%2%

486958543436352656832524161369612015413313512175377195312508Very much a force (0)4%4%5%5%3%4%3%4%4%5%5%5%4%6%6%4%3%4%5%5%4%2%1%3%5%4%for ill

4608136114353993834852366208025643244438506211318240810811011922955849393280924005210NET: A force for good39%44%48%39%40%43%43%40%43%47%41%40%42%36%37%41%47%36%38%38%46%53%63%43%41%42%

Page 142

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 31Q.23 Do you think of each of the following as being a force for good, a force for ill, or a mixed-blessing?GlobalisationBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 143: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

RegionSocial GradeAgeGenderYork-shireNorth-

WestEast&ernSouthSouthEast-Mid-Mid-Humb-NorthNorthIre-Scot-Eng-WestEastLondonernlandslandsersideEastWestlandWaleslandlandDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

1186185112841113988894112958914451706311090104792384166931775111298126732409208515926276513585012369Weighted base

266434297266243219273142327321582912466646451738110584673562142425566128616572946NET: A force for ill22%23%23%24%25%24%24%24%23%19%25%27%24%27%27%23%22%28%27%26%20%16%10%20%28%24%

121111133-1-14234563221-12315Don't know*******1%*-*-**********-***

5.275.365.585.245.345.385.345.235.405.545.285.185.365.045.095.365.555.055.085.165.535.936.415.505.175.34Mean

2.112.172.362.152.142.252.132.182.132.292.232.192.182.252.232.152.142.142.222.172.132.082.102.052.312.19Standard deviation0.060.050.070.060.070.080.060.090.060.180.090.070.020.050.050.040.030.040.040.040.050.050.080.030.030.02Standard error

Page 143

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 31Q.23 Do you think of each of the following as being a force for good, a force for ill, or a mixed-blessing?GlobalisationBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 144: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

Reluctant ToTell How You

2015 VoteVotedWhen Mind Made UpReferendumSince

Longerbegin-In theOnagoningIn theIn thelastpol-

PlaidAlwaysthan aoflastlastfewlingCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConNoYesknownyearyearmonthweekdaysdayRemainLeaveTotal

7251950915109993442408511079129046167511743226680096612276198617112369Unweighted base

7251249815659823400410711080128946077581748226779996412255949642012369Weighted base

31730322913813336158185245064143548285134419Very much a force (10)4%3%6%2%3%4%3%3%5%4%3%3%3%2%4%4%5%2%3%for good

21311253814011732660130225576294135267120386(9)3%2%2%2%4%4%3%3%5%3%3%3%3%4%4%3%4%2%3%

3425474943543779861134085216719880911047353641099(8)4%8%11%5%10%10%9%9%9%9%7%10%9%10%9%9%12%6%9%

86852921664865941442172531852443151191451749986151613(7)11%13%11%6%17%14%14%13%13%12%11%14%14%15%15%14%17%10%13%

767711581304876051496196561892563311251491819487441692(6)10%13%14%10%13%14%15%14%15%12%12%15%15%16%15%15%16%12%14%

251581525783411083138837634341511240568826278332442180723914197Mixed blessing (5)35%31%31%37%35%32%34%34%34%33%32%32%36%35%34%36%30%37%34%

64836127672043047858331958134150586484314554868(4)8%9%7%8%7%6%7%7%6%7%8%8%7%7%7%7%5%9%7%

63035128531902707106930569118145384162255523779(3)9%6%7%8%5%6%7%6%5%7%9%7%6%5%4%5%4%8%6%

622211133313113546337226405779283337147354501(2)8%4%4%7%3%4%3%4%3%5%5%3%3%4%3%3%2%6%4%

21910751973682622813827492811142483208291(1)3%4%2%5%2%2%2%2%2%3%4%3%1%1%1%2%1%3%2%

430251601310811447236286544851181932106403508Very much a force (0)6%6%5%10%1%3%3%4%3%6%7%3%2%2%2%3%2%6%4%for ill

232062183814571605182646115991815271772984367460542323419775210NET: A force for good32%40%44%24%47%47%44%42%47%39%36%44%43%46%48%44%54%31%42%

Page 144

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 31Q.23 Do you think of each of the following as being a force for good, a force for ill, or a mixed-blessing?GlobalisationBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 145: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

Reluctant ToTell How You

2015 VoteVotedWhen Mind Made UpReferendumSince

Longerbegin-In theOnagoningIn theIn thelastpol-

PlaidAlwaysthan aoflastlastfewlingCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConNoYesknownyearyearmonthweekdaysdayRemainLeaveTotal

7251249815659823400410711080128946077581748226779996412255949642012369Weighted base

241481276021847058912692254127324740645315417224090420422946NET: A force for ill33%29%25%38%19%21%22%24%20%28%33%23%20%19%18%20%15%32%24%

--14-721418-24--151015Don't know--**-*****-**--****

4.875.135.404.365.645.585.485.315.615.154.905.425.505.545.675.525.934.805.34Mean

2.332.322.362.351.962.182.052.192.142.372.382.091.971.942.002.042.032.192.19Standard deviation0.270.100.100.060.060.040.030.020.060.030.090.050.040.070.060.060.030.030.02Standard error

Page 145

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 31Q.23 Do you think of each of the following as being a force for good, a force for ill, or a mixed-blessing?GlobalisationBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 146: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

MethodologyRemain by GE2015Leave by GE2015PlaidPlaid

CATIOnlineCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConTotal

1000113693334338770718224817793917612214402811194230612369Unweighted base

996113733232937167689215817084118312714982921242239912369Weighted base

7334621125328107811652913152419Very much a force (10)7%3%6%3%7%4%4%5%5%3%3%4%2%*3%2%3%for good

27359-10114311126823-2172849386(9)3%3%-3%3%6%4%5%4%5%2%-1%2%2%2%3%

91100933245484272227-1097010821511099(8)9%9%9%10%12%6%12%13%13%-6%7%5%4%7%6%9%

1361477345447131349344523885351362511613(7)14%13%9%14%12%10%19%16%20%13%13%7%6%12%11%10%13%

108158434751910232930442020150281583011692(6)11%14%9%14%14%13%15%15%18%10%11%16%10%10%13%13%14%

36838291296109272156385111462435511264448774197Mixed blessing (5)37%34%36%29%29%40%31%30%30%33%34%34%37%43%36%37%34%

6380522929-371117741971272993227868(4)6%7%6%9%8%-5%5%4%10%10%6%8%10%7%9%7%

42736118255309559511101232395211779(3)4%6%3%6%7%7%4%4%3%13%6%8%8%8%8%9%6%

234773151251861153681081570120501(2)2%4%9%5%3%7%3%3%1%8%3%7%7%5%6%5%4%

122782126111369-747483759291(1)1%2%6%3%2%1%2%2%1%-4%3%5%3%3%2%2%

364722151444441321510156963101508Very much a force (0)4%4%6%5%4%6%1%2%1%5%8%8%10%3%5%4%4%for ill

4364775111441762637411691023126243355824368035210NET: A force for good44%42%33%44%47%39%54%54%60%31%34%34%24%28%35%33%42%

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EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 31Q.23 Do you think of each of the following as being a force for good, a force for ill, or a mixed-blessing?GlobalisationBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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MethodologyRemain by GE2015Leave by GE2015PlaidPlaid

CATIOnlineCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConTotal

996113733232937167689215817084118312714982921242239912369Weighted base

177276910898614100347173155841588843587182946NET: A force for ill18%24%30%27%23%21%14%16%10%36%32%32%39%29%29%30%24%

15------31--14-4115Don't know2%------**--1%*-***

5.695.314.915.275.625.245.965.926.174.854.884.754.324.884.994.985.34Mean

2.222.182.542.292.312.371.912.101.782.182.352.382.341.872.192.082.19Standard deviation0.070.020.440.120.120.280.070.040.040.350.180.220.060.110.060.040.02Standard error

Page 147

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 31Q.23 Do you think of each of the following as being a force for good, a force for ill, or a mixed-blessing?GlobalisationBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 148: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

Attention Paid toThe GreenSocialMulti-PoliticsNational IdentityImmigrationCapitalismThe internetGlobalisationmovementFeminismliberalismculturalism

Equ-MoreallyMore

Brit-Brit-Eng-Eng-Eng-ishishlishlishlishnotthanandthannot

Eng-Eng-Brit-Brit-Brit-0-45-78-10lishlishishishishIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodTotal

1406469562441252113345341785120848904380366648695989319290552692418716119707087294857743665593412369Unweighted base

1413469662361240112045321805123550034272366348656079296294652102470708420057020301756813754582612369Weighted base

2711228169571363529782637622812343-41942323243203130244313419Very much a force (10)2%2%5%6%5%3%2%2%2%6%2%5%2%4%-8%2%5%1%5%1%5%1%5%3%for good

351352173863156411965248822285357-38631322323112729932314386(9)2%3%3%3%6%3%2%2%1%6%2%5%1%4%-7%1%5%2%4%1%5%1%5%3%

7239363213013842012753234637216668101001-1099100868738651037751447981099(8)5%8%10%11%12%9%7%4%5%15%6%14%2%11%-21%4%12%4%12%3%14%4%14%9%

147646819171161622212117419798346872361392-161317311761391132226101827410491613(7)10%14%13%14%14%14%12%9%8%19%9%18%6%15%-31%7%17%7%16%7%18%7%18%13%

166714810160169649255147585713405830441473-1692222115921510843088904029421692(6)12%15%13%13%15%14%14%12%12%17%11%17%7%16%-32%9%16%11%15%10%16%11%16%14%

61917071859385332160663843618021028116512421742830--735202359820889751500123915954197Mixed blessing (5)44%36%30%31%30%35%35%35%36%24%32%26%29%30%--30%29%30%30%32%26%33%27%34%

11834540488822821409648320532828769626868-271386232389319311400282868(4)8%7%6%7%7%6%8%8%10%5%9%6%11%7%29%-11%5%12%6%11%5%11%5%7%

91265423704627113911046715334021870525779-292339221339335248406224779(3)6%6%7%6%4%6%8%9%9%4%9%4%12%6%26%-12%5%11%5%11%4%11%4%6%

461842694427174966731310326912364304501-213200171205243145273139501(2)3%4%4%4%2%4%5%5%6%2%7%3%11%3%17%-9%3%9%3%8%3%7%2%4%

27841792721855243201411576534165291-126116901141617119261291(1)2%2%3%2%2%2%3%4%4%1%4%1%6%2%10%-5%2%5%2%5%1%5%1%2%

641043385723124681173527927710387275508-263162207166291119345104508Very much a force (0)5%2%5%5%2%3%4%9%7%2%8%2%14%3%17%-11%2%10%2%10%2%9%2%4%for ill

44720002759568588198267036513812660112428261074566-521056738494833712694328589534165210NET: A force for good32%43%44%46%52%44%37%30%28%62%31%58%18%49%-100%23%54%24%53%23%58%24%59%42%

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EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 31Q.23 Do you think of each of the following as being a force for good, a force for ill, or a mixed-blessing?GlobalisationBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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Attention Paid toThe GreenSocialMulti-PoliticsNational IdentityImmigrationCapitalismThe internetGlobalisationmovementFeminismliberalismculturalism

Equ-MoreallyMore

Brit-Brit-Eng-Eng-Eng-ishishlishlishlishnotthanandthannot

Eng-Eng-Brit-Brit-Brit-0-45-78-10lishlishishishishIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodTotal

1413469662361240112045321805123550034272366348656079296294652102470708420057020301756813754582612369Weighted base

34598116132861999364954331816581137079532518942946-116612049221212134889416178102946NET: A force for ill24%21%26%23%18%21%27%35%36%14%37%16%54%20%100%-47%17%46%17%45%16%43%14%24%

28511831544217--2828-33615Don't know**************--****-****

5.065.435.355.515.885.485.084.584.576.214.625.983.775.622.417.284.145.864.195.834.186.034.256.095.34Mean

1.981.962.382.322.122.062.092.332.172.072.342.072.362.121.441.222.342.102.292.112.232.102.222.042.19Standard deviation0.050.030.030.070.060.030.050.070.030.030.040.030.100.020.030.020.050.020.050.030.040.030.040.030.02Standard error

Page 149

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 31Q.23 Do you think of each of the following as being a force for good, a force for ill, or a mixed-blessing?GlobalisationBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 150: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

RegionSocial GradeAgeGenderYork-shireNorth-

WestEast&ernSouthSouthEast-Mid-Mid-Humb-NorthNorthIre-Scot-Eng-WestEastLondonernlandslandsersideEastWestlandWaleslandlandDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

1185184912921108985891112658814441706291102104682360165331795148296326632402209116096396513585012369Unweighted base

1186185112841113988894112958914451706311090104792384166931775111298126732409208515926276513585012369Weighted base

172298241145146144163872432092149163937527647276935136838438028313284910491900Very much a force (10)14%16%19%13%15%16%14%15%17%12%15%14%16%16%17%15%15%12%14%16%18%18%21%13%18%15%for good

1562602001421401361447321528901611466309230448755425403328291206937869601745(9)13%14%16%13%14%15%13%12%15%16%14%15%14%13%14%14%15%14%15%14%14%13%15%12%16%14%

2383882482291961722421293393514025321804433286821148670556492410361118131412942608(8)20%21%19%21%20%19%21%22%23%20%22%23%21%19%20%21%22%22%21%20%20%23%19%20%22%21%

206316206165170140172862002497177166133426249286848440439631725610210698911960(7)17%17%16%15%17%16%15%15%14%14%15%16%16%14%16%15%17%16%15%16%15%16%16%16%15%16%

9616099101837911756125195297915206133284461278242212175125526314521084(6)8%9%8%9%8%9%10%10%9%11%8%9%9%9%8%9%9%9%9%9%8%8%8%10%8%9%

26833223024821118723012326136127203209056334562292359155648042829510715319232457Mixed blessing (5)23%18%18%22%21%21%20%21%18%21%20%19%20%24%21%20%18%20%21%20%21%19%17%24%16%20%

202921211611111325413261684431637270403629251011991210(4)2%2%2%2%2%1%1%2%2%2%2%2%2%2%2%2%1%2%2%2%1%2%2%2%2%2%

15317237622414-91113137244643444426201268468151(3)1%2%1%2%1%1%2%1%1%-1%1%1%2%1%1%1%1%2%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%

2181610811767-37871616303419262112144524597(2)*1%1%1%1%1%1%1%*-*1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%

882114384612-5516816161211111391312758(1)1%**1%**1%1%*1%*-1%1%*1%****1%1%****

41213127696825579351619202922221052415091Very much a force (0)*1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%*1%1%1%1%*1%1%1%***1%1%1%for ill

868142199378373467083843211221254718387862166712282378400122091972181215731231496464846459296NET: A force for good73%77%77%70%74%75%74%73%78%74%75%77%75%70%74%75%78%74%74%75%75%77%79%71%79%75%

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EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 32Q.23 Do you think of each of the following as being a force for good, a force for ill, or a mixed-blessing?The internetBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 151: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

RegionSocial GradeAgeGenderYork-shireNorth-

WestEast&ernSouthSouthEast-Mid-Mid-Humb-NorthNorthIre-Scot-Eng-WestEastLondonernlandslandsersideEastWestlandWaleslandlandDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

1186185112841113988894112958914451706311090104792384166931775111298126732409208515926276513585012369Weighted base

5098597843375834617324951914995174186174144117846623327280607NET: A force for ill4%5%5%7%4%4%5%6%4%4%5%5%5%6%6%5%4%6%5%5%4%4%4%5%5%5%

--13--2111--8512181----729Don't know--**--***1%--*******----***

7.197.297.426.997.227.287.157.147.417.167.247.307.257.067.227.227.367.127.177.247.357.397.547.057.487.25Mean

1.952.022.062.131.992.022.042.081.961.992.001.892.032.172.102.021.891.992.042.042.021.971.961.992.022.01Standard deviation0.060.050.060.060.060.070.060.090.050.150.080.060.020.040.050.040.030.040.040.040.040.050.080.020.030.02Standard error

Page 151

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 32Q.23 Do you think of each of the following as being a force for good, a force for ill, or a mixed-blessing?The internetBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 152: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

Reluctant ToTell How You

2015 VoteVotedWhen Mind Made UpReferendumSince

Longerbegin-In theOnagoningIn theIn thelastpol-

PlaidAlwaysthan aoflastlastfewlingCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConNoYesknownyearyearmonthweekdaysdayRemainLeaveTotal

7251950915109993442408511079129046167511743226680096612276198617112369Unweighted base

7251249815659823400410711080128946077581748226779996412255949642012369Weighted base

10889522612356262617011997351492543281231471649699311900Very much a force (10)14%17%19%14%13%17%15%15%15%16%20%15%14%15%15%13%16%15%15%for good

11756018514749562415621845831242663231301561649368091745(9)15%15%12%12%15%15%15%14%14%13%16%15%14%16%16%13%16%13%14%

15115952912366749292360248976134389501160192256135312562608(8)21%22%19%19%24%20%23%21%19%21%18%22%22%20%20%21%23%20%21%

12918220916755865217592017071112933721271651849719881960(7)16%18%17%13%17%16%16%16%16%15%15%17%16%16%17%15%16%15%16%

745491151013023439651183666115720881921195265581084(6)10%9%10%7%10%9%8%9%9%8%8%9%9%10%10%10%9%9%9%

16821024051746707442185272979150309440141172266101314442457Mixed blessing (5)23%16%20%26%18%20%18%20%21%21%20%18%19%18%18%22%17%22%20%

171032105770183277713303613172488122210(4)1%1%2%2%1%2%2%2%2%2%2%2%2%2%2%2%1%2%2%

-5240927481381371619255111335117151(3)-1%*3%1%1%1%1%1%2%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%2%1%

-22196262684135016911316237497(2)-**1%1%1%1%1%1%1%***1%*1%*1%1%

---20310145081711013556144458(1)---1%****1%**1%1%1%1%**1%*

-2224415288654381581412177491Very much a force (0)-**2%**1%1%*1%1%1%***1%*1%1%for ill

554153811026775259131748347950336857813581732621752887475445429296NET: A force for good76%81%76%66%79%76%77%75%74%73%76%78%76%78%78%72%80%71%75%

Page 152

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 32Q.23 Do you think of each of the following as being a force for good, a force for ill, or a mixed-blessing?The internetBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 153: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

Reluctant ToTell How You

2015 VoteVotedWhen Mind Made UpReferendumSince

Longerbegin-In theOnagoningIn theIn thelastpol-

PlaidAlwaysthan aoflastlastfewlingCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConNoYesknownyearyearmonthweekdaysdayRemainLeaveTotal

7251249815659823400410711080128946077581748226779996412255949642012369Weighted base

116161343213618554166259308291354071178430607NET: A force for ill1%3%3%9%3%4%5%5%5%6%4%5%4%4%4%6%3%7%5%

-----33811--4211549Don't know-----*****--*******

7.347.507.376.867.317.337.347.267.217.197.447.317.297.347.367.087.487.047.25Mean

1.771.851.922.271.841.961.962.012.022.082.041.981.921.961.932.061.852.132.01Standard deviation0.210.080.090.060.060.030.030.020.060.030.070.050.040.070.060.060.020.030.02Standard error

Page 153

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 32Q.23 Do you think of each of the following as being a force for good, a force for ill, or a mixed-blessing?The internetBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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MethodologyRemain by GE2015Leave by GE2015PlaidPlaid

CATIOnlineCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConTotal

1000113693334338770718224817793917612214402811194230612369Unweighted base

996113733232937167689215817084118312714982921242239912369Weighted base

244165545974119135029862921215322113291900Very much a force (10)25%15%12%18%20%16%13%16%17%15%16%16%14%11%17%14%15%for good

91165464751151083402905289170401553341745(9)9%15%18%14%14%23%16%16%17%13%15%7%11%14%12%14%14%

1662442979731517444842463622276622265052608(8)17%21%27%24%20%23%25%21%25%15%20%17%18%21%18%21%21%

143181676560311837725352622206491813981960(7)14%16%21%20%16%4%17%17%15%13%14%17%14%17%15%17%16%

5810262303856919312851610110321092151084(6)6%9%6%9%10%7%10%9%7%13%9%8%7%11%9%9%9%

20922484446516118382265123736389562884802457Mixed blessing (5)21%20%12%13%18%24%17%18%16%31%20%29%26%19%23%20%20%

21189157-53621-233252149210(4)2%2%3%1%2%-1%2%1%-1%2%2%2%2%2%2%

10141-11-41013-414051834151(3)1%1%-**-1%*1%-2%1%3%2%1%1%1%

1384--121105-21175172197(2)1%1%--*3%***-1%1%1%2%1%1%1%

850----143---20261158(1)1%*----***---1%1%1%**

2467--1-166-2124392291Very much a force (0)2%1%--*-***-1%1%2%1%1%1%1%for ill

7038594272792974956017091393281358497721588217819296NET: A force for good71%76%85%85%80%73%81%79%82%69%74%66%65%74%71%74%75%

Page 154

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 32Q.23 Do you think of each of the following as being a force for good, a force for ill, or a mixed-blessing?The internetBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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MethodologyRemain by GE2015Leave by GE2015PlaidPlaid

CATIOnlineCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConTotal

996113733232937167689215817084118312714982921242239912369Weighted base

7653116102126548-1061322171137607NET: A force for ill8%5%3%2%3%3%2%3%3%-6%5%9%7%6%6%5%

9------22-----119Don't know1%------**-----***

7.237.257.617.647.527.467.457.457.617.137.236.956.836.997.137.167.25Mean

2.411.981.621.681.872.041.721.851.831.872.102.042.272.082.122.032.01Standard deviation0.080.020.280.090.090.240.060.040.040.300.160.180.060.120.060.040.02Standard error

Page 155

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 32Q.23 Do you think of each of the following as being a force for good, a force for ill, or a mixed-blessing?The internetBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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Attention Paid toThe GreenSocialMulti-PoliticsNational IdentityImmigrationCapitalismThe internetGlobalisationmovementFeminismliberalismculturalism

Equ-MoreallyMore

Brit-Brit-Eng-Eng-Eng-ishishlishlishlishnotthanandthannot

Eng-Eng-Brit-Brit-Brit-0-45-78-10lishlishishishishIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodTotal

1406469562441252113345341785120848904380366648695989319290552692418716119707087294857743665593412369Unweighted base

1413469662361240112045321805123550034272366348656079296294652102470708420057020301756813754582612369Weighted base

1925951112219189697243195727760463894-1900330104736611492631199377101753310101900Very much a force (10)14%13%18%18%17%15%13%16%15%18%13%18%-20%11%20%15%16%13%17%13%18%14%17%15%for good

160606976170172650241161620757393950-17453001056297113423711653439754549821745(9)11%13%16%14%15%14%13%13%12%18%11%20%-19%10%20%12%16%12%17%11%17%12%17%14%

2731017131729123096137222497810156521226-2608466127743416253271655543133670313492608(8)19%22%21%23%21%21%21%18%20%24%18%25%-28%16%25%18%23%16%24%18%24%19%23%21%

197824937186214734300150748748546803-1960465793402114131211464679515689871960(7)14%18%15%15%19%16%17%12%15%17%15%17%-21%16%15%16%16%16%16%15%17%15%17%16%

1254475119299397180102449380350385-10843323932356231966173004883365211084(6)9%10%8%7%9%9%10%8%9%9%10%8%-12%11%8%10%9%10%9%10%9%9%9%9%

34498811122151799133732831065521913497--726534501118443710406757818148392457Mixed blessing (5)24%21%18%17%16%20%21%23%21%12%25%10%--25%10%20%17%22%15%22%14%22%14%20%

38799119146827301264711438210-974975937486946410466210(4)3%2%1%2%1%1%1%2%3%1%3%1%35%-3%1%3%1%4%1%3%1%3%1%2%

2958631610452827111198225151-83205650524878299129151(3)2%1%1%1%1%1%2%2%2%*2%1%25%-3%*2%1%3%1%3%1%2%*1%

1532481442620176412562097-5617333844285311601797(2)1%1%1%1%*1%1%1%1%*2%*16%-2%*1%1%2%*2%*2%*1%

1021279124712437391158-308252024152815311458(1)1%**1%*1%*1%1%*1%*10%-1%*1%*1%*1%*1%**

27224287171132685521591-5912452436195811611191Very much a force (0)2%*1%1%1%*1%3%1%*1%*15%-2%*2%*2%*2%*2%*1%for ill

94734894852958903343813378323522366024044259-929618944566173356721336578220304766259348489296NET: A force for good67%74%78%77%81%76%74%67%70%86%66%88%-100%64%88%70%80%67%82%67%84%69%83%75%

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Absolutes/col percents

Table 32Q.23 Do you think of each of the following as being a force for good, a force for ill, or a mixed-blessing?The internetBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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Attention Paid toThe GreenSocialMulti-PoliticsNational IdentityImmigrationCapitalismThe internetGlobalisationmovementFeminismliberalismculturalism

Equ-MoreallyMore

Brit-Brit-Eng-Eng-Eng-ishishlishlishlishnotthanandthannot

Eng-Eng-Brit-Brit-Brit-0-45-78-10lishlishishishishIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodTotal

1413469662361240112045321805123550034272366348656079296294652102470708420057020301756813754582612369Weighted base

12021327066361809411741189343109607-325107235226231197312130346137607NET: A force for ill8%5%4%5%3%4%5%9%8%2%9%2%100%-11%2%9%3%12%3%10%2%9%2%5%

261111135231--142212-4-29Don't know************--******-*-**

6.867.147.427.377.477.307.136.916.997.716.757.812.548.156.587.896.927.486.737.586.767.666.917.627.25Mean

2.231.932.012.051.881.952.002.382.201.732.211.731.431.292.251.722.261.872.311.822.261.782.241.792.01Standard deviation0.060.030.030.060.060.030.050.070.030.030.040.020.060.010.040.020.050.020.050.020.040.020.040.020.02Standard error

Page 157

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 32Q.23 Do you think of each of the following as being a force for good, a force for ill, or a mixed-blessing?The internetBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 158: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

RegionSocial GradeAgeGenderYork-shireNorth-

WestEast&ernSouthSouthEast-Mid-Mid-Humb-NorthNorthIre-Scot-Eng-WestEastLondonernlandslandsersideEastWestlandWaleslandlandDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

1185184912921108985891112658814441706291102104682360165331795148296326632402209116096396513585012369Unweighted base

1186185112841113988894112958914451706311090104792384166931775111298126732409208515926276513585012369Weighted base

305948212124171135311202684730681541025447503414109192301Very much a force (10)3%3%4%2%2%3%2%2%2%2%2%2%3%2%2%2%3%3%2%2%2%2%2%2%3%2%for good

346859223835321438413213415437772101098659545417124255379(9)3%4%5%2%4%4%3%2%3%2%2%2%3%2%2%2%4%4%3%2%3%3%3%2%4%3%

10818513611092898544133144890982122110311589362261173167114574237111134(8)9%10%11%10%9%10%8%8%9%8%8%8%9%5%7%10%12%12%10%7%8%7%9%6%12%9%

1442331801391231161357020616851241347190173398808488312264247192697008701571(7)12%13%14%12%12%13%12%12%14%9%14%11%13%8%10%13%16%16%12%11%12%12%11%11%15%13%

154236159124124931496015822801211258257193379651355311296248199707687111480(6)13%13%12%11%13%10%13%10%11%13%13%11%12%11%12%12%13%12%12%12%12%12%11%12%12%12%

3825643743783282603631854165319532532518225979641431826783763704535212224415773823Mixed blessing (5)32%30%29%34%33%29%32%31%29%31%31%30%31%34%36%30%28%28%29%32%34%34%34%34%27%31%

1001371039676779553129125798866236155277360216237206165150586224101032(4)8%7%8%9%8%9%8%9%9%7%9%9%8%10%9%9%7%7%9%9%8%9%9%10%7%8%

8713478818062885011816429877920311427234520420519617410154554379934(3)7%7%6%7%8%7%8%9%8%9%7%9%7%8%7%9%7%7%8%8%8%6%9%9%6%8%

5889566142577640931346845721559419726813417116210710240427288715(2)5%5%4%6%4%6%7%7%6%8%7%8%5%7%6%6%5%4%6%7%5%6%6%7%5%6%

35633136263438293741739330112609412366100110544317216174390(1)3%3%2%3%3%4%3%5%3%2%3%4%3%5%4%3%2%2%4%5%3%3%3%3%3%3%

