embraer day 2010 aviação executiva
TRANSCRIPT
Embraer Day
Executive Aviation Overview
Luís Carlos AffonsoEmbraer Executive Vice-President, Executive Jets
São José dos Campos – March 19th, 2010
Forward Looking Statement
This presentation includes forward-looking statements or statements about events or circumstances which
have not occurred. We have based these forward-looking statements largely on our current expectations
and projections about future events and financial trends affecting our business and our future financial
performance. These forward-looking statements are subject to risks, uncertainties and assumptions,
including, among other things: general economic, political and business conditions, both in Brazil and in our
market.
The words “believes,” “may,” “will,” “estimates,” “continues,” “anticipates,” “intends,” “expects” and similar
words are intended to identify forward-looking statements. We undertake no obligations to update publicly
or revise any forward-looking statements because of new information, future events or other factors. In light
of these risks and uncertainties, the forward-looking events and circumstances discussed in this
presentation might not occur. Our actual results could differ substantially from those anticipated in our
forward-looking statements.
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
5
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
Gro
wth
Rat
e %
Real GDP growth rate, YoY%
Global Insight – Jan10
The Economist – Jun09
World
3,2%3,0%2,6%1,3%-1,9%The Economist – Mar09
4.1%4.1%3.4%3.0%-2.1%IMF – Jan10
3.7%3.9%3.3%2.9%-2.0%Global Insight – Jan10
3.0%2,8%2,4%2,5%-2,4%The Economist – Dec09
The Economist – Jun9
Source
-3.1%
2009
1.3%
2010
2.4%
2011
2.8%
2012
3.0%
2013
World Real GDP growth
IMF – Jan10
Source: The Economist, Global Insight , IMF – January 2010
The Economist – Dec09
World GDP growth rates
Source: Yahoo Finance, February 2nd, 2010
Stock markets
Global Stock Markets return % in the last 24-months
SSE Composite (China)
IBOVESPA (Brazil)
S&P500 (US)
FTSE100 (UK)
RTS (Russia)
Fall higher than 10%
Business Jets Traffic
Source: FAA, Eurocontrol – February 2010
EU +8.5%
FAA +10.9%
Jan’10 y/y
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
Jan'0
4A
pr'04
Jul'0
4O
ct'0
4Ja
n'05
Apr'0
5Ju
l'05
Oct
'05
Jan'0
6A
pr'06
Jul'0
6O
ct'0
6Ja
n'07
Apr'0
7Ju
l'07
Oct
'07
Jan'0
8A
pr'08
Jul'0
8O
ct'0
8Ja
n'09
Apr'0
9Ju
l'09
Oct
'09
Jan'1
0
Mo
nth
ly f
lig
hts
(000)
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
Gro
wth
yo
y %
Eurocontrol FAA
% Eurocontrol % FAA
Used market: inventory
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10
Un
its
0%
4%
8%
12%
16%
20%
24%
28%
% o
f ac
tive
fle
et
% for sale (per total fleet in operation)
a/c older than 10 yrs
a/c 6 to 10 years old
a/c uo to 5 years old
% for sale (per total fleet in operation)
Delivery positions
15.8%
2716 jets
Feb 10
2009: decrease of 33 units
2010 YTD Feb: decrease of 88 units
2008: increase of 1,100 units
Source: Embraer analysis – February 2010
Business Jets For Sale
2010-2019 Market Forecast
Executive Aviation
Which is the primary reason to use a business jet ?
Fonte: Harris Interactive, Inc., NBAA, GAMA - outubro 15, 2009
Support schedules not met with scheduled
airlines
64%Reach locations
scheduled airlines do not serve
19%
Industrial or personal security
6%
Make connections with scheduled airlines flights
1%
Others
9%
2010-19 Market Forecast – World Deliveries
New Jets Deliveries Values (2009 US$ Bi)
Source: Embraer, 2009 B&CA list prices – October 2009
More than 10,000 jets US$ 190 billion over the next 10 years����
2009
US
$ B
illio
n
Historic deliveries2010-2019 Forecast
0
5
10
15
20
25
2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018
2010-19 Market Forecast
Industry revenues
US
$ B
illio
n(E
.C.2
009)
Historical Forecast
Source: GAMA reports and Embraer analysis – March 2010
0
40
80
120
160
200
2000-2009 2010-2019
US$ 190 Bi(10,000+ jets)
US$ 155 Bi(8,000 jets)
Vision
To become a major player in the Business Aviation Market by
2015 through innovative and differentiating product and service
solutions with added value to our customers and shareholders.
