ercot market analysis

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ERCOT Market Analysis Review of the Methodology for Setting Transmission Shadow Price Caps for Irresolvable Non-Competitive Constraints in SCED January 9, 2013

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Review of the Methodology for Setting Transmission Shadow Price Caps for Irresolvable Non-Competitive Constraints in SCED. ERCOT Market Analysis. References. ERCOT Business Practice “Setting the Shadow Price Caps and Power Balance Penalties in Security Constrained Economic Dispatch” - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: ERCOT Market Analysis

ERCOT Market Analysis

Review of the Methodology for Setting Transmission Shadow Price Caps for IrresolvableNon-Competitive Constraintsin SCED

January 9, 2013

Page 2: ERCOT Market Analysis

2

References

• ERCOT Business Practice “Setting the Shadow Price Caps and Power Balance Penalties in Security Constrained Economic Dispatch”– The appropriate section of this document is noted in the headers of

the following slides

• ERCOT Business Practice “System-Wide Offer Cap and Scarcity Pricing Mechanism Methodology”– Contains LCAP definition

January 9, 2013

Page 3: ERCOT Market Analysis

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Default Shadow Price Caps – 3.5

January 9, 2013

Constraint TypeDefault

Shadow PriceCap

Base Case $5,000

345 kV $4,500

138 kV $3,500

69 kV $2,800

Page 4: ERCOT Market Analysis

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Trigger Conditions – 3.6.1

• A non-competitive constraint violation is not resolved by the SCED dispatch or overridden for more than two consecutive hours on more than 4 consecutive Operating Days; or

• A non-competitive constraint violation is not resolved by the SCED dispatch or overridden for more than a total of 20 hours in a rolling thirty day period.

January 9, 2013

Contingency Name Constraint Name Trigger Date

SCABWES8 NAVAL__N_PADR1_1 12/6/2010SNCWMOS8 ODNTH_FMR1 12/7/2010DW_DDEN8 AIR_W_DE_1 2/1/2011BASE CASE VALIMP 2/3/2011DODEQAL5 6611__A 2/28/2011SODBODN9 6860__A 3/11/2011SKEYWLV8 6611__A 3/21/2011DGRSLNC5 6856__B 6/3/2011SKEYWLV8 6611__C 6/18/2011SNCWHLT9 6915__A 6/21/2011DODEQAL5 6215__A 5/3/2012SSUNMGS8 6215__A 10/10/2012XMGS58 MGSES_MR1H 10/31/2012

Page 5: ERCOT Market Analysis

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Trigger Conditions – 3.6.1

• Resource C and D identification– Resource C – used in determination of shadow price cap

• The Generation Resource with the lowest absolute value of the negative shift factor impact on the violated constraint

– Resource D – used for net margin calculation• The Generation Resource with the highest absolute value of the negative shift

factor on the violated constraint.

– Resources with < 2% abs(shift factor) are ignored• In cases for which there is no Resource C, SP cap is set to $2,000• In cases for which there is no Resource D, net margin is calculated based on

Settlement Point of the Resource with the most negative shift factor

• The day the trigger is met is used to determine Resource C and D

• For the end of year evaluation (3.6.2), the last day the constraint was binding is used

January 9, 2013

Page 6: ERCOT Market Analysis

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Trigger Conditions – 3.6.1

• Resource C data for Shadow Price Caps effective January 1, 2013• For VALIMP, the Resource C shift factor was 96.3%• For other constraints in which a Resource C was identified, the shift

factors ranged between 2.0% and 3.4%

January 9, 2013

Contingency Name Constraint Name Resource Type

BASE CASE VALIMP SCLE90

DGRSLNC5 6856__B Not Applicable

DODEQAL5 6215__A WIND

DODEQAL5 6611__A WIND

DW_DDEN8 AIR_W_DE_1 HYDRO

SCABWES8 NAVAL__N_PADR1_1 CCGT90

SKEYWLV8 6611__A SCLE90

SKEYWLV8 6611__C SCLE90

SNCWHLT9 6915__A SCLE90

SNCWMOS8 ODNTH_FMR1 WIND

SODBODN9 6860__A WIND

SSUNMGS8 6215__A SCLE90

XMGS58 MGSES_MR1H WIND

Page 7: ERCOT Market Analysis

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Methodology for Setting the Shadow Price Cap – 3.6.2

• The Shadow Price Cap on this constraint will initially be set to the minimum of:– The current value of the Generic Shadow Price Cap as determined

in Section 3.5, and – The Maximum of the largest value of the Mitigated Offer Cap / abs

(SF) for Generation Resource C or $2000.