5380584138454929781237704721811061381651141491311126521311281592Very much a force (0)4%4%5%4%4%5%4%5%5%7%6%6%5%8%6%4%3%4%6%5%5%4%3%5%5%5%for ill

4707825824173973574192005715923737541956695441232241114161024840766593226212427394865NET: A force for good40%42%45%38%40%40%37%34%40%35%38%34%40%28%33%39%47%47%38%35%37%37%36%33%47%39%

Page 158

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 33Q.23 Do you think of each of the following as being a force for good, a force for ill, or a mixed-blessing?CapitalismBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 159: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

RegionSocial GradeAgeGenderYork-shireNorth-

WestEast&ernSouthSouthEast-Mid-Mid-Humb-NorthNorthIre-Scot-Eng-WestEastLondonernlandslandsersideEastWestlandWaleslandlandDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

1186185112841113988894112958914451706311090104792384166931775111298126732409208515926276513585012369Weighted base

3345033263152632763462024555719938930198875299781261734862805613460189213015323663NET: A force for ill28%27%25%28%27%31%31%34%31%33%31%36%29%37%32%31%25%25%32%33%29%29%30%33%26%30%

-312-1133111146-3854224-15217Don't know-***-****1%****-*******-***

5.175.275.445.135.255.134.994.855.084.814.954.795.174.584.845.095.485.505.014.855.055.105.104.855.425.12Mean

2.222.302.322.152.172.372.182.282.302.322.242.322.262.292.222.232.232.262.342.282.232.172.152.142.372.27Standard deviation0.060.050.060.060.070.080.070.090.060.180.090.070.020.050.050.040.030.040.050.050.050.050.080.030.030.02Standard error

Page 159

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 33Q.23 Do you think of each of the following as being a force for good, a force for ill, or a mixed-blessing?CapitalismBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 160: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

Reluctant ToTell How You

2015 VoteVotedWhen Mind Made UpReferendumSince

Longerbegin-In theOnagoningIn theIn thelastpol-

PlaidAlwaysthan aoflastlastfewlingCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConNoYesknownyearyearmonthweekdaysdayRemainLeaveTotal

7251950915109993442408511079129046167511743226680096612276198617112369Unweighted base

7251249815659823400410711080128946077581748226779996412255949642012369Weighted base

-9428105016925546141343738101427129173301Very much a force (10)-2%1%2%1%1%4%2%4%3%4%2%2%1%1%2%2%3%2%for good

-3449255022632455131305270223440156223379(9)-1%1%3%3%1%5%3%4%3%4%3%3%3%4%3%3%3%3%

325201288417362510081264228916220572821035256091134(8)4%5%4%8%9%5%15%9%10%9%12%9%9%9%8%8%9%9%9%

7423215114834074514131585881082322831071081448027701571(7)10%8%6%10%15%10%18%13%12%13%14%13%12%13%11%12%13%12%13%

844481731603785301305175496982083001101251437767041480(6)11%9%10%11%16%11%13%12%14%11%13%12%13%14%13%12%13%11%12%

221491415263051111110934154081418181514711257338404176020643823Mixed blessing (5)31%29%28%34%31%33%27%31%32%31%24%29%31%32%35%33%30%32%31%

9514613685343256934993605415720768821054935391032(4)13%10%9%9%9%10%6%8%8%8%7%9%9%9%8%9%8%8%8%

46066116563392038607532555141186826185494440934(3)5%12%13%7%6%10%5%8%6%7%7%8%8%10%6%7%8%7%8%

8555910457236115652642914199118345181377338715(2)11%11%12%7%6%7%3%6%5%6%5%6%5%4%5%7%6%5%6%

4253158291455735139161256059222834179211390(1)6%5%6%4%3%4%1%3%3%4%3%3%3%3%3%3%3%3%3%

7505092232307054844269448388143954251341592Very much a force (0)10%10%10%6%2%7%2%5%3%6%6%5%4%2%4%4%4%5%5%for ill

18122107530427991229543055611778357692897321362458238724784865NET: A force for good25%24%21%34%43%29%56%39%44%39%47%40%40%40%38%37%40%39%39%

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Absolutes/col percents

Table 33Q.23 Do you think of each of the following as being a force for good, a force for ill, or a mixed-blessing?CapitalismBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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Reluctant ToTell How You

2015 VoteVotedWhen Mind Made UpReferendumSince

Longerbegin-In theOnagoningIn theIn thelastpol-

PlaidAlwaysthan aoflastlastfewlingCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConNoYesknownyearyearmonthweekdaysdayRemainLeaveTotal

7251249815659823400410711080128946077581748226779996412255949642012369Weighted base

32240251506250129370133443201405220540659221261359179418693663NET: A force for ill44%47%50%32%25%38%17%30%25%30%29%31%29%28%27%29%30%29%30%

-1-3-4217-6-211349817Don't know-*-*-***-*-********

4.164.173.964.895.264.585.995.095.395.075.345.095.155.235.135.095.115.135.12Mean

2.212.332.262.292.002.212.082.272.242.372.492.272.151.992.142.222.222.312.27Standard deviation0.260.100.100.060.060.040.030.020.060.030.090.050.050.070.070.060.030.030.02Standard error

Page 161

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 33Q.23 Do you think of each of the following as being a force for good, a force for ill, or a mixed-blessing?CapitalismBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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MethodologyRemain by GE2015Leave by GE2015PlaidPlaid

CATIOnlineCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConTotal

1000113693334338770718224817793917612214402811194230612369Unweighted base

996113733232937167689215817084118312714982921242239912369Weighted base

45256-71193364-2327118105301Very much a force (10)5%2%-2%*1%1%2%4%-1%2%2%*1%4%2%for good

26353-1421623102-2-47827124379(9)3%3%-*1%3%2%1%6%-1%-3%3%2%5%3%

82105111214866115271214512118583551134(8)8%9%3%3%4%11%10%5%16%5%7%4%8%6%5%15%9%

110146132621610723135041610146421083941571(7)11%13%9%8%6%9%15%11%21%10%9%8%10%14%9%16%13%

961384536418125257229386165351213011480(6)10%12%15%11%11%11%18%12%13%8%5%5%11%12%10%13%12%

353347078610326208704426166238500974086823823Mixed blessing (5)35%31%21%26%28%39%30%33%25%38%34%30%33%33%33%28%31%

9094233436352219966189133331241601032(4)9%8%9%10%10%4%8%10%6%15%10%7%9%11%10%7%8%

6187334349836212901171710821127112934(3)6%8%9%13%13%11%5%10%5%3%9%13%7%7%10%5%8%

49666542462441474431212102128971715(2)5%6%15%13%12%3%6%7%3%8%7%10%7%4%7%3%6%

173732121811690152121257125542390(1)2%3%6%4%5%1%2%4%1%5%7%10%4%4%4%2%3%

48544430373111251832012891210552592Very much a force (0)5%5%12%9%10%4%2%6%1%8%11%10%6%4%8%2%5%for ill

3604505981822432365910179422550610433212784865NET: A force for good36%40%27%24%22%36%47%31%60%23%23%20%34%36%27%53%39%

Page 162

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Absolutes/col percents

Table 33Q.23 Do you think of each of the following as being a force for good, a force for ill, or a mixed-blessing?CapitalismBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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MethodologyRemain by GE2015Leave by GE2015PlaidPlaid

CATIOnlineCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConTotal

996113733232937167689215817084118312714982921242239912369Weighted base

26633981616118716158793264167963490925004373663NET: A force for ill27%30%52%49%50%24%23%37%15%38%43%50%33%31%40%18%30%

17--1-1-21---2-2117Don't know2%--*-1%-**---*-***

5.235.113.854.133.965.195.394.656.124.414.243.944.874.954.455.905.12Mean

2.272.272.332.282.212.111.962.161.992.102.422.412.292.082.292.142.27Standard deviation0.070.020.410.120.110.250.070.050.050.340.180.220.060.120.070.040.02Standard error

Page 163

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 33Q.23 Do you think of each of the following as being a force for good, a force for ill, or a mixed-blessing?CapitalismBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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Attention Paid toThe GreenSocialMulti-PoliticsNational IdentityImmigrationCapitalismThe internetGlobalisationmovementFeminismliberalismculturalism

Equ-MoreallyMore

Brit-Brit-Eng-Eng-Eng-ishishlishlishlishnotthanandthannot

Eng-Eng-Brit-Brit-Brit-0-45-78-10lishlishishishishIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodTotal

1406469562441252113345341785120848904380366648695989319290552692418716119707087294857743665593412369Unweighted base

1413469662361240112045321805123550034272366348656079296294652102470708420057020301756813754582612369Weighted base

186322040231093943100133-3016266441921151336517194140107138301Very much a force (10)1%1%4%3%2%2%2%3%2%3%-6%1%3%2%4%5%2%3%2%3%2%3%2%2%for good

139327329481386739130167-37993405824410819174233119186133194379(9)1%2%4%2%4%3%4%3%3%4%-8%2%4%2%5%4%3%4%3%4%3%4%3%3%

65339728117104431191104381474-11343010071666962926251926652915703665451134(8)5%7%12%9%9%10%11%8%8%11%-23%5%11%6%13%12%9%10%9%10%10%10%9%9%

87586898160176595242120547680-157134136825289032194522310043678364778281571(7)6%12%14%13%16%13%13%10%11%16%-32%6%15%9%17%13%13%11%14%12%15%13%14%13%

134625718141150546239119520666-14802912782758052639391959623158203998081480(6)9%13%12%11%13%12%13%10%10%16%-30%5%14%9%15%11%13%10%14%10%14%11%14%12%

5841614161136131414365584181604982--15126277801252657201155319217951448108215933823Mixed blessing (5)41%34%26%29%28%32%31%34%32%23%--25%28%26%24%27%28%28%27%26%25%29%27%31%

146459425115803971301015123191032-657523223612006121755912804723144951032(4)10%10%7%9%7%9%7%8%10%7%28%-11%8%11%7%8%9%9%8%9%8%8%8%8%

132362440998832313789419313934-83616299303176563175534259426284464934(3)9%8%7%8%8%7%8%7%8%7%26%-14%7%10%6%7%8%9%8%9%7%8%8%8%

9725935673522428576310244715-64452256239106480131416195340224349715(2)7%6%6%6%5%5%5%6%6%6%20%-11%5%9%5%4%7%7%6%6%6%6%6%6%

5012521437431395237194105390-59238193998723084213121174147160390(1)4%3%3%3%4%3%3%3%4%2%11%-10%3%7%2%4%3%4%3%4%3%4%3%3%

8016035069411686685280185592-72345301122142344135304180267220247592Very much a force (0)6%3%6%6%4%4%4%7%6%4%16%-12%4%10%2%6%5%7%4%6%5%6%4%5%for ill

31717072838486501181977742516782120-48651094259795282611012833750303611862551148125134865NET: A force for good22%36%46%39%45%40%43%34%34%50%-100%18%46%27%54%45%40%37%43%39%45%39%43%39%

Page 164

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Absolutes/col percents

Table 33Q.23 Do you think of each of the following as being a force for good, a force for ill, or a mixed-blessing?CapitalismBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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Attention Paid toThe GreenSocialMulti-PoliticsNational IdentityImmigrationCapitalismThe internetGlobalisationmovementFeminismliberalismculturalism

Equ-MoreallyMore

Brit-Brit-Eng-Eng-Eng-ishishlishlishlishnotthanandthannot

Eng-Eng-Brit-Brit-Brit-0-45-78-10lishlishishishishIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodTotal

1413469662361240112045321805123550034272366348656079296294652102470708420057020301756813754582612369Weighted base

505136517863923041269469389171411663663-3432404137011247102229701205910361678119017143663NET: A force for ill36%29%29%32%27%28%26%31%34%27%100%-57%26%46%22%29%31%35%29%34%30%32%29%30%

7911171374--461821125-41717Don't know**********--1%*******-****

4.535.055.315.085.305.215.314.974.865.412.397.273.735.404.245.755.355.044.965.215.035.225.075.215.12Mean

2.022.032.462.332.252.202.202.402.272.321.411.152.412.232.442.182.492.262.492.272.452.312.412.252.27Standard deviation0.050.030.030.070.070.030.050.070.030.040.020.020.100.020.050.030.050.030.060.030.050.030.040.030.02Standard error

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Absolutes/col percents

Table 33Q.23 Do you think of each of the following as being a force for good, a force for ill, or a mixed-blessing?CapitalismBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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RegionSocial GradeAgeGenderYork-shireNorth-

WestEast&ernSouthSouthEast-Mid-Mid-Humb-NorthNorthIre-Scot-Eng-WestEastLondonernlandslandsersideEastWestlandWaleslandlandDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

1185184912921108985891112658814441706291102104682360165331795148296326632402209116096396513585012369Unweighted base

1186185112841113988894112958914451706311090104792384166931775111298126732409208515926276513585012369Weighted base

32576226262122144321433304643585167555852807038176177353Very much a force (10)3%3%5%2%3%2%2%2%3%1%2%3%3%3%2%3%3%2%2%2%4%4%6%3%3%3%for good

29364721242025173651941255403476168465048667337169150319(9)2%2%4%2%2%2%2%3%2%3%3%4%2%2%2%2%3%2%2%2%3%5%6%3%3%3%

9615414870585685361111140124814110101266511175167154188202102481507989(8)8%8%12%6%6%6%8%6%8%6%6%11%8%5%6%8%10%6%6%6%9%13%16%7%9%8%

1342101891051239713352159176415212011701253847532912692442582641076977371434(7)11%11%15%9%12%11%12%9%11%10%10%14%11%7%7%12%15%10%10%10%12%17%17%11%13%12%

1201861341048775101511271853121985161120318576254257223224149706045731177(6)10%10%10%9%9%8%9%9%9%10%8%11%9%7%7%10%11%9%10%9%11%9%11%9%10%10%

2944553252932402322621593464617026826085824088091282777636624528384141171513743090Mixed blessing (5)25%25%25%26%24%26%23%27%24%27%27%25%25%24%24%25%25%26%24%26%25%24%23%26%23%25%

911336683687691341201153667621661212383662542051611379244482409892(4)8%7%5%7%7%8%8%6%8%6%8%6%7%7%7%7%7%9%8%7%7%6%7%7%7%7%

861655890876989571241358618241981522463542442352141438831508448956(3)7%9%5%8%9%8%8%10%9%8%9%6%8%8%9%8%7%8%9%9%7%6%5%8%8%8%

731396993796797511161446687852311742182882921961991367516488424914(2)6%7%5%8%8%8%9%9%8%8%7%6%7%10%10%7%6%10%7%8%7%5%3%7%7%7%

7411160645663763098941616321981161842441942171431066220383360743(1)6%6%5%6%6%7%7%5%7%5%7%6%6%8%7%6%5%7%8%6%5%4%3%6%6%6%

157205123165139116148881652572961306462283352398401380349219129208076901499Very much a force (0)13%11%10%15%14%13%13%15%11%15%11%9%12%19%17%11%8%13%14%14%10%8%3%12%12%12%for ill

41064358132731826936617047652190471356054541411302176821801721816759353212721444272NET: A force for good35%35%45%29%32%30%32%29%33%31%30%43%34%23%25%36%43%28%30%30%39%48%56%33%37%35%

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Absolutes/col percents

Table 34Q.23 Do you think of each of the following as being a force for good, a force for ill, or a mixed-blessing?ImmigrationBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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RegionSocial GradeAgeGenderYork-shireNorth-

WestEast&ernSouthSouthEast-Mid-Mid-Humb-NorthNorthIre-Scot-Eng-WestEastLondonernlandslandsersideEastWestlandWaleslandlandDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

1186185112841113988894112958914451706311090104792384166931775111298126732409208515926276513585012369Weighted base

481753377494429391500260623722713524308125684712381651138412341065741447132266823315003NET: A force for ill41%41%29%44%43%44%44%44%43%43%43%32%41%53%51%39%32%46%46%44%36%28%21%41%40%40%

----12------31--2-2--1-213Don't know----**------**--*-*--*-***

4.484.545.174.214.334.304.324.224.454.254.385.014.483.723.894.605.044.144.164.224.825.345.944.464.594.52Mean

2.702.652.722.662.702.652.672.682.682.632.602.642.692.742.702.632.552.582.672.662.692.642.382.662.712.69Standard deviation0.080.060.080.080.090.090.080.110.070.200.100.080.030.060.070.050.040.050.050.050.060.070.090.030.040.02Standard error

Page 167

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 34Q.23 Do you think of each of the following as being a force for good, a force for ill, or a mixed-blessing?ImmigrationBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 168: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

Reluctant ToTell How You

2015 VoteVotedWhen Mind Made UpReferendumSince

Longerbegin-In theOnagoningIn theIn thelastpol-

PlaidAlwaysthan aoflastlastfewlingCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConNoYesknownyearyearmonthweekdaysdayRemainLeaveTotal

7251950915109993442408511079129046167511743226680096612276198617112369Unweighted base

7251249815659823400410711080128946077581748226779996412255949642012369Weighted base

224461129169493084518527463612222629063353Very much a force (10)3%5%9%1%3%5%1%3%4%4%4%3%2%1%2%2%5%1%3%for good

42630334145462893016119423814222427446319(9)5%5%6%*3%4%1%3%2%3%3%2%2%2%2%2%5%1%3%

87184191294161828949545469124156526073835154989(8)11%14%17%1%13%12%4%8%7%10%9%7%7%7%6%6%14%2%8%

7809031184519401128914559582211256828811911542801434(7)9%16%18%2%19%15%10%12%11%13%11%12%11%10%9%10%19%4%12%

4515848137356412105212538456178244881181108413361177(6)6%10%12%3%14%10%10%9%10%8%7%10%11%11%12%9%14%5%10%

1511112226725880611752705386998139393651244297369155515353090Mixed blessing (5)21%22%25%17%26%24%29%24%30%22%18%22%29%31%31%30%26%24%25%

5271810555216373780112221551302056694120329563892(4)7%5%4%7%6%6%9%7%9%5%7%7%9%8%10%10%6%9%7%

930161624520538686889316671361797674108245712956(3)13%6%3%10%5%6%9%8%7%7%9%8%8%10%8%9%4%11%8%

82382074118035182688277641531726776104196718914(2)11%5%2%13%4%5%9%7%7%6%8%9%8%8%8%9%3%11%7%

8289197351362616756826961118137434867101642743(1)12%5%2%13%4%4%6%6%5%6%8%7%6%5%5%5%2%10%6%

24016514362524701394105748118216192546410513013691499Very much a force (0)3%8%3%33%4%7%11%13%8%16%16%12%8%7%7%9%2%21%12%for ill

24253308112513160510903832441177825360173024831035233938794272NET: A force for good34%49%62%7%52%47%27%35%34%39%33%34%32%31%32%29%57%14%35%

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Absolutes/col percents

Table 34Q.23 Do you think of each of the following as being a force for good, a force for ill, or a mixed-blessing?ImmigrationBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 169: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

Reluctant ToTell How You

2015 VoteVotedWhen Mind Made UpReferendumSince

Longerbegin-In theOnagoningIn theIn thelastpol-

PlaidAlwaysthan aoflastlastfewlingCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConNoYesknownyearyearmonthweekdaysdayRemainLeaveTotal

7251249815659823400410711080128946077581748226779996412255949642012369Weighted base

33148681185211989184145424611831366753886307357504100040035003NET: A force for ill46%29%14%76%21%29%45%41%36%40%48%43%39%38%37%41%17%62%40%

---1--121--21---123Don't know---*--***--**---***

4.645.366.302.335.605.324.174.494.774.574.244.404.544.584.684.475.963.184.52Mean

2.652.722.322.282.262.632.412.702.512.952.902.692.412.312.342.422.132.442.69Standard deviation0.310.120.100.060.070.040.040.030.070.040.110.060.050.080.080.070.030.030.02Standard error

Page 169

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Absolutes/col percents

Table 34Q.23 Do you think of each of the following as being a force for good, a force for ill, or a mixed-blessing?ImmigrationBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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MethodologyRemain by GE2015Leave by GE2015PlaidPlaid

CATIOnlineCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConTotal

1000113693334338770718224817793917612214402811194230612369Unweighted base

996113733232937167689215817084118312714982921242239912369Weighted base

612922214422714136-32922812353Very much a force (10)6%3%6%6%12%3%4%7%2%-2%2%1%1%2%1%3%for good

302893222613212835144221811319(9)3%3%9%7%7%1%5%6%2%3%2%3%*1%1%*3%

11287776678211936713015617104952989(8)11%8%21%20%21%3%17%17%8%3%3%5%1%4%4%2%8%

1461287771844161451279-962723681221434(7)15%11%21%22%22%6%23%21%16%-5%5%2%8%5%5%12%

7411032425361052852742854332711381177(6)7%10%6%13%14%9%15%13%16%5%5%4%3%11%6%6%10%

3022789874661816650953273756249922986433090Mixed blessing (5)30%25%24%22%18%27%24%24%31%18%20%44%17%31%24%27%25%

6083321696289613431099927120238892(4)6%7%6%5%2%9%4%4%8%8%6%7%7%9%10%10%7%

52905-36422751049271015823130282956(3)5%8%-1%2%6%3%3%6%23%15%8%11%8%10%12%8%

4686718111124890716719728132261914(2)5%8%3%2%*16%2%2%5%18%9%6%13%10%11%11%7%

32710-3-5102545825919225111216743(1)3%6%-1%-7%1%1%3%21%14%7%13%9%9%9%6%

781420136108344913710505282184211499Very much a force (0)8%12%3%1%2%14%1%2%3%3%20%8%34%10%18%18%12%for ill

4243849202232841444313727544302498702333364272NET: A force for good43%34%64%68%76%21%64%64%44%10%16%19%7%24%19%14%35%

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Absolutes/col percents

Table 34Q.23 Do you think of each of the following as being a force for good, a force for ill, or a mixed-blessing?ImmigrationBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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MethodologyRemain by GE2015Leave by GE2015PlaidPlaid

CATIOnlineCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConTotal

996113733232937167689215817084118312714982921242239912369Weighted base

26847364332135802774222911547115113171214195003NET: A force for ill27%42%12%10%6%51%12%13%25%72%63%37%77%45%57%59%40%

3-----------1--13Don't know*-----------*--**

5.314.456.486.546.953.816.256.325.303.213.234.392.264.083.593.374.52Mean

2.612.682.201.941.922.581.912.072.052.032.632.332.252.292.602.322.69Standard deviation0.080.030.380.110.100.310.070.040.050.320.200.210.060.140.080.050.02Standard error

Page 171

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Absolutes/col percents

Table 34Q.23 Do you think of each of the following as being a force for good, a force for ill, or a mixed-blessing?ImmigrationBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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Attention Paid toThe GreenSocialMulti-PoliticsNational IdentityImmigrationCapitalismThe internetGlobalisationmovementFeminismliberalismculturalism

Equ-MoreallyMore

Brit-Brit-Eng-Eng-Eng-ishishlishlishlishnotthanandthannot

Eng-Eng-Brit-Brit-Brit-0-45-78-10lishlishishishishIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodTotal

1406469562441252113345341785120848904380366648695989319290552692418716119707087294857743665593412369Unweighted base

1413469662361240112045321805123550034272366348656079296294652102470708420057020301756813754582612369Weighted base

17762606751111159-3531331458288532232529017291122897335353Very much a force (10)1%2%4%5%5%2%1%1%-8%4%3%1%3%2%4%1%4%1%4%*5%*6%3%for good

22812174960851614-319104160729342228122811228192777303319(9)2%2%3%4%5%2%1%1%-7%3%3%1%3%1%4%*4%1%4%*5%*5%3%

532776591391543497031-9892874731285711865753833428283784527926989(8)4%6%11%11%14%8%4%2%-23%8%10%2%9%4%13%2%12%2%12%1%15%1%16%8%

8152482819218654913744-14343657213512221868929011608511497711276112741434(7)6%11%13%16%17%12%8%4%-34%10%15%6%13%6%17%4%16%4%16%3%20%2%22%12%

9647460612414244115951-1177277621281000183660124865103850143785989271177(6)7%10%10%10%13%10%9%4%-28%8%13%5%11%6%13%5%12%5%12%5%14%3%16%10%

387126714252922651203471245--78310651072111549117046517003901617513128646912563090Mixed blessing (5)27%27%23%24%24%27%26%20%--21%22%18%23%19%22%19%24%19%23%17%23%12%22%25%

109388391555636316595892-26437349695231327233452179442245310375279892(4)8%8%6%4%5%8%9%8%18%-7%8%8%7%8%6%9%6%9%6%8%5%10%5%7%

1404183978151369200110956-27935560700245314219462202443317280441235956(3)10%9%6%7%5%8%11%9%19%-8%7%10%8%8%6%9%7%10%6%11%5%12%4%8%

1423664056556334194113914-30531664659308268305338226387385198562133914(2)10%8%6%5%5%7%11%9%18%-8%7%11%7%10%5%12%5%11%6%13%3%15%2%7%

1053073306040275120131743-2772356152029519229126323026838810852972743(1)7%7%5%5%4%6%7%11%15%-8%5%10%6%10%4%12%4%11%4%13%2%14%1%6%

259517717114594552583911499-5893981779497372806524405194628921771178851499Very much a force (0)18%11%12%9%5%10%14%32%30%-16%8%29%10%25%5%26%6%26%7%30%3%31%1%12%for ill

269143125705725931533397148-427211662120893660581266030434292593399277332220037664272NET: A force for good19%30%41%46%53%34%22%12%-100%32%44%15%39%20%51%12%48%13%48%9%58%5%65%35%

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Absolutes/col percents

Table 34Q.23 Do you think of each of the following as being a force for good, a force for ill, or a mixed-blessing?ImmigrationBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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Attention Paid toThe GreenSocialMulti-PoliticsNational IdentityImmigrationCapitalismThe internetGlobalisationmovementFeminismliberalismculturalism

Equ-MoreallyMore

Brit-Brit-Eng-Eng-Eng-ishishlishlishlishnotthanandthannot

Eng-Eng-Brit-Brit-Brit-0-45-78-10lishlishishishishIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodTotal

1413469662361240112045321805123550034272366348656079296294652102470708420057020301756813754582612369Weighted base

7561995224137626117959378415003-1714167841135221816138117001954135620022227107330858045003NET: A force for ill53%42%36%30%23%40%52%68%100%-47%34%68%38%62%27%69%28%68%29%74%19%82%14%40%

12-1-1-1---2-31-11-2---13Don't know**-*-*-*---*-**-**-*---**

3.624.344.865.195.624.563.822.731.807.354.224.982.884.763.245.482.825.372.885.332.505.942.186.254.52Mean

2.542.502.792.742.492.562.412.551.491.192.882.582.602.672.732.492.462.502.462.542.292.252.072.042.69Standard deviation0.070.040.040.080.070.040.060.070.020.020.050.040.110.030.050.030.050.030.060.030.040.030.030.030.02Standard error

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EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 34Q.23 Do you think of each of the following as being a force for good, a force for ill, or a mixed-blessing?ImmigrationBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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Q24 SummaryInvestmentin the UKOpportuniti

byThe UK'sOures forEconomicThe qualityinternationRights forinfluenceAbility toTheprotectionFairness inchildrensecurity

of life inalpeople inin theThe economycontrol ourThe cost ofimmigrationagainstthe welfaregrowing upJobfor you andBorderthe UKcompaniesthe UKworldas a wholeown lawslivingsystemterrorismsystemThe NHStodayprospectsyour familycontrols

123691236912369123691236912369123691236912369123691236912369123691236912369Unweighted base

123691236912369123691236912369123691236912369123691236912369123691236912369Weighted base

585074405596665864872677674637386138531853916278627664293738Better if the UK47%60%45%54%52%22%55%30%50%43%44%51%51%52%30%remains in the EU

650749136760569358669681559286116199702869526078607659158607Better if the UK leaves53%40%55%46%47%78%45%70%50%57%56%49%49%48%70%the EU

121513181511312032232613162523Don't know***************

Page 174

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 35Q.24 Are each of the following more likely to be better if the UK remains in the EU, or better if the UK leaves the EU?SummaryBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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RegionSocial GradeAgeGenderYork-shireNorth-

WestEast&ernSouthSouthEast-Mid-Mid-Humb-NorthNorthIre-Scot-Eng-WestEastLondonernlandslandsersideEastWestlandWaleslandlandDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

1185184912921108985891112658814441706291102104682360165331795148296326632402209116096396513585012369Unweighted base

1186185112841113988894112958914451706311090104792384166931775111298126732409208515926276513585012369Weighted base

