EMME Earthquake Model of Middle East

2009 - 2014

A GEM Regional Projectwww.emme-gem.org

EMME - Earthquake Model of the Middle East region

Regional Application of GEM (Global Earthquake

Model)

TurkeyCyprus

LebanonJordan

IranIraq

PakistanAzerbaijan

ArmeniaGeorgia

EMME Project Modules and Workflow

Distance, RJB (km)0.1 1 10 100

Mag

nitu

de, M

w

4

5

6

7

8

TurkeyIranCaucasusPakistanJordan

Strong Ground Motion Database for the EMME Countries

GMPE logic tree structure developed based on sensitivity tests

SoftwareOpenQuake is used to perform the probabilistic seismic hazard computations following the EMME seismic hazard model.

EMME Seismic Hazard Outputs include:• hazard curves,• hazard maps,• uniform hazard spectra (UHS )• disaggregation

SEISMIC RISK

• Compilation of building inventories (per country)

SEISMIC RISK• Development building taxonomy (per country)

Building classification of Pakistan

SEISMIC RISK• Development of structural vulnerability

models (per country)

SEISMIC RISK• Validation with observed data (damage

modeling for past earthquakes, e.g. Spitak)Building

TypologiesVulnerability indices

Vmin Vav

Masonry M1 0.62 0.873

M2 0.62 0.84

M3 0.46 0.74

M4 0.3 0.616

M5 0.46 0.74

M6 0.3 0.616

M7 0.14 0.451

Reinforced Concrete

RC1 0.3 0.644

RC2 0.14 0.484

RC3 -0.02 0.324

RC4 0.3 0.544

RC5 0.14 0.384

RC6 -0.02 0.224

Steel S -0.02 0.324

Timber W 0.14 0.447

Distribution of damaged buildings in Gyumri city after the 1988

Spitak earthquake.

SEISMIC RISK• Assessment of seismic risk

KEY POINT IN THE SUCCESS OF THE EMME PROJECT

• Highest level of contribution from partner countries

• EMME has been entirely based on local data and local expertize

… and many others.Thank you all

• Presentation on EMME City Scenario Applications

Wednesday July 2, GEM Booth• EMME Special Session at the 2ECEES (http://www.2eceesistanbul.org)