Embraer Product Portfolio
Entry
Light
Mid-light
Mid-size
Super Mid-Size
Large
Ultra-Long Range
Ultra-large
illustrative purposes only
* NBAA IFR (35 min) Reserves + 100 nm alternate; 4 occupants @ 200 lb (91 kg)* Basic configuration
Certified on schedule with all
targets achieved or exceeded
41,000 ft
390 ktas
1,178 nm
Phenom 100
12,500 m
Mach 0.70
722 km/h
2,150 km
6 – 8 (Seats, Occupants)
Maximum Operational Altitude
MMO
Maximum Cruise Speed
Range*
Number of seats
Phenom 100®
Phenom 100® - Certified Performance Data Summary
All targets achieved or exceeded
(1) NBAA IFR reserves (35 min) with
100 nm alternate; 4 occupants @ 200 lb each(2) MLW, SL, ISA (3) MTOW, SL, ISA
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3,400 ft
0.700.70MMO
41,000 ft41,000 ftMaximum Ceiling
55 ft345 ft3Main baggage compartment
1,695 lb1,615 lbEngine Thrust
3,400 ftStandard Takeoff Distance (3)
33 EPNdB below Stage IV
Stage IVExternal noise
FAA Certified Phenom 100
Initial estimates
390 kt380 ktHigh Speed Cruise
1,889 lb1,960 lbBlock Fuel for 1,000 nm
3,125 ftN/AEnhanced Takeoff Distance (3)
2,699 ft3,000 ftLanding Distance(2)
1,178 nm1,160 nmRange with IFR(1) reserves
�
Phenom 100®
16
* NBAA IFR (35 min) Reserves + 100 nm alternate; 6 occupants @ 200 lb (91 kg)* Basic configuration
45,000 ft
453 ktas
1,971 nm
Phenom 300
13,700 m
Mach 0.78
839 km/h
3,650 km
8 – 10 (Seats, Occupants)
Maximum Operational Altitude
MMO
Maximum Cruise Speed
Range*
Number of seats
Phenom 300®
Certified on schedule with all
targets achieved or exceeded
Phenom 300® - Certified Performance Data Summary
All targets achieved or exceeded
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0.780.78MMO
45,000 ft45,000 ftMaximum Ceiling
74 ft371 ft3External baggage compartment
3,360 lb3,200 lbEngine Thrust
24 EPNdB below Stage IV
Stage IVExternal noise
ANAC Certified Phenom 300
Initial estimates
453 kt450 ktHigh Speed Cruise
2,403 lb2,564 lbBlock Fuel for 1,000 nm
3,138 ft3,700 ftTakeoff Distance (3)
2,621 ft2,950 ftLanding Distance(2)
1,971 nm1,800 nmRange with IFR(1) reserves
�
(1) NBAA IFR reserves (35 min) with
100 nm alternate; 6 occupants @ 200 lb each(2) MLW, SL, ISA (3) MTOW, SL, ISA
18
Phenom 300®
Phenom Jets – over 600 firm orders in 44 countries
The World Discovers the Phenom Jets
(March 2010)
20
Preliminary data
* Range @ M 0.80, 2 pilots + 4 pax (200lb), NBAA IFR res.
45,000ft
470ktas
2,300nm
Legacy 450
13,700m
Mach 0.83
870 km/h
4,260km
7 – 9 passengers + 2 crew
Maximum Operational Altitude
MMO
Maximum Cruise Speed
Range*
Number of occupants
Legacy 450
21
Legacy 450
illustrative purposes only
22
Preliminary data
45,000ft
470ktas
3,000nm
Legacy 500
13,700m
Mach 0.83
870 km/h
5,560km
8 – 12 passengers + 2 crew
Maximum Operational Altitude
MMO
Maximum Cruise Speed
Range*
Number of occupants
* Range @ LRC, 2 pilots + 4 pax (200lb), NBAA IFR res, 200nm alt airport
Legacy 500
23
Conceitos preliminares
Legacy 500
Legacy 600®
* NBAA Reserves (4 pax, 0.74 M, ISA)
41,000 ft
459 ktas
3,400 nm
Legacy 600
12,500 m
Mach 0.80
850 km/h
6,297 km
13 – 14 (Seats, Occupants)+3 crew
Maximum Operational Altitude
MMO
Maximum Cruise Speed
Range*
Number of seats
Legacy 600®
26
* NBAA Reserves (4 pax, 0.74 M, ISA)
41,000 ft
459 ktas
3,900 nm
Legacy 650
12,500 m
Mach 0.80
850 km/h
7,223 km
13 – 14 (Seats, Occupants) + 3 crew
Maximum Operational Altitude
MMO
Maximum Cruise Speed
Range*
Number of seats
Preliminary data
Legacy 650®
27
Legacy 650®
28
Lineage 1000®
* NBAA IFR (35 min) Reserves + 200 nm alternate; 8 passengers @ 200 lb
41,000 ft
470 ktas
4,400 nm
Lineage 1000
12,500 m
Mach 0.82
870 km/h
8,149 km
13 – 19 (Seats, Occupants)+3 crew
Maximum Operational Altitude
MMO
Maximum Cruise Speed
Range*
Number of seats
Certified on schedule with all
targets achieved or exceeded
Lineage 1000® Certified Performance Data Summary
(1) NBAA IFR reserves (35 min)
with 200 nm alternate; passengers @ 200 lb each(2) MLW, SL, ISA (3) MTOW, SL, ISA
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4,500 nmN/ARange (4 passengers)*
0.820.82MMO
41,000 ft41,000 ftMaximum Ceiling
18,500 lb each18,500 lb eachEngine Thrust
FAA Certified Lineage 1000
Initial estimates
470 kt470 ktHigh Speed Cruise
27,644 lb29,326 lbBlock Fuel for 3,000 nm
6,135 ft6,660 ftTakeoff Distance (3)
2,675 ft2,675 ftLanding Distance(2)
4,400 nm4,200 nmRange (8 passengers)*
Surpassing expectations
30
Lineage 1000®
Customer Support & Services
� Service Centers Network - global coverage
� 6 Embraer wholly-owned service centers;
� Authorized service centers network expansion
� Logistics and Parts Support
� Embraer Distribution Centers and third-party Logistics.