3715554373002702433371544225517042330905763719601820790749645671612269204216963738Better if the UK31%30%34%27%27%27%30%26%29%32%27%39%29%24%22%30%36%27%28%27%32%38%43%31%29%30%remains in the EU

81312898428117186517904341022114461664736918031297221032802186192317591411974355446041418607Better if the UK leaves69%70%66%73%73%73%70%74%71%67%73%61%70%76%78%70%64%73%72%73%68%61%57%68%71%70%the EU

2752-11111-32051711516462111323Don't know****-****1%-***************

Page 175

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 36Q.24 Are each of the following more likely to be better if the UK remains in the EU, or better if the UK leaves the EU?Border controlsBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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Reluctant ToTell How You

2015 VoteVotedWhen Mind Made UpReferendumSince

Longerbegin-In theOnagoningIn theIn thelastpol-

PlaidAlwaysthan aoflastlastfewlingCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConNoYesknownyearyearmonthweekdaysdayRemainLeaveTotal

7251950915109993442408511079129046167511743226680096612276198617112369Unweighted base

7251249815659823400410711080128946077581748226779996412255949642012369Weighted base

182092594540914829523342396170121250361521420728436351033738Better if the UK25%41%52%3%42%44%23%30%31%37%28%29%27%27%22%23%61%2%30%remains in the EU

543042351520572190731497720888289254512451649585756935229663118607Better if the UK leaves75%59%47%97%58%56%77%70%69%63%72%71%73%73%78%76%39%98%70%the EU

--5-1115185141-3-1518523Don't know--1%-*******-*-*****

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Absolutes/col percents

Table 36Q.24 Are each of the following more likely to be better if the UK remains in the EU, or better if the UK leaves the EU?Border controlsBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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MethodologyRemain by GE2015Leave by GE2015PlaidPlaid

CATIOnlineCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConTotal

1000113693334338770718224817793917612214402811194230612369Unweighted base

996113733232937167689215817084118312714982921242239912369Weighted base

350338818205252333991461914-3612921383738Better if the UK35%30%58%62%68%49%58%68%54%-2%5%1%3%2%2%30%remains in the EU

62279851312411535289689789411801201486283121823608607Better if the UK leaves62%70%42%38%31%51%42%32%46%100%98%94%99%97%98%98%70%the EU

23---4-185--1--3-23Don't know2%---1%-***--1%--*-*

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EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 36Q.24 Are each of the following more likely to be better if the UK remains in the EU, or better if the UK leaves the EU?Border controlsBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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Attention Paid toThe GreenSocialMulti-PoliticsNational IdentityImmigrationCapitalismThe internetGlobalisationmovementFeminismliberalismculturalism

Equ-MoreallyMore

Brit-Brit-Eng-Eng-Eng-ishishlishlishlishnotthanandthannot

Eng-Eng-Brit-Brit-Brit-0-45-78-10lishlishishishishIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodTotal

1406469562441252113345341785120848904380366648695989319290552692418716119707087294857743665593412369Unweighted base

1413469662361240112045321805123550034272366348656079296294652102470708420057020301756813754582612369Weighted base

3381339205552744813513171684872346119314551042985534209132327632922712324258333427703738Better if the UK24%29%33%43%40%30%18%14%10%55%33%30%17%32%18%40%13%39%15%39%11%45%9%48%30%remains in the EU

1071335241667116703172148610654514191524603406500629924093111214643051712429226923084341830418607Better if the UK leaves76%71%67%57%60%70%82%86%90%45%67%70%82%68%82%60%87%61%85%61%89%54%91%52%70%the EU

4515229222111153134911611611521523Don't know*************************

Page 178

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 36Q.24 Are each of the following more likely to be better if the UK remains in the EU, or better if the UK leaves the EU?Border controlsBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 179: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

RegionSocial GradeAgeGenderYork-shireNorth-

WestEast&ernSouthSouthEast-Mid-Mid-Humb-NorthNorthIre-Scot-Eng-WestEastLondonernlandslandsersideEastWestlandWaleslandlandDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

1185184912921108985891112658814441706291102104682360165331795148296326632402209116096396513585012369Unweighted base

1186185112841113988894112958914451706311090104792384166931775111298126732409208515926276513585012369Weighted base

6219467585284714275632867389029770553379276511716311813081253118111671048471335830696429Better if the UK52%51%59%47%48%48%50%48%51%53%47%65%51%39%39%54%61%44%47%49%56%66%75%52%52%52%remains in the EU

5648995225855134665613037068033338351201450101614571980166714171221916540154314427665915Better if the UK leaves48%49%41%53%52%52%50%52%49%47%53%35%49%61%61%46%39%56%53%51%44%34%25%48%47%48%the EU

164-424-1-122272412637342101525Don't know***-***-*-****************

Page 179

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 37Q.24 Are each of the following more likely to be better if the UK remains in the EU, or better if the UK leaves the EU?Economic security for you and your familyBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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Reluctant ToTell How You

2015 VoteVotedWhen Mind Made UpReferendumSince

Longerbegin-In theOnagoningIn theIn thelastpol-

PlaidAlwaysthan aoflastlastfewlingCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConNoYesknownyearyearmonthweekdaysdayRemainLeaveTotal

7251950915109993442408511079129046167511743226680096612276198617112369Unweighted base

7251249815659823400410711080128946077581748226779996412255949642012369Weighted base

383423881277292244191556977322410299838119144456168558425876429Better if the UK52%67%78%8%74%66%47%51%57%52%39%48%53%56%58%56%98%9%52%remains in the EU

3416910914372521150218353665492193455909106935340153510158145915Better if the UK leaves48%33%22%92%26%34%53%48%43%48%60%52%47%44%42%44%2%91%48%the EU

-111169178442722471925Don't know-*******1%*1%********

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Absolutes/col percents

Table 37Q.24 Are each of the following more likely to be better if the UK remains in the EU, or better if the UK leaves the EU?Economic security for you and your familyBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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MethodologyRemain by GE2015Leave by GE2015PlaidPlaid

CATIOnlineCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConTotal

1000113693334338770718224817793917612214402811194230612369Unweighted base

996113733232937167689215817084118312714982921242239912369Weighted base

55458753232337064680212416696191962491202466429Better if the UK56%52%100%98%99%96%99%98%98%15%10%15%4%17%10%10%52%remains in the EU

4175498-623103235341631071435242111821485915Better if the UK leaves42%48%-2%1%4%1%1%2%85%89%84%96%83%90%90%48%the EU

25------24-11114525Don't know3%------**-1%1%*****

Page 181

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 37Q.24 Are each of the following more likely to be better if the UK remains in the EU, or better if the UK leaves the EU?Economic security for you and your familyBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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Attention Paid toThe GreenSocialMulti-PoliticsNational IdentityImmigrationCapitalismThe internetGlobalisationmovementFeminismliberalismculturalism

Equ-MoreallyMore

Brit-Brit-Eng-Eng-Eng-ishishlishlishlishnotthanandthannot

Eng-Eng-Brit-Brit-Brit-0-45-78-10lishlishishishishIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodTotal

1406469562441252113345341785120848904380366648695989319290552692418716119707087294857743665593412369Unweighted base

1413469662361240112045321805123550034272366348656079296294652102470708420057020301756813754582612369Weighted base

650244433277917402371721320122834861920258419151351021339963046366314442727406887943136429Better if the UK46%52%53%64%66%52%40%26%25%82%52%53%31%55%35%65%26%65%31%63%24%72%23%74%52%remains in the EU

7572243289844637621541083912376777917392271415414519241801183924301370256322871605287215015915Better if the UK leaves54%48%46%36%34%48%60%74%75%18%47%47%68%45%65%35%74%34%68%37%76%28%77%26%48%the EU

681134723875101161111184143831225Don't know*************************

Page 182

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 37Q.24 Are each of the following more likely to be better if the UK remains in the EU, or better if the UK leaves the EU?Economic security for you and your familyBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 183: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

RegionSocial GradeAgeGenderYork-shireNorth-

WestEast&ernSouthSouthEast-Mid-Mid-Humb-NorthNorthIre-Scot-Eng-WestEastLondonernlandslandsersideEastWestlandWaleslandlandDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

1185184912921108985891112658814441706291102104682360165331795148296326632402209116096396513585012369Unweighted base

1186185112841113988894112958914451706311090104792384166931775111298126732409208515926276513585012369Weighted base

6119177355104634345392927119130067452129056381666305213101218111811421018469327829966276Better if the UK52%50%57%46%47%48%48%50%49%54%48%62%50%38%38%52%60%44%46%46%55%64%75%50%51%51%remains in the EU

5759305456025234595882977347933141352531476102715092050166514531289941570158322828446076Better if the UK leaves48%50%42%54%53%51%52%50%51%46%52%38%50%62%62%48%40%56%54%53%45%36%25%50%49%49%the EU

-441221----214341862224-61016Don't know-******----***********-***

Page 183

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 38Q.24 Are each of the following more likely to be better if the UK remains in the EU, or better if the UK leaves the EU?Job prospectsBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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Reluctant ToTell How You

2015 VoteVotedWhen Mind Made UpReferendumSince

Longerbegin-In theOnagoningIn theIn thelastpol-

PlaidAlwaysthan aoflastlastfewlingCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConNoYesknownyearyearmonthweekdaysdayRemainLeaveTotal

7251950915109993442408511079129046167511743226680096612276198617112369Unweighted base

7251249815659823400410711080128946077581748226779996412255949642012369Weighted base

383213771377102180188655647122411292824115543151864557245526276Better if the UK52%63%76%9%72%64%46%50%55%52%39%47%51%54%54%53%96%9%51%remains in the EU

3419012014272701216221455025752193463922110936844457822158566076Better if the UK leaves48%37%24%91%27%36%54%50%45%48%61%53%49%46%46%47%4%91%49%the EU

-111247142332312251116Don't know-******************

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EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 38Q.24 Are each of the following more likely to be better if the UK remains in the EU, or better if the UK leaves the EU?Job prospectsBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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MethodologyRemain by GE2015Leave by GE2015PlaidPlaid

CATIOnlineCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConTotal

1000113693334338770718224817793917612214402811194230612369Unweighted base

996113733232937167689215817084118312714982921242239912369Weighted base

5465730323123646266720731645691475431062406276Better if the UK55%50%100%95%98%93%97%96%96%15%5%11%5%15%9%10%51%remains in the EU

4345642-1785218360341731121422249113421536076Better if the UK leaves44%50%-5%2%7%3%4%4%85%94%89%95%85%91%90%49%the EU

16-----122-11112516Don't know2%-----***-1%1%*****

Page 185

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 38Q.24 Are each of the following more likely to be better if the UK remains in the EU, or better if the UK leaves the EU?Job prospectsBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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Attention Paid toThe GreenSocialMulti-PoliticsNational IdentityImmigrationCapitalismThe internetGlobalisationmovementFeminismliberalismculturalism

Equ-MoreallyMore

Brit-Brit-Eng-Eng-Eng-ishishlishlishlishnotthanandthannot

Eng-Eng-Brit-Brit-Brit-0-45-78-10lishlishishishishIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodTotal

1406469562441252113345341785120848904380366648695989319290552692418716119707087294857743665593412369Unweighted base

1413469662361240112045321805123550034272366348656079296294652102470708420057020301756813754582612369Weighted base

62623863256767725233768930211593457188025341965019992331061345196094356725396583742236276Better if the UK44%51%52%62%65%52%38%24%23%81%51%52%32%54%34%64%25%64%30%62%24%70%22%72%51%remains in the EU

7822304297547339121861117932384381117792326411426719501896185425561395265422911710291315956076Better if the UK leaves55%49%48%38%35%48%62%75%77%19%49%48%68%46%66%36%75%36%70%38%76%30%78%27%49%the EU

565-39-12445-105439110163916Don't know***-**-*****-************

Page 186

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 38Q.24 Are each of the following more likely to be better if the UK remains in the EU, or better if the UK leaves the EU?Job prospectsBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 187: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

RegionSocial GradeAgeGenderYork-shireNorth-

WestEast&ernSouthSouthEast-Mid-Mid-Humb-NorthNorthIre-Scot-Eng-WestEastLondonernlandslandsersideEastWestlandWaleslandlandDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

1185184912921108985891112658814441706291102104682360165331795148296326632402209116096396513585012369Unweighted base

1186185112841113988894112958914451706311090104792384166931775111298126732409208515926276513585012369Weighted base

590925751506468423547280714893036825205903658165430471302123411461130997466329129856278Better if the UK50%50%58%45%47%47%48%47%49%52%48%63%50%38%39%52%60%44%46%48%54%63%74%51%51%51%remains in the EU

5969215316075174715803087318132840852611476101015232058167514381261952592161321528596078Better if the UK leaves50%50%41%55%52%53%51%52%51%48%52%37%50%62%60%48%40%56%54%52%46%37%26%49%49%49%the EU

-52-2121----1352-641233-7613Don't know-**-****----***-******-***

Page 187

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 39Q.24 Are each of the following more likely to be better if the UK remains in the EU, or better if the UK leaves the EU?Opportunities for children growing up todayBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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Reluctant ToTell How You

2015 VoteVotedWhen Mind Made UpReferendumSince

Longerbegin-In theOnagoningIn theIn thelastpol-

PlaidAlwaysthan aoflastlastfewlingCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConNoYesknownyearyearmonthweekdaysdayRemainLeaveTotal

7251950915109993442408511079129046167511743226680096612276198617112369Unweighted base

7251249815659823400410711080128946077581748226779996412255949642012369Weighted base

353293821217122206186055826962396301813114542053766657964826278Better if the UK48%64%77%8%73%65%45%50%54%52%40%46%50%53%56%54%97%8%51%remains in the EU

3718311514442691186224354885902209454934112037942655614959306078Better if the UK leaves52%36%23%92%27%35%55%50%46%48%60%53%49%47%44%45%3%92%49%the EU

--1--841032312-235813Don't know--*--********-*****

Page 188

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 39Q.24 Are each of the following more likely to be better if the UK remains in the EU, or better if the UK leaves the EU?Opportunities for children growing up todayBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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MethodologyRemain by GE2015Leave by GE2015PlaidPlaid

CATIOnlineCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConTotal

1000113693334338770718224817793917612214402811194230612369Unweighted base

996113733232937167689215817084118312714982921242239912369Weighted base

5535725323173656567321081657312185640982036278Better if the UK56%50%100%96%98%97%98%98%97%8%7%14%4%14%8%8%51%remains in the EU

4305648-1272164650371711081442253114021936078Better if the UK leaves43%50%-4%2%3%2%2%3%92%93%85%96%86%92%91%49%the EU

13------41--1--4313Don't know1%------**--1%--***

Page 189

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 39Q.24 Are each of the following more likely to be better if the UK remains in the EU, or better if the UK leaves the EU?Opportunities for children growing up todayBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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Attention Paid toThe GreenSocialMulti-PoliticsNational IdentityImmigrationCapitalismThe internetGlobalisationmovementFeminismliberalismculturalism

Equ-MoreallyMore

Brit-Brit-Eng-Eng-Eng-ishishlishlishlishnotthanandthannot

Eng-Eng-Brit-Brit-Brit-0-45-78-10lishlishishishishIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodTotal

1406469562441252113345341785120848904380366648695989319290552692418716119707087294857743665593412369Unweighted base

1413469662361240112045321805123550034272366348656079296294652102470708420057020301756813754582612369Weighted base

63523763258772733232270128711473450189125141885015983333959145525914379693399581342616278Better if the UK45%51%52%62%65%51%39%23%23%81%52%52%31%54%33%64%24%64%29%62%23%70%22%73%51%remains in the EU

7742316297246638522041103946385681617692349419427519621868187925231413263323231677293915576078Better if the UK leaves55%49%48%38%34%49%61%77%77%19%48%48%69%46%67%36%76%36%70%38%77%30%78%27%49%the EU

436226111642-723-918-92813Don't know************-***-***-****

Page 190

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 39Q.24 Are each of the following more likely to be better if the UK remains in the EU, or better if the UK leaves the EU?Opportunities for children growing up todayBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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RegionSocial GradeAgeGenderYork-shireNorth-

WestEast&ernSouthSouthEast-Mid-Mid-Humb-NorthNorthIre-Scot-Eng-WestEastLondonernlandslandsersideEastWestlandWaleslandlandDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

1185184912921108985891112658814441706291102104682360165331795148296326632402209116096396513585012369Unweighted base

1186185112841113988894112958914451706311090104792384166931775111298126732409208515926276513585012369Weighted base

5127816244343963574532426148525363944147875231407265911311069953938877421279125965391Better if the UK43%42%49%39%40%40%40%41%43%50%40%59%42%33%31%44%52%38%40%40%45%55%67%43%44%44%remains in the EU

671106165667559253567534682985378450604015931143176224411845160214481143710204371132386952Better if the UK leaves57%57%51%61%60%60%60%59%57%50%60%41%58%67%68%55%48%62%60%60%55%45%32%57%55%56%the EU

3944-2-12--12543810528452101626Don't know****-*-**--***************

Page 191

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 40Q.24 Are each of the following more likely to be better if the UK remains in the EU, or better if the UK leaves the EU?The NHSBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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Reluctant ToTell How You

2015 VoteVotedWhen Mind Made UpReferendumSince

Longerbegin-In theOnagoningIn theIn thelastpol-

PlaidAlwaysthan aoflastlastfewlingCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConNoYesknownyearyearmonthweekdaysdayRemainLeaveTotal

7251950915109993442408511079129046167511743226680096612276198617112369Unweighted base

7251249815659823400410711080128946077581748226779996412255949642012369Weighted base

3031535364635198714764856535223926972198533538146052311605391Better if the UK41%62%71%4%65%58%36%44%42%49%36%41%43%42%40%38%88%2%44%remains in the EU

42197144149934514052619620674723664841024127646258175970862446952Better if the UK leaves59%38%29%96%35%41%64%56%58%51%64%59%56%58%60%62%12%97%56%the EU

--2218121972536226111626Don't know--******1%*1%********

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Absolutes/col percents

Table 40Q.24 Are each of the following more likely to be better if the UK remains in the EU, or better if the UK leaves the EU?The NHSBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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MethodologyRemain by GE2015Leave by GE2015PlaidPlaid

CATIOnlineCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConTotal

1000113693334338770718224817793917612214402811194230612369Unweighted base

996113733232937167689215817084118312714982921242239912369Weighted base

4954896303073474762419511411-86171136645391Better if the UK50%43%94%93%93%70%91%90%83%-5%5%1%4%3%3%44%remains in the EU

4756477222242064203293411751201479281120223266952Better if the UK leaves48%57%6%7%6%30%9%9%17%100%95%94%99%96%97%97%56%the EU

26---1-144--12-4826Don't know3%---*-***--1%*-***

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Absolutes/col percents

Table 40Q.24 Are each of the following more likely to be better if the UK remains in the EU, or better if the UK leaves the EU?The NHSBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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Attention Paid toThe GreenSocialMulti-PoliticsNational IdentityImmigrationCapitalismThe internetGlobalisationmovementFeminismliberalismculturalism

Equ-MoreallyMore

Brit-Brit-Eng-Eng-Eng-ishishlishlishlishnotthanandthannot

Eng-Eng-Brit-Brit-Brit-0-45-78-10lishlishishishishIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodTotal

1406469562441252113345341785120848904380366648695989319290552692418716119707087294857743665593412369Unweighted base

1413469662361240112045321805123550034272366348656079296294652102470708420057020301756813754582612369Weighted base

5001983290068563919775212448003219162521721484328814292648039674813863517360058638415391Better if the UK35%42%47%55%57%44%29%20%16%75%44%45%24%47%28%56%19%56%24%55%17%63%16%66%44%remains in the EU

90827093319550475254512829904197104420332686457495321272273198931011520314324962070316119736952Better if the UK leaves64%58%53%44%42%56%71%80%84%24%55%55%75%53%72%44%81%44%76%45%83%36%84%34%56%the EU

5417551021696721551111641441271326Don't know*************************

Page 194

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 40Q.24 Are each of the following more likely to be better if the UK remains in the EU, or better if the UK leaves the EU?The NHSBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 195: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

RegionSocial GradeAgeGenderYork-shireNorth-

WestEast&ernSouthSouthEast-Mid-Mid-Humb-NorthNorthIre-Scot-Eng-WestEastLondonernlandslandsersideEastWestlandWaleslandlandDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

1185184912921108985891112658814441706291102104682360165331795148296326632402209116096396513585012369Unweighted base

1186185112841113988894112958914451706311090104792384166931775111298126732409208515926276513585012369Weighted base

5037726014174023494612456098125062843597775311412258511081048949944852416272925885318Better if the UK42%42%47%37%41%39%41%42%42%48%40%58%42%33%32%44%51%37%39%39%45%54%66%42%44%43%remains in the EU

680107368169458354466634483589381459609916001138176125131871162314501139736208377632477028Better if the UK leaves57%58%53%62%59%61%59%58%58%52%60%42%58%67%68%55%49%63%61%60%55%46%33%58%56%57%the EU

3622312-2--22161312321023281523Don't know*******-*--***************

Page 195

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 41Q.24 Are each of the following more likely to be better if the UK remains in the EU, or better if the UK leaves the EU?Fairness in the welfare systemBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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Reluctant ToTell How You

2015 VoteVotedWhen Mind Made UpReferendumSince

Longerbegin-In theOnagoningIn theIn thelastpol-

PlaidAlwaysthan aoflastlastfewlingCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConNoYesknownyearyearmonthweekdaysdayRemainLeaveTotal

7251950915109993442408511079129046167511743226680096612276198617112369Unweighted base

7251249815659823400410711080128946077581748226779996412255949642012369Weighted base

2931434777626199614214778540222127971893033637446050782405318Better if the UK40%61%70%5%64%59%35%43%42%48%37%41%41%42%39%38%85%4%43%remains in the EU

43199148148835413982675628474423784771027133645959076185961697028Better if the UK leaves60%39%30%95%36%41%65%57%58%52%63%59%59%57%61%62%14%96%57%the EU

--3-16111858232413121023Don't know--1%-*********1%*****

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Absolutes/col percents

Table 41Q.24 Are each of the following more likely to be better if the UK remains in the EU, or better if the UK leaves the EU?Fairness in the welfare systemBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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MethodologyRemain by GE2015Leave by GE2015PlaidPlaid

CATIOnlineCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConTotal

1000113693334338770718224817793917612214402811194230612369Unweighted base

996113733232937167689215817084118312714982921242239912369Weighted base

4964823293033364960719191344-1011282077775318Better if the UK50%42%91%92%90%73%88%89%79%-6%9%2%7%6%3%43%remains in the EU

4786550326341882235360411731141470273116323157028Better if the UK leaves48%58%9%8%9%27%12%11%21%100%94%90%98%93%94%96%57%the EU

23---2-144--1--2723Don't know2%---1%-***--1%--***

Page 197

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Absolutes/col percents

Table 41Q.24 Are each of the following more likely to be better if the UK remains in the EU, or better if the UK leaves the EU?Fairness in the welfare systemBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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Attention Paid toThe GreenSocialMulti-PoliticsNational IdentityImmigrationCapitalismThe internetGlobalisationmovementFeminismliberalismculturalism

Equ-MoreallyMore

Brit-Brit-Eng-Eng-Eng-ishishlishlishlishnotthanandthannot

Eng-Eng-Brit-Brit-Brit-0-45-78-10lishlishishishishIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodTotal

1406469562441252113345341785120848904380366648695989319290552692418716119707087294857743665593412369Unweighted base

1413469662361240112045321805123550034272366348656079296294652102470708420057020301756813754582612369Weighted base

4941927289066663919525272297863172166220851524271838289247639284713792521354457937785318Better if the UK35%41%46%54%57%43%29%19%16%74%45%43%25%46%28%55%19%55%23%54%17%62%15%65%43%remains in the EU

913276433345714762573127610044214109019972772455500921072308199331421531321124942127317220317028Better if the UK leaves65%59%53%46%43%57%71%81%84%26%55%57%75%54%72%44%81%44%76%46%83%37%84%35%57%the EU

65123582231158-1711111431721131823Don't know************-************

Page 198

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 41Q.24 Are each of the following more likely to be better if the UK remains in the EU, or better if the UK leaves the EU?Fairness in the welfare systemBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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RegionSocial GradeAgeGenderYork-shireNorth-

WestEast&ernSouthSouthEast-Mid-Mid-Humb-NorthNorthIre-Scot-Eng-WestEastLondonernlandslandsersideEastWestlandWaleslandlandDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

1185184912921108985891112658814441706291102104682360165331795148296326632402209116096396513585012369Unweighted base

1186185112841113988894112958914451706311090104792384166931775111298126732409208515926276513585012369Weighted base

566897712498455417539287706902836865079918665161829201246121811311116990435328328536138Better if the UK48%48%55%45%46%47%48%49%49%53%45%63%48%39%40%51%57%42%46%47%54%62%69%50%49%50%remains in the EU

6189435676145334745873027367934740053731459100315512174172814541271962594191321529806199Better if the UK leaves52%51%44%55%54%53%52%51%51%46%55%37%51%61%60%49%43%58%54%53%46%37%30%49%51%50%the EU

21151-32-31132762816817781151732Don't know*1%**-**-*1%****************

Page 199

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 42Q.24 Are each of the following more likely to be better if the UK remains in the EU, or better if the UK leaves the EU?Our protection against terrorismBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 200: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

Reluctant ToTell How You

2015 VoteVotedWhen Mind Made UpReferendumSince

Longerbegin-In theOnagoningIn theIn thelastpol-

PlaidAlwaysthan aoflastlastfewlingCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConNoYesknownyearyearmonthweekdaysdayRemainLeaveTotal

7251950915109993442408511079129046167511743226680096612276198617112369Unweighted base

7251249815659823400410711080128946077581748226779996412255949642012369Weighted base

343383721276982170177854646742339288808115741449963355655736138Better if the UK47%66%75%8%71%64%43%49%52%51%38%46%51%52%52%52%94%9%50%remains in the EU

3817312314382811219231955926072257466938110538446458637058306199Better if the UK leaves53%34%25%92%29%36%56%50%47%49%61%54%49%48%48%48%6%91%50%the EU

-24-2111024811436116151732Don't know-*1%-****1%*1%****1%***

Page 200

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 42Q.24 Are each of the following more likely to be better if the UK remains in the EU, or better if the UK leaves the EU?Our protection against terrorismBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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MethodologyRemain by GE2015Leave by GE2015PlaidPlaid

CATIOnlineCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConTotal

1000113693334338770718224817793917612214402811194230612369Unweighted base

996113733232937167689215817084118312714982921242239912369Weighted base

53456042931535456655203915645231872441312146138Better if the UK54%49%91%96%95%83%95%94%92%13%13%14%5%15%11%9%50%remains in the EU

4305769314141234113139351581081426248110621796199Better if the UK leaves43%51%9%4%4%17%5%5%8%87%86%85%95%85%89%91%50%the EU

32---3-165-21-15532Don't know3%---1%-***-1%1%-****

Page 201

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 42Q.24 Are each of the following more likely to be better if the UK remains in the EU, or better if the UK leaves the EU?Our protection against terrorismBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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Attention Paid toThe GreenSocialMulti-PoliticsNational IdentityImmigrationCapitalismThe internetGlobalisationmovementFeminismliberalismculturalism

Equ-MoreallyMore

Brit-Brit-Eng-Eng-Eng-ishishlishlishlishnotthanandthannot

Eng-Eng-Brit-Brit-Brit-0-45-78-10lishlishishishishIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodTotal

1406469562441252113345341785120848904380366648695989319290552692418716119707087294857743665593412369Unweighted base

1413469662361240112045321805123550034272366348656079296294652102470708420057020301756813754582612369Weighted base

62823483153749703229065330711633375185124211774913940328358244435744289648393678641696138Better if the UK44%50%51%60%63%51%36%25%23%79%51%50%29%53%32%63%24%63%29%61%21%69%21%72%50%remains in the EU

7782340306648841522321149924383688518052431427436320011917188426211428271023681729296416396199Better if the UK leaves55%50%49%39%37%49%64%75%77%21%49%50%70%47%68%37%76%37%71%39%78%30%79%28%50%the EU

781742113441381332051142132111641932Don't know************1%************

Page 202

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 42Q.24 Are each of the following more likely to be better if the UK remains in the EU, or better if the UK leaves the EU?Our protection against terrorismBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 203: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

RegionSocial GradeAgeGenderYork-shireNorth-

WestEast&ernSouthSouthEast-Mid-Mid-Humb-NorthNorthIre-Scot-Eng-WestEastLondonernlandslandsersideEastWestlandWaleslandlandDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