January 9, 2013

$2,000 $2,800$3,500$4,500$5,000

MOC SF

$0

Range of allowed SP cap

Page 8: ERCOT Market Analysis

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Current Constraints with Modified Shadow Price Caps

Constraints in RED will be reset to default values on January 17, 2013

as they have been determined to be resolvable

January 9, 2013

Contingency Name Constraint NameConstraint

Type

Maximum Shadow

Price

BASE CASE VALIMP Base Case $2,000.00

DGRSLNC5 6856__B 69 kV $2,000.00

DODEQAL5 6215__A 138 kV $2,000.00

DODEQAL5 6611__A 69 kV $2,000.00

DW_DDEN8 AIR_W_DE_1 138 kV $2,000.00

SCABWES8 NAVAL__N_PADR1_1 69 kV $2,000.00

SKEYWLV8 6611__A 69 kV $2,000.00

SKEYWLV8 6611__C 69 kV $2,473.89

SNCWHLT9 6915__A 69 kV $2,800.00

SNCWMOS8 ODNTH_FMR1 69 kV $2,000.00

SODBODN9 6860__A 69 kV $2,320.68

SSUNMGS8 6215__A 138 kV $2,000.00

XMGS58 MGSES_MR1H 345 kV $2,000.00

Page 9: ERCOT Market Analysis

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Net Margin Calculation – 3.6.3

• The Settlement Point Price at the Resource Node for Generation Resource D is the net margin reference SPP.

• The constraint net margin calculation is:

∑ ¼ * MAX(0, (net margin reference SPP – 10*FIP))over all intervals in which the constraint is binding

January 9, 2013

Page 10: ERCOT Market Analysis

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Net Margin Calculation – 3.6.3

• As constraint binding periods are defined by SCED interval, the SCED intervals must be converted to the appropriate Settlement Intervals for the net margin calculation

January 9, 2013

SCED Intervals (5 min)Settlement Intervals (15 min)

10:00:20 10:45:08

10:30

10:30:09

Example Calculation

10:00 11:00

Net Margin = ¼ * (SPP – 10*FIP)

CONTINGENCY_NAME CONSTR_NAME SCED_TS_START SCED_TS_END SHADOW_PRICESI_START(Intvl Ending)

SI_END(Intvl Ending)

SNCWMOS8 ODNTH_FMR1 11/4/2012 10:25:09 11/4/2012 10:30:09 $460.39 11/4/2012 10:30 11/4/2012 10:45

SNCWMOS8 ODNTH_FMR1 11/4/2012 10:30:09 11/4/2012 10:35:19 $623.96 11/4/2012 10:45 11/4/2012 10:45

SNCWMOS8 ODNTH_FMR1 11/4/2012 10:35:19 11/4/2012 10:40:10 $622.05 11/4/2012 10:45 11/4/2012 10:45

SNCWMOS8 ODNTH_FMR1 11/4/2012 10:40:10 11/4/2012 10:45:08 $598.39 11/4/2012 10:45 11/4/2012 11:00

SNCWMOS8 ODNTH_FMR1 11/4/2012 10:45:08 11/4/2012 10:50:09 $661.67 11/4/2012 11:00 11/4/2012 11:00

CONTINGENCY_NAME CONSTR_NAME STL_PNT_NAME DELIVERY_TIME SPP 10*FIP NET_MARGIN NET_MARGIN_TOTALSNCWMOS8 ODNTH_FMR1 NWF_NWF1 11/4/2012 10:30 $50.88 $32.40 $4.62 $161,964.16SNCWMOS8 ODNTH_FMR1 NWF_NWF1 11/4/2012 10:45 $96.02 $32.40 $15.91 $161,980.07SNCWMOS8 ODNTH_FMR1 NWF_NWF1 11/4/2012 11:00 $53.89 $32.40 $5.37 $161,985.44

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Net Margin Calculation – 3.6.3

• End of 2012 net margin calculations

• Totals were reset to zero on January 1, 2013

January 9, 2013

Contingency Name Constraint Name Settlement Point Effective Date Net Margin Total

SNCWMOS8 ODNTH_FMR1 NWF_NWF1 1/1/2012 $161,985.44

DODEQAL5 6215__A CSC_CSECG1_2 5/3/2012 $19,983.84

SSUNMGS8 6215__A BULLCRK_1_2 10/11/2012 $92,306.72

Page 12: ERCOT Market Analysis

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• When $95,000 net margin is reached, the Shadow Price Cap on this constraint will be set to the minimum of:

– $2,000, or

– The maximum of the largest value of the Mitigated Offer Cap / abs (SF) for Generation Resource C or the current effective LCAP.

• SNCWMOS8:ODNTH_FMR1 met this condition on August 6. Its Shadow Price Cap was changed from $2,274.65 to $2,000.00.

Methodology for Setting the Shadow Price Cap – 3.6.2

• On November 7, 2012, the LCAP definition was changed frommax(50*FIP, $500) to max(50*FIP, $2,000)

January 9, 2013

$2,000 $2,800$3,500$4,500$5,000

MOC SF

$0

$95K Prior to $95K range

LCAP

• Since LCAP can never be lower than $2,000, the equation above now reduces to:When $95,000 is reached, the Shadow Price Cap will be set to $2,000

$500

range

Page 13: ERCOT Market Analysis

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Methodology for Setting Transmission Shadow Price Caps or Irresolvable Non-Competitive Constraints in SCED

Questions?

January 9, 2013