� Field and Product Support
� Maintenance Tracking and Planning Service
� 24/7 - Contact Center
� Training Programs
� Phenom Jets: Embraer & CAE Joint Venture - ECTS
� Phenom Jets Training Centers in USA and in Europe
Customer Support Solution
Embraer Service Center
Contracted Authorized NetworkPresence in 38 locations
Service Centers Network
Complete and timely assistance to executive jet customers
Embraer Contact Center
2009 Performance and 2010 Guidance
Source: GAMA reports – Embraer analysis – Feb/10
2009 Performance - Revenue share (US$)
Others
Hawker-Beech
Embraer
Gulfstream
Dassault
Cessna
Bombardier27% 29% 29% 28% 28% 28%
15%18% 18% 19% 19%
13%
17% 11% 11% 12% 12%18%
26% 23% 22% 23% 24% 21%
2,7%3,4% 3,8% 4,6% 4,1% 6,4%
10%10% 8% 8% 8%
6%8%
6%8% 5%5%2%
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
% O
EM
Sh
are
– T
ota
l R
eve
nu
es
US$
$13.2bi$10.2bi $17.2 bi$16.6bi $19.3bi $22.2bi
Revenue (US$ - based on B&CA list prices)
Source: GAMA reports – Embraer analysis – Feb/10
2009 Performance - Deliveries share (units)
22% 25% 24% 22% 21% 20%
31%33% 35% 37% 40%
33%
11% 7% 7% 7% 6%
9%
13% 12% 13% 13% 14%
11%
2,2% 2,7% 3,1% 3,5% 3,3%14,0%
20% 19% 16% 16% 14% 11%
2%2%3%2%1% 1%
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
% O
EM
Sh
are
– T
ota
l u
nit
s
Units
1,040885749 1,154582 870
Others
Hawker-Beech
Embraer
Gulfstream
Dassault
Cessna
Bombardier
2009 Performance
Source: GAMA reports – Embraer analysis – Feb/10
2008
2009
Revenue (US$)
Remark: Revenue is based on B&CA list prices except for Embraer
Bombardier Cessna Dassault Gulfstream Hawker Others Embraer
247
466
72
156 160
1538
173
289
77 94 98
17
122
Bombardier Cessna Dassault Gulfstream Hawker Others Embraer
2009 Performance
Source: GAMA reports – Embraer analysis – Feb/10
2008
2009
Units
Guidance 2010 – Executive Jets
2010
units 120
2010
units 17
Revenue: US$ 1.1 billion
36
115
137
Embraer
2010 Performance – Deliveries (units)
Source: GAMA reports – Embraer analysis – Feb/10
2008 2009 2010
Embraer Executive Jets
0,87 0,9
1,1
Embraer
2010 Performance – Deliveries (US$ billion)
Source: GAMA reports – Embraer analysis – Feb/10
2008 2009 2010
Embraer Executive Jets
All images are for illustration purpose only and may not represent the real and final product accurately.Some features are optional items not included in the baseline aircraft and are subject to price increase and lead-time analysis.The information contained herein is subject to the disclaimer presented in the last
page of this document/presentation.This presentation is the property of Embraer-Empresa Brasileira de Aeronáutica S.A.("Embraer") and shall not be copied, in whole or in part, or used in any manner, except with Embraer´s prior written consent.
Thank You!
THANK YOU !
This presentation is the property of Embraer - Empresa Brasileira de Aeronáutica S.A. ("Embraer") and shall
not be copied, in whole or in part, or used in any manner, except with Embraer´s prior written consent.
Embraer reserves the right to revise this document whenever occasioned by product improvements,
governmental regulations or other good cause.
All images: figures, finishing materials and colors are for illustration purpose only, and may not represent the
real and final product accurately.
Some features are optional items not included in the baseline aircraft and are subject to price increase and
lead-time analysis.
All data presented shall not be used as guarantee. Guaranteed specifications are listed in the technical
description and represent the only binding guarantee.
In the event of any conflict between this presentation and the technical description, the technical description
shall govern.