1185184912921108985891112658814441706291102104682360165331795148296326632402209116096396513585012369Unweighted base

1186185112841113988894112958914451706311090104792384166931775111298126732409208515926276513585012369Weighted base

3615414662932602303291654224218344730675443579841841736714642695642308198817503738Better if the UK30%29%36%26%26%26%29%28%29%25%29%41%29%23%21%31%36%25%27%27%33%40%49%31%30%30%remains in the EU

82513048178187266627994231023126448639739718351312218732612238195517661389945318451340938611Better if the UK leaves70%70%64%73%74%74%71%72%71%75%71%59%71%77%79%69%64%75%73%73%67%59%51%69%70%70%the EU

-612221111-4155-6984224113820Don't know-********1%-***-***********

Page 203

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 43Q.24 Are each of the following more likely to be better if the UK remains in the EU, or better if the UK leaves the EU?The immigration systemBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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Reluctant ToTell How You

2015 VoteVotedWhen Mind Made UpReferendumSince

Longerbegin-In theOnagoningIn theIn thelastpol-

PlaidAlwaysthan aoflastlastfewlingCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConNoYesknownyearyearmonthweekdaysdayRemainLeaveTotal

7251950915109993442408511079129046167511743226680096612276198617112369Unweighted base

7251249815659823400410711080128946077581748226779996412255949642012369Weighted base

21235282324201505894337836017792165125702011952663672673738Better if the UK29%46%56%2%43%44%22%30%28%39%29%29%25%25%20%22%62%1%30%remains in the EU

512772131532559189032097687924282354012341692597769955225963528611Better if the UK leaves71%54%43%98%57%56%78%69%72%61%71%71%75%75%80%78%38%99%70%the EU

--41363155622511419120Don't know--1%****************

Page 204

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 43Q.24 Are each of the following more likely to be better if the UK remains in the EU, or better if the UK leaves the EU?The immigration systemBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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MethodologyRemain by GE2015Leave by GE2015PlaidPlaid

CATIOnlineCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConTotal

1000113693334338770718224817793917612214402811194230612369Unweighted base

996113733232937167689215817084118312714982921242239912369Weighted base

3743364202312772841514868721444519233738Better if the UK38%30%64%70%75%41%60%69%51%3%2%3%*2%2%1%30%remains in the EU

602800912989138272666833401791221494287122323768611Better if the UK leaves60%70%36%30%25%57%39%31%49%97%98%96%100%98%98%99%70%the EU

20---31363--1----20Don't know2%---1%1%***--1%----*

Page 205

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 43Q.24 Are each of the following more likely to be better if the UK remains in the EU, or better if the UK leaves the EU?The immigration systemBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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Attention Paid toThe GreenSocialMulti-PoliticsNational IdentityImmigrationCapitalismThe internetGlobalisationmovementFeminismliberalismculturalism

Equ-MoreallyMore

Brit-Brit-Eng-Eng-Eng-ishishlishlishlishnotthanandthannot

Eng-Eng-Brit-Brit-Brit-0-45-78-10lishlishishishishIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodTotal

1406469562441252113345341785120848904380366648695989319290552692418716119707087294857743665593412369Unweighted base

1413469662361240112045321805123550034272366348656079296294652102470708420057020301756813754582612369Weighted base

3201324208852246813352971553702523121914161082980535209728428442642776286265327828833738Better if the UK23%28%33%42%42%29%16%13%7%59%33%29%18%32%18%40%11%40%13%40%9%47%7%49%30%remains in the EU

1086336741407176473195150610784629174324353447497630624083107218642281739423027303018347629318611Better if the UK leaves77%72%66%58%58%70%83%87%93%41%66%71%82%68%82%60%88%60%87%60%90%53%93%50%70%the EU

858253324710321147112214111-1220Don't know1%*********************-**

Page 206

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 43Q.24 Are each of the following more likely to be better if the UK remains in the EU, or better if the UK leaves the EU?The immigration systemBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 207: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

RegionSocial GradeAgeGenderYork-shireNorth-

WestEast&ernSouthSouthEast-Mid-Mid-Humb-NorthNorthIre-Scot-Eng-WestEastLondonernlandslandsersideEastWestlandWaleslandlandDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

1185184912921108985891112658814441706291102104682360165331795148296326632402209116096396513585012369Unweighted base

1186185112841113988894112958914451706311090104792384166931775111298126732409208515926276513585012369Weighted base

647984775576506446605295768101320723560210117311789319913891329126912331059465355131936746Better if the UK55%53%60%52%51%50%54%50%53%60%51%66%53%42%44%56%63%47%50%53%59%67%74%55%55%55%remains in the EU

537861503534477447523294675693113634850136693613791899158513401134847528158294526435592Better if the UK leaves45%46%39%48%48%50%46%50%47%40%49%33%46%57%56%43%37%53%50%47%41%33%25%45%45%45%the EU

2763421-2--42773812836544171431Don't know*******-*--***********1%***

Page 207

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 44Q.24 Are each of the following more likely to be better if the UK remains in the EU, or better if the UK leaves the EU?The cost of livingBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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Reluctant ToTell How You

2015 VoteVotedWhen Mind Made UpReferendumSince

Longerbegin-In theOnagoningIn theIn thelastpol-

PlaidAlwaysthan aoflastlastfewlingCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConNoYesknownyearyearmonthweekdaysdayRemainLeaveTotal

7251950915109993442408511079129046167511743226680096612276198617112369Unweighted base

7251249815659823400410711080128946077581748226779996412255949642012369Weighted base

433503892147392287205459737732495317891127246257273657579896746Better if the UK60%68%78%14%75%67%50%54%60%54%42%51%56%58%59%60%97%15%55%remains in the EU

291601051351242110520425081511210643685598633638848618154105592Better if the UK leaves40%31%21%86%25%33%50%46%40%46%57%49%43%42%40%40%3%84%45%the EU

-35-18112656529243122031Don't know-1%1%-******1%********

Page 208

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 44Q.24 Are each of the following more likely to be better if the UK remains in the EU, or better if the UK leaves the EU?The cost of livingBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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MethodologyRemain by GE2015Leave by GE2015PlaidPlaid

CATIOnlineCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConTotal

1000113693334338770718224817793917612214402811194230612369Unweighted base

996113733232937167689215817084118312714982921242239912369Weighted base

5716175313213626567120991636122927149681874186746Better if the UK57%54%97%97%97%97%97%97%96%31%16%21%10%23%15%17%55%remains in the EU

3945198187217576828152981349225104919735592Better if the UK leaves40%46%3%2%2%3%3%3%4%69%83%77%90%77%84%82%45%the EU

31--13-124-22--6731Don't know3%--*1%-***-1%2%--1%**

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Absolutes/col percents

Table 44Q.24 Are each of the following more likely to be better if the UK remains in the EU, or better if the UK leaves the EU?The cost of livingBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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Equ-MoreallyMore

Brit-Brit-Eng-Eng-Eng-ishishlishlishlishnotthanandthannot

Eng-Eng-Brit-Brit-Brit-0-45-78-10lishlishishishishIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodTotal

1406469562441252113345341785120848904380366648695989319290552692418716119707087294857743665593412369Unweighted base

1413469662361240112045321805123550034272366348656079296294652102470708420057020301756813754582612369Weighted base

6932600344480775924967803491450350720072700216533511023500709477066845988474140102243806746Better if the UK49%55%55%65%68%55%43%28%29%82%55%55%36%57%37%67%29%67%33%66%28%73%27%75%55%remains in the EU

7102087277943135720231020884354475516462155390393918381701175922931333240521691529272414295592Better if the UK leaves50%44%45%35%32%45%57%72%71%18%45%44%64%42%62%33%71%32%66%34%72%27%73%25%45%the EU

9913241352911111012261022141711271731Don't know1%************************

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Absolutes/col percents

Table 44Q.24 Are each of the following more likely to be better if the UK remains in the EU, or better if the UK leaves the EU?The cost of livingBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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RegionSocial GradeAgeGenderYork-shireNorth-

WestEast&ernSouthSouthEast-Mid-Mid-Humb-NorthNorthIre-Scot-Eng-WestEastLondonernlandslandsersideEastWestlandWaleslandlandDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

1185184912921108985891112658814441706291102104682360165331795148296326632402209116096396513585012369Unweighted base

1186185112841113988894112958914451706311090104792384166931775111298126732409208515926276513585012369Weighted base

2513673322121851642271083084013834621544252757261244495498447504500233141812592677Better if the UK21%20%26%19%19%18%20%18%21%23%22%32%21%18%16%23%24%17%19%19%24%31%37%22%22%22%remains in the EU

934148194990080272990248111371304947438315195613942446386424862173195815811090393509145849681Better if the UK leaves79%80%74%81%81%82%80%82%79%77%78%68%79%82%84%77%76%83%81%81%76%68%63%78%78%78%the EU

132111--1--1103-4312512-4711Don't know******--*--***-*******-***

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Absolutes/col percents

Table 45Q.24 Are each of the following more likely to be better if the UK remains in the EU, or better if the UK leaves the EU?Ability to control our own lawsBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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Reluctant ToTell How You

2015 VoteVotedWhen Mind Made UpReferendumSince

Longerbegin-In theOnagoningIn theIn thelastpol-

PlaidAlwaysthan aoflastlastfewlingCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConNoYesknownyearyearmonthweekdaysdayRemainLeaveTotal

7251950915109993442408511079129046167511743226680096612276198617112369Unweighted base

7251249815659823400410711080128946077581748226779996412255949642012369Weighted base

19179201232911117580239228512981503313901551512022640372677Better if the UK27%35%40%1%30%33%14%22%22%28%20%19%17%19%16%16%44%1%22%remains in the EU

53333294154268922813526868010013306606141618756438121022330063819681Better if the UK leaves73%65%59%99%70%67%86%78%78%72%80%81%83%81%84%83%55%99%78%the EU

-14-12192321211110111Don't know-*1%-***************

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Absolutes/col percents

Table 45Q.24 Are each of the following more likely to be better if the UK remains in the EU, or better if the UK leaves the EU?Ability to control our own lawsBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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MethodologyRemain by GE2015Leave by GE2015PlaidPlaid

CATIOnlineCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConTotal

1000113693334338770718224817793917612214402811194230612369Unweighted base

996113733232937167689215817084118312714982921242239912369Weighted base

276240118177200222861104570121151492677Better if the UK28%21%58%54%54%33%42%51%33%3%1%1%*2%1%*22%remains in the EU

7108971131521694540210521137401811251497287122923909681Better if the UK leaves71%79%42%46%45%67%58%49%67%97%99%98%100%98%99%100%78%the EU

11--13-121--1----11Don't know1%--*1%-***--1%----*

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Absolutes/col percents

Table 45Q.24 Are each of the following more likely to be better if the UK remains in the EU, or better if the UK leaves the EU?Ability to control our own lawsBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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Equ-MoreallyMore

Brit-Brit-Eng-Eng-Eng-ishishlishlishlishnotthanandthannot

Eng-Eng-Brit-Brit-Brit-0-45-78-10lishlishishishishIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodTotal

1406469562441252113345341785120848904380366648695989319290552692418716119707087294857743665593412369Unweighted base

1413469662361240112045321805123550034272366348656079296294652102470708420057020301756813754582612369Weighted base

23390915273893259111891273101769863996752144406149921720151901986221186921220272677Better if the UK17%19%24%31%29%20%10%10%6%41%24%20%12%23%14%29%9%28%9%28%7%33%6%35%22%remains in the EU

1177378247068517943618161511084691250027963868531714625373710225350611815502627943808354137939681Better if the UK leaves83%81%75%69%71%80%89%90%94%59%76%79%88%77%86%71%91%71%91%72%93%67%94%65%78%the EU

254-141-23511742-9-9241711Don't know***-***-********-*-******

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EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 45Q.24 Are each of the following more likely to be better if the UK remains in the EU, or better if the UK leaves the EU?Ability to control our own lawsBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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RegionSocial GradeAgeGenderYork-shireNorth-

WestEast&ernSouthSouthEast-Mid-Mid-Humb-NorthNorthIre-Scot-Eng-WestEastLondonernlandslandsersideEastWestlandWaleslandlandDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

1185184912921108985891112658814441706291102104682360165331795148296326632402209116096396513585012369Unweighted base

1186185112841113988894112958914451706311090104792384166931775111298126732409208515926276513585012369Weighted base

6249507685294784275752817568930670553889336711725314513081271118911871052479340230836487Better if the UK53%51%60%48%48%48%51%48%52%53%48%65%51%39%40%54%62%44%48%49%57%66%76%52%53%52%remains in the EU

561897511583510464554308687803253855076144999714491959167014011214898537147310627565866Better if the UK leaves47%48%40%52%52%52%49%52%48%47%52%35%48%61%60%46%38%56%52%50%43%34%23%48%47%47%the EU

1441-3--2---15223731613141115Don't know****-*--*---**************

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EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 46Q.24 Are each of the following more likely to be better if the UK remains in the EU, or better if the UK leaves the EU?The economy as a wholeBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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Reluctant ToTell How You

2015 VoteVotedWhen Mind Made UpReferendumSince

Longerbegin-In theOnagoningIn theIn thelastpol-

PlaidAlwaysthan aoflastlastfewlingCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConNoYesknownyearyearmonthweekdaysdayRemainLeaveTotal

7251950915109993442408511079129046167511743226680096612276198617112369Unweighted base

7251249815659823400410711080128946077581748226779996412255949642012369Weighted base

373403871457272253195457357522420306846120844156170658506386487Better if the UK51%66%78%9%74%66%48%52%58%53%40%48%53%55%58%58%98%10%52%remains in the EU

351721091419254114221485334532218444990310553574045159557715866Better if the UK leaves49%34%22%91%26%34%52%48%41%47%59%52%47%45%42%42%2%90%47%the EU

--2115511433-41-451015Don't know--*********-**-****

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Absolutes/col percents

Table 46Q.24 Are each of the following more likely to be better if the UK remains in the EU, or better if the UK leaves the EU?The economy as a wholeBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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MethodologyRemain by GE2015Leave by GE2015PlaidPlaid

CATIOnlineCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConTotal

1000113693334338770718224817793917612214402811194230612369Unweighted base

996113733232937167689215817084118312714982921242239912369Weighted base

55459333132336965679212516766181980481282786487Better if the UK56%52%97%98%99%97%98%98%98%15%10%15%5%16%10%12%52%remains in the EU

42754391722113230341651071417243111021185866Better if the UK leaves43%48%3%2%1%3%2%1%2%85%90%84%95%83%89%88%47%the EU

15---1--12--1114315Don't know2%---*--**--1%*****

Page 217

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 46Q.24 Are each of the following more likely to be better if the UK remains in the EU, or better if the UK leaves the EU?The economy as a wholeBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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Attention Paid toThe GreenSocialMulti-PoliticsNational IdentityImmigrationCapitalismThe internetGlobalisationmovementFeminismliberalismculturalism

Equ-MoreallyMore

Brit-Brit-Eng-Eng-Eng-ishishlishlishlishnotthanandthannot

Eng-Eng-Brit-Brit-Brit-0-45-78-10lishlishishishishIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodTotal

1406469562441252113345341785120848904380366648695989319290552692418716119707087294857743665593412369Unweighted base

1413469662361240112045321805123550034272366348656079296294652102470708420057020301756813754582612369Weighted base

657244433787947392396729331129035011944260820151711041342264246646454473765407092043226487Better if the UK47%52%54%64%66%53%40%27%26%82%53%54%33%56%35%66%26%66%32%64%25%72%25%74%52%remains in the EU

7502248285344337721311077903371176617142253405411519031785182724111359253722511605283214965866Better if the UK leaves53%48%46%36%34%47%60%73%74%18%47%46%67%44%65%34%74%34%68%36%75%28%75%26%47%the EU

645346-1255411123110110162915Don't know******-******************

Page 218

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 46Q.24 Are each of the following more likely to be better if the UK remains in the EU, or better if the UK leaves the EU?The economy as a wholeBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 219: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

RegionSocial GradeAgeGenderYork-shireNorth-

WestEast&ernSouthSouthEast-Mid-Mid-Humb-NorthNorthIre-Scot-Eng-WestEastLondonernlandslandsersideEastWestlandWaleslandlandDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

1185184912921108985891112658814441706291102104682360165331795148296326632402209116096396513585012369Unweighted base

1186185112841113988894112958914451706311090104792384166931775111298126732409208515926276513585012369Weighted base

63097476354750843859729277691315726552510047321741316513381322121912271070480355431016658Better if the UK53%53%59%49%51%49%53%50%54%54%50%67%53%42%44%55%62%45%49%51%59%67%77%55%53%54%remains in the EU

555872519564478455532297669793153594940137693714301936163813511185856517145295027395693Better if the UK leaves47%47%40%51%48%51%47%50%46%46%50%33%47%58%56%45%38%55%51%49%41%32%23%45%47%46%the EU

152212----141331595-525181018Don't know******----********-*******

Page 219

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 47Q.24 Are each of the following more likely to be better if the UK remains in the EU, or better if the UK leaves the EU?The UK's influence in the worldBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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Reluctant ToTell How You

2015 VoteVotedWhen Mind Made UpReferendumSince

Longerbegin-In theOnagoningIn theIn thelastpol-

PlaidAlwaysthan aoflastlastfewlingCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConNoYesknownyearyearmonthweekdaysdayRemainLeaveTotal

7251950915109993442408511079129046167511743226680096612276198617112369Unweighted base

7251249815659823400410711080128946077581748226779996412255949642012369Weighted base

433543892087212303198159207382492312870125646256370257648946658Better if the UK60%69%78%13%73%68%48%53%57%54%41%50%55%58%58%57%97%14%54%remains in the EU

2915510813552591092212351465472108445877101033639851818055135693Better if the UK leaves40%30%22%87%26%32%52%46%42%46%59%50%45%42%41%42%3%86%46%the EU

-322153153711113461218Don't know-1%*****************

Page 220

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 47Q.24 Are each of the following more likely to be better if the UK remains in the EU, or better if the UK leaves the EU?The UK's influence in the worldBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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MethodologyRemain by GE2015Leave by GE2015PlaidPlaid

CATIOnlineCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConTotal

1000113693334338770718224817793917612214402811194230612369Unweighted base

996113733232937167689215817084118312714982921242239912369Weighted base

5556102323183676066921061639113622148521973426658Better if the UK56%54%100%97%99%90%97%98%96%28%20%17%10%18%16%14%54%remains in the EU

4235270-1146205068291451041349239104220555693Better if the UK leaves42%46%-3%1%9%3%2%4%72%79%82%90%82%84%86%46%the EU

18--111-21-21113218Don't know2%--**1%-**-1%1%*****

Page 221

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 47Q.24 Are each of the following more likely to be better if the UK remains in the EU, or better if the UK leaves the EU?The UK's influence in the worldBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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Attention Paid toThe GreenSocialMulti-PoliticsNational IdentityImmigrationCapitalismThe internetGlobalisationmovementFeminismliberalismculturalism

Equ-MoreallyMore

Brit-Brit-Eng-Eng-Eng-ishishlishlishlishnotthanandthannot

Eng-Eng-Brit-Brit-Brit-0-45-78-10lishlishishishishIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodTotal

1406469562441252113345341785120848904380366648695989319290552692418716119707087294857743665593412369Unweighted base

1413469662361240112045321805123550034272366348656079296294652102470708420057020301756813754582612369Weighted base

6822583338478974524687533611443346720192634205526211063432687473166045528364081100543426658Better if the UK48%55%54%64%67%54%42%29%29%81%55%54%34%57%38%66%28%67%33%65%28%72%27%75%54%remains in the EU

7272109284245137320581049873355779916362225400402418371772178123421341245921801591274314745693Better if the UK leaves51%45%46%36%33%45%58%71%71%19%45%46%66%43%62%34%72%33%67%35%72%28%73%25%46%the EU

4410-1631368621036311491951018Don't know***-*********************

Page 222

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 47Q.24 Are each of the following more likely to be better if the UK remains in the EU, or better if the UK leaves the EU?The UK's influence in the worldBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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RegionSocial GradeAgeGenderYork-shireNorth-

WestEast&ernSouthSouthEast-Mid-Mid-Humb-NorthNorthIre-Scot-Eng-WestEastLondonernlandslandsersideEastWestlandWaleslandlandDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

1185184912921108985891112658814441706291102104682360165331795148296326632402209116096396513585012369Unweighted base

1186185112841113988894112958914451706311090104792384166931775111298126732409208515926276513585012369Weighted base

51480866644241537849124863784265649459781256314882719110511039971025918446289427005596Better if the UK43%44%52%40%42%42%44%42%44%49%42%60%44%34%34%47%53%37%41%41%49%58%71%44%46%45%remains in the EU

672104261667057251563634180885366439587115661106168723871875156714081058672180361231456760Better if the UK leaves57%56%48%60%58%58%56%58%56%50%58%40%56%66%66%53%47%63%59%58%51%42%29%55%54%55%the EU

1221122--1-1116-2523422-7613Don't know*******--1%-***-*******-***

Page 223

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 48Q.24 Are each of the following more likely to be better if the UK remains in the EU, or better if the UK leaves the EU?Rights for people in the UKBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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Reluctant ToTell How You

2015 VoteVotedWhen Mind Made UpReferendumSince

Longerbegin-In theOnagoningIn theIn thelastpol-

PlaidAlwaysthan aoflastlastfewlingCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConNoYesknownyearyearmonthweekdaysdayRemainLeaveTotal

7251950915109993442408511079129046167511743226680096612276198617112369Unweighted base

7251249815659823400410711080128946077581748226779996412255949642012369Weighted base

29320368906492086150250305652290278763100435641549152553405596Better if the UK40%62%74%6%66%61%37%45%44%50%37%44%44%44%43%40%88%5%45%remains in the EU

4319213014743321309260060427182314478986125944354973168860726760Better if the UK leaves60%38%26%94%34%38%63%55%56%50%63%56%56%55%57%60%12%95%55%the EU

--11-558532-41-36713Don't know--**-******-**-****

Page 224

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 48Q.24 Are each of the following more likely to be better if the UK remains in the EU, or better if the UK leaves the EU?Rights for people in the UKBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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MethodologyRemain by GE2015Leave by GE2015PlaidPlaid

CATIOnlineCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConTotal

1000113693334338770718224817793917612214402811194230612369Unweighted base

996113733232937167689215817084118312714982921242239912369Weighted base

52150752830335452622198313951171438271031075596Better if the UK52%45%88%92%95%77%90%92%82%3%9%11%3%9%8%4%45%remains in the EU

4626298426171567173310401661121458265113622906760Better if the UK leaves46%55%12%8%5%23%10%8%18%97%91%89%97%91%91%95%55%the EU

13------23--11-3213Don't know1%------**--1%*-***

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Absolutes/col percents

Table 48Q.24 Are each of the following more likely to be better if the UK remains in the EU, or better if the UK leaves the EU?Rights for people in the UKBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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Attention Paid toThe GreenSocialMulti-PoliticsNational IdentityImmigrationCapitalismThe internetGlobalisationmovementFeminismliberalismculturalism

Equ-MoreallyMore

Brit-Brit-Eng-Eng-Eng-ishishlishlishlishnotthanandthannot

Eng-Eng-Brit-Brit-Brit-0-45-78-10lishlishishishishIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodTotal

1406469562441252113345341785120848904380366648695989319290552692418716119707087294857743665593412369Unweighted base

1413469662361240112045321805123550034272366348656079296294652102470708420057020301756813754582612369Weighted base

4972050304070666820595632438603287172422131704483890301049941504843998553371365739545596Better if the UK35%44%49%57%60%45%31%20%17%77%47%45%28%48%30%58%20%59%24%57%18%65%18%68%45%remains in the EU

9112641319253245024711240990414198119362649438480620562196197029281517301524621962309418666760Better if the UK leaves65%56%51%43%40%55%69%80%83%23%53%54%72%52%70%42%80%41%76%43%82%35%82%32%55%the EU

454222223533-7141647262713Don't know************-************

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Absolutes/col percents

Table 48Q.24 Are each of the following more likely to be better if the UK remains in the EU, or better if the UK leaves the EU?Rights for people in the UKBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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RegionSocial GradeAgeGenderYork-shireNorth-

WestEast&ernSouthSouthEast-Mid-Mid-Humb-NorthNorthIre-Scot-Eng-WestEastLondonernlandslandsersideEastWestlandWaleslandlandDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

1185184912921108985891112658814441706291102104682360165331795148296326632402209116096396513585012369Unweighted base

1186185112841113988894112958914451706311090104792384166931775111298126732409208515926276513585012369Weighted base

707107586262357951365832585698364779620011088241983350715721503139213261144502385635837440Better if the UK60%58%67%56%59%57%58%55%59%58%58%71%59%47%49%62%69%53%56%58%64%72%80%59%61%60%remains in the EU

476774419489409378469264586722673114264127184411891599140511691014760442124265022594913Better if the UK leaves40%42%33%44%41%42%42%45%41%42%42%29%41%53%51%37%31%47%44%42%36%28%20%41%39%40%the EU

3221-31-3---154145513-517815Don't know****-**-*---********-*****

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Absolutes/col percents

Table 49Q.24 Are each of the following more likely to be better if the UK remains in the EU, or better if the UK leaves the EU?Investment in the UK by international companiesBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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Reluctant ToTell How You

2015 VoteVotedWhen Mind Made UpReferendumSince

Longerbegin-In theOnagoningIn theIn thelastpol-

PlaidAlwaysthan aoflastlastfewlingCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConNoYesknownyearyearmonthweekdaysdayRemainLeaveTotal

7251950915109993442408511079129046167511743226680096612276198617112369Unweighted base

7251249815659823400410711080128946077581748226779996412255949642012369Weighted base

43371412337800242023176591849269335710061428507640809583516057440Better if the UK60%72%83%22%82%71%56%59%66%58%47%58%63%63%66%66%98%25%60%remains in the EU

2914286122718097517824479434191039874083629232541211048034913Better if the UK leaves40%28%17%78%18%29%43%40%34%41%53%42%37%37%34%34%2%75%40%the EU

--111471054223--441115Don't know--***********--****

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Absolutes/col percents

Table 49Q.24 Are each of the following more likely to be better if the UK remains in the EU, or better if the UK leaves the EU?Investment in the UK by international companiesBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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MethodologyRemain by GE2015Leave by GE2015PlaidPlaid

CATIOnlineCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConTotal

1000113693334338770718224817793917612214402811194230612369Unweighted base

996113733232937167689215817084118312714982921242239912369Weighted base

61968213132036362681212916711251492751202916467440Better if the UK62%60%97%97%98%93%99%99%98%31%28%39%18%41%23%27%60%remains in the EU

362455111095929332813277122217294717504913Better if the UK leaves36%40%3%3%2%7%1%1%2%69%72%61%82%59%76%73%40%the EU

15-------4--1114315Don't know2%-------*--1%*****

Page 229

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Absolutes/col percents

Table 49Q.24 Are each of the following more likely to be better if the UK remains in the EU, or better if the UK leaves the EU?Investment in the UK by international companiesBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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Attention Paid toThe GreenSocialMulti-PoliticsNational IdentityImmigrationCapitalismThe internetGlobalisationmovementFeminismliberalismculturalism

Equ-MoreallyMore

Brit-Brit-Eng-Eng-Eng-ishishlishlishlishnotthanandthannot

Eng-Eng-Brit-Brit-Brit-0-45-78-10lishlishishishishIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodTotal

1406469562441252113345341785120848904380366648695989319290552692418716119707087294857743665593412369Unweighted base

1413469662361240112045321805123550034272366348656079296294652102470708420057020301756813754582612369Weighted base

77428483809861816272893643718343640221529982515858135537078895104855492610884373134246087440Better if the UK55%61%61%69%73%60%52%35%37%85%60%62%41%63%46%71%36%72%43%70%36%77%36%79%60%remains in the EU

630184524233783041794868796316662914451861354342815901498158119711148208619271303241012094913Better if the UK leaves45%39%39%31%27%40%48%64%63%15%39%38%58%37%54%29%64%28%57%30%64%23%64%21%40%the EU

8341-1012343621015-928252915Don't know1%***-***********-********

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Absolutes/col percents

Table 49Q.24 Are each of the following more likely to be better if the UK remains in the EU, or better if the UK leaves the EU?Investment in the UK by international companiesBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 231: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

RegionSocial GradeAgeGenderYork-shireNorth-

WestEast&ernSouthSouthEast-Mid-Mid-Humb-NorthNorthIre-Scot-Eng-WestEastLondonernlandslandsersideEastWestlandWaleslandlandDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

1185184912921108985891112658814441706291102104682360165331795148296326632402209116096396513585012369Unweighted base

1186185112841113988894112958914451706311090104792384166931775111298126732409208515926276513585012369Weighted base

553842684464434389504269675892846644814842595153428631194114610391065953451306827815850Better if the UK47%45%53%42%44%43%45%46%47%52%45%61%46%35%36%48%56%40%43%43%51%60%72%47%48%47%remains in the EU

634100659564955350362432076981347424565415381073164122411785152613671018636176343830656507Better if the UK leaves53%54%46%58%56%56%55%54%53%48%55%39%54%65%64%52%44%60%57%57%49%40%28%53%52%53%the EU

-34-12--1--111312631323-7512Don't know-**-**--*--***********-***

Page 231

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Absolutes/col percents

Table 50Q.24 Are each of the following more likely to be better if the UK remains in the EU, or better if the UK leaves the EU?The quality of life in the UKBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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Reluctant ToTell How You

2015 VoteVotedWhen Mind Made UpReferendumSince

Longerbegin-In theOnagoningIn theIn thelastpol-

PlaidAlwaysthan aoflastlastfewlingCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConNoYesknownyearyearmonthweekdaysdayRemainLeaveTotal

7251950915109993442408511079129046167511743226680096612276198617112369Unweighted base

7251249815659823400410711080128946077581748226779996412255949642012369Weighted base

37325365646762122167652346162326281776106738545755957051465850Better if the UK51%63%73%4%69%62%41%47%48%50%37%44%47%48%47%46%96%2%47%remains in the EU

3518713215013051271242758386692278474973119841450766324062676507Better if the UK leaves49%36%27%96%31%37%59%53%52%49%63%56%53%52%53%54%4%98%53%the EU

-11--738433-2-135712Don't know-**--******-*-*****

Page 232

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 50Q.24 Are each of the following more likely to be better if the UK remains in the EU, or better if the UK leaves the EU?The quality of life in the UKBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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MethodologyRemain by GE2015Leave by GE2015PlaidPlaid

CATIOnlineCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConTotal

1000113693334338770718224817793917612214402811194230612369Unweighted base

996113733232937167689215817084118312714982921242239912369Weighted base

51853323232136257668208816115437834665850Better if the UK52%47%100%97%97%84%97%97%94%13%2%2%*3%3%3%47%remains in the EU

4666041-91011216795351781231491284120423326507Better if the UK leaves47%53%-3%3%16%3%3%6%87%97%97%100%97%97%97%53%the EU

12------32-11--4112Don't know1%------**-1%1%--***

Page 233

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 50Q.24 Are each of the following more likely to be better if the UK remains in the EU, or better if the UK leaves the EU?The quality of life in the UKBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 234: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

Attention Paid toThe GreenSocialMulti-PoliticsNational IdentityImmigrationCapitalismThe internetGlobalisationmovementFeminismliberalismculturalism

Equ-MoreallyMore

Brit-Brit-Eng-Eng-Eng-ishishlishlishlishnotthanandthannot

Eng-Eng-Brit-Brit-Brit-0-45-78-10lishlishishishishIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodTotal

1406469562441252113345341785120848904380366648695989319290552692418716119707087294857743665593412369Unweighted base

1413469662361240112045321805123550034272366348656079296294652102470708420057020301756813754582612369Weighted base

5812189307373169621725862549363387177023451704686879319452142935094153584384466441035850Better if the UK41%47%49%59%62%48%32%21%19%79%48%48%28%50%30%61%21%61%25%59%19%68%18%70%47%remains in the EU

8282505315750642223571220979406788118872520437460420662015195027841496285724331830308817166507Better if the UK leaves59%53%51%41%38%52%68%79%81%21%52%52%72%50%70%39%79%39%75%41%81%32%82%29%53%the EU

426314-214611622-8-10-72812Don't know******-*********-*-*-****

Page 234

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 50Q.24 Are each of the following more likely to be better if the UK remains in the EU, or better if the UK leaves the EU?The quality of life in the UKBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 235: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

RegionSocial GradeAgeGenderYork-shireNorth-

WestEast&ernSouthSouthEast-Mid-Mid-Humb-NorthNorthIre-Scot-Eng-WestEastLondonernlandslandsersideEastWestlandWaleslandlandDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

1185184912921108985891112658814441706291102104682360165331795148296326632402209116096396513585012369Unweighted base

1186185112841113988894112958914451706311090104792384166931775111298126732409208515926276513585012369Weighted base

111196195109110104100601391456961123243176352517168191248304294857665221289Yes I would9%11%15%10%11%12%9%10%10%8%9%9%11%10%11%11%10%6%7%10%15%18%13%12%9%10%

10751655108910048787901029529130615657599393562141149328244594281324822162178112985425746532811080No I wouldn't91%89%85%90%89%88%91%90%90%92%91%91%89%90%89%89%90%94%93%90%85%82%87%88%91%90%

Page 235

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 51Q.25 Would you be reluctant in any way to tell your friends, family or colleagues how you voted?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 236: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

Reluctant ToTell How You

2015 VoteVotedWhen Mind Made UpReferendumSince

Longerbegin-In theOnagoningIn theIn thelastpol-

PlaidAlwaysthan aoflastlastfewlingCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConNoYesknownyearyearmonthweekdaysdayRemainLeaveTotal

7251950915109993442408511079129046167511743226680096612276198617112369Unweighted base

7251249815659823400410711080128946077581748226779996412255949642012369Weighted base

64037108102359454-1289219501222281231943526366521289Yes I would9%8%8%7%10%11%11%-100%5%7%7%10%15%20%29%11%10%10%

6647346114578803041365311080-4388708162620396767708735313576711080No I wouldn't91%92%92%93%90%89%89%100%-95%93%93%90%85%80%71%89%90%90%

Page 236

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 51Q.25 Would you be reluctant in any way to tell your friends, family or colleagues how you voted?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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MethodologyRemain by GE2015Leave by GE2015PlaidPlaid

CATIOnlineCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConTotal

1000113693334338770718224817793917612214402811194230612369Unweighted base

996113733232937167689215817084118312714982921242239912369Weighted base

1121177-222512612022236181296411572311289Yes I would11%10%-7%7%19%9%9%13%15%10%10%6%14%13%10%10%

884101963230734755628195614853416511414022521085216811080No I wouldn't89%90%100%93%93%81%91%91%87%85%90%90%94%86%87%90%90%

Page 237

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 51Q.25 Would you be reluctant in any way to tell your friends, family or colleagues how you voted?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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Attention Paid toThe GreenSocialMulti-PoliticsNational IdentityImmigrationCapitalismThe internetGlobalisationmovementFeminismliberalismculturalism

Equ-MoreallyMore

Brit-Brit-Eng-Eng-Eng-ishishlishlishlishnotthanandthannot

Eng-Eng-Brit-Brit-Brit-0-45-78-10lishlishishishishIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodTotal

1406469562441252113345341785120848904380366648695989319290552692418716119707087294857743665593412369Unweighted base

1413469662361240112045321805123550034272366348656079296294652102470708420057020301756813754582612369Weighted base

200540546141152472188110461441320561669502545992037542117312615943236431289Yes I would14%11%9%11%14%10%10%9%9%10%9%12%11%10%9%12%8%11%11%10%9%10%9%11%10%

121341565690110096740601617112545423832334443055418347269246112267633017946289275650873431518311080No I wouldn't86%89%91%89%86%90%90%91%91%90%91%88%89%90%91%88%92%89%89%90%91%90%91%89%90%

Page 238

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 51Q.25 Would you be reluctant in any way to tell your friends, family or colleagues how you voted?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 239: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

ReasonsA vote to

remain wouldstill mean the

UK havingaccess to the

EU singlemarket while

remainingA feeling thatThe risks ofoutside of theby leaving thevoting to leaveEuro and theEU, the UKA strongthe EU looked

no-borders areawould becomeattachment totoo great whenof Europemore isolatedthe EU and itsit came to

giving Britainfrom itsshared history,things like thethe best offriends andculture andeconomy, jobsboth worldsneighbourstraditionsand prices

6198619861986198Unweighted base

5949594959495949Weighted base

1827102551925781st31%17%9%43%

2055158663616722nd35%27%11%28%

12742430118610603rd21%41%20%18%

79490936076394th13%15%61%11%

2.172.543.321.96Mean

1.010.950.981.02Standard deviation0.010.010.010.01Standard error

Page 239

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 52Q.26 Below are some reasons people have given for voting REMAIN. Please can you rank them in order of how important they were in your decision,even if there were other reasons that were important to you?SummaryBase: All respondents who voted remain

Lord Ashcroft

Page 240: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

RegionSocial GradeAgeGenderYork-shireNorth-

WestEast&ernSouthSouthEast-Mid-Mid-Humb-NorthNorthIre-Scot-Eng-WestEastLondonernlandslandsersideEastWestlandWaleslandlandDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

5819007504944594045322827099129070651118876241624304612561211111311201022474326729296198Unweighted base

558864720474441388511271681872786784906851599155929241206116210681075981455313628125949Weighted base

24836730619719517022214031135117272215535926469012584544924645144472061402117525781st44%42%43%41%44%44%43%52%46%40%42%40%44%42%44%44%43%38%42%43%48%46%45%45%42%43%

161247195142124118135641833169203137021917342885035534031427826512090576716722nd29%29%27%30%28%30%27%24%27%35%25%30%28%26%29%27%29%29%29%29%26%27%26%29%27%28%

971561221007671105391051352125870159962955072472241921681498052653410603rd17%18%17%21%17%18%20%15%15%15%19%18%18%19%16%19%17%20%19%18%16%15%18%17%19%18%

529597364629492782940795121146614630915010799115120493023366394th9%11%13%7%10%7%10%10%12%10%14%12%10%13%11%9%11%12%9%9%11%12%11%10%12%11%

1.921.982.011.951.941.891.961.831.941.962.062.021.952.031.941.931.952.081.951.931.891.941.941.912.011.96Mean

0.991.021.070.961.020.951.011.021.040.981.091.031.021.071.021.001.011.040.990.991.031.051.031.001.041.02Standard deviation0.040.030.040.040.050.050.040.060.040.100.060.040.010.040.040.020.020.030.030.030.030.030.050.020.020.01Standard error

Page 240

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 53Q.26 Below are some reasons people have given for voting REMAIN. Please can you rank them in order of how important they were in your decision,even if there were other reasons that were important to you?The risks of voting to leave the EU looked too great when it came to things like the economy, jobs and pricesBase: All respondents who voted remain

Lord Ashcroft

Page 241: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

Reluctant ToTell How You

2015 VoteVotedWhen Mind Made UpReferendumSince

Longerbegin-In theOnagoningIn theIn thelastpol-

PlaidAlwaysthan aoflastlastfewlingCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConNoYesknownyearyearmonthweekdaysdayRemainLeaveTotal

3334338770718224817795535663242429180611194105056436198-6198Unweighted base

3232937167689215817085313636232727977410743944856175949-5949Weighted base

131211332426991584523152639141113485251822252732578-25781st42%37%36%36%39%42%49%44%41%39%40%45%49%46%46%44%43%-43%

99488231925954981509163643792262941071481771672-16722nd27%29%24%34%28%28%29%28%26%28%28%29%27%27%30%29%28%-28%

57497121523852369331274845912316756701021060-10603rd15%22%26%17%22%18%14%18%20%21%21%16%16%14%14%16%18%-18%

5405397726312955684286317788494266639-6394th15%12%14%13%11%12%8%10%13%12%11%10%8%12%9%11%11%-11%

2.032.102.192.072.052.001.791.952.052.062.031.911.831.931.861.941.96-1.96Mean

1.101.041.081.031.031.040.941.011.071.041.031.000.971.050.971.021.02-1.02Standard deviation0.190.060.050.120.040.020.020.010.040.020.060.040.030.050.040.040.01-0.01Standard error

Page 241

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 53Q.26 Below are some reasons people have given for voting REMAIN. Please can you rank them in order of how important they were in your decision,even if there were other reasons that were important to you?The risks of voting to leave the EU looked too great when it came to things like the economy, jobs and pricesBase: All respondents who voted remain

Lord Ashcroft

Page 242: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

MethodologyRemain by GE2015Leave by GE2015PlaidPlaid

CATIOnlineCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConTotal

5495649333433877071822481779-------6198Unweighted base

5275423323293716768921581708-------5949Weighted base

18423941312113324269915845-------25781st35%44%42%37%36%36%39%42%49%-------43%

12515479948823192595498-------16722nd24%29%27%29%24%34%28%28%29%-------28%

1239375749712152385236-------10603rd23%17%15%22%26%17%22%18%14%-------18%

9554454053977263129-------6394th18%10%15%12%14%13%11%12%8%-------11%

2.241.932.032.102.192.072.052.001.79-------1.96Mean

1.121.011.101.041.081.031.031.040.94-------1.02Standard deviation0.050.010.190.060.050.120.040.020.02-------0.01Standard error

Page 242

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 53Q.26 Below are some reasons people have given for voting REMAIN. Please can you rank them in order of how important they were in your decision,even if there were other reasons that were important to you?The risks of voting to leave the EU looked too great when it came to things like the economy, jobs and pricesBase: All respondents who voted remain

Lord Ashcroft

Page 243: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

Attention Paid toThe GreenSocialMulti-PoliticsNational IdentityImmigrationCapitalismThe internetGlobalisationmovementFeminismliberalismculturalism

Equ-MoreallyMore

Brit-Brit-Eng-Eng-Eng-ishishlishlishlishnotthanandthannot

Eng-Eng-Brit-Brit-Brit-0-45-78-10lishlishishishishIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodTotal

61823433229773734229464227110423535186924871854953942336956245455504385619404673143136198Unweighted base

59322493100742705220261626010003393179423871784754904323453943635284209594388470241405949Weighted base

27910331263295316980297122484139374210597420763801406251183824517862751601331174725781st47%46%41%40%45%45%48%47%48%41%41%44%42%44%42%43%47%42%46%42%46%41%47%42%43%

16663287120918363416465265946517663471329248905133123315511841651109199116416722nd28%28%28%28%26%29%27%25%26%28%29%28%26%28%27%28%25%28%29%28%28%29%28%28%28%

953785861481323641004615765533741440837174563968068177710472710577210603rd16%17%19%20%19%17%16%18%16%19%19%17%23%18%19%17%18%18%15%18%17%19%15%19%18%

53206380907322456279439919825116513103360594864846351447674576394th9%9%12%12%10%10%9%10%9%12%11%11%9%11%11%11%11%11%9%11%9%12%10%11%11%

1.871.892.032.051.951.921.861.921.862.021.991.941.991.952.001.961.931.991.871.981.882.011.871.991.96Mean

0.990.991.041.041.021.010.991.031.001.041.021.021.011.021.031.031.041.030.981.020.981.030.991.021.02Standard deviation0.040.020.020.040.040.020.040.060.030.020.020.020.070.010.030.020.040.020.040.020.040.020.040.020.01Standard error

Page 243

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 53Q.26 Below are some reasons people have given for voting REMAIN. Please can you rank them in order of how important they were in your decision,even if there were other reasons that were important to you?The risks of voting to leave the EU looked too great when it came to things like the economy, jobs and pricesBase: All respondents who voted remain

Lord Ashcroft

Page 244: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

RegionSocial GradeAgeGenderYork-shireNorth-

WestEast&ernSouthSouthEast-Mid-Mid-Humb-NorthNorthIre-Scot-Eng-WestEastLondonernlandslandsersideEastWestlandWaleslandlandDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

5819007504944594045322827099129070651118876241624304612561211111311201022474326729296198Unweighted base

558864720474441388511271681872786784906851599155929241206116210681075981455313628125949Weighted base

538367413626461258924654215749145267119908672102502362835191st9%10%9%9%8%7%9%4%8%10%9%10%9%7%8%9%9%10%8%8%7%10%11%8%10%9%

4877100554339513079832765211005315532713912386134108453073296362nd9%9%14%12%10%10%10%11%12%9%11%11%11%12%9%10%11%12%11%8%13%11%10%10%12%11%

108166171708482866014614651349721931302805772272092042082389963055611863rd19%19%24%15%19%21%17%22%21%16%23%20%20%23%22%18%20%19%18%19%19%24%22%20%20%20%

34853938230827724132717039857157402299150236897917537217406916605332611963164336074th62%62%53%65%63%62%64%63%59%65%57%59%61%59%61%63%60%60%64%65%61%54%57%63%58%61%

3.353.343.213.363.373.393.363.433.303.363.283.293.333.343.363.343.303.293.383.403.363.233.263.383.273.32Mean

0.980.991.000.990.960.920.990.850.981.010.971.000.970.930.950.990.991.010.960.940.941.011.020.941.020.98Standard deviation0.040.030.040.040.040.050.040.050.040.110.060.040.010.030.040.020.020.030.030.030.030.030.050.020.020.01Standard error

Page 244

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 54Q.26 Below are some reasons people have given for voting REMAIN. Please can you rank them in order of how important they were in your decision,even if there were other reasons that were important to you?A strong attachment to the EU and its shared history, culture and traditionsBase: All respondents who voted remain

Lord Ashcroft

Page 245: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

Reluctant ToTell How You

2015 VoteVotedWhen Mind Made UpReferendumSince

Longerbegin-In theOnagoningIn theIn thelastpol-

PlaidAlwaysthan aoflastlastfewlingCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConNoYesknownyearyearmonthweekdaysdayRemainLeaveTotal

3334338770718224817795535663242429180611194105056436198-6198Unweighted base

3232937167689215817085313636232727977410743944856175949-5949Weighted base

336585682137845267280394357222850519-5191st9%11%16%7%10%10%5%9%11%12%14%6%5%6%6%8%9%-9%

23543127126515555185275347088455273636-6362nd6%10%12%17%10%12%9%10%13%12%12%9%8%11%11%12%11%-11%

8697212137443306105113547060149203831001221186-11863rd24%21%19%19%20%21%18%20%21%20%21%19%19%21%21%20%20%-20%

191891993841312361169325934813021475127262443053723607-36074th61%57%53%57%60%57%68%61%55%56%53%66%68%62%63%60%61%-61%

3.363.253.113.263.303.253.503.343.203.203.123.463.493.393.413.323.32-3.32Mean

0.961.031.120.991.011.010.840.971.031.061.090.870.860.900.900.970.98-0.98Standard deviation0.170.060.060.120.040.020.020.010.040.020.060.030.030.040.040.040.01-0.01Standard error

Page 245

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 54Q.26 Below are some reasons people have given for voting REMAIN. Please can you rank them in order of how important they were in your decision,even if there were other reasons that were important to you?A strong attachment to the EU and its shared history, culture and traditionsBase: All respondents who voted remain

Lord Ashcroft

Page 246: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

MethodologyRemain by GE2015Leave by GE2015PlaidPlaid

CATIOnlineCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConTotal

5495649333433877071822481779-------6198Unweighted base

5275423323293716768921581708-------5949Weighted base

734463365856821378-------5191st14%8%9%11%16%7%10%10%5%-------9%

75562235431271265155-------6362nd14%10%6%10%12%17%10%12%9%-------11%

11810688697212137443306-------11863rd22%20%24%21%19%19%20%21%18%-------20%

2613346191891993841312361169-------36074th50%62%61%57%53%57%60%57%68%-------61%

3.083.353.363.253.113.263.303.253.50-------3.32Mean

1.090.960.961.031.120.991.011.010.84-------0.98Standard deviation0.050.010.170.060.060.120.040.020.02-------0.01Standard error

Page 246

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 54Q.26 Below are some reasons people have given for voting REMAIN. Please can you rank them in order of how important they were in your decision,even if there were other reasons that were important to you?A strong attachment to the EU and its shared history, culture and traditionsBase: All respondents who voted remain

Lord Ashcroft

Page 247: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

Attention Paid toThe GreenSocialMulti-PoliticsNational IdentityImmigrationCapitalismThe internetGlobalisationmovementFeminismliberalismculturalism

Equ-MoreallyMore

Brit-Brit-Eng-Eng-Eng-ishishlishlishlishnotthanandthannot

Eng-Eng-Brit-Brit-Brit-0-45-78-10lishlishishishishIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodTotal

61823433229773734229464227110423535186924871854953942336956245455504385619404673143136198Unweighted base

59322493100742705220261626010003393179423871784754904323453943635284209594388470241405949Weighted base

3115533378691614014533771861921641091275374252142338398384085191st5%7%11%10%10%7%7%6%5%11%10%8%9%9%10%8%7%10%4%10%6%10%5%10%9%

5520837389922244632953981982492449896359624664546764426674646362nd9%9%12%12%13%10%7%12%10%12%11%10%14%10%11%11%12%11%9%11%11%11%10%11%11%

12445660416213943896542136723804513595717066010089511381610579514483811863rd21%20%19%22%20%20%16%21%21%20%21%19%19%20%19%20%19%21%21%19%18%20%21%20%20%

38414301789413404137943416063919461030149610328895471940340257734825033872264452243036074th65%64%58%56%57%63%70%62%64%57%57%63%58%61%61%60%63%59%66%59%65%58%64%59%61%

3.453.413.243.233.253.383.503.383.443.233.263.363.263.333.303.323.383.293.493.283.413.273.443.283.32Mean

0.860.921.031.021.020.940.890.900.871.041.020.961.010.971.010.970.941.000.811.010.921.020.881.010.98Standard deviation0.030.020.020.040.040.020.040.050.030.020.020.020.070.010.030.020.040.010.030.020.040.020.030.020.01Standard error

Page 247

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 54Q.26 Below are some reasons people have given for voting REMAIN. Please can you rank them in order of how important they were in your decision,even if there were other reasons that were important to you?A strong attachment to the EU and its shared history, culture and traditionsBase: All respondents who voted remain

Lord Ashcroft

Page 248: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

RegionSocial GradeAgeGenderYork-shireNorth-

WestEast&ernSouthSouthEast-Mid-Mid-Humb-NorthNorthIre-Scot-Eng-WestEastLondonernlandslandsersideEastWestlandWaleslandlandDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

5819007504944594045322827099129070651118876241624304612561211111311201022474326729296198Unweighted base

558864720474441388511271681872786784906851599155929241206116210681075981455313628125949Weighted base

9714911980777390471091353118841154852605192032251851751736352849710251st17%17%17%17%17%19%18%17%16%15%19%17%17%18%14%17%18%17%19%17%16%18%14%17%18%17%

16324618910811098144691812488165130823116843075132831728926625712882675815862nd29%28%26%23%25%25%28%26%27%27%32%24%27%27%28%28%26%27%27%27%25%26%28%26%27%27%

2213502802141941582121082753795285201233924064812015054644494623641861285114424303rd40%41%39%45%44%41%42%40%40%43%34%42%41%40%40%42%41%42%40%42%43%37%41%41%41%41%

7711913273605964471151242109745128106221453169157145173187784974129094th14%14%18%15%14%15%13%17%17%14%15%16%15%15%18%14%15%14%14%14%16%19%17%16%15%15%

2.502.512.592.592.542.522.492.572.582.562.462.572.542.522.612.532.542.532.482.522.592.582.612.562.522.54Mean

0.940.930.970.940.930.960.930.970.950.920.970.960.950.950.940.930.960.930.950.930.940.990.930.950.950.95Standard deviation0.040.030.040.040.040.050.040.060.040.100.060.040.010.030.040.020.020.030.030.030.030.030.040.020.020.01Standard error

Page 248

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 55Q.26 Below are some reasons people have given for voting REMAIN. Please can you rank them in order of how important they were in your decision,even if there were other reasons that were important to you?A feeling that by leaving the EU, the UK would become more isolated from its friends and neighboursBase: All respondents who voted remain

Lord Ashcroft

Page 249: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

Reluctant ToTell How You

2015 VoteVotedWhen Mind Made UpReferendumSince

Longerbegin-In theOnagoningIn theIn thelastpol-

PlaidAlwaysthan aoflastlastfewlingCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConNoYesknownyearyearmonthweekdaysdayRemainLeaveTotal

3334338770718224817795535663242429180611194105056436198-6198Unweighted base

3232937167689215817085313636232727977410743944856175949-5949Weighted base

6628117154410206917108457471431615973851025-10251st18%19%22%26%22%19%12%17%17%20%17%18%15%15%15%14%17%-17%

1383121151965574371415171623782002891031121811586-15862nd42%25%33%23%28%26%26%27%27%27%28%26%27%26%23%29%27%-27%

101261172325286081521982319011073334721692092382430-24303rd30%38%32%34%37%40%48%41%36%39%38%43%44%43%43%39%41%-41%

35953128733125078312634648981526390112909-9094th9%18%14%17%13%15%15%15%20%15%17%13%14%16%19%18%15%-15%

2.302.552.382.432.402.522.652.542.592.492.562.502.572.602.652.612.54-2.54Mean

0.880.990.981.060.970.970.870.940.990.970.960.930.910.930.950.940.95-0.95Standard deviation0.150.050.050.130.040.020.020.010.040.020.060.030.030.050.040.040.01-0.01Standard error

Page 249

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 55Q.26 Below are some reasons people have given for voting REMAIN. Please can you rank them in order of how important they were in your decision,even if there were other reasons that were important to you?A feeling that by leaving the EU, the UK would become more isolated from its friends and neighboursBase: All respondents who voted remain

Lord Ashcroft

Page 250: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

MethodologyRemain by GE2015Leave by GE2015PlaidPlaid

CATIOnlineCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConTotal

5495649333433877071822481779-------6198Unweighted base

5275423323293716768921581708-------5949Weighted base

1259006628117154410206-------10251st24%17%18%19%22%26%22%19%12%-------17%

1491437138312115196557437-------15862nd28%27%42%25%33%23%28%26%26%-------27%

17522551012611723252860815-------24303rd33%42%30%38%32%34%37%40%48%-------41%

79830359531287331250-------9094th15%15%9%18%14%17%13%15%15%-------15%

2.392.562.302.552.382.432.402.522.65-------2.54Mean

1.010.940.880.990.981.060.970.970.87-------0.95Standard deviation0.040.010.150.050.050.130.040.020.02-------0.01Standard error

Page 250

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 55Q.26 Below are some reasons people have given for voting REMAIN. Please can you rank them in order of how important they were in your decision,even if there were other reasons that were important to you?A feeling that by leaving the EU, the UK would become more isolated from its friends and neighboursBase: All respondents who voted remain

Lord Ashcroft

Page 251: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

Attention Paid toThe GreenSocialMulti-PoliticsNational IdentityImmigrationCapitalismThe internetGlobalisationmovementFeminismliberalismculturalism

Equ-MoreallyMore

Brit-Brit-Eng-Eng-Eng-ishishlishlishlishnotthanandthannot

Eng-Eng-Brit-Brit-Brit-0-45-78-10lishlishishishishIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodTotal

61823433229773734229464227110423535186924871854953942336956245455504385619404673143136198Unweighted base

59322493100742705220261626010003393179423871784754904323453943635284209594388470241405949Weighted base

893805551311543399146151622338365298131575747779578752847099875310251st15%17%18%18%22%15%15%18%15%18%19%15%16%17%17%18%14%18%15%18%14%18%14%18%17%

17859980620917459316769291910519607481267271822151115915111221531032197108915862nd30%27%26%28%25%27%27%27%29%27%29%25%27%27%30%25%28%27%29%27%26%27%28%26%27%

2359131281273270944279107389134165210536619543451332233173121816982641548298165024303rd40%41%41%37%38%43%45%41%39%40%36%44%37%41%38%41%43%40%41%40%44%40%42%40%41%

913574581301083267938170520285363357201325067967982637935941096499094th15%16%15%17%15%15%13%15%17%15%16%15%19%15%15%16%15%16%15%15%16%15%16%16%15%

2.552.552.532.542.472.572.562.532.582.522.492.592.602.542.502.552.582.532.572.532.622.522.602.532.54Mean

0.930.950.950.981.000.920.890.950.940.960.970.920.980.950.940.960.910.960.920.950.910.960.910.960.95Standard deviation0.040.020.020.040.040.020.040.060.030.020.020.020.070.010.030.020.040.010.040.010.040.020.030.010.01Standard error

Page 251

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 55Q.26 Below are some reasons people have given for voting REMAIN. Please can you rank them in order of how important they were in your decision,even if there were other reasons that were important to you?A feeling that by leaving the EU, the UK would become more isolated from its friends and neighboursBase: All respondents who voted remain

Lord Ashcroft

Page 252: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

RegionSocial GradeAgeGenderYork-shireNorth-

WestEast&ernSouthSouthEast-Mid-Mid-Humb-NorthNorthIre-Scot-Eng-WestEastLondonernlandslandsersideEastWestlandWaleslandlandDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

5819007504944594045322827099129070651118876241624304612561211111311201022474326729296198Unweighted base

558864720474441388511271681872786784906851599155929241206116210681075981455313628125949Weighted base

160266227156132119153722033184223148928220146487942935533331525913597085618271st29%31%32%33%30%31%30%27%30%35%30%33%30%33%33%30%30%36%31%31%29%26%30%31%30%31%

18529523617016313218010823725892341707301205546996383383379396350162109895720552nd33%34%33%36%37%34%35%40%35%29%32%35%35%35%34%35%34%32%33%35%37%36%36%35%34%35%

13219214790877710864156226613310521601333366392272662232372309069557812743rd24%22%20%19%20%20%21%24%23%25%24%20%21%19%22%22%22%19%23%21%22%23%20%22%21%21%

8111110958586070278510388765810860213409166158133127141673734207944th14%13%15%12%13%15%14%10%13%11%14%13%13%13%10%14%14%14%14%12%12%14%15%12%15%13%

2.242.172.192.102.162.202.192.172.182.122.212.132.182.112.092.192.202.112.202.152.162.262.202.152.202.17Mean

1.021.011.051.001.001.041.010.941.001.021.031.011.011.010.971.011.021.041.021.000.981.001.020.991.031.01Standard deviation0.040.030.040.040.050.050.040.060.040.110.060.040.010.030.040.030.020.030.030.030.030.030.050.020.020.01Standard error

Page 252

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 56Q.26 Below are some reasons people have given for voting REMAIN. Please can you rank them in order of how important they were in your decision,even if there were other reasons that were important to you?A vote to remain would still mean the UK having access to the EU single market while remaining outside of the Euro and theno-borders area of Europe giving Britain the best of both worldsBase: All respondents who voted remain

Lord Ashcroft

Page 253: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

Reluctant ToTell How You

2015 VoteVotedWhen Mind Made UpReferendumSince

Longerbegin-In theOnagoningIn theIn thelastpol-

PlaidAlwaysthan aoflastlastfewlingCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConNoYesknownyearyearmonthweekdaysdayRemainLeaveTotal

3334338770718224817795535663242429180611194105056436198-6198Unweighted base

3232937167689215817085313636232727977410743944856175949-5949Weighted base

10109100211996205791629198676822393311311592091827-18271st30%33%27%31%29%29%34%31%31%29%29%31%31%33%33%34%31%-31%

8118119172307416181838217786892784031391731862055-20552nd24%36%32%26%33%34%36%35%34%34%32%36%38%35%36%30%35%-35%

10608520148469350113114347155169231861061561274-12743rd30%18%23%30%21%22%21%21%22%20%20%22%22%22%22%25%21%-21%

541679112327160715793945487108374766794-7944th15%13%18%13%16%15%9%13%12%17%19%11%10%10%10%11%13%-13%

2.302.102.322.242.252.232.052.182.162.252.292.142.112.082.082.132.17-2.17Mean

1.081.011.061.041.051.030.961.011.001.051.090.980.960.960.961.001.01-1.01Standard deviation0.190.050.050.120.040.020.020.010.040.020.060.030.030.050.040.040.01-0.01Standard error

Page 253

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 56Q.26 Below are some reasons people have given for voting REMAIN. Please can you rank them in order of how important they were in your decision,even if there were other reasons that were important to you?A vote to remain would still mean the UK having access to the EU single market while remaining outside of the Euro and theno-borders area of Europe giving Britain the best of both worldsBase: All respondents who voted remain

Lord Ashcroft

Page 254: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

MethodologyRemain by GE2015Leave by GE2015PlaidPlaid

CATIOnlineCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConTotal

5495649333433877071822481779-------6198Unweighted base

5275423323293716768921581708-------5949Weighted base

14516821010910021199620579-------18271st28%31%30%33%27%31%29%29%34%-------31%

1791877811811917230741618-------20552nd34%35%24%36%32%26%33%34%36%-------35%

111116210608520148469350-------12743rd21%21%30%18%23%30%21%22%21%-------21%

92702541679112327160-------7944th17%13%15%13%18%13%16%15%9%-------13%

2.292.162.302.102.322.242.252.232.05-------2.17Mean

1.051.011.081.011.061.041.051.030.96-------1.01Standard deviation0.040.010.190.050.050.120.040.020.02-------0.01Standard error

Page 254

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 56Q.26 Below are some reasons people have given for voting REMAIN. Please can you rank them in order of how important they were in your decision,even if there were other reasons that were important to you?A vote to remain would still mean the UK having access to the EU single market while remaining outside of the Euro and theno-borders area of Europe giving Britain the best of both worldsBase: All respondents who voted remain

Lord Ashcroft

Page 255: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

Attention Paid toThe GreenSocialMulti-PoliticsNational IdentityImmigrationCapitalismThe internetGlobalisationmovementFeminismliberalismculturalism

Equ-MoreallyMore

Brit-Brit-Eng-Eng-Eng-ishishlishlishlishnotthanandthannot

Eng-Eng-Brit-Brit-Brit-0-45-78-10lishlishishishishIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodTotal

61823433229773734229464227110423535186924871854953942336956245455504385619404673143136198Unweighted base

59322493100742705220261626010003393179423871784754904323453943635284209594388470241405949Weighted base

194682948239166722188783131001528772591455275979174130518412481971175234123318271st33%30%31%32%24%33%31%30%31%30%29%32%33%31%30%30%32%30%35%30%33%30%33%30%31%

19581010492342557512399434911385608695916612901148193150617814372121317239142420552nd33%36%34%32%36%34%39%36%35%34%31%36%33%35%32%36%36%35%34%34%36%34%34%34%35%

1395026301591634571415424172642546936100621667911093111691912281415688012743rd23%22%20%21%23%21%23%21%24%21%24%20%21%21%24%21%20%21%22%22%21%21%22%21%21%

6525547210912027348359752828127724633123428626215060663578736047944th11%11%15%15%17%12%8%13%10%16%16%12%14%13%14%13%12%14%9%14%11%15%10%15%13%

2.132.152.202.192.342.132.082.172.122.232.262.112.152.172.212.172.112.202.062.212.092.202.102.212.17Mean

0.990.981.041.051.021.010.921.010.961.041.050.991.031.011.021.010.991.020.971.020.981.030.981.031.01Standard deviation0.040.020.020.040.040.020.040.060.030.020.020.020.080.010.030.020.040.020.040.020.040.020.040.020.01Standard error

Page 255

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 56Q.26 Below are some reasons people have given for voting REMAIN. Please can you rank them in order of how important they were in your decision,even if there were other reasons that were important to you?A vote to remain would still mean the UK having access to the EU single market while remaining outside of the Euro and theno-borders area of Europe giving Britain the best of both worldsBase: All respondents who voted remain

Lord Ashcroft

Page 256: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

ReasonsA vote toThe belief that

remain was awhen it comesA feeling thatvote for havingto trade andvoting to leave

little or nothe economy,the EU offeredchoice aboutthe UK wouldthe best chancehow the EUbenefit morefor the UK toThe principleexpanded itsfrom beingregain controlthat decisions

membership oroutside the EUoverabout the UKits powers inthan from beingimmigration andshould be taken

the years aheadpart of itits own bordersin the UK

6171617161716171Unweighted base

6420642064206420Weighted base

812374210731261st13%6%33%49%

13871137200518902nd22%18%31%29%

18372174139510163rd29%34%22%16%

238327349133874th37%43%14%6%

2.903.132.171.79Mean

1.040.901.040.92Standard deviation0.010.010.010.01Standard error

Page 256

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 57Q.27 Below are some reasons people have given for voting LEAVE. Please can you rank them in order of how important they were in your decision,even if there were other reasons that were important to you?SummaryBase: All respondents who voted leave

Lord Ashcroft

Page 257: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

RegionSocial GradeAgeGenderYork-shireNorth-

WestEast&ernSouthSouthEast-Mid-Mid-Humb-NorthNorthIre-Scot-Eng-WestEastLondonernlandslandsersideEastWestlandWaleslandlandDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

6049495426145264875943067357933939653571473102915552102170714521289971587165324629216171Unweighted base

62898756463954750761831876582353412557315321070161821871776151013411010611172337730396420Weighted base

3294822593072482613141673534316020427196794687941178990731620457246821609151431261st52%49%46%48%45%52%51%53%46%52%45%49%49%44%44%49%54%56%48%46%45%40%48%48%50%49%

1812751622021631351838524919113123163548835047157948645039932019143103385618902nd29%28%29%32%30%27%30%27%33%23%32%30%29%32%33%29%26%27%30%30%32%31%25%31%28%29%

9116111497858486541081058678812631802413292302562221651152855246410163rd14%16%20%15%16%17%14%17%14%13%17%16%16%17%17%15%15%13%17%17%16%19%16%16%15%16%

2870283351263411551021193371027311110170731006858191822053874th4%7%5%5%9%5%6%4%7%13%6%5%6%7%7%7%5%4%5%7%7%10%11%5%7%6%

1.711.821.841.781.891.751.741.721.821.861.831.761.791.861.871.801.701.651.781.851.851.981.901.791.791.79Mean

0.870.950.920.890.990.910.900.870.931.070.910.880.920.930.930.930.890.850.890.950.930.991.040.900.940.92Standard deviation0.040.030.040.040.040.040.040.050.030.120.050.040.010.020.030.020.020.020.020.030.030.040.080.020.020.01Standard error

Page 257

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 58Q.27 Below are some reasons people have given for voting LEAVE. Please can you rank them in order of how important they were in your decision,even if there were other reasons that were important to you?The principle that decisions about the UK should be taken in the UKBase: All respondents who voted leave

Lord Ashcroft

Page 258: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

Reluctant ToTell How You

2015 VoteVotedWhen Mind Made UpReferendumSince

Longerbegin-In theOnagoningIn theIn thelastpol-

PlaidAlwaysthan aoflastlastfewlingCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConNoYesknownyearyearmonthweekdaysdayRemainLeaveTotal

39176122144028111942306554462721924609371147390461584-61716171Unweighted base

41183127149829212422399576765222804799751193406480608-64206420Weighted base

158473670165564127128482781147236485556189225288-312631261st36%46%57%45%57%45%53%49%43%50%49%50%47%47%47%47%-49%49%

155735485883666521714176680135282363118146166-189018902nd36%31%28%32%30%29%27%30%27%30%28%29%30%29%30%27%-29%29%

10321524827227342878138340781402086377109-101610163rd26%18%11%17%9%18%14%15%21%15%16%14%17%16%16%18%-16%16%

19496118513332760112296867353244-3873874th3%5%3%6%4%7%6%6%9%5%6%7%6%9%7%7%-6%6%

1.951.821.611.851.601.871.721.771.971.741.791.791.821.861.831.85-1.791.79Mean

0.860.900.820.920.810.950.900.911.000.890.930.930.910.980.930.96-0.920.92Standard deviation0.140.070.070.020.050.030.020.010.040.020.040.030.030.050.040.04-0.010.01Standard error

Page 258

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 58Q.27 Below are some reasons people have given for voting LEAVE. Please can you rank them in order of how important they were in your decision,even if there were other reasons that were important to you?The principle that decisions about the UK should be taken in the UKBase: All respondents who voted leave

Lord Ashcroft

Page 259: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

MethodologyRemain by GE2015Leave by GE2015PlaidPlaid

CATIOnlineCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConTotal

4515720-------391761221440281119423066171Unweighted base

4695950-------411831271498292124223996420Weighted base

2102916-------158473670165564127131261st45%49%-------36%46%57%45%57%45%53%49%

1211770-------1557354858836665218902nd26%30%-------36%31%28%32%30%29%27%29%

93924-------1032152482722734210163rd20%16%-------26%18%11%17%9%18%14%16%

46341-------1949611851333874th10%6%-------3%5%3%6%4%7%6%6%

1.941.78-------1.951.821.611.851.601.871.721.79Mean

1.020.91-------0.860.900.820.920.810.950.900.92Standard deviation0.050.01-------0.140.070.070.020.050.030.020.01Standard error

Page 259

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 58Q.27 Below are some reasons people have given for voting LEAVE. Please can you rank them in order of how important they were in your decision,even if there were other reasons that were important to you?The principle that decisions about the UK should be taken in the UKBase: All respondents who voted leave

Lord Ashcroft

Page 260: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

Attention Paid toThe GreenSocialMulti-PoliticsNational IdentityImmigrationCapitalismThe internetGlobalisationmovementFeminismliberalismculturalism

Equ-MoreallyMore

Brit-Brit-Eng-Eng-Eng-ishishlishlishlishnotthanandthannot

Eng-Eng-Brit-Brit-Brit-0-45-78-10lishlishishishishIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodTotal

7882352301547939922401143937384884517972382413436619631900185626161420270223291728293416216171Unweighted base

8202447313649841523301189975400387918692478430454220421977193127211477281124231798305216866420Weighted base

394116715532262031178589450178745186912832052218992945985132072013551144906137388931261st48%48%50%45%49%51%50%46%45%51%46%52%48%49%49%48%51%49%49%48%47%50%45%53%49%

2477299131441086543663121281237573678122135361756053779142283973350198444318902nd30%30%29%29%26%28%31%32%32%27%31%27%28%30%30%28%28%29%29%30%30%28%32%26%29%

12639749091763731691476891333193667669231432928845424646339827451124310163rd15%16%16%18%18%16%14%15%17%15%17%15%18%15%15%17%15%17%17%16%16%15%17%14%16%

53153180382812566662475710815127279119144121157891531471171841103874th6%6%6%8%7%5%6%7%6%7%6%6%6%6%6%7%6%6%6%5%6%6%6%7%6%

1.801.811.781.881.831.761.761.821.851.771.821.751.831.791.781.831.761.801.801.791.811.781.841.751.79Mean

0.920.920.910.970.960.910.890.920.920.930.910.920.940.920.910.950.920.920.930.910.920.930.910.930.92Standard deviation0.030.020.020.040.050.020.030.030.010.030.020.020.050.010.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.01Standard error

Page 260

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 58Q.27 Below are some reasons people have given for voting LEAVE. Please can you rank them in order of how important they were in your decision,even if there were other reasons that were important to you?The principle that decisions about the UK should be taken in the UKBase: All respondents who voted leave

Lord Ashcroft

Page 261: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

RegionSocial GradeAgeGenderYork-shireNorth-

WestEast&ernSouthSouthEast-Mid-Mid-Humb-NorthNorthIre-Scot-Eng-WestEastLondonernlandslandsersideEastWestlandWaleslandlandDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

6049495426145264875943067357933939653571473102915552102170714521289971587165324629216171Unweighted base

62898756463954750761831876582353412557315321070161821871776151013411010611172337730396420Weighted base

1913071922131901491919527528132143180457140853658946649747738123352117293421071st30%31%34%33%35%29%31%30%36%34%37%35%32%37%38%33%27%26%33%36%38%38%30%35%31%33%

20931215919715717317811923923103136174247533352466865445439227917254104196120052nd33%32%28%31%29%34%29%37%31%28%29%33%31%31%31%32%31%37%30%29%28%28%32%31%32%31%

1442221241341291171446215720727212322942123355504213422852081083070369113953rd23%22%22%21%24%23%23%20%21%24%20%17%22%19%20%21%25%24%23%21%21%18%18%21%23%22%

8414788957169105439411466179519111822338023421718614398354604539134th13%15%16%15%13%14%17%13%12%14%13%15%14%12%11%14%17%13%14%14%14%16%21%14%15%14%

2.192.212.192.172.152.212.262.172.092.182.092.132.182.072.042.152.332.242.192.132.112.122.282.132.222.17Mean

1.021.041.071.051.041.011.071.001.021.061.051.051.041.031.011.031.050.991.051.051.071.091.111.041.041.04Standard deviation0.040.030.050.040.050.050.040.060.040.120.060.050.010.030.030.030.020.020.030.030.030.040.090.020.020.01Standard error

Page 261

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 59Q.27 Below are some reasons people have given for voting LEAVE. Please can you rank them in order of how important they were in your decision,even if there were other reasons that were important to you?A feeling that voting to leave the EU offered the best chance for the UK to regain control over immigration and its own bordersBase: All respondents who voted leave

Lord Ashcroft

Page 262: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

Reluctant ToTell How You

2015 VoteVotedWhen Mind Made UpReferendumSince

Longerbegin-In theOnagoningIn theIn thelastpol-

PlaidAlwaysthan aoflastlastfewlingCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConNoYesknownyearyearmonthweekdaysdayRemainLeaveTotal

39176122144028111942306554462721924609371147390461584-61716171Unweighted base

41183127149829212422399576765222804799751193406480608-64206420Weighted base

206922579714396511887219753143324397144154192-210721071st49%38%17%39%24%35%27%33%34%33%30%33%33%35%32%32%-33%33%

125042464853697921816188720150314365120147189-200520052nd31%27%33%31%29%30%33%31%29%32%31%32%31%29%31%31%-31%31%

632302988623359912591365081172102648294121-139513953rd15%18%24%20%30%19%25%22%21%22%24%22%22%20%20%20%-22%22%

2323315750201357805108300701271666085105-9139134th5%18%26%10%17%16%15%14%17%13%15%13%14%15%18%17%-14%14%

1.772.152.592.022.402.162.282.172.202.162.242.142.172.152.232.23-2.172.17Mean

0.901.111.061.001.031.081.021.041.081.031.031.021.041.061.091.08-1.041.04Standard deviation0.140.080.100.030.060.030.020.010.040.020.050.030.030.050.050.04-0.010.01Standard error

Page 262

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 59Q.27 Below are some reasons people have given for voting LEAVE. Please can you rank them in order of how important they were in your decision,even if there were other reasons that were important to you?A feeling that voting to leave the EU offered the best chance for the UK to regain control over immigration and its own bordersBase: All respondents who voted leave

Lord Ashcroft

Page 263: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

MethodologyRemain by GE2015Leave by GE2015PlaidPlaid

CATIOnlineCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConTotal

4515720-------391761221440281119423066171Unweighted base

4695950-------411831271498292124223996420Weighted base

1571949-------2069225797143965121071st33%33%-------49%38%17%39%24%35%27%33%

1211884-------1250424648536979220052nd26%32%-------31%27%33%31%29%30%33%31%

1071288-------632302988623359913953rd23%22%-------15%18%24%20%30%19%25%22%

84829-------23233157502013579134th18%14%-------5%18%26%10%17%16%15%14%

2.252.17-------1.772.152.592.022.402.162.282.17Mean

1.101.04-------0.901.111.061.001.031.081.021.04Standard deviation0.050.01-------0.140.080.100.030.060.030.020.01Standard error

Page 263

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 59Q.27 Below are some reasons people have given for voting LEAVE. Please can you rank them in order of how important they were in your decision,even if there were other reasons that were important to you?A feeling that voting to leave the EU offered the best chance for the UK to regain control over immigration and its own bordersBase: All respondents who voted leave

Lord Ashcroft

Page 264: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

Attention Paid toThe GreenSocialMulti-PoliticsNational IdentityImmigrationCapitalismThe internetGlobalisationmovementFeminismliberalismculturalism

Equ-MoreallyMore

Brit-Brit-Eng-Eng-Eng-ishishlishlishlishnotthanandthannot

Eng-Eng-Brit-Brit-Brit-0-45-78-10lishlishishishishIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodTotal

7882352301547939922401143937384884517972382413436619631900185626161420270223291728293416216171Unweighted base

8202447313649841523301189975400387918692478430454220421977193127211477281124231798305216866420Weighted base

31185094216611473337636916231876747171581491675604604862494898882484119041121071st38%35%30%33%28%31%32%38%41%21%36%29%37%33%33%31%31%32%33%32%36%27%39%24%33%

2597999391441267403683241355199578778132139864759062883246485176052597449120052nd32%33%30%29%30%32%31%33%34%23%31%31%31%31%32%30%33%31%31%30%31%29%32%29%31%

1504867551101025012931787142343545988799145143242159533058650842559242513953rd18%20%24%22%25%22%25%18%18%27%19%24%20%22%22%22%22%22%22%21%21%24%19%25%22%

1003124997873356152104311259263385526622683512774321894762733632963599134th12%13%16%16%18%15%13%11%8%29%14%16%12%15%13%18%14%16%13%17%11%20%10%21%14%

2.052.112.262.202.322.212.192.021.932.642.112.262.082.182.152.272.192.222.152.232.072.372.002.432.17Mean

1.021.021.051.071.061.051.020.990.941.121.051.041.031.051.031.081.031.061.021.071.011.080.991.081.04Standard deviation0.040.020.020.050.050.020.030.030.020.040.020.020.050.020.020.020.020.020.030.020.020.030.020.030.01Standard error

Page 264

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 59Q.27 Below are some reasons people have given for voting LEAVE. Please can you rank them in order of how important they were in your decision,even if there were other reasons that were important to you?A feeling that voting to leave the EU offered the best chance for the UK to regain control over immigration and its own bordersBase: All respondents who voted leave

Lord Ashcroft

Page 265: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

RegionSocial GradeAgeGenderYork-shireNorth-

WestEast&ernSouthSouthEast-Mid-Mid-Humb-NorthNorthIre-Scot-Eng-WestEastLondonernlandslandsersideEastWestlandWaleslandlandDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

6049495426145264875943067357933939653571473102915552102170714521289971587165324629216171Unweighted base

62898756463954750761831876582353412557315321070161821871776151013411010611172337730396420Weighted base

2471423434294317363192333010474851109169846349191732023741st4%7%7%5%6%6%7%5%5%4%5%6%6%7%7%5%5%5%5%6%6%8%11%5%7%6%

1061801091049991108581251866749803031932673692782742581821172957156511372nd17%18%19%16%18%18%18%18%16%22%19%18%18%20%18%17%17%16%18%19%18%19%17%17%19%18%

215322165213188169214104280311281441871544381561684620503451333210561127104521743rd34%33%29%33%34%33%35%33%37%38%36%35%34%36%36%35%31%35%33%34%33%34%33%33%34%34%

2834142482872262182531393243014017223925824227041023787665547432235681506122627344th45%42%44%45%41%43%41%44%42%37%40%42%43%38%39%44%47%44%44%41%43%39%39%45%40%43%

3.213.093.103.183.113.143.103.153.163.083.113.133.133.053.083.163.203.193.173.093.123.033.013.173.083.13Mean

0.850.940.960.890.910.910.920.900.870.860.890.900.910.920.920.890.890.880.880.920.920.951.000.890.920.90Standard deviation0.030.030.040.040.040.040.040.050.030.100.050.050.010.020.030.020.020.020.020.030.030.040.080.020.020.01Standard error

Page 265

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 60Q.27 Below are some reasons people have given for voting LEAVE. Please can you rank them in order of how important they were in your decision,even if there were other reasons that were important to you?The belief that when it comes to trade and the economy, the UK would benefit more from being outside the EU than from being part of itBase: All respondents who voted leave

Lord Ashcroft

Page 266: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

Reluctant ToTell How You

2015 VoteVotedWhen Mind Made UpReferendumSince

Longerbegin-In theOnagoningIn theIn thelastpol-

PlaidAlwaysthan aoflastlastfewlingCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConNoYesknownyearyearmonthweekdaysdayRemainLeaveTotal

39176122144028111942306554462721924609371147390461584-61716171Unweighted base

41183127149829212422399576765222804799751193406480608-64206420Weighted base

210979108713932748105426152303846-3743741st5%6%7%5%4%7%6%6%7%5%9%6%4%7%8%8%-6%6%

3342225646260397100713039893163219868394-113711372nd8%19%17%17%16%21%17%17%20%17%19%17%18%21%17%15%-18%18%

146849511844437721980195771164315388145172219-217421743rd33%37%39%34%29%36%32%34%30%34%34%32%33%36%36%36%-34%34%

227147652152451109024542801006180435534145186249-273427344th54%39%37%44%52%36%45%43%43%44%38%45%45%36%39%41%-43%43%

3.363.093.053.163.293.013.173.143.083.173.013.153.182.993.053.10-3.133.13Mean

0.840.890.920.890.860.920.910.900.960.880.960.920.880.930.940.92-0.900.90Standard deviation0.130.070.080.020.050.030.020.010.040.020.040.030.030.050.040.04-0.010.01Standard error

Page 266

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 60Q.27 Below are some reasons people have given for voting LEAVE. Please can you rank them in order of how important they were in your decision,even if there were other reasons that were important to you?The belief that when it comes to trade and the economy, the UK would benefit more from being outside the EU than from being part of itBase: All respondents who voted leave

Lord Ashcroft

Page 267: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

MethodologyRemain by GE2015Leave by GE2015PlaidPlaid

CATIOnlineCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConTotal

4515720-------391761221440281119423066171Unweighted base

4695950-------411831271498292124223996420Weighted base

55319-------21097910871393741st12%5%-------5%6%7%5%4%7%6%6%

1261011-------334222564626039711372nd27%17%-------8%19%17%17%16%21%17%18%

1502024-------1468495118444377221743rd32%34%-------33%37%39%34%29%36%32%34%

1382595-------227147652152451109027344th29%44%-------54%39%37%44%52%36%45%43%

2.793.16-------3.363.093.053.163.293.013.173.13Mean

1.000.89-------0.840.890.920.890.860.920.910.90Standard deviation0.050.01-------0.130.070.080.020.050.030.020.01Standard error

Page 267

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 60Q.27 Below are some reasons people have given for voting LEAVE. Please can you rank them in order of how important they were in your decision,even if there were other reasons that were important to you?The belief that when it comes to trade and the economy, the UK would benefit more from being outside the EU than from being part of itBase: All respondents who voted leave

Lord Ashcroft

Page 268: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

Attention Paid toThe GreenSocialMulti-PoliticsNational IdentityImmigrationCapitalismThe internetGlobalisationmovementFeminismliberalismculturalism

Equ-MoreallyMore

Brit-Brit-Eng-Eng-Eng-ishishlishlishlishnotthanandthannot

Eng-Eng-Brit-Brit-Brit-0-45-78-10lishlishishishishIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodTotal

7882352301547939922401143937384884517972382413436619631900185626161420270223291728293416216171Unweighted base

8202447313649841523301189975400387918692478430454220421977193127211477281124231798305216866420Weighted base

3213920235271316258187809115222268101151102165821671261281371273741st4%6%6%7%7%6%5%6%5%9%5%6%5%6%5%8%5%6%6%6%5%7%4%8%6%

163403567109794191791626511923414458182335238137446829048541734050032511372nd20%16%18%22%19%18%15%17%16%22%18%18%19%18%17%19%19%17%20%17%17%19%16%19%18%

303835103115813479138035413722996568161461558668667677882496953831587104456021743rd37%34%33%32%32%34%32%36%34%34%35%33%34%34%33%34%35%32%34%34%34%33%34%33%34%

32110691337196175989568401179230878110651811892922778777120660912061049743137067527344th39%44%43%39%42%42%48%41%45%35%42%43%42%42%45%39%40%44%41%43%43%41%45%40%43%

3.113.163.123.033.103.133.223.123.192.953.143.133.133.123.183.053.103.153.103.143.163.083.193.063.13Mean

0.860.900.920.950.930.900.890.900.870.970.880.920.890.910.890.940.890.910.910.910.890.940.870.940.90Standard deviation0.030.020.020.040.050.020.030.030.010.030.020.020.040.010.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.01Standard error

Page 268

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 60Q.27 Below are some reasons people have given for voting LEAVE. Please can you rank them in order of how important they were in your decision,even if there were other reasons that were important to you?The belief that when it comes to trade and the economy, the UK would benefit more from being outside the EU than from being part of itBase: All respondents who voted leave

Lord Ashcroft

Page 269: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

RegionSocial GradeAgeGenderYork-shireNorth-

WestEast&ernSouthSouthEast-Mid-Mid-Humb-NorthNorthIre-Scot-Eng-WestEastLondonernlandslandsersideEastWestlandWaleslandlandDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

6049495426145264875943067357933939653571473102915552102170714521289971587165324629216171Unweighted base

62898756463954750761831876582353412557315321070161821871776151013411010611172337730396420Weighted base

841287184756870401018424372017812120331022921315910983194223898121st13%13%13%13%14%13%11%12%13%10%12%10%13%12%11%13%14%13%14%12%11%14%11%13%13%13%

1322211331361281081485615223717912142661933555703583332912291304673165513872nd21%22%24%21%23%21%24%18%20%28%20%19%22%17%18%22%26%20%22%22%23%21%27%22%22%22%

17928216019614513717599219219513015924313004826235064103833041785799684118373rd28%29%28%31%26%27%28%31%29%25%27%32%29%28%28%30%28%28%27%29%30%29%33%29%28%29%

233357200223200193226124292301461602047657457578683683554508368219501228115423834th37%36%35%35%37%38%37%39%38%37%41%39%37%43%43%36%31%38%37%38%36%36%29%36%38%37%

2.892.882.872.872.862.902.902.962.922.892.982.992.893.023.022.892.772.932.862.922.922.872.812.902.912.90Mean

1.051.041.041.041.061.061.021.031.051.021.041.001.041.031.031.031.041.051.071.031.011.050.981.031.051.04Standard deviation0.040.030.040.040.050.050.040.060.040.120.060.050.010.030.030.030.020.030.030.030.030.040.080.020.020.01Standard error

Page 269

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 61Q.27 Below are some reasons people have given for voting LEAVE. Please can you rank them in order of how important they were in your decision,even if there were other reasons that were important to you?A vote to remain was a vote for having little or no choice about how the EU expanded its membership or its powers in the years aheadBase: All respondents who voted leave

Lord Ashcroft

Page 270: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

Reluctant ToTell How You

2015 VoteVotedWhen Mind Made UpReferendumSince

Longerbegin-In theOnagoningIn theIn thelastpol-

PlaidAlwaysthan aoflastlastfewlingCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConNoYesknownyearyearmonthweekdaysdayRemainLeaveTotal

39176122144028111942306554462721924609371147390461584-61716171Unweighted base

41183127149829212422399576765222804799751193406480608-64206420Weighted base

420231704615233770510727558105188436281-8128121st10%11%18%11%16%12%14%12%16%12%12%11%16%11%13%13%-13%13%

10422829373246558123015748210121524682104157-138713872nd26%23%22%20%25%20%23%21%24%21%21%22%21%20%22%26%-22%22%

105133443953406871653184663120309334115137159-183718373rd26%28%26%30%32%27%29%29%28%29%25%32%28%28%29%26%-29%29%

167143592795058182179204861200345425165176210-238323834th38%39%34%40%27%41%34%38%31%38%42%35%36%41%37%35%-37%37%

2.922.942.752.972.712.962.832.922.742.932.962.922.842.992.892.82-2.902.90Mean

1.041.021.111.021.031.051.051.041.071.031.061.001.081.021.051.05-1.041.04Standard deviation0.170.080.100.030.060.030.020.010.040.020.050.030.030.050.050.04-0.010.01Standard error

Page 270

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 61Q.27 Below are some reasons people have given for voting LEAVE. Please can you rank them in order of how important they were in your decision,even if there were other reasons that were important to you?A vote to remain was a vote for having little or no choice about how the EU expanded its membership or its powers in the years aheadBase: All respondents who voted leave

Lord Ashcroft

Page 271: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

MethodologyRemain by GE2015Leave by GE2015PlaidPlaid

CATIOnlineCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConTotal

4515720-------391761221440281119423066171Unweighted base

4695950-------411831271498292124223996420Weighted base

47766-------42023170461523378121st10%13%-------10%11%18%11%16%12%14%13%

1021285-------1042282937324655813872nd22%22%-------26%23%22%20%25%20%23%22%

1201717-------1051334439534068718373rd25%29%-------26%28%26%30%32%27%29%29%

2012182-------1671435927950581823834th43%37%-------38%39%34%40%27%41%34%37%

3.012.89-------2.922.942.752.972.712.962.832.90Mean

1.021.04-------1.041.021.111.021.031.051.051.04Standard deviation0.050.01-------0.170.080.100.030.060.030.020.01Standard error

Page 271

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 61Q.27 Below are some reasons people have given for voting LEAVE. Please can you rank them in order of how important they were in your decision,even if there were other reasons that were important to you?A vote to remain was a vote for having little or no choice about how the EU expanded its membership or its powers in the years aheadBase: All respondents who voted leave

Lord Ashcroft

Page 272: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

Attention Paid toThe GreenSocialMulti-PoliticsNational IdentityImmigrationCapitalismThe internetGlobalisationmovementFeminismliberalismculturalism

Equ-MoreallyMore

Brit-Brit-Eng-Eng-Eng-ishishlishlishlishnotthanandthannot

Eng-Eng-Brit-Brit-Brit-0-45-78-10lishlishishishishIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodTotal

7882352301547939922401143937384884517972382413436619631900185626161420270223291728293416216171Unweighted base

8202447313649841523301189975400387918692478430454220421977193127211477281124231798305216866420Weighted base

82290439717128816297406160236327455652742772393731813902702803522598121st10%12%14%14%17%12%14%10%10%18%13%13%10%12%13%14%12%14%12%14%11%16%12%15%13%

1505167171011025172761777152513775769596642544639063030163551243059342813872nd18%21%23%20%25%22%23%18%18%29%20%23%22%21%21%23%20%23%20%23%21%24%19%25%22%

2427288621401036663482961231213540700121130361154954679240681068751390745918373rd30%30%27%28%25%29%29%30%31%24%29%28%28%29%30%28%28%29%27%29%28%29%30%27%29%

345912111818613985940340516522557178751701707732704755926590976954575120054123834th42%37%36%37%34%37%34%42%41%29%38%35%39%38%36%36%39%34%40%35%39%32%39%32%37%

3.042.922.852.892.752.902.833.043.032.642.932.862.972.912.882.852.942.832.952.842.962.772.972.762.90Mean

1.001.031.061.061.101.041.041.001.001.081.041.051.021.041.041.061.041.051.041.051.021.061.021.061.04Standard deviation0.040.020.020.050.050.020.030.030.020.040.020.020.050.020.020.020.020.020.030.020.020.030.020.030.01Standard error

Page 272

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 61Q.27 Below are some reasons people have given for voting LEAVE. Please can you rank them in order of how important they were in your decision,even if there were other reasons that were important to you?A vote to remain was a vote for having little or no choice about how the EU expanded its membership or its powers in the years aheadBase: All respondents who voted leave

Lord Ashcroft

Page 273: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

RegionSocial GradeAgeGenderYork-shireNorth-

WestEast&ernSouthSouthEast-Mid-Mid-Humb-NorthNorthIre-Scot-Eng-WestEastLondonernlandslandsersideEastWestlandWaleslandlandDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

1185184912921108985891112658814441706291102104682360165331795148296326632402209116096396513585012369Unweighted base

1186185112841113988894112958914451706311090104792384166931775111298126732409208515926276513585012369Weighted base

3405553803383042843201633844218119130698776318451119705770783648442135182516573484Boris Johnson29%30%30%30%31%32%28%28%27%25%29%18%29%37%38%27%22%24%29%33%31%28%22%28%28%28%

22234224219117014523010127732107137192035625356110216874953852882519012539432196Theresa May19%18%19%17%17%16%20%17%19%19%17%13%18%15%15%18%20%23%19%16%14%16%14%19%16%18%

9114713182695275451011437388793168105305654239254243216194876116221233Ruth Davidson8%8%10%7%7%6%7%8%7%9%6%36%8%7%6%10%13%8%9%10%10%12%14%9%11%10%

121186901131038110262143207278100121316431348245929721112853245286431172Michael Gove10%10%7%10%10%9%9%10%10%12%11%7%10%9%10%10%9%15%11%9%6%3%4%8%11%9%

84128117808373864214620476484015011024146619418417020815659484487971George Osborne7%7%9%7%8%8%8%7%10%12%7%6%8%6%7%8%9%7%7%7%10%10%9%7%8%8%

741296289687887421029425473216713022331522518117312310232485351836Iain Duncan Smith6%7%5%8%7%9%8%7%7%5%7%5%7%7%8%7%6%8%7%7%6%6%5%7%6%7%

6376543953394631589332945981571532378298901199347271257530Sajid Javid5%4%4%4%5%4%4%5%4%5%5%3%4%3%3%5%5%3%4%4%6%6%8%4%4%4%

294950452226351849322193236342100160487575924927209157367Priti Patel2%3%4%4%2%3%3%3%3%2%3%2%3%3%3%3%3%2%3%3%4%3%4%3%3%3%

43332627281839194051632272843286122806962624310177148325Liam Fox4%2%2%2%3%2%3%3%3%3%3%3%3%4%2%3%2%3%3%3%3%3%2%3%3%3%

18362510131419132649221743825608631373834383012286209Amber Rudd2%2%2%1%1%2%2%2%2%2%1%2%2%2%1%2%2%1%1%2%2%2%5%2%1%2%

1830301822267621212101763323509429383838342112377200Nicky Morgan1%2%2%2%2%3%1%1%1%1%2%1%2%1%1%2%2%1%1%2%2%2%3%2%1%2%

163318101391414221515150291950733736213325188486171Daniel Hannan1%2%1%1%1%1%1%2%2%1%1%1%1%1%1%2%1%1%1%1%2%2%3%1%1%1%

Page 273

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 62Q.28 Which of the following do you think would make the best next Conservative Prime Minister after David Cameron when he stands down before the next General Election?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 274: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

RegionSocial GradeAgeGenderYork-shireNorth-

WestEast&ernSouthSouthEast-Mid-Mid-Humb-NorthNorthIre-Scot-Eng-WestEastLondonernlandslandsersideEastWestlandWaleslandlandDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

1186185112841113988894112958914451706311090104792384166931775111298126732409208515926276513585012369Weighted base

20301121910191015210914626234175643921201677591167Chris Grayling2%2%1%2%1%1%2%2%1%1%2%1%1%1%1%1%1%2%1%1%1%1%1%1%2%1%

122816171261812203813139361543693536381331117983163Michael Fallon1%1%1%1%1%1%2%2%1%2%1%1%1%2%1%1%1%1%1%2%1%2%2%1%1%1%

112013881814515-231611229214258363628241986981150Stephen Crabb1%1%1%1%1%2%1%1%1%-4%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%

2220162371113615288132241848562124223038159851150Liz Truss2%1%1%2%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%2%1%1%1%1%1%2%2%2%1%1%

11043434112-1541831521104101194182947Dominic Raab*1%******1%-**********1%1%1%*1%*

Page 274

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 62Q.28 Which of the following do you think would make the best next Conservative Prime Minister after David Cameron when he stands down before the next General Election?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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Reluctant ToTell How You

2015 VoteVotedWhen Mind Made UpReferendumSince

Longerbegin-In theOnagoningIn theIn thelastpol-

PlaidAlwaysthan aoflastlastfewlingCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConNoYesknownyearyearmonthweekdaysdayRemainLeaveTotal

7251950915109993442408511079129046167511743226680096612276198617112369Unweighted base

7251249815659823400410711080128946077581748226779996412255949642012369Weighted base

19987983414366712323116368124623754961723524934955129333484Boris Johnson26%19%16%53%15%20%30%28%29%27%31%31%27%29%26%29%9%46%28%

114790128249658825199819978211530143615318822214247732196Theresa May15%9%18%8%25%19%20%18%15%17%15%17%19%19%20%18%24%12%18%

1219597231464512311135985947714617765849010401931233Ruth Davidson16%38%20%1%15%13%6%10%8%13%10%8%8%8%9%7%17%3%10%

33315249631985231073984681031852035378821849871172Michael Gove4%7%3%16%6%6%13%10%8%10%14%11%9%7%8%7%3%15%9%

318182288260449857115332441581915980108785186971George Osborne4%3%4%1%9%8%11%8%9%7%6%9%8%7%8%9%13%3%8%

72028114532322977429528549951605682109349487836Iain Duncan Smith10%4%6%7%5%7%7%7%7%6%6%5%7%7%8%9%6%8%7%

21842962239934646621316669737475244683530Sajid Javid3%4%8%1%6%7%2%4%5%5%2%4%4%5%5%4%8%1%4%

184033321387831750133283376303037214153367Priti Patel1%2%8%2%3%4%2%3%4%3%4%2%3%4%3%3%4%2%3%

3201433221098928441108165170212436171154325Liam Fox4%4%3%2%2%3%2%3%3%2%2%3%3%3%2%3%3%2%3%

114225229431184259613193610152016544209Amber Rudd1%3%4%*2%3%1%2%2%2%2%1%2%1%2%2%3%1%2%

2610723744816633648204818182414951200Nicky Morgan3%1%2%*2%2%1%2%3%1%1%1%2%2%2%2%3%1%2%

-663784950151206314222512161858113171Daniel Hannan-1%1%2%1%1%1%1%2%1%2%1%1%1%2%1%1%2%1%

Page 275

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 62Q.28 Which of the following do you think would make the best next Conservative Prime Minister after David Cameron when he stands down before the next General Election?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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Reluctant ToTell How You

2015 VoteVotedWhen Mind Made UpReferendumSince

Longerbegin-In theOnagoningIn theIn thelastpol-

PlaidAlwaysthan aoflastlastfewlingCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConNoYesknownyearyearmonthweekdaysdayRemainLeaveTotal

7251249815659823400410711080128946077581748226779996412255949642012369Weighted base

1663018454914621571026311016167295167Chris Grayling1%1%1%2%2%1%1%1%2%1%1%1%1%1%2%1%1%1%1%

-871516484214419539213519141310360163Michael Fallon-2%1%1%2%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%2%2%1%1%2%1%1%

511616135435139115211173411101610050150Stephen Crabb7%2%1%1%1%2%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%2%1%1%

341771762251272350528237102710347150Liz Truss4%1%3%*2%2%1%1%2%1%1%2%1%1%1%2%2%1%1%

-1318219398114117438361047Dominic Raab-*1%*1%1%**1%*1%1%***1%1%**

Page 276

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 62Q.28 Which of the following do you think would make the best next Conservative Prime Minister after David Cameron when he stands down before the next General Election?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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MethodologyRemain by GE2015Leave by GE2015PlaidPlaid

CATIOnlineCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConTotal

1000113693334338770718224817793917612214402811194230612369Unweighted base

996113733232937167689215817084118312714982921242239912369Weighted base

238324522924153615720617705581910751010263484Boris Johnson24%29%6%9%6%23%5%7%12%41%38%43%55%37%41%43%28%

180201673770141944924714920113551653542196Theresa May18%18%21%11%19%21%28%23%28%10%5%16%8%19%13%15%18%

115111891589141354121663366191040641233Ruth Davidson12%10%27%48%25%6%20%19%10%8%20%5%1%4%3%3%10%

951077211732653631238247371464601172Michael Gove10%9%6%3%2%4%4%2%4%3%13%7%16%13%12%19%9%

79893114146792123792331794870971George Osborne8%8%3%4%4%9%11%10%22%5%2%2%1%3%4%3%8%

71765211228311341025961062298196836Iain Duncan Smith7%7%6%3%6%11%4%6%6%13%5%5%7%7%8%8%7%

245051163535720578127653316530Sajid Javid2%4%3%5%9%4%8%10%5%3%1%6%*2%3%1%4%

43324-534321923013630104648367Priti Patel4%3%-1%9%4%3%4%2%3%2%5%2%4%4%2%3%

272981121231366502823084340325Liam Fox3%3%3%3%3%4%2%3%3%5%5%2%2%3%3%2%3%

2018911120-218122-3251149209Amber Rudd2%2%3%3%5%-3%4%1%-2%2%**1%*2%

1918123102195635-3-541914200Nicky Morgan2%2%6%1%3%3%3%3%2%-2%-*1%2%1%2%

22148-45-42712-213742238171Daniel Hannan2%1%-1%1%-1%1%1%-1%1%2%1%2%2%1%

Page 277

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

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Table 62Q.28 Which of the following do you think would make the best next Conservative Prime Minister after David Cameron when he stands down before the next General Election?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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MethodologyRemain by GE2015Leave by GE2015PlaidPlaid

CATIOnlineCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConTotal

996113733232937167689215817084118312714982921242239912369Weighted base

15152-523927221142791827167Chris Grayling1%1%-1%1%4%1%1%1%3%1%3%2%3%1%1%1%

6157-562123528-311431415163Michael Fallon1%1%-1%2%3%2%2%2%-2%1%1%1%1%1%1%

15135486211452213-152912150Stephen Crabb1%1%12%2%2%3%2%2%1%3%2%-1%1%1%1%1%

241261113-15461623372168150Liz Truss2%1%3%*4%-2%2%1%5%2%2%*1%1%*1%

542-12-7176--1114347Dominic Raab**-*1%-1%1%*--1%*****

Page 278

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 62Q.28 Which of the following do you think would make the best next Conservative Prime Minister after David Cameron when he stands down before the next General Election?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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Equ-MoreallyMore

Brit-Brit-Eng-Eng-Eng-ishishlishlishlishnotthanandthannot

Eng-Eng-Brit-Brit-Brit-0-45-78-10lishlishishishishIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodTotal

1406469562441252113345341785120848904380366648695989319290552692418716119707087294857743665593412369Unweighted base

1413469662361240112045321805123550034272366348656079296294652102470708420057020301756813754582612369Weighted base

5431447148228821113085975592161529102612862202542105611429521556772155612001014155110043484Boris Johnson38%31%24%23%19%29%33%45%43%12%28%26%36%27%36%22%39%22%38%22%40%18%41%17%28%

1938571144237256867296166641965593963781684414105730614172741403400116552012412196Theresa May14%18%18%19%23%19%16%13%13%23%16%20%13%18%14%20%12%20%14%20%13%21%14%21%18%

683548101341483178430161781454414211010247582102965779651148851448681233Ruth Davidson5%8%13%11%13%7%5%2%3%18%12%9%4%11%8%11%4%14%4%14%4%16%4%15%10%

963537229690408233144661200280534828103623954324472874854693415503231172Michael Gove7%8%12%8%8%9%13%12%13%5%8%11%14%9%12%8%17%6%14%7%16%6%15%6%9%

105406458107943891206728641420448538784125560128592134564155524178569971George Osborne7%9%7%9%8%9%7%5%6%10%6%10%6%8%4%11%5%8%7%8%5%9%5%10%8%

11238433879613351388440421524829847612215314194428144444236323285324836Iain Duncan Smith8%8%5%6%5%7%8%7%8%5%7%6%8%7%7%6%8%6%7%6%8%6%8%6%7%

5720327075662044936883161941892240710527251405523705237149397530Sajid Javid4%4%4%6%6%4%3%3%2%7%5%4%4%4%4%5%2%6%3%5%2%7%1%7%4%

431411835143136561893178149108182626817147250412507221778232367Priti Patel3%3%3%4%4%3%3%1%2%4%4%2%3%3%2%3%2%4%2%4%2%4%2%4%3%

5111715736231145135136107991231924866144731886417683161100140325Liam Fox4%2%3%3%2%3%3%3%3%3%3%3%3%3%2%3%3%3%3%3%3%3%3%2%3%

207511424306233123711788591016133927178161632214120149209Amber Rudd1%2%2%2%3%1%2%1%1%3%2%1%2%2%1%2%*3%1%2%1%2%1%3%2%

397486332363261347110658381583011822143191372512636130200Nicky Morgan3%2%1%3%2%1%1%1%1%3%2%2%1%2%1%2%1%2%1%2%1%2%1%2%2%

1247111211456292268584183912455715382418454677872171Daniel Hannan1%1%2%2%1%1%2%2%1%1%1%2%1%1%2%1%2%1%2%1%2%1%2%1%1%

Page 279

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 62Q.28 Which of the following do you think would make the best next Conservative Prime Minister after David Cameron when he stands down before the next General Election?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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Attention Paid toThe GreenSocialMulti-PoliticsNational IdentityImmigrationCapitalismThe internetGlobalisationmovementFeminismliberalismculturalism

Equ-MoreallyMore

Brit-Brit-Eng-Eng-Eng-ishishlishlishlishnotthanandthannot

Eng-Eng-Brit-Brit-Brit-0-45-78-10lishlishishishishIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodTotal

1413469662361240112045321805123550034272366348656079296294652102470708420057020301756813754582612369Weighted base

165497161857301865545159811747603885278549645275167Chris Grayling1%1%2%1%2%1%2%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%2%1%2%1%1%1%2%1%1%1%1%

236475911842011646349691012033772195269035753990163Michael Fallon2%1%1%1%1%2%1%1%1%1%1%1%2%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%2%1%

949921715472274371515661094664241051410321903386150Stephen Crabb1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%2%1%1%1%1%2%1%1%1%1%1%1%2%1%1%1%

2555691516681693974554371113171141121011022892898150Liz Truss2%1%1%1%1%2%1%1%1%2%2%1%1%1%1%1%1%2%1%2%1%2%1%2%1%

2153043167382017142351519636734730112847Dominic Raab*****************1%***1%***

Page 280

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 62Q.28 Which of the following do you think would make the best next Conservative Prime Minister after David Cameron when he stands down before the next General Election?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 281: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

RegionSocial GradeAgeGenderYork-shireNorth-

WestEast&ernSouthSouthEast-Mid-Mid-Humb-NorthNorthIre-Scot-Eng-WestEastLondonernlandslandsersideEastWestlandWaleslandlandDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

1185184912921108985891112658814441706291102104682360165331795148296326632402209116096396513585012369Unweighted base

1186185112841113988894112958914451706311090104792384166931775111298126732409208515926276513585012369Weighted base

3716144063543222993451774145818929233027845879411512890775752663546215209217463841For the next 5 years31%33%32%32%33%33%31%30%29%34%30%27%32%33%35%30%30%30%29%31%32%34%34%32%30%31%

2654073202492221872441413204014025823545223467521166595540545501443168153212592792For the next 10 years22%22%25%22%22%21%22%24%22%24%22%24%22%22%21%24%23%20%20%23%24%28%27%24%22%23%

405630415361338293399209529552304133578690517112519401065994849695461210209621774276For a generation34%34%32%32%34%33%35%36%37%33%36%38%34%29%31%35%38%36%37%35%33%29%34%32%37%35%

1462011431501061161406118316721271244387219358492432363263226141357926681460Forever12%11%11%13%11%13%12%10%13%9%11%12%12%16%13%11%10%14%14%11%11%9%6%12%11%12%

Page 281

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 63Q.29 If it turns out that a majority has voted for the UK to remain in the EU in this referendum, for how long do you think thequestion of the UK's EU membership will have been settled?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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Reluctant ToTell How You

2015 VoteVotedWhen Mind Made UpReferendumSince

Longerbegin-In theOnagoningIn theIn thelastpol-

PlaidAlwaysthan aoflastlastfewlingCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConNoYesknownyearyearmonthweekdaysdayRemainLeaveTotal

7251950915109993442408511079129046167511743226680096612276198617112369Unweighted base

7251249815659823400410711080128946077581748226779996412255949642012369Weighted base

14175138656259933124733375041395253523665254290460137824623841For the next 5 years20%34%28%42%26%27%30%30%39%30%33%30%29%32%30%38%23%38%31%

191261442582357859272486307852150412581236269293156312302792For the next 10 years26%25%29%16%24%23%23%22%24%18%20%24%26%30%28%24%26%19%23%

291581724013971267147839193571661256628817248301365245518204276For a generation40%31%34%26%40%37%36%35%28%36%34%36%36%31%31%30%41%28%35%

10534525091415455133912170098185205611041075539071460Forever14%10%9%16%9%12%11%12%9%15%13%11%9%8%11%9%9%14%12%

Page 282

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 63Q.29 If it turns out that a majority has voted for the UK to remain in the EU in this referendum, for how long do you think thequestion of the UK's EU membership will have been settled?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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MethodologyRemain by GE2015Leave by GE2015PlaidPlaid

CATIOnlineCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConTotal

1000113693334338770718224817793917612214402811194230612369Unweighted base

996113733232937167689215817084118312714982921242239912369Weighted base

39534461999015166478360147648641934558873841For the next 5 years40%30%3%30%24%23%24%22%21%33%41%38%43%32%37%37%31%

219257388911727165532446113627231702534812792For the next 10 years22%23%24%27%32%40%24%25%26%28%20%21%15%24%20%20%23%

242403417108138162959297531151333851023387254276For a generation24%35%55%33%37%24%43%43%44%28%28%26%26%35%27%30%35%

14013206342696321914942019241281973061460Forever14%12%18%10%7%13%9%10%9%10%11%15%16%10%16%13%12%

Page 283

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 63Q.29 If it turns out that a majority has voted for the UK to remain in the EU in this referendum, for how long do you think thequestion of the UK's EU membership will have been settled?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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Attention Paid toThe GreenSocialMulti-PoliticsNational IdentityImmigrationCapitalismThe internetGlobalisationmovementFeminismliberalismculturalism

Equ-MoreallyMore

Brit-Brit-Eng-Eng-Eng-ishishlishlishlishnotthanandthannot

Eng-Eng-Brit-Brit-Brit-0-45-78-10lishlishishishishIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodTotal

1406469562441252113345341785120848904380366648695989319290552692418716119707087294857743665593412369Unweighted base

1413469662361240112045321805123550034272366348656079296294652102470708420057020301756813754582612369Weighted base

49113981943387331137259945418881020117214312292808106614529651935710201311361488141715103841For the next 5 years35%30%31%31%30%30%33%37%38%24%32%29%38%30%36%28%39%27%35%29%38%26%38%26%31%

3201123134727227910503982191010107082011371132179584130843017543771688554143372014572792For the next 10 years23%24%22%22%25%23%22%18%20%25%22%23%19%23%20%25%17%25%19%24%18%25%19%25%23%

415162622274203981617620344140717851196180616132969011950684271260826038592221108122844276For a generation29%35%36%34%36%36%34%28%28%42%33%37%27%35%31%37%28%38%30%37%28%39%29%39%35%

18755071916211249318921869839847549110310133955003916833107164685395365751460Forever13%12%12%13%10%11%10%18%14%9%13%10%17%11%13%10%16%10%15%10%16%9%14%10%12%

Page 284

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 63Q.29 If it turns out that a majority has voted for the UK to remain in the EU in this referendum, for how long do you think thequestion of the UK's EU membership will have been settled?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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RegionSocial GradeAgeGenderYork-shireNorth-

WestEast&ernSouthSouthEast-Mid-Mid-Humb-NorthNorthIre-Scot-Eng-WestEastLondonernlandslandsersideEastWestlandWaleslandlandDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

118518491292110898589111265881444---104681946139426854416252322162038176513825425544491810468Unweighted base

118618511284111398889411295891445---104791968140926874388254222272046176213685325550492310479Weighted base

353563284363327301330156364---30406714897651112870699618444305104143816003040NET: More English30%30%22%33%33%34%29%26%25%---29%34%35%28%25%34%31%30%25%22%19%26%32%29%

14421711615313913512956146---1235328206322379360273244188136355666671235English not British12%12%9%14%14%15%11%9%10%---12%17%15%12%9%14%12%12%11%10%7%10%14%12%

209347168210188165201100218---1805343283443733510426375257169698729321805More English than18%19%13%19%19%18%18%17%15%---17%17%20%16%17%20%19%18%15%12%13%16%19%17%British

504813484475395359505290707---4532835590118819041133960886767563221260919204532Equally English and42%44%38%43%40%40%45%49%49%---43%42%42%44%43%45%43%43%44%41%42%47%39%43%British

1281851721041079812441161---1120158137272551214226213202178865705501120More British than11%10%13%9%11%11%11%7%11%---11%8%10%10%13%8%10%10%11%13%16%10%11%11%English

1362082241221139512374147---1240195137323578255260221227202766146271240British not English11%11%17%11%11%11%11%12%10%---12%10%10%12%13%10%12%11%13%15%14%11%13%12%

263393396225220192247115308---23603532745951129469486434430379162118411762360NET: More British22%21%31%20%22%22%22%20%21%---23%18%19%22%26%18%22%21%24%28%30%21%24%23%

221726111312161021---1463293669283428252468165146Other2%1%2%1%1%1%1%2%1%---1%2%1%1%2%1%2%1%1%2%1%1%1%1%

365478232427231539---320612977153394269776923180140320None of these3%3%6%2%2%3%2%3%3%---3%3%2%3%3%2%2%3%4%5%4%3%3%3%

812161593837---81151826222511192816592281Don't know1%1%1%1%1%*1%1%*---1%1%1%1%***1%1%2%3%1%*1%

Page 285

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 64Q.30 Which, if any, of the following best describes how you see yourself?Base: All respondents in England

Lord Ashcroft

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Reluctant ToTell How You

2015 VoteVotedWhen Mind Made UpReferendumSince

Longerbegin-In theOnagoningIn theIn thelastpol-

PlaidAlwaysthan aoflastlastfewlingCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConNoYesknownyearyearmonthweekdaysdayRemainLeaveTotal

--4631407878304537179344112438636301477195568182010425111535710468Unweighted base

--4531458863300937379356112338606371483195968181910404906557310479Weighted base

--6867018861312262742298117020241054819921329887621643040NET: More English--15%46%22%20%33%29%27%30%32%28%28%29%26%29%18%39%29%

--243295824746811251105338416520763591252609751235English not British--5%23%7%8%13%12%10%14%13%11%11%9%7%12%5%17%12%

--44341130366758161718863711824534113715417361611891805More English than--10%23%15%12%20%17%17%17%18%17%17%20%19%17%13%21%17%British

--1635743961349167440604721545263660914319363468220223304532Equally English and--36%39%46%45%45%43%42%40%41%44%47%47%44%45%45%42%43%British

--91881223823419671524186215921771831107054151120More British than--20%6%14%13%9%10%14%11%10%11%11%10%10%11%14%7%11%English

--73102102458386110014148677190202591171107424981240British not English--16%7%12%15%10%12%13%13%12%13%10%9%14%11%15%9%12%

--164190224841727206729390413934941912919922014479132360NET: More British--36%13%26%28%19%22%26%23%22%24%21%19%24%21%29%16%23%

--1492153311361074121517810109551146Other--3%1%2%2%1%1%1%2%2%1%1%1%1%1%2%1%1%

--401134123622823814518444717202924278320None of these--9%1%4%4%2%3%3%4%3%3%2%3%2%3%5%1%3%

--5313117691122351581315443681Don't know--1%**1%*1%1%1%**1%1%2%1%1%1%1%

Page 286

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 64Q.30 Which, if any, of the following best describes how you see yourself?Base: All respondents in England

Lord Ashcroft

Page 287: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

MethodologyRemain by GE2015Leave by GE2015PlaidPlaid

CATIOnlineCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConTotal

8379631--3586762319781614--10513402551067210310468Unweighted base

8349644--3446459818991549--10913942651110218810479Weighted base

1752865--362494263365--31646943508613040NET: More English21%30%--11%37%16%14%24%--29%46%35%31%39%29%

641171--1192775109--14320311723591235English not British8%12%--3%13%4%4%7%--12%23%12%15%16%12%

1111694--261567188255--18326621785021805More English than13%18%--8%24%11%10%16%--16%23%24%16%23%17%British

3614171--11828278851752--455461184979234532Equally English and43%43%--34%43%47%45%49%--41%39%44%45%42%43%British

145975--76598293176--168324891651120More British than17%10%--22%7%16%15%11%--14%6%9%8%8%11%English

1281112--60785326200--1296171321861240British not English15%12%--18%10%14%17%13%--11%7%6%12%9%12%

2732087--13612183619375--28179412223522360NET: More British33%22%--40%18%31%33%24%--26%13%15%20%16%23%

11135--12-154512--195820146Other1%1%--4%-3%2%1%--1%1%2%1%1%1%

15305--3712710136--21072226320None of these2%3%--11%1%4%5%2%--2%1%3%2%1%3%

-81--3--1911--23111681Don't know-1%--1%--1%1%--2%**1%*1%

Page 287

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 64Q.30 Which, if any, of the following best describes how you see yourself?Base: All respondents in England

Lord Ashcroft

Page 288: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

Attention Paid toThe GreenSocialMulti-PoliticsNational IdentityImmigrationCapitalismThe internetGlobalisationmovementFeminismliberalismculturalism

Equ-MoreallyMore

Brit-Brit-Eng-Eng-Eng-ishishlishlishlishnotthanandthannot

Eng-Eng-Brit-Brit-Brit-0-45-78-10lishlishishishishIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodTotal

1196401452371252113345341785120842093647301741955107873242844892050602716835973253548253164497910468Unweighted base

1203401852371240112045321805123543083560301941955197862246644432096596817135922259547523242489310479Weighted base

38811891457---18051235177854585812022112169928103487514136931409108694614188903040NET: More English32%30%28%---100%100%41%15%28%29%41%28%38%23%42%24%40%24%42%20%44%18%29%

182485563----12358411483894251178324333654165013124995292986722841235English not British15%12%11%----100%20%4%13%10%23%11%18%8%20%8%18%8%20%6%21%6%12%

206704894---1805-9373974697779413374956704599133819095576497466061805More English than17%18%17%---100%-22%11%16%19%18%17%20%15%22%15%22%15%21%14%23%12%17%British

51118212192--4532--1795153312691819180343893619828022633628262010162131125722134532Equally English and42%45%42%--100%--42%43%42%43%35%44%38%45%38%44%37%44%39%45%39%45%43%British

110392616-1120---261593304501369031995881507701277821796902117151120More British than9%10%12%-100%---6%17%10%12%7%11%8%13%7%13%7%13%7%15%6%15%11%English

1314316761240----376572392486669582865682117781947672466642687171240British not English11%11%13%100%----9%16%13%12%13%12%12%13%10%13%11%13%9%14%8%15%12%

241823129312401120---63711656969871031862485115536215473211548425135447914322360NET: More British20%20%25%100%100%---15%33%23%24%20%24%20%26%17%26%19%26%16%29%15%29%23%

134786-----317853582112396813107259117892590146Other1%1%2%-----1%2%2%1%*1%2%2%1%2%1%2%1%2%1%2%1%

27107185-----43208117114152376516534225362144019951227320None of these2%3%4%-----1%6%4%3%3%3%3%4%2%4%2%4%2%4%2%5%3%

233124-----243226168441338104210411133134081Don't know2%1%*-----1%1%1%*2%1%1%1%*1%1%1%*1%*1%1%

Page 288

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 64Q.30 Which, if any, of the following best describes how you see yourself?Base: All respondents in England

Lord Ashcroft

Page 289: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

RegionSocial GradeAgeGenderYork-shireNorth-

WestEast&ernSouthSouthEast-Mid-Mid-Humb-NorthNorthIre-Scot-Eng-WestEastLondonernlandslandsersideEastWestlandWaleslandlandDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

-----------1102-226145267464238255214195145555445581102Unweighted base

-----------1090-226145263455236253212193142545375521090Weighted base

-----------564-12785145207871451251007730280284564NET: More Scottish-----------52%-56%58%55%45%37%57%59%52%54%56%52%51%52%

-----------285-65567788396559535218133152285Scottish not British-----------26%-29%38%29%19%17%25%28%28%37%33%25%28%26%

-----------278-622968120488066462512147131278More Scottish than-----------26%-27%20%26%26%20%32%31%24%18%23%27%24%26%British

-----------286-573668125886050472912144142286Equally Scottish and-----------26%-25%25%26%27%37%24%23%25%21%22%27%26%26%British

-----------69-11611401616141562284169More British than-----------6%-5%4%4%9%7%6%7%8%4%4%5%7%6%Scottish

-----------121-19163155362318202055467121British not Scottish-----------11%-8%11%12%12%15%9%8%10%14%9%10%12%11%

-----------190-302242965239323526782108190NET: More British-----------17%-13%15%16%21%22%15%15%18%18%13%15%20%17%

-----------18-514846213213518Other-----------2%-2%1%1%2%2%2%1%*2%4%2%1%2%

-----------31-614205431072171431None of these-----------3%-3%1%2%4%2%2%1%5%5%4%3%3%3%

-----------1-1--------11-1Don't know-----------*-*--------2%*-*

Page 289

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 65Q.30 Which, if any, of the following best describes how you see yourself?Base: All respondents in Scotland

Lord Ashcroft

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Reluctant ToTell How You

2015 VoteVotedWhen Mind Made UpReferendumSince

Longerbegin-In theOnagoningIn theIn thelastpol-

PlaidAlwaysthan aoflastlastfewlingCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConNoYesknownyearyearmonthweekdaysdayRemainLeaveTotal

-5192324722042051005974527514816480781057063961102Unweighted base

-512232570200205993964467414716279781046784121090Weighted base

-4228515593151648232387669504356372191564NET: More Scottish-82%35%21%22%29%15%52%49%52%51%52%43%62%55%54%55%46%52%

-2544121522612412220373024213219591285Scottish not British-50%17%4%3%7%1%26%25%27%26%26%18%30%27%31%29%22%26%

-1684414442925523110193940262224178101278More Scottish than-33%18%17%19%22%14%26%24%25%25%26%24%33%28%23%26%24%26%British

-625824859026323125164051131922174112286Equally Scottish and-12%21%33%35%42%44%26%24%28%22%27%32%16%24%21%26%27%26%British

-513323296091871313558353469More British than-1%4%13%4%11%14%6%9%4%10%9%8%6%6%8%5%8%6%Scottish

-6572225491111051101222125106952121British not Scottish-1%22%29%32%12%24%11%10%11%13%8%13%15%6%9%10%13%11%

-11610254778171196917253417101810486190NET: More British-2%27%42%36%24%38%17%20%15%23%17%21%21%13%17%15%21%17%

-8211221538112-2411718Other-2%9%4%1%1%1%1%3%2%1%1%1%-3%4%2%2%2%

-102-47428312255-34171431None of these-2%9%-6%3%2%3%3%3%3%3%3%-4%4%3%3%3%

--------1-----1--11Don't know--------1%-----1%--**

Page 290

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 65Q.30 Which, if any, of the following best describes how you see yourself?Base: All respondents in Scotland

Lord Ashcroft

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MethodologyRemain by GE2015Leave by GE2015PlaidPlaid

CATIOnlineCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConTotal

881014-34317258153101-17662214511041102Unweighted base

871003-3291625614797-18362315531081090Weighted base

42522-2805-144414-1413511517564NET: More Scottish49%52%-85%29%-26%30%15%-77%50%23%7%27%15%52%

20266-1723-2121-8211-21285Scottish not British23%27%-52%18%-3%8%1%-45%17%5%-4%1%26%

23256-1082-123213-592411216278More Scottish than26%26%-33%12%-22%22%14%-32%33%18%7%24%14%26%British

27260-3351196644-29-751946286Equally Scottish and31%26%-10%29%50%34%45%46%-16%-32%36%35%42%26%British

564-31-21611-2-3161969More British than6%6%-1%6%-3%11%11%-1%-14%7%12%17%6%Scottish

11110-421171625-2365824121British not Scottish13%11%-1%12%50%31%11%26%-1%50%27%36%16%22%11%

16174-731193336-43961543190NET: More British19%17%-2%18%50%34%22%37%-2%50%41%43%27%39%17%

-18-52-1-2-3-1-2-18Other-2%-1%12%-2%-2%-2%-5%-4%-2%

229-52-241-5--23331None of these2%3%-1%12%-3%3%1%-3%--14%6%3%3%

-1--------------1Don't know-*--------------*

Page 291

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 65Q.30 Which, if any, of the following best describes how you see yourself?Base: All respondents in Scotland

Lord Ashcroft

Page 292: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

Attention Paid toThe GreenSocialMulti-PoliticsNational IdentityImmigrationCapitalismThe internetGlobalisationmovementFeminismliberalismculturalism

Equ-MoreallyMore

Brit-Brit-Eng-Eng-Eng-ishishlishlishlishnotthanandthannot

Eng-Eng-Brit-Brit-Brit-0-45-78-10lishlishishishishIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodTotal

114390596-----345486394379498492914411926991476722136042676011102Unweighted base

113387588-----352471389375498382914321946861496582175892725851090Weighted base

62189314-----17226725114521453161227724015537984327120329564NET: More Scottish54%49%53%-----49%57%65%39%43%54%55%53%37%58%37%58%39%56%44%56%52%

2892166-----9014315550142269111427211261974416562169285Scottish not British25%24%28%-----26%30%40%13%28%27%31%26%14%31%18%30%20%28%23%29%26%

3497148-----82124969572277011344190281814116258160278More Scottish than30%25%25%-----23%26%25%25%14%27%24%26%23%28%19%28%19%27%21%27%26%British

28112144-----10110879117142096310555162431546413882136286Equally Scottish and25%29%25%-----29%23%20%31%29%25%22%24%28%24%29%23%30%23%30%23%26%British

52638-----242612402571733243316301739203169More British than4%7%6%-----7%6%3%11%4%7%6%8%13%5%11%5%8%7%7%5%6%Scottish

104566-----44462856108835463756296240563859121British not Scottish9%12%11%-----12%10%7%15%20%11%12%11%19%8%20%9%18%9%14%10%11%

1571104-----687240961214552796288469257955791190NET: More British13%18%18%-----19%15%10%26%25%17%18%18%32%13%31%14%26%16%21%15%17%

369-----48731115821311241141018Other3%2%2%-----1%2%2%1%2%1%2%2%1%2%1%2%2%2%1%2%2%

6817-----617121412191332242261972031None of these5%2%3%-----2%4%3%4%2%2%3%3%2%3%3%3%3%3%3%3%3%

-1------1-----1-1-1-1-1-1Don't know-*------*-----*-1%-1%-*-*-*

Page 292

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 65Q.30 Which, if any, of the following best describes how you see yourself?Base: All respondents in Scotland

Lord Ashcroft

Page 293: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

RegionSocial GradeAgeGenderYork-shireNorth-

WestEast&ernSouthSouthEast-Mid-Mid-Humb-NorthNorthIre-Scot-Eng-WestEastLondonernlandslandsersideEastWestlandWaleslandlandDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

----------629--147911842051701491091036533329300629Unweighted base

----------631--149931832041711501101036532330301631Weighted base

----------194--49335456404635353099995194NET: More Welsh----------31%--33%36%29%28%23%31%31%34%46%27%30%32%31%

----------70--181021205152012162294170Welsh not British----------11%--12%11%11%10%3%10%18%12%25%6%9%14%11%

----------124--30233336353114231477054124More Welsh than British----------20%--20%25%18%18%20%21%13%22%22%21%21%18%20%

----------186--4831525555422737151011076186Equally Welsh and----------29%--33%33%28%27%32%28%25%36%23%31%33%25%29%British

----------47--1331318219962-202747More British than Welsh----------8%--9%3%7%9%12%6%8%6%3%-6%9%8%

----------155--322350494239341910117975155British not Welsh----------25%--22%25%27%24%25%26%30%19%16%33%24%25%25%

----------202--45266367644843251211100102202NET: More British----------32%--31%29%34%33%37%32%39%24%19%33%30%34%32%

----------27--3-1014693252141327Other----------4%--2%-5%7%4%6%3%2%8%6%4%4%4%

----------21--3151274342181321None of these----------3%--2%1%3%6%4%3%3%4%3%3%2%4%3%

----------1---1------1--11Don't know----------*---1%------1%--**

Page 293

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 66Q.30 Which, if any, of the following best describes how you see yourself?Base: All respondents in Wales

Lord Ashcroft

Page 294: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

Reluctant ToTell How You

2015 VoteVotedWhen Mind Made UpReferendumSince

Longerbegin-In theOnagoningIn theIn thelastpol-

PlaidAlwaysthan aoflastlastfewlingCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConNoYesknownyearyearmonthweekdaysdayRemainLeaveTotal

72-237949193163574552363694116315660290339629Unweighted base

72-238248191164575562373795116315660278353631Weighted base

41-615157429176187612233412181992102194NET: More Welsh57%-26%18%31%39%18%31%32%32%33%25%29%39%32%32%33%29%31%

22-27523460102746123810333770Welsh not British30%-9%9%10%12%2%10%18%11%11%7%10%10%14%17%12%11%11%

19-471051251168498172291096064124More Welsh than British26%-17%9%21%27%15%20%14%21%22%18%19%29%18%15%21%18%20%

18-5331161481701656934368192477109186Equally Welsh and25%-22%41%23%32%29%30%29%24%25%35%31%26%34%40%28%31%29%British

6-18481846121565334182947More British than Welsh8%-5%10%8%4%11%8%2%9%14%6%4%10%5%7%7%8%8%

6-621153754135205762833612126688155British not Welsh8%-26%25%30%19%33%23%35%24%16%30%29%19%21%20%24%25%25%

12-72918457218121791134389151684118202NET: More British17%-31%35%38%23%44%32%37%33%30%36%33%29%27%27%30%33%32%

--33171126113326111101827Other--13%4%2%4%7%5%2%6%9%2%5%3%2%2%3%5%4%

1-1234421-1312113-14621None of these1%-5%3%6%2%2%4%-5%3%2%1%3%5%-5%2%3%

--1----1----1---1-1Don't know--4%----*----1%---*-*

Page 294

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 66Q.30 Which, if any, of the following best describes how you see yourself?Base: All respondents in Wales

Lord Ashcroft

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MethodologyRemain by GE2015Leave by GE2015PlaidPlaid

CATIOnlineCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConTotal

4858133-121371176439-1178127699629Unweighted base

4858332-121361126141-11811279103631Weighted base

1118320-3-9421321-31563216194NET: More Welsh23%31%64%-25%-24%38%22%51%-27%18%50%41%15%31%

46612-1-31129-17212270Welsh not British8%11%39%-8%-8%9%3%23%-9%9%17%16%2%11%

71178-2-6321211-2742014124More Welsh than British15%20%24%-17%-16%28%19%28%-18%9%33%25%13%20%

211656-2-8391612-33332231186Equally Welsh and44%28%18%-17%-22%35%27%31%-27%41%25%28%30%29%British

5422---3494-1814947More British than Welsh11%7%6%---8%3%14%10%-9%10%8%5%9%8%

91463-311219203-32021834155British not Welsh19%25%9%-25%100%35%17%33%8%-27%24%17%22%33%25%

141885-311523297-42832244202NET: More British29%32%15%-25%100%43%21%47%18%-36%35%25%28%42%32%

-27--3-142---3-3927Other-5%--25%-3%3%3%---4%-4%9%4%

2191---341--12--321None of these4%3%3%---8%3%2%--9%3%--3%3%

-1--1-----------1Don't know-*--8%-----------*

Page 295

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 66Q.30 Which, if any, of the following best describes how you see yourself?Base: All respondents in Wales

Lord Ashcroft

Page 296: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

Attention Paid toThe GreenSocialMulti-PoliticsNational IdentityImmigrationCapitalismThe internetGlobalisationmovementFeminismliberalismculturalism

Equ-MoreallyMore

Brit-Brit-Eng-Eng-Eng-ishishlishlishlishnotthanandthannot

Eng-Eng-Brit-Brit-Brit-0-45-78-10lishlishishishishIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodTotal

74229326-----26519419823632471155258143339112343157276190272629Unweighted base

75229327-----27119019923732471158256146336114341161272195268631Weighted base

228290-----88696862111434676411053810241866280194NET: More Welsh30%36%27%-----32%36%34%26%34%30%29%30%28%31%34%30%25%32%32%30%31%

122434-----352427193542122173518321728222570Welsh not British16%10%10%-----13%12%14%8%9%11%13%9%12%10%16%9%11%10%12%10%11%

105856-----5345414388925542470207123573954124More Welsh than British14%25%17%-----20%24%21%18%25%19%16%21%16%21%18%21%15%21%20%20%20%

2163102-----8243586991394282361013310348744980186Equally Welsh and28%28%31%-----30%23%29%29%28%29%27%32%24%30%29%30%30%27%25%30%29%British

51527-----28911211391415152811251821211847More British than Welsh7%7%8%-----10%5%6%9%3%8%9%6%10%8%10%7%11%8%11%7%8%

215380-----57504559711743634275287942634967155British not Welsh28%23%25%-----21%26%23%25%22%25%28%24%29%22%24%23%26%23%25%25%25%

2668108-----8459568081565877571033910460847085202NET: More British35%30%33%-----31%31%28%34%26%33%37%30%39%31%34%31%37%31%36%32%32%

11016-----121091522141391221771381127Other1%4%5%-----5%5%5%6%6%4%3%5%6%3%2%5%5%5%4%4%4%

3612-----5106102136831421451551321None of these4%3%4%-----2%5%3%4%6%3%4%3%2%4%2%4%3%5%3%5%3%

1---------1---1--1-1-1--1Don't know1%---------*---1%--*-*-*--*

Page 296

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 66Q.30 Which, if any, of the following best describes how you see yourself?Base: All respondents in Wales

Lord Ashcroft

Page 297: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

RegionSocial GradeAgeGenderYork-shireNorth-

WestEast&ernSouthSouthEast-Mid-Mid-Humb-NorthNorthIre-Scot-Eng-WestEastLondonernlandslandsersideEastWestlandWaleslandlandDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

---------170---41234363324341281799674170Unweighted base

---------170---41234363324341281799574170Weighted base

---------22---8536354361121022Northern Irish---------13%---19%22%7%9%9%12%10%11%34%11%12%13%13%

---------23---8168266522131023Irish---------13%---19%4%14%13%7%14%14%18%12%23%13%13%13%

---------45---105121813126842261945British---------27%---25%22%28%29%40%29%15%29%24%23%27%26%27%

---------6---11311221--336British and Irish---------3%---2%4%7%2%3%5%5%3%--3%4%3%

---------51---116161891417641312051British and Northern---------30%---27%26%37%29%29%33%42%21%24%11%32%27%30%Irish

---------18---233102354139918Irish and Northern---------10%---5%13%7%16%6%7%12%14%6%33%9%12%10%Irish

---------5---12-22111--235Other---------3%---3%8%-3%6%2%3%3%--2%4%3%

Page 297

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 67Q.30 Which, if any, of the following best describes how you see yourself?Base: All respondents in Northern Ireland

Lord Ashcroft

Page 298: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

Reluctant ToTell How You

2015 VoteVotedWhen Mind Made UpReferendumSince

Longerbegin-In theOnagoningIn theIn thelastpol-

PlaidAlwaysthan aoflastlastfewlingCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConNoYesknownyearyearmonthweekdaysdayRemainLeaveTotal

-------1561465102431812209179170Unweighted base

-------1561465102431812208782170Weighted base

-------184526411313822Northern Irish-------11%29%8%19%25%13%12%9%15%15%10%13%

-------22111-23-1614823Irish-------14%7%17%-8%10%-8%30%16%10%13%

-------40517397135172845British-------26%36%27%31%38%23%13%25%25%20%34%27%

-------6-31---11426British and Irish-------4%-5%10%---8%5%4%3%3%

-------474202512525232851British and Northern-------30%28%31%20%21%39%62%16%25%26%34%30%Irish

-------18-811413-12618Irish and Northern-------11%-12%10%4%13%13%26%-13%8%10%Irish

-------5-1111-1-415Other-------3%-1%10%4%3%-9%-4%1%3%

Page 298

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 67Q.30 Which, if any, of the following best describes how you see yourself?Base: All respondents in Northern Ireland

Lord Ashcroft

Page 299: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

MethodologyRemain by GE2015Leave by GE2015PlaidPlaid

CATIOnlineCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConTotal

27143--------------170Unweighted base

27142--------------170Weighted base

121--------------22Northern Irish4%15%--------------13%

617--------------23Irish22%12%--------------13%

342--------------45British11%30%--------------27%

-6--------------6British and Irish-4%--------------3%

1536--------------51British and Northern56%25%--------------30%Irish

216--------------18Irish and Northern7%11%--------------10%Irish

-5--------------5Other-3%--------------3%

Page 299

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 67Q.30 Which, if any, of the following best describes how you see yourself?Base: All respondents in Northern Ireland

Lord Ashcroft

Page 300: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

Attention Paid toThe GreenSocialMulti-PoliticsNational IdentityImmigrationCapitalismThe internetGlobalisationmovementFeminismliberalismculturalism

Equ-MoreallyMore

Brit-Brit-Eng-Eng-Eng-ishishlishlishlishnotthanandthannot

Eng-Eng-Brit-Brit-Brit-0-45-78-10lishlishishishishIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodTotal

226285-----71535759712631813396289943694482170Unweighted base

226285-----72525759712532803495299844684580170Weighted base

3109-----91098-1621221531161081022Northern Irish14%16%11%-----13%19%16%13%-13%6%15%6%16%11%11%14%14%18%12%13%

3416-----51010621841231411511221523Irish14%7%19%-----7%19%18%10%28%14%13%15%9%15%4%15%2%17%4%18%13%

31823-----23131215233102212258251717141945British14%29%27%-----32%25%22%26%30%26%33%28%37%26%29%26%40%25%32%23%27%

-15-----3113-512242313136British and Irish-2%6%-----4%2%2%5%-4%3%3%6%4%7%3%2%4%2%4%3%

101922-----23101419235101992311291316152151British and Northern45%31%26%-----32%19%25%32%27%28%32%24%28%25%39%30%30%23%34%26%30%Irish

396-----768811521241331331031118Irish and Northern14%14%7%-----10%11%14%13%15%12%7%15%12%13%11%13%7%14%7%13%10%Irish

-14-----133--42211-321135Other-2%5%-----1%6%5%--3%6%2%3%1%-3%4%1%2%4%3%

Page 300

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 67Q.30 Which, if any, of the following best describes how you see yourself?Base: All respondents in Northern Ireland

Lord Ashcroft

Page 301: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

RegionSocial GradeAgeGenderYork-shireNorth-

WestEast&ernSouthSouthEast-Mid-Mid-Humb-NorthNorthIre-Scot-Eng-WestEastLondonernlandslandsersideEastWestlandWaleslandlandDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

1185184912921108985891112658814441706291102104682360165331795148296326632402209116096396513585012369Unweighted base

1186185112841113988894112958914451706311090104792384166931775111298126732409208515926276513585012369Weighted base

110017141158101490182510405501342142583100396442199155129664653272724982241193114355406051531611373Online93%93%90%91%91%92%92%93%93%84%92%92%92%92%93%93%91%91%93%93%93%90%86%93%91%92%

86137125998770883910327488783418511821045825417516815415686462535996CATI7%7%10%9%9%8%8%7%7%16%8%8%8%8%7%7%9%9%7%7%7%10%14%7%9%8%

Page 301

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 68MethodologyBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 302: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

Reluctant ToTell How You

2015 VoteVotedWhen Mind Made UpReferendumSince

Longerbegin-In theOnagoningIn theIn thelastpol-

PlaidAlwaysthan aoflastlastfewlingCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConNoYesknownyearyearmonthweekdaysdayRemainLeaveTotal

7251950915109993442408511079129046167511743226680096612276198617112369Unweighted base

7251249815659823400410711080128946077581748226779996412255949642012369Weighted base

6647344714599003109383110196117741766871639209372491511405423595011373Online92%92%90%93%92%91%93%92%91%91%91%94%92%91%95%93%91%93%92%

640521068229127688411243171109175765084527469996CATI8%8%10%7%8%9%7%8%9%9%9%6%8%9%5%7%9%7%8%

Page 302

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 68MethodologyBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 303: EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ Poll · Leave by GE2015 Remain by GE2015 Methodology Plaid Plaid Total Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru Con Lab LibDem UKIP Green SNP Cymru

MethodologyRemain by GE2015Leave by GE2015PlaidPlaid

CATIOnlineCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConCymruSNPGreenUKIPLibDemLabConTotal

1000113693334338770718224817793917612214402811194230612369Unweighted base

996113733232937167689215817084118312714982921242239912369Weighted base

-113732930433265625194915973716911413942751160223311373Online-100%91%92%89%97%91%90%94%92%92%90%93%94%93%93%92%

996-32539264209110315121041882165996CATI100%-9%8%11%3%9%10%6%8%8%10%7%6%7%7%8%

Page 303

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 68MethodologyBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

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Attention Paid toThe GreenSocialMulti-PoliticsNational IdentityImmigrationCapitalismThe internetGlobalisationmovementFeminismliberalismculturalism

Equ-MoreallyMore

Brit-Brit-Eng-Eng-Eng-ishishlishlishlishnotthanandthannot

Eng-Eng-Brit-Brit-Brit-0-45-78-10lishlishishishishIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodIllGoodTotal

1406469562441252113345341785120848904380366648695989319290552692418716119707087294857743665593412369Unweighted base

1413469662361240112045321805123550034272366348656079296294652102470708420057020301756813754582612369Weighted base

128943125748111297541711694117147363849339845055318594276947752281654618726446284252393557527011373Online91%92%92%90%87%92%94%95%95%90%93%93%87%92%94%92%92%92%93%92%94%92%95%90%92%

1243844881281453611116426842426636076703177436189538133574175442196556996CATI9%8%8%10%13%8%6%5%5%10%7%7%13%8%6%8%8%8%7%8%6%8%5%10%8%

Page 304

EU Referendum ‘How Did You Vote’ PollONLINE Fieldwork : 21st-23rd June 2016

Absolutes/col percents

Table 68MethodologyBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft